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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Nacional 2–0 Porto

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 8.50 fair 4.40
Draw 4.75 fair 4.19
Away 1.36 fair 1.87
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.08 fair 2.07
Over 2.5 1.73 fair 1.93

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nacional Porto
7 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
1 Corners 10
8 Fouls 11
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (152 league matches this season so far).
Result Porto to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.03 – 1.71
Home / Draw / Away
NacionalDrawPorto
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3% 0–1 11% 1–2 9.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Nacional before this match, all matches
0.81points / match
0.69scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 11:23
Porto before this match, all matches
2.50points / match
2.50scored / match
0.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 40:9
Nacional all matches all matches Porto

Per match

0.69 Goals scored 2.50
1.44 Goals conceded 0.56
2.13 Total goals 3.06
12.81 Shots 14.25
3.75 Shots on target 6.38
14.88 Shots faced 7.44
4.44 Corners 5.75
6.50 Corners against 2.88
13.81 Fouls 13.94
2.25 Yellow cards 2.44
0.44 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.13

How often Full Time

19% Wins 81%
25% Draws 6%
56% Losses 13%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
63% Over 1.5 goals 100%
31% Over 2.5 goals 63%
13% Over 3.5 goals 31%
6% Over 4.5 goals 13%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
31% Both teams scored 25%
31% Clean sheets 69%
50% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 56%
50% Draws 38%
31% Losses 6%
63% Over 0.5 goals 69%
25% Over 1.5 goals 31%
6% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional all matches
Porto all matches
Nacional before this match, at home
1.43points / match
0.86scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 6:11
Porto before this match, away
1.86points / match
2.14scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 15:7
Nacional at home away Porto

Per match

0.86 Goals scored 2.14
1.57 Goals conceded 1.00
2.43 Total goals 3.14
12.57 Shots 10.86
4.29 Shots on target 4.71
14.29 Shots faced 7.71
4.86 Corners 3.57
5.57 Corners against 2.57
13.57 Fouls 14.71
2.00 Yellow cards 3.71
0.57 1st-half goals scored 1.14
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.29

How often Full Time

43% Wins 57%
14% Draws 14%
43% Losses 29%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 100%
29% Over 2.5 goals 57%
14% Over 3.5 goals 29%
14% Over 4.5 goals 29%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
14% Both teams scored 29%
57% Clean sheets 57%
43% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 43%
57% Draws 43%
14% Losses 14%
43% Over 0.5 goals 71%
29% Over 1.5 goals 43%
14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional at home
Porto away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.24 Rio Ave – Nacional 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.103.50 2.08 1.73
23.12.24 Guimaraes – Nacional 2–2 (1–1) 1.533.906.25 1.98 1.88
19.12.24 Nacional – Benfica 0–2 (0–0) 8.507.001.25 1.40 2.88
14.12.24 Nacional – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.102.60 2.25 1.62
07.12.24 Gil Vicente – Nacional 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.303.80 2.08 1.73
30.11.24 Nacional – Boavista 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.00 2.15 1.67
10.11.24 Estrela – Nacional 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.70
04.11.24 Nacional – Santa Clara 2–0 (2–0) 3.303.102.25 2.35 1.57
25.10.24 Casa Pia – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 2.25 1.62
29.09.24 Famalicao – Nacional 0–0 (0–0) 1.603.755.75 2.00 1.85

Porto all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.12.24 Porto – Boavista 4–0 (1–0) 1.139.0015.00 1.40 2.88
21.12.24 Moreirense – Porto 0–3 (0–1) 7.004.101.48 2.05 1.75
16.12.24 Porto – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 1.147.5019.00 1.48 2.60
07.12.24 Famalicao – Porto 1–1 (1–0) 6.004.331.50 1.95 1.90
02.12.24 Porto – Casa Pia 2–0 (0–0) 1.206.2513.00 1.53 2.40
10.11.24 Benfica – Porto 4–1 (1–1) 2.103.303.50 1.98 1.88
03.11.24 Porto – Estoril 4–0 (2–0) 1.148.0015.00 1.44 2.70
28.10.24 AVS – Porto 0–5 (0–4) 9.005.501.30 1.75 2.05
06.10.24 Porto – Sp Braga 2–1 (1–0) 1.603.756.00 1.67 2.15
29.09.24 Porto – Arouca 4–0 (0–0) 1.206.2515.00 1.53 2.40

