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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: C Kavanagh

Watford 2–1 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.50 fair 2.08
Draw 3.25 fair 3.93
Away 2.90 fair 3.77
Under 2.5 1.72 fair 1.95
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.06

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Watford Middlesbrough
14 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 7
13 Fouls 9
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (75 league matches this season so far).
Result Watford to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.93
Expected goals 1.54 – 1.08
Home / Draw / Away
WatfordDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 1–0 11.2% 2–1 9.3%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.00scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 6:5
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.50scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 9:10
Watford all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.50
0.83 Goals conceded 1.67
1.83 Total goals 3.17
9.67 Shots 12.17
2.83 Shots on target 3.17
10.33 Shots faced 8.67
3.17 Corners 6.17
6.00 Corners against 4.17
10.33 Fouls 10.50
2.17 Yellow cards 2.17
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

33% Wins 17%
50% Draws 50%
17% Losses 33%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 83%
17% Over 2.5 goals 67%
17% Over 3.5 goals 50%
17% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 83%
50% Clean sheets 0%
17% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 33%
50% Draws 33%
33% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 100%
33% Over 1.5 goals 67%
17% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Watford before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.33scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 4:3
Middlesbrough before this match, away
0.33points / match
1.33scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 4:6
Watford at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.33
1.00 Goals conceded 2.00
2.33 Total goals 3.33
9.00 Shots 14.33
3.33 Shots on target 3.33
8.67 Shots faced 9.00
3.00 Corners 6.67
4.67 Corners against 4.67
11.67 Fouls 12.33
3.00 Yellow cards 1.33
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 1.67

How often Full Time

67% Wins 0%
0% Draws 33%
33% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
33% Over 1.5 goals 67%
33% Over 2.5 goals 67%
33% Over 3.5 goals 67%
33% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 67%
67% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 0%
33% Draws 33%
33% Losses 67%
67% Over 0.5 goals 100%
33% Over 1.5 goals 67%
33% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.08.22 Watford – QPR 2–3 (1–2) 1.903.404.33 2.10 1.72
20.08.22 Preston – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 2.623.102.80 2.30 1.61
16.08.22 Birmingham – Watford 1–1 (1–0) 3.603.402.00 2.10 1.72
12.08.22 Watford – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.72
08.08.22 West Brom – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 2.373.103.20 2.20 1.66
01.08.22 Watford – Sheffield United 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.25 2.10 1.72
22.05.22E0 Chelsea – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 1.187.5015.00 1.44 2.75
15.05.22E0 Watford – Leicester 1–5 (1–2) 3.803.501.95 1.72 2.10
11.05.22E0 Watford – Everton 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.601.83 1.94 1.96
07.05.22E0 Crystal Palace – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.99 1.91

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.08.22 Middlesbrough – Swansea 2–1 (2–0) 1.753.754.75 2.00 1.85
20.08.22 Reading – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.98 1.88
17.08.22 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.202.75 2.20 1.66
14.08.22 Middlesbrough – Sheffield United 2–2 (1–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.72
06.08.22 QPR – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–1) 3.003.302.40 2.00 1.80
30.07.22 Middlesbrough – West Brom 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.403.25 2.10 1.72
07.05.22 Preston – Middlesbrough 4–1 (2–0) 5.003.801.70 1.72 2.10
30.04.22 Middlesbrough – Stoke 3–1 (2–0) 1.803.804.20 2.10 1.72
27.04.22 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.50 2.05 1.80
23.04.22 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 2.02 1.83

Watford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.08.22 Watford – QPR 2–3 (1–2) 1.903.404.33 2.10 1.72
12.08.22 Watford – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.72
01.08.22 Watford – Sheffield United 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.25 2.10 1.72
15.05.22E0 Watford – Leicester 1–5 (1–2) 3.803.501.95 1.72 2.10
11.05.22E0 Watford – Everton 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.601.83 1.94 1.96
30.04.22E0 Watford – Burnley 1–2 (1–0) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.72
16.04.22E0 Watford – Brentford 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.302.55 2.10 1.72
09.04.22E0 Watford – Leeds 0–3 (0–1) 2.703.402.55 1.72 2.10
06.03.22E0 Watford – Arsenal 2–3 (1–2) 6.004.001.57 2.05 1.85
23.02.22E0 Watford – Crystal Palace 1–4 (1–2) 3.103.302.30 2.20 1.66

