Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: T Robinson

Brighton 2–0 Burnley

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.48 fair 1.80
Draw 4.33 fair 4.64
Away 7.00 fair 4.35
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.67
Over 2.5 1.73 fair 1.60

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Brighton Burnley
15 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 4
7 Fouls 17
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (191 league matches this season so far).
Result Brighton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 2.00 – 1.22
Home / Draw / Away
BrightonDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.7% 1–1 9.7% 2–0 8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Brighton before this match, all matches
1.32points / match
1.47scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 28:27
Burnley before this match, all matches
0.63points / match
1.05scored / match
1.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 20:37
Brighton all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

1.47 Goals scored 1.05
1.42 Goals conceded 1.95
2.89 Total goals 3.00
13.47 Shots 9.21
4.53 Shots on target 3.11
12.63 Shots faced 15.68
4.84 Corners 3.74
4.58 Corners against 6.21
12.37 Fouls 9.74
2.58 Yellow cards 1.37
0.42 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.79 1st-half goals conceded 0.95

How often Full Time

32% Wins 16%
37% Draws 16%
32% Losses 68%
89% Over 0.5 goals 95%
89% Over 1.5 goals 84%
58% Over 2.5 goals 53%
26% Over 3.5 goals 37%
11% Over 4.5 goals 26%
11% Over 5.5 goals 5%
68% Both teams scored 58%
21% Clean sheets 16%
21% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 5%
26% Draws 47%
53% Losses 47%
79% Over 0.5 goals 74%
21% Over 1.5 goals 42%
16% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton all matches
Burnley all matches
Brighton before this match, at home
1.78points / match
1.78scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 16:11
Burnley before this match, away
0.44points / match
1.33scored / match
2.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 12:24
Brighton at home away Burnley

Per match

1.78 Goals scored 1.33
1.22 Goals conceded 2.67
3.00 Total goals 4.00
14.33 Shots 8.89
5.22 Shots on target 3.44
11.44 Shots faced 17.22
5.11 Corners 4.11
5.11 Corners against 6.67
11.56 Fouls 9.78
1.78 Yellow cards 1.78
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

44% Wins 11%
44% Draws 11%
11% Losses 78%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
89% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 89%
22% Over 3.5 goals 56%
11% Over 4.5 goals 44%
11% Over 5.5 goals 11%
78% Both teams scored 89%
22% Clean sheets 0%
11% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 0%
44% Draws 56%
22% Losses 44%
67% Over 0.5 goals 78%
22% Over 1.5 goals 44%
22% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.25 West Ham – Brighton 2–2 (2–1) 3.403.752.00 1.67 2.20
27.12.25 Arsenal – Brighton 2–1 (1–0) 1.424.757.00 1.67 2.20
20.12.25 Brighton – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 1.674.005.25 1.85 2.00
13.12.25 Liverpool – Brighton 2–0 (1–0) 1.674.004.75 1.53 2.50
07.12.25 Brighton – West Ham 1–1 (0–0) 1.554.335.75 1.62 2.30
03.12.25 Brighton – Aston Villa 3–4 (2–2) 2.153.503.40 1.88 1.98
30.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 2.753.302.63 1.91 1.91
22.11.25 Brighton – Brentford 2–1 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10
09.11.25 Crystal Palace – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.73 2.10
01.11.25 Brighton – Leeds 3–0 (1–0) 1.853.754.00 1.85 2.00

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.25 Burnley – Newcastle 1–3 (1–2) 5.254.201.60 1.80 2.00
27.12.25 Burnley – Everton 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.401.95 2.20 1.67
20.12.25 Bournemouth – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.336.50 1.67 2.20
13.12.25 Burnley – Fulham 2–3 (1–2) 4.003.501.91 2.10 1.73
06.12.25 Newcastle – Burnley 2–1 (2–0) 1.276.009.50 1.57 2.38
03.12.25 Burnley – Crystal Palace 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.801.75 2.00 1.80
29.11.25 Brentford – Burnley 3–1 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.73 2.10
22.11.25 Burnley – Chelsea 0–2 (0–1) 6.254.501.48 1.80 2.00
08.11.25 West Ham – Burnley 3–2 (1–1) 1.913.504.00 2.00 1.80
01.11.25 Burnley – Arsenal 0–2 (0–2) 10.006.001.27 1.73 2.10

