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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: M Oliver

Brighton 3–0 Leeds

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.85 fair 2.08
Draw 3.75 fair 4.21
Away 4.00 fair 3.55
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.33
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.85 fair 1.75

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Brighton Leeds
14 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 7
10 Fouls 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (90 league matches this season so far).
Result Brighton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.70
Expected goals 1.71 – 1.26
Home / Draw / Away
BrightonDrawLeeds
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11% 2–1 9.5% 1–0 8.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Brighton before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.56scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 14:15
Leeds before this match, all matches
1.22points / match
1.00scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 9:14
Brighton all matches all matches Leeds

Per match

1.56 Goals scored 1.00
1.67 Goals conceded 1.56
3.22 Total goals 2.56
12.44 Shots 13.00
4.44 Shots on target 3.67
11.33 Shots faced 9.78
4.89 Corners 4.00
3.67 Corners against 2.89
12.67 Fouls 10.22
2.67 Yellow cards 1.56
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.78
0.89 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

33% Wins 33%
33% Draws 22%
33% Losses 44%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
100% Over 1.5 goals 67%
67% Over 2.5 goals 56%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
11% Over 4.5 goals 11%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
89% Both teams scored 44%
0% Clean sheets 22%
11% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 22%
11% Draws 56%
67% Losses 22%
89% Over 0.5 goals 67%
22% Over 1.5 goals 56%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton all matches
Leeds all matches
Brighton before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.75scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 7:5
Leeds before this match, away
0.75points / match
0.75scored / match
2.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 3:9
Brighton at home away Leeds

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 0.75
1.25 Goals conceded 2.25
3.00 Total goals 3.00
11.75 Shots 9.50
5.00 Shots on target 3.00
11.50 Shots faced 10.75
4.25 Corners 2.50
4.75 Corners against 2.50
12.75 Fouls 10.50
1.50 Yellow cards 1.50
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 25%
50% Draws 0%
0% Losses 75%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 75%
75% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 25%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 75%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 25%
25% Draws 25%
25% Losses 50%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
25% Over 1.5 goals 50%
25% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton at home
Leeds away

Last 10 matches before this match

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.25 Man United – Brighton 4–2 (2–0) 1.953.803.50 1.53 2.50
18.10.25 Brighton – Newcastle 2–1 (1–0) 2.633.402.60 1.88 1.98
05.10.25 Wolves – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 3.603.702.00 1.85 2.00
27.09.25 Chelsea – Brighton 1–3 (1–0) 1.853.803.80 1.62 2.30
20.09.25 Brighton – Tottenham 2–2 (2–1) 2.253.703.00 1.67 2.20
13.09.25 Bournemouth – Brighton 2–1 (1–0) 2.353.502.90 1.67 2.20
31.08.25 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 3.803.901.90 1.62 2.30
24.08.25 Everton – Brighton 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.302.30 2.00 1.80
16.08.25 Brighton – Fulham 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10
25.05.25 Tottenham – Brighton 1–4 (1–0) 4.204.331.70 1.33 3.40

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.10.25 Leeds – West Ham 2–1 (2–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.73
18.10.25 Burnley – Leeds 2–0 (1–0) 3.253.252.25 2.20 1.67
04.10.25 Leeds – Tottenham 1–2 (1–1) 2.703.502.50 1.95 1.90
27.09.25 Leeds – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–1) 3.103.252.38 2.03 1.83
20.09.25 Wolves – Leeds 1–3 (1–3) 2.703.202.75 2.30 1.62
13.09.25 Fulham – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 2.03 1.83
30.08.25 Leeds – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.402.10 1.80 2.00
23.08.25 Arsenal – Leeds 5–0 (2–0) 1.276.259.50 1.53 2.50
18.08.25 Leeds – Everton 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.303.00 2.10 1.73
03.05.25E1 Plymouth – Leeds 1–2 (1–0) 9.506.251.25 1.50 2.63

Brighton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.25 Brighton – Newcastle 2–1 (1–0) 2.633.402.60 1.88 1.98
20.09.25 Brighton – Tottenham 2–2 (2–1) 2.253.703.00 1.67 2.20
31.08.25 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 3.803.901.90 1.62 2.30
16.08.25 Brighton – Fulham 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10
19.05.25 Brighton – Liverpool 3–2 (1–2) 2.603.752.45 1.44 2.75
04.05.25 Brighton – Newcastle 1–1 (1–0) 2.883.702.30 1.53 2.50
26.04.25 Brighton – West Ham 3–2 (1–0) 1.674.204.75 1.67 2.20
12.04.25 Brighton – Leicester 2–2 (1–1) 1.296.0010.00 1.62 2.30
02.04.25 Brighton – Aston Villa 0–3 (0–0) 2.053.803.25 1.62 2.30
08.03.25 Brighton – Fulham 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.603.75 1.73 2.10

