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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: J Brooks

Aston Villa 4–0 Bournemouth

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.20 fair 2.31
Draw 3.40 fair 4.02
Away 3.25 fair 3.14
Under 2.5 1.98 fair 2.16
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 1.86

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Bournemouth
16 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 9
8 Fouls 20
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (105 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.76
Expected goals 1.54 – 1.29
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawBournemouth
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–0 9.1% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
0.90scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 9:10
Bournemouth before this match, all matches
1.80points / match
1.70scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 17:14
Aston Villa all matches all matches Bournemouth

Per match

0.90 Goals scored 1.70
1.00 Goals conceded 1.40
1.90 Total goals 3.10
10.30 Shots 12.00
3.10 Shots on target 4.60
12.40 Shots faced 11.40
5.30 Corners 5.50
5.00 Corners against 4.50
9.70 Fouls 12.40
1.70 Yellow cards 2.50
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.90
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

40% Wins 50%
30% Draws 30%
30% Losses 20%
80% Over 0.5 goals 90%
60% Over 1.5 goals 70%
40% Over 2.5 goals 60%
10% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
40% Both teams scored 60%
30% Clean sheets 40%
50% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 50%
50% Draws 30%
30% Losses 20%
70% Over 0.5 goals 80%
20% Over 1.5 goals 40%
0% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Bournemouth all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.20scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 6:5
Bournemouth before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.80scored / match
2.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:12
Aston Villa at home away Bournemouth

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 1.80
1.00 Goals conceded 2.40
2.20 Total goals 4.20
9.80 Shots 11.60
4.20 Shots on target 4.80
11.20 Shots faced 15.60
5.20 Corners 5.60
5.00 Corners against 5.80
9.40 Fouls 12.60
1.60 Yellow cards 2.80
0.60 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

60% Wins 20%
20% Draws 40%
20% Losses 40%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 80%
60% Over 2.5 goals 80%
20% Over 3.5 goals 80%
0% Over 4.5 goals 40%
0% Over 5.5 goals 40%
40% Both teams scored 80%
40% Clean sheets 20%
40% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 40%
40% Draws 20%
20% Losses 40%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
20% Over 1.5 goals 60%
0% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Bournemouth away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Liverpool – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 1.654.334.50 1.53 2.50
26.10.25 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (1–0) 4.333.801.80 1.73 2.10
19.10.25 Tottenham – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.053.503.50 1.83 2.03
05.10.25 Aston Villa – Burnley 2–1 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.98 1.88
28.09.25 Aston Villa – Fulham 3–1 (1–1) 2.303.103.40 2.10 1.73
21.09.25 Sunderland – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 2.20 1.67
13.09.25 Everton – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.90 2.05 1.80
31.08.25 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 0–3 (0–1) 1.853.704.00 1.98 1.88
23.08.25 Brentford – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.80 2.00
16.08.25 Aston Villa – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.502.90 1.62 2.30

Bournemouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.25 Man City – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–1) 1.504.755.75 1.53 2.50
26.10.25 Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (2–0) 1.803.804.33 1.88 1.98
18.10.25 Crystal Palace – Bournemouth 3–3 (0–2) 2.203.403.25 1.95 1.90
03.10.25 Bournemouth – Fulham 3–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.90 2.00 1.85
27.09.25 Leeds – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–1) 3.103.252.38 2.03 1.83
21.09.25 Bournemouth – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.502.70 1.83 2.03
13.09.25 Bournemouth – Brighton 2–1 (1–0) 2.353.502.90 1.67 2.20
30.08.25 Tottenham – Bournemouth 0–1 (0–1) 1.734.204.20 1.57 2.38
23.08.25 Bournemouth – Wolves 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.804.20 1.73 2.10
15.08.25 Liverpool – Bournemouth 4–2 (1–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.20

