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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Porto 1–0 Nacional

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.15 fair 1.87
Draw 6.50 fair 4.26
Away 17.00 fair 4.36
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.35 fair 2.16
Over 2.5 1.57 fair 1.86

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Porto Nacional
11 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 1
5 Corners 5
6 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (39 league matches this season so far).
Result Porto to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.76 – 1.07
Home / Draw / Away
PortoDrawNacional
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 1–0 10.4% 2–1 9.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Porto before this match, all matches
3.00points / match
2.75scored / match
0.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 11:1
Nacional before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:7
Porto all matches all matches Nacional

Per match

2.75 Goals scored 1.00
0.25 Goals conceded 1.75
3.00 Total goals 2.75
16.50 Shots 10.00
6.75 Shots on target 3.25
12.75 Shots faced 17.00
5.50 Corners 6.50
3.00 Corners against 6.75
16.00 Fouls 19.75
3.25 Yellow cards 3.25
1.50 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

100% Wins 25%
0% Draws 25%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
75% Over 2.5 goals 25%
25% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 50%
75% Clean sheets 25%
0% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

75% Wins 50%
25% Draws 0%
0% Losses 50%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Porto all matches
Nacional all matches
Porto before this match, at home
3.00points / match
3.50scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 7:0
Nacional before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.50scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:1
Porto at home away Nacional

Per match

3.50 Goals scored 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded 0.50
3.50 Total goals 2.00
18.50 Shots 11.00
8.00 Shots on target 4.00
8.50 Shots faced 14.50
7.00 Corners 4.50
3.00 Corners against 4.00
14.50 Fouls 20.00
2.00 Yellow cards 3.50
2.50 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

100% Wins 50%
0% Draws 50%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 0%
50% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
0% Both teams scored 50%
100% Clean sheets 50%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

100% Wins 50%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Porto at home
Nacional away

Last 10 matches before this match

Porto all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.25 Sp Lisbon – Porto 1–2 (0–0) 1.963.503.60 1.85 2.00
24.08.25 Porto – Casa Pia 4–0 (3–0) 1.206.0015.00 1.65 2.20
18.08.25 Gil Vicente – Porto 0–2 (0–1) 6.004.331.50 1.93 1.93
11.08.25 Porto – Guimaraes 3–0 (2–0) 1.573.905.75 1.80 2.00
17.05.25 Porto – Nacional 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.259.50 1.57 2.35
11.05.25 Boavista – Porto 1–2 (1–2) 7.504.501.40 1.73 2.08
02.05.25 Porto – Moreirense 3–1 (1–1) 1.335.258.00 1.70 2.10
26.04.25 Estrela – Porto 2–0 (1–0) 6.253.901.53 2.05 1.80
18.04.25 Porto – Famalicao 2–1 (1–0) 1.484.756.00 1.93 1.93
12.04.25 Casa Pia – Porto 0–1 (0–1) 5.503.601.67 2.15 1.67

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.25 Casa Pia – Nacional 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.203.40 2.25 1.62
23.08.25 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (1–0) 9.006.001.27 1.50 2.50
17.08.25 Rio Ave – Nacional 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.203.20 2.05 1.75
09.08.25 Nacional – Gil Vicente 0–2 (0–2) 2.503.102.90 2.10 1.70
17.05.25 Porto – Nacional 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.259.50 1.57 2.35
10.05.25 Nacional – Rio Ave 3–3 (0–3) 1.953.503.75 1.93 1.93
03.05.25 Nacional – Guimaraes 1–2 (0–1) 4.203.501.85 1.98 1.88
27.04.25 Moreirense – Nacional 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.103.60 2.20 1.65
19.04.25 Nacional – Gil Vicente 0–3 (0–1) 2.303.103.20 2.25 1.62
12.04.25 Boavista – Nacional 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.102.63 2.15 1.67

Porto at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.08.25 Porto – Casa Pia 4–0 (3–0) 1.206.0015.00 1.65 2.20
11.08.25 Porto – Guimaraes 3–0 (2–0) 1.573.905.75 1.80 2.00
17.05.25 Porto – Nacional 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.259.50 1.57 2.35
02.05.25 Porto – Moreirense 3–1 (1–1) 1.335.258.00 1.70 2.10
18.04.25 Porto – Famalicao 2–1 (1–0) 1.484.756.00 1.93 1.93
06.04.25 Porto – Benfica 1–4 (0–2) 2.883.202.50 2.05 1.80
15.03.25 Porto – AVS 2–0 (1–0) 1.255.7511.00 1.67 2.15
24.02.25 Porto – Guimaraes 1–1 (0–0) 1.673.705.25 2.10 1.70
07.02.25 Porto – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.102.55 2.15 1.67
26.01.25 Porto – Santa Clara 1–1 (0–1) 1.454.107.50 2.10 1.70

