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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: O Langford

Stoke 2–0 Luton

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.95 fair 2.81
Draw 3.40 fair 3.59
Away 4.00 fair 2.74
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.66 fair 1.73
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 2.37

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stoke Luton
8 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 13
7 Fouls 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (229 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.93
Expected goals 1.17 – 1.19
Home / Draw / Away
StokeDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.1% 0–1 11.2% 1–0 11%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Stoke before this match, all matches
1.16points / match
1.05scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 20:25
Luton before this match, all matches
1.53points / match
1.16scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 22:19
Stoke all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.05 Goals scored 1.16
1.32 Goals conceded 1.00
2.37 Total goals 2.16
14.00 Shots 12.37
4.53 Shots on target 3.68
11.84 Shots faced 12.11
5.68 Corners 6.00
5.58 Corners against 5.95
11.32 Fouls 11.53
1.74 Yellow cards 1.47
0.42 1st-half goals scored 0.68
0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.42

How often Full Time

32% Wins 37%
21% Draws 42%
47% Losses 21%
95% Over 0.5 goals 84%
74% Over 1.5 goals 68%
42% Over 2.5 goals 32%
26% Over 3.5 goals 21%
0% Over 4.5 goals 5%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
42% Both teams scored 42%
32% Clean sheets 42%
32% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 47%
37% Draws 37%
42% Losses 16%
74% Over 0.5 goals 63%
21% Over 1.5 goals 26%
5% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke all matches
Luton all matches
Stoke before this match, at home
0.89points / match
1.00scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 9:14
Luton before this match, away
1.89points / match
1.00scored / match
0.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 9:8
Stoke at home away Luton

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.00
1.56 Goals conceded 0.89
2.56 Total goals 1.89
15.78 Shots 9.89
5.11 Shots on target 3.22
10.11 Shots faced 13.67
6.78 Corners 4.44
4.33 Corners against 6.78
11.00 Fouls 12.22
1.89 Yellow cards 1.89
0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.78 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

22% Wins 56%
22% Draws 22%
56% Losses 22%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
78% Over 1.5 goals 67%
44% Over 2.5 goals 22%
33% Over 3.5 goals 11%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
44% Both teams scored 22%
11% Clean sheets 56%
44% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 33%
22% Draws 44%
56% Losses 22%
89% Over 0.5 goals 56%
22% Over 1.5 goals 33%
11% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.22 Stoke – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.20 1.66
02.11.22 Wigan – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.302.62 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 Norwich – Stoke 3–1 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 1.95 1.90
22.10.22 Stoke – Coventry 0–2 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.00 1.85
18.10.22 Stoke – Rotherham 0–1 (0–1) 1.903.504.20 2.05 1.80
15.10.22 Preston – Stoke 0–2 (0–0) 2.373.203.10 2.30 1.61
08.10.22 Stoke – Sheffield United 3–1 (2–1) 2.903.402.40 2.10 1.72
05.10.22 Burnley – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 1.723.605.25 1.93 1.93
02.10.22 Stoke – Watford 0–4 (0–1) 2.503.252.90 2.10 1.72
17.09.22 QPR – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.85

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.22 Blackpool – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.302.55 2.00 1.85
01.11.22 Luton – Reading 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.20 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 Luton – Sunderland 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 2.10 1.72
23.10.22 Watford – Luton 4–0 (2–0) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.72
18.10.22 Norwich – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 2.00 1.85
15.10.22 Luton – QPR 3–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.50 2.10 1.72
08.10.22 West Brom – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.80 1.98 1.88
04.10.22 Luton – Huddersfield 3–3 (3–2) 1.753.405.25 2.20 1.66
30.09.22 Hull – Luton 0–2 (0–2) 3.203.252.30 2.10 1.72
17.09.22 Luton – Blackburn 2–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.30 2.10 1.72

