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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Smith

QPR 0–4 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 3.75 fair 3.02
Draw 3.40 fair 4.10
Away ✓ 1.96 fair 2.35
Under 2.5 1.91 fair 2.29
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.91 fair 1.77

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

QPR Middlesbrough
9 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 7
3 Corners 8
9 Fouls 3
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (428 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.69
Expected goals 1.37 – 1.58
Home / Draw / Away
QPRDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3% 1–2 9% 0–1 8.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

QPR before this match, all matches
1.34points / match
1.31scored / match
1.54conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 46:54
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.89points / match
1.54scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 54:35
QPR all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.31 Goals scored 1.54
1.54 Goals conceded 1.00
2.86 Total goals 2.54
12.80 Shots 14.77
3.86 Shots on target 4.54
11.63 Shots faced 10.37
4.97 Corners 6.09
5.09 Corners against 4.49
10.43 Fouls 9.71
1.60 Yellow cards 1.60
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.74
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.46

How often Full Time

37% Wins 54%
23% Draws 26%
40% Losses 20%
86% Over 0.5 goals 91%
74% Over 1.5 goals 71%
63% Over 2.5 goals 54%
37% Over 3.5 goals 26%
17% Over 4.5 goals 9%
3% Over 5.5 goals 3%
66% Both teams scored 57%
26% Clean sheets 29%
23% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 37%
40% Draws 29%
34% Losses 34%
71% Over 0.5 goals 74%
40% Over 1.5 goals 31%
14% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
QPR before this match, at home
1.53points / match
1.71scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 29:26
Middlesbrough before this match, away
1.72points / match
1.56scored / match
1.28conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 28:23
QPR at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.71 Goals scored 1.56
1.53 Goals conceded 1.28
3.24 Total goals 2.83
14.82 Shots 14.83
4.53 Shots on target 4.44
9.00 Shots faced 9.72
5.94 Corners 5.72
3.00 Corners against 4.06
10.47 Fouls 9.61
1.59 Yellow cards 2.11
0.76 1st-half goals scored 0.78
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

47% Wins 50%
12% Draws 22%
41% Losses 28%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Over 1.5 goals 83%
76% Over 2.5 goals 61%
41% Over 3.5 goals 28%
24% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
76% Both teams scored 67%
18% Clean sheets 11%
12% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 39%
41% Draws 17%
18% Losses 44%
71% Over 0.5 goals 83%
35% Over 1.5 goals 33%
12% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

QPR at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

QPR all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.26 QPR – Sheffield United 0–2 (0–2) 3.003.602.20 1.88 1.98
24.02.26 Southampton – QPR 5–0 (2–0) 1.613.704.33 1.73 2.10
21.02.26 Hull – QPR 1–3 (1–1) 2.253.303.10 2.05 1.80
14.02.26 QPR – Blackburn 1–3 (1–2) 2.153.103.25 2.20 1.67
06.02.26 Charlton – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 2.853.002.57 2.30 1.62
31.01.26 QPR – Coventry 2–1 (0–0) 3.103.402.15 1.91 1.91
24.01.26 QPR – Wrexham 2–3 (1–0) 2.303.253.10 2.20 1.67
20.01.26 Oxford – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.202.75 2.30 1.62
17.01.26 Stoke – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.203.50 2.10 1.73
04.01.26 QPR – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (1–0) 1.394.756.50 1.80 2.00

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.26 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.602.57 1.85 2.00
24.02.26 Middlesbrough – Leicester 1–1 (1–1) 1.464.336.00 1.73 2.10
21.02.26 Middlesbrough – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 1.394.337.50 1.80 2.00
16.02.26 Coventry – Middlesbrough 3–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.00 1.73 2.10
09.02.26 Sheffield United – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 2.203.503.10 1.80 2.00
31.01.26 Middlesbrough – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 1.683.904.50 1.73 2.10
24.01.26 Middlesbrough – Preston 4–0 (3–0) 1.514.005.75 1.80 2.00
21.01.26 Stoke – Middlesbrough 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.30 2.05 1.80
16.01.26 West Brom – Middlesbrough 2–3 (0–1) 2.503.252.70 2.10 1.73
04.01.26 Middlesbrough – Southampton 4–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.73 2.10

