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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Nacional 0–1 Porto

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 9.50 fair 4.39
Draw 4.50 fair 4.14
Away ✓ 1.30 fair 1.88
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 2.03
Over 2.5 1.75 fair 1.97

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nacional Porto
9 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 5
5 Corners 8
13 Fouls 11
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (194 league matches this season so far).
Result Porto to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.02 – 1.69
Home / Draw / Away
NacionalDrawPorto
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 0–1 11.3% 1–2 9.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Nacional before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.29scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 27:30
Porto before this match, all matches
2.67points / match
2.00scored / match
0.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 42:7
Nacional all matches all matches Porto

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 2.00
1.43 Goals conceded 0.33
2.71 Total goals 2.33
12.14 Shots 14.10
4.00 Shots on target 5.33
15.05 Shots faced 9.95
4.24 Corners 5.33
6.24 Corners against 3.00
15.05 Fouls 13.71
2.86 Yellow cards 2.33
0.52 1st-half goals scored 0.81
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.14

How often Full Time

24% Wins 86%
29% Draws 10%
48% Losses 5%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
76% Over 1.5 goals 71%
52% Over 2.5 goals 52%
29% Over 3.5 goals 14%
14% Over 4.5 goals 0%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
62% Both teams scored 29%
19% Clean sheets 71%
24% Failed to score 5%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 57%
48% Draws 38%
24% Losses 5%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
29% Over 1.5 goals 24%
5% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional all matches
Porto all matches
Nacional before this match, at home
1.10points / match
1.60scored / match
1.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 16:17
Porto before this match, away
2.73points / match
2.00scored / match
0.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 22:4
Nacional at home away Porto

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 2.00
1.70 Goals conceded 0.36
3.30 Total goals 2.36
12.00 Shots 14.45
4.10 Shots on target 5.64
17.30 Shots faced 11.55
4.90 Corners 5.45
7.30 Corners against 2.82
14.40 Fouls 14.55
3.10 Yellow cards 2.36
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.64
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.27

How often Full Time

30% Wins 91%
20% Draws 0%
50% Losses 9%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 73%
70% Over 2.5 goals 55%
50% Over 3.5 goals 9%
30% Over 4.5 goals 0%
10% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 27%
20% Clean sheets 73%
30% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 45%
60% Draws 45%
20% Losses 9%
60% Over 0.5 goals 64%
30% Over 1.5 goals 27%
10% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional at home
Porto away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.26 Nacional – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.103.75 2.10 1.70
01.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–1 (0–0) 1.108.0019.00 1.36 3.10
25.01.26 Nacional – Rio Ave 4–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 1.95 1.85
17.01.26 Gil Vicente – Nacional 2–1 (1–1) 1.613.605.50 2.00 1.80
11.01.26 Nacional – Santa Clara 3–3 (2–2) 2.703.002.70 2.50 1.50
02.01.26 Guimaraes – Nacional 2–1 (0–0) 1.813.304.50 2.15 1.67
21.12.25 AVS – Nacional 2–2 (2–0) 3.203.302.20 2.15 1.67
15.12.25 Nacional – Tondela 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.053.05 2.10 1.70
07.12.25 Alverca – Nacional 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.203.60 2.20 1.65
29.11.25 Nacional – Benfica 1–2 (0–0) 7.005.001.35 1.70 2.10

Porto all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.02.26 Porto – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.003.40 2.25 1.62
02.02.26 Casa Pia – Porto 2–1 (2–0) 12.005.001.25 1.80 2.00
26.01.26 Porto – Gil Vicente 3–0 (1–0) 1.354.508.50 2.03 1.83
18.01.26 Guimaraes – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 7.004.101.45 2.05 1.75
04.01.26 Santa Clara – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 8.004.001.42 2.25 1.62
29.12.25 Porto – AVS 2–0 (0–0) 1.107.0019.00 1.44 2.70
22.12.25 Alverca – Porto 0–3 (0–1) 9.004.751.33 1.93 1.93
15.12.25 Porto – Estrela 3–1 (1–0) 1.155.7515.00 1.60 2.30
07.12.25 Tondela – Porto 0–2 (0–0) 11.005.751.22 1.73 2.08
30.11.25 Porto – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 1.225.5012.00 1.57 2.35

