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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: P Bankes

Bristol City 1–0 Luton

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.25 fair 1.80
Draw 3.40 fair 4.30
Away 3.10 fair 4.72
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 2.11
Over 2.5 2.05 fair 1.90

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bristol City Luton
10 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
5 Corners 4
9 Fouls 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (260 league matches this season so far).
Result Bristol City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.78 – 1.00
Home / Draw / Away
Bristol CityDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 1–0 11% 2–1 9.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Bristol City before this match, all matches
1.23points / match
1.18scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 26:28
Luton before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
1.14scored / match
1.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 25:38
Bristol City all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.18 Goals scored 1.14
1.27 Goals conceded 1.73
2.45 Total goals 2.86
12.50 Shots 11.59
4.05 Shots on target 3.91
11.86 Shots faced 13.68
5.73 Corners 6.59
4.41 Corners against 4.91
11.00 Fouls 12.64
1.95 Yellow cards 2.05
0.32 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.73

How often Full Time

27% Wins 32%
41% Draws 18%
32% Losses 50%
91% Over 0.5 goals 95%
82% Over 1.5 goals 77%
41% Over 2.5 goals 59%
18% Over 3.5 goals 27%
5% Over 4.5 goals 18%
5% Over 5.5 goals 9%
50% Both teams scored 59%
23% Clean sheets 23%
36% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 32%
41% Draws 27%
36% Losses 41%
59% Over 0.5 goals 77%
18% Over 1.5 goals 36%
0% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bristol City all matches
Luton all matches
Bristol City before this match, at home
1.40points / match
1.40scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 14:10
Luton before this match, away
0.40points / match
0.70scored / match
2.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 7:23
Bristol City at home away Luton

Per match

1.40 Goals scored 0.70
1.00 Goals conceded 2.30
2.40 Total goals 3.00
13.30 Shots 10.30
4.40 Shots on target 3.70
10.40 Shots faced 15.10
6.00 Corners 5.80
3.70 Corners against 5.20
9.30 Fouls 12.90
1.40 Yellow cards 2.40
0.30 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 1.10

How often Full Time

30% Wins 10%
50% Draws 10%
20% Losses 80%
80% Over 0.5 goals 90%
70% Over 1.5 goals 70%
40% Over 2.5 goals 50%
20% Over 3.5 goals 40%
10% Over 4.5 goals 30%
10% Over 5.5 goals 20%
60% Both teams scored 40%
30% Clean sheets 20%
30% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 20%
60% Draws 10%
20% Losses 70%
40% Over 0.5 goals 90%
10% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bristol City at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bristol City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.12.24 West Brom – Bristol City 2–0 (2–0) 2.103.303.50 2.10 1.73
14.12.24 Bristol City – QPR 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.604.00 2.10 1.73
10.12.24 Sunderland – Bristol City 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.404.33 2.10 1.73
07.12.24 Portsmouth – Bristol City 3–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.20 1.95 1.90
30.11.24 Bristol City – Plymouth 4–0 (0–0) 1.504.336.00 1.67 2.20
26.11.24 Watford – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.25 2.00 1.85
23.11.24 Bristol City – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.252.63 2.30 1.62
09.11.24 Norwich – Bristol City 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 1.83 2.03
05.11.24 Bristol City – Sheffield United 1–2 (0–0) 3.103.252.30 2.10 1.73
02.11.24 Preston – Bristol City 1–3 (0–1) 2.453.402.80 2.20 1.67

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.24 Luton – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.203.50 2.30 1.62
14.12.24 Blackburn – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 2.153.403.30 2.00 1.80
10.12.24 Luton – Stoke 2–1 (1–1) 2.053.303.60 1.93 1.93
07.12.24 Luton – Swansea 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.25 2.03 1.83
30.11.24 Norwich – Luton 4–2 (2–1) 2.003.703.40 1.80 2.00
27.11.24 Leeds – Luton 3–0 (2–0) 1.424.208.00 1.80 2.00
23.11.24 Luton – Hull 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.503.75 1.90 1.95
09.11.24 Middlesbrough – Luton 5–1 (2–0) 1.734.004.33 1.73 2.10
06.11.24 Luton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.20 1.83 2.03
01.11.24 Luton – West Brom 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.50 2.00 1.85