QPR at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.26 QPR – Sheffield United 0–2 (0–2) 3.003.602.20 1.88 1.98
14.02.26 QPR – Blackburn 1–3 (1–2) 2.153.103.25 2.20 1.67
31.01.26 QPR – Coventry 2–1 (0–0) 3.103.402.15 1.91 1.91
24.01.26 QPR – Wrexham 2–3 (1–0) 2.303.253.10 2.20 1.67
04.01.26 QPR – Sheffield Weds 3–0 (1–0) 1.394.756.50 1.80 2.00
01.01.26 QPR – Norwich 1–2 (0–0) 2.103.403.40 1.91 1.91
20.12.25 QPR – Leicester 4–1 (4–0) 2.303.402.85 2.00 1.85
09.12.25 QPR – Birmingham 2–1 (1–0) 2.853.302.35 1.98 1.88
06.12.25 QPR – West Brom 3–1 (1–0) 2.403.053.05 2.20 1.67
22.11.25 QPR – Hull 3–2 (1–1) 2.053.253.60 1.98 1.88

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.26 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.602.57 1.85 2.00
16.02.26 Coventry – Middlesbrough 3–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.00 1.73 2.10
09.02.26 Sheffield United – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 2.203.503.10 1.80 2.00
21.01.26 Stoke – Middlesbrough 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.30 2.05 1.80
16.01.26 West Brom – Middlesbrough 2–3 (0–1) 2.503.252.70 2.10 1.73
01.01.26 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 3.053.252.25 2.10 1.73
20.12.25 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.653.402.45 1.85 2.00
09.12.25 Charlton – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 3.303.252.10 2.10 1.73
05.12.25 Hull – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–4) 2.953.502.20 1.73 2.10
22.11.25 Oxford – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 3.703.301.96 2.05 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

QPR winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
9matches
3.78goals / match
78%over 2.5
78%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.25E1 Middlesbrough – QPR 3–1 (2–0) 1.863.703.80 1.91 1.91
11.03.25E1 Middlesbrough – QPR 2–1 (1–0) 1.903.304.33 2.03 1.83
05.11.24E1 QPR – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–2) 3.503.601.95 1.88 1.98
09.03.24E1 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.602.88 1.98 1.88
02.09.23E1 Middlesbrough – QPR 0–2 (0–1) 1.604.005.50 1.73 2.10
18.02.23E1 Middlesbrough – QPR 3–1 (0–0) 1.554.205.75 1.88 1.98
06.08.22E1 QPR – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–1) 3.003.302.40 2.00 1.80
09.02.22E1 QPR – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.623.202.87 2.20 1.66
18.08.21E1 Middlesbrough – QPR 2–3 (1–0) 2.403.253.00 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 36 22 8 6 74 38 +36 74
