Middlesbrough 0–1 Watford – England Championship, 15 Feb 2025

Match facts

Middlesbrough Watford

13 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 6

8 Corners 5

7 Fouls 7

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (384 league matches this season so far).

Result Middlesbrough to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.67

Expected goals 1.91 – 1.22

Home / Draw / Away

54% 22% 24%

MiddlesbroughDrawWatford

Under / Over 2.5 goals

40% 60%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

40% 60%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

4% 0

14% 1

22% 2

22% 3

18% 4

21% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.2% 2–1 9.7% 1–0 8.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches

1.42points / match

1.61scored / match

1.35conceded / match

12 8 11

WonDrawnLost 31 played · 50:42

Watford before this match, all matches

1.31points / match

1.31scored / match

1.50conceded / match

12 6 14

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 42:48

Middlesbrough all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.61 Goals scored 1.31

1.35 Goals conceded 1.50

2.97 Total goals 2.81

14.06 Shots 11.25

4.94 Shots on target 3.78

9.90 Shots faced 13.50

5.26 Corners 5.06

5.03 Corners against 5.25

9.48 Fouls 12.63

1.52 Yellow cards 2.16

0.84 1st-half goals scored 0.38

0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

39% Wins 38%

26% Draws 19%

35% Losses 44%

97% Over 0.5 goals 97%

71% Over 1.5 goals 78%

48% Over 2.5 goals 66%

35% Over 3.5 goals 22%

23% Over 4.5 goals 9%

16% Over 5.5 goals 3%

55% Both teams scored 63%

29% Clean sheets 19%

19% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 16%

39% Draws 41%

26% Losses 44%

77% Over 0.5 goals 72%

42% Over 1.5 goals 31%

13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches

3

D

3

D

1

W

1

D

1

2

L

2

W

1

2

L

2

3

L

1

3

L

Watford all matches

1

2

L

1

3

L

1

2

L

1

D

2

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

L

2

D

4

L

Middlesbrough before this match, at home

1.63points / match

1.50scored / match

1.13conceded / match

7 5 4

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 24:18

Watford before this match, away

0.81points / match

1.38scored / match

1.94conceded / match

3 4 9

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 22:31

Middlesbrough at home away Watford

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.38

1.13 Goals conceded 1.94

2.63 Total goals 3.31

14.94 Shots 10.38

4.50 Shots on target 3.38

9.00 Shots faced 14.56

5.38 Corners 4.63

4.38 Corners against 6.00

9.63 Fouls 13.44

1.38 Yellow cards 2.13

0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.44

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

44% Wins 19%

31% Draws 25%

25% Losses 56%

94% Over 0.5 goals 100%

69% Over 1.5 goals 88%

38% Over 2.5 goals 69%

31% Over 3.5 goals 38%

19% Over 4.5 goals 19%

13% Over 5.5 goals 6%

44% Both teams scored 69%

38% Clean sheets 6%

25% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 19%

38% Draws 31%

19% Losses 50%

81% Over 0.5 goals 81%

50% Over 1.5 goals 38%

13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home

3

L

5

1

W

1

L

3

1

W

1

W

3

D

1

D

2

W

2

3

L

Watford away

6

2

W

1

L

2

D

1

D

1

2

L

1

3

L

1

D

2

W

1

2

L

2

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.02.25	Sheffield United – Middlesbrough	3–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.40	3.10	1.93	1.93
03.02.25	Middlesbrough – Sunderland	2–3 (1–1)	2.35	3.40	3.00	1.93	1.93
25.01.25	Preston – Middlesbrough	2–1 (1–0)	3.25	3.25	2.25	2.10	1.73
21.01.25	Middlesbrough – West Brom	2–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.40	3.75	2.00	1.85
18.01.25	Portsmouth – Middlesbrough	2–1 (0–1)	4.50	3.60	1.75	1.67	2.20
04.01.25	Middlesbrough – Cardiff	1–1 (1–1)	1.57	4.20	5.25	1.73	2.10
01.01.25	Hull – Middlesbrough	0–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.50	2.10	1.88	1.98
29.12.24	Middlesbrough – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.25	3.10	2.10	1.73
26.12.24	Middlesbrough – Sheffield Weds	3–3 (3–0)	1.65	3.90	5.00	1.73	2.10
21.12.24	Plymouth – Middlesbrough	3–3 (1–0)	6.00	4.50	1.48	1.57	2.38