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.08.22 Reading – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.98 1.88
17.08.22 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.202.75 2.20 1.66
06.08.22 QPR – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–1) 3.003.302.40 2.00 1.80
07.05.22 Preston – Middlesbrough 4–1 (2–0) 5.003.801.70 1.72 2.10
23.04.22 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 2.02 1.83
15.04.22 Bournemouth – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 2.05 1.80
02.04.22 Peterboro – Middlesbrough 0–4 (0–1) 4.753.801.72 1.83 2.02
15.03.22 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.05 2.10 1.72
12.03.22 Millwall – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 2.873.252.55 2.50 1.53
08.03.22 Sheffield United – Middlesbrough 4–1 (2–0) 2.103.253.75 2.10 1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 7 4 2 1 14 5 +9 14
2 Norwich 7 4 1 2 9 6 +3 13
3 Burnley 7 3 3 1 13 7 +6 12
4 Reading 7 4 0 3 7 10 -3 12
5 QPR 7 3 2 2 12 10 +2 11
6 Hull 7 3 2 2 11 13 -2 11
7 Rotherham 5 2 3 0 8 2 +6 9
8 Watford 6 2 3 1 6 5 +1 9
9 Luton 7 2 3 2 6 6 0 9
10 Blackburn 6 3 0 3 6 8 -2 9
11 Bristol City 6 2 2 2 11 9 +2 8
12 West Brom 7 1 5 1 11 9 +2 8
13 Preston 6 1 5 0 1 0 +1 8
14 Sunderland 6 2 2 2 8 8 0 8
15 Blackpool 6 2 2 2 8 9 -1 8
16 Cardiff 7 2 2 3 4 6 -2 8
17 Stoke 6 2 1 3 6 8 -2 7
18 Wigan 6 1 4 1 5 8 -3 7
19 Millwall 7 2 1 4 7 11 -4 7
20 Middlesbrough 6 1 3 2 9 10 -1 6
21 Birmingham 7 1 2 4 4 8 -4 5
22 Swansea 6 1 2 3 5 10 -5 5
23 Huddersfield 5 1 1 3 7 8 -1 4
24 Coventry 3 0 1 2 5 7 -2 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 4 4 0 0 11 1 +10 12
2 Reading 3 3 0 0 6 1 +5 9
3 Hull 3 3 0 0 7 4 +3 9
4 Rotherham 3 2 1 0 7 1 +6 7
5 Norwich 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
6 QPR 4 2 1 1 7 5 +2 7
7 Cardiff 4 2 1 1 3 2 +1 7
8 Bristol City 3 2 0 1 6 3 +3 6
9 Burnley 4 1 3 0 7 5 +2 6
10 Millwall 3 2 0 1 5 3 +2 6
11 Watford 3 2 0 1 4 3 +1 6
12 Blackburn 3 2 0 1 3 2 +1 6
13 West Brom 3 1 2 0 6 3 +3 5
14 Middlesbrough 3 1 2 0 5 4 +1 5
15 Huddersfield 3 1 1 1 5 4 +1 4
16 Stoke 3 1 1 1 4 3 +1 4
17 Blackpool 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
18 Birmingham 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
19 Preston 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 3
20 Wigan 4 0 3 1 3 7 -4 3
21 Sunderland 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
22 Luton 3 0 2 1 1 2 -1 2
23 Swansea 3 0 1 2 2 7 -5 1
24 Coventry 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Luton 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
2 Burnley 3 2 0 1 6 2 +4 6
3 Sunderland 3 2 0 1 5 4 +1 6
4 Norwich 4 2 0 2 4 4 0 6
5 Preston 3 1 2 0 1 0 +1 5
6 Wigan 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
7 QPR 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
8 Swansea 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
9 Blackpool 3 1 1 1 4 5 -1 4
10 Watford 3 0 3 0 2 2 0 3
11 West Brom 4 0 3 1 5 6 -1 3
12 Blackburn 3 1 0 2 3 6 -3 3
13 Stoke 3 1 0 2 2 5 -3 3
14 Reading 4 1 0 3 1 9 -8 3
15 Rotherham 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
16 Bristol City 3 0 2 1 5 6 -1 2
17 Sheffield United 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
18 Hull 4 0 2 2 4 9 -5 2
19 Coventry 3 0 1 2 5 7 -2 1
20 Middlesbrough 3 0 1 2 4 6 -2 1
21 Cardiff 3 0 1 2 1 4 -3 1
22 Birmingham 3 0 1 2 0 3 -3 1
23 Millwall 4 0 1 3 2 8 -6 1
24 Huddersfield 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0