Nacional at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.12.24 Nacional – Benfica 0–2 (0–0) 8.507.001.25 1.40 2.88
14.12.24 Nacional – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.102.60 2.25 1.62
30.11.24 Nacional – Boavista 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.00 2.15 1.67
04.11.24 Nacional – Santa Clara 2–0 (2–0) 3.303.102.25 2.35 1.57
20.09.24 Nacional – Sp Braga 0–3 (0–0) 5.253.801.65 1.62 2.25
01.09.24 Nacional – Farense 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.403.20 1.90 1.95
17.08.24 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–6 (1–2) 10.006.001.25 1.57 2.35

Porto away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.24 Moreirense – Porto 0–3 (0–1) 7.004.101.48 2.05 1.75
07.12.24 Famalicao – Porto 1–1 (1–0) 6.004.331.50 1.95 1.90
10.11.24 Benfica – Porto 4–1 (1–1) 2.103.303.50 1.98 1.88
28.10.24 AVS – Porto 0–5 (0–4) 9.005.501.30 1.75 2.05
21.09.24 Guimaraes – Porto 0–3 (0–0) 3.503.102.20 2.20 1.65
31.08.24 Sp Lisbon – Porto 2–0 (0–0) 1.753.804.33 1.70 2.10
16.08.24 Santa Clara – Porto 0–2 (0–2) 6.004.101.53 1.95 1.90
18.05.24 Sp Braga – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.10 1.57 2.35
04.05.24 Chaves – Porto 0–3 (0–2) 10.005.501.29 1.50 2.50
21.04.24 Casa Pia – Porto 1–2 (1–1) 8.005.001.36 1.95 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 17 13 2 2 48 14 +34 41 LLWDWD
2 Porto 16 13 1 2 40 9 +31 40 LWDWWW
3 Benfica 17 12 2 3 38 11 +27 38 WDWWLL
4 Sp Braga 17 9 4 4 30 19 +11 31 WDDWLW
5 Santa Clara 17 10 1 6 18 16 +2 31 WWLLWD
6 Guimaraes 17 6 7 4 26 22 +4 25 WLDDDD
7 Casa Pia 17 6 6 5 19 20 -1 24 LDWWWD
8 Moreirense 17 6 4 7 22 25 -3 22 LWLLDD
9 Famalicao 17 4 8 5 20 20 0 20 LDDLLD
10 Rio Ave 17 5 5 7 18 28 -10 20 WLDLWD