Bristol City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24 Bristol City – QPR 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.604.00 2.10 1.73
30.11.24 Bristol City – Plymouth 4–0 (0–0) 1.504.336.00 1.67 2.20
23.11.24 Bristol City – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.252.63 2.30 1.62
05.11.24 Bristol City – Sheffield United 1–2 (0–0) 3.103.252.30 2.10 1.73
26.10.24 Bristol City – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.601.82 1.93 1.93
06.10.24 Bristol City – Cardiff 1–1 (0–0) 1.753.904.20 2.00 1.85
02.10.24 Bristol City – Sheffield Weds 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.503.20 1.95 1.90
21.09.24 Bristol City – Oxford 2–1 (0–1) 1.753.604.75 1.98 1.88
24.08.24 Bristol City – Coventry 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.402.80 1.88 1.98
17.08.24 Bristol City – Millwall 4–3 (2–0) 2.003.204.10 2.35 1.57

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24 Blackburn – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 2.153.403.30 2.00 1.80
30.11.24 Norwich – Luton 4–2 (2–1) 2.003.703.40 1.80 2.00
27.11.24 Leeds – Luton 3–0 (2–0) 1.424.208.00 1.80 2.00
09.11.24 Middlesbrough – Luton 5–1 (2–0) 1.734.004.33 1.73 2.10
26.10.24 Coventry – Luton 3–2 (0–2) 2.203.403.20 1.83 2.03
05.10.24 Sheffield United – Luton 2–0 (1–0) 1.903.703.90 1.90 1.95
27.09.24 Plymouth – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 4.003.701.85 1.62 2.30
14.09.24 Millwall – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 2.00 1.80
24.08.24 Preston – Luton 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.20 1.98 1.88
17.08.24 Portsmouth – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.25 1.75 2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bristol City winsDrawsLuton wins
4matches
2.00goals / match
25%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.23E1 Luton – Bristol City 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.504.50 2.10 1.73
16.08.22E1 Bristol City – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 2.623.402.55 2.02 1.83
25.01.22E1 Luton – Bristol City 2–1 (1–0) 1.753.404.75 1.95 1.90
15.09.21E1 Bristol City – Luton 1–1 (0–0) 2.453.203.00 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 22 15 5 2 32 11 +21 50
2 Leeds 22 13 6 3 41 15 +26 45
3 Burnley 22 12 8 2 28 9 +19 44
