Brighton 3–4 Aston Villa – England Premier League, 3 Dec 2025

Match facts

Brighton Aston Villa

16 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 10

5 Corners 6

10 Fouls 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (133 league matches this season so far).

Result Brighton to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.86

Expected goals 1.50 – 1.18

Home / Draw / Away

45% 26% 30%

BrightonDrawAston Villa

Under / Over 2.5 goals

50% 50%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

46% 54%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

18% 1

25% 2

22% 3

15% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.1% 1–0 10.3% 2–1 9.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Brighton before this match, all matches

1.69points / match

1.62scored / match

1.23conceded / match

6 4 3

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 21:16

Aston Villa before this match, all matches

1.85points / match

1.23scored / match

0.85conceded / match

7 3 3

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 16:11

Brighton all matches all matches Aston Villa

Per match

1.62 Goals scored 1.23

1.23 Goals conceded 0.85

2.85 Total goals 2.08

12.62 Shots 11.46

4.69 Shots on target 3.69

11.23 Shots faced 12.31

5.00 Corners 5.31

4.38 Corners against 5.00

12.00 Fouls 10.31

2.54 Yellow cards 1.54

0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.46

0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.46

How often Full Time

46% Wins 54%

31% Draws 23%

23% Losses 23%

92% Over 0.5 goals 85%

92% Over 1.5 goals 62%

62% Over 2.5 goals 46%

23% Over 3.5 goals 15%

8% Over 4.5 goals 0%

8% Over 5.5 goals 0%

69% Both teams scored 38%

23% Clean sheets 38%

15% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 23%

15% Draws 46%

54% Losses 31%

85% Over 0.5 goals 69%

15% Over 1.5 goals 23%

8% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton all matches

1

2

L

2

D

3

1

W

1

D

2

1

W

2

4

L

3

W

D

2

1

W

2

W

Aston Villa all matches

D

1

D

3

1

W

2

1

W

2

1

W

1

W

2

L

4

W

2

1

W

1

W

Brighton before this match, at home

2.33points / match

2.00scored / match

1.00conceded / match

4 2

WonDrawnLost 6 played · 12:6

Aston Villa before this match, away

1.33points / match

0.83scored / match

1.00conceded / match

2 2 2

WonDrawnLost 6 played · 5:6

Brighton at home away Aston Villa

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 0.83

1.00 Goals conceded 1.00

3.00 Total goals 1.83

12.50 Shots 11.33

5.33 Shots on target 2.17

10.17 Shots faced 13.67

4.67 Corners 5.00

5.00 Corners against 4.67

11.83 Fouls 11.00

1.67 Yellow cards 1.67

0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.17

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

67% Wins 33%

33% Draws 33%

0% Losses 33%

100% Over 0.5 goals 83%

100% Over 1.5 goals 67%

83% Over 2.5 goals 33%

17% Over 3.5 goals 0%

0% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

83% Both teams scored 50%

17% Clean sheets 17%

0% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%

17% Draws 50%

33% Losses 50%

83% Over 0.5 goals 67%

17% Over 1.5 goals 17%

17% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton at home

2

D

3

2

W

1

D

3

2

W

1

D

2

1

W

2

D

2

1

W

3

W

2

1

W

Aston Villa away

3

W

1

2

L

1

W

2

L

1

L

D

1

D

2

1

W

2

L

2

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Brighton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
30.11.25	Nott'm Forest – Brighton	0–2 (0–1)	2.75	3.30	2.63	1.91	1.91
22.11.25	Brighton – Brentford	2–1 (0–1)	1.91	3.60	4.00	1.73	2.10
09.11.25	Crystal Palace – Brighton	0–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.50	3.10	1.73	2.10
01.11.25	Brighton – Leeds	3–0 (1–0)	1.85	3.75	4.00	1.85	2.00
25.10.25	Man United – Brighton	4–2 (2–0)	1.95	3.80	3.50	1.53	2.50
18.10.25	Brighton – Newcastle	2–1 (1–0)	2.63	3.40	2.60	1.88	1.98
05.10.25	Wolves – Brighton	1–1 (1–0)	3.60	3.70	2.00	1.85	2.00
27.09.25	Chelsea – Brighton	1–3 (1–0)	1.85	3.80	3.80	1.62	2.30
20.09.25	Brighton – Tottenham	2–2 (2–1)	2.25	3.70	3.00	1.67	2.20
13.09.25	Bournemouth – Brighton	2–1 (1–0)	2.35	3.50	2.90	1.67	2.20

