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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Porto 3–1 Estrela

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.15 fair 1.73
Draw 5.75 fair 4.31
Away 15.00 fair 5.28
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 2.00
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.60 fair 2.00

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Porto Estrela
20 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 1
4 Corners 0
13 Fouls 17
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (125 league matches this season so far).
Result Porto to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.97
Expected goals 1.77 – 0.90
Home / Draw / Away
PortoDrawEstrela
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 12.2% 1–1 11% 2–0 10.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Porto before this match, all matches
2.85points / match
2.08scored / match
0.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 27:3
Estrela before this match, all matches
1.08points / match
1.23scored / match
1.46conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 16:19
Porto all matches all matches Estrela

Per match

2.08 Goals scored 1.23
0.23 Goals conceded 1.46
2.31 Total goals 2.69
14.38 Shots 12.38
5.77 Shots on target 4.00
9.85 Shots faced 12.38
5.38 Corners 3.62
3.08 Corners against 4.62
13.62 Fouls 13.92
2.54 Yellow cards 2.38
1.08 1st-half goals scored 0.69
0.08 1st-half goals conceded 0.85

How often Full Time

92% Wins 23%
8% Draws 38%
0% Losses 38%
92% Over 0.5 goals 85%
69% Over 1.5 goals 77%
54% Over 2.5 goals 46%
15% Over 3.5 goals 31%
0% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
23% Both teams scored 46%
77% Clean sheets 23%
8% Failed to score 46%

How often Half Time

69% Wins 31%
31% Draws 23%
0% Losses 46%
77% Over 0.5 goals 77%
31% Over 1.5 goals 46%
8% Over 2.5 goals 31%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Porto all matches
Estrela all matches
Porto before this match, at home
2.67points / match
1.83scored / match
0.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 11:1
Estrela before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 6:10
Porto at home away Estrela

Per match

1.83 Goals scored 1.00
0.17 Goals conceded 1.67
2.00 Total goals 2.67
12.83 Shots 8.67
5.50 Shots on target 3.67
7.83 Shots faced 13.67
4.83 Corners 2.67
3.50 Corners against 5.33
13.33 Fouls 14.67
2.67 Yellow cards 2.00
1.33 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.17

How often Full Time

83% Wins 17%
17% Draws 50%
0% Losses 33%
83% Over 0.5 goals 67%
50% Over 1.5 goals 67%
50% Over 2.5 goals 33%
17% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 17%
17% Both teams scored 33%
83% Clean sheets 33%
17% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

83% Wins 17%
17% Draws 33%
0% Losses 50%
83% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 50%
17% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Porto at home
Estrela away

Last 10 matches before this match

Porto all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.25 Tondela – Porto 0–2 (0–0) 11.005.751.22 1.73 2.08
30.11.25 Porto – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 1.225.5012.00 1.57 2.35
09.11.25 Famalicao – Porto 0–1 (0–1) 5.503.901.56 2.00 1.85
02.11.25 Porto – Sp Braga 2–1 (1–0) 1.494.006.25 1.98 1.88
27.10.25 Moreirense – Porto 1–2 (1–1) 9.505.501.27 1.83 2.03
05.10.25 Porto – Benfica 0–0 (0–0) 2.013.403.70 2.05 1.80
29.09.25 Arouca – Porto 0–4 (0–1) 7.504.751.35 1.75 2.05
19.09.25 Rio Ave – Porto 0–3 (0–2) 8.005.001.30 1.67 2.15
13.09.25 Porto – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.156.5017.00 1.57 2.35
30.08.25 Sp Lisbon – Porto 1–2 (0–0) 1.963.503.60 1.85 2.00

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.25 Estrela – Arouca 3–1 (2–0) 2.103.203.50 2.10 1.70
30.11.25 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 4–0 (3–0) 1.109.0015.00 1.40 2.88
09.11.25 Estrela – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.202.50 2.15 1.67
01.11.25 Casa Pia – Estrela 3–5 (1–2) 2.013.053.90 2.40 1.53
25.10.25 Estrela – Rio Ave 1–2 (1–0) 2.573.202.70 2.15 1.67
04.10.25 Gil Vicente – Estrela 2–0 (2–0) 1.613.755.25 2.20 1.65
27.09.25 Estrela – AVS 3–0 (3–0) 2.053.103.80 2.40 1.53
21.09.25 Tondela – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.252.853.60 2.50 1.50
14.09.25 Estrela – Guimaraes 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.302.15 2.25 1.62
31.08.25 Santa Clara – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 1.813.404.33 2.40 1.53

