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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: J Brooks

Arsenal 2–1 Brighton

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.42 fair 1.75
Draw 4.75 fair 4.41
Away 7.00 fair 4.94
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.17
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.85

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Arsenal Brighton
24 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 2
7 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (172 league matches this season so far).
Result Arsenal to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.88
Expected goals 1.84 – 1.00
Home / Draw / Away
ArsenalDrawBrighton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 10.8% 1–1 10.8% 2–0 9.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Arsenal before this match, all matches
2.29points / match
1.82scored / match
0.59conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 31:10
Brighton before this match, all matches
1.41points / match
1.47scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 25:23
Arsenal all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

1.82 Goals scored 1.47
0.59 Goals conceded 1.35
2.41 Total goals 2.82
14.47 Shots 13.65
4.94 Shots on target 4.53
7.29 Shots faced 12.12
5.88 Corners 5.00
3.12 Corners against 4.41
9.76 Fouls 12.00
1.29 Yellow cards 2.41
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.41
0.24 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

71% Wins 35%
18% Draws 35%
12% Losses 29%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
71% Over 1.5 goals 88%
41% Over 2.5 goals 53%
18% Over 3.5 goals 24%
12% Over 4.5 goals 12%
0% Over 5.5 goals 12%
41% Both teams scored 65%
53% Clean sheets 24%
6% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 24%
24% Draws 29%
24% Losses 47%
76% Over 0.5 goals 76%
18% Over 1.5 goals 18%
0% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal all matches
Brighton all matches
Arsenal before this match, at home
2.75points / match
2.50scored / match
0.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 20:3
Brighton before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.13scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:12
Arsenal at home away Brighton

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 1.13
0.38 Goals conceded 1.50
2.88 Total goals 2.63
15.63 Shots 12.88
4.75 Shots on target 3.75
4.50 Shots faced 12.88
6.13 Corners 4.88
2.88 Corners against 3.63
9.00 Fouls 12.50
0.38 Yellow cards 3.13
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.13
0.13 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

88% Wins 25%
13% Draws 25%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
88% Over 1.5 goals 88%
50% Over 2.5 goals 38%
25% Over 3.5 goals 25%
25% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
38% Both teams scored 50%
63% Clean sheets 25%
0% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

75% Wins 13%
13% Draws 13%
13% Losses 75%
88% Over 0.5 goals 88%
25% Over 1.5 goals 13%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal at home
Brighton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.25 Everton – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 5.754.101.57 2.10 1.73
13.12.25 Arsenal – Wolves 2–1 (0–0) 1.138.5021.00 1.53 2.50
06.12.25 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–1 (1–0) 4.203.501.90 2.10 1.73
03.12.25 Arsenal – Brentford 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.50 1.73 2.10
30.11.25 Chelsea – Arsenal 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 1.98 1.88
23.11.25 Arsenal – Tottenham 4–1 (2–0) 1.424.757.50 1.80 2.00
08.11.25 Sunderland – Arsenal 2–2 (1–0) 7.505.001.38 2.05 1.80
01.11.25 Burnley – Arsenal 0–2 (0–2) 10.006.001.27 1.73 2.10
26.10.25 Arsenal – Crystal Palace 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.50 1.73 2.10
18.10.25 Fulham – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 5.754.101.55 1.98 1.88

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.25 Brighton – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 1.674.005.25 1.85 2.00
13.12.25 Liverpool – Brighton 2–0 (1–0) 1.674.004.75 1.53 2.50
07.12.25 Brighton – West Ham 1–1 (0–0) 1.554.335.75 1.62 2.30
03.12.25 Brighton – Aston Villa 3–4 (2–2) 2.153.503.40 1.88 1.98
30.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 2.753.302.63 1.91 1.91
22.11.25 Brighton – Brentford 2–1 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10
09.11.25 Crystal Palace – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.73 2.10
01.11.25 Brighton – Leeds 3–0 (1–0) 1.853.754.00 1.85 2.00
25.10.25 Man United – Brighton 4–2 (2–0) 1.953.803.50 1.53 2.50
18.10.25 Brighton – Newcastle 2–1 (1–0) 2.633.402.60 1.88 1.98

