Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Attwell

Bournemouth 1–2 Brighton

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.40 fair 2.37
Draw 3.60 fair 4.15
Away ✓ 2.80 fair 2.97
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.39
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.72

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bournemouth Brighton
19 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 4
7 Corners 0
13 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (111 league matches this season so far).
Result Bournemouth to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.65
Expected goals 1.61 – 1.41
Home / Draw / Away
BournemouthDrawBrighton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 2–1 8.9% 1–0 7.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Bournemouth before this match, all matches
1.36points / match
1.36scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 15:15
Brighton before this match, all matches
1.73points / match
1.73scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 19:15
Bournemouth all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

1.36 Goals scored 1.73
1.36 Goals conceded 1.36
2.73 Total goals 3.09
15.09 Shots 14.45
4.73 Shots on target 4.73
13.09 Shots faced 12.27
6.36 Corners 5.45
5.27 Corners against 5.00
12.91 Fouls 11.18
2.91 Yellow cards 2.18
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.82
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.82

How often Full Time

36% Wins 45%
27% Draws 36%
36% Losses 18%
100% Over 0.5 goals 91%
82% Over 1.5 goals 82%
45% Over 2.5 goals 73%
27% Over 3.5 goals 36%
18% Over 4.5 goals 18%
0% Over 5.5 goals 9%
64% Both teams scored 73%
9% Clean sheets 27%
27% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 55%
45% Draws 9%
27% Losses 36%
64% Over 0.5 goals 91%
27% Over 1.5 goals 27%
18% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bournemouth all matches
Brighton all matches
Bournemouth before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.60scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 8:4
Brighton before this match, away
1.40points / match
1.60scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 8:7
Bournemouth at home away Brighton

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 1.60
0.80 Goals conceded 1.40
2.40 Total goals 3.00
14.80 Shots 14.00
5.40 Shots on target 4.80
11.40 Shots faced 14.40
6.20 Corners 5.00
6.00 Corners against 6.20
15.40 Fouls 10.00
2.60 Yellow cards 1.60
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

60% Wins 40%
20% Draws 20%
20% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 80%
40% Over 2.5 goals 60%
20% Over 3.5 goals 20%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
60% Both teams scored 60%
20% Clean sheets 40%
20% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 60%
40% Draws 0%
0% Losses 40%
60% Over 0.5 goals 100%
20% Over 1.5 goals 20%
20% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bournemouth at home
Brighton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bournemouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24 Brentford – Bournemouth 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.502.70 1.62 2.30
02.11.24 Bournemouth – Man City 2–1 (1–0) 5.504.201.57 1.57 2.38
26.10.24 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.903.80 1.57 2.38
19.10.24 Bournemouth – Arsenal 2–0 (0–0) 5.003.901.65 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 Leicester – Bournemouth 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.752.15 1.67 2.20
30.09.24 Bournemouth – Southampton 3–1 (3–0) 1.654.105.00 1.50 2.63
21.09.24 Liverpool – Bournemouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.306.259.00 1.36 3.20
14.09.24 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–1 (0–0) 3.403.802.00 1.44 2.75
31.08.24 Everton – Bournemouth 2–3 (0–0) 2.753.402.55 1.92 1.98
25.08.24 Bournemouth – Newcastle 1–1 (1–0) 2.903.802.20 1.57 2.38

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 4.104.201.73 1.53 2.50
02.11.24 Liverpool – Brighton 2–1 (0–1) 1.405.007.50 1.40 3.00
26.10.24 Brighton – Wolves 2–2 (1–0) 1.624.504.50 1.57 2.38
19.10.24 Newcastle – Brighton 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.703.60 1.49 2.45
06.10.24 Brighton – Tottenham 3–2 (0–2) 2.904.002.20 1.40 3.00
28.09.24 Chelsea – Brighton 4–2 (4–2) 1.734.204.20 1.50 2.63
22.09.24 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 2–2 (2–1) 1.753.754.75 1.86 2.04
14.09.24 Brighton – Ipswich 0–0 (0–0) 1.385.007.50 1.53 2.50
31.08.24 Arsenal – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.53 2.50
24.08.24 Brighton – Man United 2–1 (1–0) 2.503.702.63 1.57 2.38

Bournemouth at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24 Bournemouth – Man City 2–1 (1–0) 5.504.201.57 1.57 2.38
19.10.24 Bournemouth – Arsenal 2–0 (0–0) 5.003.901.65 1.73 2.10
30.09.24 Bournemouth – Southampton 3–1 (3–0) 1.654.105.00 1.50 2.63
14.09.24 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–1 (0–0) 3.403.802.00 1.44 2.75
25.08.24 Bournemouth – Newcastle 1–1 (1–0) 2.903.802.20 1.57 2.38
11.05.24 Bournemouth – Brentford 1–2 (0–0) 1.954.003.50 1.44 2.75
28.04.24 Bournemouth – Brighton 3–0 (1–0) 2.253.802.90 1.44 2.75
13.04.24 Bournemouth – Man United 2–2 (2–1) 2.403.902.60 1.44 2.75
02.04.24 Bournemouth – Crystal Palace 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.803.60 1.73 2.10
30.03.24 Bournemouth – Everton 2–1 (0–0) 2.203.603.20 1.70 2.10

