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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Sp Lisbon 3–0 Estoril

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.15 fair 1.47
Draw 7.50 fair 5.81
Away 12.00 fair 6.85
Under 2.5 3.50 fair 3.29
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.30 fair 1.44

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sp Lisbon Estoril
14 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 1
9 Fouls 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (208 league matches this season so far).
Result Sp Lisbon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 2.51 – 1.09
Home / Draw / Away
Sp LisbonDrawEstoril
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.4% 2–0 8.6% 3–1 7.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Sp Lisbon before this match, all matches
2.52points / match
2.57scored / match
0.52conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 59:12
Estoril before this match, all matches
1.43points / match
2.00scored / match
1.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 46:39
Sp Lisbon all matches all matches Estoril

Per match

2.57 Goals scored 2.00
0.52 Goals conceded 1.70
3.09 Total goals 3.70
18.35 Shots 12.43
7.00 Shots on target 4.61
8.09 Shots faced 11.91
7.43 Corners 4.57
2.57 Corners against 4.70
12.74 Fouls 12.57
2.30 Yellow cards 2.52
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.96
0.17 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

78% Wins 39%
17% Draws 26%
4% Losses 35%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
91% Over 1.5 goals 83%
65% Over 2.5 goals 70%
26% Over 3.5 goals 65%
17% Over 4.5 goals 30%
9% Over 5.5 goals 17%
48% Both teams scored 61%
52% Clean sheets 13%
0% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

52% Wins 35%
43% Draws 30%
4% Losses 35%
70% Over 0.5 goals 91%
35% Over 1.5 goals 57%
13% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Lisbon all matches
Estoril all matches
Sp Lisbon before this match, at home
2.55points / match
3.00scored / match
0.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 33:4
Estoril before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.82scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 20:22
Sp Lisbon at home away Estoril

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 1.82
0.36 Goals conceded 2.00
3.36 Total goals 3.82
20.36 Shots 12.45
7.82 Shots on target 4.18
6.82 Shots faced 13.27
7.09 Corners 4.82
2.09 Corners against 4.45
12.36 Fouls 13.09
1.45 Yellow cards 2.27
1.18 1st-half goals scored 0.82
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.82

How often Full Time

82% Wins 27%
9% Draws 18%
9% Losses 55%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
91% Over 1.5 goals 91%
73% Over 2.5 goals 82%
36% Over 3.5 goals 73%
18% Over 4.5 goals 27%
18% Over 5.5 goals 9%
27% Both teams scored 45%
73% Clean sheets 18%
0% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

55% Wins 36%
45% Draws 18%
0% Losses 45%
55% Over 0.5 goals 91%
36% Over 1.5 goals 55%
27% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Lisbon at home
Estoril away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sp Lisbon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.26 Moreirense – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–0) 11.005.001.27 1.67 2.15
15.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 1.255.0011.00 1.67 2.15
09.02.26 Porto – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.003.40 2.25 1.62
01.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–1 (0–0) 1.108.0019.00 1.36 3.10
24.01.26 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (0–1) 12.005.501.22 1.57 2.35
16.01.26 Sp Lisbon – Casa Pia 3–0 (2–0) 1.176.5013.00 1.57 2.35
02.01.26 Gil Vicente – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–1) 7.004.101.42 1.85 1.95
28.12.25 Sp Lisbon – Rio Ave 4–0 (1–0) 1.117.0017.00 1.40 2.88
23.12.25 Guimaraes – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (0–2) 7.004.501.39 1.90 1.95
13.12.25 Sp Lisbon – AVS 6–0 (3–0) 1.0511.0021.00 1.33 3.40