Aston Villa all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
30.11.25	Aston Villa – Wolves	1–0 (0–0)	1.50	4.33	6.50	1.80	2.00
23.11.25	Leeds – Aston Villa	1–2 (1–0)	3.00	3.30	2.40	2.10	1.73
09.11.25	Aston Villa – Bournemouth	4–0 (2–0)	2.20	3.40	3.25	1.88	1.98
01.11.25	Liverpool – Aston Villa	2–0 (1–0)	1.65	4.33	4.50	1.53	2.50
26.10.25	Aston Villa – Man City	1–0 (1–0)	4.33	3.80	1.80	1.73	2.10
19.10.25	Tottenham – Aston Villa	1–2 (1–1)	2.05	3.50	3.50	1.83	2.03
05.10.25	Aston Villa – Burnley	2–1 (1–0)	1.60	4.00	5.75	1.98	1.88
28.09.25	Aston Villa – Fulham	3–1 (1–1)	2.30	3.10	3.40	2.10	1.73
21.09.25	Sunderland – Aston Villa	1–1 (0–0)	3.40	3.50	2.10	2.20	1.67
13.09.25	Everton – Aston Villa	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.30	2.90	2.05	1.80

Brighton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.11.25	Brighton – Brentford	2–1 (0–1)	1.91	3.60	4.00	1.73	2.10
01.11.25	Brighton – Leeds	3–0 (1–0)	1.85	3.75	4.00	1.85	2.00
18.10.25	Brighton – Newcastle	2–1 (1–0)	2.63	3.40	2.60	1.88	1.98
20.09.25	Brighton – Tottenham	2–2 (2–1)	2.25	3.70	3.00	1.67	2.20
31.08.25	Brighton – Man City	2–1 (0–1)	3.80	3.90	1.90	1.62	2.30
16.08.25	Brighton – Fulham	1–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.60	4.00	1.73	2.10
19.05.25	Brighton – Liverpool	3–2 (1–2)	2.60	3.75	2.45	1.44	2.75
04.05.25	Brighton – Newcastle	1–1 (1–0)	2.88	3.70	2.30	1.53	2.50
26.04.25	Brighton – West Ham	3–2 (1–0)	1.67	4.20	4.75	1.67	2.20
12.04.25	Brighton – Leicester	2–2 (1–1)	1.29	6.00	10.00	1.62	2.30

Aston Villa away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.11.25	Leeds – Aston Villa	1–2 (1–0)	3.00	3.30	2.40	2.10	1.73
01.11.25	Liverpool – Aston Villa	2–0 (1–0)	1.65	4.33	4.50	1.53	2.50
19.10.25	Tottenham – Aston Villa	1–2 (1–1)	2.05	3.50	3.50	1.83	2.03
21.09.25	Sunderland – Aston Villa	1–1 (0–0)	3.40	3.50	2.10	2.20	1.67
13.09.25	Everton – Aston Villa	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.30	2.90	2.05	1.80
23.08.25	Brentford – Aston Villa	1–0 (1–0)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.80	2.00
25.05.25	Man United – Aston Villa	2–0 (0–0)	4.33	4.20	1.70	1.62	2.30
10.05.25	Bournemouth – Aston Villa	0–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.60	2.75	1.62	2.30
22.04.25	Man City – Aston Villa	2–1 (1–1)	1.80	4.10	3.90	1.53	2.50
12.04.25	Southampton – Aston Villa	0–3 (0–0)	6.00	4.20	1.55	1.62	2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1 6

Brighton winsDrawsAston Villa wins

8matches

3.12goals / match

63%over 2.5

50%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.04.25E0	Brighton – Aston Villa	0–3 (0–0)	2.05	3.80	3.25	1.62	2.30
30.12.24E0	Aston Villa – Brighton	2–2 (1–1)	1.90	3.80	3.60	1.57	2.38
05.05.24E0	Brighton – Aston Villa	1–0 (0–0)	2.75	3.75	2.45	1.50	2.63
30.09.23E0	Aston Villa – Brighton	6–1 (3–0)	2.55	3.75	2.55	1.44	2.75
28.05.23E0	Aston Villa – Brighton	2–1 (2–1)	2.00	3.60	3.50	1.53	2.50
13.11.22E0	Brighton – Aston Villa	1–2 (1–1)	1.83	3.75	4.20	1.96	1.94
26.02.22E0	Brighton – Aston Villa	0–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.30	3.50	2.10	1.72
20.11.21E0	Aston Villa – Brighton	2–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.30	2.90	2.10	1.72