Nacional at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.26 Nacional – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.103.75 2.10 1.70
25.01.26 Nacional – Rio Ave 4–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 1.95 1.85
11.01.26 Nacional – Santa Clara 3–3 (2–2) 2.703.002.70 2.50 1.50
15.12.25 Nacional – Tondela 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.053.05 2.10 1.70
29.11.25 Nacional – Benfica 1–2 (0–0) 7.005.001.35 1.70 2.10
01.11.25 Nacional – Famalicao 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.252.20 2.05 1.75
04.10.25 Nacional – Moreirense 3–2 (1–1) 2.323.103.10 2.35 1.57
20.09.25 Nacional – Arouca 1–2 (0–0) 2.453.102.85 2.08 1.73
23.08.25 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (1–0) 9.006.001.27 1.50 2.50
09.08.25 Nacional – Gil Vicente 0–2 (0–2) 2.503.102.90 2.10 1.70

Porto away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.02.26 Casa Pia – Porto 2–1 (2–0) 12.005.001.25 1.80 2.00
18.01.26 Guimaraes – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 7.004.101.45 2.05 1.75
04.01.26 Santa Clara – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 8.004.001.42 2.25 1.62
22.12.25 Alverca – Porto 0–3 (0–1) 9.004.751.33 1.93 1.93
07.12.25 Tondela – Porto 0–2 (0–0) 11.005.751.22 1.73 2.08
09.11.25 Famalicao – Porto 0–1 (0–1) 5.503.901.56 2.00 1.85
27.10.25 Moreirense – Porto 1–2 (1–1) 9.505.501.27 1.83 2.03
29.09.25 Arouca – Porto 0–4 (0–1) 7.504.751.35 1.75 2.05
19.09.25 Rio Ave – Porto 0–3 (0–2) 8.005.001.30 1.67 2.15
30.08.25 Sp Lisbon – Porto 1–2 (0–0) 1.963.503.60 1.85 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nacional winsDrawsPorto wins
3matches
2.00goals / match
33%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25P1 Porto – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.156.5017.00 1.57 2.35
17.05.25P1 Porto – Nacional 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.259.50 1.57 2.35
12.01.25P1 Nacional – Porto 2–0 (2–0) 8.504.751.36 1.73 2.08

