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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Harrington

Stoke 3–1 QPR

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.25 fair 2.32
Draw 3.10 fair 3.64
Away 3.40 fair 3.40
Under 2.5 1.67 fair 1.73
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 2.36

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stoke QPR
11 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 2
10 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (459 league matches this season so far).
Result Stoke to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.91
Expected goals 1.33 – 1.04
Home / Draw / Away
StokeDrawQPR
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.9% 1–0 12.4% 0–1 9.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Stoke before this match, all matches
1.03points / match
0.97scored / match
1.34conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 38 played · 37:51
QPR before this match, all matches
1.18points / match
1.16scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 38 played · 44:50
Stoke all matches all matches QPR

Per match

0.97 Goals scored 1.16
1.34 Goals conceded 1.32
2.32 Total goals 2.47
10.47 Shots 11.84
3.47 Shots on target 3.89
15.24 Shots faced 11.53
4.39 Corners 5.24
6.29 Corners against 5.76
11.63 Fouls 10.55
2.42 Yellow cards 1.95
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.66

How often Full Time

24% Wins 29%
32% Draws 32%
45% Losses 39%
84% Over 0.5 goals 92%
68% Over 1.5 goals 84%
39% Over 2.5 goals 50%
24% Over 3.5 goals 18%
8% Over 4.5 goals 3%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
47% Both teams scored 61%
29% Clean sheets 21%
39% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 18%
61% Draws 47%
21% Losses 34%
58% Over 0.5 goals 66%
32% Over 1.5 goals 37%
8% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke all matches
QPR all matches
Stoke before this match, at home
1.37points / match
1.21scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 23:21
QPR before this match, away
0.95points / match
0.79scored / match
1.26conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 15:24
Stoke at home away QPR

Per match

1.21 Goals scored 0.79
1.11 Goals conceded 1.26
2.32 Total goals 2.05
11.16 Shots 9.32
3.63 Shots on target 2.74
12.37 Shots faced 13.42
5.00 Corners 4.63
5.74 Corners against 6.84
11.53 Fouls 10.58
2.32 Yellow cards 2.11
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.16
0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

32% Wins 21%
42% Draws 32%
26% Losses 47%
79% Over 0.5 goals 89%
63% Over 1.5 goals 74%
42% Over 2.5 goals 37%
32% Over 3.5 goals 5%
5% Over 4.5 goals 0%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
53% Both teams scored 47%
37% Clean sheets 21%
32% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 11%
58% Draws 53%
16% Losses 37%
58% Over 0.5 goals 47%
32% Over 1.5 goals 16%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke at home
QPR away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.25 Millwall – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.103.60 2.63 1.50
12.03.25 Stoke – Blackburn 1–0 (1–0) 2.603.302.70 2.05 1.68
08.03.25 Coventry – Stoke 3–2 (2–0) 1.534.335.50 1.76 1.96
01.03.25 Stoke – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.88 1.95 1.90
25.02.25 Stoke – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–1) 2.903.402.35 1.93 1.93
22.02.25 Norwich – Stoke 4–2 (1–1) 1.654.005.00 1.93 1.93
15.02.25 Stoke – Swansea 3–1 (0–0) 2.453.402.88 2.10 1.73
12.02.25 Bristol City – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.733.705.00 2.00 1.85
01.02.25 Hull – Stoke 1–2 (1–1) 1.913.404.00 2.05 1.80
25.01.25 Stoke – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.303.80 2.10 1.73

QPR all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.25 QPR – Leeds 2–2 (2–1) 6.004.331.50 2.00 1.85
11.03.25 Middlesbrough – QPR 2–1 (1–0) 1.903.304.33 2.03 1.83
08.03.25 West Brom – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.604.75 2.10 1.73
01.03.25 QPR – Sheffield United 1–2 (0–1) 3.003.202.40 2.05 1.68
22.02.25 Portsmouth – QPR 2–1 (0–0) 2.453.252.90 2.10 1.73
14.02.25 QPR – Derby 4–0 (2–0) 2.053.204.00 2.63 1.50
11.02.25 Coventry – QPR 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.404.33 2.00 1.85
04.02.25 QPR – Blackburn 2–1 (1–0) 2.633.102.80 2.30 1.62
01.02.25 Millwall – QPR 2–1 (2–1) 2.203.103.50 2.75 1.44
25.01.25 QPR – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–0) 2.503.202.90 2.10 1.73