11 Gil Vicente 17 4 7 6 19 26 -7 19 LWWDDD
12 Estoril 17 4 6 7 18 28 -10 18 WDLLDW
13 Estrela 17 4 4 9 16 29 -13 16 LWLWDL
14 AVS 17 2 9 6 13 24 -11 15 LDDDDD
15 Arouca 17 4 3 10 13 28 -15 15 LLWLDW
16 Farense 17 3 5 9 11 23 -12 14 WDLWDD
17 Nacional 16 3 4 9 11 23 -12 13 DLWLDL
18 Boavista 17 2 6 9 11 26 -15 12 DDLDLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 9 9 0 0 25 2 +23 27 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 9 8 0 1 27 5 +22 24 WWWWWL
3 Sp Lisbon 8 7 0 1 19 5 +14 21 WWWLWW
4 Santa Clara 9 6 1 2 8 6 +2 19 WWWWLD
5 Rio Ave 8 4 4 0 14 10 +4 16 DDDWDW
6 Guimaraes 8 4 3 1 16 12 +4 15 LDWWDD
7 Moreirense 8 4 3 1 11 9 +2 15 DWWWLD
8 Estrela 9 4 2 3 13 14 -1 14 WDWWWL
9 Gil Vicente 8 3 4 1 12 7 +5 13 DWLWDD
10 Casa Pia 9 3 4 2 11 9 +2 13 DWDDWD
11 Sp Braga 9 3 3 3 18 15 +3 12 WWLDDL
12 Estoril 9 3 3 3 10 13 -3 12 LWDWLD
13 Famalicao 9 2 4 3 7 9 -2 10 DLDDLL
14 AVS 9 2 4 3 7 12 -5 10 DLLLDD
15 Nacional 7 3 1 3 6 11 -5 10 WLWDWL
16 Arouca 8 2 2 4 5 10 -5 8 LDLLWD
17 Farense 8 2 1 5 6 13 -7 7 LWLWLD
18 Boavista 8 0 3 5 2 12 -10 3 LLLDDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 9 6 2 1 29 9 +20 20 WWWLDD
2 Sp Braga 8 6 1 1 12 4 +8 19 WLWWWW
3 Benfica 8 4 2 2 11 6 +5 14 WWWDWL
4 Porto 7 4 1 2 15 7 +8 13 LWWLDW
5 Santa Clara 8 4 0 4 10 10 0 12 LLLWLW
6 Casa Pia 8 3 2 3 8 11 -3 11 DLDLWW
7 Famalicao 8 2 4 2 13 11 +2 10 DDWLDD
8 Guimaraes 9 2 4 3 10 10 0 10 DDLLDD
9 Boavista 9 2 3 4 9 14 -5 9 LDWDLL
10 Moreirense 9 2 1 6 11 16 -5 7 LWLLLD
11 Farense 9 1 4 4 5 10 -5 7 DLDDWD
12 Arouca 9 2 1 6 8 18 -10 7 LLDLLW
13 Estoril 8 1 3 4 8 15 -7 6 DLLDLW
14 Gil Vicente 9 1 3 5 7 19 -12 6 LLLLWD
15 AVS 8 0 5 3 6 12 -6 5 LDDDDD
16 Rio Ave 9 1 1 7 4 18 -14 4 LLWLLD
17 Nacional 9 0 3 6 5 12 -7 3 DLLLDL
18 Estrela 8 0 2 6 3 15 -12 2 LLLLLD

