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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: R Ricardo

QPR 2–1 Watford

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.50 fair 2.45
Draw 3.40 fair 4.08
Away 2.65 fair 2.88
Under 2.5 1.98 fair 2.29
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 1.77

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

QPR Watford
15 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 3
20 Fouls 15
6 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (468 league matches this season so far).
Result QPR to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.69
Expected goals 1.54 – 1.40
Home / Draw / Away
QPRDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 2–1 8.8% 1–0 8.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

QPR before this match, all matches
1.36points / match
1.41scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 39 played · 55:61
Watford before this match, all matches
1.44points / match
1.28scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 39 played · 50:46
QPR all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.41 Goals scored 1.28
1.56 Goals conceded 1.18
2.97 Total goals 2.46
12.56 Shots 13.90
3.85 Shots on target 4.49
12.13 Shots faced 11.08
4.74 Corners 4.85
5.33 Corners against 5.23
10.59 Fouls 10.59
1.62 Yellow cards 2.03
0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.82 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

38% Wins 36%
21% Draws 36%
41% Losses 28%
87% Over 0.5 goals 95%
74% Over 1.5 goals 77%
64% Over 2.5 goals 46%
41% Over 3.5 goals 23%
18% Over 4.5 goals 5%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
64% Both teams scored 62%
23% Clean sheets 18%
26% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 21%
38% Draws 49%
36% Losses 31%
74% Over 0.5 goals 69%
41% Over 1.5 goals 41%
15% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR all matches
Watford all matches
QPR before this match, at home
1.53points / match
1.84scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 35:31
Watford before this match, away
1.05points / match
1.11scored / match
1.37conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 21:26
QPR at home away Watford

Per match

1.84 Goals scored 1.11
1.63 Goals conceded 1.37
3.47 Total goals 2.47
14.21 Shots 12.47
4.63 Shots on target 3.58
9.95 Shots faced 11.42
5.53 Corners 4.68
3.58 Corners against 5.74
10.63 Fouls 10.37
1.63 Yellow cards 2.32
0.84 1st-half goals scored 0.37
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.79

How often Full Time

47% Wins 21%
11% Draws 42%
42% Losses 37%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
89% Over 1.5 goals 68%
79% Over 2.5 goals 47%
47% Over 3.5 goals 32%
26% Over 4.5 goals 5%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
74% Both teams scored 68%
16% Clean sheets 11%
16% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 11%
37% Draws 53%
21% Losses 37%
74% Over 0.5 goals 68%
37% Over 1.5 goals 37%
16% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

QPR all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.03.26 QPR – Portsmouth 6–1 (3–1) 2.753.102.50 2.30 1.62
14.03.26 Leicester – QPR 1–3 (1–1) 1.913.503.80 2.00 1.80
11.03.26 Birmingham – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 1.683.754.50 2.00 1.85
08.03.26 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–4 (0–1) 3.753.401.96 1.91 1.91
28.02.26 QPR – Sheffield United 0–2 (0–2) 3.003.602.20 1.88 1.98
24.02.26 Southampton – QPR 5–0 (2–0) 1.613.704.33 1.73 2.10
21.02.26 Hull – QPR 1–3 (1–1) 2.253.303.10 2.05 1.80
14.02.26 QPR – Blackburn 1–3 (1–2) 2.153.103.25 2.20 1.67
06.02.26 Charlton – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 2.853.002.57 2.30 1.62
31.01.26 QPR – Coventry 2–1 (0–0) 3.103.402.15 1.91 1.91

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.03.26 Watford – Leicester 0–0 (0–0) 1.963.603.50 1.91 1.91
17.03.26 Watford – Wrexham 3–1 (2–0) 2.203.403.00 2.10 1.73
14.03.26 Stoke – Watford 3–1 (1–0) 2.573.302.55 2.10 1.73
10.03.26 Sheffield Weds – Watford 1–1 (0–0) 7.004.331.41 1.90 1.95
27.02.26 Bristol City – Watford 1–2 (1–1) 2.403.402.65 2.05 1.80
24.02.26 Watford – Ipswich 0–2 (0–1) 3.303.252.15 2.20 1.67
21.02.26 Watford – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.40 2.20 1.67
14.02.26 Preston – Watford 2–2 (1–0) 3.003.202.20 2.20 1.67
07.02.26 Southampton – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.813.704.00 1.83 2.03
03.02.26 Hull – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.503.10 1.91 1.91

