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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Backhouse

Middlesbrough 1–2 Millwall

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.66 fair 2.20
Draw 3.90 fair 3.76
Away ✓ 4.50 fair 3.58
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 1.82
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 2.23

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Middlesbrough Millwall
32 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 5
17 Corners 6
4 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (467 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.98
Expected goals 1.42 – 1.05
Home / Draw / Away
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.6% 1–0 12% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.82points / match
1.51scored / match
0.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 39 played · 59:37
Millwall before this match, all matches
1.77points / match
1.36scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 39 played · 53:44
Middlesbrough all matches all matches Millwall

Per match

1.51 Goals scored 1.36
0.95 Goals conceded 1.13
2.46 Total goals 2.49
15.33 Shots 12.72
4.69 Shots on target 4.13
9.90 Shots faced 12.59
6.46 Corners 5.56
4.33 Corners against 5.08
9.46 Fouls 13.00
1.51 Yellow cards 1.87
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.54
0.41 1st-half goals conceded 0.41

How often Full Time

51% Wins 51%
28% Draws 23%
21% Losses 26%
90% Over 0.5 goals 95%
69% Over 1.5 goals 79%
51% Over 2.5 goals 49%
26% Over 3.5 goals 23%
8% Over 4.5 goals 3%
3% Over 5.5 goals 0%
54% Both teams scored 49%
31% Clean sheets 38%
26% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 31%
33% Draws 51%
31% Losses 18%
69% Over 0.5 goals 64%
28% Over 1.5 goals 31%
10% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches
Millwall all matches
Middlesbrough before this match, at home
1.89points / match
1.42scored / match
0.74conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 27:14
Millwall before this match, away
1.74points / match
1.32scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 25:21
Middlesbrough at home away Millwall

Per match

1.42 Goals scored 1.32
0.74 Goals conceded 1.11
2.16 Total goals 2.42
15.95 Shots 11.74
4.89 Shots on target 3.63
10.37 Shots faced 13.84
6.84 Corners 5.05
4.74 Corners against 5.32
9.74 Fouls 14.79
1.00 Yellow cards 2.42
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.37 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

53% Wins 47%
32% Draws 32%
16% Losses 21%
84% Over 0.5 goals 95%
58% Over 1.5 goals 84%
42% Over 2.5 goals 42%
21% Over 3.5 goals 21%
5% Over 4.5 goals 0%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
47% Both teams scored 58%
42% Clean sheets 32%
26% Failed to score 16%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 16%
47% Draws 58%
21% Losses 26%
58% Over 0.5 goals 63%
26% Over 1.5 goals 37%
16% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home
Millwall away

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.03.26 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.601.81 1.93 1.93
14.03.26 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 1–1 (0–0) 1.454.336.50 1.67 2.20
11.03.26 Middlesbrough – Charlton 0–1 (0–0) 1.354.757.50 1.83 2.03
08.03.26 QPR – Middlesbrough 0–4 (0–1) 3.753.401.96 1.91 1.91
02.03.26 Birmingham – Middlesbrough 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.602.57 1.85 2.00
24.02.26 Middlesbrough – Leicester 1–1 (1–1) 1.464.336.00 1.73 2.10
21.02.26 Middlesbrough – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 1.394.337.50 1.80 2.00
16.02.26 Coventry – Middlesbrough 3–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.00 1.73 2.10
09.02.26 Sheffield United – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 2.203.503.10 1.80 2.00
31.01.26 Middlesbrough – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 1.683.904.50 1.73 2.10

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.03.26 Ipswich – Millwall 1–1 (1–0) 1.663.804.75 1.88 1.98
14.03.26 Millwall – Blackburn 1–2 (0–0) 1.663.505.25 2.20 1.67
10.03.26 Millwall – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 2.05 1.80
07.03.26 Hull – Millwall 1–3 (1–1) 3.103.302.25 2.00 1.80
28.02.26 Preston – Millwall 0–2 (0–1) 3.103.502.20 2.10 1.73
25.02.26 Millwall – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 2.403.302.82 2.10 1.73
21.02.26 Millwall – Portsmouth 1–3 (0–0) 1.813.504.20 2.10 1.73
14.02.26 Sheffield Weds – Millwall 1–2 (0–0) 9.004.331.35 1.88 1.98
07.02.26 Wrexham – Millwall 0–2 (0–0) 2.503.302.70 2.10 1.73
31.01.26 Millwall – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.252.75 1.98 1.88

