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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: B Toner

Middlesbrough 1–0 Norwich

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.68 fair 1.96
Draw 3.90 fair 4.15
Away 4.50 fair 4.02
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.13
Over 2.5 1.73 fair 1.89

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Middlesbrough Norwich
9 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 5
12 Fouls 18
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (347 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.83
Expected goals 1.69 – 1.11
Home / Draw / Away
MiddlesbroughDrawNorwich
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 1–0 10.3% 2–1 9.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.90points / match
1.59scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 46:29
Norwich before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
1.28scored / match
1.41conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 37:41
Middlesbrough all matches all matches Norwich

Per match

1.59 Goals scored 1.28
1.00 Goals conceded 1.41
2.59 Total goals 2.69
14.48 Shots 12.07
4.38 Shots on target 3.93
10.28 Shots faced 13.59
6.24 Corners 4.83
4.31 Corners against 5.72
9.34 Fouls 9.59
1.45 Yellow cards 1.83
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.59
0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.48

How often Full Time

55% Wins 31%
24% Draws 21%
21% Losses 48%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
72% Over 1.5 goals 83%
55% Over 2.5 goals 52%
24% Over 3.5 goals 21%
10% Over 4.5 goals 14%
3% Over 5.5 goals 0%
55% Both teams scored 69%
28% Clean sheets 10%
24% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

34% Wins 31%
28% Draws 48%
38% Losses 21%
72% Over 0.5 goals 59%
28% Over 1.5 goals 28%
14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches
Norwich all matches
Middlesbrough before this match, at home
2.14points / match
1.71scored / match
0.79conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 24:11
Norwich before this match, away
1.33points / match
1.53scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 23:21
Middlesbrough at home away Norwich

Per match

1.71 Goals scored 1.53
0.79 Goals conceded 1.40
2.50 Total goals 2.93
14.29 Shots 10.87
4.50 Shots on target 3.93
11.14 Shots faced 15.33
6.43 Corners 4.33
4.93 Corners against 6.80
9.57 Fouls 9.93
0.86 Yellow cards 2.40
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

64% Wins 33%
21% Draws 33%
14% Losses 33%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
64% Over 1.5 goals 93%
57% Over 2.5 goals 53%
29% Over 3.5 goals 27%
7% Over 4.5 goals 20%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 80%
43% Clean sheets 13%
21% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 40%
36% Draws 40%
29% Losses 20%
64% Over 0.5 goals 73%
29% Over 1.5 goals 40%
21% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home
Norwich away

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.26 Middlesbrough – Preston 4–0 (3–0) 1.514.005.75 1.80 2.00
21.01.26 Stoke – Middlesbrough 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.30 2.05 1.80
16.01.26 West Brom – Middlesbrough 2–3 (0–1) 2.503.252.70 2.10 1.73
04.01.26 Middlesbrough – Southampton 4–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.73 2.10
01.01.26 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 3.053.252.25 2.10 1.73
29.12.25 Middlesbrough – Hull 0–1 (0–1) 1.623.904.50 1.73 2.10
26.12.25 Middlesbrough – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.604.33 1.93 1.93
20.12.25 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.653.402.45 1.85 2.00
13.12.25 Middlesbrough – QPR 3–1 (2–0) 1.863.703.80 1.91 1.91
09.12.25 Charlton – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 3.303.252.10 2.10 1.73

Norwich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.01.26 Norwich – Coventry 2–1 (0–1) 2.823.502.30 1.67 2.20
20.01.26 West Brom – Norwich 0–5 (0–1) 1.963.503.60 2.00 1.80
17.01.26 Wrexham – Norwich 1–2 (1–1) 2.203.403.10 1.91 1.91
04.01.26 Norwich – Stoke 0–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.05 1.93 1.93
01.01.26 QPR – Norwich 1–2 (0–0) 2.103.403.40 1.91 1.91
29.12.25 Norwich – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.65 1.80 2.00
26.12.25 Norwich – Charlton 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.503.70 1.98 1.88
20.12.25 Preston – Norwich 1–1 (0–0) 2.153.503.05 1.88 1.98
13.12.25 Norwich – Southampton 2–1 (0–0) 3.303.901.96 1.62 2.30
09.12.25 Sheffield United – Norwich 1–1 (0–0) 1.563.905.25 1.67 2.20

