Middlesbrough 3–1 Watford – England Championship, 4 May 2024

Match facts

Middlesbrough Watford

14 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 4

3 Corners 3

9 Fouls 5

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (540 league matches this season so far).

Result Middlesbrough to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.79

Expected goals 1.52 – 1.26

Home / Draw / Away

43% 25% 32%

MiddlesbroughDrawWatford

Under / Over 2.5 goals

48% 53%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

44% 56%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

15% 4

15% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.9% 1–0 9.4% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches

1.47points / match

1.51scored / match

1.36conceded / match

19 9 17

WonDrawnLost 45 played · 68:61

Watford before this match, all matches

1.24points / match

1.33scored / match

1.29conceded / match

13 17 15

WonDrawnLost 45 played · 60:58

Middlesbrough all matches all matches Watford

Per match

1.51 Goals scored 1.33

1.36 Goals conceded 1.29

2.87 Total goals 2.62

13.60 Shots 13.33

4.93 Shots on target 4.13

11.67 Shots faced 12.51

5.98 Corners 5.22

5.13 Corners against 4.78

10.73 Fouls 12.80

1.78 Yellow cards 2.22

0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.58

0.76 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

42% Wins 29%

20% Draws 38%

38% Losses 33%

98% Over 0.5 goals 87%

84% Over 1.5 goals 67%

51% Over 2.5 goals 49%

29% Over 3.5 goals 31%

16% Over 4.5 goals 20%

7% Over 5.5 goals 9%

58% Both teams scored 53%

24% Clean sheets 31%

20% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 9%

38% Draws 64%

38% Losses 27%

71% Over 0.5 goals 58%

38% Over 1.5 goals 40%

18% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches

2

W

1

W

D

1

D

2

W

2

W

2

D

1

D

3

4

L

4

1

W

Watford all matches

1

D

1

2

L

1

W

2

D

2

D

2

3

L

D

1

W

Middlesbrough before this match, at home

1.41points / match

1.23scored / match

1.14conceded / match

9 4 9

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 27:25

Watford before this match, away

1.32points / match

1.27scored / match

1.36conceded / match

7 8 7

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 28:30

Middlesbrough at home away Watford

Per match

1.23 Goals scored 1.27

1.14 Goals conceded 1.36

2.36 Total goals 2.64

14.23 Shots 11.36

5.05 Shots on target 3.55

10.50 Shots faced 15.41

7.14 Corners 3.82

4.64 Corners against 6.18

11.45 Fouls 13.32

1.64 Yellow cards 2.41

0.59 1st-half goals scored 0.41

0.64 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

41% Wins 32%

18% Draws 36%

41% Losses 32%

95% Over 0.5 goals 86%

77% Over 1.5 goals 64%

32% Over 2.5 goals 45%

18% Over 3.5 goals 27%

5% Over 4.5 goals 23%

5% Over 5.5 goals 18%

41% Both teams scored 50%

36% Clean sheets 27%

27% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 5%

45% Draws 64%

27% Losses 32%

64% Over 0.5 goals 55%

36% Over 1.5 goals 32%

14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home

1

3

L

1

D

1

D

1

2

L

2

L

3

1

W

D

2

W

2

W

3

4

L

Watford away

2

1

W

1

D

2

4

L

1

W

1

L

1

W

2

D

2

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.04.24	Cardiff – Middlesbrough	1–4 (0–1)	3.60	3.60	2.00	1.93	1.93
22.04.24	Middlesbrough – Leeds	3–4 (2–3)	4.20	3.80	1.80	1.73	2.10
13.04.24	Ipswich – Middlesbrough	1–1 (1–1)	1.75	4.00	4.20	1.62	2.30
10.04.24	Hull – Middlesbrough	2–2 (2–1)	2.40	3.40	2.90	1.80	2.00
06.04.24	Middlesbrough – Swansea	2–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.80	4.20	1.80	2.00
01.04.24	Middlesbrough – Sheffield Weds	2–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.75	4.33	1.83	2.03
29.03.24	Southampton – Middlesbrough	1–1 (1–0)	1.57	4.50	5.25	1.48	2.60
16.03.24	Middlesbrough – Blackburn	0–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.50	4.20	1.75	2.05
12.03.24	Birmingham – Middlesbrough	0–1 (0–1)	2.80	3.60	2.40	1.80	2.00
09.03.24	QPR – Middlesbrough	0–2 (0–0)	2.30	3.60	2.88	1.98	1.88