Brighton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.25 Brighton – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 1.674.005.25 1.85 2.00
07.12.25 Brighton – West Ham 1–1 (0–0) 1.554.335.75 1.62 2.30
03.12.25 Brighton – Aston Villa 3–4 (2–2) 2.153.503.40 1.88 1.98
22.11.25 Brighton – Brentford 2–1 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10
01.11.25 Brighton – Leeds 3–0 (1–0) 1.853.754.00 1.85 2.00
18.10.25 Brighton – Newcastle 2–1 (1–0) 2.633.402.60 1.88 1.98
20.09.25 Brighton – Tottenham 2–2 (2–1) 2.253.703.00 1.67 2.20
31.08.25 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 3.803.901.90 1.62 2.30
16.08.25 Brighton – Fulham 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10
19.05.25 Brighton – Liverpool 3–2 (1–2) 2.603.752.45 1.44 2.75

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.25 Bournemouth – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.336.50 1.67 2.20
06.12.25 Newcastle – Burnley 2–1 (2–0) 1.276.009.50 1.57 2.38
29.11.25 Brentford – Burnley 3–1 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.73 2.10
08.11.25 West Ham – Burnley 3–2 (1–1) 1.913.504.00 2.00 1.80
26.10.25 Wolves – Burnley 2–3 (2–2) 1.953.304.20 2.30 1.62
05.10.25 Aston Villa – Burnley 2–1 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.98 1.88
27.09.25 Man City – Burnley 5–1 (1–1) 1.177.5015.00 1.44 2.75
30.08.25 Man United – Burnley 3–2 (1–0) 1.335.258.00 1.67 2.20
16.08.25 Tottenham – Burnley 3–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.73 2.10
26.04.25E1 QPR – Burnley 0–5 (0–3) 3.803.501.95 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Brighton winsDrawsBurnley wins
4matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24E0 Burnley – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 3.503.752.00 1.67 2.20
09.12.23E0 Brighton – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 1.504.756.00 1.57 2.35
19.02.22E0 Brighton – Burnley 0–3 (0–2) 1.663.506.00 2.20 1.66
14.08.21E0 Burnley – Brighton 1–2 (1–0) 3.103.102.45 2.50 1.53