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	13	9	3	1	25	7	+18	30
2	Man City	14	9	1	4	32	16	+16	28
3	Chelsea	13	7	3	3	24	12	+12	24
4	Aston Villa	13	7	3	3	16	11	+5	24
5	Brighton	13	6	4	3	21	16	+5	22
6	Sunderland	13	6	4	3	17	13	+4	22
7	Man United	13	6	3	4	21	20	+1	21
8	Liverpool	13	7	0	6	20	20	0	21
9	Everton	14	6	3	5	15	17	-2	21
10	Crystal Palace	13	5	5	3	17	11	+6	20
11	Tottenham	14	5	4	5	23	18	+5	19
12	Brentford	13	6	1	6	21	20	+1	19
13	Newcastle	14	5	4	5	19	18	+1	19
14	Bournemouth	14	5	4	5	21	24	-3	19
15	Fulham	14	5	2	7	19	22	-3	17
16	Nott'm Forest	13	3	3	7	13	22	-9	12
17	West Ham	13	3	2	8	15	27	-12	11
18	Leeds	13	3	2	8	13	25	-12	11
19	Burnley	13	3	1	9	15	27	-12	10
20	Wolves	13	0	2	11	7	28	-21	2

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Man City	7	6	0	1	19	6	+13	18
2	Arsenal	6	5	1	0	16	2	+14	16
3	Brentford	7	5	1	1	15	8	+7	16
4	Aston Villa	7	5	1	1	11	5	+6	16
5	Sunderland	7	4	3	0	14	7	+7	15
6	Brighton	6	4	2	0	12	6	+6	14
7	Bournemouth	7	4	2	1	10	5	+5	14
8	Fulham	7	4	1	2	13	8	+5	13
9	Newcastle	7	4	1	2	12	9	+3	13
10	Man United	6	4	0	2	11	7	+4	12
11	Liverpool	6	4	0	2	10	8	+2	12
12	Chelsea	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
13	Everton	7	3	2	2	8	9	-1	11
14	Crystal Palace	7	2	4	1	9	7	+2	10
15	Leeds	6	2	2	2	7	7	0	8
16	Burnley	6	2	1	3	5	6	-1	7
17	Nott'm Forest	7	2	1	4	8	13	-5	7
18	West Ham	7	2	0	5	8	17	-9	6
19	Tottenham	7	1	2	4	8	9	-1	5
20	Wolves	6	0	1	5	6	16	-10	1

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Tottenham	7	4	2	1	15	9	+6	14
2	Arsenal	7	4	2	1	9	5	+4	14
3	Chelsea	6	4	1	1	14	5	+9	13
4	Crystal Palace	6	3	1	2	8	4	+4	10
5	Man City	7	3	1	3	13	10	+3	10
6	Everton	7	3	1	3	7	8	-1	10
7	Liverpool	7	3	0	4	10	12	-2	9
8	Man United	7	2	3	2	10	13	-3	9
9	Brighton	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
10	Aston Villa	6	2	2	2	5	6	-1	8
11	Sunderland	6	2	1	3	3	6	-3	7
12	Newcastle	7	1	3	3	7	9	-2	6
13	West Ham	6	1	2	3	7	10	-3	5
14	Nott'm Forest	6	1	2	3	5	9	-4	5
15	Bournemouth	7	1	2	4	11	19	-8	5
16	Fulham	7	1	1	5	6	14	-8	4
17	Brentford	6	1	0	5	6	12	-6	3
18	Burnley	7	1	0	6	10	21	-11	3
19	Leeds	7	1	0	6	6	18	-12	3
20	Wolves	7	0	1	6	1	12	-11	1