Leeds away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.25 Burnley – Leeds 2–0 (1–0) 3.253.252.25 2.20 1.67
20.09.25 Wolves – Leeds 1–3 (1–3) 2.703.202.75 2.30 1.62
13.09.25 Fulham – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 2.03 1.83
23.08.25 Arsenal – Leeds 5–0 (2–0) 1.276.259.50 1.53 2.50
03.05.25E1 Plymouth – Leeds 1–2 (1–0) 9.506.251.25 1.50 2.63
18.04.25E1 Oxford – Leeds 0–1 (0–1) 8.005.001.36 1.83 2.03
08.04.25E1 Middlesbrough – Leeds 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.901.67 1.80 2.00
05.04.25E1 Luton – Leeds 1–1 (1–1) 5.254.101.60 2.00 1.85
15.03.25E1 QPR – Leeds 2–2 (2–1) 6.004.331.50 2.00 1.85
09.03.25E1 Portsmouth – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 7.504.501.40 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Brighton winsDrawsLeeds wins
4matches
1.75goals / match
25%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.03.23E0 Leeds – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 3.753.601.95 1.89 2.04
27.08.22E0 Brighton – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.803.80 1.88 2.02
15.05.22E0 Leeds – Brighton 1–1 (0–1) 2.623.502.62 1.84 2.06
27.11.21E0 Brighton – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.403.75 1.98 1.95

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 9 7 1 1 16 3 +13 22
2 Bournemouth 9 5 3 1 16 11 +5 18
3 Tottenham 9 5 2 2 17 7 +10 17
4 Sunderland 9 5 2 2 11 7 +4 17
5 Man City 9 5 1 3 17 7 +10 16
6 Man United 9 5 1 3 15 14 +1 16
7 Liverpool 9 5 0 4 16 14 +2 15
8 Aston Villa 9 4 3 2 9 8 +1 15
9 Chelsea 9 4 2 3 17 11 +6 14
10 Crystal Palace 9 3 4 2 12 9 +3 13
11 Brentford 9 4 1 4 14 14 0 13
12 Newcastle 9 3 3 3 9 8 +1 12
13 Brighton 9 3 3 3 14 15 -1 12
14 Everton 9 3 2 4 9 12 -3 11
15 Leeds 9 3 2 4 9 14 -5 11
16 Burnley 9 3 1 5 12 17 -5 10
17 Fulham 9 2 2 5 9 14 -5 8
18 Nott'm Forest 9 1 2 6 5 17 -12 5
19 West Ham 9 1 1 7 7 20 -13 4
20 Wolves 9 0 2 7 7 19 -12 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 5 4 1 0 12 1 +11 13
2 Bournemouth 5 4 1 0 8 2 +6 13
3 Man United 5 4 0 1 11 6 +5 12
4 Sunderland 4 3 1 0 8 2 +6 10
5 Brentford 5 3 1 1 9 6 +3 10
6 Aston Villa 5 3 1 1 6 5 +1 10
7 Man City 4 3 0 1 10 3 +7 9
8 Liverpool 4 3 0 1 8 5 +3 9
9 Newcastle 5 3 0 2 8 6 +2 9
10 Brighton 4 2 2 0 7 5 +2 8
11 Leeds 5 2 2 1 6 5 +1 8
12 Everton 5 2 2 1 5 5 0 8
13 Burnley 4 2 1 1 5 2 +3 7
14 Fulham 4 2 1 1 5 3 +2 7
15 Chelsea 5 2 1 2 6 6 0 7
16 Crystal Palace 4 1 3 0 6 5 +1 6
17 Tottenham 4 1 1 2 5 4 +1 4
18 Nott'm Forest 4 1 0 3 3 8 -5 3
19 Wolves 5 0 1 4 6 14 -8 1
20 West Ham 4 0 0 4 2 12 -10 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 5 4 1 0 12 3 +9 13
2 Arsenal 4 3 0 1 4 2 +2 9
3 Chelsea 4 2 1 1 11 5 +6 7
4 Man City 5 2 1 2 7 4 +3 7
5 Crystal Palace 5 2 1 2 6 4 +2 7
6 Sunderland 5 2 1 2 3 5 -2 7
7 Liverpool 5 2 0 3 8 9 -1 6
8 Aston Villa 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
9 Bournemouth 4 1 2 1 8 9 -1 5
10 Brighton 5 1 1 3 7 10 -3 4
11 West Ham 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4
12 Man United 4 1 1 2 4 8 -4 4
13 Newcastle 4 0 3 1 1 2 -1 3
14 Brentford 4 1 0 3 5 8 -3 3
15 Everton 4 1 0 3 4 7 -3 3
16 Leeds 4 1 0 3 3 9 -6 3
17 Burnley 5 1 0 4 7 15 -8 3
18 Nott'm Forest 5 0 2 3 2 9 -7 2
19 Wolves 4 0 1 3 1 5 -4 1
20 Fulham 5 0 1 4 4 11 -7 1

