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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Nacional 3–1 Tondela

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.30 fair 2.28
Draw 3.05 fair 3.83
Away 3.05 fair 3.34
Under 2.5 1.70 fair 1.91
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.10

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nacional Tondela
8 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 10
11 Fouls 17
5 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (123 league matches this season so far).
Result Nacional to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.44 – 1.14
Home / Draw / Away
NacionalDrawTondela
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 1–0 10.9% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Nacional before this match, all matches
0.92points / match
0.92scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 12:18
Tondela before this match, all matches
0.69points / match
0.54scored / match
1.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 7:22
Nacional all matches all matches Tondela

Per match

0.92 Goals scored 0.54
1.38 Goals conceded 1.69
2.31 Total goals 2.23
11.31 Shots 11.62
3.69 Shots on target 3.77
15.08 Shots faced 14.54
4.38 Corners 3.54
6.00 Corners against 6.00
15.08 Fouls 14.54
2.92 Yellow cards 2.69
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.15
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.77

How often Full Time

23% Wins 15%
23% Draws 23%
54% Losses 62%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
69% Over 1.5 goals 62%
31% Over 2.5 goals 54%
15% Over 3.5 goals 15%
15% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
54% Both teams scored 23%
15% Clean sheets 15%
31% Failed to score 69%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 8%
31% Draws 46%
31% Losses 46%
77% Over 0.5 goals 62%
23% Over 1.5 goals 31%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional all matches
Tondela all matches
Nacional before this match, at home
0.50points / match
1.00scored / match
2.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 6:13
Tondela before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.71scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 5:13
Nacional at home away Tondela

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.71
2.17 Goals conceded 1.86
3.17 Total goals 2.57
10.67 Shots 10.00
3.83 Shots on target 3.57
18.33 Shots faced 13.57
4.50 Corners 4.00
8.17 Corners against 7.00
14.33 Fouls 16.14
2.83 Yellow cards 3.14
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 1.14

How often Full Time

17% Wins 29%
0% Draws 14%
83% Losses 57%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 71%
67% Over 2.5 goals 71%
33% Over 3.5 goals 14%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 29%
0% Clean sheets 14%
33% Failed to score 57%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 14%
50% Draws 29%
33% Losses 57%
67% Over 0.5 goals 86%
33% Over 1.5 goals 57%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional at home
Tondela away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.25 Alverca – Nacional 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.203.60 2.20 1.65
29.11.25 Nacional – Benfica 1–2 (0–0) 7.005.001.35 1.70 2.10
09.11.25 Estrela – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.202.50 2.15 1.67
01.11.25 Nacional – Famalicao 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.252.20 2.05 1.75
26.10.25 Estoril – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.253.30 2.05 1.75
04.10.25 Nacional – Moreirense 3–2 (1–1) 2.323.103.10 2.35 1.57
28.09.25 Sp Braga – Nacional 0–1 (0–1) 1.394.337.50 1.83 2.03
20.09.25 Nacional – Arouca 1–2 (0–0) 2.453.102.85 2.08 1.73
13.09.25 Porto – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.156.5017.00 1.57 2.35
30.08.25 Casa Pia – Nacional 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.203.40 2.25 1.62

Tondela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.25 Tondela – Porto 0–2 (0–0) 11.005.751.22 1.73 2.08
29.11.25 Gil Vicente – Tondela 0–1 (0–1) 1.613.505.75 2.15 1.67
08.11.25 Tondela – Guimaraes 0–1 (0–0) 2.753.052.55 2.25 1.62
02.11.25 AVS – Tondela 2–2 (1–1) 3.203.052.30 2.15 1.67
26.10.25 Tondela – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–1) 9.006.001.24 1.53 2.40
05.10.25 Rio Ave – Tondela 3–0 (2–0) 2.253.403.00 1.98 1.88
27.09.25 Santa Clara – Tondela 1–2 (0–0) 1.663.405.50 2.40 1.53
21.09.25 Tondela – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.252.853.60 2.50 1.50
12.09.25 Alverca – Tondela 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.20 2.30 1.60
31.08.25 Tondela – Estoril 2–2 (0–1) 2.803.102.45 2.25 1.62