Stoke at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.22 Stoke – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.20 1.66
22.10.22 Stoke – Coventry 0–2 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.00 1.85
18.10.22 Stoke – Rotherham 0–1 (0–1) 1.903.504.20 2.05 1.80
08.10.22 Stoke – Sheffield United 3–1 (2–1) 2.903.402.40 2.10 1.72
02.10.22 Stoke – Watford 0–4 (0–1) 2.503.252.90 2.10 1.72
31.08.22 Stoke – Swansea 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.60 1.98 1.88
20.08.22 Stoke – Sunderland 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.403.50 2.02 1.83
17.08.22 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.202.75 2.20 1.66
06.08.22 Stoke – Blackpool 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.75 2.10 1.72
07.05.22 Stoke – Coventry 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.802.80 1.66 2.20

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.22 Blackpool – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.302.55 2.00 1.85
23.10.22 Watford – Luton 4–0 (2–0) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.72
18.10.22 Norwich – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 2.00 1.85
08.10.22 West Brom – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.80 1.98 1.88
30.09.22 Hull – Luton 0–2 (0–2) 3.203.252.30 2.10 1.72
30.08.22 Cardiff – Luton 1–2 (0–0) 2.553.202.90 2.50 1.53
20.08.22 Swansea – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 2.453.203.10 2.20 1.66
16.08.22 Bristol City – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 2.623.402.55 2.02 1.83
06.08.22 Burnley – Luton 1–1 (0–1) 1.753.754.60 2.00 1.85
02.05.22 Fulham – Luton 7–0 (2–0) 1.504.206.50 1.72 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Stoke winsDrawsLuton wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.02.22E1 Stoke – Luton 1–2 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.20 1.66
06.11.21E1 Luton – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.203.10 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 20 10 8 2 37 23 +14 38
2 Blackburn 20 12 0 8 24 19 +5 36
3 Sheffield United 19 10 5 4 34 18 +16 35
4 Norwich 20 9 5 6 28 21 +7 32
5 QPR 19 9 4 6 25 20 +5 31
6 Preston 20 8 7 5 16 16 0 31
7 Watford 19 8 5 6 26 22 +4 29
8 Luton 19 7 8 4 22 19 +3 29
9 Swansea 19 8 5 6 25 26 -1 29
10 Millwall 19 8 4 7 22 20 +2 28
11 Birmingham 19 7 6 6 20 16 +4 27
12 Reading 19 8 2 9 21 27 -6 26
13 Sunderland 19 6 6 7 24 22 +2 24
14 Cardiff 19 7 3 9 15 21 -6 24
15 Coventry 17 6 5 6 17 18 -1 23
16 Bristol City 20 6 5 9 27 29 -2 23
17 Rotherham 19 5 7 7 23 25 -2 22
18 Blackpool 19 6 4 9 23 28 -5 22
19 Stoke 19 6 4 9 20 25 -5 22
20 Middlesbrough 19 5 6 8 24 25 -1 21
21 Hull 19 6 3 10 21 35 -14 21
22 West Brom 19 4 8 7 22 24 -2 20
23 Wigan 19 5 5 9 19 28 -9 20
24 Huddersfield 18 4 3 11 17 25 -8 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 10 8 0 2 17 7 +10 24
2 Burnley 10 6 4 0 20 10 +10 22
3 Millwall 10 7 1 2 16 7 +9 22
4 Reading 10 6 1 3 15 11 +4 19
5 Sheffield United 9 5 3 1 22 10 +12 18
6 Norwich 10 5 3 2 17 10 +7 18
7 QPR 9 5 2 2 14 8 +6 17
8 Swansea 10 5 2 3 15 13 +2 17
9 Watford 9 5 1 3 15 10 +5 16
10 Rotherham 10 4 3 3 17 12 +5 15
11 Bristol City 10 4 2 4 13 10 +3 14
12 Middlesbrough 10 3 5 2 11 10 +1 14
13 Cardiff 9 4 2 3 7 6 +1 14
14 Birmingham 9 3 4 2 10 6 +4 13
15 Huddersfield 10 4 1 5 10 10 0 13
16 Preston 10 3 4 3 5 7 -2 13
17 Luton 10 2 6 2 13 11 +2 12
18 Hull 10 4 0 6 10 18 -8 12
19 Sunderland 9 2 4 3 10 10 0 10
20 Coventry 7 3 1 3 6 6 0 10
21 Blackpool 9 3 1 5 12 13 -1 10
22 West Brom 10 2 4 4 12 14 -2 10
23 Stoke 9 2 2 5 9 14 -5 8
24 Wigan 10 1 3 6 6 17 -11 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Preston 10 5 3 2 11 9 +2 18
2 Sheffield United 10 5 2 3 12 8 +4 17
3 Luton 9 5 2 2 9 8 +1 17
4 Burnley 10 4 4 2 17 13 +4 16
5 Sunderland 10 4 2 4 14 12 +2 14
6 Wigan 9 4 2 3 13 11 +2 14
7 Norwich 10 4 2 4 11 11 0 14
8 Stoke 10 4 2 4 11 11 0 14
9 Birmingham 10 4 2 4 10 10 0 14
10 QPR 10 4 2 4 11 12 -1 14
11 Coventry 10 3 4 3 11 12 -1 13
12 Watford 10 3 4 3 11 12 -1 13
13 Swansea 9 3 3 3 10 13 -3 12
14 Blackpool 10 3 3 4 11 15 -4 12
15 Blackburn 10 4 0 6 7 12 -5 12
16 West Brom 9 2 4 3 10 10 0 10
17 Cardiff 10 3 1 6 8 15 -7 10
18 Bristol City 10 2 3 5 14 19 -5 9
19 Hull 9 2 3 4 11 17 -6 9
20 Middlesbrough 9 2 1 6 13 15 -2 7
21 Rotherham 9 1 4 4 6 13 -7 7
22 Reading 9 2 1 6 6 16 -10 7
23 Millwall 9 1 3 5 6 13 -7 6
24 Huddersfield 8 0 2 6 7 15 -8 2