2 Middlesbrough 35 19 9 7 54 35 +19 66
3 Millwall 36 19 8 9 50 41 +9 65
4 Ipswich 35 18 10 7 61 35 +26 64
5 Hull 36 18 6 12 57 52 +5 60
6 Wrexham 35 15 12 8 54 45 +9 57
7 Derby 36 15 9 12 54 47 +7 54
8 Southampton 35 14 11 10 57 46 +11 53
9 Watford 35 13 12 10 45 41 +4 51
10 Bristol City 36 14 8 14 48 46 +2 50
11 Sheffield United 36 15 4 17 51 49 +2 49
12 Birmingham 36 13 10 13 46 47 -1 49
13 Preston 36 12 13 11 42 43 -1 49
14 Swansea 36 14 7 15 42 43 -1 49
15 Stoke 36 13 8 15 39 36 +3 47
16 QPR 35 13 8 14 46 54 -8 47
17 Norwich 35 13 6 16 47 44 +3 45
18 Charlton 36 11 11 14 34 44 -10 44
19 Leicester 36 10 11 15 48 57 -9 41
20 Portsmouth 35 10 10 15 35 45 -10 40
21 Blackburn 36 10 9 17 34 47 -13 39
22 West Brom 36 9 9 18 35 53 -18 36
23 Oxford 36 8 11 17 34 48 -14 35
24 Sheffield Weds 36 1 8 27 22 73 -51 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 17 13 3 1 36 13 +23 42
2 Ipswich 19 12 6 1 35 13 +22 42
3 Middlesbrough 17 10 5 2 26 12 +14 35
4 Swansea 19 10 5 4 28 19 +9 35
5 Millwall 18 10 3 5 26 21 +5 33
6 Watford 18 9 5 4 26 19 +7 32
7 Birmingham 17 8 7 2 31 18 +13 31
8 Southampton 17 8 6 3 26 14 +12 30
9 Wrexham 18 8 6 4 33 28 +5 30
10 Hull 19 9 3 7 29 31 -2 30
11 Charlton 18 8 4 6 18 18 0 28
12 Sheffield United 18 8 3 7 29 21 +8 27
13 Derby 19 7 6 6 26 25 +1 27
14 Preston 19 7 6 6 23 23 0 27
15 QPR 17 8 2 7 29 26 +3 26
16 Stoke 17 7 4 6 23 17 +6 25
17 Bristol City 19 7 4 8 28 26 +2 25
18 West Brom 17 6 6 5 19 22 -3 24
19 Portsmouth 17 6 4 7 18 17 +1 22
20 Leicester 17 6 4 7 23 25 -2 22
21 Norwich 17 6 1 10 19 22 -3 19
22 Blackburn 19 4 6 9 18 25 -7 18
23 Oxford 17 4 6 7 15 23 -8 18
24 Sheffield Weds 18 0 4 14 9 38 -29 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 19 9 5 5 38 25 +13 32
2 Millwall 18 9 5 4 24 20 +4 32
3 Middlesbrough 18 9 4 5 28 23 +5 31
4 Hull 17 9 3 5 28 21 +7 30
5 Derby 17 8 3 6 28 22 +6 27
6 Wrexham 17 7 6 4 21 17 +4 27
7 Norwich 18 7 5 6 28 22 +6 26
8 Bristol City 17 7 4 6 20 20 0 25
9 Southampton 18 6 5 7 31 32 -1 23
10 Ipswich 16 6 4 6 26 22 +4 22
11 Preston 17 5 7 5 19 20 -1 22
12 Stoke 19 6 4 9 16 19 -3 22
13 Sheffield United 18 7 1 10 22 28 -6 22
14 Blackburn 17 6 3 8 16 22 -6 21
15 QPR 18 5 6 7 17 28 -11 21
16 Watford 17 4 7 6 19 22 -3 19
17 Leicester 19 4 7 8 25 32 -7 19
18 Portsmouth 18 4 6 8 17 28 -11 18
19 Birmingham 19 5 3 11 15 29 -14 18
20 Oxford 19 4 5 10 19 25 -6 17
21 Charlton 18 3 7 8 16 26 -10 16
22 Swansea 17 4 2 11 14 24 -10 14
23 West Brom 19 3 3 13 16 31 -15 12
24 Sheffield Weds 18 1 4 13 13 35 -22 7

