Middlesbrough 5–1 Watford – England Championship, 25 Apr 2026

Match facts

Middlesbrough Watford

20 Shots 12

9 Shots on target 3

6 Corners 3

8 Fouls 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (529 league matches this season so far).

Result Middlesbrough to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.94

Expected goals 1.54 – 0.96

Home / Draw / Away

51% 26% 24%

MiddlesbroughDrawWatford

Under / Over 2.5 goals

54% 46%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

52% 49%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

21% 1

26% 2

21% 3

13% 4

11% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 12.6% 1–1 12.1% 2–0 9.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches

1.73points / match

1.48scored / match

1.00conceded / match

21 13 10

WonDrawnLost 44 played · 65:44

Watford before this match, all matches

1.30points / match

1.18scored / match

1.27conceded / match

14 15 15

WonDrawnLost 44 played · 52:56

Middlesbrough all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.48 Goals scored 1.18

1.00 Goals conceded 1.27

2.48 Total goals 2.45

16.18 Shots 13.95

4.89 Shots on target 4.48

9.93 Shots faced 11.39

6.93 Corners 5.11

4.23 Corners against 5.18

9.45 Fouls 10.86

1.59 Yellow cards 2.09

0.70 1st-half goals scored 0.50

0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

48% Wins 32%

30% Draws 34%

23% Losses 34%

91% Over 0.5 goals 95%

68% Over 1.5 goals 80%

52% Over 2.5 goals 45%

27% Over 3.5 goals 20%

7% Over 4.5 goals 5%

2% Over 5.5 goals 0%

55% Both teams scored 59%

30% Clean sheets 16%

25% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 18%

34% Draws 48%

30% Losses 34%

70% Over 0.5 goals 68%

30% Over 1.5 goals 39%

11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches

3

1

W

4

W

1

L

1

D

1

2

L

2

D

1

L

2

D

1

W

Watford all matches

2

1

W

1

D

1

3

L

3

1

W

D

1

2

L

1

D

2

L

2

L

3

L

Middlesbrough before this match, at home

1.77points / match

1.32scored / match

0.77conceded / match

11 6 5

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 29:17

Watford before this match, away

0.91points / match

1.00scored / match

1.50conceded / match

4 8 10

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 22:33

Middlesbrough at home away Watford

Per match

1.32 Goals scored 1.00

0.77 Goals conceded 1.50

2.09 Total goals 2.50

16.95 Shots 12.00

5.00 Shots on target 3.50

9.95 Shots faced 11.86

7.73 Corners 4.55

4.50 Corners against 5.68

9.32 Fouls 10.82

1.05 Yellow cards 2.41

0.64 1st-half goals scored 0.32

0.32 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

50% Wins 18%

27% Draws 36%

23% Losses 45%

86% Over 0.5 goals 95%

55% Over 1.5 goals 73%

41% Over 2.5 goals 50%

18% Over 3.5 goals 27%

5% Over 4.5 goals 5%

5% Over 5.5 goals 0%

45% Both teams scored 64%

41% Clean sheets 9%

27% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 9%

45% Draws 45%

18% Losses 45%

59% Over 0.5 goals 73%

23% Over 1.5 goals 36%

14% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home

4

W

4

W

1

W

D

1

D

1

L