Porto at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.25 Porto – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 1.225.5012.00 1.57 2.35
02.11.25 Porto – Sp Braga 2–1 (1–0) 1.494.006.25 1.98 1.88
05.10.25 Porto – Benfica 0–0 (0–0) 2.013.403.70 2.05 1.80
13.09.25 Porto – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.156.5017.00 1.57 2.35
24.08.25 Porto – Casa Pia 4–0 (3–0) 1.206.0015.00 1.65 2.20
11.08.25 Porto – Guimaraes 3–0 (2–0) 1.573.905.75 1.80 2.00
17.05.25 Porto – Nacional 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.259.50 1.57 2.35
02.05.25 Porto – Moreirense 3–1 (1–1) 1.335.258.00 1.70 2.10
18.04.25 Porto – Famalicao 2–1 (1–0) 1.484.756.00 1.93 1.93
06.04.25 Porto – Benfica 1–4 (0–2) 2.883.202.50 2.05 1.80

Estrela away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.25 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 4–0 (3–0) 1.109.0015.00 1.40 2.88
01.11.25 Casa Pia – Estrela 3–5 (1–2) 2.013.053.90 2.40 1.53
04.10.25 Gil Vicente – Estrela 2–0 (2–0) 1.613.755.25 2.20 1.65
21.09.25 Tondela – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.252.853.60 2.50 1.50
31.08.25 Santa Clara – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 1.813.404.33 2.40 1.53
11.08.25 Estoril – Estrela 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.504.20 2.05 1.75
17.05.25 Estoril – Estrela 4–0 (4–0) 2.503.302.75 2.03 1.83
05.05.25 Rio Ave – Estrela 2–0 (0–0) 2.353.303.00 2.08 1.73
19.04.25 Arouca – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.304.20 2.10 1.70
06.04.25 Nacional – Estrela 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.203.70 2.35 1.57

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Porto winsDrawsEstrela wins
4matches
1.75goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.04.25P1 Estrela – Porto 2–0 (1–0) 6.253.901.53 2.05 1.80
16.12.24P1 Porto – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 1.147.5019.00 1.48 2.60
17.02.24P1 Porto – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.53 2.40
15.09.23P1 Estrela – Porto 0–1 (0–1) 8.505.001.33 1.65 2.20