Watford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.02.25	Watford – Leeds	0–4 (0–3)	10.00	4.75	1.33	1.73	2.10
08.02.25	Sunderland – Watford	2–2 (1–1)	1.50	4.33	5.75	1.83	2.03
01.02.25	Watford – Norwich	0–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.30	2.63	1.88	1.98
25.01.25	Coventry – Watford	2–1 (1–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	1.83	2.03
21.01.25	Watford – Preston	1–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.20	1.67
18.01.25	Derby – Watford	0–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.40	3.20	2.10	1.73
14.01.25	Cardiff – Watford	1–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.30	3.20	2.10	1.73
04.01.25	Watford – Sheffield United	1–2 (1–1)	2.75	3.50	2.40	2.10	1.73
01.01.25	QPR – Watford	3–1 (2–0)	2.55	3.40	2.70	2.00	1.80
29.12.24	Watford – Cardiff	1–2 (1–2)	1.95	3.40	3.90	1.88	1.98

Middlesbrough at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.02.25	Middlesbrough – Sunderland	2–3 (1–1)	2.35	3.40	3.00	1.93	1.93
21.01.25	Middlesbrough – West Brom	2–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.40	3.75	2.00	1.85
04.01.25	Middlesbrough – Cardiff	1–1 (1–1)	1.57	4.20	5.25	1.73	2.10
29.12.24	Middlesbrough – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.25	3.10	2.10	1.73
26.12.24	Middlesbrough – Sheffield Weds	3–3 (3–0)	1.65	3.90	5.00	1.73	2.10
14.12.24	Middlesbrough – Millwall	1–0 (1–0)	1.70	3.80	4.75	2.10	1.73
30.11.24	Middlesbrough – Hull	3–1 (2–0)	1.50	4.50	6.00	1.62	2.30
27.11.24	Middlesbrough – Blackburn	0–1 (0–0)	1.53	4.10	6.25	1.73	2.10
09.11.24	Middlesbrough – Luton	5–1 (2–0)	1.73	4.00	4.33	1.73	2.10
02.11.24	Middlesbrough – Coventry	0–3 (0–1)	1.70	4.10	4.50	1.67	2.20

Watford away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.02.25	Sunderland – Watford	2–2 (1–1)	1.50	4.33	5.75	1.83	2.03
25.01.25	Coventry – Watford	2–1 (1–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	1.83	2.03
18.01.25	Derby – Watford	0–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.40	3.20	2.10	1.73
14.01.25	Cardiff – Watford	1–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.30	3.20	2.10	1.73
01.01.25	QPR – Watford	3–1 (2–0)	2.55	3.40	2.70	2.00	1.80
21.12.24	Burnley – Watford	2–1 (1–0)	1.70	3.70	5.25	2.10	1.73
11.12.24	Hull – Watford	1–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	3.00	1.90	1.95
22.11.24	Plymouth – Watford	2–2 (1–2)	3.10	3.40	2.25	1.73	2.10
05.11.24	Swansea – Watford	1–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.40	3.90	1.83	2.03
02.11.24	Sheffield Weds – Watford	2–6 (1–1)	1.91	3.50	3.90	1.95	1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3 2

Middlesbrough winsDrawsWatford wins

5matches

3.40goals / match

80%over 2.5

80%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.10.24E1	Watford – Middlesbrough	2–1 (0–0)	3.50	3.80	1.95	1.67	2.20
04.05.24E1	Middlesbrough – Watford	3–1 (1–0)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.62	2.30
30.09.23E1	Watford – Middlesbrough	2–3 (1–2)	2.45	3.40	2.90	1.93	1.93
28.01.23E1	Middlesbrough – Watford	2–0 (2–0)	1.91	3.40	4.33	2.10	1.73
30.08.22E1	Watford – Middlesbrough	2–1 (1–1)	2.50	3.25	2.90	2.10	1.72

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	32	20	9	3	66	19	+47	69
2	Sheffield United	32	21	6	5	46	23	+23	69
3	Burnley	33	17	14	2	39	9	+30	65
4	Sunderland	32	17	11	4	49	28	+21	62
5	Blackburn	32	14	6	12	37	31	+6	48
6	West Brom	32	11	14	7	41	30	+11	47
7	Bristol City	33	11	13	9	41	37	+4	46
8	Sheffield Weds	32	12	9	11	45	48	-3	45
9	Middlesbrough	31	12	8	11	50	42	+8	44
10	Coventry	32	12	8	12	42	40	+2	44
11	QPR	33	11	11	11	39	41	-2	44
12	Norwich	32	11	10	11	50	44	+6	43
13	Watford	32	12	6	14	42	48	-6	42
14	Preston	32	9	14	9	34	38	-4	41
15	Millwall	31	10	10	11	31	32	-1	40
16	Oxford	33	9	11	13	34	47	-13	38
17	Swansea	32	10	7	15	33	43	-10	37
18	Portsmouth	33	9	9	15	41	55	-14	36
19	Stoke	31	7	11	13	28	39	-11	32
20	Cardiff	32	7	11	14	35	54	-19	32
21	Hull	31	7	8	16	31	42	-11	29
22	Derby	33	7	8	18	33	46	-13	29
23	Plymouth	31	6	10	15	34	64	-30	28
24	Luton	31	7	6	18	30	51	-21	27