Brighton Aston Villa

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	11	Tottenham	14	4	10	1.6	1.3	5	4	5	23	18	19
2	2	Man City	14	5	9	2.3	1.1	9	1	4	32	16	28
3	7	Man United	13	4	9	1.6	1.5	6	3	4	21	20	21
4	8	Liverpool	13	4	9	1.5	1.5	7	0	6	20	20	21
5	12	Brentford	13	4	9	1.6	1.5	6	1	6	21	20	19
6	13	Newcastle	14	5	9	1.4	1.3	5	4	5	19	18	19
7	14	Bournemouth	14	5	9	1.5	1.7	5	4	5	21	24	19
8	17	West Ham	13	4	9	1.2	2.1	3	2	8	15	27	11
9	18	Leeds	13	4	9	1.0	1.9	3	2	8	13	25	11
10	3	Chelsea	13	5	8	1.8	0.9	7	3	3	24	12	24
11	5	Brighton	13	5	8	1.6	1.2	6	4	3	21	16	22
12	15	Fulham	14	7	7	1.4	1.6	5	2	7	19	22	17
13	16	Nott'm Forest	13	6	7	1.0	1.7	3	3	7	13	22	12
14	19	Burnley	13	6	7	1.2	2.1	3	1	9	15	27	10
15	4	Aston Villa	13	7	6	1.2	0.8	7	3	3	16	11	24
16	10	Crystal Palace	13	7	6	1.3	0.8	5	5	3	17	11	20
17	20	Wolves	13	7	6	0.5	2.2	0	2	11	7	28	2
18	1	Arsenal	13	8	5	1.9	0.5	9	3	1	25	7	30
19	6	Sunderland	13	8	5	1.3	1.0	6	4	3	17	13	22
20	9	Everton	14	9	5	1.1	1.2	6	3	5	15	17	21

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Man City	7	2	5	2.7	0.9	6	0	1	19	6	18
2	5	Brighton	6	1	5	2.0	1.0	4	2	0	12	6	14
3	12	Brentford	7	2	5	2.1	1.1	5	1	1	15	8	16
4	13	Newcastle	7	2	5	1.7	1.3	4	1	2	12	9	13
5	16	Nott'm Forest	7	2	5	1.1	1.9	2	1	4	8	13	7
6	17	West Ham	7	2	5	1.1	2.4	2	0	5	8	17	6
7	3	Chelsea	7	3	4	1.4	1.0	3	2	2	10	7	11
8	4	Aston Villa	7	3	4	1.6	0.7	5	1	1	11	5	16
9	6	Sunderland	7	3	4	2.0	1.0	4	3	0	14	7	15
10	8	Liverpool	6	2	4	1.7	1.3	4	0	2	10	8	12
11	11	Tottenham	7	3	4	1.1	1.3	1	2	4	8	9	5
12	18	Leeds	6	2	4	1.2	1.2	2	2	2	7	7	8
13	20	Wolves	6	2	4	1.0	2.7	0	1	5	6	16	1
14	1	Arsenal	6	3	3	2.7	0.3	5	1	0	16	2	16
15	7	Man United	6	3	3	1.8	1.2	4	0	2	11	7	12
16	9	Everton	7	4	3	1.1	1.3	3	2	2	8	9	11
17	10	Crystal Palace	7	4	3	1.3	1.0	2	4	1	9	7	10
18	14	Bournemouth	7	4	3	1.4	0.7	4	2	1	10	5	14
19	15	Fulham	7	4	3	1.9	1.1	4	1	2	13	8	13
20	19	Burnley	6	6	0	0.8	1.0	2	1	3	5	6	7

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	19	Burnley	7	0	7	1.4	3.0	1	0	6	10	21	3
2	7	Man United	7	1	6	1.4	1.9	2	3	2	10	13	9
3	11	Tottenham	7	1	6	2.1	1.3	4	2	1	15	9	14
4	14	Bournemouth	7	1	6	1.6	2.7	1	2	4	11	19	5
5	8	Liverpool	7	2	5	1.4	1.7	3	0	4	10	12	9
6	18	Leeds	7	2	5	0.9	2.6	1	0	6	6	18	3
7	2	Man City	7	3	4	1.9	1.4	3	1	3	13	10	10
8	3	Chelsea	6	2	4	2.3	0.8	4	1	1	14	5	13
9	12	Brentford	6	2	4	1.0	2.0	1	0	5	6	12	3
10	13	Newcastle	7	3	4	1.0	1.3	1	3	3	7	9	6
11	15	Fulham	7	3	4	0.9	2.0	1	1	5	6	14	4
12	17	West Ham	6	2	4	1.2	1.7	1	2	3	7	10	5
13	5	Brighton	7	4	3	1.3	1.4	2	2	3	9	10	8
14	10	Crystal Palace	6	3	3	1.3	0.7	3	1	2	8	4	10
15	1	Arsenal	7	5	2	1.3	0.7	4	2	1	9	5	14
16	4	Aston Villa	6	4	2	0.8	1.0	2	2	2	5	6	8
17	9	Everton	7	5	2	1.0	1.1	3	1	3	7	8	10
18	16	Nott'm Forest	6	4	2	0.8	1.5	1	2	3	5	9	5
19	20	Wolves	7	5	2	0.1	1.7	0	1	6	1	12	1
20	6	Sunderland	6	5	1	0.5	1.0	2	1	3	3	6	7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.