Nacional away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.25 Casa Pia – Nacional 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.203.40 2.25 1.62
17.08.25 Rio Ave – Nacional 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.203.20 2.05 1.75
17.05.25 Porto – Nacional 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.259.50 1.57 2.35
27.04.25 Moreirense – Nacional 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.103.60 2.20 1.65
12.04.25 Boavista – Nacional 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.102.63 2.15 1.67
30.03.25 Santa Clara – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.903.204.33 2.50 1.50
08.03.25 Benfica – Nacional 3–0 (2–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.44 2.60
21.02.25 Sp Braga – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.573.806.00 1.73 2.08
09.02.25 Farense – Nacional 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.203.10 2.20 1.65
25.01.25 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–0 (1–0) 1.149.5012.00 1.37 2.87

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Porto winsDrawsNacional wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.05.25P1 Porto – Nacional 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.259.50 1.57 2.35
12.01.25P1 Nacional – Porto 2–0 (2–0) 8.504.751.36 1.73 2.08

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 4 4 0 0 11 1 +10 12 WWWW
2 Moreirense 5 4 0 1 8 4 +4 12 WWWLW
3 Benfica 4 3 1 0 7 2 +5 10 WWWD
4 Famalicao 4 3 1 0 5 0 +5 10 WWDW
5 Sp Lisbon 4 3 0 1 13 3 +10 9 WWWL
6 Sp Braga 4 2 2 0 10 4 +6 8 WWDD
7 Gil Vicente 4 2 1 1 4 2 +2 7 WLDW
8 Estoril 5 1 2 2 8 8 0 5 DLDLW
9 Santa Clara 5 1 2 2 2 5 -3 5 LLDWD
10 Arouca 4 1 2 1 7 11 -4 5 WLDD
11 Nacional 4 1 1 2 4 7 -3 4 LDLW
12 Alverca 5 1 1 3 5 9 -4 4 LLDLW
13 Guimaraes 4 1 1 2 4 8 -4 4 LWLD
14 Estrela 4 0 3 1 3 4 -1 3 DLDD
15 Rio Ave 4 0 3 1 7 9 -2 3 DDDL
16 Casa Pia 4 1 0 3 2 8 -6 3 LWLL
17 AVS 5 0 1 4 4 11 -7 1 LLDLL
18 Tondela 5 0 1 4 2 10 -8 1 LLLDL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Moreirense 3 3 0 0 7 2 +5 9 WWW
2 Porto 2 2 0 0 7 0 +7 6 WW
3 Sp Braga 2 1 1 0 5 2 +3 4 WD
4 Benfica 2 1 1 0 4 1 +3 4 WD
5 Famalicao 2 1 1 0 3 0 +3 4 WD
6 Arouca 2 1 1 0 6 4 +2 4 WD
7 Estoril 3 1 1 1 4 3 +1 4 DLW
8 Guimaraes 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4 WD
9 Sp Lisbon 2 1 0 1 7 2 +5 3 WL
10 Gil Vicente 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3 LW
11 Alverca 3 1 0 2 2 5 -3 3 LLW
12 Rio Ave 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2 DD
13 Estrela 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1 LD
14 Tondela 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1 LD
15 Santa Clara 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1 LD
16 AVS 2 0 0 2 0 3 -3 0 LL
17 Casa Pia 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0 LL
18 Nacional 2 0 0 2 1 6 -5 0 LL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 2 2 0 0 6 1 +5 6 WW
2 Porto 2 2 0 0 4 1 +3 6 WW
3 Benfica 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6 WW
4 Famalicao 2 2 0 0 2 0 +2 6 WW
5 Sp Braga 2 1 1 0 5 2 +3 4 WD
6 Nacional 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4 DW
7 Gil Vicente 2 1 1 0 2 0 +2 4 WD
8 Santa Clara 3 1 1 1 2 4 -2 4 LWD
9 Moreirense 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 3 WL
10 Casa Pia 2 1 0 1 2 4 -2 3 WL
11 Estrela 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2 DD
12 Estoril 2 0 1 1 4 5 -1 1 LD
13 Alverca 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1 LD
14 Rio Ave 2 0 1 1 4 6 -2 1 DL
15 AVS 3 0 1 2 4 8 -4 1 LDL
16 Arouca 2 0 1 1 1 7 -6 1 LD
17 Guimaraes 2 0 0 2 0 5 -5 0 LL
18 Tondela 3 0 0 3 0 7 -7 0 LLL