Middlesbrough at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.26 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 1–1 (0–0) 1.454.336.50 1.67 2.20
11.03.26 Middlesbrough – Charlton 0–1 (0–0) 1.354.757.50 1.83 2.03
24.02.26 Middlesbrough – Leicester 1–1 (1–1) 1.464.336.00 1.73 2.10
21.02.26 Middlesbrough – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 1.394.337.50 1.80 2.00
31.01.26 Middlesbrough – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 1.683.904.50 1.73 2.10
24.01.26 Middlesbrough – Preston 4–0 (3–0) 1.514.005.75 1.80 2.00
04.01.26 Middlesbrough – Southampton 4–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.20 1.73 2.10
29.12.25 Middlesbrough – Hull 0–1 (0–1) 1.623.904.50 1.73 2.10
26.12.25 Middlesbrough – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.604.33 1.93 1.93
13.12.25 Middlesbrough – QPR 3–1 (2–0) 1.863.703.80 1.91 1.91

Millwall away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.03.26 Ipswich – Millwall 1–1 (1–0) 1.663.804.75 1.88 1.98
07.03.26 Hull – Millwall 1–3 (1–1) 3.103.302.25 2.00 1.80
28.02.26 Preston – Millwall 0–2 (0–1) 3.103.502.20 2.10 1.73
14.02.26 Sheffield Weds – Millwall 1–2 (0–0) 9.004.331.35 1.88 1.98
07.02.26 Wrexham – Millwall 0–2 (0–0) 2.503.302.70 2.10 1.73
20.01.26 Coventry – Millwall 2–1 (1–1) 1.763.504.33 1.88 1.98
17.01.26 Watford – Millwall 0–2 (0–0) 2.013.303.60 2.10 1.73
01.01.26 Southampton – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 1.713.604.50 1.80 2.00
20.12.25 Blackburn – Millwall 2–0 (2–0) 2.103.303.40 2.10 1.73
10.12.25 Derby – Millwall 1–1 (0–0) 2.502.952.95 2.50 1.53

