Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: P Tierney

Brighton 1–1 Bournemouth

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.85 fair 1.89
Draw ✓ 3.90 fair 4.70
Away 3.80 fair 3.88
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.63 fair 3.03
Over 2.5 1.50 fair 1.49

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Brighton Bournemouth
17 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 2
11 Corners 6
7 Fouls 6
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (219 league matches this season so far).
Result Brighton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.53
Expected goals 2.06 – 1.39
Home / Draw / Away
BrightonDrawBournemouth
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.4% 1–1 9.1% 2–0 6.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Brighton before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
1.48scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 31:28
Bournemouth before this match, all matches
1.24points / match
1.62scored / match
1.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 34:40
Brighton all matches all matches Bournemouth

Per match

1.48 Goals scored 1.62
1.33 Goals conceded 1.90
2.81 Total goals 3.52
13.19 Shots 13.81
4.43 Shots on target 5.00
12.71 Shots faced 12.38
4.67 Corners 5.67
4.62 Corners against 4.71
12.29 Fouls 12.86
2.62 Yellow cards 2.43
0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.81
0.76 1st-half goals conceded 0.81

How often Full Time

33% Wins 29%
38% Draws 38%
29% Losses 33%
90% Over 0.5 goals 90%
90% Over 1.5 goals 76%
52% Over 2.5 goals 67%
24% Over 3.5 goals 62%
10% Over 4.5 goals 33%
10% Over 5.5 goals 14%
67% Both teams scored 67%
24% Clean sheets 24%
19% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 33%
24% Draws 38%
52% Losses 29%
81% Over 0.5 goals 76%
19% Over 1.5 goals 57%
14% Over 2.5 goals 24%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton all matches
Bournemouth all matches
Brighton before this match, at home
1.90points / match
1.80scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 18:11
Bournemouth before this match, away
0.70points / match
1.80scored / match
2.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 18:29
Brighton at home away Bournemouth

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 1.80
1.10 Goals conceded 2.90
2.90 Total goals 4.70
14.40 Shots 14.00
5.10 Shots on target 5.90
10.80 Shots faced 16.30
5.00 Corners 6.20
5.00 Corners against 6.00
11.10 Fouls 12.80
1.60 Yellow cards 2.70
0.70 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.30

How often Full Time

50% Wins 10%
40% Draws 40%
10% Losses 50%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
90% Over 1.5 goals 90%
60% Over 2.5 goals 90%
20% Over 3.5 goals 90%
10% Over 4.5 goals 50%
10% Over 5.5 goals 30%
70% Both teams scored 80%
30% Clean sheets 10%
10% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 30%
40% Draws 20%
20% Losses 50%
70% Over 0.5 goals 100%
20% Over 1.5 goals 80%
20% Over 2.5 goals 40%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton at home
Bournemouth away

Last 10 matches before this match

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.01.26 Man City – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.405.256.50 1.44 2.75
03.01.26 Brighton – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.484.337.00 1.73 2.10
30.12.25 West Ham – Brighton 2–2 (2–1) 3.403.752.00 1.67 2.20
27.12.25 Arsenal – Brighton 2–1 (1–0) 1.424.757.00 1.67 2.20
20.12.25 Brighton – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 1.674.005.25 1.85 2.00
13.12.25 Liverpool – Brighton 2–0 (1–0) 1.674.004.75 1.53 2.50
07.12.25 Brighton – West Ham 1–1 (0–0) 1.554.335.75 1.62 2.30
03.12.25 Brighton – Aston Villa 3–4 (2–2) 2.153.503.40 1.88 1.98
30.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 2.753.302.63 1.91 1.91
22.11.25 Brighton – Brentford 2–1 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10

Bournemouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.01.26 Bournemouth – Tottenham 3–2 (2–1) 2.103.603.30 1.73 2.10
03.01.26 Bournemouth – Arsenal 2–3 (1–1) 6.504.751.44 1.62 2.30
30.12.25 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–2 (2–2) 1.504.755.75 1.50 2.63
27.12.25 Brentford – Bournemouth 4–1 (2–0) 2.253.603.00 1.67 2.20
20.12.25 Bournemouth – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.336.50 1.67 2.20
15.12.25 Man United – Bournemouth 4–4 (2–1) 1.834.003.80 1.57 2.38
06.12.25 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.752.15 1.62 2.30
02.12.25 Bournemouth – Everton 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.253.30 1.98 1.88
29.11.25 Sunderland – Bournemouth 3–2 (1–2) 3.203.302.30 2.00 1.85
22.11.25 Bournemouth – West Ham 2–2 (0–2) 1.624.204.75 1.67 2.20

Brighton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.01.26 Brighton – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.484.337.00 1.73 2.10
20.12.25 Brighton – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 1.674.005.25 1.85 2.00
07.12.25 Brighton – West Ham 1–1 (0–0) 1.554.335.75 1.62 2.30
03.12.25 Brighton – Aston Villa 3–4 (2–2) 2.153.503.40 1.88 1.98
22.11.25 Brighton – Brentford 2–1 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10
01.11.25 Brighton – Leeds 3–0 (1–0) 1.853.754.00 1.85 2.00
18.10.25 Brighton – Newcastle 2–1 (1–0) 2.633.402.60 1.88 1.98
20.09.25 Brighton – Tottenham 2–2 (2–1) 2.253.703.00 1.67 2.20
31.08.25 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 3.803.901.90 1.62 2.30
16.08.25 Brighton – Fulham 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10

Bournemouth away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.25 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–2 (2–2) 1.504.755.75 1.50 2.63
27.12.25 Brentford – Bournemouth 4–1 (2–0) 2.253.603.00 1.67 2.20
15.12.25 Man United – Bournemouth 4–4 (2–1) 1.834.003.80 1.57 2.38
29.11.25 Sunderland – Bournemouth 3–2 (1–2) 3.203.302.30 2.00 1.85
09.11.25 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 4–0 (2–0) 2.203.403.25 1.88 1.98
02.11.25 Man City – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–1) 1.504.755.75 1.53 2.50
18.10.25 Crystal Palace – Bournemouth 3–3 (0–2) 2.203.403.25 1.95 1.90
27.09.25 Leeds – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–1) 3.103.252.38 2.03 1.83
30.08.25 Tottenham – Bournemouth 0–1 (0–1) 1.734.204.20 1.57 2.38
15.08.25 Liverpool – Bournemouth 4–2 (1–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Brighton winsDrawsBournemouth wins
7matches
2.71goals / match
71%over 2.5
57%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25E0 Bournemouth – Brighton 2–1 (1–0) 2.353.502.90 1.67 2.20
25.02.25E0 Brighton – Bournemouth 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.803.30 1.62 2.30
23.11.24E0 Bournemouth – Brighton 1–2 (0–1) 2.403.602.80 1.57 2.38
28.04.24E0 Bournemouth – Brighton 3–0 (1–0) 2.253.802.90 1.44 2.75
24.09.23E0 Brighton – Bournemouth 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.257.50 1.36 3.20
04.04.23E0 Bournemouth – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 6.004.201.53 1.80 2.00
04.02.23E0 Brighton – Bournemouth 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.50 1.73 2.10

