Millwall 1–0 Stoke – England Championship, 15 Mar 2025

Match facts

Millwall Stoke

11 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 1

7 Corners 5

8 Fouls 13

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (445 league matches this season so far).

Result Millwall to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.77

Expected goals 1.37 – 0.87

Home / Draw / Away

49% 28% 24%

MillwallDrawStoke

Under / Over 2.5 goals

61% 39%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

57% 44%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

11% 0

24% 1

27% 2

20% 3

11% 4

8% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 14.5% 1–1 12.7% 0–0 10.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches

1.30points / match

0.97scored / match

1.05conceded / match

12 12 13

WonDrawnLost 37 played · 36:39

Stoke before this match, all matches

1.05points / match

1.00scored / match

1.35conceded / match

9 12 16

WonDrawnLost 37 played · 37:50

Millwall all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

0.97 Goals scored 1.00

1.05 Goals conceded 1.35

2.03 Total goals 2.35

11.24 Shots 10.62

3.59 Shots on target 3.54

10.62 Shots faced 15.35

4.81 Corners 4.38

5.24 Corners against 6.27

12.43 Fouls 11.59

1.73 Yellow cards 2.35

0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.51

0.51 1st-half goals conceded 0.51

How often Full Time

32% Wins 24%

32% Draws 32%

35% Losses 43%

92% Over 0.5 goals 84%

51% Over 1.5 goals 70%

27% Over 2.5 goals 41%

16% Over 3.5 goals 24%

8% Over 4.5 goals 8%

5% Over 5.5 goals 5%

43% Both teams scored 49%

32% Clean sheets 30%

32% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 19%

43% Draws 59%

32% Losses 22%

62% Over 0.5 goals 59%

22% Over 1.5 goals 32%

5% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches

1

W

1

W

2

1

W

1

5

L

1

D

1

D

1

W

2

L

2

1

W

2

L

Stoke all matches

1

3

L

D

2

1

W

2

L

3

1

W

2

4

L

1

3

L

D

2

3

L

1

W

Millwall before this match, at home

1.39points / match

1.06scored / match

0.94conceded / match

7 4 7

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 19:17

Stoke before this match, away

0.72points / match

0.78scored / match

1.61conceded / match

3 4 11

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 14:29

Millwall at home away Stoke

Per match

1.06 Goals scored 0.78

0.94 Goals conceded 1.61

2.00 Total goals 2.39

12.17 Shots 10.06

3.67 Shots on target 3.44

9.33 Shots faced 18.50

4.89 Corners 3.72

5.00 Corners against 6.83

12.11 Fouls 11.67

1.39 Yellow cards 2.39

0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.39

0.39 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

39% Wins 17%

22% Draws 22%

39% Losses 61%

100% Over 0.5 goals 89%

50% Over 1.5 goals 78%

28% Over 2.5 goals 39%

17% Over 3.5 goals 17%

6% Over 4.5 goals 11%

0% Over 5.5 goals 6%

39% Both teams scored 44%

28% Clean sheets 22%

33% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 11%

50% Draws 61%

22% Losses 28%

56% Over 0.5 goals 61%

22% Over 1.5 goals 33%

11% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home

1

D

1

L

1

L

1

W

1

L

1

L

2

D

2

1

W

1

D

2

L

Stoke away

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

L

D

1

D

1

3

L

2

1

W

2

L

2

4

L

2

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.03.25	Leeds – Millwall	2–0 (1–0)	1.29	5.25	10.00	1.98	1.88
08.03.25	Watford – Millwall	1–2 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.45	1.49
04.03.25	Millwall – Bristol City	0–2 (0–0)	2.75	3.00	2.75	2.75	1.44
22.02.25	Derby – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	2.90	3.25	3.00	1.40
18.02.25	Preston – Millwall	1–1 (0–1)	2.40	2.88	3.30	3.20	1.36
15.02.25	Millwall – West Brom	1–1 (1–1)	2.63	3.20	2.75	2.50	1.53
12.02.25	Plymouth – Millwall	5–1 (2–0)	3.40	3.10	2.20	2.50	1.53
01.02.25	Millwall – QPR	2–1 (2–1)	2.20	3.10	3.50	2.75	1.44
28.01.25	Portsmouth – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.00	3.10	2.63	1.50
25.01.25	Luton – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.25	2.63	1.50

