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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Arouca 1–2 Sp Lisbon

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 12.00 fair 6.85
Draw 5.50 fair 5.57
Away ✓ 1.22 fair 1.48
Under 2.5 2.35 fair 2.93
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.52

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Arouca Sp Lisbon
11 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 7
11 Fouls 12
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (164 league matches this season so far).
Result Sp Lisbon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.73
Expected goals 1.02 – 2.37
Home / Draw / Away
AroucaDrawSp Lisbon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–2 9.7% 0–2 9.5% 1–1 8.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Arouca before this match, all matches
0.94points / match
1.06scored / match
2.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 19:42
Sp Lisbon before this match, all matches
2.50points / match
2.78scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 50:9
Arouca all matches all matches Sp Lisbon

Per match

1.06 Goals scored 2.78
2.33 Goals conceded 0.50
3.39 Total goals 3.28
9.94 Shots 19.06
2.94 Shots on target 7.44
13.72 Shots faced 8.50
3.94 Corners 6.83
5.22 Corners against 2.89
13.83 Fouls 12.56
2.94 Yellow cards 2.22
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.22
1.17 1st-half goals conceded 0.22

How often Full Time

22% Wins 78%
28% Draws 17%
50% Losses 6%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 94%
61% Over 2.5 goals 67%
56% Over 3.5 goals 33%
22% Over 4.5 goals 22%
17% Over 5.5 goals 11%
50% Both teams scored 44%
17% Clean sheets 56%
39% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 61%
33% Draws 33%
44% Losses 6%
78% Over 0.5 goals 83%
50% Over 1.5 goals 44%
33% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arouca all matches
Sp Lisbon all matches
Arouca before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.11scored / match
2.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 10:19
Sp Lisbon before this match, away
2.56points / match
2.22scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 20:6
Arouca at home away Sp Lisbon

Per match

1.11 Goals scored 2.22
2.11 Goals conceded 0.67
3.22 Total goals 2.89
10.22 Shots 17.44
3.44 Shots on target 6.67
12.78 Shots faced 9.56
4.56 Corners 7.78
5.89 Corners against 3.33
14.33 Fouls 13.22
3.33 Yellow cards 3.00
0.44 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.89 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

22% Wins 78%
33% Draws 22%
44% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
89% Over 1.5 goals 89%
56% Over 2.5 goals 56%
56% Over 3.5 goals 22%
11% Over 4.5 goals 22%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
44% Both teams scored 67%
11% Clean sheets 33%
44% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 56%
22% Draws 33%
44% Losses 11%
78% Over 0.5 goals 100%
33% Over 1.5 goals 44%
22% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arouca at home
Sp Lisbon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Arouca all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.01.26 AVS – Arouca 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.102.45 2.25 1.62
03.01.26 Tondela – Arouca 3–1 (2–1) 2.053.303.50 2.05 1.75
28.12.25 Arouca – Gil Vicente 2–2 (2–1) 3.903.201.96 2.20 1.65
21.12.25 Santa Clara – Arouca 0–0 (0–0) 1.793.254.75 2.40 1.53
14.12.25 Arouca – Alverca 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.55 2.20 1.65
07.12.25 Estrela – Arouca 3–1 (2–0) 2.103.203.50 2.10 1.70
01.12.25 Arouca – Sp Braga 0–4 (0–3) 6.503.901.49 1.80 2.00
07.11.25 Estoril – Arouca 4–3 (2–2) 1.913.603.70 1.95 1.90
02.11.25 Arouca – Moreirense 0–2 (0–2) 2.573.202.65 2.10 1.70
25.10.25 Benfica – Arouca 5–0 (3–0) 1.157.0013.00 1.44 2.70

Sp Lisbon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.01.26 Sp Lisbon – Casa Pia 3–0 (2–0) 1.176.5013.00 1.57 2.35
02.01.26 Gil Vicente – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–1) 7.004.101.42 1.85 1.95
28.12.25 Sp Lisbon – Rio Ave 4–0 (1–0) 1.117.0017.00 1.40 2.88
23.12.25 Guimaraes – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (0–2) 7.004.501.39 1.90 1.95
13.12.25 Sp Lisbon – AVS 6–0 (3–0) 1.0511.0021.00 1.33 3.40
05.12.25 Benfica – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.052.65 2.15 1.67
30.11.25 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 4–0 (3–0) 1.109.0015.00 1.40 2.88
08.11.25 Santa Clara – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (1–1) 7.004.501.39 2.05 1.80
31.10.25 Sp Lisbon – Alverca 2–0 (0–0) 1.109.0017.00 1.36 3.10
26.10.25 Tondela – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–1) 9.006.001.24 1.53 2.40