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 22 15 5 2 40 14 +26 50
2 Man City 22 13 4 5 45 21 +24 43
3 Aston Villa 22 13 4 5 33 25 +8 43
4 Liverpool 22 10 6 6 33 29 +4 36
5 Man United 22 9 8 5 38 32 +6 35
6 Chelsea 22 9 7 6 36 24 +12 34
7 Brentford 22 10 3 9 35 30 +5 33
8 Newcastle 22 9 6 7 32 27 +5 33
9 Sunderland 22 8 9 5 23 23 0 33
10 Everton 22 9 5 8 24 25 -1 32
11 Fulham 22 9 4 9 30 31 -1 31
12 Brighton 21 7 8 6 31 28 +3 29
13 Crystal Palace 22 7 7 8 23 25 -2 28
14 Tottenham 22 7 6 9 31 29 +2 27
15 Bournemouth 21 6 8 7 34 40 -6 26
16 Leeds 22 6 7 9 30 37 -7 25
17 Nott'm Forest 22 6 4 12 21 34 -13 22
18 West Ham 22 4 5 13 24 44 -20 17
19 Burnley 22 3 5 14 23 42 -19 14
20 Wolves 22 1 5 16 15 41 -26 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 11 9 2 0 26 5 +21 29
2 Man City 11 8 2 1 27 8 +19 26
3 Aston Villa 11 8 1 2 18 9 +9 25
4 Brentford 11 7 3 1 23 10 +13 24
5 Sunderland 11 6 5 0 18 9 +9 23
6 Newcastle 11 7 2 2 22 15 +7 23
7 Man United 11 6 3 2 20 13 +7 21
8 Liverpool 11 6 3 2 16 11 +5 21
9 Fulham 11 6 2 3 19 13 +6 20
10 Brighton 10 5 4 1 18 11 +7 19
11 Leeds 11 5 4 2 19 13 +6 19
12 Bournemouth 11 5 4 2 16 11 +5 19
13 Chelsea 11 5 3 3 17 11 +6 18
14 Everton 11 4 3 4 14 15 -1 15
15 Crystal Palace 11 2 6 3 10 12 -2 12
16 Nott'm Forest 11 3 2 6 12 17 -5 11
17 Tottenham 11 2 3 6 13 14 -1 9
18 Burnley 11 2 3 6 10 15 -5 9
19 West Ham 11 2 1 8 13 25 -12 7
20 Wolves 11 1 2 8 10 23 -13 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 11 6 3 2 14 9 +5 21
2 Tottenham 11 5 3 3 18 15 +3 18
3 Aston Villa 11 5 3 3 15 16 -1 18
4 Man City 11 5 2 4 18 13 +5 17
5 Everton 11 5 2 4 10 10 0 17
6 Chelsea 11 4 4 3 19 13 +6 16
7 Crystal Palace 11 5 1 5 13 13 0 16
8 Liverpool 11 4 3 4 17 18 -1 15
9 Man United 11 3 5 3 18 19 -1 14
10 Fulham 11 3 2 6 11 18 -7 11
11 Nott'm Forest 11 3 2 6 9 17 -8 11
12 Newcastle 11 2 4 5 10 12 -2 10
13 Brighton 11 2 4 5 13 17 -4 10
14 West Ham 11 2 4 5 11 19 -8 10
15 Sunderland 11 2 4 5 5 14 -9 10
16 Brentford 11 3 0 8 12 20 -8 9
17 Bournemouth 10 1 4 5 18 29 -11 7
18 Leeds 11 1 3 7 11 24 -13 6
19 Burnley 11 1 2 8 13 27 -14 5
20 Wolves 11 0 3 8 5 18 -13 3