Stoke at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.03.25 Stoke – Blackburn 1–0 (1–0) 2.603.302.70 2.05 1.68
01.03.25 Stoke – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.88 1.95 1.90
25.02.25 Stoke – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–1) 2.903.402.35 1.93 1.93
15.02.25 Stoke – Swansea 3–1 (0–0) 2.453.402.88 2.10 1.73
25.01.25 Stoke – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.303.80 2.10 1.73
04.01.25 Stoke – Plymouth 0–0 (0–0) 1.654.334.33 1.67 2.20
29.12.24 Stoke – Sunderland 1–0 (0–0) 3.003.602.20 2.03 1.83
26.12.24 Stoke – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 6.254.201.50 1.90 1.95
14.12.24 Stoke – Cardiff 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.303.25 1.90 1.95
30.11.24 Stoke – Burnley 0–2 (0–0) 3.003.402.30 2.20 1.67

QPR away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.03.25 Middlesbrough – QPR 2–1 (1–0) 1.903.304.33 2.03 1.83
08.03.25 West Brom – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.604.75 2.10 1.73
22.02.25 Portsmouth – QPR 2–1 (0–0) 2.453.252.90 2.10 1.73
11.02.25 Coventry – QPR 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.404.33 2.00 1.85
01.02.25 Millwall – QPR 2–1 (2–1) 2.203.103.50 2.75 1.44
21.01.25 Hull – QPR 1–2 (0–0) 2.103.253.70 2.15 1.62
18.01.25 Plymouth – QPR 0–1 (0–0) 3.003.252.40 2.05 1.80
29.12.24 Norwich – QPR 1–1 (0–1) 1.753.704.33 1.88 1.98
26.12.24 Swansea – QPR 3–0 (3–0) 1.853.404.33 2.10 1.73
14.12.24 Bristol City – QPR 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.604.00 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Stoke winsDrawsQPR wins
7matches
1.86goals / match
14%over 2.5
29%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.24E1 QPR – Stoke 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 2.00 1.85
14.02.24E1 Stoke – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 2.10 1.70
28.11.23E1 QPR – Stoke 4–2 (1–1) 3.103.402.30 2.25 1.62
29.04.23E1 Stoke – QPR 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 2.02 1.82
17.09.22E1 QPR – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.85
23.04.22E1 Stoke – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.75 2.00 1.80
05.12.21E1 QPR – Stoke 0–2 (0–1) 2.373.203.10 2.05 1.80

