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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: P Tierney

Bournemouth 3–0 Brighton

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.25 fair 2.38
Draw 3.80 fair 4.33
Away 2.90 fair 2.86
Under 2.5 2.75 fair 2.73
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.58

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bournemouth Brighton
15 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 1
8 Corners 2
14 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (343 league matches this season so far).
Result Bournemouth to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.55
Expected goals 1.72 – 1.55
Home / Draw / Away
BournemouthDrawBrighton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.1% 2–1 8.7% 1–2 7.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Bournemouth before this match, all matches
1.32points / match
1.44scored / match
1.76conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 34 played · 49:60
Brighton before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.58scored / match
1.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 52:54
Bournemouth all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 1.58
1.76 Goals conceded 1.64
3.21 Total goals 3.21
14.26 Shots 14.85
4.94 Shots on target 5.76
13.74 Shots faced 12.36
6.44 Corners 5.52
5.65 Corners against 4.15
13.38 Fouls 10.67
2.06 Yellow cards 2.36
0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.74 1st-half goals conceded 0.79

How often Full Time

35% Wins 33%
26% Draws 33%
38% Losses 33%
97% Over 0.5 goals 91%
88% Over 1.5 goals 88%
68% Over 2.5 goals 64%
47% Over 3.5 goals 45%
9% Over 4.5 goals 24%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
62% Both teams scored 70%
24% Clean sheets 15%
18% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 36%
44% Draws 27%
29% Losses 36%
74% Over 0.5 goals 82%
41% Over 1.5 goals 42%
12% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bournemouth all matches
Brighton all matches
Bournemouth before this match, at home
1.41points / match
1.35scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 23:26
Brighton before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.41scored / match
1.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 24:31
Bournemouth at home away Brighton

Per match

1.35 Goals scored 1.41
1.53 Goals conceded 1.82
2.88 Total goals 3.24
14.53 Shots 13.59
5.18 Shots on target 5.29
11.24 Shots faced 13.88
7.24 Corners 3.88
5.29 Corners against 4.76
13.12 Fouls 10.00
1.88 Yellow cards 2.76
0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.94

How often Full Time

35% Wins 24%
35% Draws 29%
29% Losses 47%
94% Over 0.5 goals 88%
82% Over 1.5 goals 88%
59% Over 2.5 goals 65%
35% Over 3.5 goals 41%
6% Over 4.5 goals 29%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
53% Both teams scored 65%
24% Clean sheets 18%
29% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 29%
53% Draws 29%
29% Losses 41%
65% Over 0.5 goals 76%
35% Over 1.5 goals 47%
12% Over 2.5 goals 24%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bournemouth at home
Brighton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bournemouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.04.24 Wolves – Bournemouth 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.602.50 1.67 2.20
21.04.24 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 3–1 (1–1) 1.854.003.60 1.44 2.75
13.04.24 Bournemouth – Man United 2–2 (2–1) 2.403.902.60 1.44 2.75
06.04.24 Luton – Bournemouth 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.801.91 1.50 2.63
02.04.24 Bournemouth – Crystal Palace 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.803.60 1.73 2.10
30.03.24 Bournemouth – Everton 2–1 (0–0) 2.203.603.20 1.70 2.10
13.03.24 Bournemouth – Luton 4–3 (0–3) 1.504.755.75 1.44 2.70
09.03.24 Bournemouth – Sheffield United 2–2 (0–1) 1.335.258.00 1.53 2.40
03.03.24 Burnley – Bournemouth 0–2 (0–1) 3.753.601.95 1.70 2.10
24.02.24 Bournemouth – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.251.40 1.48 2.60