QPR   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Hull 36 13 23 1.6 1.4 18 6 12 57 52 60
2 1 Coventry 36 14 22 2.1 1.1 22 8 6 74 38 74
3 16 QPR 35 13 22 1.3 1.5 13 8 14 46 54 47
4 19 Leicester 36 14 22 1.3 1.6 10 11 15 48 57 41
5 8 Southampton 35 14 21 1.6 1.3 14 11 10 57 46 53
6 24 Sheffield Weds 36 15 21 0.6 2.0 1 8 27 22 73 11
7 11 Sheffield United 36 16 20 1.4 1.4 15 4 17 51 49 49
8 2 Middlesbrough 35 16 19 1.5 1.0 19 9 7 54 35 66
9 7 Derby 36 17 19 1.5 1.3 15 9 12 54 47 54
10 23 Oxford 36 17 19 0.9 1.3 8 11 17 34 48 35
11 3 Millwall 36 18 18 1.4 1.1 19 8 9 50 41 65
12 4 Ipswich 35 17 18 1.7 1.0 18 10 7 61 35 64
13 12 Birmingham 36 18 18 1.3 1.3 13 10 13 46 47 49
14 10 Bristol City 36 19 17 1.3 1.3 14 8 14 48 46 50
15 17 Norwich 35 18 17 1.3 1.3 13 6 16 47 44 45
16 22 West Brom 36 19 17 1.0 1.5 9 9 18 35 53 36
17 6 Wrexham 35 19 16 1.5 1.3 15 12 8 54 45 57
18 9 Watford 35 19 16 1.3 1.2 13 12 10 45 41 51
19 14 Swansea 36 20 16 1.2 1.2 14 7 15 42 43 49
20 13 Preston 36 21 15 1.2 1.2 12 13 11 42 43 49
21 15 Stoke 36 21 15 1.1 1.0 13 8 15 39 36 47
22 20 Portsmouth 35 20 15 1.0 1.3 10 10 15 35 45 40
23 21 Blackburn 36 21 15 0.9 1.3 10 9 17 34 47 39
24 18 Charlton 36 23 13 0.9 1.2 11 11 14 34 44 44
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 QPR 17 4 13 1.7 1.5 8 2 7 29 26 26
2 5 Hull 19 7 12 1.5 1.6 9 3 7 29 31 30
3 11 Sheffield United 18 6 12 1.6 1.2 8 3 7 29 21 27
4 1 Coventry 17 7 10 2.1 0.8 13 3 1 36 13 42
5 3 Millwall 18 8 10 1.4 1.2 10 3 5 26 21 33
6 4 Ipswich 19 9 10 1.8 0.7 12 6 1 35 13 42
7 6 Wrexham 18 8 10 1.8 1.6 8 6 4 33 28 30
8 10 Bristol City 19 9 10 1.5 1.4 7 4 8 28 26 25
9 24 Sheffield Weds 18 8 10 0.5 2.1 0 4 14 9 38 4
10 12 Birmingham 17 8 9 1.8 1.1 8 7 2 31 18 31
11 13 Preston 19 10 9 1.2 1.2 7 6 6 23 23 27
12 15 Stoke 17 8 9 1.4 1.0 7 4 6 23 17 25
13 19 Leicester 17 8 9 1.4 1.5 6 4 7 23 25 22
14 23 Oxford 17 8 9 0.9 1.4 4 6 7 15 23 18
15 2 Middlesbrough 17 9 8 1.5 0.7 10 5 2 26 12 35
16 7 Derby 19 11 8 1.4 1.3 7 6 6 26 25 27
17 8 Southampton 17 9 8 1.5 0.8 8 6 3 26 14 30
18 9 Watford 18 10 8 1.4 1.1 9 5 4 26 19 32
19 14 Swansea 19 11 8 1.5 1.0 10 5 4 28 19 35
20 17 Norwich 17 9 8 1.1 1.3 6 1 10 19 22 19
21 20 Portsmouth 17 10 7 1.1 1.0 6 4 7 18 17 22
22 21 Blackburn 19 12 7 0.9 1.3 4 6 9 18 25 18
23 22 West Brom 17 10 7 1.1 1.3 6 6 5 19 22 24
24 18 Charlton 18 12 6 1.0 1.0 8 4 6 18 18 28
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Southampton 18 5 13 1.7 1.8 6 5 7 31 32 23
2 19 Leicester 19 6 13 1.3 1.7 4 7 8 25 32 19
3 1 Coventry 19 7 12 2.0 1.3 9 5 5 38 25 32
4 2 Middlesbrough 18 7 11 1.6 1.3 9 4 5 28 23 31
5 5 Hull 17 6 11 1.6 1.2 9 3 5 28 21 30
6 7 Derby 17 6 11 1.6 1.3 8 3 6 28 22 27
7 24 Sheffield Weds 18 7 11 0.7 1.9 1 4 13 13 35 7
8 22 West Brom 19 9 10 0.8 1.6 3 3 13 16 31 12
9 23 Oxford 19 9 10 1.0 1.3 4 5 10 19 25 17
10 12 Birmingham 19 10 9 0.8 1.5 5 3 11 15 29 18
11 16 QPR 18 9 9 0.9 1.6 5 6 7 17 28 21
12 17 Norwich 18 9 9 1.6 1.2 7 5 6 28 22 26
13 3 Millwall 18 10 8 1.3 1.1 9 5 4 24 20 32
14 4 Ipswich 16 8 8 1.6 1.4 6 4 6 26 22 22
15 9 Watford 17 9 8 1.1 1.3 4 7 6 19 22 19
16 11 Sheffield United 18 10 8 1.2 1.6 7 1 10 22 28 22
17 14 Swansea 17 9 8 0.8 1.4 4 2 11 14 24 14
18 20 Portsmouth 18 10 8 0.9 1.6 4 6 8 17 28 18
19 21 Blackburn 17 9 8 0.9 1.3 6 3 8 16 22 21
20 10 Bristol City 17 10 7 1.2 1.2 7 4 6 20 20 25
21 18 Charlton 18 11 7 0.9 1.4 3 7 8 16 26 16
22 6 Wrexham 17 11 6 1.2 1.0 7 6 4 21 17 27
23 13 Preston 17 11 6 1.1 1.2 5 7 5 19 20 22
24 15 Stoke 19 13 6 0.8 1.0 6 4 9 16 19 22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51