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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: M Coy

Derby 4–2 Bristol Rvs

Full time · half time 4–2 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.72 fair 2.31
Draw 3.80 fair 3.97
Away 4.75 fair 3.18
Under 2.5 2.05 fair 2.10
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.75 fair 1.91

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Bristol Rvs
16 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 6
7 Corners 4
14 Fouls 8
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (183 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.51 – 1.25
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawBristol Rvs
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 1–0 9.5% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.07scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 15:12
Bristol Rvs before this match, all matches
1.25points / match
1.56scored / match
1.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 25:27
Derby all matches all matches Bristol Rvs

Per match

1.07 Goals scored 1.56
0.86 Goals conceded 1.69
1.93 Total goals 3.25
13.57 Shots 11.69
4.36 Shots on target 3.94
10.57 Shots faced 13.44
6.43 Corners 5.25
5.07 Corners against 6.06
9.79 Fouls 10.38
1.50 Yellow cards 1.94
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.14 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

43% Wins 31%
21% Draws 31%
36% Losses 38%
79% Over 0.5 goals 100%
57% Over 1.5 goals 81%
43% Over 2.5 goals 63%
7% Over 3.5 goals 44%
7% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
36% Both teams scored 63%
43% Clean sheets 19%
43% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 19%
50% Draws 44%
14% Losses 38%
50% Over 0.5 goals 69%
21% Over 1.5 goals 44%
0% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Bristol Rvs all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.86points / match
1.43scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 10:8
Bristol Rvs before this match, away
1.38points / match
1.63scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 13:12
Derby at home away Bristol Rvs

Per match

1.43 Goals scored 1.63
1.14 Goals conceded 1.50
2.57 Total goals 3.13
13.71 Shots 10.00
4.57 Shots on target 3.25
11.00 Shots faced 13.50
6.86 Corners 3.75
4.86 Corners against 6.00
10.14 Fouls 10.50
1.57 Yellow cards 2.00
0.71 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.14 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

57% Wins 38%
14% Draws 25%
29% Losses 38%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 88%
71% Over 2.5 goals 63%
14% Over 3.5 goals 50%
14% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
71% Both teams scored 50%
29% Clean sheets 25%
14% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 25%
43% Draws 25%
14% Losses 50%
57% Over 0.5 goals 75%
29% Over 1.5 goals 38%
0% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Bristol Rvs away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.22 Derby – Exeter 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.88 1.98
21.10.22 Ipswich – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 2.05 1.75
15.10.22 Accrington – Derby 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.502.25 1.90 1.95
08.10.22 Derby – Port Vale 1–2 (1–0) 1.663.805.50 2.15 1.73
01.10.22 Cambridge – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.15 2.02 1.83
17.09.22 Derby – Wycombe 2–1 (0–1) 1.903.504.00 1.95 1.90
13.09.22 Lincoln – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 4.503.501.83 2.15 1.66
03.09.22 Derby – Plymouth 2–3 (2–0) 1.853.504.50 2.05 1.75
27.08.22 Derby – Peterboro 2–1 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 1.85 2.00
20.08.22 Fleetwood Town – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.07 1.72

Bristol Rvs all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.22 Sheffield Weds – Bristol Rvs 1–1 (1–0) 1.504.336.50 1.66 2.15
22.10.22 Bristol Rvs – Plymouth 2–2 (0–2) 3.303.502.20 1.80 2.05
15.10.22 Cheltenham – Bristol Rvs 1–4 (0–4) 2.373.502.90 2.00 1.85
11.10.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Bristol Rvs 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.95 1.90
08.10.22 Bristol Rvs – Cambridge 2–1 (1–1) 2.603.502.62 1.72 2.07
01.10.22 Exeter – Bristol Rvs 2–2 (0–0) 1.603.805.75 1.73 2.15
24.09.22 Bristol Rvs – Accrington 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.402.50 1.85 2.00
17.09.22 Bristol Rvs – Lincoln 3–6 (1–3) 2.703.502.55 1.98 1.88
13.09.22 Ipswich – Bristol Rvs 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.009.50 1.72 2.07
03.09.22 Bristol Rvs – Morecambe 2–2 (1–1) 2.003.603.60 1.95 1.90

