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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Alverca 1–0 Nacional

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.05 fair 2.72
Draw 3.20 fair 3.80
Away 3.60 fair 2.71
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.65 fair 1.94
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 2.06

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Alverca Nacional
10 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 2
10 Fouls 19
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (113 league matches this season so far).
Result Nacional to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.88
Expected goals 1.30 – 1.31
Home / Draw / Away
AlvercaDrawNacional
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.5% 0–1 9.6% 1–0 9.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Alverca before this match, all matches
1.17points / match
1.17scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 14:19
Nacional before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 12:17
Alverca all matches all matches Nacional

Per match

1.17 Goals scored 1.00
1.58 Goals conceded 1.42
2.75 Total goals 2.42
9.42 Shots 10.83
3.58 Shots on target 3.75
12.83 Shots faced 15.50
2.92 Corners 4.58
5.00 Corners against 6.33
13.75 Fouls 14.75
2.67 Yellow cards 3.08
0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.58
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

33% Wins 25%
17% Draws 25%
50% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
92% Over 1.5 goals 75%
58% Over 2.5 goals 33%
25% Over 3.5 goals 17%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 58%
25% Clean sheets 17%
25% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 42%
42% Draws 25%
33% Losses 33%
83% Over 0.5 goals 83%
58% Over 1.5 goals 25%
17% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Alverca all matches
Nacional all matches
Alverca before this match, at home
1.17points / match
0.83scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 5:10
Nacional before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.00scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 6:4
Alverca at home away Nacional

Per match

0.83 Goals scored 1.00
1.67 Goals conceded 0.67
2.50 Total goals 1.67
11.17 Shots 11.00
4.17 Shots on target 3.67
12.33 Shots faced 12.67
3.67 Corners 4.67
4.17 Corners against 4.50
13.67 Fouls 15.17
2.50 Yellow cards 3.33
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.83
1.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

33% Wins 33%
17% Draws 50%
50% Losses 17%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 67%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%
17% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 50%
33% Clean sheets 33%
33% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 67%
0% Draws 0%
67% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 17%
17% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Alverca at home
Nacional away

Last 10 matches before this match

Alverca all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25 Casa Pia – Alverca 0–2 (0–0) 2.353.053.05 2.35 1.57
08.11.25 Alverca – Rio Ave 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.20 2.15 1.67
31.10.25 Sp Lisbon – Alverca 2–0 (0–0) 1.109.0017.00 1.36 3.10
24.10.25 Alverca – Gil Vicente 0–4 (0–2) 2.953.202.32 2.35 1.57
04.10.25 AVS – Alverca 1–3 (1–1) 2.753.202.50 2.35 1.57
28.09.25 Alverca – Guimaraes 2–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.15 2.15 1.67
20.09.25 Santa Clara – Alverca 2–1 (1–1) 1.663.106.25 2.50 1.50
12.09.25 Alverca – Tondela 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.20 2.30 1.60
31.08.25 Alverca – Benfica 1–2 (0–2) 15.006.001.17 1.60 2.30
25.08.25 Estrela – Alverca 2–2 (1–2) 1.903.404.10 2.25 1.62

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25 Nacional – Benfica 1–2 (0–0) 7.005.001.35 1.70 2.10
09.11.25 Estrela – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.202.50 2.15 1.67
01.11.25 Nacional – Famalicao 0–1 (0–1) 3.203.252.20 2.05 1.75
26.10.25 Estoril – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.253.30 2.05 1.75
04.10.25 Nacional – Moreirense 3–2 (1–1) 2.323.103.10 2.35 1.57
28.09.25 Sp Braga – Nacional 0–1 (0–1) 1.394.337.50 1.83 2.03
20.09.25 Nacional – Arouca 1–2 (0–0) 2.453.102.85 2.08 1.73
13.09.25 Porto – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.156.5017.00 1.57 2.35
30.08.25 Casa Pia – Nacional 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.203.40 2.25 1.62
23.08.25 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (1–0) 9.006.001.27 1.50 2.50

Alverca at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.25 Alverca – Rio Ave 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.20 2.15 1.67
24.10.25 Alverca – Gil Vicente 0–4 (0–2) 2.953.202.32 2.35 1.57
28.09.25 Alverca – Guimaraes 2–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.15 2.15 1.67
12.09.25 Alverca – Tondela 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.20 2.30 1.60
31.08.25 Alverca – Benfica 1–2 (0–2) 15.006.001.17 1.60 2.30
17.08.25 Alverca – Sp Braga 0–3 (0–3) 5.253.901.62 2.03 1.83