Middlesbrough at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.26 Middlesbrough – Preston 4–0 (3–0) 1.514.005.75 1.80 2.00
04.01.26 Middlesbrough – Southampton 4–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.73 2.10
29.12.25 Middlesbrough – Hull 0–1 (0–1) 1.623.904.50 1.73 2.10
26.12.25 Middlesbrough – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.604.33 1.93 1.93
13.12.25 Middlesbrough – QPR 3–1 (2–0) 1.863.703.80 1.91 1.91
29.11.25 Middlesbrough – Derby 2–1 (0–1) 1.713.605.00 2.20 1.67
25.11.25 Middlesbrough – Coventry 2–4 (1–2) 2.573.402.55 1.93 1.93
08.11.25 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.252.65 2.30 1.62
25.10.25 Middlesbrough – Wrexham 1–1 (0–1) 1.683.604.75 2.00 1.85
17.10.25 Middlesbrough – Ipswich 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.252.50 2.10 1.73

Norwich away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.01.26 West Brom – Norwich 0–5 (0–1) 1.963.503.60 2.00 1.80
17.01.26 Wrexham – Norwich 1–2 (1–1) 2.203.403.10 1.91 1.91
01.01.26 QPR – Norwich 1–2 (0–0) 2.103.403.40 1.91 1.91
20.12.25 Preston – Norwich 1–1 (0–0) 2.153.503.05 1.88 1.98
09.12.25 Sheffield United – Norwich 1–1 (0–0) 1.563.905.25 1.67 2.20
06.12.25 Watford – Norwich 3–2 (1–2) 1.863.603.80 1.85 2.00
22.11.25 Birmingham – Norwich 4–1 (3–1) 1.623.705.00 1.90 1.95
05.11.25 Sheffield Weds – Norwich 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.502.05 1.90 1.95
25.10.25 Swansea – Norwich 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.253.20 1.93 1.93
21.10.25 Derby – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.503.052.82 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Middlesbrough winsDrawsNorwich wins
7matches
3.57goals / match
86%over 2.5
86%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.08.25E1 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 2.253.403.10 1.93 1.93
26.04.25E1 Middlesbrough – Norwich 0–0 (0–0) 1.554.335.25 1.53 2.50
27.10.24E1 Norwich – Middlesbrough 3–3 (1–3) 2.753.302.50 1.73 2.10
06.03.24E1 Middlesbrough – Norwich 3–1 (2–1) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.08
24.10.23E1 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–0) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.15
14.04.23E1 Middlesbrough – Norwich 5–1 (4–1) 1.913.753.80 1.80 2.00
12.11.22E1 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (1–0) 2.203.303.40 1.95 1.90