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.22 Derby – Exeter 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.88 1.98
08.10.22 Derby – Port Vale 1–2 (1–0) 1.663.805.50 2.15 1.73
17.09.22 Derby – Wycombe 2–1 (0–1) 1.903.504.00 1.95 1.90
03.09.22 Derby – Plymouth 2–3 (2–0) 1.853.504.50 2.05 1.75
27.08.22 Derby – Peterboro 2–1 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 1.85 2.00
13.08.22 Derby – Barnsley 2–1 (2–0) 1.853.504.50 2.15 1.66
30.07.22 Derby – Oxford 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.93 1.93
07.05.22E1 Derby – Cardiff 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 1.83 2.02
23.04.22E1 Derby – Bristol City 1–3 (0–2) 2.103.503.50 2.00 1.85
15.04.22E1 Derby – Fulham 2–1 (0–1) 5.754.001.61 1.95 1.90

Bristol Rvs away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.22 Sheffield Weds – Bristol Rvs 1–1 (1–0) 1.504.336.50 1.66 2.15
15.10.22 Cheltenham – Bristol Rvs 1–4 (0–4) 2.373.502.90 2.00 1.85
11.10.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Bristol Rvs 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.95 1.90
01.10.22 Exeter – Bristol Rvs 2–2 (0–0) 1.603.805.75 1.73 2.15
13.09.22 Ipswich – Bristol Rvs 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.009.50 1.72 2.07
20.08.22 Portsmouth – Bristol Rvs 3–1 (1–0) 1.703.805.00 1.88 1.98
16.08.22 Barnsley – Bristol Rvs 3–0 (2–0) 1.953.503.60 2.02 1.83
06.08.22 Burton – Bristol Rvs 0–4 (0–4) 2.703.252.70 2.07 1.72
30.04.22E3 Rochdale – Bristol Rvs 3–4 (2–0) 3.503.402.10 2.10 1.77
18.04.22E3 Port Vale – Bristol Rvs 1–3 (1–2) 2.053.303.80 2.25 1.61

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 16 12 2 2 32 17 +15 38
2 Ipswich 16 11 3 2 31 14 +17 36
3 Sheffield Weds 16 9 4 3 29 14 +15 31
4 Peterboro 16 9 1 6 31 19 +12 28
5 Bolton 15 8 3 4 18 11 +7 27
6 Portsmouth 14 7 5 2 24 16 +8 26
7 Exeter 16 6 4 6 26 21 +5 22
8 Charlton 16 5 7 4 23 19 +4 22
9 Barnsley 15 6 3 6 17 14 +3 21
10 Derby 14 6 3 5 15 12 +3 21
11 Lincoln 14 5 6 3 17 17 0 21
12 Shrewsbury 15 6 3 6 15 17 -2 21
13 Wycombe 15 6 2 7 20 20 0 20
14 Bristol Rvs 16 5 5 6 25 27 -2 20
15 Port Vale 15 5 4 6 17 22 -5 19
16 Cambridge 16 6 1 9 18 28 -10 19
17 Fleetwood Town 15 3 8 4 13 14 -1 17
18 Cheltenham 15 5 2 8 13 20 -7 17
19 Accrington 15 4 4 7 17 25 -8 16
20 Oxford 14 4 3 7 15 17 -2 15
21 Milton Keynes Dons 15 4 1 10 15 22 -7 13
22 Forest Green 16 3 4 9 15 33 -18 13
23 Burton 16 3 3 10 18 31 -13 12
24 Morecambe 15 2 5 8 11 25 -14 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 8 8 0 0 15 3 +12 24
2 Peterboro 8 6 1 1 20 4 +16 19
3 Bolton 8 6 1 1 12 4 +8 19
4 Ipswich 8 5 2 1 15 6 +9 17
5 Sheffield Weds 8 4 3 1 18 9 +9 15
6 Charlton 8 4 3 1 16 8 +8 15
7 Portsmouth 7 3 4 0 13 7 +6 13
8 Exeter 8 4 1 3 14 11 +3 13
9 Derby 7 4 1 2 10 8 +2 13
10 Cheltenham 8 4 0 4 10 12 -2 12
11 Cambridge 8 4 0 4 9 12 -3 12
12 Wycombe 7 3 1 3 11 8 +3 10
13 Barnsley 7 3 1 3 8 8 0 10
14 Shrewsbury 7 3 1 3 7 9 -2 10
15 Port Vale 8 2 3 3 10 11 -1 9
16 Accrington 8 2 3 3 12 15 -3 9
17 Bristol Rvs 8 2 3 3 12 15 -3 9
18 Lincoln 6 1 5 0 7 5 +2 8
19 Fleetwood Town 8 1 5 2 5 6 -1 8
20 Oxford 7 2 1 4 7 9 -2 7
21 Burton 8 2 1 5 5 13 -8 7
22 Forest Green 8 2 0 6 5 15 -10 6
23 Morecambe 7 1 2 4 4 12 -8 5
24 Milton Keynes Dons 8 1 1 6 6 14 -8 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 8 6 1 1 16 8 +8 19
2 Sheffield Weds 8 5 1 2 11 5 +6 16
3 Plymouth 8 4 2 2 17 14 +3 14
4 Portsmouth 7 4 1 2 11 9 +2 13
5 Lincoln 8 4 1 3 10 12 -2 13
6 Barnsley 8 3 2 3 9 6 +3 11
7 Bristol Rvs 8 3 2 3 13 12 +1 11
8 Shrewsbury 8 3 2 3 8 8 0 11
9 Wycombe 8 3 1 4 9 12 -3 10
10 Port Vale 7 3 1 3 7 11 -4 10
11 Exeter 8 2 3 3 12 10 +2 9
12 Milton Keynes Dons 7 3 0 4 9 8 +1 9
13 Fleetwood Town 7 2 3 2 8 8 0 9
14 Peterboro 8 3 0 5 11 15 -4 9
15 Derby 7 2 2 3 5 4 +1 8
16 Oxford 7 2 2 3 8 8 0 8
17 Bolton 7 2 2 3 6 7 -1 8
18 Charlton 8 1 4 3 7 11 -4 7
19 Accrington 7 2 1 4 5 10 -5 7
20 Cambridge 8 2 1 5 9 16 -7 7
21 Forest Green 8 1 4 3 10 18 -8 7
22 Morecambe 8 1 3 4 7 13 -6 6
23 Burton 8 1 2 5 13 18 -5 5
24 Cheltenham 7 1 2 4 3 8 -5 5