Nacional away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.25 Estrela – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.202.50 2.15 1.67
26.10.25 Estoril – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.253.30 2.05 1.75
28.09.25 Sp Braga – Nacional 0–1 (0–1) 1.394.337.50 1.83 2.03
13.09.25 Porto – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.156.5017.00 1.57 2.35
30.08.25 Casa Pia – Nacional 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.203.40 2.25 1.62
17.08.25 Rio Ave – Nacional 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.203.20 2.05 1.75
17.05.25 Porto – Nacional 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.259.50 1.57 2.35
27.04.25 Moreirense – Nacional 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.103.60 2.20 1.65
12.04.25 Boavista – Nacional 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.102.63 2.15 1.67
30.03.25 Santa Clara – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.903.204.33 2.50 1.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 12 11 1 0 25 3 +22 34 WDWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 13 10 2 1 32 7 +25 32 DWWWWD
3 Benfica 13 8 5 0 26 8 +18 29 DWWDWD
4 Gil Vicente 12 7 2 3 16 6 +10 23 LWWWDL
5 Sp Braga 13 6 4 3 25 12 +13 22 DWLWWW
6 Famalicao 13 5 5 3 14 9 +5 20 DWWLDL
7 Moreirense 13 6 2 5 21 20 +1 20 LLWLDD
8 Guimaraes 12 5 2 5 14 17 -3 17 LWLLWW
9 Rio Ave 13 3 7 3 17 21 -4 16 WWLDDW
10 Santa Clara 13 4 3 6 11 14 -3 15 LWLLDW
11 Estoril 13 3 5 5 22 21 +1 14 DDWWLD
12 Alverca 12 4 2 6 14 19 -5 14 WWLLDW
13 Nacional 12 3 3 6 12 17 -5 12 WWDLDL
14 Estrela 12 2 5 5 13 18 -5 11 WLLWDL
15 Tondela 12 2 3 7 7 20 -13 9 WLLDLW
16 Casa Pia 13 2 3 8 13 27 -14 9 DLLDLL
17 Arouca 12 2 3 7 13 34 -21 9 LDLLLL
18 AVS 13 0 3 10 9 31 -22 3 LLDDLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 6 5 1 0 11 1 +10 16 WWWDWW
2 Sp Lisbon 6 4 1 1 17 3 +14 13 WLWDWW
3 Benfica 7 3 4 0 15 6 +9 13 DDWWDD
4 Moreirense 6 4 1 1 12 7 +5 13 WWWWLD
5 Gil Vicente 6 4 0 2 7 3 +4 12 LWWWWL
6 Guimaraes 6 3 2 1 11 8 +3 11 WDDWLW
7 Sp Braga 6 3 1 2 11 5 +6 10 WDLLWW
8 Santa Clara 7 3 1 3 7 6 +1 10 DWLWLW
9 Estoril 7 2 3 2 12 11 +1 9 LWLDWD
10 Famalicao 7 2 2 3 7 5 +2 8 DLDWLL
11 Alverca 6 2 1 3 5 10 -5 7 LLWWLD
12 Rio Ave 6 1 3 2 7 11 -4 6 DDLWLD
13 Estrela 6 1 2 3 7 8 -1 5 LDLWLD
14 Arouca 7 1 2 4 7 17 -10 5 DLLDLL
15 Nacional 6 1 0 5 6 13 -7 3 LLLWLL
16 Tondela 5 0 2 3 2 7 -5 2 LDDLL
17 Casa Pia 6 0 2 4 6 14 -8 2 LLDDLL
18 AVS 7 0 2 5 5 14 -9 2 LLLDDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 7 6 1 0 15 4 +11 19 WWWWWD
2 Porto 6 6 0 0 14 2 +12 18 WWWWWW
3 Benfica 6 5 1 0 11 2 +9 16 WWWDWW
4 Sp Braga 7 3 3 1 14 7 +7 12 DDDLWW
5 Famalicao 6 3 3 0 7 4 +3 12 WWDDWD
6 Gil Vicente 6 3 2 1 9 3 +6 11 WDWLWD
7 Rio Ave 7 2 4 1 10 10 0 10 LDDWDW
8 Nacional 6 2 3 1 6 4 +2 9 DWLWDD
9 Alverca 6 2 1 3 9 9 0 7 LDLWLW
10 Moreirense 7 2 1 4 9 13 -4 7 LLLWLD
11 Casa Pia 7 2 1 4 7 13 -6 7 LWLLDL
12 Tondela 7 2 1 4 5 13 -8 7 LLWLDW
13 Estrela 6 1 3 2 6 10 -4 6 DDDLWL
14 Guimaraes 6 2 0 4 3 9 -6 6 LLWLLW
15 Estoril 6 1 2 3 10 10 0 5 LDLDWL
16 Santa Clara 6 1 2 3 4 8 -4 5 LWDLLD
17 Arouca 5 1 1 3 6 17 -11 4 LDWLL
18 AVS 6 0 1 5 4 17 -13 1 LDLLLL