QPR at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.03.26 QPR – Portsmouth 6–1 (3–1) 2.753.102.50 2.30 1.62
08.03.26 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–4 (0–1) 3.753.401.96 1.91 1.91
28.02.26 QPR – Sheffield United 0–2 (0–2) 3.003.602.20 1.88 1.98
14.02.26 QPR – Blackburn 1–3 (1–2) 2.153.103.25 2.20 1.67
31.01.26 QPR – Coventry 2–1 (0–0) 3.103.402.15 1.91 1.91
24.01.26 QPR – Wrexham 2–3 (1–0) 2.303.253.10 2.20 1.67
04.01.26 QPR – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (1–0) 1.394.756.50 1.80 2.00
01.01.26 QPR – Norwich 1–2 (0–0) 2.103.403.40 1.91 1.91
20.12.25 QPR – Leicester 4–1 (4–0) 2.303.402.85 2.00 1.85
09.12.25 QPR – Birmingham 2–1 (1–0) 2.853.302.35 1.98 1.88

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.26 Stoke – Watford 3–1 (1–0) 2.573.302.55 2.10 1.73
10.03.26 Sheffield Weds – Watford 1–1 (0–0) 7.004.331.41 1.90 1.95
27.02.26 Bristol City – Watford 1–2 (1–1) 2.403.402.65 2.05 1.80
14.02.26 Preston – Watford 2–2 (1–0) 3.003.202.20 2.20 1.67
07.02.26 Southampton – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.813.704.00 1.83 2.03
03.02.26 Hull – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.503.10 1.91 1.91
24.01.26 Blackburn – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.102.65 2.20 1.67
29.12.25 Norwich – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.65 1.80 2.00
26.12.25 Leicester – Watford 1–2 (1–1) 2.253.303.05 1.95 1.90
13.12.25 Wrexham – Watford 2–2 (1–2) 2.503.202.70 2.00 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

QPR winsDrawsWatford wins
7matches
2.86goals / match
71%over 2.5
57%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.08.25E1 Watford – QPR 2–1 (2–1) 2.153.103.60 2.20 1.67
01.01.25E1 QPR – Watford 3–1 (2–0) 2.553.402.70 2.00 1.80
30.11.24E1 Watford – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.604.00 1.93 1.93
14.01.24E1 QPR – Watford 1–2 (0–0) 3.003.252.45 2.15 1.67
05.08.23E1 Watford – QPR 4–0 (4–0) 1.853.604.20 2.00 1.85
11.03.23E1 QPR – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.252.30 2.10 1.73
27.08.22E1 Watford – QPR 2–3 (1–2) 1.903.404.33 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 39 24 8 7 81 40 +41 80
2 Millwall 40 21 9 10 55 45 +10 72
3 Middlesbrough 40 20 11 9 60 39 +21 71
4 Ipswich 38 19 12 7 67 39 +28 69
5 Hull 39 20 6 13 62 57 +5 66
6 Southampton 39 17 12 10 63 48 +15 63