Watford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.04.24	Watford – Sunderland	1–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.20	3.25	2.10	1.73
20.04.24	Watford – Hull	0–0 (0–0)	2.90	3.50	2.38	1.83	2.03
13.04.24	Southampton – Watford	3–2 (2–1)	1.44	5.00	6.50	1.53	2.50
10.04.24	Ipswich – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	1.50	4.33	6.50	1.62	2.30
06.04.24	Watford – Preston	0–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.75	2.10	1.73
01.04.24	West Brom – Watford	2–2 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.33	2.08	1.73
29.03.24	Watford – Leeds	2–2 (2–1)	6.00	4.33	1.55	1.70	2.10
16.03.24	Birmingham – Watford	0–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.25	3.00	1.93	1.93
09.03.24	Watford – Coventry	1–2 (1–1)	2.88	3.40	2.40	1.85	2.00
06.03.24	Watford – Swansea	1–1 (0–1)	2.20	3.50	3.25	1.93	1.93

Middlesbrough at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.04.24	Middlesbrough – Leeds	3–4 (2–3)	4.20	3.80	1.80	1.73	2.10
06.04.24	Middlesbrough – Swansea	2–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.80	4.20	1.80	2.00
01.04.24	Middlesbrough – Sheffield Weds	2–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.75	4.33	1.83	2.03
16.03.24	Middlesbrough – Blackburn	0–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.50	4.20	1.75	2.05
06.03.24	Middlesbrough – Norwich	3–1 (2–1)	2.30	3.50	3.00	1.73	2.08
24.02.24	Middlesbrough – Plymouth	0–2 (0–2)	1.44	4.50	7.00	1.53	2.40
10.02.24	Middlesbrough – Bristol City	1–2 (0–2)	1.70	4.00	4.50	1.95	1.90
04.02.24	Middlesbrough – Sunderland	1–1 (0–0)	2.00	3.50	3.75	1.85	2.00
20.01.24	Middlesbrough – Rotherham	1–1 (0–0)	1.30	5.50	9.50	1.62	2.25
01.01.24	Middlesbrough – Coventry	1–3 (1–1)	1.95	3.75	3.60	1.75	2.05

Watford away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.04.24	Southampton – Watford	3–2 (2–1)	1.44	5.00	6.50	1.53	2.50
10.04.24	Ipswich – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	1.50	4.33	6.50	1.62	2.30
01.04.24	West Brom – Watford	2–2 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.33	2.08	1.73
16.03.24	Birmingham – Watford	0–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.25	3.00	1.93	1.93
02.03.24	Millwall – Watford	1–0 (1–0)	2.38	3.30	3.00	2.10	1.70
17.02.24	Rotherham – Watford	0–1 (0–0)	4.33	3.50	1.85	2.05	1.75
13.02.24	Norwich – Watford	4–2 (2–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	1.93	1.93
31.01.24	Sheffield Weds – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.30	2.63	2.00	1.85
20.01.24	Bristol City – Watford	1–1 (1–1)	2.45	3.25	3.00	2.08	1.73
14.01.24	QPR – Watford	1–2 (0–0)	3.00	3.25	2.45	2.15	1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Middlesbrough winsDrawsWatford wins

3matches

3.33goals / match

67%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
30.09.23E1	Watford – Middlesbrough	2–3 (1–2)	2.45	3.40	2.90	1.93	1.93
28.01.23E1	Middlesbrough – Watford	2–0 (2–0)	1.91	3.40	4.33	2.10	1.73
30.08.22E1	Watford – Middlesbrough	2–1 (1–1)	2.50	3.25	2.90	2.10	1.72

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	45	31	4	10	89	39	+50	97
2	Ipswich	45	27	12	6	90	57	+33	93
3	Leeds	45	27	9	9	80	41	+39	90
4	Southampton	45	25	9	11	85	62	+23	84
5	Norwich	45	21	10	14	79	63	+16	73
6	West Brom	45	20	12	13	67	47	+20	72
7	Hull	45	19	13	13	68	59	+9	70
8	Middlesbrough	45	19	9	17	68	61	+7	66
9	Coventry	45	17	13	15	69	57	+12	64
10	Preston	45	18	9	18	56	64	-8	63
11	Bristol City	45	17	11	17	53	47	+6	62
12	Cardiff	45	19	5	21	51	65	-14	62
13	Swansea	45	15	12	18	59	64	-5	57
14	Watford	45	13	17	15	60	58	+2	56
15	Sunderland	45	16	8	21	52	52	0	56
16	Millwall	45	15	11	19	44	55	-11	56
17	QPR	45	14	11	20	45	57	-12	53
18	Stoke	45	14	11	20	45	60	-15	53
19	Blackburn	45	13	11	21	58	74	-16	50
20	Sheffield Weds	45	14	8	23	42	68	-26	50
21	Plymouth	45	12	12	21	58	70	-12	48
22	Birmingham	45	12	11	22	49	65	-16	47
23	Huddersfield	45	9	18	18	48	75	-27	45
24	Rotherham	45	4	12	29	32	87	-55	24