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 29 17 7 5 62 33 +29 58
2 Middlesbrough 29 16 7 6 46 29 +17 55
3 Ipswich 28 14 8 6 48 27 +21 50
4 Hull 28 15 5 8 47 40 +7 50
5 Millwall 29 14 7 8 36 35 +1 49
6 Wrexham 30 12 11 7 44 37 +7 47
7 Derby 30 12 9 9 44 37 +7 45
8 Watford 28 11 10 7 39 33 +6 43
9 Bristol City 30 12 7 11 40 36 +4 43
10 Preston 29 11 10 8 36 33 +3 43
11 Stoke 30 12 6 12 34 28 +6 42
12 Southampton 30 10 10 10 43 41 +2 40
13 QPR 29 11 7 11 40 42 -2 40
14 Birmingham 29 10 9 10 39 38 +1 39
15 Leicester 30 10 8 12 40 45 -5 38
16 Swansea 29 10 6 13 32 37 -5 36
17 Sheffield United 28 11 2 15 39 41 -2 35
18 Charlton 29 9 8 12 29 38 -9 35
19 Norwich 29 9 6 14 37 41 -4 33
20 West Brom 29 9 5 15 32 44 -12 32
21 Portsmouth 27 7 9 11 24 37 -13 30
22 Blackburn 28 7 8 13 26 37 -11 29
23 Oxford 28 6 9 13 27 36 -9 27
24 Sheffield Weds 29 1 8 20 18 57 -39 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 14 11 2 1 31 11 +20 35
2 Ipswich 15 10 4 1 29 11 +18 34
3 Middlesbrough 14 9 3 2 24 11 +13 30
4 Watford 15 8 5 2 24 15 +9 29
5 Millwall 15 9 2 4 21 17 +4 29
6 Birmingham 14 7 6 1 28 14 +14 27
7 Hull 14 8 2 4 21 20 +1 26
8 Swansea 15 7 4 4 20 18 +2 25
9 Bristol City 16 7 3 6 25 20 +5 24
10 Wrexham 15 6 6 3 26 22 +4 24
11 QPR 14 7 2 5 26 20 +6 23
12 Southampton 14 6 5 3 19 13 +6 23
13 Preston 15 6 5 4 19 16 +3 23
14 Leicester 15 6 4 5 20 19 +1 22
15 West Brom 14 6 4 4 18 19 -1 22
16 Stoke 15 6 3 6 19 14 +5 21
17 Charlton 13 6 3 4 15 14 +1 21
18 Sheffield United 13 6 2 5 21 14 +7 20
19 Portsmouth 14 5 4 5 15 15 0 19
20 Derby 15 4 6 5 18 21 -3 18
21 Oxford 14 3 6 5 13 17 -4 15
22 Norwich 14 4 1 9 14 20 -6 13
23 Blackburn 14 2 5 7 14 21 -7 11
24 Sheffield Weds 16 0 4 12 7 33 -26 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Derby 15 8 3 4 26 16 +10 27
2 Middlesbrough 15 7 4 4 22 18 +4 25
3 Hull 14 7 3 4 26 20 +6 24
4 Coventry 15 6 5 4 31 22 +9 23
5 Wrexham 15 6 5 4 18 15 +3 23
6 Stoke 15 6 3 6 15 14 +1 21
7 Norwich 15 5 5 5 23 21 +2 20
8 Preston 14 5 5 4 17 17 0 20
9 Millwall 14 5 5 4 15 18 -3 20
10 Bristol City 14 5 4 5 15 16 -1 19
11 Blackburn 14 5 3 6 12 16 -4 18
12 Southampton 16 4 5 7 24 28 -4 17
13 QPR 15 4 5 6 14 22 -8 17
14 Ipswich 13 4 4 5 19 16 +3 16
15 Leicester 15 4 4 7 20 26 -6 16
16 Sheffield United 15 5 0 10 18 27 -9 15
17 Watford 13 3 5 5 15 18 -3 14
18 Charlton 16 3 5 8 14 24 -10 14
19 Oxford 14 3 3 8 14 19 -5 12
20 Birmingham 15 3 3 9 11 24 -13 12
21 Swansea 14 3 2 9 12 19 -7 11
22 Portsmouth 13 2 5 6 9 22 -13 11
23 West Brom 15 3 1 11 14 25 -11 10
24 Sheffield Weds 13 1 4 8 11 24 -13 7