7 Wrexham 39 17 12 10 60 51 +9 63
8 Derby 39 17 9 13 56 48 +8 60
9 Watford 39 14 14 11 50 46 +4 56
10 Norwich 39 16 6 17 52 46 +6 54
11 Birmingham 39 14 11 14 48 49 -1 53
12 QPR 39 15 8 16 55 61 -6 53
13 Preston 39 13 13 13 45 49 -4 52
14 Swansea 39 15 7 17 44 49 -5 52
15 Stoke 39 14 9 16 46 43 +3 51
16 Bristol City 39 14 9 16 49 50 -1 51
17 Sheffield United 39 15 5 19 54 54 0 50
18 Charlton 39 12 12 15 36 46 -10 48
19 Leicester 39 11 12 16 51 60 -9 45
20 Blackburn 39 11 10 18 36 49 -13 43
21 West Brom 39 11 10 18 40 54 -14 43
22 Portsmouth 38 10 10 18 37 54 -17 40
23 Oxford 39 9 12 18 36 51 -15 39
24 Sheffield Weds 39 1 9 29 24 79 -55 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 19 14 3 2 40 15 +25 45
2 Ipswich 20 12 7 1 36 14 +22 43
3 Southampton 19 10 6 3 29 14 +15 36
4 Middlesbrough 20 10 6 4 28 16 +12 36
5 Watford 20 10 6 4 29 20 +9 36
6 Millwall 20 11 3 6 28 23 +5 36
7 Birmingham 19 9 8 2 33 19 +14 35
8 Swansea 20 10 5 5 28 22 +6 35
9 Wrexham 20 9 6 5 36 30 +6 33
10 Hull 20 10 3 7 32 32 0 33
11 Derby 20 8 6 6 27 25 +2 30
12 Preston 20 8 6 6 26 24 +2 30
13 Stoke 19 8 5 6 29 21 +8 29
14 QPR 19 9 2 8 35 31 +4 29
15 West Brom 19 7 7 5 23 23 0 28
16 Charlton 19 8 4 7 18 19 -1 28
17 Sheffield United 19 8 3 8 30 23 +7 27
18 Bristol City 20 7 4 9 28 27 +1 25
19 Norwich 19 8 1 10 23 23 0 25
20 Leicester 19 7 4 8 26 28 -2 25
21 Portsmouth 19 6 4 9 19 20 -1 22
22 Oxford 19 5 7 7 17 24 -7 22
23 Blackburn 20 4 7 9 18 25 -7 19
24 Sheffield Weds 20 0 5 15 10 41 -31 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Millwall 20 10 6 4 27 22 +5 36
2 Coventry 20 10 5 5 41 25 +16 35
3 Middlesbrough 20 10 5 5 32 23 +9 35
4 Hull 19 10 3 6 30 25 +5 33
5 Derby 19 9 3 7 29 23 +6 30
6 Wrexham 19 8 6 5 24 21 +3 30
7 Norwich 20 8 5 7 29 23 +6 29
8 Southampton 20 7 6 7 34 34 0 27
9 Ipswich 18 7 5 6 31 25 +6 26
10 Bristol City 19 7 5 7 21 23 -2 26
11 Blackburn 19 7 3 9 18 24 -6 24
12 QPR 20 6 6 8 20 30 -10 24
13 Sheffield United 20 7 2 11 24 31 -7 23
14 Stoke 20 6 4 10 17 22 -5 22
15 Preston 19 5 7 7 19 25 -6 22
16 Watford 19 4 8 7 21 26 -5 20
17 Leicester 20 4 8 8 25 32 -7 20
18 Charlton 20 4 8 8 18 27 -9 20
19 Birmingham 20 5 3 12 15 30 -15 18
20 Portsmouth 19 4 6 9 18 34 -16 18
21 Oxford 20 4 5 11 19 27 -8 17
22 Swansea 19 5 2 12 16 27 -11 17
23 West Brom 20 4 3 13 17 31 -14 15
24 Sheffield Weds 19 1 4 14 14 38 -24 7

