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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Porto 1–1 Sp Lisbon

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.25 fair 2.40
Draw ✓ 3.00 fair 3.81
Away 3.40 fair 3.11
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.92
Over 2.5 2.25 fair 2.08

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Porto Sp Lisbon
8 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 3
1 Corners 8
14 Fouls 12
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (188 league matches this season so far).
Result Porto to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.40 – 1.20
Home / Draw / Away
PortoDrawSp Lisbon
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.5% 1–0 10.5% 0–1 8.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Porto before this match, all matches
2.75points / match
2.05scored / match
0.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 41:6
Sp Lisbon before this match, all matches
2.55points / match
2.70scored / match
0.55conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 54:11
Porto all matches all matches Sp Lisbon

Per match

2.05 Goals scored 2.70
0.30 Goals conceded 0.55
2.35 Total goals 3.25
14.40 Shots 18.70
5.55 Shots on target 7.25
9.90 Shots faced 8.50
5.55 Corners 7.05
2.75 Corners against 2.80
13.70 Fouls 12.50
2.30 Yellow cards 2.20
0.85 1st-half goals scored 1.15
0.15 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

90% Wins 80%
5% Draws 15%
5% Losses 5%
95% Over 0.5 goals 100%
70% Over 1.5 goals 95%
55% Over 2.5 goals 70%
15% Over 3.5 goals 30%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 10%
25% Both teams scored 50%
75% Clean sheets 50%
5% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 60%
35% Draws 35%
5% Losses 5%
70% Over 0.5 goals 80%
25% Over 1.5 goals 40%
5% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Porto all matches
Sp Lisbon all matches
Porto before this match, at home
2.78points / match
2.11scored / match
0.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 19:2
Sp Lisbon before this match, away
2.60points / match
2.20scored / match
0.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 22:7
Porto at home away Sp Lisbon

Per match

2.11 Goals scored 2.20
0.22 Goals conceded 0.70
2.33 Total goals 2.90
14.33 Shots 17.20
5.44 Shots on target 6.40
7.89 Shots faced 9.70
5.67 Corners 7.70
2.67 Corners against 3.40
12.67 Fouls 13.10
2.22 Yellow cards 3.10
1.11 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

89% Wins 80%
11% Draws 20%
0% Losses 0%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 90%
56% Over 2.5 goals 60%
22% Over 3.5 goals 20%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
22% Both teams scored 70%
78% Clean sheets 30%
11% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

78% Wins 60%
22% Draws 30%
0% Losses 10%
78% Over 0.5 goals 100%
22% Over 1.5 goals 40%
11% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Porto at home
Sp Lisbon away

Last 10 matches before this match

Porto all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.02.26 Casa Pia – Porto 2–1 (2–0) 12.005.001.25 1.80 2.00
26.01.26 Porto – Gil Vicente 3–0 (1–0) 1.354.508.50 2.03 1.83
18.01.26 Guimaraes – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 7.004.101.45 2.05 1.75
04.01.26 Santa Clara – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 8.004.001.42 2.25 1.62
29.12.25 Porto – AVS 2–0 (0–0) 1.107.0019.00 1.44 2.70
22.12.25 Alverca – Porto 0–3 (0–1) 9.004.751.33 1.93 1.93
15.12.25 Porto – Estrela 3–1 (1–0) 1.155.7515.00 1.60 2.30
07.12.25 Tondela – Porto 0–2 (0–0) 11.005.751.22 1.73 2.08
30.11.25 Porto – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 1.225.5012.00 1.57 2.35
09.11.25 Famalicao – Porto 0–1 (0–1) 5.503.901.56 2.00 1.85

Sp Lisbon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–1 (0–0) 1.108.0019.00 1.36 3.10
24.01.26 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (0–1) 12.005.501.22 1.57 2.35
16.01.26 Sp Lisbon – Casa Pia 3–0 (2–0) 1.176.5013.00 1.57 2.35
02.01.26 Gil Vicente – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–1) 7.004.101.42 1.85 1.95
28.12.25 Sp Lisbon – Rio Ave 4–0 (1–0) 1.117.0017.00 1.40 2.88
23.12.25 Guimaraes – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (0–2) 7.004.501.39 1.90 1.95
13.12.25 Sp Lisbon – AVS 6–0 (3–0) 1.0511.0021.00 1.33 3.40
05.12.25 Benfica – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.052.65 2.15 1.67
30.11.25 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 4–0 (3–0) 1.109.0015.00 1.40 2.88
08.11.25 Santa Clara – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (1–1) 7.004.501.39 2.05 1.80