Middlesbrough   Norwich

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Hull 28 9 19 1.7 1.4 15 5 8 47 40 50
2 15 Leicester 30 11 19 1.3 1.5 10 8 12 40 45 38
3 1 Coventry 29 11 18 2.1 1.1 17 7 5 62 33 58
4 12 Southampton 30 12 18 1.4 1.4 10 10 10 43 41 40
5 13 QPR 29 11 18 1.4 1.4 11 7 11 40 42 40
6 2 Middlesbrough 29 13 16 1.6 1.0 16 7 6 46 29 55
7 17 Sheffield United 28 12 16 1.4 1.5 11 2 15 39 41 35
8 24 Sheffield Weds 29 13 16 0.6 2.0 1 8 20 18 57 11
9 3 Ipswich 28 13 15 1.7 1.0 14 8 6 48 27 50
10 7 Derby 30 15 15 1.5 1.2 12 9 9 44 37 45
11 19 Norwich 29 14 15 1.3 1.4 9 6 14 37 41 33
12 20 West Brom 29 14 15 1.1 1.5 9 5 15 32 44 32
13 5 Millwall 29 15 14 1.2 1.2 14 7 8 36 35 49
14 8 Watford 28 14 14 1.4 1.2 11 10 7 39 33 43
15 14 Birmingham 29 15 14 1.3 1.3 10 9 10 39 38 39
16 16 Swansea 29 15 14 1.1 1.3 10 6 13 32 37 36
17 23 Oxford 28 14 14 1.0 1.3 6 9 13 27 36 27
18 6 Wrexham 30 17 13 1.5 1.2 12 11 7 44 37 47
19 9 Bristol City 30 17 13 1.3 1.2 12 7 11 40 36 43
20 10 Preston 29 16 13 1.2 1.1 11 10 8 36 33 43
21 11 Stoke 30 18 12 1.1 0.9 12 6 12 34 28 42
22 18 Charlton 29 17 12 1.0 1.3 9 8 12 29 38 35
23 22 Blackburn 28 16 12 0.9 1.3 7 8 13 26 37 29
24 21 Portsmouth 27 16 11 0.9 1.4 7 9 11 24 37 30
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 QPR 14 3 11 1.9 1.4 7 2 5 26 20 23
2 3 Ipswich 15 6 9 1.9 0.7 10 4 1 29 11 34
3 1 Coventry 14 6 8 2.2 0.8 11 2 1 31 11 35
4 2 Middlesbrough 14 6 8 1.7 0.8 9 3 2 24 11 30
5 4 Hull 14 6 8 1.5 1.4 8 2 4 21 20 26
6 5 Millwall 15 7 8 1.4 1.1 9 2 4 21 17 29
7 6 Wrexham 15 7 8 1.7 1.5 6 6 3 26 22 24
8 8 Watford 15 7 8 1.6 1.0 8 5 2 24 15 29
9 9 Bristol City 16 8 8 1.6 1.2 7 3 6 25 20 24
10 15 Leicester 15 7 8 1.3 1.3 6 4 5 20 19 22
11 17 Sheffield United 13 5 8 1.6 1.1 6 2 5 21 14 20
12 24 Sheffield Weds 16 8 8 0.4 2.1 0 4 12 7 33 4
13 10 Preston 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 6 5 4 19 16 23
14 11 Stoke 15 8 7 1.3 0.9 6 3 6 19 14 21
15 12 Southampton 14 7 7 1.4 0.9 6 5 3 19 13 23
16 14 Birmingham 14 7 7 2.0 1.0 7 6 1 28 14 27
17 16 Swansea 15 8 7 1.3 1.2 7 4 4 20 18 25
18 19 Norwich 14 7 7 1.0 1.4 4 1 9 14 20 13
19 20 West Brom 14 7 7 1.3 1.4 6 4 4 18 19 22
20 23 Oxford 14 7 7 0.9 1.2 3 6 5 13 17 15
21 21 Portsmouth 14 8 6 1.1 1.1 5 4 5 15 15 19
22 22 Blackburn 14 8 6 1.0 1.5 2 5 7 14 21 11
23 7 Derby 15 10 5 1.2 1.4 4 6 5 18 21 18
24 18 Charlton 13 8 5 1.2 1.1 6 3 4 15 14 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Hull 14 3 11 1.9 1.4 7 3 4 26 20 24
2 12 Southampton 16 5 11 1.5 1.8 4 5 7 24 28 17
3 15 Leicester 15 4 11 1.3 1.7 4 4 7 20 26 16
4 1 Coventry 15 5 10 2.1 1.5 6 5 4 31 22 23
5 7 Derby 15 5 10 1.7 1.1 8 3 4 26 16 27
6 2 Middlesbrough 15 7 8 1.5 1.2 7 4 4 22 18 25
7 17 Sheffield United 15 7 8 1.2 1.8 5 0 10 18 27 15
8 19 Norwich 15 7 8 1.5 1.4 5 5 5 23 21 20
9 20 West Brom 15 7 8 0.9 1.7 3 1 11 14 25 10
10 24 Sheffield Weds 13 5 8 0.8 1.8 1 4 8 11 24 7
11 13 QPR 15 8 7 0.9 1.5 4 5 6 14 22 17
12 14 Birmingham 15 8 7 0.7 1.6 3 3 9 11 24 12
13 16 Swansea 14 7 7 0.9 1.4 3 2 9 12 19 11
14 18 Charlton 16 9 7 0.9 1.5 3 5 8 14 24 14
15 23 Oxford 14 7 7 1.0 1.4 3 3 8 14 19 12
16 3 Ipswich 13 7 6 1.5 1.2 4 4 5 19 16 16
17 5 Millwall 14 8 6 1.1 1.3 5 5 4 15 18 20
18 8 Watford 13 7 6 1.2 1.4 3 5 5 15 18 14
19 10 Preston 14 8 6 1.2 1.2 5 5 4 17 17 20
20 22 Blackburn 14 8 6 0.9 1.1 5 3 6 12 16 18
21 6 Wrexham 15 10 5 1.2 1.0 6 5 4 18 15 23
22 9 Bristol City 14 9 5 1.1 1.1 5 4 5 15 16 19
23 11 Stoke 15 10 5 1.0 0.9 6 3 6 15 14 21
24 21 Portsmouth 13 8 5 0.7 1.7 2 5 6 9 22 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40