Stoke all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.03.25	Stoke – Blackburn	1–0 (1–0)	2.60	3.30	2.70	2.05	1.68
08.03.25	Coventry – Stoke	3–2 (2–0)	1.53	4.33	5.50	1.76	1.96
01.03.25	Stoke – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.30	2.88	1.95	1.90
25.02.25	Stoke – Middlesbrough	1–3 (1–1)	2.90	3.40	2.35	1.93	1.93
22.02.25	Norwich – Stoke	4–2 (1–1)	1.65	4.00	5.00	1.93	1.93
15.02.25	Stoke – Swansea	3–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.40	2.88	2.10	1.73
12.02.25	Bristol City – Stoke	2–0 (1–0)	1.73	3.70	5.00	2.00	1.85
01.02.25	Hull – Stoke	1–2 (1–1)	1.91	3.40	4.00	2.05	1.80
25.01.25	Stoke – Oxford	0–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.30	3.80	2.10	1.73
22.01.25	Portsmouth – Stoke	3–1 (2–1)	2.45	3.25	2.88	2.00	1.85

Millwall at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.03.25	Millwall – Bristol City	0–2 (0–0)	2.75	3.00	2.75	2.75	1.44
15.02.25	Millwall – West Brom	1–1 (1–1)	2.63	3.20	2.75	2.50	1.53
01.02.25	Millwall – QPR	2–1 (2–1)	2.20	3.10	3.50	2.75	1.44
21.01.25	Millwall – Cardiff	2–2 (2–1)	2.15	2.90	3.90	3.00	1.40
18.01.25	Millwall – Hull	0–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.20	3.75	2.50	1.53
01.01.25	Millwall – Oxford	0–1 (0–0)	1.67	3.75	5.00	2.30	1.62
21.12.24	Millwall – Blackburn	1–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.25	3.20	2.38	1.57
11.12.24	Millwall – Sheffield United	0–1 (0–1)	2.80	3.20	2.55	2.50	1.53
07.12.24	Millwall – Coventry	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	3.10	2.90	2.38	1.57
23.11.24	Millwall – Sunderland	1–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.25	3.20	2.38	1.57

Stoke away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.25	Coventry – Stoke	3–2 (2–0)	1.53	4.33	5.50	1.76	1.96
22.02.25	Norwich – Stoke	4–2 (1–1)	1.65	4.00	5.00	1.93	1.93
12.02.25	Bristol City – Stoke	2–0 (1–0)	1.73	3.70	5.00	2.00	1.85
01.02.25	Hull – Stoke	1–2 (1–1)	1.91	3.40	4.00	2.05	1.80
22.01.25	Portsmouth – Stoke	3–1 (2–1)	2.45	3.25	2.88	2.00	1.85
18.01.25	West Brom – Stoke	1–1 (0–1)	1.73	3.80	4.50	2.00	1.85
01.01.25	Burnley – Stoke	0–0 (0–0)	1.53	3.80	6.50	2.20	1.67
21.12.24	Sheffield Weds – Stoke	2–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.40	4.00	2.00	1.85
10.12.24	Luton – Stoke	2–1 (1–1)	2.05	3.30	3.60	1.93	1.93
07.12.24	Sunderland – Stoke	2–1 (1–1)	1.75	3.70	4.75	1.98	1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

4 2 1

Millwall winsDrawsStoke wins

7matches

1.57goals / match

14%over 2.5

29%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.11.24E1	Stoke – Millwall	1–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.25	2.80	2.20	1.67
23.12.23E1	Stoke – Millwall	0–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.60	3.40	2.10	1.70
26.08.23E1	Millwall – Stoke	1–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.20	2.20	1.67
25.02.23E1	Stoke – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.20	3.00	2.38	1.57
30.07.22E1	Millwall – Stoke	2–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.20	2.30	1.61
19.03.22E1	Stoke – Millwall	2–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.30	3.20	2.37	1.57
23.10.21E1	Millwall – Stoke	2–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.10	3.00	2.37	1.57

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	37	23	10	4	74	23	+51	79
2	Sheffield United	37	24	7	6	52	28	+24	79
3	Burnley	37	20	15	2	50	11	+39	75
4	Sunderland	37	19	12	6	55	34	+21	69
5	Bristol City	38	14	15	9	49	41	+8	57
6	West Brom	37	13	17	7	47	33	+14	56
7	Coventry	37	16	8	13	52	48	+4	56
8	Middlesbrough	37	15	8	14	57	48	+9	53
9	Blackburn	37	15	7	15	41	38	+3	52
10	Watford	37	15	7	15	47	50	-3	52
11	Sheffield Weds	37	14	9	14	53	58	-5	51
12	Norwich	38	12	13	13	60	54	+6	49
13	Millwall	37	12	12	13	36	39	-3	48
14	QPR	37	11	11	15	42	48	-6	44
15	Preston	37	9	17	11	37	43	-6	44
16	Swansea	37	12	8	17	38	47	-9	44
17	Portsmouth	37	11	9	17	45	59	-14	42
18	Hull	37	10	10	17	38	46	-8	40
19	Stoke	37	9	12	16	37	50	-13	39
20	Oxford	37	9	12	16	38	55	-17	39
21	Cardiff	37	8	12	17	40	61	-21	36
22	Derby	37	9	8	20	37	49	-12	35
23	Luton	37	9	7	21	34	60	-26	34
24	Plymouth	37	7	12	18	38	74	-36	33