Alverca   Nacional

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Sp Braga 13 4 9 1.9 0.9 6 4 3 25 12 22 UOOOOO
2 7 Moreirense 13 4 9 1.6 1.5 6 2 5 21 20 20 OOUOOO
3 18 AVS 13 4 9 0.7 2.4 0 3 10 9 31 3 OUOUOO
4 2 Sp Lisbon 13 5 8 2.5 0.5 10 2 1 32 7 32 UOUOOU
5 3 Benfica 13 5 8 2.0 0.6 8 5 0 26 8 29 UOOOOU
6 9 Rio Ave 13 5 8 1.3 1.6 3 7 3 17 21 16 OOOUUO
7 17 Arouca 12 4 8 1.1 2.8 2 3 7 13 34 9 OUOUOO
8 1 Porto 12 5 7 2.1 0.2 11 1 0 25 3 34 OUOOUU
9 11 Estoril 13 6 7 1.7 1.6 3 5 5 22 21 14 OUOOUO
10 12 Alverca 12 5 7 1.2 1.6 4 2 6 14 19 14 UOOUUU
11 15 Tondela 12 5 7 0.6 1.7 2 3 7 7 20 9 OOOOUU
12 16 Casa Pia 13 7 6 1.0 2.1 2 3 8 13 27 9 OOOOUU
13 8 Guimaraes 12 7 5 1.2 1.4 5 2 5 14 17 17 UOUOUO
14 10 Santa Clara 13 8 5 0.8 1.1 4 3 6 11 14 15 OUUOUU
15 14 Estrela 12 7 5 1.1 1.5 2 5 5 13 18 11 OUOOUO
16 6 Famalicao 13 9 4 1.1 0.7 5 5 3 14 9 20 UUUUOO
17 13 Nacional 12 8 4 1.0 1.4 3 3 6 12 17 12 UOUUUO
18 4 Gil Vicente 12 10 2 1.3 0.5 7 2 3 16 6 23 OUOUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 7 Moreirense 6 1 5 2.0 1.2 4 1 1 12 7 13 OUOOOO
2 2 Sp Lisbon 6 2 4 2.8 0.5 4 1 1 17 3 13 OOOUUO
3 3 Benfica 7 3 4 2.1 0.9 3 4 0 15 6 13 UUOOOU
4 5 Sp Braga 6 2 4 1.8 0.8 3 1 2 11 5 10 OOUUOO
5 8 Guimaraes 6 2 4 1.8 1.3 3 2 1 11 8 11 OUUOOO
6 9 Rio Ave 6 2 4 1.2 1.8 1 3 2 7 11 6 UOOOOU
7 13 Nacional 6 2 4 1.0 2.2 1 0 5 6 13 3 UOOOUO
8 17 Arouca 7 3 4 1.0 2.4 1 2 4 7 17 5 OUOUUO
9 18 AVS 7 3 4 0.7 2.0 0 2 5 5 14 2 UOOOUO
10 1 Porto 6 3 3 1.8 0.2 5 1 0 11 1 16 OOUUOU
11 6 Famalicao 7 4 3 1.0 0.7 2 2 3 7 5 8 UOUUUO
12 10 Santa Clara 7 4 3 1.0 0.9 3 1 3 7 6 10 UOOUOU
13 11 Estoril 7 4 3 1.7 1.6 2 3 2 12 11 9 UOUUOO
14 12 Alverca 6 3 3 0.8 1.7 2 1 3 5 10 7 OOUUOU
15 14 Estrela 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 1 2 3 7 8 5 UOUOOU
16 15 Tondela 5 3 2 0.4 1.4 0 2 3 2 7 2 UOUOU
17 16 Casa Pia 6 4 2 1.0 2.3 0 2 4 6 14 2 UUUOOU
18 4 Gil Vicente 6 6 0 1.2 0.5 4 0 2 7 3 12 UUUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Sp Braga 7 2 5 2.0 1.0 3 3 1 14 7 12 OUUOOO
2 15 Tondela 7 2 5 0.7 1.9 2 1 4 5 13 7 OUOOOU
3 18 AVS 6 1 5 0.7 2.8 0 1 5 4 17 1 OOOOUO
4 1 Porto 6 2 4 2.3 0.3 6 0 0 14 2 18 UOOOOU
5 2 Sp Lisbon 7 3 4 2.1 0.6 6 1 0 15 4 19 OOUOOU
6 3 Benfica 6 2 4 1.8 0.3 5 1 0 11 2 16 UOOUOO
7 7 Moreirense 7 3 4 1.3 1.9 2 1 4 9 13 7 UOOUOO
8 9 Rio Ave 7 3 4 1.4 1.4 2 4 1 10 10 10 OUUOUO
9 11 Estoril 6 2 4 1.7 1.7 1 2 3 10 10 5 OOUOOU
10 12 Alverca 6 2 4 1.5 1.5 2 1 3 9 9 7 OOOOUU
11 16 Casa Pia 7 3 4 1.0 1.9 2 1 4 7 13 7 OUOOOU
12 17 Arouca 5 1 4 1.2 3.4 1 1 3 6 17 4 OUOOO
13 4 Gil Vicente 6 4 2 1.5 0.5 3 2 1 9 3 11 UUUOOU
14 10 Santa Clara 6 4 2 0.7 1.3 1 2 3 4 8 5 OUUOUU
15 14 Estrela 6 4 2 1.0 1.7 1 3 2 6 10 6 UUUUOO
16 6 Famalicao 6 5 1 1.2 0.7 3 3 0 7 4 12 UUUUUO
17 8 Guimaraes 6 5 1 0.5 1.5 2 0 4 3 9 6 OUUUUU
18 13 Nacional 6 6 0 1.0 0.7 2 3 1 6 4 9 UUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10