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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Sp Lisbon 4–0 Rio Ave

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.11 fair 1.56
Draw 7.00 fair 5.14
Away 17.00 fair 6.06
Under 2.5 2.88 fair 2.67
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.40 fair 1.60

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sp Lisbon Rio Ave
23 Shots 5
12 Shots on target 0
8 Corners 1
13 Fouls 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (140 league matches this season so far).
Result Sp Lisbon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.75
Expected goals 2.20 – 1.03
Home / Draw / Away
Sp LisbonDrawRio Ave
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.9% 2–0 9.6% 1–1 9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Sp Lisbon before this match, all matches
2.53points / match
2.80scored / match
0.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 42:8
Rio Ave before this match, all matches
1.13points / match
1.27scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 19:24
Sp Lisbon all matches all matches Rio Ave

Per match

2.80 Goals scored 1.27
0.53 Goals conceded 1.60
3.33 Total goals 2.87
19.33 Shots 9.53
7.60 Shots on target 3.93
8.20 Shots faced 16.87
6.93 Corners 3.67
2.47 Corners against 7.07
12.47 Fouls 14.60
2.33 Yellow cards 3.20
1.20 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.27 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

80% Wins 20%
13% Draws 53%
7% Losses 27%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
93% Over 1.5 goals 87%
67% Over 2.5 goals 60%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
27% Over 4.5 goals 7%
13% Over 5.5 goals 7%
47% Both teams scored 67%
53% Clean sheets 13%
0% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 33%
40% Draws 33%
7% Losses 33%
80% Over 0.5 goals 80%
47% Over 1.5 goals 40%
20% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Lisbon all matches
Rio Ave all matches
Sp Lisbon before this match, at home
2.29points / match
3.29scored / match
0.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 23:3
Rio Ave before this match, away
1.38points / match
1.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 12:12
Sp Lisbon at home away Rio Ave

Per match

3.29 Goals scored 1.50
0.43 Goals conceded 1.50
3.71 Total goals 3.00
21.00 Shots 9.88
8.29 Shots on target 4.00
8.00 Shots faced 17.38
5.86 Corners 4.13
2.14 Corners against 7.38
11.71 Fouls 16.13
1.71 Yellow cards 3.25
1.43 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

71% Wins 25%
14% Draws 63%
14% Losses 13%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
100% Over 1.5 goals 88%
71% Over 2.5 goals 63%
43% Over 3.5 goals 38%
29% Over 4.5 goals 13%
29% Over 5.5 goals 13%
29% Both teams scored 88%
71% Clean sheets 13%
0% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 25%
43% Draws 50%
0% Losses 25%
57% Over 0.5 goals 63%
43% Over 1.5 goals 13%
43% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Lisbon at home
Rio Ave away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sp Lisbon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.12.25 Guimaraes – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (0–2) 7.004.501.39 1.90 1.95
13.12.25 Sp Lisbon – AVS 6–0 (3–0) 1.0511.0021.00 1.33 3.40
05.12.25 Benfica – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.052.65 2.15 1.67
30.11.25 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 4–0 (3–0) 1.109.0015.00 1.40 2.88
08.11.25 Santa Clara – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (1–1) 7.004.501.39 2.05 1.80
31.10.25 Sp Lisbon – Alverca 2–0 (0–0) 1.109.0017.00 1.36 3.10
26.10.25 Tondela – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–1) 9.006.001.24 1.53 2.40
05.10.25 Sp Lisbon – Sp Braga 1–1 (1–0) 1.414.337.00 1.67 2.15
27.09.25 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–1) 9.505.501.25 1.53 2.40
22.09.25 Sp Lisbon – Moreirense 3–0 (0–0) 1.177.0012.00 1.57 2.35

Rio Ave all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.25 Gil Vicente – Rio Ave 2–2 (1–1) 1.683.505.00 2.10 1.70
13.12.25 Rio Ave – Guimaraes 0–1 (0–1) 2.653.202.55 2.05 1.75
06.12.25 AVS – Rio Ave 1–2 (0–1) 2.953.252.35 2.10 1.70
30.11.25 Rio Ave – Santa Clara 1–1 (1–1) 2.953.052.45 2.40 1.53
08.11.25 Alverca – Rio Ave 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.20 2.15 1.67
01.11.25 Rio Ave – Estoril 0–4 (0–2) 2.353.202.95 2.00 1.85
25.10.25 Estrela – Rio Ave 1–2 (1–0) 2.573.202.70 2.15 1.67
05.10.25 Rio Ave – Tondela 3–0 (2–0) 2.253.403.00 1.98 1.88
28.09.25 Famalicao – Rio Ave 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.804.10 2.00 1.85
23.09.25 Benfica – Rio Ave 1–1 (0–0) 1.177.0011.00 1.40 2.88

