Brighton 2–1 Bournemouth – England Premier League, 25 Feb 2025

Match facts

Brighton Bournemouth

11 Shots 19

4 Shots on target 5

1 Corners 9

12 Fouls 14

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (261 league matches this season so far).

Result Bournemouth to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.61

Expected goals 1.49 – 1.63

Home / Draw / Away

35% 24% 41%

BrightonDrawBournemouth

Under / Over 2.5 goals

40% 60%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

38% 62%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

4% 0

14% 1

22% 2

22% 3

17% 4

21% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.7% 1–2 8.7% 2–1 8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Brighton before this match, all matches

1.54points / match

1.62scored / match

1.46conceded / match

10 10 6

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 42:38

Bournemouth before this match, all matches

1.65points / match

1.69scored / match

1.15conceded / match

12 7 7

WonDrawnLost 26 played · 44:30

Brighton all matches all matches Bournemouth

Per match

1.62 Goals scored 1.69

1.46 Goals conceded 1.15

3.08 Total goals 2.85

14.12 Shots 15.77

4.92 Shots on target 5.77

11.04 Shots faced 13.81

5.15 Corners 6.15

5.19 Corners against 5.38

11.92 Fouls 13.27

2.00 Yellow cards 2.58

0.65 1st-half goals scored 0.62

0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

38% Wins 46%

38% Draws 27%

23% Losses 27%

92% Over 0.5 goals 96%

85% Over 1.5 goals 77%

65% Over 2.5 goals 54%

42% Over 3.5 goals 35%

12% Over 4.5 goals 19%

8% Over 5.5 goals 4%

65% Both teams scored 58%

27% Clean sheets 23%

15% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 35%

23% Draws 31%

35% Losses 35%

85% Over 0.5 goals 73%

31% Over 1.5 goals 23%

12% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton all matches

1

D

2

D

1

D

2

W

3

1

W

1

L

7

L

3

W

4

W

Bournemouth all matches

3

W

D

2

D

1

W

2

D

4

1

W

5

W

2

L

3

1

W

1

L

Brighton before this match, at home

1.50points / match

1.42scored / match

1.17conceded / match

4 6 2

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 17:14

Bournemouth before this match, away

1.69points / match

2.08scored / match

1.54conceded / match

6 4 3

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 27:20

Brighton at home away Bournemouth

Per match

1.42 Goals scored 2.08

1.17 Goals conceded 1.54

2.58 Total goals 3.62

16.00 Shots 14.77

4.58 Shots on target 5.62

9.50 Shots faced 15.31

5.67 Corners 6.08

4.42 Corners against 5.46

12.25 Fouls 12.69

2.08 Yellow cards 3.00

0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.69

0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.85

How often Full Time

33% Wins 46%

50% Draws 31%

17% Losses 23%

83% Over 0.5 goals 100%

75% Over 1.5 goals 92%

58% Over 2.5 goals 77%

33% Over 3.5 goals 54%

8% Over 4.5 goals 31%

0% Over 5.5 goals 8%

67% Both teams scored 77%

25% Clean sheets 8%

25% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 31%

17% Draws 23%

42% Losses 46%

83% Over 0.5 goals 85%

33% Over 1.5 goals 38%

8% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton at home

2

D

3

2

W

2

D

2

1

W

1

D

1

3

L

D

1

D

1

L

3

W

Bournemouth away

1

L

1

D

2

3

L

4

2

W

2

1

W

3

W

2

D

2

D

4

1

W

3

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Brighton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.02.25	Southampton – Brighton	0–4 (0–1)	6.00	4.10	1.55	1.57	2.38
14.02.25	Brighton – Chelsea	3–0 (2–0)	2.70	3.60	2.45	1.57	2.38
01.02.25	Nott'm Forest – Brighton	7–0 (3–0)	2.38	3.50	2.80	1.95	1.95
25.01.25	Brighton – Everton	0–1 (0–1)	1.67	3.75	5.50	1.89	1.89
19.01.25	Man United – Brighton	1–3 (1–1)	2.10	3.60	3.30	1.67	2.20
16.01.25	Ipswich – Brighton	0–2 (0–0)	3.90	3.70	1.91	1.73	2.10
04.01.25	Brighton – Arsenal	1–1 (0–1)	4.33	3.75	1.80	1.73	2.10
30.12.24	Aston Villa – Brighton	2–2 (1–1)	1.90	3.80	3.60	1.57	2.38
27.12.24	Brighton – Brentford	0–0 (0–0)	1.62	4.33	4.75	1.44	2.75
21.12.24	West Ham – Brighton	1–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.70	2.35	1.50	2.63

