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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estoril 4–2 Guimaraes

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.35 fair 2.11
Draw 3.30 fair 4.08
Away 2.85 fair 3.55
Under 2.5 1.80 fair 2.16
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 1.86

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estoril Guimaraes
16 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 2
9 Fouls 19
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (165 league matches this season so far).
Result Estoril to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.78
Expected goals 1.63 – 1.20
Home / Draw / Away
EstorilDrawGuimaraes
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.6% 1–0 9.6% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Estoril before this match, all matches
1.28points / match
1.83scored / match
1.61conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 33:29
Guimaraes before this match, all matches
1.39points / match
1.00scored / match
1.28conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 18:23
Estoril all matches all matches Guimaraes

Per match

1.83 Goals scored 1.00
1.61 Goals conceded 1.28
3.44 Total goals 2.28
12.33 Shots 13.17
4.39 Shots on target 3.56
11.89 Shots faced 12.33
4.50 Corners 4.44
4.61 Corners against 3.61
13.22 Fouls 14.83
2.78 Yellow cards 2.44
0.89 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.78 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

33% Wins 39%
28% Draws 22%
39% Losses 39%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
78% Over 1.5 goals 72%
61% Over 2.5 goals 39%
61% Over 3.5 goals 17%
28% Over 4.5 goals 11%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 33%
17% Clean sheets 33%
28% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 17%
22% Draws 56%
39% Losses 28%
94% Over 0.5 goals 61%
50% Over 1.5 goals 33%
17% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril all matches
Guimaraes all matches
Estoril before this match, at home
1.67points / match
1.89scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 17:12
Guimaraes before this match, away
1.25points / match
0.50scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 4:9
Estoril at home away Guimaraes

Per match

1.89 Goals scored 0.50
1.33 Goals conceded 1.13
3.22 Total goals 1.63
12.00 Shots 13.38
4.56 Shots on target 3.13
10.78 Shots faced 11.38
4.67 Corners 4.25
5.44 Corners against 3.88
12.78 Fouls 13.13
3.33 Yellow cards 1.88
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

44% Wins 38%
33% Draws 13%
22% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
67% Over 1.5 goals 63%
44% Over 2.5 goals 13%
44% Over 3.5 goals 0%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
22% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 0%
11% Clean sheets 50%
22% Failed to score 63%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 25%
33% Draws 38%
22% Losses 38%
89% Over 0.5 goals 63%
44% Over 1.5 goals 13%
11% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril at home
Guimaraes away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estoril all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.01.26 Estrela – Estoril 0–5 (0–1) 2.703.302.45 1.93 1.93
03.01.26 Benfica – Estoril 3–1 (2–1) 1.195.7513.00 1.50 2.50
27.12.25 Estoril – Alverca 4–1 (2–0) 2.153.253.25 2.08 1.73
19.12.25 Estoril – Sp Braga 1–0 (1–0) 5.254.001.53 1.83 2.03
14.12.25 Famalicao – Estoril 4–0 (2–0) 1.763.604.33 1.88 1.98
07.12.25 Estoril – Moreirense 3–3 (1–1) 2.053.403.50 2.10 1.70
30.11.25 Porto – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 1.225.5012.00 1.57 2.35
07.11.25 Estoril – Arouca 4–3 (2–2) 1.913.603.70 1.95 1.90
01.11.25 Rio Ave – Estoril 0–4 (0–2) 2.353.202.95 2.00 1.85
26.10.25 Estoril – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.253.30 2.05 1.75

Guimaraes all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.26 Guimaraes – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 7.004.101.45 2.05 1.75
02.01.26 Guimaraes – Nacional 2–1 (0–0) 1.813.304.50 2.15 1.67
28.12.25 Casa Pia – Guimaraes 0–0 (0–0) 3.302.952.25 2.40 1.53
23.12.25 Guimaraes – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (0–2) 7.004.501.39 1.90 1.95
13.12.25 Rio Ave – Guimaraes 0–1 (0–1) 2.653.202.55 2.05 1.75
08.12.25 Guimaraes – Gil Vicente 0–0 (0–0) 2.752.952.65 2.60 1.48
28.11.25 Guimaraes – AVS 4–0 (3–0) 1.683.604.75 2.20 1.65
08.11.25 Tondela – Guimaraes 0–1 (0–0) 2.753.052.55 2.25 1.62
01.11.25 Guimaraes – Benfica 0–3 (0–0) 6.004.751.42 1.75 2.05
26.10.25 Famalicao – Guimaraes 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.304.10 2.25 1.62