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	19	15	3	1	47	9	+38	48
2	Sheffield United	19	13	3	3	27	14	+13	42
3	Sunderland	19	11	7	1	31	15	+16	40
4	Burnley	19	10	9	0	27	5	+22	39
5	Bristol City	19	10	6	3	28	15	+13	36
6	Watford	19	11	2	6	24	19	+5	35
7	West Brom	18	9	7	2	24	11	+13	34
8	Blackburn	18	10	3	5	25	15	+10	33
9	Coventry	18	10	3	5	31	22	+9	33
10	Portsmouth	19	9	5	5	28	18	+10	32
11	Middlesbrough	19	9	5	5	27	20	+7	32
12	Norwich	19	8	7	4	44	27	+17	31
13	Oxford	18	8	5	5	26	25	+1	29
14	Preston	18	6	10	2	19	14	+5	28
15	Derby	19	8	3	8	23	17	+6	27
16	Swansea	18	7	5	6	25	19	+6	26
17	QPR	18	7	5	6	27	24	+3	26
18	Stoke	19	6	8	5	23	21	+2	26
19	Luton	18	7	5	6	20	19	+1	26
20	Millwall	18	7	4	7	19	17	+2	25
21	Plymouth	18	6	7	5	30	31	-1	25
22	Cardiff	19	7	3	9	22	24	-2	24
23	Sheffield Weds	18	5	7	6	27	27	0	22
24	Hull	19	4	7	8	21	24	-3	19

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	18	11	4	3	25	14	+11	37
2	Burnley	18	10	6	2	23	6	+17	36
3	Leeds	18	8	7	3	27	14	+13	31
4	Sunderland	18	8	5	5	24	19	+5	29
5	Sheffield Weds	19	9	2	8	26	31	-5	29
6	Coventry	19	6	5	8	21	26	-5	23
7	Millwall	19	5	8	6	17	22	-5	23
8	West Brom	19	4	10	5	23	22	+1	22
9	Middlesbrough	18	6	3	9	30	28	+2	21
10	Bristol City	19	4	9	6	21	26	-5	21
11	Hull	18	6	3	9	17	22	-5	21
12	Blackburn	19	5	4	10	16	23	-7	19
13	QPR	19	4	6	9	15	24	-9	18
14	Norwich	19	4	6	9	16	27	-11	18
15	Swansea	19	5	3	11	13	28	-15	18
16	Watford	18	4	5	9	23	31	-8	17
17	Preston	19	3	7	9	18	29	-11	16
18	Stoke	18	3	4	11	14	29	-15	13
19	Cardiff	18	1	9	8	18	37	-19	12
20	Oxford	19	1	7	11	12	30	-18	10
21	Portsmouth	18	2	4	12	17	41	-24	10
22	Derby	18	1	5	12	14	32	-18	8
23	Luton	19	2	2	15	14	41	-27	8
24	Plymouth	19	1	5	13	8	43	-35	8

Millwall Stoke

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Portsmouth	37	13	24	1.2	1.6	11	9	17	45	59	42
2	10	Watford	37	15	22	1.3	1.4	15	7	15	47	50	52
3	11	Sheffield Weds	37	15	22	1.4	1.6	14	9	14	53	58	51
4	7	Coventry	37	17	20	1.4	1.3	16	8	13	52	48	56
5	24	Plymouth	37	17	20	1.0	2.0	7	12	18	38	74	33
6	12	Norwich	38	19	19	1.6	1.4	12	13	13	60	54	49
7	4	Sunderland	37	19	18	1.5	0.9	19	12	6	55	34	69
8	8	Middlesbrough	37	19	18	1.5	1.3	15	8	14	57	48	53
9	14	QPR	37	19	18	1.1	1.3	11	11	15	42	48	44
10	23	Luton	37	19	18	0.9	1.6	9	7	21	34	60	34
11	16	Swansea	37	20	17	1.0	1.3	12	8	17	38	47	44
12	21	Cardiff	37	20	17	1.1	1.6	8	12	17	40	61	36
13	1	Leeds	37	22	15	2.0	0.6	23	10	4	74	23	79
14	5	Bristol City	38	23	15	1.3	1.1	14	15	9	49	41	57
15	15	Preston	37	22	15	1.0	1.2	9	17	11	37	43	44
16	19	Stoke	37	22	15	1.0	1.4	9	12	16	37	50	39
17	22	Derby	37	22	15	1.0	1.3	9	8	20	37	49	35
18	9	Blackburn	37	23	14	1.1	1.0	15	7	15	41	38	52
19	20	Oxford	37	23	14	1.0	1.5	9	12	16	38	55	39
20	2	Sheffield United	37	24	13	1.4	0.8	24	7	6	52	28	79
21	6	West Brom	37	24	13	1.3	0.9	13	17	7	47	33	56
22	18	Hull	37	24	13	1.0	1.2	10	10	17	38	46	40
23	13	Millwall	37	27	10	1.0	1.1	12	12	13	36	39	48
24	3	Burnley	37	28	9	1.4	0.3	20	15	2	50	11	75