Porto   Nacional

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 6 Sp Braga 4 0 4 2.5 1.0 2 2 0 10 4 8 OOOO
2 12 Alverca 5 1 4 1.0 1.8 1 1 3 5 9 4 OOOOU
3 1 Porto 4 1 3 2.8 0.2 4 0 0 11 1 12 OUOO
4 5 Sp Lisbon 4 1 3 3.2 0.8 3 0 1 13 3 9 UOOO
5 8 Estoril 5 2 3 1.6 1.6 1 2 2 8 8 5 UOOUO
6 10 Arouca 4 1 3 1.8 2.8 1 2 1 7 11 5 OOOU
7 15 Rio Ave 4 1 3 1.8 2.2 0 3 1 7 9 3 UOOO
8 17 AVS 5 2 3 0.8 2.2 0 1 4 4 11 1 OUOUO
9 18 Tondela 5 2 3 0.4 2.0 0 1 4 2 10 1 OUOOU
10 2 Moreirense 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 4 0 1 8 4 12 OUUUO
11 3 Benfica 4 2 2 1.8 0.5 3 1 0 7 2 10 UOOU
12 13 Guimaraes 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 1 1 2 4 8 4 OOUU
13 4 Famalicao 4 3 1 1.2 0.0 3 1 0 5 0 10 OUUU
14 9 Santa Clara 5 4 1 0.4 1.0 1 2 2 2 5 5 OUUUU
15 11 Nacional 4 3 1 1.0 1.8 1 1 2 4 7 4 UUOU
16 14 Estrela 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 0 3 1 3 4 3 UUOU
17 16 Casa Pia 4 3 1 0.5 2.0 1 0 3 2 8 3 UUOU
18 7 Gil Vicente 4 4 0 1.0 0.5 2 1 1 4 2 7 UUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Porto 2 0 2 3.5 0.0 2 0 0 7 0 6 OO
2 2 Moreirense 3 1 2 2.3 0.7 3 0 0 7 2 9 OUO
3 5 Sp Lisbon 2 0 2 3.5 1.0 1 0 1 7 2 3 OO
4 6 Sp Braga 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 1 1 0 5 2 4 OO
5 10 Arouca 2 0 2 3.0 2.0 1 1 0 6 4 4 OO
6 12 Alverca 3 1 2 0.7 1.7 1 0 2 2 5 3 OOU
7 3 Benfica 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 1 1 0 4 1 4 OU
8 4 Famalicao 2 1 1 1.5 0.0 1 1 0 3 0 4 OU
9 8 Estoril 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 1 1 4 3 4 UUO
10 11 Nacional 2 1 1 0.5 3.0 0 0 2 1 6 0 UO
11 13 Guimaraes 2 1 1 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4 OU
12 14 Estrela 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1 UO
13 15 Rio Ave 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2 UO
14 18 Tondela 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1 UO
15 7 Gil Vicente 2 2 0 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3 UU
16 9 Santa Clara 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1 UU
17 16 Casa Pia 2 2 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0 UU
18 17 AVS 2 2 0 0.0 1.5 0 0 2 0 3 0 UU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 17 AVS 3 0 3 1.3 2.7 0 1 2 4 8 1 OOO
2 6 Sp Braga 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 1 1 0 5 2 4 OO
3 8 Estoril 2 0 2 2.0 2.5 0 1 1 4 5 1 OO
4 12 Alverca 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1 OO
5 15 Rio Ave 2 0 2 2.0 3.0 0 1 1 4 6 1 OO
6 18 Tondela 3 1 2 0.0 2.3 0 0 3 0 7 0 OOU
7 1 Porto 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 2 0 0 4 1 6 UO
8 3 Benfica 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6 UO
9 5 Sp Lisbon 2 1 1 3.0 0.5 2 0 0 6 1 6 UO
10 9 Santa Clara 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 1 1 1 2 4 4 OUU
11 10 Arouca 2 1 1 0.5 3.5 0 1 1 1 7 1 OU
12 13 Guimaraes 2 1 1 0.0 2.5 0 0 2 0 5 0 OU
13 16 Casa Pia 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 1 0 1 2 4 3 UO
14 2 Moreirense 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 1 0 1 1 2 3 UU
15 4 Famalicao 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 2 0 0 2 0 6 UU
16 7 Gil Vicente 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 2 0 4 UU
17 11 Nacional 2 2 0 1.5 0.5 1 1 0 3 1 4 UU
18 14 Estrela 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2 UU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10