Arouca at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.12.25 Arouca – Gil Vicente 2–2 (2–1) 3.903.201.96 2.20 1.65
14.12.25 Arouca – Alverca 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.55 2.20 1.65
01.12.25 Arouca – Sp Braga 0–4 (0–3) 6.503.901.49 1.80 2.00
02.11.25 Arouca – Moreirense 0–2 (0–2) 2.573.202.65 2.10 1.70
05.10.25 Arouca – Famalicao 1–1 (0–0) 3.603.252.01 2.10 1.70
29.09.25 Arouca – Porto 0–4 (0–1) 7.504.751.35 1.75 2.05
14.09.25 Arouca – Casa Pia 0–2 (0–1) 1.913.304.00 2.15 1.67
23.08.25 Arouca – Rio Ave 3–3 (1–0) 2.003.253.90 2.05 1.80
09.08.25 Arouca – AVS 3–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.33 2.05 1.75
17.05.25 Arouca – Boavista 4–1 (3–1) 2.053.503.50 1.90 1.95

Sp Lisbon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.01.26 Gil Vicente – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–1) 7.004.101.42 1.85 1.95
23.12.25 Guimaraes – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (0–2) 7.004.501.39 1.90 1.95
05.12.25 Benfica – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.052.65 2.15 1.67
08.11.25 Santa Clara – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (1–1) 7.004.501.39 2.05 1.80
26.10.25 Tondela – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–1) 9.006.001.24 1.53 2.40
27.09.25 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–1) 9.505.501.25 1.53 2.40
13.09.25 Famalicao – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (1–1) 7.005.001.39 1.70 2.10
23.08.25 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (1–0) 9.006.001.27 1.50 2.50
08.08.25 Casa Pia – Sp Lisbon 0–2 (0–1) 9.005.001.33 1.70 2.10
10.05.25 Benfica – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.30 1.67 2.15

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Arouca winsDrawsSp Lisbon wins
9matches
3.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
44%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.08.25P1 Sp Lisbon – Arouca 6–0 (3–0) 1.296.008.50 1.57 2.35
15.02.25P1 Sp Lisbon – Arouca 2–2 (1–2) 1.255.5012.00 1.57 2.35
13.09.24P1 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–1) 13.006.001.22 1.44 2.70
10.03.24P1 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–1) 8.004.751.40 1.60 2.30
08.10.23P1 Sp Lisbon – Arouca 2–1 (1–0) 1.225.0011.00 1.60 2.30
16.04.23P1 Sp Lisbon – Arouca 1–1 (0–1) 1.207.0012.00 1.48 2.60
29.10.22P1 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 1–0 (0–0) 7.004.201.45 1.90 1.95
05.03.22P1 Sp Lisbon – Arouca 2–0 (0–0) 1.286.009.50 1.66 2.15
02.10.21P1 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (0–1) 8.504.201.40 2.00 1.80

