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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Taylor

Man City 3–1 Bournemouth

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.50 fair 2.01
Draw 4.75 fair 4.30
Away 5.75 fair 3.69
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 2.42
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.71

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man City Bournemouth
15 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 5
10 Corners 4
8 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (98 league matches this season so far).
Result Man City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.68
Expected goals 1.78 – 1.26
Home / Draw / Away
Man CityDrawBournemouth
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7% 2–1 9.6% 1–0 8.5%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Man City before this match, all matches
1.78points / match
1.89scored / match
0.78conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 17:7
Bournemouth before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.78scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 16:11
Man City all matches all matches Bournemouth

Per match

1.89 Goals scored 1.78
0.78 Goals conceded 1.22
2.67 Total goals 3.00
13.67 Shots 12.44
4.78 Shots on target 4.56
9.56 Shots faced 11.00
5.33 Corners 5.67
4.11 Corners against 3.89
9.00 Fouls 12.56
1.56 Yellow cards 2.56
0.78 1st-half goals scored 0.89
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.22

How often Full Time

56% Wins 56%
11% Draws 33%
33% Losses 11%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
78% Over 1.5 goals 67%
44% Over 2.5 goals 56%
22% Over 3.5 goals 44%
11% Over 4.5 goals 22%
11% Over 5.5 goals 22%
33% Both teams scored 56%
44% Clean sheets 44%
22% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 56%
22% Draws 33%
22% Losses 11%
89% Over 0.5 goals 78%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City all matches
Bournemouth all matches
Man City before this match, at home
2.25points / match
2.50scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 10:3
Bournemouth before this match, away
1.25points / match
2.00scored / match
2.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 8:9
Man City at home away Bournemouth

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 2.00
0.75 Goals conceded 2.25
3.25 Total goals 4.25
15.75 Shots 12.50
6.25 Shots on target 4.75
9.50 Shots faced 15.75
7.50 Corners 6.00
2.75 Corners against 4.75
7.00 Fouls 13.00
0.50 Yellow cards 3.00
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

75% Wins 25%
0% Draws 50%
25% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 75%
50% Over 2.5 goals 75%
25% Over 3.5 goals 75%
25% Over 4.5 goals 50%
25% Over 5.5 goals 50%
25% Both teams scored 75%
50% Clean sheets 25%
25% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 50%
50% Draws 25%
25% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City at home
Bournemouth away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.25 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (1–0) 4.333.801.80 1.73 2.10
18.10.25 Man City – Everton 2–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.73 2.10
05.10.25 Brentford – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.501.62 1.57 2.38
27.09.25 Man City – Burnley 5–1 (1–1) 1.177.5015.00 1.44 2.75
21.09.25 Arsenal – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.903.80 1.80 2.00
14.09.25 Man City – Man United 3–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.20 1.57 2.38
31.08.25 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 3.803.901.90 1.62 2.30
23.08.25 Man City – Tottenham 0–2 (0–2) 1.484.506.25 1.44 2.75
16.08.25 Wolves – Man City 0–4 (0–2) 6.254.751.45 1.62 2.30
25.05.25 Fulham – Man City 0–2 (0–1) 5.004.201.60 1.53 2.50

Bournemouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.25 Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (2–0) 1.803.804.33 1.88 1.98
18.10.25 Crystal Palace – Bournemouth 3–3 (0–2) 2.203.403.25 1.95 1.90
03.10.25 Bournemouth – Fulham 3–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.90 2.00 1.85
27.09.25 Leeds – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–1) 3.103.252.38 2.03 1.83
21.09.25 Bournemouth – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.502.70 1.83 2.03
13.09.25 Bournemouth – Brighton 2–1 (1–0) 2.353.502.90 1.67 2.20
30.08.25 Tottenham – Bournemouth 0–1 (0–1) 1.734.204.20 1.57 2.38
23.08.25 Bournemouth – Wolves 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.804.20 1.73 2.10
15.08.25 Liverpool – Bournemouth 4–2 (1–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.20
25.05.25 Bournemouth – Leicester 2–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.50 1.50 2.63