Estoril at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.12.25 Estoril – Alverca 4–1 (2–0) 2.153.253.25 2.08 1.73
19.12.25 Estoril – Sp Braga 1–0 (1–0) 5.254.001.53 1.83 2.03
07.12.25 Estoril – Moreirense 3–3 (1–1) 2.053.403.50 2.10 1.70
07.11.25 Estoril – Arouca 4–3 (2–2) 1.913.603.70 1.95 1.90
26.10.25 Estoril – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.253.30 2.05 1.75
27.09.25 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–1) 9.505.501.25 1.53 2.40
13.09.25 Estoril – AVS 3–1 (2–0) 1.813.704.00 2.15 1.67
06.09.25 Estoril – Santa Clara 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.002.70 2.40 1.53
11.08.25 Estoril – Estrela 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.504.20 2.05 1.75
17.05.25 Estoril – Estrela 4–0 (4–0) 2.503.302.75 2.03 1.83

Guimaraes away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.12.25 Casa Pia – Guimaraes 0–0 (0–0) 3.302.952.25 2.40 1.53
13.12.25 Rio Ave – Guimaraes 0–1 (0–1) 2.653.202.55 2.05 1.75
08.11.25 Tondela – Guimaraes 0–1 (0–0) 2.753.052.55 2.25 1.62
26.10.25 Famalicao – Guimaraes 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.304.10 2.25 1.62
28.09.25 Alverca – Guimaraes 2–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.15 2.15 1.67
14.09.25 Estrela – Guimaraes 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.302.15 2.25 1.62
23.08.25 Moreirense – Guimaraes 2–0 (0–0) 3.303.252.20 2.25 1.62
11.08.25 Porto – Guimaraes 3–0 (2–0) 1.573.905.75 1.80 2.00
17.05.25 Sp Lisbon – Guimaraes 2–0 (0–0) 1.255.5012.00 1.53 2.40
03.05.25 Nacional – Guimaraes 1–2 (0–1) 4.203.501.85 1.98 1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Estoril winsDrawsGuimaraes wins
9matches
2.44goals / match
44%over 2.5
44%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.08.25P1 Guimaraes – Estoril 3–2 (1–1) 1.703.605.00 2.05 1.75
26.01.25P1 Estoril – Guimaraes 1–0 (0–0) 4.203.601.83 2.03 1.83
18.08.24P1 Guimaraes – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 1.574.005.50 1.93 1.93
02.03.24P1 Estoril – Guimaraes 1–3 (0–3) 3.503.502.10 1.88 1.98
01.10.23P1 Guimaraes – Estoril 3–2 (0–2) 1.833.504.33 1.95 1.90
04.02.23P1 Estoril – Guimaraes 0–1 (0–1) 2.752.882.90 2.40 1.53
14.08.22P1 Guimaraes – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.403.80 2.10 1.70
23.01.22P1 Guimaraes – Estoril 3–1 (0–1) 1.903.254.20 2.10 1.77
13.08.21P1 Estoril – Guimaraes 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.45 2.15 1.66

