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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Moss

Luton 0–1 Stoke

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2021/2022

Home 2.40 fair 2.14
Draw 3.20 fair 4.03
Away ✓ 3.10 fair 3.52
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.66 fair 2.11
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 1.90

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Stoke
7 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 1
5 Corners 6
10 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (192 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.81
Expected goals 1.59 – 1.19
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawStoke
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–0 9.9% 2–1 9.3%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.63scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 26:21
Stoke before this match, all matches
1.56points / match
1.31scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 21:19
Luton all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

1.63 Goals scored 1.31
1.31 Goals conceded 1.19
2.94 Total goals 2.50
11.63 Shots 12.13
3.94 Shots on target 4.25
11.00 Shots faced 10.81
5.13 Corners 5.81
5.38 Corners against 5.13
13.06 Fouls 10.38
1.94 Yellow cards 2.00
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

38% Wins 44%
38% Draws 25%
25% Losses 31%
88% Over 0.5 goals 94%
75% Over 1.5 goals 69%
56% Over 2.5 goals 50%
44% Over 3.5 goals 19%
25% Over 4.5 goals 13%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
44% Both teams scored 56%
44% Clean sheets 31%
25% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 31%
19% Draws 56%
44% Losses 13%
81% Over 0.5 goals 56%
44% Over 1.5 goals 31%
13% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Stoke all matches
Luton before this match, at home
1.88points / match
1.88scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 15:9
Stoke before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 8:11
Luton at home away Stoke

Per match

1.88 Goals scored 1.00
1.13 Goals conceded 1.38
3.00 Total goals 2.38
13.13 Shots 12.75
4.25 Shots on target 3.88
10.13 Shots faced 11.75
5.13 Corners 6.00
4.75 Corners against 5.00
13.13 Fouls 10.25
1.38 Yellow cards 2.50
1.13 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 25%
38% Draws 25%
13% Losses 50%
75% Over 0.5 goals 88%
63% Over 1.5 goals 75%
63% Over 2.5 goals 63%
50% Over 3.5 goals 13%
38% Over 4.5 goals 0%
13% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 63%
63% Clean sheets 25%
38% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 25%
25% Draws 50%
25% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 63%
38% Over 1.5 goals 25%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 8 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Stoke away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.21 Luton – Middlesbrough 3–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.25 2.00 1.80
30.10.21 Preston – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 2.453.203.00 2.10 1.72
23.10.21 Luton – Hull 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 2.10 1.72
19.10.21 Derby – Luton 2–2 (1–0) 3.303.202.30 2.50 1.53
16.10.21 Millwall – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 2.373.203.25 2.10 1.72
02.10.21 Luton – Huddersfield 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.75 2.00 1.80
29.09.21 Luton – Coventry 5–0 (4–0) 2.703.202.70 2.10 1.72
25.09.21 Bournemouth – Luton 2–1 (2–0) 1.574.335.50 1.85 2.00
18.09.21 Luton – Swansea 3–3 (3–0) 2.053.253.80 2.10 1.72
15.09.21 Bristol City – Luton 1–1 (0–0) 2.453.203.00 2.20 1.66

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.11.21 Blackpool – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.402.25 2.10 1.72
30.10.21 Stoke – Cardiff 3–3 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.00 1.80
23.10.21 Millwall – Stoke 2–1 (0–1) 2.503.103.00 2.37 1.57
19.10.21 Stoke – Bournemouth 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.202.80 2.00 1.80
16.10.21 Sheffield United – Stoke 2–1 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.10 1.72
01.10.21 Stoke – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.10 1.72
28.09.21 Preston – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.102.80 2.30 1.61
25.09.21 Stoke – Hull 2–0 (1–0) 1.573.806.50 2.20 1.66
18.09.21 Derby – Stoke 2–1 (2–0) 3.103.102.45 2.37 1.57
15.09.21 Stoke – Barnsley 1–1 (1–1) 1.753.505.00 2.20 1.66

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.21 Luton – Middlesbrough 3–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.25 2.00 1.80
23.10.21 Luton – Hull 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 2.10 1.72
02.10.21 Luton – Huddersfield 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.75 2.00 1.80
29.09.21 Luton – Coventry 5–0 (4–0) 2.703.202.70 2.10 1.72
18.09.21 Luton – Swansea 3–3 (3–0) 2.053.253.80 2.10 1.72
28.08.21 Luton – Sheffield United 0–0 (0–0) 2.873.202.55 2.30 1.61
21.08.21 Luton – Birmingham 0–5 (0–2) 2.003.253.80 2.20 1.66
07.08.21 Luton – Peterboro 3–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 2.00 1.85

