Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: M Donohue

Leeds 2–0 Derby

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.36 fair 1.68
Draw 4.75 fair 4.43
Away 8.50 fair 5.56
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 2.05
Over 2.5 1.88 fair 1.95

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Derby
18 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 1
10 Corners 2
6 Fouls 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (215 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.98
Expected goals 1.83 – 0.89
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 12% 2–0 11% 1–1 10.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
1.94points / match
1.72scored / match
0.72conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 31:13
Derby before this match, all matches
1.11points / match
1.22scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 22:24
Leeds all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.72 Goals scored 1.22
0.72 Goals conceded 1.33
2.44 Total goals 2.56
16.17 Shots 11.11
5.56 Shots on target 3.44
6.94 Shots faced 11.33
6.89 Corners 5.67
3.33 Corners against 5.67
12.22 Fouls 12.78
1.94 Yellow cards 2.33
0.78 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

56% Wins 28%
28% Draws 28%
17% Losses 44%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
72% Over 1.5 goals 83%
39% Over 2.5 goals 44%
17% Over 3.5 goals 11%
11% Over 4.5 goals 11%
11% Over 5.5 goals 6%
28% Both teams scored 67%
56% Clean sheets 22%
28% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 28%
28% Draws 39%
33% Losses 33%
78% Over 0.5 goals 78%
33% Over 1.5 goals 22%
17% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Derby all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
2.44points / match
2.22scored / match
0.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 20:5
Derby before this match, away
0.67points / match
1.00scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 9:15
Leeds at home away Derby

Per match

2.22 Goals scored 1.00
0.56 Goals conceded 1.67
2.78 Total goals 2.67
18.78 Shots 8.33
6.89 Shots on target 2.44
6.00 Shots faced 12.44
8.67 Corners 5.00
2.44 Corners against 5.78
11.56 Fouls 12.44
1.44 Yellow cards 2.44
1.11 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

78% Wins 11%
11% Draws 33%
11% Losses 56%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
89% Over 1.5 goals 89%
56% Over 2.5 goals 44%
11% Over 3.5 goals 11%
11% Over 4.5 goals 11%
11% Over 5.5 goals 11%
22% Both teams scored 78%
67% Clean sheets 0%
11% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 11%
22% Draws 44%
22% Losses 44%
78% Over 0.5 goals 78%
44% Over 1.5 goals 22%
22% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.24 Blackburn – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 4.203.701.80 2.00 1.85
27.11.24 Leeds – Luton 3–0 (2–0) 1.424.208.00 1.80 2.00
24.11.24 Swansea – Leeds 3–4 (2–1) 4.103.901.80 2.10 1.73
09.11.24 Leeds – QPR 2–0 (1–0) 1.255.5012.00 1.67 2.20
06.11.24 Millwall – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 4.103.401.90 2.30 1.62
02.11.24 Leeds – Plymouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.188.0011.00 1.44 2.75
26.10.24 Bristol City – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.601.82 1.93 1.93
22.10.24 Leeds – Watford 2–1 (2–0) 1.335.009.50 1.62 2.30
18.10.24 Leeds – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 2.10 1.73
04.10.24 Sunderland – Leeds 2–2 (1–1) 3.003.202.40 2.10 1.73

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.12.24 Derby – Sheffield Weds 1–2 (1–0) 2.403.203.00 2.20 1.67
27.11.24 Derby – Swansea 1–2 (0–2) 2.403.402.80 2.20 1.67
23.11.24 Preston – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.40 2.20 1.67
09.11.24 Derby – Plymouth 1–1 (1–1) 1.653.905.00 1.80 2.00
06.11.24 Coventry – Derby 1–2 (0–1) 1.753.704.50 1.90 1.95
02.11.24 Stoke – Derby 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.03 1.83
26.10.24 Derby – Hull 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 1.90 1.95
22.10.24 Oxford – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.252.75 2.10 1.73
19.10.24 Millwall – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.10 2.30 1.62
05.10.24 Derby – QPR 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 2.10 1.73