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 39 26 7 6 56 29 +27 85
2 Leeds 38 23 11 4 76 25 +51 80
3 Burnley 38 21 15 2 52 11 +41 78
4 Sunderland 38 19 12 7 55 37 +18 69
5 Coventry 39 17 8 14 56 51 +5 59
6 West Brom 38 13 18 7 48 34 +14 57
7 Bristol City 38 14 15 9 49 41 +8 57
8 Middlesbrough 38 15 9 14 57 48 +9 54
9 Watford 39 15 8 16 47 51 -4 53
10 Blackburn 38 15 7 16 42 40 +2 52
11 Millwall 38 13 12 13 37 39 -2 51
12 Sheffield Weds 38 14 9 15 53 59 -6 51
13 Norwich 38 12 13 13 60 54 +6 49
14 Preston 38 10 17 11 39 44 -5 47
15 QPR 38 11 12 15 44 50 -6 45
16 Swansea 38 12 8 18 38 49 -11 44
17 Portsmouth 38 11 9 18 46 61 -15 42
18 Oxford 38 10 12 16 39 55 -16 42
19 Hull 39 10 11 18 39 48 -9 41
20 Stoke 38 9 12 17 37 51 -14 39
21 Cardiff 38 9 12 17 42 62 -20 39
22 Derby 38 10 8 20 40 51 -11 38
23 Luton 39 10 8 21 35 60 -25 38
24 Plymouth 39 7 13 19 40 77 -37 34
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 19 15 3 1 47 9 +38 48
2 Sheffield United 20 14 3 3 30 15 +15 45
3 Sunderland 19 11 7 1 31 15 +16 40
4 Burnley 19 10 9 0 27 5 +22 39
5 Bristol City 19 10 6 3 28 15 +13 36
6 Coventry 19 11 3 5 34 22 +12 36
7 Watford 20 11 3 6 24 19 +5 36
8 West Brom 19 9 8 2 25 12 +13 35
9 Blackburn 19 10 3 6 26 17 +9 33
10 Portsmouth 19 9 5 5 28 18 +10 32
11 Middlesbrough 19 9 5 5 27 20 +7 32
12 Oxford 19 9 5 5 27 25 +2 32
13 Norwich 19 8 7 4 44 27 +17 31
14 Preston 19 7 10 2 21 15 +6 31
15 Millwall 19 8 4 7 20 17 +3 28
16 Derby 19 8 3 8 23 17 +6 27
17 QPR 19 7 6 6 29 26 +3 27
18 Luton 19 7 6 6 20 19 +1 27
19 Swansea 19 7 5 7 25 21 +4 26
20 Stoke 19 6 8 5 23 21 +2 26
21 Plymouth 19 6 7 6 32 34 -2 25
22 Cardiff 19 7 3 9 22 24 -2 24
23 Sheffield Weds 19 5 7 7 27 28 -1 22
24 Hull 20 4 7 9 21 25 -4 19
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 19 12 4 3 26 14 +12 40
2 Burnley 19 11 6 2 25 6 +19 39
3 Leeds 19 8 8 3 29 16 +13 32
4 Sunderland 19 8 5 6 24 22 +2 29
5 Sheffield Weds 19 9 2 8 26 31 -5 29
6 Millwall 19 5 8 6 17 22 -5 23
7 Coventry 20 6 5 9 22 29 -7 23
8 Middlesbrough 19 6 4 9 30 28 +2 22
9 West Brom 19 4 10 5 23 22 +1 22
10 Hull 19 6 4 9 18 23 -5 22
11 Bristol City 19 4 9 6 21 26 -5 21
12 Blackburn 19 5 4 10 16 23 -7 19
13 QPR 19 4 6 9 15 24 -9 18
14 Norwich 19 4 6 9 16 27 -11 18
15 Swansea 19 5 3 11 13 28 -15 18
16 Watford 19 4 5 10 23 32 -9 17
17 Preston 19 3 7 9 18 29 -11 16
18 Cardiff 19 2 9 8 20 38 -18 15
19 Stoke 19 3 4 12 14 30 -16 13
20 Derby 19 2 5 12 17 34 -17 11
21 Luton 20 3 2 15 15 41 -26 11
22 Oxford 19 1 7 11 12 30 -18 10
23 Portsmouth 19 2 4 13 18 43 -25 10
24 Plymouth 20 1 6 13 8 43 -35 9