Porto at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.01.26 Porto – Gil Vicente 3–0 (1–0) 1.354.508.50 2.03 1.83
29.12.25 Porto – AVS 2–0 (0–0) 1.107.0019.00 1.44 2.70
15.12.25 Porto – Estrela 3–1 (1–0) 1.155.7515.00 1.60 2.30
30.11.25 Porto – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 1.225.5012.00 1.57 2.35
02.11.25 Porto – Sp Braga 2–1 (1–0) 1.494.006.25 1.98 1.88
05.10.25 Porto – Benfica 0–0 (0–0) 2.013.403.70 2.05 1.80
13.09.25 Porto – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.156.5017.00 1.57 2.35
24.08.25 Porto – Casa Pia 4–0 (3–0) 1.206.0015.00 1.65 2.20
11.08.25 Porto – Guimaraes 3–0 (2–0) 1.573.905.75 1.80 2.00
17.05.25 Porto – Nacional 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.259.50 1.57 2.35

Sp Lisbon away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.26 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (0–1) 12.005.501.22 1.57 2.35
02.01.26 Gil Vicente – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–1) 7.004.101.42 1.85 1.95
23.12.25 Guimaraes – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (0–2) 7.004.501.39 1.90 1.95
05.12.25 Benfica – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.052.65 2.15 1.67
08.11.25 Santa Clara – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (1–1) 7.004.501.39 2.05 1.80
26.10.25 Tondela – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–1) 9.006.001.24 1.53 2.40
27.09.25 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–1) 9.505.501.25 1.53 2.40
13.09.25 Famalicao – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (1–1) 7.005.001.39 1.70 2.10
23.08.25 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (1–0) 9.006.001.27 1.50 2.50
08.08.25 Casa Pia – Sp Lisbon 0–2 (0–1) 9.005.001.33 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Porto winsDrawsSp Lisbon wins
9matches
2.78goals / match
56%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.25P1 Sp Lisbon – Porto 1–2 (0–0) 1.963.503.60 1.85 2.00
07.02.25P1 Porto – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.102.55 2.15 1.67
31.08.24P1 Sp Lisbon – Porto 2–0 (0–0) 1.753.804.33 1.70 2.10
28.04.24P1 Porto – Sp Lisbon 2–2 (2–0) 2.633.302.70 1.83 2.03
18.12.23P1 Sp Lisbon – Porto 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 2.03 1.83
12.02.23P1 Sp Lisbon – Porto 1–2 (0–0) 2.603.252.55 2.05 1.80
20.08.22P1 Porto – Sp Lisbon 3–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 1.98 1.88
11.02.22P1 Porto – Sp Lisbon 2–2 (1–2) 2.003.304.00 2.10 1.70
11.09.21P1 Sp Lisbon – Porto 1–1 (1–0) 2.603.202.70 2.07 1.72