Nacional at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25 Nacional – Benfica 1–2 (0–0) 7.005.001.35 1.70 2.10
01.11.25 Nacional – Famalicao 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.252.20 2.05 1.75
04.10.25 Nacional – Moreirense 3–2 (1–1) 2.323.103.10 2.35 1.57
20.09.25 Nacional – Arouca 1–2 (0–0) 2.453.102.85 2.08 1.73
23.08.25 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (1–0) 9.006.001.27 1.50 2.50
09.08.25 Nacional – Gil Vicente 0–2 (0–2) 2.503.102.90 2.10 1.70
10.05.25 Nacional – Rio Ave 3–3 (0–3) 1.953.503.75 1.93 1.93
03.05.25 Nacional – Guimaraes 1–2 (0–1) 4.203.501.85 1.98 1.88
19.04.25 Nacional – Gil Vicente 0–3 (0–1) 2.303.103.20 2.25 1.62
06.04.25 Nacional – Estrela 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.203.70 2.35 1.57

Tondela away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25 Gil Vicente – Tondela 0–1 (0–1) 1.613.505.75 2.15 1.67
02.11.25 AVS – Tondela 2–2 (1–1) 3.203.052.30 2.15 1.67
05.10.25 Rio Ave – Tondela 3–0 (2–0) 2.253.403.00 1.98 1.88
27.09.25 Santa Clara – Tondela 1–2 (0–0) 1.663.405.50 2.40 1.53
12.09.25 Alverca – Tondela 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.20 2.30 1.60
23.08.25 Benfica – Tondela 3–0 (2–0) 1.177.0017.00 1.53 2.40
10.08.25 Sp Braga – Tondela 3–0 (2–0) 1.404.508.00 1.75 2.05
08.05.22 Gil Vicente – Tondela 3–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.33 1.88 1.98
02.05.22 Pacos Ferreira – Tondela 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.303.25 2.05 1.75
16.04.22 Moreirense – Tondela 2–0 (2–0) 2.003.253.60 2.10 1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 13 12 1 0 27 3 +24 37 DWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 14 11 2 1 38 7 +31 35 WWWWDW
3 Benfica 14 9 5 0 30 8 +22 32 WWDWDW
4 Gil Vicente 14 7 4 3 17 7 +10 25 WWDLDD
5 Famalicao 14 6 5 3 18 9 +9 23 WWLDLW
6 Sp Braga 13 6 4 3 25 12 +13 22 DWLWWW