Bournemouth all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.02.25	Bournemouth – Wolves	0–1 (0–1)	1.53	4.50	5.50	1.57	2.38
15.02.25	Southampton – Bournemouth	1–3 (0–2)	6.00	4.50	1.50	1.50	2.63
01.02.25	Bournemouth – Liverpool	0–2 (0–1)	4.50	4.33	1.67	1.44	2.75
25.01.25	Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest	5–0 (1–0)	2.05	3.70	3.40	1.85	2.05
18.01.25	Newcastle – Bournemouth	1–4 (1–2)	1.62	4.20	5.00	1.53	2.50
14.01.25	Chelsea – Bournemouth	2–2 (1–0)	1.48	4.75	6.00	1.40	3.00
04.01.25	Bournemouth – Everton	1–0 (0–0)	1.73	3.75	4.75	1.91	1.99
29.12.24	Fulham – Bournemouth	2–2 (1–0)	2.30	3.60	2.88	1.67	2.20
26.12.24	Bournemouth – Crystal Palace	0–0 (0–0)	1.90	3.80	3.80	1.73	2.10
22.12.24	Man United – Bournemouth	0–3 (0–1)	1.80	3.80	4.20	1.57	2.38

Brighton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.02.25	Brighton – Chelsea	3–0 (2–0)	2.70	3.60	2.45	1.57	2.38
25.01.25	Brighton – Everton	0–1 (0–1)	1.67	3.75	5.50	1.89	1.89
04.01.25	Brighton – Arsenal	1–1 (0–1)	4.33	3.75	1.80	1.73	2.10
27.12.24	Brighton – Brentford	0–0 (0–0)	1.62	4.33	4.75	1.44	2.75
15.12.24	Brighton – Crystal Palace	1–3 (0–2)	1.85	3.80	3.90	1.73	2.10
29.11.24	Brighton – Southampton	1–1 (1–0)	1.38	5.00	7.50	1.44	2.75
09.11.24	Brighton – Man City	2–1 (0–1)	4.10	4.20	1.73	1.53	2.50
26.10.24	Brighton – Wolves	2–2 (1–0)	1.62	4.50	4.50	1.57	2.38
06.10.24	Brighton – Tottenham	3–2 (0–2)	2.90	4.00	2.20	1.40	3.00
22.09.24	Brighton – Nott'm Forest	2–2 (2–1)	1.75	3.75	4.75	1.86	2.04

Bournemouth away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.02.25	Southampton – Bournemouth	1–3 (0–2)	6.00	4.50	1.50	1.50	2.63
18.01.25	Newcastle – Bournemouth	1–4 (1–2)	1.62	4.20	5.00	1.53	2.50
14.01.25	Chelsea – Bournemouth	2–2 (1–0)	1.48	4.75	6.00	1.40	3.00
29.12.24	Fulham – Bournemouth	2–2 (1–0)	2.30	3.60	2.88	1.67	2.20
22.12.24	Man United – Bournemouth	0–3 (0–1)	1.80	3.80	4.20	1.57	2.38
08.12.24	Ipswich – Bournemouth	1–2 (1–0)	3.50	3.75	2.00	1.73	2.10
30.11.24	Wolves – Bournemouth	2–4 (1–3)	2.80	3.60	2.40	1.67	2.20
09.11.24	Brentford – Bournemouth	3–2 (1–1)	2.50	3.50	2.70	1.62	2.30
26.10.24	Aston Villa – Bournemouth	1–1 (0–0)	1.85	3.90	3.80	1.57	2.38
05.10.24	Leicester – Bournemouth	1–0 (1–0)	3.10	3.75	2.15	1.67	2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

4 1

Brighton winsDrawsBournemouth wins

5matches

2.60goals / match

60%over 2.5

40%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.11.24E0	Bournemouth – Brighton	1–2 (0–1)	2.40	3.60	2.80	1.57	2.38
28.04.24E0	Bournemouth – Brighton	3–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.80	2.90	1.44	2.75
24.09.23E0	Brighton – Bournemouth	3–1 (1–1)	1.36	5.25	7.50	1.36	3.20
04.04.23E0	Bournemouth – Brighton	0–2 (0–1)	6.00	4.20	1.53	1.80	2.00
04.02.23E0	Brighton – Bournemouth	1–0 (0–0)	1.33	5.25	8.50	1.73	2.10