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Middlesbrough winsDrawsMillwall wins
9matches
1.67goals / match
22%over 2.5
22%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.08.25E1 Millwall – Middlesbrough 0–3 (0–0) 2.153.253.40 2.30 1.62
12.04.25E1 Millwall – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 2.883.252.45 2.10 1.73
14.12.24E1 Middlesbrough – Millwall 1–0 (1–0) 1.703.804.75 2.10 1.73
13.01.24E1 Millwall – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–1) 2.753.402.55 2.05 1.75
05.08.23E1 Middlesbrough – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.304.33 2.00 1.80
14.01.23E1 Middlesbrough – Millwall 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 2.10 1.73
08.10.22E1 Millwall – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.703.202.70 2.20 1.66
12.03.22E1 Millwall – Middlesbrough 0–0 (0–0) 2.873.252.55 2.50 1.53
20.11.21E1 Middlesbrough – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.253.80 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 39 24 8 7 81 40 +41 80
2 Middlesbrough 39 20 11 8 59 37 +22 71
3 Ipswich 38 19 12 7 67 39 +28 69
4 Millwall 39 20 9 10 53 44 +9 69
5 Hull 39 20 6 13 62 57 +5 66
6 Southampton 39 17 12 10 63 48 +15 63
7 Wrexham 39 17 12 10 60 51 +9 63
8 Derby 39 17 9 13 56 48 +8 60
9 Watford 39 14 14 11 50 46 +4 56
10 Norwich 39 16 6 17 52 46 +6 54
11 Birmingham 39 14 11 14 48 49 -1 53
12 QPR 39 15 8 16 55 61 -6 53
13 Preston 39 13 13 13 45 49 -4 52
14 Swansea 39 15 7 17 44 49 -5 52
15 Stoke 39 14 9 16 46 43 +3 51
16 Bristol City 39 14 9 16 49 50 -1 51
17 Sheffield United 39 15 5 19 54 54 0 50
18 Charlton 39 12 12 15 36 46 -10 48
19 Leicester 39 11 12 16 51 60 -9 45
20 Blackburn 39 11 10 18 36 49 -13 43
21 West Brom 39 11 10 18 40 54 -14 43
22 Portsmouth 38 10 10 18 37 54 -17 40
23 Oxford 39 9 12 18 36 51 -15 39
24 Sheffield Weds 39 1 9 29 24 79 -55 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 19 14 3 2 40 15 +25 45
2 Ipswich 20 12 7 1 36 14 +22 43
3 Southampton 19 10 6 3 29 14 +15 36
4 Middlesbrough 19 10 6 3 27 14 +13 36
5 Watford 20 10 6 4 29 20 +9 36
6 Millwall 20 11 3 6 28 23 +5 36
7 Birmingham 19 9 8 2 33 19 +14 35
8 Swansea 20 10 5 5 28 22 +6 35
9 Wrexham 20 9 6 5 36 30 +6 33
10 Hull 20 10 3 7 32 32 0 33
11 Derby 20 8 6 6 27 25 +2 30
12 Preston 20 8 6 6 26 24 +2 30
13 Stoke 19 8 5 6 29 21 +8 29
14 QPR 19 9 2 8 35 31 +4 29
15 West Brom 19 7 7 5 23 23 0 28
16 Charlton 19 8 4 7 18 19 -1 28
17 Sheffield United 19 8 3 8 30 23 +7 27
18 Bristol City 20 7 4 9 28 27 +1 25
19 Norwich 19 8 1 10 23 23 0 25
20 Leicester 19 7 4 8 26 28 -2 25
21 Portsmouth 19 6 4 9 19 20 -1 22
22 Oxford 19 5 7 7 17 24 -7 22
23 Blackburn 20 4 7 9 18 25 -7 19
24 Sheffield Weds 20 0 5 15 10 41 -31 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 20 10 5 5 41 25 +16 35
2 Middlesbrough 20 10 5 5 32 23 +9 35
3 Hull 19 10 3 6 30 25 +5 33
4 Millwall 19 9 6 4 25 21 +4 33
5 Derby 19 9 3 7 29 23 +6 30
6 Wrexham 19 8 6 5 24 21 +3 30
7 Norwich 20 8 5 7 29 23 +6 29
8 Southampton 20 7 6 7 34 34 0 27
9 Ipswich 18 7 5 6 31 25 +6 26
10 Bristol City 19 7 5 7 21 23 -2 26
11 Blackburn 19 7 3 9 18 24 -6 24
12 QPR 20 6 6 8 20 30 -10 24
13 Sheffield United 20 7 2 11 24 31 -7 23
14 Stoke 20 6 4 10 17 22 -5 22
15 Preston 19 5 7 7 19 25 -6 22
16 Watford 19 4 8 7 21 26 -5 20
17 Leicester 20 4 8 8 25 32 -7 20
18 Charlton 20 4 8 8 18 27 -9 20
19 Birmingham 20 5 3 12 15 30 -15 18
20 Portsmouth 19 4 6 9 18 34 -16 18
21 Oxford 20 4 5 11 19 27 -8 17
22 Swansea 19 5 2 12 16 27 -11 17
23 West Brom 20 4 3 13 17 31 -14 15
24 Sheffield Weds 19 1 4 14 14 38 -24 7