Brighton   Leeds

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Liverpool 9 2 7 1.8 1.6 5 0 4 16 14 15
2 9 Chelsea 9 2 7 1.9 1.2 4 2 3 17 11 14
3 3 Tottenham 9 3 6 1.9 0.8 5 2 2 17 7 17
4 6 Man United 9 3 6 1.7 1.6 5 1 3 15 14 16
5 11 Brentford 9 3 6 1.6 1.6 4 1 4 14 14 13
6 13 Brighton 9 3 6 1.6 1.7 3 3 3 14 15 12
7 19 West Ham 9 3 6 0.8 2.2 1 1 7 7 20 4
8 2 Bournemouth 9 4 5 1.8 1.2 5 3 1 16 11 18
9 10 Crystal Palace 9 4 5 1.3 1.0 3 4 2 12 9 13
10 15 Leeds 9 4 5 1.0 1.6 3 2 4 9 14 11
11 16 Burnley 9 4 5 1.3 1.9 3 1 5 12 17 10
12 5 Man City 9 5 4 1.9 0.8 5 1 3 17 7 16
13 8 Aston Villa 9 5 4 1.0 0.9 4 3 2 9 8 15
14 12 Newcastle 9 5 4 1.0 0.9 3 3 3 9 8 12
15 14 Everton 9 5 4 1.0 1.3 3 2 4 9 12 11
16 17 Fulham 9 5 4 1.0 1.6 2 2 5 9 14 8
17 18 Nott'm Forest 9 5 4 0.6 1.9 1 2 6 5 17 5
18 20 Wolves 9 5 4 0.8 2.1 0 2 7 7 19 2
19 1 Arsenal 9 6 3 1.8 0.3 7 1 1 16 3 22
20 4 Sunderland 9 6 3 1.2 0.8 5 2 2 11 7 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Wolves 5 1 4 1.2 2.8 0 1 4 6 14 1
2 6 Man United 5 2 3 2.2 1.2 4 0 1 11 6 12
3 7 Liverpool 4 1 3 2.0 1.2 3 0 1 8 5 9
4 8 Aston Villa 5 2 3 1.2 1.0 3 1 1 6 5 10
5 9 Chelsea 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 2 6 6 7
6 11 Brentford 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 3 1 1 9 6 10
7 12 Newcastle 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 3 0 2 8 6 9
8 13 Brighton 4 1 3 1.8 1.2 2 2 0 7 5 8
9 15 Leeds 5 2 3 1.2 1.0 2 2 1 6 5 8
10 18 Nott'm Forest 4 1 3 0.8 2.0 1 0 3 3 8 3
11 19 West Ham 4 1 3 0.5 3.0 0 0 4 2 12 0
12 1 Arsenal 5 3 2 2.4 0.2 4 1 0 12 1 13
13 2 Bournemouth 5 3 2 1.6 0.4 4 1 0 8 2 13
14 3 Tottenham 4 2 2 1.2 1.0 1 1 2 5 4 4
15 4 Sunderland 4 2 2 2.0 0.5 3 1 0 8 2 10
16 5 Man City 4 2 2 2.5 0.8 3 0 1 10 3 9
17 10 Crystal Palace 4 2 2 1.5 1.2 1 3 0 6 5 6
18 14 Everton 5 3 2 1.0 1.0 2 2 1 5 5 8
19 17 Fulham 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 2 1 1 5 3 7
20 16 Burnley 4 4 0 1.2 0.5 2 1 1 5 2 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Burnley 5 0 5 1.4 3.0 1 0 4 7 15 3
2 3 Tottenham 5 1 4 2.4 0.6 4 1 0 12 3 13
3 7 Liverpool 5 1 4 1.6 1.8 2 0 3 8 9 6
4 9 Chelsea 4 0 4 2.8 1.2 2 1 1 11 5 7
5 2 Bournemouth 4 1 3 2.0 2.2 1 2 1 8 9 5
6 6 Man United 4 1 3 1.0 2.0 1 1 2 4 8 4
7 10 Crystal Palace 5 2 3 1.2 0.8 2 1 2 6 4 7
8 11 Brentford 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 1 0 3 5 8 3
9 13 Brighton 5 2 3 1.4 2.0 1 1 3 7 10 4
10 17 Fulham 5 2 3 0.8 2.2 0 1 4 4 11 1
11 19 West Ham 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4
12 5 Man City 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 2 1 2 7 4 7
13 14 Everton 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 0 3 4 7 3
14 15 Leeds 4 2 2 0.8 2.2 1 0 3 3 9 3
15 1 Arsenal 4 3 1 1.0 0.5 3 0 1 4 2 9
16 4 Sunderland 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 2 1 2 3 5 7
17 8 Aston Villa 4 3 1 0.8 0.8 1 2 1 3 3 5
18 12 Newcastle 4 3 1 0.2 0.5 0 3 1 1 2 3
19 18 Nott'm Forest 5 4 1 0.4 1.8 0 2 3 2 9 2
20 20 Wolves 4 4 0 0.2 1.2 0 1 3 1 5 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51