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 21 18 2 1 42 7 +35 56 WWWWLD
2 Sp Lisbon 21 16 4 1 55 12 +43 52 WDWWWD
3 Benfica 22 15 7 0 46 13 +33 52 WWWDWW
4 Gil Vicente 22 11 7 4 33 18 +15 40 DWLWWW
5 Sp Braga 22 11 6 5 45 20 +25 39 DWWWWL
6 Famalicao 21 9 5 7 27 20 +7 32 LLWWLW
7 Guimaraes 22 9 4 9 25 31 -6 31 WLLWLW
8 Estoril 21 8 6 7 43 35 +8 30 WLWWWD
9 Moreirense 21 9 3 9 27 29 -2 30 WWLWLL
10 Alverca 22 7 4 11 22 37 -15 25 WWLDLD
11 Estrela 22 5 8 9 26 39 -13 23 DLLDWL
12 Arouca 22 6 5 11 28 49 -21 23 LWLWWL
13 Casa Pia 22 5 7 10 25 41 -16 22 LLDWDW
14 Nacional 21 5 6 10 27 30 -3 21 LDLWLD
15 Rio Ave 21 4 8 9 22 41 -19 20 LWLLLL
16 Santa Clara 22 4 5 13 17 28 -11 17 DLLLLL
17 Tondela 22 3 6 13 15 36 -21 15 LLLDDD
18 AVS 21 0 5 16 15 54 -39 5 LLLDLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 10 8 2 0 20 3 +17 26 WWWWWD
2 Sp Lisbon 10 8 1 1 32 4 +28 25 WWWWWW
3 Benfica 11 7 4 0 25 8 +17 25 DDWWWW
4 Gil Vicente 11 7 2 2 19 8 +11 23 LDDWWW
5 Guimaraes 12 6 3 3 17 15 +2 21 DLWLWW
6 Sp Braga 10 6 2 2 22 7 +15 20 WWWDWW
7 Estoril 11 5 4 2 23 16 +7 19 WDWWWD
8 Moreirense 10 6 1 3 15 13 +2 19 LDLWWL
9 Famalicao 11 5 2 4 19 9 +10 17 LLWLWW
10 Alverca 11 5 2 4 10 15 -5 17 DWLWWD
11 Estrela 11 3 4 4 14 17 -3 13 DWDDLW
12 Arouca 11 3 3 5 14 23 -9 12 LLWDLW
13 Nacional 10 3 2 5 16 17 -1 11 LLWDWD
14 Santa Clara 12 3 2 7 10 14 -4 11 WDLLLL
15 Casa Pia 11 2 5 4 15 21 -6 11 LDDDWW
16 Rio Ave 10 2 3 5 10 18 -8 9 LDLWLL
17 Tondela 11 1 4 6 7 14 -7 7 LLWLDD
18 AVS 11 0 3 8 7 23 -16 3 DLDLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 11 10 0 1 22 4 +18 30 WWWWWL
2 Benfica 11 8 3 0 21 5 +16 27 WWDWDW
3 Sp Lisbon 11 8 3 0 23 8 +15 27 WDWDWD
4 Sp Braga 12 5 4 3 23 13 +10 19 WLDWWL
5 Gil Vicente 11 4 5 2 14 10 +4 17 DDDDLW
6 Famalicao 10 4 3 3 8 11 -3 15 WDLLWL
7 Estoril 10 3 2 5 20 19 +1 11 WLLLWW
8 Moreirense 11 3 2 6 12 16 -4 11 LDDWLL
9 Casa Pia 11 3 2 6 10 20 -10 11 DLWLLD
10 Rio Ave 11 2 5 4 12 23 -11 11 DWDLLL
11 Arouca 11 3 2 6 14 26 -12 11 LDLWWL
12 Nacional 11 2 4 5 11 13 -2 10 DLDLLL
13 Guimaraes 10 3 1 6 8 16 -8 10 LWWDLL
14 Estrela 11 2 4 5 12 22 -10 10 LLWLDL
15 Alverca 11 2 2 7 12 22 -10 8 WLLLLD
16 Tondela 11 2 2 7 8 22 -14 8 DWLLLD
17 Santa Clara 10 1 3 6 7 14 -7 6 LDLDLL
18 AVS 10 0 2 8 8 31 -23 2 LLLLDL