Nacional   Porto

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 17 5 12 2.8 0.8 13 2 2 48 14 41 UOOUUO
2 2 Porto 16 6 10 2.5 0.6 13 1 2 40 9 40 OUUUOO
3 4 Sp Braga 17 7 10 1.8 1.1 9 4 4 30 19 31 UOOUOO
4 8 Moreirense 17 7 10 1.3 1.5 6 4 7 22 25 22 OOUOOU
5 12 Estoril 17 7 10 1.1 1.6 4 6 7 18 28 18 OOUOOO
6 3 Benfica 17 8 9 2.2 0.6 12 2 3 38 11 38 UUUOUO
7 6 Guimaraes 17 8 9 1.5 1.3 6 7 4 26 22 25 OUOOOO
8 11 Gil Vicente 17 8 9 1.1 1.5 4 7 6 19 26 19 OOUUUU
9 9 Famalicao 17 9 8 1.2 1.2 4 8 5 20 20 20 OUOOOU
10 10 Rio Ave 17 9 8 1.1 1.6 5 5 7 18 28 20 OUOUOU
11 13 Estrela 17 9 8 0.9 1.7 4 4 9 16 29 16 UOUUUO
12 15 Arouca 17 9 8 0.8 1.6 4 3 10 13 28 15 UOUOUO
13 18 Boavista 17 10 7 0.6 1.5 2 6 9 11 26 12 UUOUOO
14 16 Farense 17 11 6 0.6 1.4 3 5 9 11 23 14 UUUOOU
15 5 Santa Clara 17 12 5 1.1 0.9 10 1 6 18 16 31 UUUUOU
16 7 Casa Pia 17 12 5 1.1 1.2 6 6 5 19 20 24 UUUOOU
17 14 AVS 17 12 5 0.8 1.4 2 9 6 13 24 15 UUUUUU
18 17 Nacional 16 11 5 0.7 1.4 3 4 9 11 23 13 UOUUOO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Benfica 9 2 7 3.0 0.6 8 0 1 27 5 24 OOOUOO
2 2 Porto 9 3 6 2.8 0.2 9 0 0 25 2 27 OOOUUO
3 4 Sp Braga 9 3 6 2.0 1.7 3 3 3 18 15 12 OUOOOO
4 6 Guimaraes 8 2 6 2.0 1.5 4 3 1 16 12 15 OOUOOO
5 13 Estrela 9 3 6 1.4 1.6 4 2 3 13 14 14 OOUOUO
6 10 Rio Ave 8 3 5 1.8 1.2 4 4 0 14 10 16 OUOOOO
7 12 Estoril 9 4 5 1.1 1.4 3 3 3 10 13 12 OOUOUO
8 1 Sp Lisbon 8 4 4 2.4 0.6 7 0 1 19 5 21 OUOUOU
9 8 Moreirense 8 4 4 1.4 1.1 4 3 1 11 9 15 UUOOOU
10 11 Gil Vicente 8 4 4 1.5 0.9 3 4 1 12 7 13 UOOOUU
11 16 Farense 8 4 4 0.8 1.6 2 1 5 6 13 7 UUOUUO
12 9 Famalicao 9 6 3 0.8 1.0 2 4 3 7 9 10 UOUUOO
13 5 Santa Clara 9 7 2 0.9 0.7 6 1 2 8 6 19 UOUUUU
14 7 Casa Pia 9 7 2 1.2 1.0 3 4 2 11 9 13 UUUUOU
15 14 AVS 9 7 2 0.8 1.3 2 4 3 7 12 10 UOOUUU
16 15 Arouca 8 6 2 0.6 1.2 2 2 4 5 10 8 OUOUUU
17 17 Nacional 7 5 2 0.9 1.6 3 1 3 6 11 10 UOUUUU
18 18 Boavista 8 6 2 0.2 1.5 0 3 5 2 12 3 OUUUUO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 9 1 8 3.2 1.0 6 2 1 29 9 20 OOOOUO
2 8 Moreirense 9 3 6 1.2 1.8 2 1 6 11 16 7 OUUOUO
3 15 Arouca 9 3 6 0.9 2.0 2 1 6 8 18 7 OOUOOO
4 9 Famalicao 8 3 5 1.6 1.4 2 4 2 13 11 10 UUOOOU
5 11 Gil Vicente 9 4 5 0.8 2.1 1 3 5 7 19 6 OOOOUU
6 12 Estoril 8 3 5 1.0 1.9 1 3 4 8 15 6 OUOOOO
7 18 Boavista 9 4 5 1.0 1.6 2 3 4 9 14 9 UOOUOO
8 2 Porto 7 3 4 2.1 1.0 4 1 2 15 7 13 UOOOUO
9 4 Sp Braga 8 4 4 1.5 0.5 6 1 1 12 4 19 OOOUUO
10 5 Santa Clara 8 5 3 1.2 1.2 4 0 4 10 10 12 OUUUUO
11 6 Guimaraes 9 6 3 1.1 1.1 2 4 3 10 10 10 UOUUOO
12 7 Casa Pia 8 5 3 1.0 1.4 3 2 3 8 11 11 UUOUUO
13 10 Rio Ave 9 6 3 0.4 2.0 1 1 7 4 18 4 OOUUUU
14 14 AVS 8 5 3 0.8 1.5 0 5 3 6 12 5 OUUUUU
15 17 Nacional 9 6 3 0.6 1.3 0 3 6 5 12 3 UUUOOO
16 3 Benfica 8 6 2 1.4 0.8 4 2 2 11 6 14 OOUUUU
17 13 Estrela 8 6 2 0.4 1.9 0 2 6 3 15 2 UOOUUU
18 16 Farense 9 7 2 0.6 1.1 1 4 4 5 10 7 UUUUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47