Stoke   Luton

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Reading 19 8 11 1.1 1.4 8 2 9 21 27 26
2 21 Hull 19 8 11 1.1 1.8 6 3 10 21 35 21
3 4 Norwich 20 10 10 1.4 1.1 9 5 6 28 21 32
4 7 Watford 19 9 10 1.4 1.2 8 5 6 26 22 29
5 9 Swansea 19 9 10 1.3 1.4 8 5 6 25 26 29
6 16 Bristol City 20 10 10 1.4 1.4 6 5 9 27 29 23
7 20 Middlesbrough 19 9 10 1.3 1.3 5 6 8 24 25 21
8 2 Blackburn 20 11 9 1.2 0.9 12 0 8 24 19 36
9 5 QPR 19 10 9 1.3 1.1 9 4 6 25 20 31
10 13 Sunderland 19 10 9 1.3 1.2 6 6 7 24 22 24
11 17 Rotherham 19 10 9 1.2 1.3 5 7 7 23 25 22
12 18 Blackpool 19 10 9 1.2 1.5 6 4 9 23 28 22
13 23 Wigan 19 10 9 1.0 1.5 5 5 9 19 28 20
14 1 Burnley 20 12 8 1.9 1.1 10 8 2 37 23 38
15 3 Sheffield United 19 11 8 1.8 0.9 10 5 4 34 18 35
16 19 Stoke 19 11 8 1.1 1.3 6 4 9 20 25 22
17 24 Huddersfield 18 10 8 0.9 1.4 4 3 11 17 25 15
18 10 Millwall 19 12 7 1.2 1.1 8 4 7 22 20 28
19 8 Luton 19 13 6 1.2 1.0 7 8 4 22 19 29
20 11 Birmingham 19 13 6 1.1 0.8 7 6 6 20 16 27
21 14 Cardiff 19 13 6 0.8 1.1 7 3 9 15 21 24
22 15 Coventry 17 11 6 1.0 1.1 6 5 6 17 18 23
23 22 West Brom 19 13 6 1.2 1.3 4 8 7 22 24 20
24 6 Preston 20 15 5 0.8 0.8 8 7 5 16 16 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Sheffield United 9 3 6 2.4 1.1 5 3 1 22 10 18
2 7 Watford 9 3 6 1.7 1.1 5 1 3 15 10 16
3 9 Swansea 10 4 6 1.5 1.3 5 2 3 15 13 17
4 12 Reading 10 4 6 1.5 1.1 6 1 3 15 11 19
5 21 Hull 10 4 6 1.0 1.8 4 0 6 10 18 12
6 1 Burnley 10 5 5 2.0 1.0 6 4 0 20 10 22
7 2 Blackburn 10 5 5 1.7 0.7 8 0 2 17 7 24
8 4 Norwich 10 5 5 1.7 1.0 5 3 2 17 10 18
9 5 QPR 9 4 5 1.6 0.9 5 2 2 14 8 17
10 17 Rotherham 10 5 5 1.7 1.2 4 3 3 17 12 15
11 8 Luton 10 6 4 1.3 1.1 2 6 2 13 11 12