1

D

1

2

L

1

L

1

W

Watford away

1

D

1

L

2

D

2

1

W

1

D

1

3

L

1

2

L

2

L

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.04.26	Middlesbrough – Sheffield Weds	1–0 (1–0)	1.15	6.50	15.00	1.36	3.20
19.04.26	Ipswich – Middlesbrough	2–2 (1–1)	2.20	3.50	3.00	1.80	2.00
11.04.26	Middlesbrough – Portsmouth	0–1 (0–0)	1.49	4.00	6.25	1.73	2.10
06.04.26	Swansea – Middlesbrough	2–2 (2–1)	3.80	3.60	1.86	1.88	1.98
03.04.26	Middlesbrough – Millwall	1–2 (1–0)	1.66	3.90	4.50	1.73	2.10
21.03.26	Blackburn – Middlesbrough	0–0 (0–0)	4.10	3.60	1.81	1.93	1.93
14.03.26	Middlesbrough – Bristol City	1–1 (0–0)	1.45	4.33	6.50	1.67	2.20
11.03.26	Middlesbrough – Charlton	0–1 (0–0)	1.35	4.75	7.50	1.83	2.03
08.03.26	QPR – Middlesbrough	0–4 (0–1)	3.75	3.40	1.96	1.91	1.91
02.03.26	Birmingham – Middlesbrough	1–3 (0–2)	2.40	3.60	2.57	1.85	2.00

Watford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.04.26	West Brom – Watford	3–0 (2–0)	1.68	3.70	4.75	2.00	1.80
18.04.26	Watford – Sheffield United	0–2 (0–0)	2.65	3.40	2.45	1.80	2.00
11.04.26	Oxford – Watford	2–0 (1–0)	2.35	3.20	3.00	2.10	1.73
06.04.26	Watford – Charlton	1–1 (0–0)	1.81	3.30	4.50	2.00	1.80
03.04.26	QPR – Watford	2–1 (1–0)	2.50	3.40	2.65	1.88	1.98
21.03.26	Watford – Leicester	0–0 (0–0)	1.96	3.60	3.50	1.91	1.91
17.03.26	Watford – Wrexham	3–1 (2–0)	2.20	3.40	3.00	2.10	1.73
14.03.26	Stoke – Watford	3–1 (1–0)	2.57	3.30	2.55	2.10	1.73
10.03.26	Sheffield Weds – Watford	1–1 (0–0)	7.00	4.33	1.41	1.90	1.95
27.02.26	Bristol City – Watford	1–2 (1–1)	2.40	3.40	2.65	2.05	1.80

Middlesbrough at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.04.26	Middlesbrough – Sheffield Weds	1–0 (1–0)	1.15	6.50	15.00	1.36	3.20
11.04.26	Middlesbrough – Portsmouth	0–1 (0–0)	1.49	4.00	6.25	1.73	2.10
03.04.26	Middlesbrough – Millwall	1–2 (1–0)	1.66	3.90	4.50	1.73	2.10
14.03.26	Middlesbrough – Bristol City	1–1 (0–0)	1.45	4.33	6.50	1.67	2.20
11.03.26	Middlesbrough – Charlton	0–1 (0–0)	1.35	4.75	7.50	1.83	2.03
24.02.26	Middlesbrough – Leicester	1–1 (1–1)	1.46	4.33	6.00	1.73	2.10
21.02.26	Middlesbrough – Oxford	0–0 (0–0)	1.39	4.33	7.50	1.80	2.00
31.01.26	Middlesbrough – Norwich	1–0 (1–0)	1.68	3.90	4.50	1.73	2.10
24.01.26	Middlesbrough – Preston	4–0 (3–0)	1.51	4.00	5.75	1.80	2.00
04.01.26	Middlesbrough – Southampton	4–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.50	3.20	1.73	2.10

Watford away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.04.26	West Brom – Watford	3–0 (2–0)	1.68	3.70	4.75	2.00	1.80
11.04.26	Oxford – Watford	2–0 (1–0)	2.35	3.20	3.00	2.10	1.73
03.04.26	QPR – Watford	2–1 (1–0)	2.50	3.40	2.65	1.88	1.98
14.03.26	Stoke – Watford	3–1 (1–0)	2.57	3.30	2.55	2.10	1.73
10.03.26	Sheffield Weds – Watford	1–1 (0–0)	7.00	4.33	1.41	1.90	1.95
27.02.26	Bristol City – Watford	1–2 (1–1)	2.40	3.40	2.65	2.05	1.80
14.02.26	Preston – Watford	2–2 (1–0)	3.00	3.20	2.20	2.20	1.67
07.02.26	Southampton – Watford	1–0 (0–0)	1.81	3.70	4.00	1.83	2.03
03.02.26	Hull – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.50	3.10	1.91	1.91
24.01.26	Blackburn – Watford	1–1 (1–1)	2.70	3.10	2.65	2.20	1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3 4