Derby   Bristol Rvs

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Plymouth 16 5 11 2.0 1.1 12 2 2 32 17 38
2 4 Peterboro 16 5 11 1.9 1.2 9 1 6 31 19 28
3 2 Ipswich 16 6 10 1.9 0.9 11 3 2 31 14 36
4 14 Bristol Rvs 16 6 10 1.6 1.7 5 5 6 25 27 20
5 22 Forest Green 16 6 10 0.9 2.1 3 4 9 15 33 13
6 7 Exeter 16 7 9 1.6 1.3 6 4 6 26 21 22
7 13 Wycombe 15 6 9 1.3 1.3 6 2 7 20 20 20
8 15 Port Vale 15 6 9 1.1 1.5 5 4 6 17 22 19
9 16 Cambridge 16 7 9 1.1 1.8 6 1 9 18 28 19
10 19 Accrington 15 7 8 1.1 1.7 4 4 7 17 25 16
11 23 Burton 16 8 8 1.1 1.9 3 3 10 18 31 12
12 24 Morecambe 15 7 8 0.7 1.7 2 5 8 11 25 11
13 3 Sheffield Weds 16 9 7 1.8 0.9 9 4 3 29 14 31
14 6 Portsmouth 14 7 7 1.7 1.1 7 5 2 24 16 26
15 12 Shrewsbury 15 8 7 1.0 1.1 6 3 6 15 17 21
16 21 Milton Keynes Dons 15 8 7 1.0 1.5 4 1 10 15 22 13
17 8 Charlton 16 10 6 1.4 1.2 5 7 4 23 19 22
18 9 Barnsley 15 9 6 1.1 0.9 6 3 6 17 14 21
19 10 Derby 14 8 6 1.1 0.9 6 3 5 15 12 21
20 18 Cheltenham 15 9 6 0.9 1.3 5 2 8 13 20 17
21 20 Oxford 14 8 6 1.1 1.2 4 3 7 15 17 15
22 5 Bolton 15 11 4 1.2 0.7 8 3 4 18 11 27
23 11 Lincoln 14 10 4 1.2 1.2 5 6 3 17 17 21
24 17 Fleetwood Town 15 11 4 0.9 0.9 3 8 4 13 14 17
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Sheffield Weds 8 3 5 2.2 1.1 4 3 1 18 9 15
2 4 Peterboro 8 3 5 2.5 0.5 6 1 1 20 4 19
3 7 Exeter 8 3 5 1.8 1.4 4 1 3 14 11 13
4 10 Derby 7 2 5 1.4 1.1 4 1 2 10 8 13
5 14 Bristol Rvs 8 3 5 1.5 1.9 2 3 3 12 15 9
6 15 Port Vale 8 3 5 1.2 1.4 2 3 3 10 11 9
7 19 Accrington 8 3 5 1.5 1.9 2 3 3 12 15 9
8 22 Forest Green 8 3 5 0.6 1.9 2 0 6 5 15 6
9 1 Plymouth 8 4 4 1.9 0.4 8 0 0 15 3 24
10 2 Ipswich 8 4 4 1.9 0.8 5 2 1 15 6 17
11 6 Portsmouth 7 3 4 1.9 1.0 3 4 0 13 7 13