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	16	13	2	1	42	7	+35	41
2	Sheffield United	16	12	2	2	24	10	+14	38
3	Sunderland	16	10	6	0	28	12	+16	36
4	Burnley	16	8	8	0	18	4	+14	32
5	Bristol City	16	8	5	3	23	12	+11	29
6	Blackburn	16	9	2	5	22	14	+8	29
7	Watford	16	9	2	5	20	17	+3	29
8	Oxford	17	8	5	4	24	22	+2	29
9	West Brom	16	7	7	2	21	11	+10	28
10	Norwich	16	7	6	3	37	21	+16	27
11	Coventry	16	8	3	5	26	19	+7	27
12	Portsmouth	16	7	5	4	24	15	+9	26
13	Middlesbrough	16	7	5	4	24	18	+6	26
14	Preston	16	6	8	2	18	13	+5	26
15	QPR	17	7	5	5	26	22	+4	26
16	Millwall	16	7	3	6	18	14	+4	24
17	Plymouth	16	6	6	4	29	27	+2	24
18	Sheffield Weds	16	5	7	4	25	23	+2	22
19	Luton	15	6	4	5	18	17	+1	22
20	Derby	16	6	3	7	19	15	+4	21
21	Cardiff	16	6	3	7	19	20	-1	21
22	Swansea	16	5	5	6	21	19	+2	20
23	Stoke	15	4	7	4	18	17	+1	19
24	Hull	16	2	6	8	16	22	-6	12

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	17	9	6	2	21	5	+16	33
2	Sheffield United	16	9	4	3	22	13	+9	31
3	Leeds	16	7	7	2	24	12	+12	28
4	Sunderland	16	7	5	4	21	16	+5	26
5	Sheffield Weds	16	7	2	7	20	25	-5	23
6	West Brom	16	4	7	5	20	19	+1	19
7	Blackburn	16	5	4	7	15	17	-2	19
8	Middlesbrough	15	5	3	7	26	24	+2	18
9	QPR	16	4	6	6	13	19	-6	18
10	Coventry	16	4	5	7	16	21	-5	17
11	Hull	15	5	2	8	15	20	-5	17
12	Bristol City	17	3	8	6	18	25	-7	17
13	Swansea	16	5	2	9	12	24	-12	17
14	Millwall	15	3	7	5	13	18	-5	16
15	Norwich	16	4	4	8	13	23	-10	16
16	Preston	16	3	6	7	16	25	-9	15
17	Watford	16	3	4	9	22	31	-9	13
18	Stoke	16	3	4	9	10	22	-12	13
19	Cardiff	16	1	8	7	16	34	-18	11
20	Portsmouth	17	2	4	11	17	40	-23	10
21	Oxford	16	1	6	9	10	25	-15	9
22	Derby	17	1	5	11	14	31	-17	8
23	Luton	16	1	2	13	12	34	-22	5
24	Plymouth	15	0	4	11	5	37	-32	4

Middlesbrough Watford

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Portsmouth	33	11	22	1.2	1.7	9	9	15	41	55	36
2	13	Watford	32	11	21	1.3	1.5	12	6	14	42	48	42
3	23	Plymouth	31	13	18	1.1	2.1	6	10	15	34	64	28
4	8	Sheffield Weds	32	15	17	1.4	1.5	12	9	11	45	48	45
5	10	Coventry	32	16	16	1.3	1.2	12	8	12	42	40	44
6	12	Norwich	32	16	16	1.6	1.4	11	10	11	50	44	43
7	24	Luton	31	15	16	1.0	1.6	7	6	18	30	51	27
8	4	Sunderland	32	17	15	1.5	0.9	17	11	4	49	28	62
9	9	Middlesbrough	31	16	15	1.6	1.4	12	8	11	50	42	44
10	11	QPR	33	18	15	1.2	1.2	11	11	11	39	41	44
11	17	Swansea	32	17	15	1.0	1.3	10	7	15	33	43	37
12	14	Preston	32	18	14	1.1	1.2	9	14	9	34	38	41
13	20	Cardiff	32	18	14	1.1	1.7	7	11	14	35	54	32
14	22	Derby	33	19	14	1.0	1.4	7	8	18	33	46	29
15	1	Leeds	32	19	13	2.1	0.6	20	9	3	66	19	69
16	6	West Brom	32	19	13	1.3	0.9	11	14	7	41	30	47
17	7	Bristol City	33	20	13	1.2	1.1	11	13	9	41	37	46
18	5	Blackburn	32	20	12	1.2	1.0	14	6	12	37	31	48
19	16	Oxford	33	21	12	1.0	1.4	9	11	13	34	47	38
20	21	Hull	31	19	12	1.0	1.4	7	8	16	31	42	29
21	2	Sheffield United	32	21	11	1.4	0.7	21	6	5	46	23	69
22	19	Stoke	31	20	11	0.9	1.3	7	11	13	28	39	32
23	15	Millwall	31	22	9	1.0	1.0	10	10	11	31	32	40
24	3	Burnley	33	27	6	1.2	0.3	17	14	2	39	9	65