12 10 Millwall 10 6 4 1.6 0.7 7 1 2 16 7 22
13 13 Sunderland 9 5 4 1.1 1.1 2 4 3 10 10 10
14 16 Bristol City 10 6 4 1.3 1.0 4 2 4 13 10 14
15 18 Blackpool 9 5 4 1.3 1.4 3 1 5 12 13 10
16 19 Stoke 9 5 4 1.0 1.6 2 2 5 9 14 8
17 20 Middlesbrough 10 6 4 1.1 1.0 3 5 2 11 10 14
18 11 Birmingham 9 6 3 1.1 0.7 3 4 2 10 6 13
19 22 West Brom 10 7 3 1.2 1.4 2 4 4 12 14 10
20 23 Wigan 10 7 3 0.6 1.7 1 3 6 6 17 6
21 24 Huddersfield 10 7 3 1.0 1.0 4 1 5 10 10 13
22 14 Cardiff 9 7 2 0.8 0.7 4 2 3 7 6 14
23 15 Coventry 7 5 2 0.9 0.9 3 1 3 6 6 10
24 6 Preston 10 9 1 0.5 0.7 3 4 3 5 7 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Bristol City 10 4 6 1.4 1.9 2 3 5 14 19 9
2 20 Middlesbrough 9 3 6 1.4 1.7 2 1 6 13 15 7
3 23 Wigan 9 3 6 1.4 1.2 4 2 3 13 11 14
4 4 Norwich 10 5 5 1.1 1.1 4 2 4 11 11 14
5 12 Reading 9 4 5 0.7 1.8 2 1 6 6 16 7
6 13 Sunderland 10 5 5 1.4 1.2 4 2 4 14 12 14
7 18 Blackpool 10 5 5 1.1 1.5 3 3 4 11 15 12
8 21 Hull 9 4 5 1.2 1.9 2 3 4 11 17 9
9 24 Huddersfield 8 3 5 0.9 1.9 0 2 6 7 15 2
10 2 Blackburn 10 6 4 0.7 1.2 4 0 6 7 12 12
11 5 QPR 10 6 4 1.1 1.2 4 2 4 11 12 14
12 6 Preston 10 6 4 1.1 0.9 5 3 2 11 9 18
13 7 Watford 10 6 4 1.1 1.2 3 4 3 11 12 13
14 9 Swansea 9 5 4 1.1 1.4 3 3 3 10 13 12
15 14 Cardiff 10 6 4 0.8 1.5 3 1 6 8 15 10
16 15 Coventry 10 6 4 1.1 1.2 3 4 3 11 12 13
17 17 Rotherham 9 5 4 0.7 1.4 1 4 4 6 13 7
18 19 Stoke 10 6 4 1.1 1.1 4 2 4 11 11 14
19 1 Burnley 10 7 3 1.7 1.3 4 4 2 17 13 16
20 10 Millwall 9 6 3 0.7 1.4 1 3 5 6 13 6
21 11 Birmingham 10 7 3 1.0 1.0 4 2 4 10 10 14
22 22 West Brom 9 6 3 1.1 1.1 2 4 3 10 10 10
23 3 Sheffield United 10 8 2 1.2 0.8 5 2 3 12 8 17
24 8 Luton 9 7 2 1.0 0.9 5 2 2 9 8 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51