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 18 17 1 0 37 4 +33 52 WWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 19 15 3 1 52 10 +42 48 WWWDWW
3 Benfica 18 12 6 0 38 11 +27 42 DWWDWW
4 Gil Vicente 18 8 7 3 24 13 +11 31 DDDDDW
5 Sp Braga 18 8 6 4 32 18 +14 30 WWLDDW
6 Moreirense 19 9 3 7 26 26 0 30 LDWWLW
7 Famalicao 18 7 5 6 21 14 +7 26 LWLLLW
8 Guimaraes 18 7 4 7 18 23 -5 25 DWLDWL
9 Estoril 18 6 5 7 33 29 +4 23 DLWWLW
10 Alverca 18 7 2 9 19 28 -9 23 WLLLWW
11 Rio Ave 18 4 8 6 22 31 -9 20 WLDLWL
12 Estrela 18 4 7 7 23 32 -9 19 WLDWDL
13 Nacional 18 4 5 9 22 28 -6 17 LWDLDL
14 Santa Clara 19 4 5 10 14 21 -7 17 LDLDLL
15 Arouca 19 4 5 10 20 44 -24 17 WDDLWL
16 Casa Pia 19 3 6 10 20 38 -18 15 DWDLLD
17 Tondela 18 3 3 12 12 30 -18 12 LLLWLL
18 AVS 19 0 5 14 14 47 -33 5 LDLLLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 9 7 1 1 30 3 +27 22 DWWWWW
2 Porto 8 7 1 0 16 2 +14 22 WDWWWW
3 Benfica 9 5 4 0 19 7 +12 19 WWDDWW
4 Moreirense 9 6 1 2 14 11 +3 19 WLDLWW
5 Gil Vicente 9 5 2 2 12 7 +5 17 WWLDDW
6 Alverca 10 5 1 4 9 14 -5 16 LDWLWW
7 Estoril 9 4 3 2 17 12 +5 15 LDWDWW
8 Guimaraes 10 4 3 3 14 14 0 15 LWDLWL
9 Sp Braga 8 4 2 2 14 7 +7 14 LLWWWD
10 Famalicao 9 3 2 4 13 8 +5 11 DWLLWL
11 Santa Clara 10 3 2 5 7 8 -1 11 WLWDLL
12 Estrela 10 2 4 4 13 17 -4 10 LDWDDL
13 Rio Ave 9 2 3 4 10 15 -5 9 WLDLWL
14 Arouca 10 2 3 5 11 21 -10 9 DLLWDL
15 Nacional 8 2 1 5 12 17 -5 7 LWLLWD
16 Tondela 9 1 2 6 6 13 -7 5 LLLLWL
17 Casa Pia 9 0 5 4 10 18 -8 5 DLLDDD
18 AVS 10 0 3 7 7 19 -12 3 DDLDLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 10 10 0 0 21 2 +19 30 WWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 10 8 2 0 22 7 +15 26 WWDWDW
3 Benfica 9 7 2 0 19 4 +15 23 DWWWDW
4 Sp Braga 10 4 4 2 18 11 +7 16 LWWLDW
5 Famalicao 9 4 3 2 8 6 +2 15 DWDLLW
6 Gil Vicente 9 3 5 1 12 6 +6 14 LWDDDD
7 Moreirense 10 3 2 5 12 15 -3 11 WLDDWL
8 Rio Ave 9 2 5 2 12 16 -4 11 DWDWDL
9 Nacional 10 2 4 4 10 11 -1 10 DDLDLL
10 Guimaraes 8 3 1 4 4 9 -5 10 WLLWWD
11 Casa Pia 10 3 1 6 10 20 -10 10 LDLWLL
12 Estrela 8 2 3 3 10 15 -5 9 DLWLLW
13 Estoril 9 2 2 5 16 17 -1 8 DWLLLW
14 Arouca 9 2 2 5 9 23 -14 8 LLLDLW
15 Alverca 8 2 1 5 10 14 -4 7 LWLWLL
16 Tondela 9 2 1 6 6 17 -11 7 WLDWLL
17 Santa Clara 9 1 3 5 7 13 -6 6 LLDLDL
18 AVS 9 0 2 7 7 28 -21 2 LLLLLD