QPR   Watford

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Hull 39 13 26 1.6 1.5 20 6 13 62 57 66
2 1 Coventry 39 14 25 2.1 1.0 24 8 7 81 40 80
3 12 QPR 39 14 25 1.4 1.6 15 8 16 55 61 53
4 19 Leicester 39 16 23 1.3 1.5 11 12 16 51 60 45
5 6 Southampton 39 17 22 1.6 1.2 17 12 10 63 48 63
6 17 Sheffield United 39 17 22 1.4 1.4 15 5 19 54 54 50
7 24 Sheffield Weds 39 17 22 0.6 2.0 1 9 29 24 79 12
8 3 Middlesbrough 40 19 21 1.5 1.0 20 11 9 60 39 71
9 2 Millwall 40 20 20 1.4 1.1 21 9 10 55 45 72
10 4 Ipswich 38 19 19 1.8 1.0 19 12 7 67 39 69
11 7 Wrexham 39 20 19 1.5 1.3 17 12 10 60 51 63
12 8 Derby 39 20 19 1.4 1.2 17 9 13 56 48 60
13 23 Oxford 39 20 19 0.9 1.3 9 12 18 36 51 39
14 9 Watford 39 21 18 1.3 1.2 14 14 11 50 46 56
15 10 Norwich 39 21 18 1.3 1.2 16 6 17 52 46 54
16 11 Birmingham 39 21 18 1.2 1.3 14 11 14 48 49 53
17 14 Swansea 39 21 18 1.1 1.3 15 7 17 44 49 52
18 15 Stoke 39 21 18 1.2 1.1 14 9 16 46 43 51
19 21 West Brom 39 21 18 1.0 1.4 11 10 18 40 54 43
20 13 Preston 39 22 17 1.2 1.3 13 13 13 45 49 52
21 16 Bristol City 39 22 17 1.3 1.3 14 9 16 49 50 51
22 22 Portsmouth 38 21 17 1.0 1.4 10 10 18 37 54 40
23 20 Blackburn 39 23 16 0.9 1.3 11 10 18 36 49 43
24 18 Charlton 39 26 13 0.9 1.2 12 12 15 36 46 48
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 QPR 19 4 15 1.8 1.6 9 2 8 35 31 29
2 5 Hull 20 7 13 1.6 1.6 10 3 7 32 32 33
3 17 Sheffield United 19 6 13 1.6 1.2 8 3 8 30 23 27
4 1 Coventry 19 7 12 2.1 0.8 14 3 2 40 15 45
5 2 Millwall 20 9 11 1.4 1.1 11 3 6 28 23 36
6 7 Wrexham 20 9 11 1.8 1.5 9 6 5 36 30 33
7 15 Stoke 19 8 11 1.5 1.1 8 5 6 29 21 29
8 4 Ipswich 20 10 10 1.8 0.7 12 7 1 36 14 43
9 13 Preston 20 10 10 1.3 1.2 8 6 6 26 24 30
10 16 Bristol City 20 10 10 1.4 1.4 7 4 9 28 27 25
11 19 Leicester 19 9 10 1.4 1.5 7 4 8 26 28 25
12 24 Sheffield Weds 20 10 10 0.5 2.0 0 5 15 10 41 5
13 3 Middlesbrough 20 11 9 1.4 0.8 10 6 4 28 16 36
14 9 Watford 20 11 9 1.4 1.0 10 6 4 29 20 36
15 10 Norwich 19 10 9 1.2 1.2 8 1 10 23 23 25
16 11 Birmingham 19 10 9 1.7 1.0 9 8 2 33 19 35
17 14 Swansea 20 11 9 1.4 1.1 10 5 5 28 22 35
18 23 Oxford 19 10 9 0.9 1.3 5 7 7 17 24 22
19 6 Southampton 19 11 8 1.5 0.7 10 6 3 29 14 36
20 8 Derby 20 12 8 1.4 1.2 8 6 6 27 25 30
21 21 West Brom 19 11 8 1.2 1.2 7 7 5 23 23 28
22 22 Portsmouth 19 11 8 1.0 1.1 6 4 9 19 20 22
23 20 Blackburn 20 13 7 0.9 1.2 4 7 9 18 25 19
24 18 Charlton 19 13 6 0.9 1.0 8 4 7 18 19 28
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Southampton 20 6 14 1.7 1.7 7 6 7 34 34 27
2 1 Coventry 20 7 13 2.0 1.2 10 5 5 41 25 35
3 5 Hull 19 6 13 1.6 1.3 10 3 6 30 25 33
4 19 Leicester 20 7 13 1.2 1.6 4 8 8 25 32 20
5 3 Middlesbrough 20 8 12 1.6 1.1 10 5 5 32 23 35
6 24 Sheffield Weds 19 7 12 0.7 2.0 1 4 14 14 38 7
7 8 Derby 19 8 11 1.5 1.2 9 3 7 29 23 30
8 12 QPR 20 10 10 1.0 1.5 6 6 8 20 30 24
9 21 West Brom 20 10 10 0.8 1.6 4 3 13 17 31 15
10 23 Oxford 20 10 10 0.9 1.4 4 5 11 19 27 17
11 2 Millwall 20 11 9 1.4 1.1 10 6 4 27 22 36
12 4 Ipswich 18 9 9 1.7 1.4 7 5 6 31 25 26
13 9 Watford 19 10 9 1.1 1.4 4 8 7 21 26 20
14 10 Norwich 20 11 9 1.4 1.1 8 5 7 29 23 29
15 11 Birmingham 20 11 9 0.8 1.5 5 3 12 15 30 18
16 14 Swansea 19 10 9 0.8 1.4 5 2 12 16 27 17
17 17 Sheffield United 20 11 9 1.2 1.6 7 2 11 24 31 23
18 20 Blackburn 19 10 9 0.9 1.3 7 3 9 18 24 24
19 22 Portsmouth 19 10 9 0.9 1.8 4 6 9 18 34 18
20 7 Wrexham 19 11 8 1.3 1.1 8 6 5 24 21 30
21 13 Preston 19 12 7 1.0 1.3 5 7 7 19 25 22
22 15 Stoke 20 13 7 0.8 1.1 6 4 10 17 22 22
23 16 Bristol City 19 12 7 1.1 1.2 7 5 7 21 23 26
24 18 Charlton 20 13 7 0.9 1.4 4 8 8 18 27 20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40