Man City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.25 Man City – Everton 2–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.73 2.10
27.09.25 Man City – Burnley 5–1 (1–1) 1.177.5015.00 1.44 2.75
14.09.25 Man City – Man United 3–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.20 1.57 2.38
23.08.25 Man City – Tottenham 0–2 (0–2) 1.484.506.25 1.44 2.75
20.05.25 Man City – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–0) 1.554.335.75 1.53 2.50
02.05.25 Man City – Wolves 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.50 1.53 2.50
22.04.25 Man City – Aston Villa 2–1 (1–1) 1.804.103.90 1.53 2.50
12.04.25 Man City – Crystal Palace 5–2 (2–2) 1.504.755.75 1.53 2.50
02.04.25 Man City – Leicester 2–0 (2–0) 1.208.0010.00 1.40 3.00
15.03.25 Man City – Brighton 2–2 (2–1) 1.674.334.50 1.44 2.75

Bournemouth away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.25 Crystal Palace – Bournemouth 3–3 (0–2) 2.203.403.25 1.95 1.90
27.09.25 Leeds – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–1) 3.103.252.38 2.03 1.83
30.08.25 Tottenham – Bournemouth 0–1 (0–1) 1.734.204.20 1.57 2.38
15.08.25 Liverpool – Bournemouth 4–2 (1–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.20
20.05.25 Man City – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–0) 1.554.335.75 1.53 2.50
03.05.25 Arsenal – Bournemouth 1–2 (1–0) 2.053.703.40 1.87 2.03
19.04.25 Crystal Palace – Bournemouth 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.602.63 1.80 2.00
05.04.25 West Ham – Bournemouth 2–2 (0–1) 3.003.502.30 1.80 2.00
09.03.25 Tottenham – Bournemouth 2–2 (0–1) 2.703.902.35 1.37 3.00
25.02.25 Brighton – Bournemouth 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.803.30 1.62 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man City winsDrawsBournemouth wins
6matches
4.00goals / match
83%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.05.25E0 Man City – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–0) 1.554.335.75 1.53 2.50
02.11.24E0 Bournemouth – Man City 2–1 (1–0) 5.504.201.57 1.57 2.38
24.02.24E0 Bournemouth – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.251.40 1.48 2.60
04.11.23E0 Man City – Bournemouth 6–1 (3–0) 1.1011.0019.00 1.29 3.60
25.02.23E0 Bournemouth – Man City 1–4 (0–3) 10.005.751.29 1.57 2.38
13.08.22E0 Man City – Bournemouth 4–0 (3–0) 1.0613.0029.00 1.33 3.40