Middlesbrough winsDrawsWatford wins

7matches

3.00goals / match

71%over 2.5

57%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.11.25E1	Watford – Middlesbrough	3–0 (2–0)	2.65	3.40	2.45	2.05	1.80
15.02.25E1	Middlesbrough – Watford	0–1 (0–1)	1.60	3.90	5.50	1.62	2.30
05.10.24E1	Watford – Middlesbrough	2–1 (0–0)	3.50	3.80	1.95	1.67	2.20
04.05.24E1	Middlesbrough – Watford	3–1 (1–0)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.62	2.30
30.09.23E1	Watford – Middlesbrough	2–3 (1–2)	2.45	3.40	2.90	1.93	1.93
28.01.23E1	Middlesbrough – Watford	2–0 (2–0)	1.91	3.40	4.33	2.10	1.73
30.08.22E1	Watford – Middlesbrough	2–1 (1–1)	2.50	3.25	2.90	2.10	1.72

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	44	26	11	7	90	44	+46	89
2	Millwall	45	23	11	11	62	49	+13	80
3	Ipswich	43	22	13	8	75	45	+30	79
4	Southampton	44	21	13	10	77	53	+24	76
5	Middlesbrough	44	21	13	10	65	44	+21	76
6	Wrexham	44	19	13	12	66	60	+6	70
7	Hull	44	20	10	14	67	63	+4	70
8	Derby	44	19	9	16	63	55	+8	66
9	Norwich	44	19	7	18	61	53	+8	64
10	Birmingham	44	16	12	16	54	54	0	60
11	Swansea	44	17	9	18	53	57	-4	60
12	Bristol City	44	16	11	17	56	57	-1	59
13	QPR	44	16	10	18	59	67	-8	58
14	Sheffield United	44	17	6	21	62	62	0	57
15	Watford	44	14	15	15	52	56	-4	57
16	Preston	44	14	15	15	51	57	-6	57
17	Stoke	44	15	10	19	50	51	-1	55
18	West Brom	44	13	13	18	47	56	-9	52
19	Blackburn	45	13	13	19	42	55	-13	52
20	Portsmouth	44	13	12	19	45	62	-17	51
21	Charlton	44	12	14	18	41	54	-13	50
22	Leicester	45	11	16	18	57	68	-11	49
23	Oxford	44	10	14	20	41	56	-15	44
24	Sheffield Weds	44	1	12	31	26	84	-58	15

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	22	16	4	2	48	18	+30	52
2	Ipswich	22	13	8	1	40	17	+23	47
3	Southampton	22	12	7	3	36	17	+19	43
4	Birmingham	22	11	8	3	37	21	+16	41
5	Middlesbrough	22	11	6	5	29	17	+12	39
6	Millwall	22	12	3	7	31	25	+6	39
7	Watford	22	10	7	5	30	23	+7	37
8	Swansea	22	10	6	6	31	26	+5	36
9	Derby	22	10	6	6	30	25	+5	36
10	Wrexham	22	10	6	6	39	35	+4	36
11	Hull	22	10	5	7	33	33	0	35
12	Stoke	22	9	6	7	33	25	+8	33
13	QPR	22	10	3	9	38	34	+4	33
14	West Brom	22	8	9	5	28	25	+3	33
15	Sheffield United	22	9	4	9	36	30	+6	31
16	Preston	22	8	7	7	27	27	0	31
17	Portsmouth	22	8	5	9	24	22	+2	29
18	Norwich	22	9	2	11	26	27	-1	29
19	Bristol City	22	8	4	10	31	31	0	28
20	Leicester	23	7	7	9	31	34	-3	28
21	Charlton	22	8	4	10	21	25	-4	28
22	Oxford	22	6	8	8	20	26	-6	26
23	Blackburn	22	4	9	9	19	26	-7	21
24	Sheffield Weds	22	0	7	15	12	43	-31	7