Middlesbrough   Millwall

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Hull 39 13 26 1.6 1.5 20 6 13 62 57 66
2 1 Coventry 39 14 25 2.1 1.0 24 8 7 81 40 80
3 12 QPR 39 14 25 1.4 1.6 15 8 16 55 61 53
4 19 Leicester 39 16 23 1.3 1.5 11 12 16 51 60 45
5 6 Southampton 39 17 22 1.6 1.2 17 12 10 63 48 63
6 17 Sheffield United 39 17 22 1.4 1.4 15 5 19 54 54 50
7 24 Sheffield Weds 39 17 22 0.6 2.0 1 9 29 24 79 12
8 2 Middlesbrough 39 19 20 1.5 0.9 20 11 8 59 37 71
9 3 Ipswich 38 19 19 1.8 1.0 19 12 7 67 39 69
10 4 Millwall 39 20 19 1.4 1.1 20 9 10 53 44 69
11 7 Wrexham 39 20 19 1.5 1.3 17 12 10 60 51 63
12 8 Derby 39 20 19 1.4 1.2 17 9 13 56 48 60
13 23 Oxford 39 20 19 0.9 1.3 9 12 18 36 51 39
14 9 Watford 39 21 18 1.3 1.2 14 14 11 50 46 56
15 10 Norwich 39 21 18 1.3 1.2 16 6 17 52 46 54
16 11 Birmingham 39 21 18 1.2 1.3 14 11 14 48 49 53
17 14 Swansea 39 21 18 1.1 1.3 15 7 17 44 49 52
18 15 Stoke 39 21 18 1.2 1.1 14 9 16 46 43 51
19 21 West Brom 39 21 18 1.0 1.4 11 10 18 40 54 43
20 13 Preston 39 22 17 1.2 1.3 13 13 13 45 49 52
21 16 Bristol City 39 22 17 1.3 1.3 14 9 16 49 50 51
22 22 Portsmouth 38 21 17 1.0 1.4 10 10 18 37 54 40
23 20 Blackburn 39 23 16 0.9 1.3 11 10 18 36 49 43
24 18 Charlton 39 26 13 0.9 1.2 12 12 15 36 46 48
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 QPR 19 4 15 1.8 1.6 9 2 8 35 31 29
2 5 Hull 20 7 13 1.6 1.6 10 3 7 32 32 33
3 17 Sheffield United 19 6 13 1.6 1.2 8 3 8 30 23 27
4 1 Coventry 19 7 12 2.1 0.8 14 3 2 40 15 45
5 4 Millwall 20 9 11 1.4 1.1 11 3 6 28 23 36
6 7 Wrexham 20 9 11 1.8 1.5 9 6 5 36 30 33
7 15 Stoke 19 8 11 1.5 1.1 8 5 6 29 21 29
8 3 Ipswich 20 10 10 1.8 0.7 12 7 1 36 14 43
9 13 Preston 20 10 10 1.3 1.2 8 6 6 26 24 30
10 16 Bristol City 20 10 10 1.4 1.4 7 4 9 28 27 25
11 19 Leicester 19 9 10 1.4 1.5 7 4 8 26 28 25
12 24 Sheffield Weds 20 10 10 0.5 2.0 0 5 15 10 41 5
13 9 Watford 20 11 9 1.4 1.0 10 6 4 29 20 36
14 10 Norwich 19 10 9 1.2 1.2 8 1 10 23 23 25
15 11 Birmingham 19 10 9 1.7 1.0 9 8 2 33 19 35
16 14 Swansea 20 11 9 1.4 1.1 10 5 5 28 22 35
17 23 Oxford 19 10 9 0.9 1.3 5 7 7 17 24 22
18 2 Middlesbrough 19 11 8 1.4 0.7 10 6 3 27 14 36
19 6 Southampton 19 11 8 1.5 0.7 10 6 3 29 14 36
20 8 Derby 20 12 8 1.4 1.2 8 6 6 27 25 30
21 21 West Brom 19 11 8 1.2 1.2 7 7 5 23 23 28
22 22 Portsmouth 19 11 8 1.0 1.1 6 4 9 19 20 22
23 20 Blackburn 20 13 7 0.9 1.2 4 7 9 18 25 19
24 18 Charlton 19 13 6 0.9 1.0 8 4 7 18 19 28
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Southampton 20 6 14 1.7 1.7 7 6 7 34 34 27
2 1 Coventry 20 7 13 2.0 1.2 10 5 5 41 25 35
3 5 Hull 19 6 13 1.6 1.3 10 3 6 30 25 33
4 19 Leicester 20 7 13 1.2 1.6 4 8 8 25 32 20
5 2 Middlesbrough 20 8 12 1.6 1.1 10 5 5 32 23 35
6 24 Sheffield Weds 19 7 12 0.7 2.0 1 4 14 14 38 7
7 8 Derby 19 8 11 1.5 1.2 9 3 7 29 23 30
8 12 QPR 20 10 10 1.0 1.5 6 6 8 20 30 24
9 21 West Brom 20 10 10 0.8 1.6 4 3 13 17 31 15
10 23 Oxford 20 10 10 0.9 1.4 4 5 11 19 27 17
11 3 Ipswich 18 9 9 1.7 1.4 7 5 6 31 25 26
12 9 Watford 19 10 9 1.1 1.4 4 8 7 21 26 20
13 10 Norwich 20 11 9 1.4 1.1 8 5 7 29 23 29
14 11 Birmingham 20 11 9 0.8 1.5 5 3 12 15 30 18
15 14 Swansea 19 10 9 0.8 1.4 5 2 12 16 27 17
16 17 Sheffield United 20 11 9 1.2 1.6 7 2 11 24 31 23
17 20 Blackburn 19 10 9 0.9 1.3 7 3 9 18 24 24
18 22 Portsmouth 19 10 9 0.9 1.8 4 6 9 18 34 18
19 4 Millwall 19 11 8 1.3 1.1 9 6 4 25 21 33
20 7 Wrexham 19 11 8 1.3 1.1 8 6 5 24 21 30
21 13 Preston 19 12 7 1.0 1.3 5 7 7 19 25 22
22 15 Stoke 20 13 7 0.8 1.1 6 4 10 17 22 22
23 16 Bristol City 19 12 7 1.1 1.2 7 5 7 21 23 26
24 18 Charlton 20 13 7 0.9 1.4 4 8 8 18 27 20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40