4 Sunderland 22 12 7 3 34 18 +16 43
5 Blackburn 21 11 4 6 25 18 +7 37
6 Middlesbrough 22 10 5 7 38 28 +10 35
7 West Brom 22 8 11 3 26 16 +10 35
8 Watford 21 10 4 7 30 28 +2 34
9 Sheffield Weds 22 9 5 8 28 30 -2 32
10 Millwall 21 7 7 7 21 18 +3 28
11 Swansea 22 7 6 9 24 24 0 27
12 Bristol City 22 6 9 7 26 28 -2 27
13 Norwich 22 6 8 8 37 34 +3 26
14 QPR 22 5 10 7 23 28 -5 25
15 Luton 22 7 4 11 25 38 -13 25
16 Derby 22 6 6 10 27 28 -1 24
17 Coventry 22 6 6 10 28 34 -6 24
18 Preston 22 4 11 7 22 29 -7 23
19 Stoke 22 5 7 10 23 30 -7 22
20 Portsmouth 20 4 8 8 25 35 -10 20
21 Hull 22 4 7 11 21 31 -10 19
22 Cardiff 21 4 6 11 19 34 -15 18
23 Oxford 21 4 6 11 21 37 -16 18
24 Plymouth 21 4 6 11 22 45 -23 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 12 10 1 1 29 6 +23 31
2 Sheffield United 10 9 1 0 16 2 +14 28
3 Watford 10 8 2 0 15 5 +10 26
4 Sunderland 11 7 4 0 19 7 +12 25
5 Burnley 11 6 5 0 15 4 +11 23
6 Blackburn 10 7 1 2 15 7 +8 22
7 Luton 12 6 3 3 18 15 +3 21
8 Middlesbrough 11 6 2 3 16 11 +5 20
9 Millwall 12 6 2 4 14 9 +5 20
10 West Brom 11 4 6 1 10 5 +5 18
11 Derby 10 5 2 3 17 9 +8 17
12 Norwich 10 4 4 2 26 15 +11 16
13 Plymouth 10 4 4 2 19 16 +3 16
14 Sheffield Weds 12 4 4 4 16 16 0 16
15 Oxford 11 4 4 3 14 15 -1 16
16 Preston 11 3 6 2 11 10 +1 15
17 Bristol City 10 3 5 2 14 10 +4 14
18 Coventry 10 4 2 4 18 16 +2 14
19 Stoke 11 3 5 3 17 15 +2 14
20 QPR 12 3 5 4 15 17 -2 14
21 Swansea 10 3 4 3 14 12 +2 13
22 Portsmouth 10 3 4 3 13 11 +2 13
23 Cardiff 11 4 0 7 11 16 -5 12
24 Hull 12 2 5 5 11 14 -3 11
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 12 6 4 2 16 9 +7 22
2 Burnley 11 6 3 2 13 5 +8 21
3 Sunderland 11 5 3 3 15 11 +4 18
4 West Brom 11 4 5 2 16 11 +5 17
5 Sheffield Weds 10 5 1 4 12 14 -2 16
6 Middlesbrough 11 4 3 4 22 17 +5 15
7 Blackburn 11 4 3 4 10 11 -1 15
8 Leeds 10 3 5 2 12 9 +3 14
9 Swansea 12 4 2 6 10 12 -2 14
10 Bristol City 12 3 4 5 12 18 -6 13
11 QPR 10 2 5 3 8 11 -3 11
12 Norwich 12 2 4 6 11 19 -8 10
13 Coventry 12 2 4 6 10 18 -8 10
14 Millwall 9 1 5 3 7 9 -2 8
15 Hull 10 2 2 6 10 17 -7 8
16 Watford 11 2 2 7 15 23 -8 8
17 Preston 11 1 5 5 11 19 -8 8
18 Stoke 11 2 2 7 6 15 -9 8
19 Derby 12 1 4 7 10 19 -9 7
20 Portsmouth 10 1 4 5 12 24 -12 7
21 Cardiff 10 0 6 4 8 18 -10 6
22 Luton 10 1 1 8 7 23 -16 4
23 Oxford 10 0 2 8 7 22 -15 2
24 Plymouth 11 0 2 9 3 29 -26 2