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	10	Coventry	16	5	11	1.6	1.2	8	3	5	26	19	27
2	23	Plymouth	16	5	11	1.8	1.7	6	6	4	29	27	24
3	11	QPR	17	7	10	1.5	1.3	7	5	5	26	22	26
4	12	Norwich	16	6	10	2.3	1.3	7	6	3	37	21	27
5	13	Watford	16	6	10	1.2	1.1	9	2	5	20	17	29
6	18	Portsmouth	16	6	10	1.5	0.9	7	5	4	24	15	26
7	1	Leeds	16	7	9	2.6	0.4	13	2	1	42	7	41
8	4	Sunderland	16	8	8	1.8	0.8	10	6	0	28	12	36
9	24	Luton	15	7	8	1.2	1.1	6	4	5	18	17	22
10	17	Swansea	16	9	7	1.3	1.2	5	5	6	21	19	20
11	5	Blackburn	16	10	6	1.4	0.9	9	2	5	22	14	29
12	7	Bristol City	16	10	6	1.4	0.8	8	5	3	23	12	29
13	8	Sheffield Weds	16	10	6	1.6	1.4	5	7	4	25	23	22
14	9	Middlesbrough	16	10	6	1.5	1.1	7	5	4	24	18	26
15	16	Oxford	17	11	6	1.4	1.3	8	5	4	24	22	29
16	19	Stoke	15	9	6	1.2	1.1	4	7	4	18	17	19
17	21	Hull	16	10	6	1.0	1.4	2	6	8	16	22	12
18	22	Derby	16	10	6	1.2	0.9	6	3	7	19	15	21
19	2	Sheffield United	16	11	5	1.5	0.6	12	2	2	24	10	38
20	6	West Brom	16	11	5	1.3	0.7	7	7	2	21	11	28
21	14	Preston	16	11	5	1.1	0.8	6	8	2	18	13	26
22	15	Millwall	16	11	5	1.1	0.9	7	3	6	18	14	24
23	20	Cardiff	16	11	5	1.2	1.2	6	3	7	19	20	21
24	3	Burnley	16	13	3	1.1	0.2	8	8	0	18	4	32

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Portsmouth	17	5	12	1.0	2.4	2	4	11	17	40	10
2	8	Sheffield Weds	16	5	11	1.2	1.6	7	2	7	20	25	23
3	13	Watford	16	5	11	1.4	1.9	3	4	9	22	31	13
4	9	Middlesbrough	15	6	9	1.7	1.6	5	3	7	26	24	18
5	14	Preston	16	7	9	1.0	1.6	3	6	7	16	25	15
6	20	Cardiff	16	7	9	1.0	2.1	1	8	7	16	34	11
7	6	West Brom	16	8	8	1.2	1.2	4	7	5	20	19	19
8	17	Swansea	16	8	8	0.8	1.5	5	2	9	12	24	17
9	22	Derby	17	9	8	0.8	1.8	1	5	11	14	31	8
10	24	Luton	16	8	8	0.8	2.1	1	2	13	12	34	5
11	4	Sunderland	16	9	7	1.3	1.0	7	5	4	21	16	26
12	7	Bristol City	17	10	7	1.1	1.5	3	8	6	18	25	17
13	23	Plymouth	15	8	7	0.3	2.5	0	4	11	5	37	4
14	2	Sheffield United	16	10	6	1.4	0.8	9	4	3	22	13	31
15	5	Blackburn	16	10	6	0.9	1.1	5	4	7	15	17	19
16	12	Norwich	16	10	6	0.8	1.4	4	4	8	13	23	16
17	16	Oxford	16	10	6	0.6	1.6	1	6	9	10	25	9
18	21	Hull	15	9	6	1.0	1.3	5	2	8	15	20	17
19	10	Coventry	16	11	5	1.0	1.3	4	5	7	16	21	17
20	11	QPR	16	11	5	0.8	1.2	4	6	6	13	19	18
21	19	Stoke	16	11	5	0.6	1.4	3	4	9	10	22	13
22	1	Leeds	16	12	4	1.5	0.8	7	7	2	24	12	28
23	15	Millwall	15	11	4	0.9	1.2	3	7	5	13	18	16
24	3	Burnley	17	14	3	1.2	0.3	9	6	2	21	5	33

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.