Brighton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.24 Liverpool – Brighton 2–1 (0–1) 1.405.007.50 1.40 3.00
19.10.24 Newcastle – Brighton 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.703.60 1.49 2.45
28.09.24 Chelsea – Brighton 4–2 (4–2) 1.734.204.20 1.50 2.63
31.08.24 Arsenal – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.53 2.50
17.08.24 Everton – Brighton 0–3 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 1.80 2.00
11.05.24 Newcastle – Brighton 1–1 (1–1) 1.574.754.75 1.33 3.40
28.04.24 Bournemouth – Brighton 3–0 (1–0) 2.253.802.90 1.44 2.75
13.04.24 Burnley – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 3.503.752.00 1.67 2.20
03.04.24 Brentford – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.802.75 1.57 2.38
31.03.24 Liverpool – Brighton 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.50 1.36 3.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bournemouth winsDrawsBrighton wins
4matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.04.24E0 Bournemouth – Brighton 3–0 (1–0) 2.253.802.90 1.44 2.75
24.09.23E0 Brighton – Bournemouth 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.257.50 1.36 3.20
04.04.23E0 Bournemouth – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 6.004.201.53 1.80 2.00
04.02.23E0 Brighton – Bournemouth 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.50 1.73 2.10

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 11 9 1 1 21 6 +15 28
2 Man City 11 7 2 2 22 13 +9 23
3 Chelsea 12 6 4 2 23 14 +9 22
4 Arsenal 11 5 4 2 18 12 +6 19
5 Nott'm Forest 11 5 4 2 15 10 +5 19
6 Brighton 11 5 4 2 19 15 +4 19
7 Fulham 11 5 3 3 16 13 +3 18
8 Newcastle 11 5 3 3 13 11 +2 18
9 Aston Villa 11 5 3 3 17 17 0 18
10 Tottenham 11 5 1 5 23 13 +10 16
11 Brentford 11 5 1 5 22 22 0 16
12 Bournemouth 11 4 3 4 15 15 0 15
13 Man United 11 4 3 4 12 12 0 15
14 West Ham 11 3 3 5 13 19 -6 12
15 Everton 11 2 4 5 10 17 -7 10
16 Leicester 12 2 4 6 15 23 -8 10
17 Ipswich 11 1 5 5 12 22 -10 8
18 Crystal Palace 11 1 4 6 8 15 -7 7
19 Wolves 11 1 3 7 16 27 -11 6
20 Southampton 11 1 1 9 7 21 -14 4
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Brentford 6 5 1 0 18 11 +7 16
2 Liverpool 6 5 0 1 11 3 +8 15
3 Man City 5 4 1 0 12 6 +6 13
4 Tottenham 6 4 0 2 16 6 +10 12
5 Brighton 6 3 3 0 11 8 +3 12
6 Arsenal 5 3 2 0 12 6 +6 11
7 Bournemouth 5 3 1 1 8 4 +4 10
8 Fulham 5 3 1 1 9 7 +2 10
9 Newcastle 5 3 1 1 5 3 +2 10
10 Man United 6 3 1 2 7 8 -1 10
11 Chelsea 6 2 3 1 9 8 +1 9
12 Aston Villa 5 2 2 1 7 6 +1 8
13 Nott'm Forest 6 2 2 2 7 6 +1 8
14 West Ham 6 2 1 3 8 10 -2 7
15 Leicester 6 1 2 3 6 9 -3 5
16 Everton 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
17 Crystal Palace 6 1 2 3 3 7 -4 5
18 Southampton 5 1 1 3 4 8 -4 4
19 Wolves 6 1 1 4 9 14 -5 4
20 Ipswich 5 0 3 2 4 8 -4 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Chelsea 6 4 1 1 14 6 +8 13
2 Liverpool 5 4 1 0 10 3 +7 13
3 Nott'm Forest 5 3 2 0 8 4 +4 11
4 Man City 6 3 1 2 10 7 +3 10
5 Aston Villa 6 3 1 2 10 11 -1 10
6 Fulham 6 2 2 2 7 6 +1 8
7 Newcastle 6 2 2 2 8 8 0 8
8 Arsenal 6 2 2 2 6 6 0 8
9 Brighton 5 2 1 2 8 7 +1 7
10 Man United 5 1 2 2 5 4 +1 5
11 Bournemouth 6 1 2 3 7 11 -4 5
12 Everton 6 1 2 3 5 9 -4 5
13 West Ham 5 1 2 2 5 9 -4 5
14 Leicester 6 1 2 3 9 14 -5 5
15 Ipswich 6 1 2 3 8 14 -6 5
16 Tottenham 5 1 1 3 7 7 0 4
17 Crystal Palace 5 0 2 3 5 8 -3 2
18 Wolves 5 0 2 3 7 13 -6 2
19 Brentford 5 0 0 5 4 11 -7 0
20 Southampton 6 0 0 6 3 13 -10 0