Sp Lisbon at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.25 Sp Lisbon – AVS 6–0 (3–0) 1.0511.0021.00 1.33 3.40
30.11.25 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 4–0 (3–0) 1.109.0015.00 1.40 2.88
31.10.25 Sp Lisbon – Alverca 2–0 (0–0) 1.109.0017.00 1.36 3.10
05.10.25 Sp Lisbon – Sp Braga 1–1 (1–0) 1.414.337.00 1.67 2.15
22.09.25 Sp Lisbon – Moreirense 3–0 (0–0) 1.177.0012.00 1.57 2.35
30.08.25 Sp Lisbon – Porto 1–2 (0–0) 1.963.503.60 1.85 2.00
17.08.25 Sp Lisbon – Arouca 6–0 (3–0) 1.296.008.50 1.57 2.35
17.05.25 Sp Lisbon – Guimaraes 2–0 (0–0) 1.255.5012.00 1.53 2.40
04.05.25 Sp Lisbon – Gil Vicente 2–1 (0–1) 1.137.5021.00 1.50 2.50
18.04.25 Sp Lisbon – Moreirense 3–1 (2–0) 1.226.0013.00 1.65 2.20

Rio Ave away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.25 Gil Vicente – Rio Ave 2–2 (1–1) 1.683.505.00 2.10 1.70
06.12.25 AVS – Rio Ave 1–2 (0–1) 2.953.252.35 2.10 1.70
08.11.25 Alverca – Rio Ave 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.20 2.15 1.67
25.10.25 Estrela – Rio Ave 1–2 (1–0) 2.573.202.70 2.15 1.67
28.09.25 Famalicao – Rio Ave 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.804.10 2.00 1.85
23.09.25 Benfica – Rio Ave 1–1 (0–0) 1.177.0011.00 1.40 2.88
13.09.25 Moreirense – Rio Ave 3–1 (0–0) 2.503.003.00 2.25 1.62
23.08.25 Arouca – Rio Ave 3–3 (1–0) 2.003.253.90 2.05 1.80
10.05.25 Nacional – Rio Ave 3–3 (0–3) 1.953.503.75 1.93 1.93
27.04.25 Guimaraes – Rio Ave 3–0 (3–0) 1.534.106.25 1.85 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sp Lisbon winsDrawsRio Ave wins
6matches
3.17goals / match
67%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.25P1 Rio Ave – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–2) 9.505.501.30 1.53 2.40
09.08.24P1 Sp Lisbon – Rio Ave 3–1 (2–0) 1.178.0013.00 1.44 2.70
25.02.24P1 Rio Ave – Sp Lisbon 3–3 (2–2) 8.005.001.36 1.70 2.10
25.09.23P1 Sp Lisbon – Rio Ave 2–0 (2–0) 1.206.0015.00 1.57 2.35
06.02.23P1 Rio Ave – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–0) 7.004.331.50 1.73 2.08
13.08.22P1 Sp Lisbon – Rio Ave 3–0 (1–0) 1.226.0011.00 1.70 2.10