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Coventry	18	5	13	1.7	1.2	10	3	5	31	22	33
2	12	Norwich	19	7	12	2.3	1.4	8	7	4	44	27	31
3	17	Portsmouth	19	7	12	1.5	0.9	9	5	5	28	18	32
4	24	Plymouth	18	6	12	1.7	1.7	6	7	5	30	31	25
5	10	Watford	19	8	11	1.3	1.0	11	2	6	24	19	35
6	14	QPR	18	7	11	1.5	1.3	7	5	6	27	24	26
7	1	Leeds	19	9	10	2.5	0.5	15	3	1	47	9	48
8	4	Sunderland	19	10	9	1.6	0.8	11	7	1	31	15	40
9	5	Bristol City	19	11	8	1.5	0.8	10	6	3	28	15	36
10	11	Sheffield Weds	18	10	8	1.5	1.5	5	7	6	27	27	22
11	16	Swansea	18	10	8	1.4	1.1	7	5	6	25	19	26
12	19	Stoke	19	11	8	1.2	1.1	6	8	5	23	21	26
13	23	Luton	18	10	8	1.1	1.1	7	5	6	20	19	26
14	8	Middlesbrough	19	12	7	1.4	1.1	9	5	5	27	20	32
15	18	Hull	19	12	7	1.1	1.3	4	7	8	21	24	19
16	20	Oxford	18	11	7	1.4	1.4	8	5	5	26	25	29
17	21	Cardiff	19	12	7	1.2	1.3	7	3	9	22	24	24
18	22	Derby	19	12	7	1.2	0.9	8	3	8	23	17	27
19	2	Sheffield United	19	13	6	1.4	0.7	13	3	3	27	14	42
20	9	Blackburn	18	12	6	1.4	0.8	10	3	5	25	15	33
21	3	Burnley	19	14	5	1.4	0.3	10	9	0	27	5	39
22	6	West Brom	18	13	5	1.3	0.6	9	7	2	24	11	34
23	13	Millwall	18	13	5	1.1	0.9	7	4	7	19	17	25
24	15	Preston	18	13	5	1.1	0.8	6	10	2	19	14	28

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	11	Sheffield Weds	19	5	14	1.4	1.6	9	2	8	26	31	29
2	17	Portsmouth	18	6	12	0.9	2.3	2	4	12	17	41	10
3	8	Middlesbrough	18	7	11	1.7	1.6	6	3	9	30	28	21
4	10	Watford	18	7	11	1.3	1.7	4	5	9	23	31	17
5	15	Preston	19	9	10	0.9	1.5	3	7	9	18	29	16
6	21	Cardiff	18	8	10	1.0	2.1	1	9	8	18	37	12
7	23	Luton	19	9	10	0.7	2.2	2	2	15	14	41	8
8	4	Sunderland	18	9	9	1.3	1.1	8	5	5	24	19	29
9	16	Swansea	19	10	9	0.7	1.5	5	3	11	13	28	18
10	6	West Brom	19	11	8	1.2	1.2	4	10	5	23	22	22
11	9	Blackburn	19	11	8	0.8	1.2	5	4	10	16	23	19
12	22	Derby	18	10	8	0.8	1.8	1	5	12	14	32	8
13	24	Plymouth	19	11	8	0.4	2.3	1	5	13	8	43	8
14	2	Sheffield United	18	11	7	1.4	0.8	11	4	3	25	14	37
15	5	Bristol City	19	12	7	1.1	1.4	4	9	6	21	26	21
16	7	Coventry	19	12	7	1.1	1.4	6	5	8	21	26	23
17	12	Norwich	19	12	7	0.8	1.4	4	6	9	16	27	18
18	14	QPR	19	12	7	0.8	1.3	4	6	9	15	24	18
19	19	Stoke	18	11	7	0.8	1.6	3	4	11	14	29	13
20	20	Oxford	19	12	7	0.6	1.6	1	7	11	12	30	10
21	18	Hull	18	12	6	0.9	1.2	6	3	9	17	22	21
22	1	Leeds	18	13	5	1.5	0.8	8	7	3	27	14	31
23	13	Millwall	19	14	5	0.9	1.2	5	8	6	17	22	23
24	3	Burnley	18	14	4	1.3	0.3	10	6	2	23	6	36

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.