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.04.24 Brighton – Man City 0–4 (0–3) 6.505.001.40 1.50 2.63
13.04.24 Burnley – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 3.503.752.00 1.67 2.20
06.04.24 Brighton – Arsenal 0–3 (0–1) 5.004.331.62 1.62 2.30
03.04.24 Brentford – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.802.75 1.57 2.38
31.03.24 Liverpool – Brighton 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.50 1.36 3.10
10.03.24 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 1–0 (1–0) 1.804.004.00 1.62 2.25
02.03.24 Fulham – Brighton 3–0 (2–0) 2.553.602.63 1.62 2.25
24.02.24 Brighton – Everton 1–1 (0–0) 1.833.804.20 1.65 2.20
18.02.24 Sheffield United – Brighton 0–5 (0–2) 5.004.201.62 1.57 2.35
10.02.24 Tottenham – Brighton 2–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.40 2.88

Bournemouth at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 Bournemouth – Man United 2–2 (2–1) 2.403.902.60 1.44 2.75
02.04.24 Bournemouth – Crystal Palace 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.803.60 1.73 2.10
30.03.24 Bournemouth – Everton 2–1 (0–0) 2.203.603.20 1.70 2.10
13.03.24 Bournemouth – Luton 4–3 (0–3) 1.504.755.75 1.44 2.70
09.03.24 Bournemouth – Sheffield United 2–2 (0–1) 1.335.258.00 1.53 2.40
24.02.24 Bournemouth – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.251.40 1.48 2.60
04.02.24 Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–1) 1.704.204.50 1.65 2.20
21.01.24 Bournemouth – Liverpool 0–4 (0–0) 4.204.501.70 1.44 2.70
26.12.23 Bournemouth – Fulham 3–0 (1–0) 2.153.603.20 1.73 2.08
03.12.23 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 2–2 (1–1) 3.404.001.95 1.53 2.40

Brighton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 Burnley – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 3.503.752.00 1.67 2.20
03.04.24 Brentford – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.802.75 1.57 2.38
31.03.24 Liverpool – Brighton 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.50 1.36 3.10
02.03.24 Fulham – Brighton 3–0 (2–0) 2.553.602.63 1.62 2.25
18.02.24 Sheffield United – Brighton 0–5 (0–2) 5.004.201.62 1.57 2.35
10.02.24 Tottenham – Brighton 2–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.40 2.88
30.01.24 Luton – Brighton 4–0 (3–0) 4.204.201.75 1.65 2.20
02.01.24 West Ham – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.752.75 1.60 2.30
21.12.23 Crystal Palace – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.302.15 1.99 1.91
17.12.23 Arsenal – Brighton 2–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.00 1.53 2.40

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bournemouth winsDrawsBrighton wins
3matches
2.33goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.09.23E0 Brighton – Bournemouth 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.257.50 1.36 3.20
04.04.23E0 Bournemouth – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 6.004.201.53 1.80 2.00
04.02.23E0 Brighton – Bournemouth 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.50 1.73 2.10