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 15 14 1 0 33 4 +29 43 WWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 15 12 2 1 42 8 +34 38 WWWDWW
3 Benfica 16 10 6 0 33 10 +23 36 DWDWWD
4 Gil Vicente 16 7 6 3 21 11 +10 27 DLDDDD
5 Sp Braga 16 7 5 4 28 15 +13 26 WWWWLD
6 Famalicao 16 6 5 5 20 13 +7 23 LDLWLL
7 Guimaraes 16 6 4 6 16 21 -5 22 WWDWLD
8 Moreirense 15 6 3 6 21 24 -3 21 WLDDLD
9 Estoril 16 5 5 6 27 26 +1 20 WLDLWW
10 Estrela 16 4 6 6 20 24 -4 18 DLWLDW
11 Rio Ave 15 3 8 4 19 24 -5 17 LDDWLD
12 Alverca 16 5 2 9 16 27 -11 17 DWWLLL
13 Nacional 15 4 4 7 17 21 -4 16 LDLLWD
14 Santa Clara 15 4 4 7 11 15 -4 16 LLDWLD
15 Casa Pia 16 3 5 8 16 29 -13 14 DLLDWD
16 Arouca 16 3 5 8 17 39 -22 14 LLLWDD
17 Tondela 15 2 3 10 9 27 -18 9 DLWLLL
18 AVS 15 0 4 11 11 39 -28 4 DDLLLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 7 6 1 0 14 2 +12 19 WWDWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 7 5 1 1 23 3 +20 16 LWDWWW
3 Benfica 8 4 4 0 16 6 +10 16 DWWDDW
4 Estoril 9 4 3 2 17 12 +5 15 LDWDWW
5 Sp Braga 8 4 2 2 14 7 +7 14 LLWWWD
6 Gil Vicente 7 4 1 2 9 5 +4 13 WWWWLD
7 Moreirense 7 4 1 2 12 11 +1 13 WWWLDL
8 Guimaraes 8 3 3 2 12 12 0 12 DWLWDL
9 Famalicao 9 3 2 4 13 8 +5 11 DWLLWL
10 Santa Clara 8 3 2 3 7 6 +1 11 WLWLWD
11 Alverca 8 3 1 4 6 13 -7 10 WWLDWL
12 Estrela 8 2 3 3 10 9 +1 9 LWLDWD
13 Arouca 9 2 3 4 10 19 -9 9 LDLLWD
14 Nacional 7 2 0 5 9 14 -5 6 LLWLLW
15 Rio Ave 7 1 3 3 7 12 -5 6 DLWLDL
16 Casa Pia 8 0 4 4 7 15 -8 4 DDLLDD
17 AVS 8 0 3 5 7 16 -9 3 LLDDLD
18 Tondela 7 0 2 5 3 11 -8 2 DDLLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 8 8 0 0 19 2 +17 24 WWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 8 7 1 0 19 5 +14 22 WWWWDW
3 Benfica 8 6 2 0 17 4 +13 20 WDWWWD
4 Gil Vicente 9 3 5 1 12 6 +6 14 LWDDDD
5 Sp Braga 8 3 3 2 14 8 +6 12 DDLWWL
6 Famalicao 7 3 3 1 7 5 +2 12 WDDWDL
7 Rio Ave 8 2 5 1 12 12 0 11 DDWDWD
8 Nacional 8 2 4 2 8 7 +1 10 LWDDLD
9 Casa Pia 8 3 1 4 9 14 -5 10 WLLDLW
10 Guimaraes 8 3 1 4 4 9 -5 10 WLLWWD
11 Estrela 8 2 3 3 10 15 -5 9 DLWLLW
12 Moreirense 8 2 2 4 9 13 -4 8 LLWLDD
13 Alverca 8 2 1 5 10 14 -4 7 LWLWLL
14 Tondela 8 2 1 5 6 16 -10 7 LWLDWL
15 Estoril 7 1 2 4 10 14 -4 5 DLDWLL
16 Santa Clara 7 1 2 4 4 9 -5 5 WDLLDL
17 Arouca 7 1 2 4 7 20 -13 5 DWLLLD
18 AVS 7 0 1 6 4 23 -19 1 DLLLLL