Stoke   QPR

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Portsmouth 38 13 25 1.2 1.6 11 9 18 46 61 42
2 5 Coventry 39 17 22 1.4 1.3 17 8 14 56 51 59
3 9 Watford 39 17 22 1.2 1.3 15 8 16 47 51 53
4 12 Sheffield Weds 38 16 22 1.4 1.6 14 9 15 53 59 51
5 24 Plymouth 39 18 21 1.0 2.0 7 13 19 40 77 34
6 4 Sunderland 38 19 19 1.4 1.0 19 12 7 55 37 69
7 13 Norwich 38 19 19 1.6 1.4 12 13 13 60 54 49
8 15 QPR 38 19 19 1.2 1.3 11 12 15 44 50 45
9 8 Middlesbrough 38 20 18 1.5 1.3 15 9 14 57 48 54
10 21 Cardiff 38 20 18 1.1 1.6 9 12 17 42 62 39
11 23 Luton 39 21 18 0.9 1.5 10 8 21 35 60 38
12 16 Swansea 38 21 17 1.0 1.3 12 8 18 38 49 44
13 2 Leeds 38 22 16 2.0 0.7 23 11 4 76 25 80
14 14 Preston 38 22 16 1.0 1.2 10 17 11 39 44 47
15 22 Derby 38 22 16 1.1 1.3 10 8 20 40 51 38
16 7 Bristol City 38 23 15 1.3 1.1 14 15 9 49 41 57
17 10 Blackburn 38 23 15 1.1 1.1 15 7 16 42 40 52
18 20 Stoke 38 23 15 1.0 1.3 9 12 17 37 51 39
19 1 Sheffield United 39 25 14 1.4 0.7 26 7 6 56 29 85
20 18 Oxford 38 24 14 1.0 1.4 10 12 16 39 55 42
21 6 West Brom 38 25 13 1.3 0.9 13 18 7 48 34 57
22 19 Hull 39 26 13 1.0 1.2 10 11 18 39 48 41
23 11 Millwall 38 28 10 1.0 1.0 13 12 13 37 39 51
24 3 Burnley 38 29 9 1.4 0.3 21 15 2 52 11 78
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Coventry 19 5 14 1.8 1.2 11 3 5 34 22 36
2 24 Plymouth 19 6 13 1.7 1.8 6 7 6 32 34 25
3 13 Norwich 19 7 12 2.3 1.4 8 7 4 44 27 31
4 15 QPR 19 7 12 1.5 1.4 7 6 6 29 26 27
5 17 Portsmouth 19 7 12 1.5 0.9 9 5 5 28 18 32
6 9 Watford 20 9 11 1.2 0.9 11 3 6 24 19 36
7 2 Leeds 19 9 10 2.5 0.5 15 3 1 47 9 48
8 4 Sunderland 19 10 9 1.6 0.8 11 7 1 31 15 40
9 7 Bristol City 19 11 8 1.5 0.8 10 6 3 28 15 36
10 12 Sheffield Weds 19 11 8 1.4 1.5 5 7 7 27 28 22
11 16 Swansea 19 11 8 1.3 1.1 7 5 7 25 21 26
12 20 Stoke 19 11 8 1.2 1.1 6 8 5 23 21 26
13 23 Luton 19 11 8 1.1 1.0 7 6 6 20 19 27
14 1 Sheffield United 20 13 7 1.5 0.8 14 3 3 30 15 45
15 8 Middlesbrough 19 12 7 1.4 1.1 9 5 5 27 20 32
16 10 Blackburn 19 12 7 1.4 0.9 10 3 6 26 17 33
17 18 Oxford 19 12 7 1.4 1.3 9 5 5 27 25 32
18 19 Hull 20 13 7 1.1 1.2 4 7 9 21 25 19
19 21 Cardiff 19 12 7 1.2 1.3 7 3 9 22 24 24
20 22 Derby 19 12 7 1.2 0.9 8 3 8 23 17 27
21 14 Preston 19 13 6 1.1 0.8 7 10 2 21 15 31
22 3 Burnley 19 14 5 1.4 0.3 10 9 0 27 5 39
23 6 West Brom 19 14 5 1.3 0.6 9 8 2 25 12 35
24 11 Millwall 19 14 5 1.1 0.9 8 4 7 20 17 28
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Sheffield Weds 19 5 14 1.4 1.6 9 2 8 26 31 29
2 17 Portsmouth 19 6 13 0.9 2.3 2 4 13 18 43 10
3 8 Middlesbrough 19 8 11 1.6 1.5 6 4 9 30 28 22
4 9 Watford 19 8 11 1.2 1.7 4 5 10 23 32 17
5 21 Cardiff 19 8 11 1.1 2.0 2 9 8 20 38 15
6 4 Sunderland 19 9 10 1.3 1.2 8 5 6 24 22 29
7 14 Preston 19 9 10 0.9 1.5 3 7 9 18 29 16
8 23 Luton 20 10 10 0.8 2.0 3 2 15 15 41 11
9 16 Swansea 19 10 9 0.7 1.5 5 3 11 13 28 18
10 22 Derby 19 10 9 0.9 1.8 2 5 12 17 34 11
11 5 Coventry 20 12 8 1.1 1.4 6 5 9 22 29 23
12 6 West Brom 19 11 8 1.2 1.2 4 10 5 23 22 22
13 10 Blackburn 19 11 8 0.8 1.2 5 4 10 16 23 19
14 24 Plymouth 20 12 8 0.4 2.1 1 6 13 8 43 9
15 1 Sheffield United 19 12 7 1.4 0.7 12 4 3 26 14 40
16 7 Bristol City 19 12 7 1.1 1.4 4 9 6 21 26 21
17 13 Norwich 19 12 7 0.8 1.4 4 6 9 16 27 18
18 15 QPR 19 12 7 0.8 1.3 4 6 9 15 24 18
19 18 Oxford 19 12 7 0.6 1.6 1 7 11 12 30 10
20 20 Stoke 19 12 7 0.7 1.6 3 4 12 14 30 13
21 2 Leeds 19 13 6 1.5 0.8 8 8 3 29 16 32
22 19 Hull 19 13 6 0.9 1.2 6 4 9 18 23 22
23 11 Millwall 19 14 5 0.9 1.2 5 8 6 17 22 23
24 3 Burnley 19 15 4 1.3 0.3 11 6 2 25 6 39

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38