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 13 12 1 0 27 3 +24 37 DWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 14 11 2 1 38 7 +31 35 WWWWDW
3 Benfica 14 9 5 0 30 8 +22 32 WWDWDW
4 Sp Braga 14 7 4 3 26 12 +14 25 WLWWWW
5 Gil Vicente 14 7 4 3 17 7 +10 25 WWDLDD
6 Famalicao 14 6 5 3 18 9 +9 23 WWLDLW
7 Guimaraes 14 6 3 5 15 17 -2 21 LLWWDW
8 Moreirense 14 6 2 6 21 24 -3 20 LWLDDL
9 Alverca 14 5 2 7 15 20 -5 17 LLDWWL
10 Rio Ave 14 3 7 4 17 22 -5 16 WLDDWL
11 Nacional 14 4 3 7 15 19 -4 15 DLDLLW
12 Santa Clara 14 4 3 7 11 15 -4 15 WLLDWL
13 Estoril 14 3 5 6 22 25 -3 14 DWWLDL
14 Estrela 13 3 5 5 16 19 -3 14 LLWDLW
15 Arouca 14 3 3 8 15 37 -22 12 LLLLLW
16 Casa Pia 14 2 4 8 14 28 -14 10 LLDLLD
17 Tondela 14 2 3 9 8 25 -17 9 LDLWLL
18 AVS 14 0 3 11 9 37 -28 3 LDDLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 7 5 1 1 23 3 +20 16 LWDWWW
2 Porto 6 5 1 0 11 1 +10 16 WWWDWW
3 Benfica 7 3 4 0 15 6 +9 13 DDWWDD
4 Sp Braga 7 4 1 2 12 5 +7 13 DLLWWW
5 Moreirense 7 4 1 2 12 11 +1 13 WWWLDL
6 Gil Vicente 6 4 0 2 7 3 +4 12 LWWWWL
7 Guimaraes 7 3 3 1 11 8 +3 12 DDWLWD
8 Famalicao 8 3 2 3 11 5 +6 11 LDWLLW
9 Santa Clara 7 3 1 3 7 6 +1 10 DWLWLW
10 Alverca 7 3 1 3 6 10 -4 10 LWWLDW
11 Estoril 7 2 3 2 12 11 +1 9 LWLDWD
12 Estrela 7 2 2 3 10 9 +1 8 DLWLDW
13 Arouca 8 2 2 4 8 17 -9 8 LLDLLW
14 Nacional 7 2 0 5 9 14 -5 6 LLWLLW
15 Rio Ave 7 1 3 3 7 12 -5 6 DLWLDL
16 Casa Pia 7 0 3 4 7 15 -8 3 LDDLLD
17 Tondela 6 0 2 4 2 9 -7 2 LDDLLL
18 AVS 7 0 2 5 5 14 -9 2 LLLDDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 7 7 0 0 16 2 +14 21 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 7 6 1 0 15 2 +13 19 WWDWWW
3 Sp Lisbon 7 6 1 0 15 4 +11 19 WWWWWD
4 Gil Vicente 8 3 4 1 10 4 +6 13 WLWDDD
5 Sp Braga 7 3 3 1 14 7 +7 12 DDDLWW
6 Famalicao 6 3 3 0 7 4 +3 12 WWDDWD
7 Rio Ave 7 2 4 1 10 10 0 10 LDDWDW
8 Nacional 7 2 3 2 6 5 +1 9 WLWDDL
9 Guimaraes 7 3 0 4 4 9 -5 9 LWLLWW
10 Alverca 7 2 1 4 9 10 -1 7 DLWLWL
11 Moreirense 7 2 1 4 9 13 -4 7 LLLWLD
12 Casa Pia 7 2 1 4 7 13 -6 7 LWLLDL
13 Tondela 8 2 1 5 6 16 -10 7 LWLDWL
14 Estrela 6 1 3 2 6 10 -4 6 DDDLWL
15 Estoril 7 1 2 4 10 14 -4 5 DLDWLL
16 Santa Clara 7 1 2 4 4 9 -5 5 WDLLDL
17 Arouca 6 1 1 4 7 20 -13 4 LDWLLL
18 AVS 7 0 1 6 4 23 -19 1 DLLLLL