12 12 Shrewsbury 7 3 4 1.0 1.3 3 1 3 7 9 10
13 13 Wycombe 7 3 4 1.6 1.1 3 1 3 11 8 10
14 18 Cheltenham 8 4 4 1.2 1.5 4 0 4 10 12 12
15 20 Oxford 7 3 4 1.0 1.3 2 1 4 7 9 7
16 24 Morecambe 7 3 4 0.6 1.7 1 2 4 4 12 5
17 5 Bolton 8 5 3 1.5 0.5 6 1 1 12 4 19
18 8 Charlton 8 5 3 2.0 1.0 4 3 1 16 8 15
19 9 Barnsley 7 4 3 1.1 1.1 3 1 3 8 8 10
20 16 Cambridge 8 5 3 1.1 1.5 4 0 4 9 12 12
21 21 Milton Keynes Dons 8 5 3 0.8 1.8 1 1 6 6 14 4
22 23 Burton 8 6 2 0.6 1.6 2 1 5 5 13 7
23 11 Lincoln 6 5 1 1.2 0.8 1 5 0 7 5 8
24 17 Fleetwood Town 8 7 1 0.6 0.8 1 5 2 5 6 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Plymouth 8 1 7 2.1 1.8 4 2 2 17 14 14
2 2 Ipswich 8 2 6 2.0 1.0 6 1 1 16 8 19
3 4 Peterboro 8 2 6 1.4 1.9 3 0 5 11 15 9
4 16 Cambridge 8 2 6 1.1 2.0 2 1 5 9 16 7
5 23 Burton 8 2 6 1.6 2.2 1 2 5 13 18 5
6 13 Wycombe 8 3 5 1.1 1.5 3 1 4 9 12 10
7 14 Bristol Rvs 8 3 5 1.6 1.5 3 2 3 13 12 11
8 22 Forest Green 8 3 5 1.2 2.2 1 4 3 10 18 7
9 7 Exeter 8 4 4 1.5 1.2 2 3 3 12 10 9
10 15 Port Vale 7 3 4 1.0 1.6 3 1 3 7 11 10
11 21 Milton Keynes Dons 7 3 4 1.3 1.1 3 0 4 9 8 9
12 24 Morecambe 8 4 4 0.9 1.6 1 3 4 7 13 6
13 6 Portsmouth 7 4 3 1.6 1.3 4 1 2 11 9 13
14 8 Charlton 8 5 3 0.9 1.4 1 4 3 7 11 7
15 9 Barnsley 8 5 3 1.1 0.8 3 2 3 9 6 11
16 11 Lincoln 8 5 3 1.2 1.5 4 1 3 10 12 13
17 12 Shrewsbury 8 5 3 1.0 1.0 3 2 3 8 8 11
18 17 Fleetwood Town 7 4 3 1.1 1.1 2 3 2 8 8 9
19 19 Accrington 7 4 3 0.7 1.4 2 1 4 5 10 7
20 3 Sheffield Weds 8 6 2 1.4 0.6 5 1 2 11 5 16
21 18 Cheltenham 7 5 2 0.4 1.1 1 2 4 3 8 5
22 20 Oxford 7 5 2 1.1 1.1 2 2 3 8 8 8
23 5 Bolton 7 6 1 0.9 1.0 2 2 3 6 7 8
24 10 Derby 7 6 1 0.7 0.6 2 2 3 5 4 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51