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 34 24 5 5 82 26 +56 77
2 Man City 33 23 7 3 80 32 +48 76
3 Liverpool 35 22 9 4 77 36 +41 75
4 Aston Villa 35 20 7 8 73 52 +21 67
5 Tottenham 32 18 6 8 65 49 +16 60
6 Man United 34 16 6 12 52 51 +1 54
7 Newcastle 34 16 5 13 74 55 +19 53
8 West Ham 35 13 10 12 56 65 -9 49
9 Chelsea 33 13 9 11 63 59 +4 48
10 Wolves 35 13 7 15 48 55 -7 46
11 Bournemouth 34 12 9 13 49 60 -11 45
12 Brighton 33 11 11 11 52 54 -2 44
13 Everton 35 12 8 15 37 48 -11 44
14 Fulham 35 12 7 16 51 55 -4 43
15 Crystal Palace 35 10 10 15 45 57 -12 40
16 Brentford 35 9 8 18 52 60 -8 35
17 Nott'm Forest 34 7 9 18 42 60 -18 30
18 Luton 35 6 7 22 48 77 -29 25
19 Burnley 35 5 9 21 38 70 -32 24
20 Sheffield United 35 3 7 25 34 97 -63 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 17 13 3 1 43 15 +28 42
2 Man City 17 12 5 0 43 14 +29 41
3 Arsenal 17 13 2 2 43 15 +28 41
4 Newcastle 18 12 3 3 48 21 +27 39
5 Aston Villa 18 12 3 3 45 25 +20 39
6 Tottenham 16 12 0 4 34 21 +13 36
7 Man United 17 9 3 5 28 25 +3 30
8 Fulham 18 9 2 7 31 20 +11 29
9 Chelsea 16 8 4 4 35 25 +10 28
10 Brighton 16 7 6 3 28 23 +5 27
11 Wolves 18 8 3 7 25 27 -2 27
12 West Ham 18 6 8 4 28 27 +1 26
13 Everton 18 7 4 7 21 18 +3 25
14 Bournemouth 17 6 6 5 23 26 -3 24
15 Crystal Palace 17 6 4 7 28 26 +2 22
16 Brentford 17 5 6 6 27 30 -3 21
17 Nott'm Forest 17 5 5 7 25 25 0 20
18 Luton 17 4 3 10 25 32 -7 15
19 Burnley 17 2 4 11 17 37 -20 10
20 Sheffield United 17 2 4 11 18 51 -33 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 17 11 3 3 39 11 +28 36
2 Man City 16 11 2 3 37 18 +19 35
3 Liverpool 18 9 6 3 34 21 +13 33
4 Aston Villa 17 8 4 5 28 27 +1 28
5 Tottenham 16 6 6 4 31 28 +3 24
6 Man United 17 7 3 7 24 26 -2 24
7 West Ham 17 7 2 8 28 38 -10 23
8 Bournemouth 17 6 3 8 26 34 -8 21
9 Chelsea 17 5 5 7 28 34 -6 20
10 Wolves 17 5 4 8 23 28 -5 19
11 Everton 17 5 4 8 16 30 -14 19
12 Crystal Palace 18 4 6 8 17 31 -14 18
13 Brighton 17 4 5 8 24 31 -7 17
14 Brentford 18 4 2 12 25 30 -5 14
15 Newcastle 16 4 2 10 26 34 -8 14
16 Burnley 18 3 5 10 21 33 -12 14
17 Fulham 17 3 5 9 20 35 -15 14
18 Nott'm Forest 17 2 4 11 17 35 -18 10
19 Luton 18 2 4 12 23 45 -22 10
20 Sheffield United 18 1 3 14 16 46 -30 6