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 20 18 1 1 41 6 +35 55 WWWWWL
2 Sp Lisbon 20 16 3 1 54 11 +43 51 WWDWWW
3 Benfica 21 14 7 0 44 12 +32 49 DWWWDW
4 Sp Braga 21 11 6 4 44 18 +26 39 DDWWWW
5 Gil Vicente 21 10 7 4 31 17 +14 37 DDWLWW
6 Famalicao 21 9 5 7 27 20 +7 32 LLWWLW
7 Estoril 21 8 6 7 43 35 +8 30 WLWWWD
8 Moreirense 21 9 3 9 27 29 -2 30 WWLWLL
9 Guimaraes 21 8 4 9 23 30 -7 28 DWLLWL
10 Alverca 21 7 3 11 21 36 -15 24 LWWLDL
11 Estrela 21 5 8 8 25 37 -12 23 WDLLDW
12 Arouca 21 6 5 10 26 46 -20 23 DLWLWW
13 Nacional 21 5 6 10 27 30 -3 21 LDLWLD
14 Rio Ave 21 4 8 9 22 41 -19 20 LWLLLL
15 Casa Pia 21 4 7 10 22 39 -17 19 DLLDWD
16 Santa Clara 21 4 5 12 16 26 -10 17 LDLLLL
17 Tondela 21 3 5 13 14 35 -21 14 WLLLDD
18 AVS 21 0 5 16 15 54 -39 5 LLLDLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 10 8 1 1 32 4 +28 25 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 11 7 4 0 25 8 +17 25 DDWWWW
3 Porto 9 8 1 0 19 2 +17 25 DWWWWW
4 Sp Braga 10 6 2 2 22 7 +15 20 WWWDWW
5 Gil Vicente 10 6 2 2 17 7 +10 20 WLDDWW
6 Estoril 11 5 4 2 23 16 +7 19 WDWWWD
7 Moreirense 10 6 1 3 15 13 +2 19 LDLWWL
8 Guimaraes 11 5 3 3 15 14 +1 18 WDLWLW
9 Famalicao 11 5 2 4 19 9 +10 17 LLWLWW
10 Alverca 11 5 2 4 10 15 -5 17 DWLWWD
11 Estrela 11 3 4 4 14 17 -3 13 DWDDLW
12 Arouca 11 3 3 5 14 23 -9 12 LLWDLW
13 Nacional 10 3 2 5 16 17 -1 11 LLWDWD
14 Santa Clara 11 3 2 6 9 12 -3 11 LWDLLL
15 Rio Ave 10 2 3 5 10 18 -8 9 LDLWLL
16 Casa Pia 10 1 5 4 12 19 -7 8 LLDDDW
17 Tondela 10 1 3 6 6 13 -7 6 LLLWLD
18 AVS 11 0 3 8 7 23 -16 3 DLDLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 11 10 0 1 22 4 +18 30 WWWWWL
2 Sp Lisbon 10 8 2 0 22 7 +15 26 WWDWDW
3 Benfica 10 7 3 0 19 4 +15 24 WWWDWD
4 Sp Braga 11 5 4 2 22 11 +11 19 WWLDWW
5 Gil Vicente 11 4 5 2 14 10 +4 17 DDDDLW
6 Famalicao 10 4 3 3 8 11 -3 15 WDLLWL
7 Estoril 10 3 2 5 20 19 +1 11 WLLLWW
8 Moreirense 11 3 2 6 12 16 -4 11 LDDWLL
9 Casa Pia 11 3 2 6 10 20 -10 11 DLWLLD
10 Arouca 10 3 2 5 12 23 -11 11 LLDLWW
11 Rio Ave 11 2 5 4 12 23 -11 11 DWDLLL
12 Nacional 11 2 4 5 11 13 -2 10 DLDLLL
13 Guimaraes 10 3 1 6 8 16 -8 10 LWWDLL
14 Estrela 10 2 4 4 11 20 -9 10 WLLWLD
15 Tondela 11 2 2 7 8 22 -14 8 DWLLLD
16 Alverca 10 2 1 7 11 21 -10 7 LWLLLL
17 Santa Clara 10 1 3 6 7 14 -7 6 LDLDLL
18 AVS 10 0 2 8 8 31 -23 2 LLLLDL