Nacional   Porto

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Sp Braga 22 7 15 2.0 0.9 11 6 5 45 20 39 OUOOOO
2 12 Arouca 22 7 15 1.3 2.2 6 5 11 28 49 23 OUOOOO
3 2 Sp Lisbon 21 7 14 2.6 0.6 16 4 1 55 12 52 OUOOOU
4 3 Benfica 22 8 14 2.1 0.6 15 7 0 46 13 52 OUOUOO
5 8 Estoril 21 7 14 2.0 1.7 8 6 7 43 35 30 OOOOOO
6 15 Rio Ave 21 7 14 1.0 2.0 4 8 9 22 41 20 OOUOOO
7 18 AVS 21 7 14 0.7 2.6 0 5 16 15 54 5 UUUOOO
8 9 Moreirense 21 9 12 1.3 1.4 9 3 9 27 29 30 UUOUUO
9 10 Alverca 22 10 12 1.0 1.7 7 4 11 22 37 25 UOOUOU
10 11 Estrela 22 10 12 1.2 1.8 5 8 9 26 39 23 OOOUUO
11 13 Casa Pia 22 10 12 1.1 1.9 5 7 10 25 41 22 OOOOUO
12 17 Tondela 22 10 12 0.7 1.6 3 6 13 15 36 15 UUOUOU
13 1 Porto 21 10 11 2.0 0.3 18 2 1 42 7 56 UUUOOU
14 14 Nacional 21 10 11 1.3 1.4 5 6 10 27 30 21 OOOOOU
15 7 Guimaraes 22 12 10 1.1 1.4 9 4 9 25 31 31 OUOUOO
16 4 Gil Vicente 22 13 9 1.5 0.8 11 7 4 33 18 40 UOOOOO
17 6 Famalicao 21 12 9 1.3 1.0 9 5 7 27 20 32 OUUOOO
18 16 Santa Clara 22 14 8 0.8 1.3 4 5 13 17 28 17 OUUOUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 10 2 8 3.2 0.4 8 1 1 32 4 25 UOOOOO
2 3 Benfica 11 4 7 2.3 0.7 7 4 0 25 8 25 OUUOOO
3 5 Sp Braga 10 3 7 2.2 0.7 6 2 2 22 7 20 OOUOOO
4 6 Famalicao 11 4 7 1.7 0.8 5 2 4 19 9 17 UOOOOO
5 7 Guimaraes 12 5 7 1.4 1.2 6 3 3 17 15 21 UOOUUO
6 9 Moreirense 10 3 7 1.5 1.3 6 1 3 15 13 19 OOOUUO
7 12 Arouca 11 4 7 1.3 2.1 3 3 5 14 23 12 UOUOOO
8 14 Nacional 10 3 7 1.6 1.7 3 2 5 16 17 11 UOOOOU
9 8 Estoril 11 5 6 2.1 1.5 5 4 2 23 16 19 OOUOOO
10 11 Estrela 11 5 6 1.3 1.5 3 4 4 14 17 13 UOUOOU
11 15 Rio Ave 10 4 6 1.0 1.8 2 3 5 10 18 9 OUUOUO
12 18 AVS 11 5 6 0.6 2.1 0 3 8 7 23 3 UOOUUO
13 1 Porto 10 5 5 2.0 0.3 8 2 0 20 3 26 OUOUOU
14 10 Alverca 11 6 5 0.9 1.4 5 2 4 10 15 17 UUOUOU
15 13 Casa Pia 11 6 5 1.4 1.9 2 5 4 15 21 11 UUUOOO
16 16 Santa Clara 12 7 5 0.8 1.2 3 2 7 10 14 11 UUUUOO
17 4 Gil Vicente 11 7 4 1.7 0.7 7 2 2 19 8 23 UOUOOO
18 17 Tondela 11 7 4 0.6 1.3 1 4 6 7 14 7 UOOUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Sp Braga 12 4 8 1.9 1.1 5 4 3 23 13 19 OUOUOO
2 8 Estoril 10 2 8 2.0 1.9 3 2 5 20 19 11 OUOOOO
3 12 Arouca 11 3 8 1.3 2.4 3 2 6 14 26 11 OUOUOO
4 15 Rio Ave 11 3 8 1.1 2.1 2 5 4 12 23 11 UOOOOO
5 17 Tondela 11 3 8 0.7 2.0 2 2 7 8 22 8 OUOUOO
6 18 AVS 10 2 8 0.8 3.1 0 2 8 8 31 2 UOOUOO
7 3 Benfica 11 4 7 1.9 0.5 8 3 0 21 5 27 OOOUUO
8 10 Alverca 11 4 7 1.1 2.0 2 2 7 12 22 8 UUOOOU
9 13 Casa Pia 11 4 7 0.9 1.8 3 2 6 10 20 11 OUOOOU
10 1 Porto 11 5 6 2.0 0.4 10 0 1 22 4 30 UUOUUO
11 2 Sp Lisbon 11 5 6 2.1 0.7 8 3 0 23 8 27 OUOUOU
12 11 Estrela 11 5 6 1.1 2.0 2 4 5 12 22 10 OOOOUO
13 4 Gil Vicente 11 6 5 1.3 0.9 4 5 2 14 10 17 UUUOOO
14 9 Moreirense 11 6 5 1.1 1.5 3 2 6 12 16 11 OOUUOU
15 14 Nacional 11 7 4 1.0 1.2 2 4 5 11 13 10 UUOOOO
16 7 Guimaraes 10 7 3 0.8 1.6 3 1 6 8 16 10 UUUUOO
17 16 Santa Clara 10 7 3 0.7 1.4 1 3 6 7 14 6 UUUOUU
18 6 Famalicao 10 8 2 0.8 1.1 4 3 3 8 11 15 UOUUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47