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Millwall	23	11	8	4	31	24	+7	41
2	Coventry	22	10	7	5	42	26	+16	37
3	Middlesbrough	22	10	7	5	36	27	+9	37
4	Norwich	22	10	5	7	35	26	+9	35
5	Hull	22	10	5	7	34	30	+4	35
6	Wrexham	22	9	7	6	27	25	+2	34
7	Southampton	22	9	6	7	41	36	+5	33
8	Ipswich	21	9	5	7	35	28	+7	32
9	Bristol City	22	8	7	7	25	26	-1	31
10	Blackburn	23	9	4	10	23	29	-6	31
11	Derby	22	9	3	10	33	30	+3	30
12	Sheffield United	22	8	2	12	26	32	-6	26
13	Preston	22	6	8	8	24	30	-6	26
14	QPR	22	6	7	9	21	33	-12	25
15	Swansea	22	7	3	12	22	31	-9	24
16	Charlton	22	4	10	8	20	29	-9	22
17	Stoke	22	6	4	12	17	26	-9	22
18	Portsmouth	22	5	7	10	21	40	-19	22
19	Leicester	22	4	9	9	26	34	-8	21
20	Watford	22	4	8	10	22	33	-11	20
21	West Brom	22	5	4	13	19	31	-12	19
22	Birmingham	22	5	4	13	17	33	-16	19
23	Oxford	22	4	6	12	21	30	-9	18
24	Sheffield Weds	22	1	5	16	14	41	-27	8

Middlesbrough Watford

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Hull	44	16	28	1.5	1.4	20	10	14	67	63	70
2	1	Coventry	44	17	27	2.0	1.0	26	11	7	90	44	89
3	4	Southampton	44	17	27	1.8	1.2	21	13	10	77	53	76
4	13	QPR	44	17	27	1.3	1.5	16	10	18	59	67	58
5	14	Sheffield United	44	19	25	1.4	1.4	17	6	21	62	62	57
6	22	Leicester	45	20	25	1.3	1.5	11	16	18	57	68	49
7	5	Middlesbrough	44	21	23	1.5	1.0	21	13	10	65	44	76
8	2	Millwall	45	23	22	1.4	1.1	23	11	11	62	49	80
9	3	Ipswich	43	21	22	1.7	1.0	22	13	8	75	45	79
10	8	Derby	44	22	22	1.4	1.2	19	9	16	63	55	66
11	11	Swansea	44	22	22	1.2	1.3	17	9	18	53	57	60
12	24	Sheffield Weds	44	22	22	0.6	1.9	1	12	31	26	84	15
13	6	Wrexham	44	23	21	1.5	1.4	19	13	12	66	60	70
14	9	Norwich	44	23	21	1.4	1.2	19	7	18	61	53	64
15	10	Birmingham	44	24	20	1.2	1.2	16	12	16	54	54	60
16	12	Bristol City	44	24	20	1.3	1.3	16	11	17	56	57	59
17	15	Watford	44	24	20	1.2	1.3	14	15	15	52	56	57
18	16	Preston	44	24	20	1.2	1.3	14	15	15	51	57	57
19	18	West Brom	44	24	20	1.1	1.3	13	13	18	47	56	52
20	23	Oxford	44	24	20	0.9	1.3	10	14	20	41	56	44
21	17	Stoke	44	25	19	1.1	1.2	15	10	19	50	51	55
22	20	Portsmouth	44	25	19	1.0	1.4	13	12	19	45	62	51
23	19	Blackburn	45	27	18	0.9	1.2	13	13	19	42	55	52
24	21	Charlton	44	28	16	0.9	1.2	12	14	18	41	54	50