7 Guimaraes 14 6 3 5 15 17 -2 21 LLWWDW
8 Moreirense 14 6 2 6 21 24 -3 20 LWLDDL
9 Alverca 14 5 2 7 15 20 -5 17 LLDWWL
10 Rio Ave 14 3 7 4 17 22 -5 16 WLDDWL
11 Santa Clara 13 4 3 6 11 14 -3 15 LWLLDW
12 Estoril 14 3 5 6 22 25 -3 14 DWWLDL
13 Estrela 13 3 5 5 16 19 -3 14 LLWDLW
14 Nacional 13 3 3 7 12 18 -6 12 WDLDLL
15 Arouca 14 3 3 8 15 37 -22 12 LLLLLW
16 Casa Pia 14 2 4 8 14 28 -14 10 LLDLLD
17 Tondela 13 2 3 8 7 22 -15 9 LLDLWL
18 AVS 14 0 3 11 9 37 -28 3 LDDLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 7 5 1 1 23 3 +20 16 LWDWWW
2 Porto 6 5 1 0 11 1 +10 16 WWWDWW
3 Benfica 7 3 4 0 15 6 +9 13 DDWWDD
4 Moreirense 7 4 1 2 12 11 +1 13 WWWLDL
5 Gil Vicente 6 4 0 2 7 3 +4 12 LWWWWL
6 Guimaraes 7 3 3 1 11 8 +3 12 DDWLWD
7 Famalicao 8 3 2 3 11 5 +6 11 LDWLLW
8 Sp Braga 6 3 1 2 11 5 +6 10 WDLLWW
9 Santa Clara 7 3 1 3 7 6 +1 10 DWLWLW
10 Alverca 7 3 1 3 6 10 -4 10 LWWLDW
11 Estoril 7 2 3 2 12 11 +1 9 LWLDWD
12 Estrela 7 2 2 3 10 9 +1 8 DLWLDW
13 Arouca 8 2 2 4 8 17 -9 8 LLDLLW
14 Rio Ave 7 1 3 3 7 12 -5 6 DLWLDL
15 Nacional 6 1 0 5 6 13 -7 3 LLLWLL
16 Casa Pia 7 0 3 4 7 15 -8 3 LDDLLD
17 Tondela 6 0 2 4 2 9 -7 2 LDDLLL
18 AVS 7 0 2 5 5 14 -9 2 LLLDDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 7 7 0 0 16 2 +14 21 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 7 6 1 0 15 2 +13 19 WWDWWW
3 Sp Lisbon 7 6 1 0 15 4 +11 19 WWWWWD
4 Gil Vicente 8 3 4 1 10 4 +6 13 WLWDDD
5 Sp Braga 7 3 3 1 14 7 +7 12 DDDLWW
6 Famalicao 6 3 3 0 7 4 +3 12 WWDDWD
7 Rio Ave 7 2 4 1 10 10 0 10 LDDWDW
8 Nacional 7 2 3 2 6 5 +1 9 WLWDDL
9 Guimaraes 7 3 0 4 4 9 -5 9 LWLLWW
10 Alverca 7 2 1 4 9 10 -1 7 DLWLWL
11 Moreirense 7 2 1 4 9 13 -4 7 LLLWLD
12 Casa Pia 7 2 1 4 7 13 -6 7 LWLLDL
13 Tondela 7 2 1 4 5 13 -8 7 LLWLDW
14 Estrela 6 1 3 2 6 10 -4 6 DDDLWL
15 Estoril 7 1 2 4 10 14 -4 5 DLDWLL
16 Santa Clara 6 1 2 3 4 8 -4 5 LWDLLD
17 Arouca 6 1 1 4 7 20 -13 4 LDWLLL
18 AVS 7 0 1 6 4 23 -19 1 DLLLLL