Bournemouth   Brighton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Brentford 11 2 9 2.0 2.0 5 1 5 22 22 16
2 2 Man City 11 3 8 2.0 1.2 7 2 2 22 13 23
3 6 Brighton 11 3 8 1.7 1.4 5 4 2 19 15 19
4 10 Tottenham 11 3 8 2.1 1.2 5 1 5 23 13 16
5 16 Leicester 12 4 8 1.2 1.9 2 4 6 15 23 10
6 19 Wolves 11 3 8 1.5 2.5 1 3 7 16 27 6
7 9 Aston Villa 11 4 7 1.5 1.5 5 3 3 17 17 18
8 13 Man United 11 4 7 1.1 1.1 4 3 4 12 12 15
9 14 West Ham 11 4 7 1.2 1.7 3 3 5 13 19 12
10 1 Liverpool 11 5 6 1.9 0.5 9 1 1 21 6 28
11 3 Chelsea 12 6 6 1.9 1.2 6 4 2 23 14 22
12 7 Fulham 11 6 5 1.5 1.2 5 3 3 16 13 18
13 8 Newcastle 11 6 5 1.2 1.0 5 3 3 13 11 18
14 12 Bournemouth 11 6 5 1.4 1.4 4 3 4 15 15 15
15 15 Everton 11 6 5 0.9 1.5 2 4 5 10 17 10
16 17 Ipswich 11 6 5 1.1 2.0 1 5 5 12 22 8
17 20 Southampton 11 6 5 0.6 1.9 1 1 9 7 21 4
18 4 Arsenal 11 7 4 1.6 1.1 5 4 2 18 12 19
19 5 Nott'm Forest 11 7 4 1.4 0.9 5 4 2 15 10 19
20 18 Crystal Palace 11 7 4 0.7 1.4 1 4 6 8 15 7
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Brighton 6 1 5 1.8 1.3 3 3 0 11 8 12
2 10 Tottenham 6 1 5 2.7 1.0 4 0 2 16 6 12
3 11 Brentford 6 1 5 3.0 1.8 5 1 0 18 11 16
4 14 West Ham 6 1 5 1.3 1.7 2 1 3 8 10 7
5 19 Wolves 6 1 5 1.5 2.3 1 1 4 9 14 4
6 2 Man City 5 1 4 2.4 1.2 4 1 0 12 6 13
7 7 Fulham 5 1 4 1.8 1.4 3 1 1 9 7 10
8 13 Man United 6 2 4 1.2 1.3 3 1 2 7 8 10
9 1 Liverpool 6 3 3 1.8 0.5 5 0 1 11 3 15
10 4 Arsenal 5 2 3 2.4 1.2 3 2 0 12 6 11
11 15 Everton 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
12 16 Leicester 6 3 3 1.0 1.5 1 2 3 6 9 5
13 3 Chelsea 6 4 2 1.5 1.3 2 3 1 9 8 9
14 5 Nott'm Forest 6 4 2 1.2 1.0 2 2 2 7 6 8
15 9 Aston Villa 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 2 2 1 7 6 8
16 12 Bournemouth 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 3 1 1 8 4 10
17 20 Southampton 5 3 2 0.8 1.6 1 1 3 4 8 4
18 8 Newcastle 5 4 1 1.0 0.6 3 1 1 5 3 10
19 17 Ipswich 5 4 1 0.8 1.6 0 3 2 4 8 3
20 18 Crystal Palace 6 5 1 0.5 1.2 1 2 3 3 7 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Aston Villa 6 1 5 1.7 1.8 3 1 2 10 11 10
2 16 Leicester 6 1 5 1.5 2.3 1 2 3 9 14 5
3 2 Man City 6 2 4 1.7 1.2 3 1 2 10 7 10
4 3 Chelsea 6 2 4 2.3 1.0 4 1 1 14 6 13
5 8 Newcastle 6 2 4 1.3 1.3 2 2 2 8 8 8
6 11 Brentford 5 1 4 0.8 2.2 0 0 5 4 11 0
7 17 Ipswich 6 2 4 1.3 2.3 1 2 3 8 14 5
8 1 Liverpool 5 2 3 2.0 0.6 4 1 0 10 3 13
9 6 Brighton 5 2 3 1.6 1.4 2 1 2 8 7 7
10 10 Tottenham 5 2 3 1.4 1.4 1 1 3 7 7 4
11 12 Bournemouth 6 3 3 1.2 1.8 1 2 3 7 11 5
12 13 Man United 5 2 3 1.0 0.8 1 2 2 5 4 5
13 18 Crystal Palace 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 0 2 3 5 8 2
14 19 Wolves 5 2 3 1.4 2.6 0 2 3 7 13 2
15 20 Southampton 6 3 3 0.5 2.2 0 0 6 3 13 0
16 5 Nott'm Forest 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 3 2 0 8 4 11
17 14 West Ham 5 3 2 1.0 1.8 1 2 2 5 9 5
18 15 Everton 6 4 2 0.8 1.5 1 2 3 5 9 5
19 4 Arsenal 6 5 1 1.0 1.0 2 2 2 6 6 8
20 7 Fulham 6 5 1 1.2 1.0 2 2 2 7 6 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40