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 18 17 1 0 37 4 +33 52 WWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 18 14 3 1 50 9 +41 45 DWWWDW
3 Benfica 18 12 6 0 38 11 +27 42 DWWDWW
4 Gil Vicente 18 8 7 3 24 13 +11 31 DDDDDW
5 Sp Braga 18 8 6 4 32 18 +14 30 WWLDDW
6 Moreirense 19 9 3 7 26 26 0 30 LDWWLW
7 Famalicao 18 7 5 6 21 14 +7 26 LWLLLW
8 Guimaraes 18 7 4 7 18 23 -5 25 DWLDWL
9 Estoril 18 6 5 7 33 29 +4 23 DLWWLW
10 Alverca 18 7 2 9 19 28 -9 23 WLLLWW
11 Rio Ave 18 4 8 6 22 31 -9 20 WLDLWL
12 Estrela 18 4 7 7 23 32 -9 19 WLDWDL
13 Nacional 18 4 5 9 22 28 -6 17 LWDLDL
14 Santa Clara 19 4 5 10 14 21 -7 17 LDLDLL
15 Arouca 18 4 5 9 19 42 -23 17 LWDDLW
16 Casa Pia 19 3 6 10 20 38 -18 15 DWDLLD
17 Tondela 18 3 3 12 12 30 -18 12 LLLWLL
18 AVS 19 0 5 14 14 47 -33 5 LDLLLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 9 7 1 1 30 3 +27 22 DWWWWW
2 Porto 8 7 1 0 16 2 +14 22 WDWWWW
3 Benfica 9 5 4 0 19 7 +12 19 WWDDWW
4 Moreirense 9 6 1 2 14 11 +3 19 WLDLWW
5 Gil Vicente 9 5 2 2 12 7 +5 17 WWLDDW
6 Alverca 10 5 1 4 9 14 -5 16 LDWLWW
7 Estoril 9 4 3 2 17 12 +5 15 LDWDWW
8 Guimaraes 10 4 3 3 14 14 0 15 LWDLWL
9 Sp Braga 8 4 2 2 14 7 +7 14 LLWWWD
10 Famalicao 9 3 2 4 13 8 +5 11 DWLLWL
11 Santa Clara 10 3 2 5 7 8 -1 11 WLWDLL
12 Estrela 10 2 4 4 13 17 -4 10 LDWDDL
13 Rio Ave 9 2 3 4 10 15 -5 9 WLDLWL
14 Arouca 9 2 3 4 10 19 -9 9 LDLLWD
15 Nacional 8 2 1 5 12 17 -5 7 LWLLWD
16 Tondela 9 1 2 6 6 13 -7 5 LLLLWL
17 Casa Pia 9 0 5 4 10 18 -8 5 DLLDDD
18 AVS 10 0 3 7 7 19 -12 3 DDLDLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 10 10 0 0 21 2 +19 30 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 9 7 2 0 19 4 +15 23 DWWWDW
3 Sp Lisbon 9 7 2 0 20 6 +14 23 WWWDWD
4 Sp Braga 10 4 4 2 18 11 +7 16 LWWLDW
5 Famalicao 9 4 3 2 8 6 +2 15 DWDLLW
6 Gil Vicente 9 3 5 1 12 6 +6 14 LWDDDD
7 Moreirense 10 3 2 5 12 15 -3 11 WLDDWL
8 Rio Ave 9 2 5 2 12 16 -4 11 DWDWDL
9 Nacional 10 2 4 4 10 11 -1 10 DDLDLL
10 Guimaraes 8 3 1 4 4 9 -5 10 WLLWWD
11 Casa Pia 10 3 1 6 10 20 -10 10 LDLWLL
12 Estrela 8 2 3 3 10 15 -5 9 DLWLLW
13 Estoril 9 2 2 5 16 17 -1 8 DWLLLW
14 Arouca 9 2 2 5 9 23 -14 8 LLLDLW
15 Alverca 8 2 1 5 10 14 -4 7 LWLWLL
16 Tondela 9 2 1 6 6 17 -11 7 WLDWLL
17 Santa Clara 9 1 3 5 7 13 -6 6 LLDLDL
18 AVS 9 0 2 7 7 28 -21 2 LLLLLD