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.11.24 Leeds – Luton 3–0 (2–0) 1.424.208.00 1.80 2.00
09.11.24 Leeds – QPR 2–0 (1–0) 1.255.5012.00 1.67 2.20
02.11.24 Leeds – Plymouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.188.0011.00 1.44 2.75
22.10.24 Leeds – Watford 2–1 (2–0) 1.335.009.50 1.62 2.30
18.10.24 Leeds – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 2.10 1.73
28.09.24 Leeds – Coventry 3–0 (1–0) 1.554.505.00 1.67 2.20
14.09.24 Leeds – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 1.733.804.75 1.85 2.00
31.08.24 Leeds – Hull 2–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.00 1.60 2.30
10.08.24 Leeds – Portsmouth 3–3 (1–2) 1.365.008.00 1.60 2.30
04.05.24 Leeds – Southampton 1–2 (1–2) 1.574.335.50 1.50 2.63

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.24 Preston – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.40 2.20 1.67
06.11.24 Coventry – Derby 1–2 (0–1) 1.753.704.50 1.90 1.95
02.11.24 Stoke – Derby 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.03 1.83
22.10.24 Oxford – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.252.75 2.10 1.73
19.10.24 Millwall – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.10 2.30 1.62
01.10.24 Sunderland – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.673.904.75 2.03 1.83
21.09.24 Sheffield United – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.105.50 1.80 2.00
24.08.24 Watford – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 1.853.504.10 1.88 1.98
09.08.24 Blackburn – Derby 4–2 (1–0) 2.203.503.10 2.03 1.83
20.04.24E2 Cambridge – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 5.504.001.55 1.90 1.95

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 18 12 4 2 25 9 +16 40
2 Burnley 19 10 7 2 24 7 +17 37
3 Leeds 18 10 5 3 31 13 +18 35
4 Sunderland 18 9 6 3 26 13 +13 33
5 Middlesbrough 19 9 4 6 33 22 +11 31
6 Watford 18 9 3 6 26 24 +2 30
7 West Brom 18 6 10 2 19 12 +7 28
8 Blackburn 17 8 4 5 21 17 +4 28
9 Norwich 18 6 7 5 35 27 +8 25
10 Millwall 17 6 7 4 20 15 +5 25
11 Bristol City 18 6 7 5 24 21 +3 25
12 Sheffield Weds 18 7 4 7 22 27 -5 25
13 Swansea 18 6 5 7 18 17 +1 23
14 Stoke 18 5 6 7 19 22 -3 21
15 Derby 18 5 5 8 22 24 -2 20
16 Coventry 18 4 6 8 24 27 -3 18
17 Oxford 18 4 6 8 20 28 -8 18
18 Preston 18 3 9 6 17 25 -8 18
19 Luton 18 5 3 10 20 33 -13 18
20 Cardiff 18 4 5 9 17 28 -11 17
21 Plymouth 18 4 5 9 18 38 -20 17
22 Hull 18 3 6 9 17 26 -9 15
23 QPR 18 2 9 7 15 26 -11 15
24 Portsmouth 16 2 7 7 18 30 -12 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 9 8 1 0 14 2 +12 25
2 Watford 9 7 2 0 13 4 +9 23
3 Leeds 9 7 1 1 20 5 +15 22
4 Burnley 9 5 4 0 13 3 +10 19
5 Blackburn 9 6 1 2 13 7 +6 19
6 Sunderland 8 5 3 0 14 4 +10 18
7 Millwall 9 5 2 2 13 7 +6 17
8 Middlesbrough 10 5 2 3 15 11 +4 17
9 Norwich 9 4 4 1 25 13 +12 16
10 Oxford 10 4 4 2 13 12 +1 16
11 Plymouth 8 4 3 1 15 11 +4 15
12 Derby 9 4 2 3 13 9 +4 14
13 Luton 9 4 2 3 13 12 +1 14
14 Preston 10 3 5 2 10 9 +1 14
15 Bristol City 9 3 4 2 13 9 +4 13
16 Swansea 9 3 4 2 12 9 +3 13
17 Stoke 10 3 4 3 15 13 +2 13
18 Sheffield Weds 9 3 3 3 13 14 -1 12
19 Cardiff 9 4 0 5 11 12 -1 12
20 Coventry 9 3 2 4 16 15 +1 11
21 West Brom 8 2 5 1 4 3 +1 11
22 Hull 9 1 4 4 8 11 -3 7
23 Portsmouth 7 1 3 3 6 10 -4 6
24 QPR 9 0 5 4 8 16 -8 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 10 5 3 2 11 4 +7 18
2 West Brom 10 4 5 1 15 9 +6 17
3 Sheffield United 9 4 3 2 11 7 +4 15
4 Sunderland 10 4 3 3 12 9 +3 15
5 Middlesbrough 9 4 2 3 18 11 +7 14
6 Leeds 9 3 4 2 11 8 +3 13
7 Sheffield Weds 9 4 1 4 9 13 -4 13
8 Bristol City 9 3 3 3 11 12 -1 12
9 Swansea 9 3 1 5 6 8 -2 10
10 QPR 9 2 4 3 7 10 -3 10
11 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 8 10 -2 9
12 Norwich 9 2 3 4 10 14 -4 9
13 Millwall 8 1 5 2 7 8 -1 8
14 Stoke 8 2 2 4 4 9 -5 8
15 Hull 9 2 2 5 9 15 -6 8
16 Coventry 9 1 4 4 8 12 -4 7
17 Watford 9 2 1 6 13 20 -7 7
18 Portsmouth 9 1 4 4 12 20 -8 7
19 Derby 9 1 3 5 9 15 -6 6
20 Cardiff 9 0 5 4 6 16 -10 5
21 Preston 8 0 4 4 7 16 -9 4
22 Luton 9 1 1 7 7 21 -14 4
23 Oxford 8 0 2 6 7 16 -9 2
24 Plymouth 10 0 2 8 3 27 -24 2