Arsenal at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.25 Arsenal – Wolves 2–1 (0–0) 1.138.5021.00 1.53 2.50
03.12.25 Arsenal – Brentford 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.50 1.73 2.10
23.11.25 Arsenal – Tottenham 4–1 (2–0) 1.424.757.50 1.80 2.00
26.10.25 Arsenal – Crystal Palace 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.50 1.73 2.10
04.10.25 Arsenal – West Ham 2–0 (1–0) 1.186.5017.00 1.53 2.50
21.09.25 Arsenal – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.903.80 1.80 2.00
13.09.25 Arsenal – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (1–0) 1.385.008.00 1.73 2.10
23.08.25 Arsenal – Leeds 5–0 (2–0) 1.276.259.50 1.53 2.50
18.05.25 Arsenal – Newcastle 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.703.70 1.73 2.10
03.05.25 Arsenal – Bournemouth 1–2 (1–0) 2.053.703.40 1.87 2.03

Brighton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.25 Liverpool – Brighton 2–0 (1–0) 1.674.004.75 1.53 2.50
30.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 2.753.302.63 1.91 1.91
09.11.25 Crystal Palace – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.73 2.10
25.10.25 Man United – Brighton 4–2 (2–0) 1.953.803.50 1.53 2.50
05.10.25 Wolves – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 3.603.702.00 1.85 2.00
27.09.25 Chelsea – Brighton 1–3 (1–0) 1.853.803.80 1.62 2.30
13.09.25 Bournemouth – Brighton 2–1 (1–0) 2.353.502.90 1.67 2.20
24.08.25 Everton – Brighton 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.302.30 2.00 1.80
25.05.25 Tottenham – Brighton 1–4 (1–0) 4.204.331.70 1.33 3.40
10.05.25 Wolves – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 2.703.502.50 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Arsenal winsDrawsBrighton wins
8matches
2.62goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.25E0 Brighton – Arsenal 1–1 (0–1) 4.333.751.80 1.73 2.10
31.08.24E0 Arsenal – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.53 2.50
06.04.24E0 Brighton – Arsenal 0–3 (0–1) 5.004.331.62 1.62 2.30
17.12.23E0 Arsenal – Brighton 2–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.00 1.53 2.40
14.05.23E0 Arsenal – Brighton 0–3 (0–0) 1.734.204.20 1.53 2.50
31.12.22E0 Brighton – Arsenal 2–4 (0–2) 3.403.502.10 1.89 2.04
09.04.22E0 Arsenal – Brighton 1–2 (0–1) 1.613.805.75 2.04 1.86
02.10.21E0 Brighton – Arsenal 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.252.40 2.00 1.80