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	27	19	7	1	64	26	+38	64
2	Arsenal	26	15	8	3	51	23	+28	53
3	Nott'm Forest	26	14	5	7	44	33	+11	47
4	Man City	26	13	5	8	52	37	+15	44
5	Newcastle	26	13	5	8	46	36	+10	44
6	Bournemouth	26	12	7	7	44	30	+14	43
7	Chelsea	26	12	7	7	48	36	+12	43
8	Aston Villa	27	11	9	7	39	41	-2	42
9	Brighton	26	10	10	6	42	38	+4	40
10	Fulham	26	10	9	7	38	35	+3	39
11	Brentford	26	11	4	11	47	42	+5	37
12	Tottenham	26	10	3	13	53	38	+15	33
13	Crystal Palace	26	8	9	9	31	32	-1	33
14	Everton	26	7	10	9	29	33	-4	31
15	Man United	26	8	6	12	30	37	-7	30
16	West Ham	26	8	6	12	30	47	-17	30
17	Wolves	26	6	4	16	36	54	-18	22
18	Ipswich	26	3	8	15	24	54	-30	17
19	Leicester	26	4	5	17	25	59	-34	17
20	Southampton	26	2	3	21	19	61	-42	9

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	12	9	2	1	26	10	+16	29
2	Arsenal	13	8	4	1	27	11	+16	28
3	Aston Villa	15	7	7	1	25	18	+7	28
4	Man City	13	8	2	3	28	17	+11	26
5	Nott'm Forest	12	7	3	2	22	10	+12	24
6	Newcastle	13	7	2	4	24	17	+7	23
7	Brentford	13	7	2	4	29	25	+4	23
8	Chelsea	12	6	4	2	22	15	+7	22
9	Bournemouth	13	6	3	4	17	10	+7	21
10	Fulham	14	5	5	4	20	21	-1	20
11	Everton	14	4	6	4	20	17	+3	18
12	Brighton	12	4	6	2	17	14	+3	18
13	Tottenham	13	5	2	6	28	23	+5	17
14	Man United	13	5	1	7	17	22	-5	16
15	West Ham	13	4	2	7	16	27	-11	14
16	Crystal Palace	13	2	5	6	12	21	-9	11
17	Wolves	12	3	1	8	16	24	-8	10
18	Leicester	14	2	3	9	11	27	-16	9
19	Ipswich	14	1	4	9	10	30	-20	7
20	Southampton	13	1	1	11	9	37	-28	4

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	15	10	5	0	38	16	+22	35
2	Arsenal	13	7	4	2	24	12	+12	25
3	Nott'm Forest	14	7	2	5	22	23	-1	23
4	Crystal Palace	13	6	4	3	19	11	+8	22
5	Bournemouth	13	6	4	3	27	20	+7	22
6	Brighton	14	6	4	4	25	24	+1	22
7	Chelsea	14	6	3	5	26	21	+5	21
8	Newcastle	13	6	3	4	22	19	+3	21
9	Fulham	12	5	4	3	18	14	+4	19
10	Man City	13	5	3	5	24	20	+4	18
11	Tottenham	13	5	1	7	25	15	+10	16
12	West Ham	13	4	4	5	14	20	-6	16
13	Brentford	13	4	2	7	18	17	+1	14
14	Man United	13	3	5	5	13	15	-2	14
15	Aston Villa	12	4	2	6	14	23	-9	14
16	Everton	12	3	4	5	9	16	-7	13
17	Wolves	14	3	3	8	20	30	-10	12
18	Ipswich	12	2	4	6	14	24	-10	10
19	Leicester	12	2	2	8	14	32	-18	8
20	Southampton	13	1	2	10	10	24	-14	5