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 19 14 3 2 37 12 +25 45
2 Aston Villa 20 13 3 4 33 24 +9 42
3 Man City 19 13 2 4 43 17 +26 41
4 Liverpool 19 10 3 6 30 26 +4 33
5 Chelsea 19 8 6 5 32 21 +11 30
6 Man United 19 8 6 5 33 29 +4 30
7 Sunderland 19 7 8 4 20 18 +2 29
8 Everton 19 8 4 7 20 20 0 28
9 Brentford 19 8 3 8 28 26 +2 27
10 Crystal Palace 19 7 6 6 22 21 +1 27
11 Fulham 19 8 3 8 26 27 -1 27
12 Tottenham 19 7 5 7 27 23 +4 26
13 Newcastle 19 7 5 7 26 24 +2 26
14 Brighton 19 6 7 6 28 27 +1 25
15 Bournemouth 19 5 8 6 29 35 -6 23
16 Leeds 19 5 6 8 25 32 -7 21
17 Nott'm Forest 20 5 3 12 19 33 -14 18
18 West Ham 19 3 5 11 21 38 -17 14
19 Burnley 19 3 3 13 20 37 -17 12
20 Wolves 19 0 3 16 11 40 -29 3
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 10 9 1 0 26 5 +21 28
2 Aston Villa 10 8 1 1 18 8 +10 25
3 Man City 9 8 0 1 25 6 +19 24
4 Brentford 10 6 3 1 20 10 +10 21
5 Sunderland 10 5 5 0 16 8 +8 20
6 Liverpool 10 6 2 2 15 10 +5 20
7 Man United 10 5 3 2 18 13 +5 18
8 Newcastle 9 5 2 2 16 12 +4 17
9 Brighton 9 4 4 1 16 11 +5 16
10 Fulham 9 5 1 3 15 10 +5 16
11 Bournemouth 9 4 4 1 11 6 +5 16
12 Leeds 9 4 3 2 17 12 +5 15
13 Chelsea 10 4 3 3 15 11 +4 15
14 Everton 9 4 2 3 11 10 +1 14
15 Crystal Palace 10 2 5 3 10 12 -2 11
16 Nott'm Forest 10 3 1 6 12 17 -5 10
17 Tottenham 9 2 2 5 11 11 0 8
18 Burnley 10 2 2 6 8 13 -5 8
19 West Ham 10 2 1 7 12 23 -11 7
20 Wolves 9 0 1 8 7 23 -16 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 10 5 3 2 16 12 +4 18
2 Man City 10 5 2 3 18 11 +7 17
3 Arsenal 9 5 2 2 11 7 +4 17
4 Aston Villa 10 5 2 3 15 16 -1 17
5 Crystal Palace 9 5 1 3 12 9 +3 16
6 Chelsea 9 4 3 2 17 10 +7 15
7 Everton 10 4 2 4 9 10 -1 14
8 Liverpool 9 4 1 4 15 16 -1 13
9 Man United 9 3 3 3 15 16 -1 12
10 Fulham 10 3 2 5 11 17 -6 11
11 Newcastle 10 2 3 5 10 12 -2 9
12 Brighton 10 2 3 5 12 16 -4 9
13 Sunderland 9 2 3 4 4 10 -6 9
14 Nott'm Forest 10 2 2 6 7 16 -9 8
15 West Ham 9 1 4 4 9 15 -6 7
16 Bournemouth 10 1 4 5 18 29 -11 7
17 Brentford 9 2 0 7 8 16 -8 6
18 Leeds 10 1 3 6 8 20 -12 6
19 Burnley 9 1 1 7 12 24 -12 4
20 Wolves 10 0 2 8 4 17 -13 2