Estoril all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.02.26 Estoril – Gil Vicente 3–1 (1–1) 2.703.252.50 1.95 1.85
15.02.26 AVS – Estoril 3–0 (0–0) 4.333.751.71 1.70 2.10
07.02.26 Estoril – Tondela 2–2 (2–2) 1.663.904.75 1.80 2.00
31.01.26 Santa Clara – Estoril 2–4 (0–2) 2.203.003.40 2.25 1.62
24.01.26 Estoril – Guimaraes 4–2 (1–2) 2.353.302.85 2.05 1.80
19.01.26 Estrela – Estoril 0–5 (0–1) 2.703.302.45 1.93 1.93
03.01.26 Benfica – Estoril 3–1 (2–1) 1.195.7513.00 1.50 2.50
27.12.25 Estoril – Alverca 4–1 (2–0) 2.153.253.25 2.08 1.73
19.12.25 Estoril – Sp Braga 1–0 (1–0) 5.254.001.53 1.83 2.03
14.12.25 Famalicao – Estoril 4–0 (2–0) 1.763.604.33 1.88 1.98

Sp Lisbon at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Famalicao 1–0 (0–0) 1.255.0011.00 1.67 2.15
01.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–1 (0–0) 1.108.0019.00 1.36 3.10
16.01.26 Sp Lisbon – Casa Pia 3–0 (2–0) 1.176.5013.00 1.57 2.35
28.12.25 Sp Lisbon – Rio Ave 4–0 (1–0) 1.117.0017.00 1.40 2.88
13.12.25 Sp Lisbon – AVS 6–0 (3–0) 1.0511.0021.00 1.33 3.40
30.11.25 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 4–0 (3–0) 1.109.0015.00 1.40 2.88
31.10.25 Sp Lisbon – Alverca 2–0 (0–0) 1.109.0017.00 1.36 3.10
05.10.25 Sp Lisbon – Sp Braga 1–1 (1–0) 1.414.337.00 1.67 2.15
22.09.25 Sp Lisbon – Moreirense 3–0 (0–0) 1.177.0012.00 1.57 2.35
30.08.25 Sp Lisbon – Porto 1–2 (0–0) 1.963.503.60 1.85 2.00

Estoril away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.26 AVS – Estoril 3–0 (0–0) 4.333.751.71 1.70 2.10
31.01.26 Santa Clara – Estoril 2–4 (0–2) 2.203.003.40 2.25 1.62
19.01.26 Estrela – Estoril 0–5 (0–1) 2.703.302.45 1.93 1.93
03.01.26 Benfica – Estoril 3–1 (2–1) 1.195.7513.00 1.50 2.50
14.12.25 Famalicao – Estoril 4–0 (2–0) 1.763.604.33 1.88 1.98
30.11.25 Porto – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 1.225.5012.00 1.57 2.35
01.11.25 Rio Ave – Estoril 0–4 (0–2) 2.353.202.95 2.00 1.85
03.10.25 Casa Pia – Estoril 2–2 (2–1) 2.503.302.65 2.05 1.80
21.09.25 Gil Vicente – Estoril 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.203.30 2.30 1.60
31.08.25 Tondela – Estoril 2–2 (0–1) 2.803.102.45 2.25 1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sp Lisbon winsDrawsEstoril wins
9matches
2.56goals / match
44%over 2.5
22%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.09.25P1 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–1) 9.505.501.25 1.53 2.40
03.03.25P1 Sp Lisbon – Estoril 3–1 (2–0) 1.207.0011.00 1.44 2.70
27.09.24P1 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–2) 13.007.501.17 1.40 2.88
11.05.24P1 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–0) 6.005.001.44 1.53 2.40
05.01.24P1 Sp Lisbon – Estoril 5–1 (2–0) 1.255.7511.00 1.40 2.88
27.02.23P1 Sp Lisbon – Estoril 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5010.00 1.53 2.40
02.09.22P1 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–2 (0–2) 6.504.331.45 1.70 2.10
20.02.22P1 Sp Lisbon – Estoril 3–0 (1–0) 1.255.5012.00 1.72 2.07
19.09.21P1 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–0) 5.253.801.57 2.05 1.75