Stoke away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.11.21 Blackpool – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.402.25 2.10 1.72
23.10.21 Millwall – Stoke 2–1 (0–1) 2.503.103.00 2.37 1.57
16.10.21 Sheffield United – Stoke 2–1 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.10 1.72
28.09.21 Preston – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.102.80 2.30 1.61
18.09.21 Derby – Stoke 2–1 (2–0) 3.103.102.45 2.37 1.57
28.08.21 Fulham – Stoke 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.404.50 2.20 1.66
17.08.21 Swansea – Stoke 1–3 (0–1) 3.103.102.45 2.37 1.57
14.08.21 Birmingham – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.80 2.50 1.53

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bournemouth 16 11 4 1 27 10 +17 37
2 Fulham 16 11 2 3 43 14 +29 35
3 West Brom 16 9 4 3 26 14 +12 31
4 Coventry 16 8 3 5 22 19 +3 27
5 QPR 16 7 4 5 27 23 +4 25
6 Stoke 16 7 4 5 21 19 +2 25
7 Huddersfield 16 7 4 5 20 18 +2 25
8 Luton 16 6 6 4 26 21 +5 24
9 Millwall 16 6 6 4 16 16 0 24
10 Blackpool 16 7 3 6 18 19 -1 24
11 Swansea 16 6 5 5 20 18 +2 23
12 Blackburn 16 6 5 5 25 25 0 23
13 Birmingham 16 6 4 6 17 17 0 22
14 Middlesbrough 16 6 3 7 18 18 0 21
15 Preston 16 5 6 5 18 19 -1 21
16 Sheffield United 16 5 4 7 21 23 -2 19
17 Nott'm Forest 16 5 4 7 20 22 -2 19
18 Reading 16 6 1 9 20 27 -7 19
19 Bristol City 16 5 4 7 17 24 -7 19
20 Derby 16 3 8 5 12 15 -3 17
21 Peterboro 16 4 3 9 17 31 -14 15
22 Cardiff 16 3 3 10 15 30 -15 12
23 Barnsley 16 2 5 9 12 23 -11 11
24 Hull 16 2 3 11 9 22 -13 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 8 6 2 0 15 4 +11 20
2 Fulham 8 6 1 1 19 5 +14 19
3 Coventry 8 6 1 1 16 6 +10 19
4 Bournemouth 8 5 2 1 17 9 +8 17
5 Stoke 8 5 2 1 13 8 +5 17
6 Huddersfield 8 5 1 2 12 9 +3 16
7 Luton 8 4 3 1 15 9 +6 15
8 Swansea 8 4 3 1 10 4 +6 15
9 QPR 8 4 3 1 13 8 +5 15
10 Preston 8 4 3 1 11 8 +3 15
11 Blackburn 8 4 2 2 16 15 +1 14
12 Millwall 8 4 2 2 9 8 +1 14
13 Middlesbrough 8 4 1 3 12 9 +3 13
14 Reading 8 4 1 3 14 13 +1 13
15 Peterboro 8 3 3 2 12 9 +3 12
16 Blackpool 8 4 0 4 6 8 -2 12
17 Derby 8 2 5 1 8 7 +1 11
18 Birmingham 8 3 2 3 8 10 -2 11
19 Sheffield United 8 3 1 4 13 11 +2 10
20 Barnsley 8 2 2 4 7 10 -3 8
21 Bristol City 8 1 4 3 6 9 -3 7
22 Hull 8 1 2 5 5 11 -6 5
23 Nott'm Forest 8 1 2 5 7 15 -8 5
24 Cardiff 8 1 1 6 5 13 -8 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bournemouth 8 6 2 0 10 1 +9 20
2 Fulham 8 5 1 2 24 9 +15 16
3 Nott'm Forest 8 4 2 2 13 7 +6 14
4 Blackpool 8 3 3 2 12 11 +1 12
5 Bristol City 8 4 0 4 11 15 -4 12
6 Birmingham 8 3 2 3 9 7 +2 11
7 West Brom 8 3 2 3 11 10 +1 11
8 QPR 8 3 1 4 14 15 -1 10
9 Millwall 8 2 4 2 7 8 -1 10
10 Luton 8 2 3 3 11 12 -1 9
11 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 9 10 -1 9
12 Huddersfield 8 2 3 3 8 9 -1 9
13 Sheffield United 8 2 3 3 8 12 -4 9
14 Stoke 8 2 2 4 8 11 -3 8
15 Middlesbrough 8 2 2 4 6 9 -3 8
16 Swansea 8 2 2 4 10 14 -4 8
17 Cardiff 8 2 2 4 10 17 -7 8
18 Coventry 8 2 2 4 6 13 -7 8
19 Preston 8 1 3 4 7 11 -4 6
20 Derby 8 1 3 4 4 8 -4 6
21 Reading 8 2 0 6 6 14 -8 6
22 Hull 8 1 1 6 4 11 -7 4
23 Barnsley 8 0 3 5 5 13 -8 3
24 Peterboro 8 1 0 7 5 22 -17 3