Sp Lisbon   Rio Ave

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 18 AVS 15 4 11 0.7 2.6 0 4 11 11 39 4 OUOOOO
2 2 Sp Lisbon 15 5 10 2.8 0.5 12 2 1 42 8 38 UOOUOO
3 3 Benfica 16 6 10 2.1 0.6 10 6 0 33 10 36 OOUOUO
4 5 Sp Braga 16 6 10 1.8 0.9 7 5 4 28 15 26 OOOUUO
5 8 Moreirense 15 5 10 1.4 1.6 6 3 6 21 24 21 UOOOOU
6 16 Arouca 16 6 10 1.1 2.4 3 5 8 17 39 14 OOOUUO
7 1 Porto 15 6 9 2.2 0.3 14 1 0 33 4 43 OUUUOO
8 9 Estoril 16 7 9 1.7 1.6 5 5 6 27 26 20 OUOOUO
9 11 Rio Ave 15 6 9 1.3 1.6 3 8 4 19 24 17 OUUOUO
10 12 Alverca 16 7 9 1.0 1.7 5 2 9 16 27 17 UUUUOO
11 17 Tondela 15 6 9 0.6 1.8 2 3 10 9 27 9 OUUUOO
12 10 Estrela 16 8 8 1.2 1.5 4 6 6 20 24 18 UOOOUO
13 15 Casa Pia 16 9 7 1.0 1.8 3 5 8 16 29 14 OUUUOU
14 6 Famalicao 16 10 6 1.2 0.8 6 5 5 20 13 23 UOOOUO
15 7 Guimaraes 16 10 6 1.0 1.3 6 4 6 16 21 22 UOUUOU
16 13 Nacional 15 9 6 1.1 1.4 4 4 7 17 21 16 UUOUOO
17 14 Santa Clara 15 10 5 0.7 1.0 4 4 7 11 15 16 UOUUUU
18 4 Gil Vicente 16 12 4 1.3 0.7 7 6 3 21 11 27 UUUUOO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 8 Moreirense 7 1 6 1.7 1.6 4 1 2 12 11 13 UOOOOO
2 2 Sp Lisbon 7 2 5 3.3 0.4 5 1 1 23 3 16 OOUUOO
3 5 Sp Braga 8 3 5 1.8 0.9 4 2 2 14 7 14 UUOOUO
4 6 Famalicao 9 4 5 1.4 0.9 3 2 4 13 8 11 UUUOOO
5 7 Guimaraes 8 3 5 1.5 1.5 3 3 2 12 12 12 UOOOUO
6 13 Nacional 7 2 5 1.3 2.0 2 0 5 9 14 6 OOOUOO
7 16 Arouca 9 4 5 1.1 2.1 2 3 4 10 19 9 OUUOUO
8 18 AVS 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 0 3 5 7 16 3 OOOUOO
9 1 Porto 7 3 4 2.0 0.3 6 1 0 14 2 19 OUUOUO
10 3 Benfica 8 4 4 2.0 0.8 4 4 0 16 6 16 UOOOUU
11 9 Estoril 9 5 4 1.9 1.3 4 3 2 17 12 15 UUOOUO
12 10 Estrela 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 2 3 3 10 9 9 UOOUOU
13 11 Rio Ave 7 3 4 1.0 1.7 1 3 3 7 12 6 OOOOUU
14 12 Alverca 8 4 4 0.8 1.6 3 1 4 6 13 10 UUOUUO
15 14 Santa Clara 8 5 3 0.9 0.8 3 2 3 7 6 11 OOUOUU
16 17 Tondela 7 4 3 0.4 1.6 0 2 5 3 11 2 OUOUUO
17 15 Casa Pia 8 6 2 0.9 1.9 0 4 4 7 15 4 UOOUUU
18 4 Gil Vicente 7 6 1 1.3 0.7 4 1 2 9 5 13 UUUUUO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Benfica 8 2 6 2.1 0.5 6 2 0 17 4 20 OUOOOO
2 17 Tondela 8 2 6 0.8 2.0 2 1 5 6 16 7 UOOOUO
3 18 AVS 7 1 6 0.6 3.3 0 1 6 4 23 1 OOOUOO
4 1 Porto 8 3 5 2.4 0.2 8 0 0 19 2 24 OOOUUO
5 2 Sp Lisbon 8 3 5 2.4 0.6 7 1 0 19 5 22 OUOOUO
6 5 Sp Braga 8 3 5 1.8 1.0 3 3 2 14 8 12 UUOOOU
7 9 Estoril 7 2 5 1.4 2.0 1 2 4 10 14 5 OUOOUO
8 11 Rio Ave 8 3 5 1.5 1.5 2 5 1 12 12 11 UUOUOO
9 12 Alverca 8 3 5 1.2 1.8 2 1 5 10 14 7 OOUUUO
10 15 Casa Pia 8 3 5 1.1 1.8 3 1 4 9 14 10 UOOOUO
11 16 Arouca 7 2 5 1.0 2.9 1 2 4 7 20 5 UOOOOU
12 8 Moreirense 8 4 4 1.1 1.6 2 2 4 9 13 8 OOUOOU
13 10 Estrela 8 4 4 1.2 1.9 2 3 3 10 15 9 UUOOOO
14 4 Gil Vicente 9 6 3 1.3 0.7 3 5 1 12 6 14 OOUUUO
15 14 Santa Clara 7 5 2 0.6 1.3 1 2 4 4 9 5 UUOUUU
16 6 Famalicao 7 6 1 1.0 0.7 3 3 1 7 5 12 UUUUOU
17 7 Guimaraes 8 7 1 0.5 1.1 3 1 4 4 9 10 UUUUUU
18 13 Nacional 8 7 1 1.0 0.9 2 4 2 8 7 10 UUUUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10