Brighton   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Aston Villa 20 7 13 1.6 1.2 13 3 4 33 24 42
2 3 Man City 19 6 13 2.3 0.9 13 2 4 43 17 41
3 4 Liverpool 19 7 12 1.6 1.4 10 3 6 30 26 33
4 5 Chelsea 19 7 12 1.7 1.1 8 6 5 32 21 30
5 6 Man United 19 7 12 1.7 1.5 8 6 5 33 29 30
6 12 Tottenham 19 7 12 1.4 1.2 7 5 7 27 23 26
7 13 Newcastle 19 7 12 1.4 1.3 7 5 7 26 24 26
8 15 Bournemouth 19 7 12 1.5 1.8 5 8 6 29 35 23
9 16 Leeds 19 7 12 1.3 1.7 5 6 8 25 32 21
10 18 West Ham 19 7 12 1.1 2.0 3 5 11 21 38 14
11 14 Brighton 19 8 11 1.5 1.4 6 7 6 28 27 25
12 17 Nott'm Forest 20 9 11 0.9 1.6 5 3 12 19 33 18
13 9 Brentford 19 9 10 1.5 1.4 8 3 8 28 26 27
14 19 Burnley 19 9 10 1.1 1.9 3 3 13 20 37 12
15 1 Arsenal 19 10 9 1.9 0.6 14 3 2 37 12 45
16 10 Crystal Palace 19 10 9 1.2 1.1 7 6 6 22 21 27
17 11 Fulham 19 10 9 1.4 1.4 8 3 8 26 27 27
18 20 Wolves 19 10 9 0.6 2.1 0 3 16 11 40 3
19 7 Sunderland 19 13 6 1.1 0.9 7 8 4 20 18 29
20 8 Everton 19 13 6 1.1 1.1 8 4 7 20 20 28
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Aston Villa 10 3 7 1.8 0.8 8 1 1 18 8 25
2 3 Man City 9 2 7 2.8 0.7 8 0 1 25 6 24
3 13 Newcastle 9 2 7 1.8 1.3 5 2 2 16 12 17
4 16 Leeds 9 2 7 1.9 1.3 4 3 2 17 12 15
5 17 Nott'm Forest 10 3 7 1.2 1.7 3 1 6 12 17 10
6 18 West Ham 10 3 7 1.2 2.3 2 1 7 12 23 7
7 1 Arsenal 10 4 6 2.6 0.5 9 1 0 26 5 28
8 5 Chelsea 10 4 6 1.5 1.1 4 3 3 15 11 15
9 9 Brentford 10 4 6 2.0 1.0 6 3 1 20 10 21
10 14 Brighton 9 3 6 1.8 1.2 4 4 1 16 11 16
11 4 Liverpool 10 5 5 1.5 1.0 6 2 2 15 10 20
12 12 Tottenham 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 2 2 5 11 11 8
13 20 Wolves 9 4 5 0.8 2.6 0 1 8 7 23 1
14 6 Man United 10 6 4 1.8 1.3 5 3 2 18 13 18
15 7 Sunderland 10 6 4 1.6 0.8 5 5 0 16 8 20
16 8 Everton 9 5 4 1.2 1.1 4 2 3 11 10 14
17 10 Crystal Palace 10 6 4 1.0 1.2 2 5 3 10 12 11
18 11 Fulham 9 5 4 1.7 1.1 5 1 3 15 10 16
19 15 Bournemouth 9 6 3 1.2 0.7 4 4 1 11 6 16
20 19 Burnley 10 8 2 0.8 1.3 2 2 6 8 13 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Bournemouth 10 1 9 1.8 2.9 1 4 5 18 29 7
2 6 Man United 9 1 8 1.7 1.8 3 3 3 15 16 12
3 19 Burnley 9 1 8 1.3 2.7 1 1 7 12 24 4
4 4 Liverpool 9 2 7 1.7 1.8 4 1 4 15 16 13
5 12 Tottenham 10 3 7 1.6 1.2 5 3 2 16 12 18
6 2 Aston Villa 10 4 6 1.5 1.6 5 2 3 15 16 17
7 3 Man City 10 4 6 1.8 1.1 5 2 3 18 11 17
8 5 Chelsea 9 3 6 1.9 1.1 4 3 2 17 10 15
9 10 Crystal Palace 9 4 5 1.3 1.0 5 1 3 12 9 16
10 11 Fulham 10 5 5 1.1 1.7 3 2 5 11 17 11
11 13 Newcastle 10 5 5 1.0 1.2 2 3 5 10 12 9
12 14 Brighton 10 5 5 1.2 1.6 2 3 5 12 16 9
13 16 Leeds 10 5 5 0.8 2.0 1 3 6 8 20 6
14 18 West Ham 9 4 5 1.0 1.7 1 4 4 9 15 7
15 9 Brentford 9 5 4 0.9 1.8 2 0 7 8 16 6
16 17 Nott'm Forest 10 6 4 0.7 1.6 2 2 6 7 16 8
17 20 Wolves 10 6 4 0.4 1.7 0 2 8 4 17 2
18 1 Arsenal 9 6 3 1.2 0.8 5 2 2 11 7 17
19 7 Sunderland 9 7 2 0.4 1.1 2 3 4 4 10 9
20 8 Everton 10 8 2 0.9 1.0 4 2 4 9 10 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38