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Porto 24 21 2 1 47 8 +39 65
2 Sp Lisbon 23 18 4 1 59 12 +47 58
3 Benfica 23 16 7 0 49 13 +36 55
4 Sp Braga 23 12 6 5 48 22 +26 42
5 Gil Vicente 23 11 7 5 34 21 +13 40
6 Famalicao 23 10 5 8 29 21 +8 35
7 Estoril 23 9 6 8 46 39 +7 33
8 Moreirense 23 10 3 10 29 33 -4 33
9 Guimaraes 23 9 4 10 27 34 -7 31
10 Alverca 23 7 5 11 23 38 -15 26
11 Arouca 24 7 5 12 32 52 -20 26
12 Estrela 23 5 8 10 26 41 -15 23
13 Casa Pia 23 5 7 11 25 43 -18 22
14 Nacional 23 5 6 12 27 34 -7 21
15 Rio Ave 23 4 8 11 23 44 -21 20
16 Santa Clara 23 4 6 13 18 29 -11 18
17 Tondela 23 4 6 13 17 36 -19 18
18 AVS 23 1 5 17 18 57 -39 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Porto 12 10 2 0 24 4 +20 32
2 Sp Lisbon 11 9 1 1 33 4 +29 28
3 Benfica 12 8 4 0 28 8 +20 28
4 Sp Braga 11 7 2 2 25 9 +16 23
5 Gil Vicente 11 7 2 2 19 8 +11 23
6 Estoril 12 6 4 2 26 17 +9 22
7 Guimaraes 12 6 3 3 17 15 +2 21
8 Famalicao 12 6 2 4 21 9 +12 20
9 Moreirense 11 6 1 4 15 16 -1 19
10 Alverca 12 5 3 4 11 16 -5 18
11 Arouca 12 4 3 5 17 23 -6 15
12 Estrela 12 3 4 5 14 19 -5 13
13 Nacional 11 3 2 6 16 18 -2 11
14 Santa Clara 12 3 2 7 10 14 -4 11
15 Casa Pia 11 2 5 4 15 21 -6 11
16 Rio Ave 11 2 3 6 11 20 -9 9
17 Tondela 11 1 4 6 7 14 -7 7
18 AVS 12 1 3 8 10 23 -13 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Porto 12 11 0 1 23 4 +19 33
2 Sp Lisbon 12 9 3 0 26 8 +18 30
3 Benfica 11 8 3 0 21 5 +16 27
4 Sp Braga 12 5 4 3 23 13 +10 19
5 Gil Vicente 12 4 5 3 15 13 +2 17
6 Famalicao 11 4 3 4 8 12 -4 15
7 Moreirense 12 4 2 6 14 17 -3 14
8 Estoril 11 3 2 6 20 22 -2 11
9 Rio Ave 12 2 5 5 12 24 -12 11
10 Casa Pia 12 3 2 7 10 22 -12 11
11 Tondela 12 3 2 7 10 22 -12 11
12 Arouca 12 3 2 7 15 29 -14 11
13 Nacional 12 2 4 6 11 16 -5 10
14 Guimaraes 11 3 1 7 10 19 -9 10
15 Estrela 11 2 4 5 12 22 -10 10
16 Alverca 11 2 2 7 12 22 -10 8
17 Santa Clara 11 1 4 6 8 15 -7 7
18 AVS 11 0 2 9 8 34 -26 2