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 18 13 1 4 43 17 +26 40
2 Arsenal 17 12 3 2 31 10 +21 39
3 Aston Villa 17 11 3 3 27 18 +9 36
4 Chelsea 17 8 5 4 29 17 +12 29
5 Man United 18 8 5 5 32 28 +4 29
6 Liverpool 17 9 2 6 28 25 +3 29
7 Sunderland 17 7 6 4 19 17 +2 27
8 Crystal Palace 17 7 5 5 21 19 +2 26
9 Brighton 17 6 6 5 25 23 +2 24
10 Everton 17 7 3 7 18 20 -2 24
11 Newcastle 18 6 5 7 23 23 0 23
12 Brentford 17 7 2 8 24 25 -1 23
13 Fulham 17 7 2 8 24 26 -2 23
14 Tottenham 17 6 4 7 26 23 +3 22
15 Bournemouth 17 5 7 5 26 29 -3 22
16 Leeds 17 5 4 8 24 31 -7 19
17 Nott'm Forest 18 5 3 10 18 28 -10 18
18 West Ham 17 3 4 10 19 35 -16 13
19 Burnley 17 3 2 12 19 34 -15 11
20 Wolves 17 0 2 15 9 37 -28 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 9 8 0 1 25 6 +19 24
2 Arsenal 8 7 1 0 20 3 +17 22
3 Aston Villa 9 7 1 1 15 7 +8 22
4 Sunderland 8 5 3 0 15 7 +8 18
5 Brentford 8 5 2 1 16 9 +7 17
6 Man United 9 5 2 2 17 12 +5 17
7 Newcastle 9 5 2 2 16 12 +4 17
8 Brighton 9 4 4 1 16 11 +5 16
9 Fulham 9 5 1 3 15 10 +5 16
10 Bournemouth 9 4 4 1 11 6 +5 16
11 Liverpool 8 5 1 2 13 9 +4 16
12 Leeds 9 4 3 2 17 12 +5 15
13 Chelsea 8 4 2 2 12 7 +5 14
14 Everton 9 4 2 3 11 10 +1 14
15 Crystal Palace 8 2 4 2 9 10 -1 10
16 Nott'm Forest 9 3 1 5 12 15 -3 10
17 Tottenham 9 2 2 5 11 11 0 8
18 Burnley 8 2 1 5 7 10 -3 7
19 West Ham 8 2 0 6 10 20 -10 6
20 Wolves 9 0 1 8 7 23 -16 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 9 5 2 2 11 7 +4 17
2 Man City 9 5 1 3 18 11 +7 16
3 Crystal Palace 9 5 1 3 12 9 +3 16
4 Chelsea 9 4 3 2 17 10 +7 15
5 Tottenham 8 4 2 2 15 12 +3 14
6 Aston Villa 8 4 2 2 12 11 +1 14
7 Liverpool 9 4 1 4 15 16 -1 13
8 Man United 9 3 3 3 15 16 -1 12
9 Everton 8 3 1 4 7 10 -3 10
10 Sunderland 9 2 3 4 4 10 -6 9
11 Brighton 8 2 2 4 9 12 -3 8
12 Nott'm Forest 9 2 2 5 6 13 -7 8
13 West Ham 9 1 4 4 9 15 -6 7
14 Fulham 8 2 1 5 9 16 -7 7
15 Newcastle 9 1 3 5 7 11 -4 6
16 Bournemouth 8 1 3 4 15 23 -8 6
17 Brentford 9 2 0 7 8 16 -8 6
18 Burnley 9 1 1 7 12 24 -12 4
19 Leeds 8 1 1 6 7 19 -12 4
20 Wolves 8 0 1 7 2 14 -12 1