Estoril   Guimaraes

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 19 6 13 2.7 0.5 15 3 1 52 10 48 OOOUOO
2 15 Arouca 19 7 12 1.1 2.3 4 5 10 20 44 17 UUOOUO
3 18 AVS 19 7 12 0.7 2.5 0 5 14 14 47 5 OOUUUO
4 3 Benfica 18 7 11 2.1 0.6 12 6 0 38 11 42 UOUOOU
5 5 Sp Braga 18 7 11 1.8 1.0 8 6 4 32 18 30 OUUOOU
6 6 Moreirense 19 8 11 1.4 1.4 9 3 7 26 26 30 OUUUOU
7 9 Estoril 18 7 11 1.8 1.6 6 5 7 33 29 23 OOUOOO
8 11 Rio Ave 18 7 11 1.2 1.7 4 8 6 22 31 20 OUOOOU
9 10 Alverca 18 8 10 1.1 1.6 7 2 9 19 28 23 UUOOUO
10 12 Estrela 18 8 10 1.3 1.8 4 7 7 23 32 19 OOUOOO
11 16 Casa Pia 19 9 10 1.1 2.0 3 6 10 20 38 15 UOUOOO
12 17 Tondela 18 8 10 0.7 1.7 3 3 12 12 30 12 UOOOUU
13 1 Porto 18 9 9 2.1 0.2 17 1 0 37 4 52 UOOUUU
14 13 Nacional 18 9 9 1.2 1.6 4 5 9 22 28 17 UOOOOO
15 8 Guimaraes 18 11 7 1.0 1.3 7 4 7 18 23 25 UUOUOU
16 7 Famalicao 18 12 6 1.2 0.8 7 5 6 21 14 26 OOUOUU
17 14 Santa Clara 19 13 6 0.7 1.1 4 5 10 14 21 17 UUUOUU
18 4 Gil Vicente 18 13 5 1.3 0.7 8 7 3 24 13 31 UUOOUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 9 2 7 3.3 0.3 7 1 1 30 3 22 UUOOOO
2 6 Moreirense 9 3 6 1.6 1.2 6 1 2 14 11 19 OOOOUU
3 8 Guimaraes 10 4 6 1.4 1.4 4 3 3 14 14 15 OOUOOU
4 12 Estrela 10 4 6 1.3 1.7 2 4 4 13 17 10 OUOUOO
5 13 Nacional 8 2 6 1.5 2.1 2 1 5 12 17 7 OOUOOO
6 15 Arouca 10 4 6 1.1 2.1 2 3 5 11 21 9 UUOUOO
7 3 Benfica 9 4 5 2.1 0.8 5 4 0 19 7 19 OOOUUO
8 5 Sp Braga 8 3 5 1.8 0.9 4 2 2 14 7 14 UUOOUO
9 7 Famalicao 9 4 5 1.4 0.9 3 2 4 13 8 11 UUUOOO
10 10 Alverca 10 5 5 0.9 1.4 5 1 4 9 14 16 OUUOUO
11 11 Rio Ave 9 4 5 1.1 1.7 2 3 4 10 15 9 OOUUOU
12 18 AVS 10 5 5 0.7 1.9 0 3 7 7 19 3 OUOOUU
13 1 Porto 8 4 4 2.0 0.2 7 1 0 16 2 22 UUOUOU
14 9 Estoril 9 5 4 1.9 1.3 4 3 2 17 12 15 UUOOUO
15 17 Tondela 9 5 4 0.7 1.4 1 2 6 6 13 5 OUUOOU
16 14 Santa Clara 10 7 3 0.7 0.8 3 2 5 7 8 11 UOUUUU
17 16 Casa Pia 9 6 3 1.1 2.0 0 5 4 10 18 5 OOUUUO
18 4 Gil Vicente 9 7 2 1.3 0.8 5 2 2 12 7 17 UUUOUO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 9 Estoril 9 2 7 1.8 1.9 2 2 5 16 17 8 OOUOOO
2 16 Casa Pia 10 3 7 1.0 2.0 3 1 6 10 20 10 OOUOOO
3 18 AVS 9 2 7 0.8 3.1 0 2 7 7 28 2 OUOOUO
4 2 Sp Lisbon 10 4 6 2.2 0.7 8 2 0 22 7 26 OOUOUO
5 3 Benfica 9 3 6 2.1 0.4 7 2 0 19 4 23 UOOOOU
6 5 Sp Braga 10 4 6 1.8 1.1 4 4 2 18 11 16 OOOUOU
7 11 Rio Ave 9 3 6 1.3 1.8 2 5 2 12 16 11 UOUOOO
8 15 Arouca 9 3 6 1.0 2.6 2 2 5 9 23 8 OOOUOU
9 17 Tondela 9 3 6 0.7 1.9 2 1 6 6 17 7 OOOUOU
10 1 Porto 10 5 5 2.1 0.2 10 0 0 21 2 30 OUUOUU
11 6 Moreirense 10 5 5 1.2 1.5 3 2 5 12 15 11 UOOUUO
12 10 Alverca 8 3 5 1.2 1.8 2 1 5 10 14 7 OOUUUO
13 12 Estrela 8 4 4 1.2 1.9 2 3 3 10 15 9 UUOOOO
14 4 Gil Vicente 9 6 3 1.3 0.7 3 5 1 12 6 14 OOUUUO
15 13 Nacional 10 7 3 1.0 1.1 2 4 4 10 11 10 UUUOOO
16 14 Santa Clara 9 6 3 0.8 1.4 1 3 5 7 13 6 OUUUOU
17 7 Famalicao 9 8 1 0.9 0.7 4 3 2 8 6 15 UUOUUU
18 8 Guimaraes 8 7 1 0.5 1.1 3 1 4 4 9 10 UUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47