Arouca   Sp Lisbon

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 18 6 12 2.8 0.5 14 3 1 50 9 45 UOOOUO
2 18 AVS 19 7 12 0.7 2.5 0 5 14 14 47 5 OOUUUO
3 3 Benfica 18 7 11 2.1 0.6 12 6 0 38 11 42 UOUOOU
4 5 Sp Braga 18 7 11 1.8 1.0 8 6 4 32 18 30 OUUOOU
5 6 Moreirense 19 8 11 1.4 1.4 9 3 7 26 26 30 OUUUOU
6 9 Estoril 18 7 11 1.8 1.6 6 5 7 33 29 23 OOUOOO
7 11 Rio Ave 18 7 11 1.2 1.7 4 8 6 22 31 20 OUOOOU
8 15 Arouca 18 7 11 1.1 2.3 4 5 9 19 42 17 OUUOOU
9 10 Alverca 18 8 10 1.1 1.6 7 2 9 19 28 23 UUOOUO
10 12 Estrela 18 8 10 1.3 1.8 4 7 7 23 32 19 OOUOOO
11 16 Casa Pia 19 9 10 1.1 2.0 3 6 10 20 38 15 UOUOOO
12 17 Tondela 18 8 10 0.7 1.7 3 3 12 12 30 12 UOOOUU
13 1 Porto 18 9 9 2.1 0.2 17 1 0 37 4 52 UOOUUU
14 13 Nacional 18 9 9 1.2 1.6 4 5 9 22 28 17 UOOOOO
15 8 Guimaraes 18 11 7 1.0 1.3 7 4 7 18 23 25 UUOUOU
16 7 Famalicao 18 12 6 1.2 0.8 7 5 6 21 14 26 OOUOUU
17 14 Santa Clara 19 13 6 0.7 1.1 4 5 10 14 21 17 UUUOUU
18 4 Gil Vicente 18 13 5 1.3 0.7 8 7 3 24 13 31 UUOOUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 9 2 7 3.3 0.3 7 1 1 30 3 22 UUOOOO
2 6 Moreirense 9 3 6 1.6 1.2 6 1 2 14 11 19 OOOOUU
3 8 Guimaraes 10 4 6 1.4 1.4 4 3 3 14 14 15 OOUOOU
4 12 Estrela 10 4 6 1.3 1.7 2 4 4 13 17 10 OUOUOO
5 13 Nacional 8 2 6 1.5 2.1 2 1 5 12 17 7 OOUOOO
6 3 Benfica 9 4 5 2.1 0.8 5 4 0 19 7 19 OOOUUO
7 5 Sp Braga 8 3 5 1.8 0.9 4 2 2 14 7 14 UUOOUO
8 7 Famalicao 9 4 5 1.4 0.9 3 2 4 13 8 11 UUUOOO
9 10 Alverca 10 5 5 0.9 1.4 5 1 4 9 14 16 OUUOUO
10 11 Rio Ave 9 4 5 1.1 1.7 2 3 4 10 15 9 OOUUOU
11 15 Arouca 9 4 5 1.1 2.1 2 3 4 10 19 9 OUUOUO
12 18 AVS 10 5 5 0.7 1.9 0 3 7 7 19 3 OUOOUU
13 1 Porto 8 4 4 2.0 0.2 7 1 0 16 2 22 UUOUOU
14 9 Estoril 9 5 4 1.9 1.3 4 3 2 17 12 15 UUOOUO
15 17 Tondela 9 5 4 0.7 1.4 1 2 6 6 13 5 OUUOOU
16 14 Santa Clara 10 7 3 0.7 0.8 3 2 5 7 8 11 UOUUUU
17 16 Casa Pia 9 6 3 1.1 2.0 0 5 4 10 18 5 OOUUUO
18 4 Gil Vicente 9 7 2 1.3 0.8 5 2 2 12 7 17 UUUOUO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 9 Estoril 9 2 7 1.8 1.9 2 2 5 16 17 8 OOUOOO
2 16 Casa Pia 10 3 7 1.0 2.0 3 1 6 10 20 10 OOUOOO
3 18 AVS 9 2 7 0.8 3.1 0 2 7 7 28 2 OUOOUO
4 3 Benfica 9 3 6 2.1 0.4 7 2 0 19 4 23 UOOOOU
5 5 Sp Braga 10 4 6 1.8 1.1 4 4 2 18 11 16 OOOUOU
6 11 Rio Ave 9 3 6 1.3 1.8 2 5 2 12 16 11 UOUOOO
7 15 Arouca 9 3 6 1.0 2.6 2 2 5 9 23 8 OOOUOU
8 17 Tondela 9 3 6 0.7 1.9 2 1 6 6 17 7 OOOUOU
9 1 Porto 10 5 5 2.1 0.2 10 0 0 21 2 30 OUUOUU
10 2 Sp Lisbon 9 4 5 2.2 0.7 7 2 0 20 6 23 UOOUOU
11 6 Moreirense 10 5 5 1.2 1.5 3 2 5 12 15 11 UOOUUO
12 10 Alverca 8 3 5 1.2 1.8 2 1 5 10 14 7 OOUUUO
13 12 Estrela 8 4 4 1.2 1.9 2 3 3 10 15 9 UUOOOO
14 4 Gil Vicente 9 6 3 1.3 0.7 3 5 1 12 6 14 OOUUUO
15 13 Nacional 10 7 3 1.0 1.1 2 4 4 10 11 10 UUUOOO
16 14 Santa Clara 9 6 3 0.8 1.4 1 3 5 7 13 6 OUUUOU
17 7 Famalicao 9 8 1 0.9 0.7 4 3 2 8 6 15 UUOUUU
18 8 Guimaraes 8 7 1 0.5 1.1 3 1 4 4 9 10 UUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47