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.25 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (1–0) 4.333.801.80 1.73 2.10
05.10.25 Aston Villa – Burnley 2–1 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.98 1.88
28.09.25 Aston Villa – Fulham 3–1 (1–1) 2.303.103.40 2.10 1.73
31.08.25 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 0–3 (0–1) 1.853.704.00 1.98 1.88
16.08.25 Aston Villa – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.502.90 1.62 2.30
16.05.25 Aston Villa – Tottenham 2–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.20
03.05.25 Aston Villa – Fulham 1–0 (1–0) 1.773.754.50 1.68 2.05
19.04.25 Aston Villa – Newcastle 4–1 (1–1) 2.303.602.75 1.62 2.30
05.04.25 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (2–0) 1.953.603.70 1.80 2.00
22.02.25 Aston Villa – Chelsea 2–1 (0–1) 2.633.402.60 1.57 2.38

Bournemouth away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.25 Man City – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–1) 1.504.755.75 1.53 2.50
18.10.25 Crystal Palace – Bournemouth 3–3 (0–2) 2.203.403.25 1.95 1.90
27.09.25 Leeds – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–1) 3.103.252.38 2.03 1.83
30.08.25 Tottenham – Bournemouth 0–1 (0–1) 1.734.204.20 1.57 2.38
15.08.25 Liverpool – Bournemouth 4–2 (1–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.20
20.05.25 Man City – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–0) 1.554.335.75 1.53 2.50
03.05.25 Arsenal – Bournemouth 1–2 (1–0) 2.053.703.40 1.87 2.03
19.04.25 Crystal Palace – Bournemouth 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.602.63 1.80 2.00
05.04.25 West Ham – Bournemouth 2–2 (0–1) 3.003.502.30 1.80 2.00
09.03.25 Tottenham – Bournemouth 2–2 (0–1) 2.703.902.35 1.37 3.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsBournemouth wins
6matches
2.67goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.05.25E0 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.602.75 1.62 2.30
26.10.24E0 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.903.80 1.57 2.38
21.04.24E0 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 3–1 (1–1) 1.854.003.60 1.44 2.75
03.12.23E0 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 2–2 (1–1) 3.404.001.95 1.53 2.40
18.03.23E0 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 3–0 (1–0) 1.703.805.00 1.97 1.93
06.08.22E0 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 3.753.502.00 2.00 1.80