Bournemouth   Brighton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 32 6 26 2.0 1.5 18 6 8 65 49 60
2 4 Aston Villa 35 10 25 2.1 1.5 20 7 8 73 52 67
3 18 Luton 35 10 25 1.4 2.2 6 7 22 48 77 25
4 20 Sheffield United 35 10 25 1.0 2.8 3 7 25 34 97 16
5 7 Newcastle 34 10 24 2.2 1.6 16 5 13 74 55 53
6 3 Liverpool 35 12 23 2.2 1.0 22 9 4 77 36 75
7 8 West Ham 35 12 23 1.6 1.9 13 10 12 56 65 49
8 9 Chelsea 33 10 23 1.9 1.8 13 9 11 63 59 48
9 11 Bournemouth 34 11 23 1.4 1.8 12 9 13 49 60 45
10 16 Brentford 35 12 23 1.5 1.7 9 8 18 52 60 35
11 6 Man United 34 12 22 1.5 1.5 16 6 12 52 51 54
12 10 Wolves 35 13 22 1.4 1.6 13 7 15 48 55 46
13 14 Fulham 35 13 22 1.5 1.6 12 7 16 51 55 43
14 1 Arsenal 34 13 21 2.4 0.8 24 5 5 82 26 77
15 2 Man City 33 12 21 2.4 1.0 23 7 3 80 32 76
16 12 Brighton 33 12 21 1.6 1.6 11 11 11 52 54 44
17 19 Burnley 35 15 20 1.1 2.0 5 9 21 38 70 24
18 15 Crystal Palace 35 17 18 1.3 1.6 10 10 15 45 57 40
19 17 Nott'm Forest 34 16 18 1.2 1.8 7 9 18 42 60 30
20 13 Everton 35 20 15 1.1 1.4 12 8 15 37 48 44
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Aston Villa 18 4 14 2.5 1.4 12 3 3 45 25 39
2 5 Tottenham 16 2 14 2.1 1.3 12 0 4 34 21 36
3 20 Sheffield United 17 3 14 1.1 3.0 2 4 11 18 51 10
4 7 Newcastle 18 5 13 2.7 1.2 12 3 3 48 21 39
5 1 Arsenal 17 5 12 2.5 0.9 13 2 2 43 15 41
6 3 Liverpool 17 5 12 2.5 0.9 13 3 1 43 15 42
7 6 Man United 17 5 12 1.6 1.5 9 3 5 28 25 30
8 16 Brentford 17 5 12 1.6 1.8 5 6 6 27 30 21
9 18 Luton 17 5 12 1.5 1.9 4 3 10 25 32 15
10 10 Wolves 18 7 11 1.4 1.5 8 3 7 25 27 27
11 14 Fulham 18 7 11 1.7 1.1 9 2 7 31 20 29
12 9 Chelsea 16 6 10 2.2 1.6 8 4 4 35 25 28
13 11 Bournemouth 17 7 10 1.4 1.5 6 6 5 23 26 24
14 12 Brighton 16 6 10 1.8 1.4 7 6 3 28 23 27
15 15 Crystal Palace 17 7 10 1.6 1.5 6 4 7 28 26 22
16 2 Man City 17 8 9 2.5 0.8 12 5 0 43 14 41
17 8 West Ham 18 9 9 1.6 1.5 6 8 4 28 27 26
18 17 Nott'm Forest 17 8 9 1.5 1.5 5 5 7 25 25 20
19 19 Burnley 17 8 9 1.0 2.2 2 4 11 17 37 10
20 13 Everton 18 11 7 1.2 1.0 7 4 7 21 18 25
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 West Ham 17 3 14 1.6 2.2 7 2 8 28 38 23
2 9 Chelsea 17 4 13 1.6 2.0 5 5 7 28 34 20
3 11 Bournemouth 17 4 13 1.5 2.0 6 3 8 26 34 21
4 18 Luton 18 5 13 1.3 2.5 2 4 12 23 45 10
5 2 Man City 16 4 12 2.3 1.1 11 2 3 37 18 35
6 5 Tottenham 16 4 12 1.9 1.8 6 6 4 31 28 24
7 3 Liverpool 18 7 11 1.9 1.2 9 6 3 34 21 33
8 4 Aston Villa 17 6 11 1.6 1.6 8 4 5 28 27 28
9 7 Newcastle 16 5 11 1.6 2.1 4 2 10 26 34 14
10 10 Wolves 17 6 11 1.4 1.6 5 4 8 23 28 19
11 12 Brighton 17 6 11 1.4 1.8 4 5 8 24 31 17
12 14 Fulham 17 6 11 1.2 2.1 3 5 9 20 35 14
13 16 Brentford 18 7 11 1.4 1.7 4 2 12 25 30 14
14 19 Burnley 18 7 11 1.2 1.8 3 5 10 21 33 14
15 20 Sheffield United 18 7 11 0.9 2.6 1 3 14 16 46 6
16 6 Man United 17 7 10 1.4 1.5 7 3 7 24 26 24
17 1 Arsenal 17 8 9 2.3 0.6 11 3 3 39 11 36
18 17 Nott'm Forest 17 8 9 1.0 2.1 2 4 11 17 35 10
19 13 Everton 17 9 8 0.9 1.8 5 4 8 16 30 19
20 15 Crystal Palace 18 10 8 0.9 1.7 4 6 8 17 31 18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51