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 10 8 1 1 18 3 +15 25 DWWWWW
2 Bournemouth 9 5 3 1 16 11 +5 18 WDDWDW
3 Liverpool 10 6 0 4 18 14 +4 18 WLLLLW
4 Tottenham 10 5 2 3 17 8 +9 17 DDWLWL
5 Chelsea 10 5 2 3 18 11 +7 17 LLWWLW
6 Sunderland 9 5 2 2 11 7 +4 17 DDWLWW
7 Man United 10 5 2 3 17 16 +1 17 WLWWWD
8 Man City 9 5 1 3 17 7 +10 16 WDWWWL
9 Crystal Palace 10 4 4 2 14 9 +5 16 WWLDLW
10 Brighton 10 4 3 3 17 15 +2 15 DWDWLW
11 Aston Villa 10 4 3 3 9 10 -1 15 DWWWWL
12 Brentford 10 4 1 5 14 16 -2 13 LWLWWL
13 Newcastle 10 3 3 4 10 11 -1 12 DLWLWL
14 Fulham 10 3 2 5 12 14 -2 11 WLLLLW
15 Everton 9 3 2 4 9 12 -3 11 DLDWLL
16 Leeds 10 3 2 5 9 17 -8 11 WDLLWL
17 Burnley 10 3 1 6 12 19 -7 10 DLLWWL
18 West Ham 10 2 1 7 10 21 -11 7 LDLLLW
19 Nott'm Forest 10 1 3 6 7 19 -12 6 DLLLLD
20 Wolves 10 0 2 8 7 22 -15 2 LDDLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 5 4 1 0 12 1 +11 13 WWDWW
2 Bournemouth 5 4 1 0 8 2 +6 13 WWDWW
3 Man United 5 4 0 1 11 6 +5 12 LWWWW
4 Liverpool 5 4 0 1 10 5 +5 12 WWWLW
5 Brighton 5 3 2 0 10 5 +5 11 DWDWW
6 Sunderland 4 3 1 0 8 2 +6 10 WWDW
7 Fulham 5 3 1 1 8 3 +5 10 DWWLW
8 Brentford 5 3 1 1 9 6 +3 10 WDWLW
9 Aston Villa 5 3 1 1 6 5 +1 10 DLWWW
10 Man City 4 3 0 1 10 3 +7 9 LWWW
11 Crystal Palace 5 2 3 0 8 5 +3 9 DDWDW
12 Newcastle 5 3 0 2 8 6 +2 9 LWLWW
13 Leeds 5 2 2 1 6 5 +1 8 WDDLW
14 Everton 5 2 2 1 5 5 0 8 WDDWL
15 Burnley 5 2 1 2 5 4 +1 7 WLDWL
16 Chelsea 5 2 1 2 6 6 0 7 DWLWL
17 Tottenham 5 1 1 3 5 5 0 4 WLDLL
18 Nott'm Forest 5 1 1 3 5 10 -5 4 WLLLD
19 West Ham 5 1 0 4 5 13 -8 3 LLLLW
20 Wolves 5 0 1 4 6 14 -8 1 LLLDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Tottenham 5 4 1 0 12 3 +9 13 WWDWW
2 Arsenal 5 4 0 1 6 2 +4 12 WLWWW
3 Chelsea 5 3 1 1 12 5 +7 10 WDLWW
4 Man City 5 2 1 2 7 4 +3 7 WLDWL
5 Crystal Palace 5 2 1 2 6 4 +2 7 DWWLL
6 Sunderland 5 2 1 2 3 5 -2 7 LDWLW
7 Liverpool 5 2 0 3 8 9 -1 6 WWLLL
8 Bournemouth 4 1 2 1 8 9 -1 5 LWDD
9 Aston Villa 5 1 2 2 3 5 -2 5 LDDWL
10 Man United 5 1 2 2 6 10 -4 5 DLLWD
11 Brighton 5 1 1 3 7 10 -3 4 LLWDL
12 West Ham 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4 LWDLL
13 Everton 4 1 0 3 4 7 -3 3 LWLL
14 Newcastle 5 0 3 2 2 5 -3 3 DDDLL
15 Brentford 5 1 0 4 5 10 -5 3 LLLWL
16 Burnley 5 1 0 4 7 15 -8 3 LLLLW
17 Leeds 5 1 0 4 3 12 -9 3 LLWLL
18 Nott'm Forest 5 0 2 3 2 9 -7 2 DLDLL
19 Fulham 5 0 1 4 4 11 -7 1 DLLLL
20 Wolves 5 0 1 4 1 8 -7 1 LLDLL