Watford   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Hull 7 2 5 1.6 1.9 3 2 2 11 13 11
2 1 Sheffield United 7 3 4 2.0 0.7 4 2 1 14 5 14
3 4 Reading 7 3 4 1.0 1.4 4 0 3 7 10 12
4 5 QPR 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 3 2 2 12 10 11
5 10 Blackburn 6 2 4 1.0 1.3 3 0 3 6 8 9
6 20 Middlesbrough 6 2 4 1.5 1.7 1 3 2 9 10 6
7 23 Huddersfield 5 1 4 1.4 1.6 1 1 3 7 8 4
8 2 Norwich 7 4 3 1.3 0.9 4 1 2 9 6 13
9 11 Bristol City 6 3 3 1.8 1.5 2 2 2 11 9 8
10 12 West Brom 7 4 3 1.6 1.3 1 5 1 11 9 8
11 14 Sunderland 6 3 3 1.3 1.3 2 2 2 8 8 8
12 22 Swansea 6 3 3 0.8 1.7 1 2 3 5 10 5
13 3 Burnley 7 5 2 1.9 1.0 3 3 1 13 7 12
14 15 Blackpool 6 4 2 1.3 1.5 2 2 2 8 9 8
15 16 Cardiff 7 5 2 0.6 0.9 2 2 3 4 6 8
16 17 Stoke 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 2 1 3 6 8 7
17 19 Millwall 7 5 2 1.0 1.6 2 1 4 7 11 7
18 21 Birmingham 7 5 2 0.6 1.1 1 2 4 4 8 5
19 24 Coventry 3 1 2 1.7 2.3 0 1 2 5 7 1
20 7 Rotherham 5 4 1 1.6 0.4 2 3 0 8 2 9
21 8 Watford 6 5 1 1.0 0.8 2 3 1 6 5 9
22 9 Luton 7 6 1 0.9 0.9 2 3 2 6 6 9
23 18 Wigan 6 5 1 0.8 1.3 1 4 1 5 8 7
24 13 Preston 6 6 0 0.2 0.0 1 5 0 1 0 8
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Sheffield United 4 1 3 2.8 0.2 4 0 0 11 1 12
2 6 Hull 3 0 3 2.3 1.3 3 0 0 7 4 9
3 4 Reading 3 1 2 2.0 0.3 3 0 0 6 1 9
4 5 QPR 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 2 1 1 7 5 7
5 20 Middlesbrough 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 2 0 5 4 5
6 21 Birmingham 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
7 22 Swansea 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 0 1 2 2 7 1
8 23 Huddersfield 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 1 1 5 4 4
9 2 Norwich 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
10 3 Burnley 4 3 1 1.8 1.2 1 3 0 7 5 6
11 7 Rotherham 3 2 1 2.3 0.3 2 1 0 7 1 7
12 8 Watford 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 2 0 1 4 3 6
13 10 Blackburn 3 2 1 1.0 0.7 2 0 1 3 2 6
14 11 Bristol City 3 2 1 2.0 1.0 2 0 1 6 3 6
15 12 West Brom 3 2 1 2.0 1.0 1 2 0 6 3 5
16 14 Sunderland 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
17 15 Blackpool 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
18 16 Cardiff 4 3 1 0.8 0.5 2 1 1 3 2 7
19 17 Stoke 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 1 1 4 3 4
20 18 Wigan 4 3 1 0.8 1.8 0 3 1 3 7 3
21 19 Millwall 3 2 1 1.7 1.0 2 0 1 5 3 6
22 9 Luton 3 3 0 0.3 0.7 0 2 1 1 2 2
23 13 Preston 3 3 0 0.0 0.0 0 3 0 0 0 3
24 24 Coventry 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Blackburn 3 0 3 1.0 2.0 1 0 2 3 6 3
2 2 Norwich 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 2 0 2 4 4 6
3 4 Reading 4 2 2 0.2 2.2 1 0 3 1 9 3
4 5 QPR 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
5 6 Hull 4 2 2 1.0 2.2 0 2 2 4 9 2
6 11 Bristol City 3 1 2 1.7 2.0 0 2 1 5 6 2
7 12 West Brom 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 0 3 1 5 6 3
8 14 Sunderland 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 2 0 1 5 4 6
9 20 Middlesbrough 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 0 1 2 4 6 1
10 23 Huddersfield 2 0 2 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
11 24 Coventry 3 1 2 1.7 2.3 0 1 2 5 7 1
12 1 Sheffield United 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
13 3 Burnley 3 2 1 2.0 0.7 2 0 1 6 2 6
14 9 Luton 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
15 15 Blackpool 3 2 1 1.3 1.7 1 1 1 4 5 4
16 16 Cardiff 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 0 1 2 1 4 1
17 17 Stoke 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 1 0 2 2 5 3
18 19 Millwall 4 3 1 0.5 2.0 0 1 3 2 8 1
19 22 Swansea 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
20 7 Rotherham 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
21 8 Watford 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 0 3 0 2 2 3
22 13 Preston 3 3 0 0.3 0.0 1 2 0 1 0 5
23 18 Wigan 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
24 21 Birmingham 3 3 0 0.0 1.0 0 1 2 0 3 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38