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	QPR	22	5	17	1.7	1.5	10	3	9	38	34	33
2	14	Sheffield United	22	6	16	1.6	1.4	9	4	9	36	30	31
3	1	Coventry	22	8	14	2.2	0.8	16	4	2	48	18	52
4	7	Hull	22	9	13	1.5	1.5	10	5	7	33	33	35
5	2	Millwall	22	10	12	1.4	1.1	12	3	7	31	25	39
6	3	Ipswich	22	10	12	1.8	0.8	13	8	1	40	17	47
7	6	Wrexham	22	10	12	1.8	1.6	10	6	6	39	35	36
8	17	Stoke	22	10	12	1.5	1.1	9	6	7	33	25	33
9	22	Leicester	23	11	12	1.3	1.5	7	7	9	31	34	28
10	4	Southampton	22	11	11	1.6	0.8	12	7	3	36	17	43
11	11	Swansea	22	11	11	1.4	1.2	10	6	6	31	26	36
12	12	Bristol City	22	11	11	1.4	1.4	8	4	10	31	31	28
13	9	Norwich	22	12	10	1.2	1.2	9	2	11	26	27	29
14	10	Birmingham	22	12	10	1.7	1.0	11	8	3	37	21	41
15	16	Preston	22	12	10	1.2	1.2	8	7	7	27	27	31
16	18	West Brom	22	12	10	1.3	1.1	8	9	5	28	25	33
17	24	Sheffield Weds	22	12	10	0.5	2.0	0	7	15	12	43	7
18	5	Middlesbrough	22	13	9	1.3	0.8	11	6	5	29	17	39
19	15	Watford	22	13	9	1.4	1.0	10	7	5	30	23	37
20	20	Portsmouth	22	13	9	1.1	1.0	8	5	9	24	22	29
21	21	Charlton	22	13	9	1.0	1.1	8	4	10	21	25	28
22	23	Oxford	22	13	9	0.9	1.2	6	8	8	20	26	26
23	8	Derby	22	14	8	1.4	1.1	10	6	6	30	25	36
24	19	Blackburn	22	15	7	0.9	1.2	4	9	9	19	26	21

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Southampton	22	6	16	1.9	1.6	9	6	7	41	36	33
2	7	Hull	22	7	15	1.5	1.4	10	5	7	34	30	35
3	5	Middlesbrough	22	8	14	1.6	1.2	10	7	5	36	27	37
4	8	Derby	22	8	14	1.5	1.4	9	3	10	33	30	30
5	1	Coventry	22	9	13	1.9	1.2	10	7	5	42	26	37
6	22	Leicester	22	9	13	1.2	1.5	4	9	9	26	34	21
7	24	Sheffield Weds	22	10	12	0.6	1.9	1	5	16	14	41	8
8	9	Norwich	22	11	11	1.6	1.2	10	5	7	35	26	35
9	11	Swansea	22	11	11	1.0	1.4	7	3	12	22	31	24
10	15	Watford	22	11	11	1.0	1.5	4	8	10	22	33	20
11	19	Blackburn	23	12	11	1.0	1.3	9	4	10	23	29	31
12	23	Oxford	22	11	11	1.0	1.4	4	6	12	21	30	18
13	2	Millwall	23	13	10	1.3	1.0	11	8	4	31	24	41
14	3	Ipswich	21	11	10	1.7	1.3	9	5	7	35	28	32
15	10	Birmingham	22	12	10	0.8	1.5	5	4	13	17	33	19
16	13	QPR	22	12	10	1.0	1.5	6	7	9	21	33	25
17	16	Preston	22	12	10	1.1	1.4	6	8	8	24	30	26
18	18	West Brom	22	12	10	0.9	1.4	5	4	13	19	31	19
19	20	Portsmouth	22	12	10	1.0	1.8	5	7	10	21	40	22
20	6	Wrexham	22	13	9	1.2	1.1	9	7	6	27	25	34
21	12	Bristol City	22	13	9	1.1	1.2	8	7	7	25	26	31
22	14	Sheffield United	22	13	9	1.2	1.5	8	2	12	26	32	26
23	17	Stoke	22	15	7	0.8	1.2	6	4	12	17	26	22
24	21	Charlton	22	15	7	0.9	1.3	4	10	8	20	29	22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.