Sp Lisbon   Estoril

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Arouca 24 7 17 1.3 2.2 7 5 12 32 52 26
2 4 Sp Braga 23 7 16 2.1 1.0 12 6 5 48 22 42
3 7 Estoril 23 7 16 2.0 1.7 9 6 8 46 39 33
4 18 AVS 23 7 16 0.8 2.5 1 5 17 18 57 8
5 2 Sp Lisbon 23 8 15 2.6 0.5 18 4 1 59 12 58
6 3 Benfica 23 8 15 2.1 0.6 16 7 0 49 13 55
7 15 Rio Ave 23 8 15 1.0 1.9 4 8 11 23 44 20
8 8 Moreirense 23 9 14 1.3 1.4 10 3 10 29 33 33
9 1 Porto 24 12 12 2.0 0.3 21 2 1 47 8 65
10 10 Alverca 23 11 12 1.0 1.7 7 5 11 23 38 26
11 12 Estrela 23 11 12 1.1 1.8 5 8 10 26 41 23
12 13 Casa Pia 23 11 12 1.1 1.9 5 7 11 25 43 22
13 14 Nacional 23 11 12 1.2 1.5 5 6 12 27 34 21
14 17 Tondela 23 11 12 0.7 1.6 4 6 13 17 36 18
15 9 Guimaraes 23 12 11 1.2 1.5 9 4 10 27 34 31
16 5 Gil Vicente 23 13 10 1.5 0.9 11 7 5 34 21 40
17 6 Famalicao 23 14 9 1.3 0.9 10 5 8 29 21 35
18 16 Santa Clara 23 15 8 0.8 1.3 4 6 13 18 29 18
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Sp Lisbon 11 3 8 3.0 0.4 9 1 1 33 4 28
2 3 Benfica 12 4 8 2.3 0.7 8 4 0 28 8 28
3 4 Sp Braga 11 3 8 2.3 0.8 7 2 2 25 9 23
4 8 Moreirense 11 3 8 1.4 1.5 6 1 4 15 16 19
5 11 Arouca 12 4 8 1.4 1.9 4 3 5 17 23 15
6 6 Famalicao 12 5 7 1.8 0.8 6 2 4 21 9 20
7 7 Estoril 12 5 7 2.2 1.4 6 4 2 26 17 22
8 9 Guimaraes 12 5 7 1.4 1.2 6 3 3 17 15 21
9 14 Nacional 11 4 7 1.5 1.6 3 2 6 16 18 11
10 15 Rio Ave 11 4 7 1.0 1.8 2 3 6 11 20 9
11 18 AVS 12 5 7 0.8 1.9 1 3 8 10 23 6
12 1 Porto 12 6 6 2.0 0.3 10 2 0 24 4 32
13 12 Estrela 12 6 6 1.2 1.6 3 4 5 14 19 13
14 10 Alverca 12 7 5 0.9 1.3 5 3 4 11 16 18
15 13 Casa Pia 11 6 5 1.4 1.9 2 5 4 15 21 11
16 16 Santa Clara 12 7 5 0.8 1.2 3 2 7 10 14 11
17 5 Gil Vicente 11 7 4 1.7 0.7 7 2 2 19 8 23
18 17 Tondela 11 7 4 0.6 1.3 1 4 6 7 14 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Estoril 11 2 9 1.8 2.0 3 2 6 20 22 11
2 11 Arouca 12 3 9 1.2 2.4 3 2 7 15 29 11
3 18 AVS 11 2 9 0.7 3.1 0 2 9 8 34 2
4 4 Sp Braga 12 4 8 1.9 1.1 5 4 3 23 13 19
5 15 Rio Ave 12 4 8 1.0 2.0 2 5 5 12 24 11
6 17 Tondela 12 4 8 0.8 1.8 3 2 7 10 22 11
7 2 Sp Lisbon 12 5 7 2.2 0.7 9 3 0 26 8 30
8 3 Benfica 11 4 7 1.9 0.5 8 3 0 21 5 27
9 10 Alverca 11 4 7 1.1 2.0 2 2 7 12 22 8
10 13 Casa Pia 12 5 7 0.8 1.8 3 2 7 10 22 11
11 1 Porto 12 6 6 1.9 0.3 11 0 1 23 4 33
12 5 Gil Vicente 12 6 6 1.2 1.1 4 5 3 15 13 17
13 8 Moreirense 12 6 6 1.2 1.4 4 2 6 14 17 14
14 12 Estrela 11 5 6 1.1 2.0 2 4 5 12 22 10
15 14 Nacional 12 7 5 0.9 1.3 2 4 6 11 16 10
16 9 Guimaraes 11 7 4 0.9 1.7 3 1 7 10 19 10
17 16 Santa Clara 11 8 3 0.7 1.4 1 4 6 8 15 7
18 6 Famalicao 11 9 2 0.7 1.1 4 3 4 8 12 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06