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	22	16	5	1	44	14	+30	53
2	Leicester	22	17	1	4	47	16	+31	52
3	Ipswich	22	15	6	1	57	32	+25	51
4	Norwich	23	15	4	4	43	22	+21	49
5	Southampton	23	15	3	5	54	29	+25	48
6	West Brom	22	14	4	4	35	17	+18	46
7	Bristol City	23	11	4	8	31	21	+10	37
8	Preston	23	11	4	8	35	36	-1	37
9	Coventry	22	9	8	5	35	25	+10	35
10	Hull	23	8	9	6	35	27	+8	33
11	Birmingham	22	9	6	7	30	25	+5	33
12	Cardiff	23	10	3	10	27	32	-5	33
13	Plymouth	22	9	5	8	40	35	+5	32
14	Sunderland	22	10	2	10	30	28	+2	32
15	Millwall	23	9	5	9	22	29	-7	32
16	Middlesbrough	22	9	4	9	27	25	+2	31
17	Sheffield Weds	23	8	7	8	27	27	0	31
18	Swansea	22	8	5	9	26	27	-1	29
19	Watford	23	6	9	8	32	28	+4	27
20	QPR	23	7	6	10	28	32	-4	27
21	Stoke	22	7	6	9	20	27	-7	27
22	Huddersfield	23	6	8	9	26	36	-10	26
23	Blackburn	23	6	7	10	27	34	-7	25
24	Rotherham	22	4	8	10	19	26	-7	20

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	23	14	3	6	42	23	+19	45
2	Ipswich	23	12	6	5	33	25	+8	42
3	Leeds	23	11	4	8	36	27	+9	37
4	Hull	22	11	4	7	33	32	+1	37
5	Southampton	22	10	6	6	31	33	-2	36
6	Middlesbrough	23	10	5	8	41	36	+5	35
7	Coventry	23	8	5	10	34	32	+2	29
8	Watford	22	7	8	7	28	30	-2	29
9	Cardiff	22	9	2	11	24	33	-9	29
10	Swansea	23	7	7	9	33	37	-4	28
11	West Brom	23	6	8	9	32	30	+2	26
12	Preston	22	7	5	10	21	28	-7	26
13	Stoke	23	7	5	11	25	33	-8	26
14	QPR	22	7	5	10	17	25	-8	26
15	Bristol City	22	6	7	9	22	26	-4	25
16	Blackburn	22	7	4	11	31	40	-9	25
17	Sunderland	23	6	6	11	22	24	-2	24
18	Millwall	22	6	6	10	22	26	-4	24
19	Norwich	22	6	6	10	36	41	-5	24
20	Huddersfield	22	3	10	9	22	39	-17	19
21	Sheffield Weds	22	6	1	15	15	41	-26	19
22	Plymouth	23	3	7	13	18	35	-17	16
23	Birmingham	23	3	5	15	19	40	-21	14
24	Rotherham	23	0	4	19	13	61	-48	4

Middlesbrough Watford

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Southampton	45	16	29	1.9	1.4	25	9	11	85	62	84
2	19	Blackburn	45	16	29	1.3	1.6	13	11	21	58	74	50
3	2	Ipswich	45	17	28	2.0	1.3	27	12	6	90	57	93
4	5	Norwich	45	17	28	1.8	1.4	21	10	14	79	63	73
5	9	Coventry	45	17	28	1.5	1.3	17	13	15	69	57	64
6	1	Leicester	45	18	27	2.0	0.9	31	4	10	89	39	97
7	7	Hull	45	18	27	1.5	1.3	19	13	13	68	59	70
8	10	Preston	45	19	26	1.2	1.4	18	9	18	56	64	63
9	13	Swansea	45	19	26	1.3	1.4	15	12	18	59	64	57
10	21	Plymouth	45	20	25	1.3	1.6	12	12	21	58	70	48
11	3	Leeds	45	21	24	1.8	0.9	27	9	9	80	41	90
12	8	Middlesbrough	45	22	23	1.5	1.4	19	9	17	68	61	66
13	12	Cardiff	45	22	23	1.1	1.4	19	5	21	51	65	62
14	14	Watford	45	23	22	1.3	1.3	13	17	15	60	58	56
15	24	Rotherham	45	23	22	0.7	1.9	4	12	29	32	87	24
16	6	West Brom	45	24	21	1.5	1.0	20	12	13	67	47	72
17	15	Sunderland	45	24	21	1.2	1.2	16	8	21	52	52	56
18	20	Sheffield Weds	45	24	21	0.9	1.5	14	8	23	42	68	50
19	22	Birmingham	45	24	21	1.1	1.4	12	11	22	49	65	47
20	23	Huddersfield	45	24	21	1.1	1.7	9	18	18	48	75	45
21	17	QPR	45	25	20	1.0	1.3	14	11	20	45	57	53
22	18	Stoke	45	26	19	1.0	1.3	14	11	20	45	60	53
23	16	Millwall	45	28	17	1.0	1.2	15	11	19	44	55	56
24	11	Bristol City	45	29	16	1.2	1.0	17	11	17	53	47	62