Man City   Bournemouth

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Liverpool 10 3 7 1.8 1.4 6 0 4 18 14 18 OOOOOU
2 5 Chelsea 10 3 7 1.8 1.1 5 2 3 18 11 17 OOOOOU
3 7 Man United 10 3 7 1.7 1.6 5 2 3 17 16 17 OOUOOO
4 10 Brighton 10 3 7 1.7 1.5 4 3 3 17 15 15 OOUOOO
5 18 West Ham 10 3 7 1.0 2.1 2 1 7 10 21 7 OUUUOO
6 4 Tottenham 10 4 6 1.7 0.8 5 2 3 17 8 17 OUOOOU
7 12 Brentford 10 4 6 1.4 1.6 4 1 5 14 16 13 OOUUOU
8 16 Leeds 10 4 6 0.9 1.7 3 2 5 9 17 11 OOOUOO
9 2 Bournemouth 9 4 5 1.8 1.2 5 3 1 16 11 18 OUOOOU
10 9 Crystal Palace 10 5 5 1.4 0.9 4 4 2 14 9 16 OOOOUU
11 13 Newcastle 10 5 5 1.0 1.1 3 3 4 10 11 12 UOUOOO
12 14 Fulham 10 5 5 1.2 1.4 3 2 5 12 14 11 OOOUOO
13 17 Burnley 10 5 5 1.2 1.9 3 1 6 12 19 10 UOOUOU
14 19 Nott'm Forest 10 5 5 0.7 1.9 1 3 6 7 19 6 UUUOUO
15 20 Wolves 10 5 5 0.7 2.2 0 2 8 7 22 2 OUUUOO
16 8 Man City 9 5 4 1.9 0.8 5 1 3 17 7 16 OUOUUU
17 11 Aston Villa 10 6 4 0.9 1.0 4 3 3 9 10 15 UOOOUU
18 15 Everton 9 5 4 1.0 1.3 3 2 4 9 12 11 UOUOUO
19 1 Arsenal 10 7 3 1.8 0.3 8 1 1 18 3 25 UOUUUU
20 6 Sunderland 9 6 3 1.2 0.8 5 2 2 11 7 17 UUUUUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 10 Brighton 5 1 4 2.0 1.0 3 2 0 10 5 11 UOOOO
2 18 West Ham 5 1 4 1.0 2.6 1 0 4 5 13 3 OOOUO
3 19 Nott'm Forest 5 1 4 1.0 2.0 1 1 3 5 10 4 OOUOO
4 20 Wolves 5 1 4 1.2 2.8 0 1 4 6 14 1 OOOUO
5 3 Liverpool 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 4 0 1 10 5 12 OUOOU
6 5 Chelsea 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 2 6 6 7 UUOOO
7 7 Man United 5 2 3 2.2 1.2 4 0 1 11 6 12 UOOUO
8 11 Aston Villa 5 2 3 1.2 1.0 3 1 1 6 5 10 UOOOU
9 12 Brentford 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 3 1 1 9 6 10 UOOUO
10 13 Newcastle 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 3 0 2 8 6 9 OUOUO
11 16 Leeds 5 2 3 1.2 1.0 2 2 1 6 5 8 UUOOO
12 1 Arsenal 5 3 2 2.4 0.2 4 1 0 12 1 13 OOUUU
13 2 Bournemouth 5 3 2 1.6 0.4 4 1 0 8 2 13 UOUOU
14 4 Tottenham 5 3 2 1.0 1.0 1 1 3 5 5 4 OUUOU
15 6 Sunderland 4 2 2 2.0 0.5 3 1 0 8 2 10 OOUU
16 8 Man City 4 2 2 2.5 0.8 3 0 1 10 3 9 UOOU
17 9 Crystal Palace 5 3 2 1.6 1.0 2 3 0 8 5 9 UUOOU
18 14 Fulham 5 3 2 1.6 0.6 3 1 1 8 3 10 UUOUO
19 15 Everton 5 3 2 1.0 1.0 2 2 1 5 5 8 UUUOO
20 17 Burnley 5 5 0 1.0 0.8 2 1 2 5 4 7 UUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 17 Burnley 5 0 5 1.4 3.0 1 0 4 7 15 3 OOOOO
2 3 Liverpool 5 1 4 1.6 1.8 2 0 3 8 9 6 OUOOO
3 4 Tottenham 5 1 4 2.4 0.6 4 1 0 12 3 13 UOOOO
4 5 Chelsea 5 1 4 2.4 1.0 3 1 1 12 5 10 OOOOU
5 7 Man United 5 1 4 1.2 2.0 1 2 2 6 10 5 UOOOO
6 2 Bournemouth 4 1 3 2.0 2.2 1 2 1 8 9 5 OUOO
7 9 Crystal Palace 5 2 3 1.2 0.8 2 1 2 6 4 7 UOOOU
8 10 Brighton 5 2 3 1.4 2.0 1 1 3 7 10 4 UOOUO
9 12 Brentford 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 1 0 4 5 10 3 OOOUU
10 14 Fulham 5 2 3 0.8 2.2 0 1 4 4 11 1 UUOOO
11 16 Leeds 5 2 3 0.6 2.4 1 0 4 3 12 3 OUOUO
12 18 West Ham 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4 OOUUO
13 8 Man City 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 2 1 2 7 4 7 OOUUU
14 13 Newcastle 5 3 2 0.4 1.0 0 3 2 2 5 3 UUUOO
15 15 Everton 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 0 3 4 7 3 UOOU
16 1 Arsenal 5 4 1 1.2 0.4 4 0 1 6 2 12 UUOUU
17 6 Sunderland 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 2 1 2 3 5 7 UUUUO
18 11 Aston Villa 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 1 2 2 3 5 5 UUUOU
19 19 Nott'm Forest 5 4 1 0.4 1.8 0 2 3 2 9 2 UOUUU
20 20 Wolves 5 4 1 0.2 1.6 0 1 4 1 8 1 UUUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47