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 11 8 2 1 20 5 +15 26 WWWWWD
2 Chelsea 11 6 2 3 21 11 +10 20 LWWLWW
3 Man City 10 6 1 3 20 8 +12 19 DWWWLW
4 Sunderland 11 5 4 2 14 10 +4 19 WLWWDD
5 Tottenham 11 5 3 3 19 10 +9 18 DWLWLD
6 Liverpool 10 6 0 4 18 14 +4 18 WLLLLW
7 Bournemouth 10 5 3 2 17 14 +3 18 DDWDWL
8 Man United 11 5 3 3 19 18 +1 18 LWWWDD
9 Crystal Palace 10 4 4 2 14 9 +5 16 WWLDLW
10 Brighton 10 4 3 3 17 15 +2 15 DWDWLW
11 Everton 11 4 3 4 12 13 -1 15 DWLLDW
12 Aston Villa 10 4 3 3 9 10 -1 15 DWWWWL
13 Brentford 10 4 1 5 14 16 -2 13 LWLWWL
14 Newcastle 10 3 3 4 10 11 -1 12 DLWLWL
15 Fulham 11 3 2 6 12 16 -4 11 LLLLWL
16 Leeds 10 3 2 5 9 17 -8 11 WDLLWL
17 Burnley 11 3 1 7 14 22 -8 10 LLWWLL
18 West Ham 11 3 1 7 13 23 -10 10 DLLLWW
19 Nott'm Forest 10 1 3 6 7 19 -12 6 DLLLLD
20 Wolves 11 0 2 9 7 25 -18 2 DDLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 5 4 1 0 12 1 +11 13 WWDWW
2 Bournemouth 5 4 1 0 8 2 +6 13 WWDWW
3 Man City 5 4 0 1 13 4 +9 12 LWWWW
4 Sunderland 6 3 3 0 11 5 +6 12 WWDWDD
5 Man United 5 4 0 1 11 6 +5 12 LWWWW
6 Liverpool 5 4 0 1 10 5 +5 12 WWWLW
7 Brighton 5 3 2 0 10 5 +5 11 DWDWW
8 Everton 6 3 2 1 7 5 +2 11 WDDWLW
9 Fulham 5 3 1 1 8 3 +5 10 DWWLW
10 Brentford 5 3 1 1 9 6 +3 10 WDWLW
11 Chelsea 6 3 1 2 9 6 +3 10 DWLWLW
12 Aston Villa 5 3 1 1 6 5 +1 10 DLWWW
13 Crystal Palace 5 2 3 0 8 5 +3 9 DDWDW
14 Newcastle 5 3 0 2 8 6 +2 9 LWLWW
15 Leeds 5 2 2 1 6 5 +1 8 WDDLW
16 Burnley 5 2 1 2 5 4 +1 7 WLDWL
17 West Ham 6 2 0 4 8 15 -7 6 LLLLWW
18 Tottenham 6 1 2 3 7 7 0 5 WLDLLD
19 Nott'm Forest 5 1 1 3 5 10 -5 4 WLLLD
20 Wolves 5 0 1 4 6 14 -8 1 LLLDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Tottenham 5 4 1 0 12 3 +9 13 WWDWW
2 Arsenal 6 4 1 1 8 4 +4 13 WLWWWD
3 Chelsea 5 3 1 1 12 5 +7 10 WDLWW
4 Man City 5 2 1 2 7 4 +3 7 WLDWL
5 Crystal Palace 5 2 1 2 6 4 +2 7 DWWLL
6 Sunderland 5 2 1 2 3 5 -2 7 LDWLW
7 Liverpool 5 2 0 3 8 9 -1 6 WWLLL
8 Man United 6 1 3 2 8 12 -4 6 DLLWDD
9 Aston Villa 5 1 2 2 3 5 -2 5 LDDWL
10 Bournemouth 5 1 2 2 9 12 -3 5 LWDDL
11 Brighton 5 1 1 3 7 10 -3 4 LLWDL
12 Everton 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4 LWLLD
13 West Ham 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4 LWDLL
14 Newcastle 5 0 3 2 2 5 -3 3 DDDLL
15 Brentford 5 1 0 4 5 10 -5 3 LLLWL
16 Burnley 6 1 0 5 9 18 -9 3 LLLLWL
17 Leeds 5 1 0 4 3 12 -9 3 LLWLL
18 Nott'm Forest 5 0 2 3 2 9 -7 2 DLDLL
19 Fulham 6 0 1 5 4 13 -9 1 DLLLLL
20 Wolves 6 0 1 5 1 11 -10 1 LLDLLL