Arsenal   Brighton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 18 5 13 2.4 0.9 13 1 4 43 17 40
2 5 Man United 18 6 12 1.8 1.6 8 5 5 32 28 29
3 14 Tottenham 17 5 12 1.5 1.4 6 4 7 26 23 22
4 16 Leeds 17 5 12 1.4 1.8 5 4 8 24 31 19
5 6 Liverpool 17 6 11 1.6 1.5 9 2 6 28 25 29
6 11 Newcastle 18 7 11 1.3 1.3 6 5 7 23 23 23
7 18 West Ham 17 6 11 1.1 2.1 3 4 10 19 35 13
8 3 Aston Villa 17 7 10 1.6 1.1 11 3 3 27 18 36
9 4 Chelsea 17 7 10 1.7 1.0 8 5 4 29 17 29
10 15 Bournemouth 17 7 10 1.5 1.7 5 7 5 26 29 22
11 17 Nott'm Forest 18 8 10 1.0 1.6 5 3 10 18 28 18
12 8 Crystal Palace 17 8 9 1.2 1.1 7 5 5 21 19 26
13 9 Brighton 17 8 9 1.5 1.4 6 6 5 25 23 24
14 12 Brentford 17 8 9 1.4 1.5 7 2 8 24 25 23
15 13 Fulham 17 8 9 1.4 1.5 7 2 8 24 26 23
16 19 Burnley 17 8 9 1.1 2.0 3 2 12 19 34 11
17 20 Wolves 17 9 8 0.5 2.2 0 2 15 9 37 2
18 2 Arsenal 17 10 7 1.8 0.6 12 3 2 31 10 39
19 7 Sunderland 17 11 6 1.1 1.0 7 6 4 19 17 27
20 10 Everton 17 11 6 1.1 1.2 7 3 7 18 20 24
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 9 2 7 2.8 0.7 8 0 1 25 6 24
2 11 Newcastle 9 2 7 1.8 1.3 5 2 2 16 12 17
3 16 Leeds 9 2 7 1.9 1.3 4 3 2 17 12 15
4 17 Nott'm Forest 9 2 7 1.3 1.7 3 1 5 12 15 10
5 3 Aston Villa 9 3 6 1.7 0.8 7 1 1 15 7 22
6 9 Brighton 9 3 6 1.8 1.2 4 4 1 16 11 16
7 18 West Ham 8 2 6 1.2 2.5 2 0 6 10 20 6
8 12 Brentford 8 3 5 2.0 1.1 5 2 1 16 9 17
9 14 Tottenham 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 2 2 5 11 11 8
10 20 Wolves 9 4 5 0.8 2.6 0 1 8 7 23 1
11 2 Arsenal 8 4 4 2.5 0.4 7 1 0 20 3 22
12 4 Chelsea 8 4 4 1.5 0.9 4 2 2 12 7 14
13 5 Man United 9 5 4 1.9 1.3 5 2 2 17 12 17
14 6 Liverpool 8 4 4 1.6 1.1 5 1 2 13 9 16
15 7 Sunderland 8 4 4 1.9 0.9 5 3 0 15 7 18
16 8 Crystal Palace 8 4 4 1.1 1.2 2 4 2 9 10 10
17 10 Everton 9 5 4 1.2 1.1 4 2 3 11 10 14
18 13 Fulham 9 5 4 1.7 1.1 5 1 3 15 10 16
19 15 Bournemouth 9 6 3 1.2 0.7 4 4 1 11 6 16
20 19 Burnley 8 7 1 0.9 1.2 2 1 5 7 10 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Man United 9 1 8 1.7 1.8 3 3 3 15 16 12
2 19 Burnley 9 1 8 1.3 2.7 1 1 7 12 24 4
3 6 Liverpool 9 2 7 1.7 1.8 4 1 4 15 16 13
4 14 Tottenham 8 1 7 1.9 1.5 4 2 2 15 12 14
5 15 Bournemouth 8 1 7 1.9 2.9 1 3 4 15 23 6
6 1 Man City 9 3 6 2.0 1.2 5 1 3 18 11 16
7 4 Chelsea 9 3 6 1.9 1.1 4 3 2 17 10 15
8 8 Crystal Palace 9 4 5 1.3 1.0 5 1 3 12 9 16
9 13 Fulham 8 3 5 1.1 2.0 2 1 5 9 16 7
10 16 Leeds 8 3 5 0.9 2.4 1 1 6 7 19 4
11 18 West Ham 9 4 5 1.0 1.7 1 4 4 9 15 7
12 3 Aston Villa 8 4 4 1.5 1.4 4 2 2 12 11 14
13 11 Newcastle 9 5 4 0.8 1.2 1 3 5 7 11 6
14 12 Brentford 9 5 4 0.9 1.8 2 0 7 8 16 6
15 2 Arsenal 9 6 3 1.2 0.8 5 2 2 11 7 17
16 9 Brighton 8 5 3 1.1 1.5 2 2 4 9 12 8
17 17 Nott'm Forest 9 6 3 0.7 1.4 2 2 5 6 13 8
18 20 Wolves 8 5 3 0.2 1.8 0 1 7 2 14 1
19 7 Sunderland 9 7 2 0.4 1.1 2 3 4 4 10 9
20 10 Everton 8 6 2 0.9 1.2 3 1 4 7 10 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40