Leeds   Derby

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Watford 18 7 11 1.4 1.3 9 3 6 26 24 30
2 16 Coventry 18 7 11 1.3 1.5 4 6 8 24 27 18
3 19 Luton 18 7 11 1.1 1.8 5 3 10 20 33 18
4 9 Norwich 18 8 10 1.9 1.5 6 7 5 35 27 25
5 21 Plymouth 18 8 10 1.0 2.1 4 5 9 18 38 17
6 24 Portsmouth 16 6 10 1.1 1.9 2 7 7 18 30 13
7 12 Sheffield Weds 18 9 9 1.2 1.5 7 4 7 22 27 25
8 5 Middlesbrough 19 11 8 1.7 1.2 9 4 6 33 22 31
9 11 Bristol City 18 10 8 1.3 1.2 6 7 5 24 21 25
10 15 Derby 18 10 8 1.2 1.3 5 5 8 22 24 20
11 17 Oxford 18 10 8 1.1 1.6 4 6 8 20 28 18
12 18 Preston 18 10 8 0.9 1.4 3 9 6 17 25 18
13 3 Leeds 18 11 7 1.7 0.7 10 5 3 31 13 35
14 4 Sunderland 18 11 7 1.4 0.7 9 6 3 26 13 33
15 8 Blackburn 17 10 7 1.2 1.0 8 4 5 21 17 28
16 7 West Brom 18 12 6 1.1 0.7 6 10 2 19 12 28
17 13 Swansea 18 12 6 1.0 0.9 6 5 7 18 17 23
18 14 Stoke 18 12 6 1.1 1.2 5 6 7 19 22 21
19 20 Cardiff 18 12 6 0.9 1.6 4 5 9 17 28 17
20 22 Hull 18 12 6 0.9 1.4 3 6 9 17 26 15
21 23 QPR 18 12 6 0.8 1.4 2 9 7 15 26 15
22 1 Sheffield United 18 14 4 1.4 0.5 12 4 2 25 9 40
23 10 Millwall 17 13 4 1.2 0.9 6 7 4 20 15 25
24 2 Burnley 19 16 3 1.3 0.4 10 7 2 24 7 37
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Coventry 9 1 8 1.8 1.7 3 2 4 16 15 11
2 9 Norwich 9 3 6 2.8 1.4 4 4 1 25 13 16
3 19 Luton 9 3 6 1.4 1.3 4 2 3 13 12 14
4 3 Leeds 9 4 5 2.2 0.6 7 1 1 20 5 22
5 14 Stoke 10 5 5 1.5 1.3 3 4 3 15 13 13
6 21 Plymouth 8 3 5 1.9 1.4 4 3 1 15 11 15
7 5 Middlesbrough 10 6 4 1.5 1.1 5 2 3 15 11 17
8 6 Watford 9 5 4 1.4 0.4 7 2 0 13 4 23
9 11 Bristol City 9 5 4 1.4 1.0 3 4 2 13 9 13
10 15 Derby 9 5 4 1.4 1.0 4 2 3 13 9 14
11 23 QPR 9 5 4 0.9 1.8 0 5 4 8 16 5
12 24 Portsmouth 7 3 4 0.9 1.4 1 3 3 6 10 6