Aston Villa   Bournemouth

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Chelsea 11 3 8 1.9 1.0 6 2 3 21 11 20 OOOOUO
2 8 Man United 11 3 8 1.7 1.6 5 3 3 19 18 18 OUOOOO
3 18 West Ham 11 3 8 1.2 2.1 3 1 7 13 23 10 UUUOOO
4 5 Tottenham 11 4 7 1.7 0.9 5 3 3 19 10 18 UOOOUO
5 6 Liverpool 10 3 7 1.8 1.4 6 0 4 18 14 18 OOOOOU
6 10 Brighton 10 3 7 1.7 1.5 4 3 3 17 15 15 OOUOOO
7 7 Bournemouth 10 4 6 1.7 1.4 5 3 2 17 14 18 UOOOUO
8 13 Brentford 10 4 6 1.4 1.6 4 1 5 14 16 13 OOUUOU
9 16 Leeds 10 4 6 0.9 1.7 3 2 5 9 17 11 OOOUOO
10 17 Burnley 11 5 6 1.3 2.0 3 1 7 14 22 10 OOUOUO
11 20 Wolves 11 5 6 0.6 2.3 0 2 9 7 25 2 UUUOOO
12 3 Man City 10 5 5 2.0 0.8 6 1 3 20 8 19 UOUUUO
13 9 Crystal Palace 10 5 5 1.4 0.9 4 4 2 14 9 16 OOOOUU
14 14 Newcastle 10 5 5 1.0 1.1 3 3 4 10 11 12 UOUOOO
15 15 Fulham 11 6 5 1.1 1.5 3 2 6 12 16 11 OOUOOU
16 19 Nott'm Forest 10 5 5 0.7 1.9 1 3 6 7 19 6 UUUOUO
17 1 Arsenal 11 7 4 1.8 0.5 8 2 1 20 5 26 OUUUUO
18 4 Sunderland 11 7 4 1.3 0.9 5 4 2 14 10 19 UUUOUO
19 11 Everton 11 7 4 1.1 1.2 4 3 4 12 13 15 UOUOUU
20 12 Aston Villa 10 6 4 0.9 1.0 4 3 3 9 10 15 UOOOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 18 West Ham 6 1 5 1.3 2.5 2 0 4 8 15 6 OOOUOO
2 2 Chelsea 6 2 4 1.5 1.0 3 1 2 9 6 10 UUOOOO
3 10 Brighton 5 1 4 2.0 1.0 3 2 0 10 5 11 UOOOO
4 19 Nott'm Forest 5 1 4 1.0 2.0 1 1 3 5 10 4 OOUOO
5 20 Wolves 5 1 4 1.2 2.8 0 1 4 6 14 1 OOOUO
6 3 Man City 5 2 3 2.6 0.8 4 0 1 13 4 12 UOOUO
7 4 Sunderland 6 3 3 1.8 0.8 3 3 0 11 5 12 OOUUUO
8 5 Tottenham 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 1 2 3 7 7 5 OUUOUO
9 6 Liverpool 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 4 0 1 10 5 12 OUOOU
10 8 Man United 5 2 3 2.2 1.2 4 0 1 11 6 12 UOOUO
11 12 Aston Villa 5 2 3 1.2 1.0 3 1 1 6 5 10 UOOOU
12 13 Brentford 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 3 1 1 9 6 10 UOOUO
13 14 Newcastle 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 3 0 2 8 6 9 OUOUO
14 16 Leeds 5 2 3 1.2 1.0 2 2 1 6 5 8 UUOOO
15 1 Arsenal 5 3 2 2.4 0.2 4 1 0 12 1 13 OOUUU
16 7 Bournemouth 5 3 2 1.6 0.4 4 1 0 8 2 13 UOUOU
17 9 Crystal Palace 5 3 2 1.6 1.0 2 3 0 8 5 9 UUOOU
18 11 Everton 6 4 2 1.2 0.8 3 2 1 7 5 11 UUUOOU
19 15 Fulham 5 3 2 1.6 0.6 3 1 1 8 3 10 UUOUO
20 17 Burnley 5 5 0 1.0 0.8 2 1 2 5 4 7 UUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 17 Burnley 6 0 6 1.5 3.0 1 0 5 9 18 3 OOOOOO
2 8 Man United 6 1 5 1.3 2.0 1 3 2 8 12 6 UOOOOO
3 2 Chelsea 5 1 4 2.4 1.0 3 1 1 12 5 10 OOOOU
4 5 Tottenham 5 1 4 2.4 0.6 4 1 0 12 3 13 UOOOO
5 6 Liverpool 5 1 4 1.6 1.8 2 0 3 8 9 6 OUOOO
6 7 Bournemouth 5 1 4 1.8 2.4 1 2 2 9 12 5 OUOOO
7 9 Crystal Palace 5 2 3 1.2 0.8 2 1 2 6 4 7 UOOOU
8 10 Brighton 5 2 3 1.4 2.0 1 1 3 7 10 4 UOOUO
9 13 Brentford 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 1 0 4 5 10 3 OOOUU
10 15 Fulham 6 3 3 0.7 2.2 0 1 5 4 13 1 UUOOOU
11 16 Leeds 5 2 3 0.6 2.4 1 0 4 3 12 3 OUOUO
12 18 West Ham 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4 OOUUO
13 1 Arsenal 6 4 2 1.3 0.7 4 1 1 8 4 13 UUOUUO
14 3 Man City 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 2 1 2 7 4 7 OOUUU
15 11 Everton 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4 UOOUU
16 14 Newcastle 5 3 2 0.4 1.0 0 3 2 2 5 3 UUUOO
17 20 Wolves 6 4 2 0.2 1.8 0 1 5 1 11 1 UUUUOO
18 4 Sunderland 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 2 1 2 3 5 7 UUUUO
19 12 Aston Villa 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 1 2 2 3 5 5 UUUOU
20 19 Nott'm Forest 5 4 1 0.4 1.8 0 2 3 2 9 2 UOUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47