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Ipswich	22	5	17	2.6	1.5	15	6	1	57	32	51
2	4	Southampton	23	6	17	2.3	1.3	15	3	5	54	29	48
3	10	Preston	23	6	17	1.5	1.6	11	4	8	35	36	37
4	1	Leicester	22	8	14	2.1	0.7	17	1	4	47	16	52
5	21	Plymouth	22	8	14	1.8	1.6	9	5	8	40	35	32
6	3	Leeds	22	9	13	2.0	0.6	16	5	1	44	14	53
7	15	Sunderland	22	9	13	1.4	1.3	10	2	10	30	28	32
8	19	Blackburn	23	10	13	1.2	1.5	6	7	10	27	34	25
9	5	Norwich	23	11	12	1.9	1.0	15	4	4	43	22	49
10	9	Coventry	22	10	12	1.6	1.1	9	8	5	35	25	35
11	13	Swansea	22	10	12	1.2	1.2	8	5	9	26	27	29
12	14	Watford	23	11	12	1.4	1.2	6	9	8	32	28	27
13	17	QPR	23	11	12	1.2	1.4	7	6	10	28	32	27
14	23	Huddersfield	23	11	12	1.1	1.6	6	8	9	26	36	26
15	7	Hull	23	12	11	1.5	1.2	8	9	6	35	27	33
16	12	Cardiff	23	12	11	1.2	1.4	10	3	10	27	32	33
17	20	Sheffield Weds	23	12	11	1.2	1.2	8	7	8	27	27	31
18	22	Birmingham	22	11	11	1.4	1.1	9	6	7	30	25	33
19	16	Millwall	23	14	9	1.0	1.3	9	5	9	22	29	32
20	18	Stoke	22	13	9	0.9	1.2	7	6	9	20	27	27
21	6	West Brom	22	14	8	1.6	0.8	14	4	4	35	17	46
22	24	Rotherham	22	14	8	0.9	1.2	4	8	10	19	26	20
23	8	Middlesbrough	22	15	7	1.2	1.1	9	4	9	27	25	31
24	11	Bristol City	23	16	7	1.3	0.9	11	4	8	31	21	37

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Norwich	22	6	16	1.6	1.9	6	6	10	36	41	24
2	7	Hull	22	6	16	1.5	1.5	11	4	7	33	32	37
3	8	Middlesbrough	23	7	16	1.8	1.6	10	5	8	41	36	35
4	9	Coventry	23	7	16	1.5	1.4	8	5	10	34	32	29
5	19	Blackburn	22	6	16	1.4	1.8	7	4	11	31	40	25
6	13	Swansea	23	9	14	1.4	1.6	7	7	9	33	37	28
7	24	Rotherham	23	9	14	0.6	2.7	0	4	19	13	61	4
8	1	Leicester	23	10	13	1.8	1.0	14	3	6	42	23	45
9	6	West Brom	23	10	13	1.4	1.3	6	8	9	32	30	26
10	4	Southampton	22	10	12	1.4	1.5	10	6	6	31	33	36
11	12	Cardiff	22	10	12	1.1	1.5	9	2	11	24	33	29
12	2	Ipswich	23	12	11	1.4	1.1	12	6	5	33	25	42
13	3	Leeds	23	12	11	1.6	1.2	11	4	8	36	27	37
14	21	Plymouth	23	12	11	0.8	1.5	3	7	13	18	35	16
15	14	Watford	22	12	10	1.3	1.4	7	8	7	28	30	29
16	18	Stoke	23	13	10	1.1	1.4	7	5	11	25	33	26
17	20	Sheffield Weds	22	12	10	0.7	1.9	6	1	15	15	41	19
18	22	Birmingham	23	13	10	0.8	1.7	3	5	15	19	40	14
19	10	Preston	22	13	9	1.0	1.3	7	5	10	21	28	26
20	11	Bristol City	22	13	9	1.0	1.2	6	7	9	22	26	25
21	23	Huddersfield	22	13	9	1.0	1.8	3	10	9	22	39	19
22	15	Sunderland	23	15	8	1.0	1.0	6	6	11	22	24	24
23	16	Millwall	22	14	8	1.0	1.2	6	6	10	22	26	24
24	17	QPR	22	14	8	0.8	1.1	7	5	10	17	25	26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.