Brighton   Bournemouth

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 West Ham 22 7 15 1.1 2.0 4 5 13 24 44 17
2 14 Tottenham 22 8 14 1.4 1.3 7 6 9 31 29 27
3 15 Bournemouth 21 7 14 1.6 1.9 6 8 7 34 40 26
4 2 Man City 22 9 13 2.0 1.0 13 4 5 45 21 43
5 3 Aston Villa 22 9 13 1.5 1.1 13 4 5 33 25 43
6 4 Liverpool 22 9 13 1.5 1.3 10 6 6 33 29 36
7 5 Man United 22 9 13 1.7 1.5 9 8 5 38 32 35
8 6 Chelsea 22 9 13 1.6 1.1 9 7 6 36 24 34
9 8 Newcastle 22 9 13 1.5 1.2 9 6 7 32 27 33
10 16 Leeds 22 9 13 1.4 1.7 6 7 9 30 37 25
11 7 Brentford 22 10 12 1.6 1.4 10 3 9 35 30 33
12 17 Nott'm Forest 22 10 12 1.0 1.5 6 4 12 21 34 22
13 11 Fulham 22 11 11 1.4 1.4 9 4 9 30 31 31
14 12 Brighton 21 10 11 1.5 1.3 7 8 6 31 28 29
15 19 Burnley 22 11 11 1.0 1.9 3 5 14 23 42 14
16 1 Arsenal 22 12 10 1.8 0.6 15 5 2 40 14 50
17 13 Crystal Palace 22 12 10 1.0 1.1 7 7 8 23 25 28
18 20 Wolves 22 12 10 0.7 1.9 1 5 16 15 41 8
19 9 Sunderland 22 14 8 1.0 1.0 8 9 5 23 23 33
20 10 Everton 22 15 7 1.1 1.1 9 5 8 24 25 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Newcastle 11 3 8 2.0 1.4 7 2 2 22 15 23
2 18 West Ham 11 3 8 1.2 2.3 2 1 8 13 25 7
3 2 Man City 11 4 7 2.5 0.7 8 2 1 27 8 26
4 3 Aston Villa 11 4 7 1.6 0.8 8 1 2 18 9 25
5 7 Brentford 11 4 7 2.1 0.9 7 3 1 23 10 24
6 16 Leeds 11 4 7 1.7 1.2 5 4 2 19 13 19
7 17 Nott'm Forest 11 4 7 1.1 1.5 3 2 6 12 17 11
8 1 Arsenal 11 5 6 2.4 0.5 9 2 0 26 5 29
9 6 Chelsea 11 5 6 1.5 1.0 5 3 3 17 11 18
10 11 Fulham 11 5 6 1.7 1.2 6 2 3 19 13 20
11 12 Brighton 10 4 6 1.8 1.1 5 4 1 18 11 19
12 14 Tottenham 11 5 6 1.2 1.3 2 3 6 13 14 9
13 20 Wolves 11 5 6 0.9 2.1 1 2 8 10 23 5
14 4 Liverpool 11 6 5 1.5 1.0 6 3 2 16 11 21
15 9 Sunderland 11 6 5 1.6 0.8 6 5 0 18 9 23
16 10 Everton 11 6 5 1.3 1.4 4 3 4 14 15 15
17 15 Bournemouth 11 6 5 1.5 1.0 5 4 2 16 11 19
18 5 Man United 11 7 4 1.8 1.2 6 3 2 20 13 21
19 13 Crystal Palace 11 7 4 0.9 1.1 2 6 3 10 12 12
20 19 Burnley 11 8 3 0.9 1.4 2 3 6 10 15 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Man United 11 2 9 1.6 1.7 3 5 3 18 19 14
2 15 Bournemouth 10 1 9 1.8 2.9 1 4 5 18 29 7
3 4 Liverpool 11 3 8 1.5 1.6 4 3 4 17 18 15
4 14 Tottenham 11 3 8 1.6 1.4 5 3 3 18 15 18
5 19 Burnley 11 3 8 1.2 2.5 1 2 8 13 27 5
6 6 Chelsea 11 4 7 1.7 1.2 4 4 3 19 13 16
7 18 West Ham 11 4 7 1.0 1.7 2 4 5 11 19 10
8 2 Man City 11 5 6 1.6 1.2 5 2 4 18 13 17
9 3 Aston Villa 11 5 6 1.4 1.5 5 3 3 15 16 18
10 13 Crystal Palace 11 5 6 1.2 1.2 5 1 5 13 13 16
11 16 Leeds 11 5 6 1.0 2.2 1 3 7 11 24 6
12 7 Brentford 11 6 5 1.1 1.8 3 0 8 12 20 9
13 8 Newcastle 11 6 5 0.9 1.1 2 4 5 10 12 10
14 11 Fulham 11 6 5 1.0 1.6 3 2 6 11 18 11
15 12 Brighton 11 6 5 1.2 1.5 2 4 5 13 17 10
16 17 Nott'm Forest 11 6 5 0.8 1.5 3 2 6 9 17 11
17 1 Arsenal 11 7 4 1.3 0.8 6 3 2 14 9 21
18 20 Wolves 11 7 4 0.5 1.6 0 3 8 5 18 3
19 9 Sunderland 11 8 3 0.5 1.3 2 4 5 5 14 10
20 10 Everton 11 9 2 0.9 0.9 5 2 4 10 10 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51