Porto   Sp Lisbon

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 20 6 14 2.7 0.6 16 3 1 54 11 51 OOUOOO
2 4 Sp Braga 21 7 14 2.1 0.9 11 6 4 44 18 39 OOUOOO
3 7 Estoril 21 7 14 2.0 1.7 8 6 7 43 35 30 OOOOOO
4 12 Arouca 21 7 14 1.2 2.2 6 5 10 26 46 23 OOUOOO
5 14 Rio Ave 21 7 14 1.0 2.0 4 8 9 22 41 20 OOUOOO
6 18 AVS 21 7 14 0.7 2.6 0 5 16 15 54 5 UUUOOO
7 3 Benfica 21 8 13 2.1 0.6 14 7 0 44 12 49 OOUOUO
8 8 Moreirense 21 9 12 1.3 1.4 9 3 9 27 29 30 UUOUUO
9 10 Alverca 21 9 12 1.0 1.7 7 3 11 21 36 24 OUOOUO
10 17 Tondela 21 9 12 0.7 1.7 3 5 13 14 35 14 OUUOUO
11 1 Porto 20 9 11 2.0 0.3 18 1 1 41 6 55 OUUUOO
12 11 Estrela 21 10 11 1.2 1.8 5 8 8 25 37 23 OOOOUU
13 13 Nacional 21 10 11 1.3 1.4 5 6 10 27 30 21 OOOOOU
14 15 Casa Pia 21 10 11 1.0 1.9 4 7 10 22 39 19 UOOOOU
15 6 Famalicao 21 12 9 1.3 1.0 9 5 7 27 20 32 OUUOOO
16 9 Guimaraes 21 12 9 1.1 1.4 8 4 9 23 30 28 UOUOUO
17 5 Gil Vicente 21 13 8 1.5 0.8 10 7 4 31 17 37 OUOOOO
18 16 Santa Clara 21 14 7 0.8 1.2 4 5 12 16 26 17 UOUUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 10 2 8 3.2 0.4 8 1 1 32 4 25 UOOOOO
2 3 Benfica 11 4 7 2.3 0.7 7 4 0 25 8 25 OUUOOO
3 4 Sp Braga 10 3 7 2.2 0.7 6 2 2 22 7 20 OOUOOO
4 6 Famalicao 11 4 7 1.7 0.8 5 2 4 19 9 17 UOOOOO
5 8 Moreirense 10 3 7 1.5 1.3 6 1 3 15 13 19 OOOUUO
6 12 Arouca 11 4 7 1.3 2.1 3 3 5 14 23 12 UOUOOO
7 13 Nacional 10 3 7 1.6 1.7 3 2 5 16 17 11 UOOOOU
8 7 Estoril 11 5 6 2.1 1.5 5 4 2 23 16 19 OOUOOO
9 9 Guimaraes 11 5 6 1.4 1.3 5 3 3 15 14 18 OUOOUU
10 11 Estrela 11 5 6 1.3 1.5 3 4 4 14 17 13 UOUOOU
11 14 Rio Ave 10 4 6 1.0 1.8 2 3 5 10 18 9 OUUOUO
12 18 AVS 11 5 6 0.6 2.1 0 3 8 7 23 3 UOOUUO
13 1 Porto 9 4 5 2.1 0.2 8 1 0 19 2 25 UOUOUO
14 10 Alverca 11 6 5 0.9 1.4 5 2 4 10 15 17 UUOUOU
15 15 Casa Pia 10 6 4 1.2 1.9 1 5 4 12 19 8 OUUUOO
16 16 Santa Clara 11 7 4 0.8 1.1 3 2 6 9 12 11 OUUUUO
17 17 Tondela 10 6 4 0.6 1.3 1 3 6 6 13 6 UUOOUU
18 5 Gil Vicente 10 7 3 1.7 0.7 6 2 2 17 7 20 UUOUOO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 7 Estoril 10 2 8 2.0 1.9 3 2 5 20 19 11 OUOOOO
2 14 Rio Ave 11 3 8 1.1 2.1 2 5 4 12 23 11 UOOOOO
3 17 Tondela 11 3 8 0.7 2.0 2 2 7 8 22 8 OUOUOO
4 18 AVS 10 2 8 0.8 3.1 0 2 8 8 31 2 UOOUOO
5 4 Sp Braga 11 4 7 2.0 1.0 5 4 2 22 11 19 OOUOUO
6 10 Alverca 10 3 7 1.1 2.1 2 1 7 11 21 7 UUUOOO
7 12 Arouca 10 3 7 1.2 2.3 3 2 5 12 23 11 OOUOUO
8 15 Casa Pia 11 4 7 0.9 1.8 3 2 6 10 20 11 OUOOOU
9 1 Porto 11 5 6 2.0 0.4 10 0 1 22 4 30 UUOUUO
10 2 Sp Lisbon 10 4 6 2.2 0.7 8 2 0 22 7 26 OOUOUO
11 3 Benfica 10 4 6 1.9 0.4 7 3 0 19 4 24 OOOOUU
12 5 Gil Vicente 11 6 5 1.3 0.9 4 5 2 14 10 17 UUUOOO
13 8 Moreirense 11 6 5 1.1 1.5 3 2 6 12 16 11 OOUUOU
14 11 Estrela 10 5 5 1.1 2.0 2 4 4 11 20 10 OOOOOU
15 13 Nacional 11 7 4 1.0 1.2 2 4 5 11 13 10 UUOOOO
16 9 Guimaraes 10 7 3 0.8 1.6 3 1 6 8 16 10 UUUUOO
17 16 Santa Clara 10 7 3 0.7 1.4 1 3 6 7 14 6 UUUOUU
18 6 Famalicao 10 8 2 0.8 1.1 4 3 3 8 11 15 UOUUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10