Nacional   Tondela

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 8 Moreirense 14 4 10 1.5 1.7 6 2 6 21 24 20 OUOOOO
2 18 AVS 14 4 10 0.6 2.6 0 3 11 9 37 3 UOUOOO
3 2 Sp Lisbon 14 5 9 2.7 0.5 11 2 1 38 7 35 OUOOUO
4 3 Benfica 14 5 9 2.1 0.6 9 5 0 30 8 32 OOOOUO
5 6 Sp Braga 13 4 9 1.9 0.9 6 4 3 25 12 22 UOOOOO
6 15 Arouca 14 5 9 1.1 2.6 3 3 8 15 37 12 OUOOOU
7 10 Rio Ave 14 6 8 1.2 1.6 3 7 4 17 22 16 OOUUOU
8 12 Estoril 14 6 8 1.6 1.8 3 5 6 22 25 14 UOOUOO
9 1 Porto 13 6 7 2.1 0.2 12 1 0 27 3 37 UOOUUU
10 9 Alverca 14 7 7 1.1 1.4 5 2 7 15 20 17 OUUUUU
11 17 Tondela 13 6 7 0.5 1.7 2 3 8 7 22 9 OOOUUU
12 13 Estrela 13 7 6 1.2 1.5 3 5 5 16 19 14 UOOUOO
13 16 Casa Pia 14 8 6 1.0 2.0 2 4 8 14 28 10 OOOUUU
14 5 Famalicao 14 9 5 1.3 0.6 6 5 3 18 9 23 UUUOOO
15 7 Guimaraes 14 9 5 1.1 1.2 6 3 5 15 17 21 UOUOUU
16 11 Santa Clara 13 8 5 0.8 1.1 4 3 6 11 14 15 OUUOUU
17 14 Nacional 13 9 4 0.9 1.4 3 3 7 12 18 12 OUUUOU
18 4 Gil Vicente 14 12 2 1.2 0.5 7 4 3 17 7 25 OUUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 8 Moreirense 7 1 6 1.7 1.6 4 1 2 12 11 13 UOOOOO
2 2 Sp Lisbon 7 2 5 3.3 0.4 5 1 1 23 3 16 OOUUOO
3 3 Benfica 7 3 4 2.1 0.9 3 4 0 15 6 13 UUOOOU
4 5 Famalicao 8 4 4 1.4 0.6 3 2 3 11 5 11 OUUUOO
5 6 Sp Braga 6 2 4 1.8 0.8 3 1 2 11 5 10 OOUUOO
6 7 Guimaraes 7 3 4 1.6 1.1 3 3 1 11 8 12 UUOOOU
7 10 Rio Ave 7 3 4 1.0 1.7 1 3 3 7 12 6 OOOOUU
8 13 Estrela 7 3 4 1.4 1.3 2 2 3 10 9 8 OUOOUO
9 14 Nacional 6 2 4 1.0 2.2 1 0 5 6 13 3 UOOOUO
10 15 Arouca 8 4 4 1.0 2.1 2 2 4 8 17 8 UOUUOU
11 18 AVS 7 3 4 0.7 2.0 0 2 5 5 14 2 UOOOUO
12 1 Porto 6 3 3 1.8 0.2 5 1 0 11 1 16 OOUUOU
13 9 Alverca 7 4 3 0.9 1.4 3 1 3 6 10 10 OUUOUU
14 11 Santa Clara 7 4 3 1.0 0.9 3 1 3 7 6 10 UOOUOU
15 12 Estoril 7 4 3 1.7 1.6 2 3 2 12 11 9 UOUUOO
16 16 Casa Pia 7 5 2 1.0 2.1 0 3 4 7 15 3 UUOOUU
17 17 Tondela 6 4 2 0.3 1.5 0 2 4 2 9 2 UOUOUU
18 4 Gil Vicente 6 6 0 1.2 0.5 4 0 2 7 3 12 UUUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 18 AVS 7 1 6 0.6 3.3 0 1 6 4 23 1 OOOUOO
2 3 Benfica 7 2 5 2.1 0.3 6 1 0 15 2 19 OOUOOO
3 6 Sp Braga 7 2 5 2.0 1.0 3 3 1 14 7 12 OUUOOO
4 12 Estoril 7 2 5 1.4 2.0 1 2 4 10 14 5 OUOOUO
5 15 Arouca 6 1 5 1.2 3.3 1 1 4 7 20 4 OUOOOO
6 17 Tondela 7 2 5 0.7 1.9 2 1 4 5 13 7 OUOOOU
7 1 Porto 7 3 4 2.3 0.3 7 0 0 16 2 21 OOOOUU
8 2 Sp Lisbon 7 3 4 2.1 0.6 6 1 0 15 4 19 OOUOOU
9 8 Moreirense 7 3 4 1.3 1.9 2 1 4 9 13 7 UOOUOO
10 9 Alverca 7 3 4 1.3 1.4 2 1 4 9 10 7 OOOUUU
11 10 Rio Ave 7 3 4 1.4 1.4 2 4 1 10 10 10 OUUOUO
12 16 Casa Pia 7 3 4 1.0 1.9 2 1 4 7 13 7 OUOOOU
13 4 Gil Vicente 8 6 2 1.2 0.5 3 4 1 10 4 13 UOOUUU
14 11 Santa Clara 6 4 2 0.7 1.3 1 2 3 4 8 5 OUUOUU
15 13 Estrela 6 4 2 1.0 1.7 1 3 2 6 10 6 UUUUOO
16 5 Famalicao 6 5 1 1.2 0.7 3 3 0 7 4 12 UUUUUO
17 7 Guimaraes 7 6 1 0.6 1.3 3 0 4 4 9 9 UUUUUU
18 14 Nacional 7 7 0 0.9 0.7 2 3 2 6 5 9 UUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11