13 4 Sunderland 8 5 3 1.8 0.5 5 3 0 14 4 18
14 8 Blackburn 9 6 3 1.4 0.8 6 1 2 13 7 19
15 10 Millwall 9 6 3 1.4 0.8 5 2 2 13 7 17
16 12 Sheffield Weds 9 6 3 1.4 1.6 3 3 3 13 14 12
17 13 Swansea 9 6 3 1.3 1.0 3 4 2 12 9 13
18 17 Oxford 10 7 3 1.3 1.2 4 4 2 13 12 16
19 18 Preston 10 7 3 1.0 0.9 3 5 2 10 9 14
20 20 Cardiff 9 6 3 1.2 1.3 4 0 5 11 12 12
21 1 Sheffield United 9 7 2 1.6 0.2 8 1 0 14 2 25
22 2 Burnley 9 7 2 1.4 0.3 5 4 0 13 3 19
23 22 Hull 9 7 2 0.9 1.2 1 4 4 8 11 7
24 7 West Brom 8 7 1 0.5 0.4 2 5 1 4 3 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Watford 9 2 7 1.4 2.2 2 1 6 13 20 7
2 12 Sheffield Weds 9 3 6 1.0 1.4 4 1 4 9 13 13
3 24 Portsmouth 9 3 6 1.3 2.2 1 4 4 12 20 7
4 7 West Brom 10 5 5 1.5 0.9 4 5 1 15 9 17
5 17 Oxford 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 0 2 6 7 16 2
6 18 Preston 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 0 4 4 7 16 4
7 19 Luton 9 4 5 0.8 2.3 1 1 7 7 21 4
8 21 Plymouth 10 5 5 0.3 2.7 0 2 8 3 27 2
9 4 Sunderland 10 6 4 1.2 0.9 4 3 3 12 9 15
10 5 Middlesbrough 9 5 4 2.0 1.2 4 2 3 18 11 14
11 8 Blackburn 8 4 4 1.0 1.2 2 3 3 8 10 9
12 9 Norwich 9 5 4 1.1 1.6 2 3 4 10 14 9
13 11 Bristol City 9 5 4 1.2 1.3 3 3 3 11 12 12
14 15 Derby 9 5 4 1.0 1.7 1 3 5 9 15 6
15 22 Hull 9 5 4 1.0 1.7 2 2 5 9 15 8
16 13 Swansea 9 6 3 0.7 0.9 3 1 5 6 8 10
17 16 Coventry 9 6 3 0.9 1.3 1 4 4 8 12 7
18 20 Cardiff 9 6 3 0.7 1.8 0 5 4 6 16 5
19 1 Sheffield United 9 7 2 1.2 0.8 4 3 2 11 7 15
20 3 Leeds 9 7 2 1.2 0.9 3 4 2 11 8 13
21 23 QPR 9 7 2 0.8 1.1 2 4 3 7 10 10
22 2 Burnley 10 9 1 1.1 0.4 5 3 2 11 4 18
23 10 Millwall 8 7 1 0.9 1.0 1 5 2 7 8 8
24 14 Stoke 8 7 1 0.5 1.1 2 2 4 4 9 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51