Bristol City   Luton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Watford 21 8 13 1.4 1.3 10 4 7 30 28 34
2 13 Norwich 22 9 13 1.7 1.5 6 8 8 37 34 26
3 15 Luton 22 9 13 1.1 1.7 7 4 11 25 38 25
4 17 Coventry 22 9 13 1.3 1.5 6 6 10 28 34 24
5 20 Portsmouth 20 7 13 1.2 1.8 4 8 8 25 35 20
6 24 Plymouth 21 9 12 1.0 2.1 4 6 11 22 45 18
7 4 Sunderland 22 12 10 1.5 0.8 12 7 3 34 18 43
8 6 Middlesbrough 22 12 10 1.7 1.3 10 5 7 38 28 35
9 9 Sheffield Weds 22 12 10 1.3 1.4 9 5 8 28 30 32
10 16 Derby 22 12 10 1.2 1.3 6 6 10 27 28 24
11 23 Oxford 21 11 10 1.0 1.8 4 6 11 21 37 18
12 2 Leeds 22 13 9 1.9 0.7 13 6 3 41 15 45
13 11 Swansea 22 13 9 1.1 1.1 7 6 9 24 24 27
14 12 Bristol City 22 13 9 1.2 1.3 6 9 7 26 28 27
15 18 Preston 22 13 9 1.0 1.3 4 11 7 22 29 23
16 19 Stoke 22 13 9 1.0 1.4 5 7 10 23 30 22
17 7 West Brom 22 14 8 1.2 0.7 8 11 3 26 16 35
18 14 QPR 22 14 8 1.0 1.3 5 10 7 23 28 25
19 21 Hull 22 14 8 1.0 1.4 4 7 11 21 31 19
20 5 Blackburn 21 14 7 1.2 0.9 11 4 6 25 18 37
21 22 Cardiff 21 14 7 0.9 1.6 4 6 11 19 34 18
22 1 Sheffield United 22 17 5 1.5 0.5 15 5 2 32 11 50
23 3 Burnley 22 17 5 1.3 0.4 12 8 2 28 9 44
24 10 Millwall 21 17 4 1.0 0.9 7 7 7 21 18 28
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Coventry 10 1 9 1.8 1.6 4 2 4 18 16 14
2 15 Luton 12 4 8 1.5 1.2 6 3 3 18 15 21
3 2 Leeds 12 5 7 2.4 0.5 10 1 1 29 6 31
4 13 Norwich 10 3 7 2.6 1.5 4 4 2 26 15 16
5 24 Plymouth 10 3 7 1.9 1.6 4 4 2 19 16 16
6 14 QPR 12 6 6 1.2 1.4 3 5 4 15 17 14
7 19 Stoke 11 5 6 1.5 1.4 3 5 3 17 15 14
8 20 Portsmouth 10 4 6 1.3 1.1 3 4 3 13 11 13
9 4 Sunderland 11 6 5 1.7 0.6 7 4 0 19 7 25
10 8 Watford 10 5 5 1.5 0.5 8 2 0 15 5 26
11 16 Derby 10 5 5 1.7 0.9 5 2 3 17 9 17
12 6 Middlesbrough 11 7 4 1.5 1.0 6 2 3 16 11 20
13 11 Swansea 10 6 4 1.4 1.2 3 4 3 14 12 13
14 12 Bristol City 10 6 4 1.4 1.0 3 5 2 14 10 14
15 23 Oxford 11 7 4 1.3 1.4 4 4 3 14 15 16
16 3 Burnley 11 8 3 1.4 0.4 6 5 0 15 4 23
17 5 Blackburn 10 7 3 1.5 0.7 7 1 2 15 7 22
18 9 Sheffield Weds 12 9 3 1.3 1.3 4 4 4 16 16 16
19 10 Millwall 12 9 3 1.2 0.8 6 2 4 14 9 20
20 18 Preston 11 8 3 1.0 0.9 3 6 2 11 10 15
21 21 Hull 12 9 3 0.9 1.2 2 5 5 11 14 11
22 22 Cardiff 11 8 3 1.0 1.5 4 0 7 11 16 12
23 1 Sheffield United 10 8 2 1.6 0.2 9 1 0 16 2 28
24 7 West Brom 11 9 2 0.9 0.5 4 6 1 10 5 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Watford 11 3 8 1.4 2.1 2 2 7 15 23 8
2 9 Sheffield Weds 10 3 7 1.2 1.4 5 1 4 12 14 16
3 20 Portsmouth 10 3 7 1.2 2.4 1 4 5 12 24 7
4 6 Middlesbrough 11 5 6 2.0 1.5 4 3 4 22 17 15
5 7 West Brom 11 5 6 1.5 1.0 4 5 2 16 11 17
6 13 Norwich 12 6 6 0.9 1.6 2 4 6 11 19 10
7 18 Preston 11 5 6 1.0 1.7 1 5 5 11 19 8
8 23 Oxford 10 4 6 0.7 2.2 0 2 8 7 22 2
9 4 Sunderland 11 6 5 1.4 1.0 5 3 3 15 11 18
10 11 Swansea 12 7 5 0.8 1.0 4 2 6 10 12 14
11 12 Bristol City 12 7 5 1.0 1.5 3 4 5 12 18 13
12 15 Luton 10 5 5 0.7 2.3 1 1 8 7 23 4
13 16 Derby 12 7 5 0.8 1.6 1 4 7 10 19 7
14 21 Hull 10 5 5 1.0 1.7 2 2 6 10 17 8
15 24 Plymouth 11 6 5 0.3 2.6 0 2 9 3 29 2
16 5 Blackburn 11 7 4 0.9 1.0 4 3 4 10 11 15
17 17 Coventry 12 8 4 0.8 1.5 2 4 6 10 18 10
18 22 Cardiff 10 6 4 0.8 1.8 0 6 4 8 18 6
19 1 Sheffield United 12 9 3 1.3 0.8 6 4 2 16 9 22
20 19 Stoke 11 8 3 0.5 1.4 2 2 7 6 15 8
21 2 Leeds 10 8 2 1.2 0.9 3 5 2 12 9 14
22 3 Burnley 11 9 2 1.2 0.5 6 3 2 13 5 21
23 14 QPR 10 8 2 0.8 1.1 2 5 3 8 11 11
24 10 Millwall 9 8 1 0.8 1.0 1 5 3 7 9 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44