Porto   Estrela

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 8 Moreirense 14 4 10 1.5 1.7 6 2 6 21 24 20 OUOOOO
2 18 AVS 14 4 10 0.6 2.6 0 3 11 9 37 3 UOUOOO
3 2 Sp Lisbon 14 5 9 2.7 0.5 11 2 1 38 7 35 OUOOUO
4 3 Benfica 14 5 9 2.1 0.6 9 5 0 30 8 32 OOOOUO
5 4 Sp Braga 14 5 9 1.9 0.9 7 4 3 26 12 25 OOOOOU
6 15 Arouca 14 5 9 1.1 2.6 3 3 8 15 37 12 OUOOOU
7 10 Rio Ave 14 6 8 1.2 1.6 3 7 4 17 22 16 OOUUOU
8 13 Estoril 14 6 8 1.6 1.8 3 5 6 22 25 14 UOOUOO
9 17 Tondela 14 6 8 0.6 1.8 2 3 9 8 25 9 OOUUUO
10 1 Porto 13 6 7 2.1 0.2 12 1 0 27 3 37 UOOUUU
11 9 Alverca 14 7 7 1.1 1.4 5 2 7 15 20 17 OUUUUU
12 14 Estrela 13 7 6 1.2 1.5 3 5 5 16 19 14 UOOUOO
13 16 Casa Pia 14 8 6 1.0 2.0 2 4 8 14 28 10 OOOUUU
14 6 Famalicao 14 9 5 1.3 0.6 6 5 3 18 9 23 UUUOOO
15 7 Guimaraes 14 9 5 1.1 1.2 6 3 5 15 17 21 UOUOUU
16 11 Nacional 14 9 5 1.1 1.4 4 3 7 15 19 15 UUUOUO
17 12 Santa Clara 14 9 5 0.8 1.1 4 3 7 11 15 15 UUOUUU
18 5 Gil Vicente 14 12 2 1.2 0.5 7 4 3 17 7 25 OUUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 8 Moreirense 7 1 6 1.7 1.6 4 1 2 12 11 13 UOOOOO
2 2 Sp Lisbon 7 2 5 3.3 0.4 5 1 1 23 3 16 OOUUOO
3 11 Nacional 7 2 5 1.3 2.0 2 0 5 9 14 6 OOOUOO
4 3 Benfica 7 3 4 2.1 0.9 3 4 0 15 6 13 UUOOOU
5 4 Sp Braga 7 3 4 1.7 0.7 4 1 2 12 5 13 OUUOOU
6 6 Famalicao 8 4 4 1.4 0.6 3 2 3 11 5 11 OUUUOO
7 7 Guimaraes 7 3 4 1.6 1.1 3 3 1 11 8 12 UUOOOU
8 10 Rio Ave 7 3 4 1.0 1.7 1 3 3 7 12 6 OOOOUU
9 14 Estrela 7 3 4 1.4 1.3 2 2 3 10 9 8 OUOOUO
10 15 Arouca 8 4 4 1.0 2.1 2 2 4 8 17 8 UOUUOU
11 18 AVS 7 3 4 0.7 2.0 0 2 5 5 14 2 UOOOUO
12 1 Porto 6 3 3 1.8 0.2 5 1 0 11 1 16 OOUUOU
13 9 Alverca 7 4 3 0.9 1.4 3 1 3 6 10 10 OUUOUU
14 12 Santa Clara 7 4 3 1.0 0.9 3 1 3 7 6 10 UOOUOU
15 13 Estoril 7 4 3 1.7 1.6 2 3 2 12 11 9 UOUUOO
16 16 Casa Pia 7 5 2 1.0 2.1 0 3 4 7 15 3 UUOOUU
17 17 Tondela 6 4 2 0.3 1.5 0 2 4 2 9 2 UOUOUU
18 5 Gil Vicente 6 6 0 1.2 0.5 4 0 2 7 3 12 UUUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 17 Tondela 8 2 6 0.8 2.0 2 1 5 6 16 7 UOOOUO
2 18 AVS 7 1 6 0.6 3.3 0 1 6 4 23 1 OOOUOO
3 3 Benfica 7 2 5 2.1 0.3 6 1 0 15 2 19 OOUOOO
4 4 Sp Braga 7 2 5 2.0 1.0 3 3 1 14 7 12 OUUOOO
5 13 Estoril 7 2 5 1.4 2.0 1 2 4 10 14 5 OUOOUO
6 15 Arouca 6 1 5 1.2 3.3 1 1 4 7 20 4 OUOOOO
7 1 Porto 7 3 4 2.3 0.3 7 0 0 16 2 21 OOOOUU
8 2 Sp Lisbon 7 3 4 2.1 0.6 6 1 0 15 4 19 OOUOOU
9 8 Moreirense 7 3 4 1.3 1.9 2 1 4 9 13 7 UOOUOO
10 9 Alverca 7 3 4 1.3 1.4 2 1 4 9 10 7 OOOUUU
11 10 Rio Ave 7 3 4 1.4 1.4 2 4 1 10 10 10 OUUOUO
12 16 Casa Pia 7 3 4 1.0 1.9 2 1 4 7 13 7 OUOOOU
13 5 Gil Vicente 8 6 2 1.2 0.5 3 4 1 10 4 13 UOOUUU
14 12 Santa Clara 7 5 2 0.6 1.3 1 2 4 4 9 5 UUOUUU
15 14 Estrela 6 4 2 1.0 1.7 1 3 2 6 10 6 UUUUOO
16 6 Famalicao 6 5 1 1.2 0.7 3 3 0 7 4 12 UUUUUO
17 7 Guimaraes 7 6 1 0.6 1.3 3 0 4 4 9 9 UUUUUU
18 11 Nacional 7 7 0 0.9 0.7 2 3 2 6 5 9 UUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10