Brighton Bournemouth

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Man City	26	7	19	2.0	1.4	13	5	8	52	37	44
2	17	Wolves	26	7	19	1.4	2.1	6	4	16	36	54	22
3	8	Aston Villa	27	9	18	1.4	1.5	11	9	7	39	41	42
4	11	Brentford	26	8	18	1.8	1.6	11	4	11	47	42	37
5	12	Tottenham	26	8	18	2.0	1.5	10	3	13	53	38	33
6	19	Leicester	26	8	18	1.0	2.3	4	5	17	25	59	17
7	1	Liverpool	27	10	17	2.4	1.0	19	7	1	64	26	64
8	5	Newcastle	26	9	17	1.8	1.4	13	5	8	46	36	44
9	7	Chelsea	26	9	17	1.8	1.4	12	7	7	48	36	43
10	9	Brighton	26	9	17	1.6	1.5	10	10	6	42	38	40
11	20	Southampton	26	10	16	0.7	2.3	2	3	21	19	61	9
12	15	Man United	26	11	15	1.2	1.4	8	6	12	30	37	30
13	3	Nott'm Forest	26	12	14	1.7	1.3	14	5	7	44	33	47
14	6	Bournemouth	26	12	14	1.7	1.2	12	7	7	44	30	43
15	10	Fulham	26	12	14	1.5	1.3	10	9	7	38	35	39
16	16	West Ham	26	12	14	1.2	1.8	8	6	12	30	47	30
17	18	Ipswich	26	13	13	0.9	2.1	3	8	15	24	54	17
18	14	Everton	26	14	12	1.1	1.3	7	10	9	29	33	31
19	2	Arsenal	26	15	11	2.0	0.9	15	8	3	51	23	53
20	13	Crystal Palace	26	15	11	1.2	1.2	8	9	9	31	32	33

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Man City	13	3	10	2.2	1.3	8	2	3	28	17	26
2	12	Tottenham	13	3	10	2.2	1.8	5	2	6	28	23	17
3	8	Aston Villa	15	6	9	1.7	1.2	7	7	1	25	18	28
4	10	Fulham	14	5	9	1.4	1.5	5	5	4	20	21	20
5	11	Brentford	13	4	9	2.2	1.9	7	2	4	29	25	23
6	15	Man United	13	4	9	1.3	1.7	5	1	7	17	22	16
7	16	West Ham	13	4	9	1.2	2.1	4	2	7	16	27	14
8	20	Southampton	13	4	9	0.7	2.8	1	1	11	9	37	4
9	1	Liverpool	12	4	8	2.2	0.8	9	2	1	26	10	29
10	5	Newcastle	13	5	8	1.8	1.3	7	2	4	24	17	23
11	7	Chelsea	12	4	8	1.8	1.2	6	4	2	22	15	22
12	14	Everton	14	6	8	1.4	1.2	4	6	4	20	17	18
13	17	Wolves	12	4	8	1.3	2.0	3	1	8	16	24	10
14	2	Arsenal	13	6	7	2.1	0.8	8	4	1	27	11	28
15	9	Brighton	12	5	7	1.4	1.2	4	6	2	17	14	18
16	19	Leicester	14	7	7	0.8	1.9	2	3	9	11	27	9
17	13	Crystal Palace	13	7	6	0.9	1.6	2	5	6	12	21	11
18	18	Ipswich	14	8	6	0.7	2.1	1	4	9	10	30	7
19	3	Nott'm Forest	12	7	5	1.8	0.8	7	3	2	22	10	24
20	6	Bournemouth	13	9	4	1.3	0.8	6	3	4	17	10	21

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Wolves	14	3	11	1.4	2.1	3	3	8	20	30	12
2	19	Leicester	12	1	11	1.2	2.7	2	2	8	14	32	8
3	6	Bournemouth	13	3	10	2.1	1.5	6	4	3	27	20	22
4	9	Brighton	14	4	10	1.8	1.7	6	4	4	25	24	22
5	1	Liverpool	15	6	9	2.5	1.1	10	5	0	38	16	35
6	3	Nott'm Forest	14	5	9	1.6	1.6	7	2	5	22	23	23
7	4	Man City	13	4	9	1.8	1.5	5	3	5	24	20	18
8	5	Newcastle	13	4	9	1.7	1.5	6	3	4	22	19	21
9	7	Chelsea	14	5	9	1.9	1.5	6	3	5	26	21	21
10	8	Aston Villa	12	3	9	1.2	1.9	4	2	6	14	23	14
11	11	Brentford	13	4	9	1.4	1.3	4	2	7	18	17	14
12	12	Tottenham	13	5	8	1.9	1.2	5	1	7	25	15	16
13	18	Ipswich	12	5	7	1.2	2.0	2	4	6	14	24	10
14	20	Southampton	13	6	7	0.8	1.8	1	2	10	10	24	5
15	15	Man United	13	7	6	1.0	1.2	3	5	5	13	15	14
16	10	Fulham	12	7	5	1.5	1.2	5	4	3	18	14	19
17	13	Crystal Palace	13	8	5	1.5	0.8	6	4	3	19	11	22
18	16	West Ham	13	8	5	1.1	1.5	4	4	5	14	20	16
19	2	Arsenal	13	9	4	1.8	0.9	7	4	2	24	12	25
20	14	Everton	12	8	4	0.8	1.3	3	4	5	9	16	13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.