Luton   Stoke

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Fulham 16 5 11 2.7 0.9 11 2 3 43 14 35
2 21 Peterboro 16 5 11 1.1 1.9 4 3 9 17 31 15
3 5 QPR 16 6 10 1.7 1.4 7 4 5 27 23 25
4 11 Swansea 16 6 10 1.2 1.1 6 5 5 20 18 23
5 12 Blackburn 16 6 10 1.6 1.6 6 5 5 25 25 23
6 1 Bournemouth 16 7 9 1.7 0.6 11 4 1 27 10 37
7 3 West Brom 16 7 9 1.6 0.9 9 4 3 26 14 31
8 8 Luton 16 7 9 1.6 1.3 6 6 4 26 21 24
9 16 Sheffield United 16 7 9 1.3 1.4 5 4 7 21 23 19
10 17 Nott'm Forest 16 7 9 1.2 1.4 5 4 7 20 22 19
11 18 Reading 16 7 9 1.2 1.7 6 1 9 20 27 19
12 19 Bristol City 16 7 9 1.1 1.5 5 4 7 17 24 19
13 4 Coventry 16 8 8 1.4 1.2 8 3 5 22 19 27
14 6 Stoke 16 8 8 1.3 1.2 7 4 5 21 19 25
15 22 Cardiff 16 8 8 0.9 1.9 3 3 10 15 30 12
16 7 Huddersfield 16 9 7 1.2 1.1 7 4 5 20 18 25
17 10 Blackpool 16 9 7 1.1 1.2 7 3 6 18 19 24
18 15 Preston 16 9 7 1.1 1.2 5 6 5 18 19 21
19 13 Birmingham 16 10 6 1.1 1.1 6 4 6 17 17 22
20 23 Barnsley 16 10 6 0.8 1.4 2 5 9 12 23 11
21 9 Millwall 16 11 5 1.0 1.0 6 6 4 16 16 24
22 20 Derby 16 11 5 0.8 0.9 3 8 5 12 15 17
23 14 Middlesbrough 16 12 4 1.1 1.1 6 3 7 18 18 21
24 24 Hull 16 12 4 0.6 1.4 2 3 11 9 22 9
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bournemouth 8 0 8 2.1 1.1 5 2 1 17 9 17
2 12 Blackburn 8 2 6 2.0 1.9 4 2 2 16 15 14
3 2 Fulham 8 3 5 2.4 0.6 6 1 1 19 5 19
4 4 Coventry 8 3 5 2.0 0.8 6 1 1 16 6 19
5 8 Luton 8 3 5 1.9 1.1 4 3 1 15 9 15
6 16 Sheffield United 8 3 5 1.6 1.4 3 1 4 13 11 10
7 17 Nott'm Forest 8 3 5 0.9 1.9 1 2 5 7 15 5
8 18 Reading 8 3 5 1.8 1.6 4 1 3 14 13 13
9 21 Peterboro 8 3 5 1.5 1.1 3 3 2 12 9 12
10 3 West Brom 8 4 4 1.9 0.5 6 2 0 15 4 20
11 11 Swansea 8 4 4 1.2 0.5 4 3 1 10 4 15
12 13 Birmingham 8 4 4 1.0 1.2 3 2 3 8 10 11
13 5 QPR 8 5 3 1.6 1.0 4 3 1 13 8 15
14 6 Stoke 8 5 3 1.6 1.0 5 2 1 13 8 17
15 7 Huddersfield 8 5 3 1.5 1.1 5 1 2 12 9 16
16 9 Millwall 8 5 3 1.1 1.0 4 2 2 9 8 14
17 14 Middlesbrough 8 5 3 1.5 1.1 4 1 3 12 9 13
18 15 Preston 8 5 3 1.4 1.0 4 3 1 11 8 15
19 20 Derby 8 5 3 1.0 0.9 2 5 1 8 7 11
20 22 Cardiff 8 5 3 0.6 1.6 1 1 6 5 13 4
21 23 Barnsley 8 5 3 0.9 1.2 2 2 4 7 10 8
22 24 Hull 8 5 3 0.6 1.4 1 2 5 5 11 5
23 10 Blackpool 8 6 2 0.8 1.0 4 0 4 6 8 12
24 19 Bristol City 8 6 2 0.8 1.1 1 4 3 6 9 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 QPR 8 1 7 1.8 1.9 3 1 4 14 15 10
2 19 Bristol City 8 1 7 1.4 1.9 4 0 4 11 15 12
3 2 Fulham 8 2 6 3.0 1.1 5 1 2 24 9 16
4 11 Swansea 8 2 6 1.2 1.8 2 2 4 10 14 8
5 21 Peterboro 8 2 6 0.6 2.8 1 0 7 5 22 3
6 3 West Brom 8 3 5 1.4 1.2 3 2 3 11 10 11
7 6 Stoke 8 3 5 1.0 1.4 2 2 4 8 11 8
8 10 Blackpool 8 3 5 1.5 1.4 3 3 2 12 11 12
9 22 Cardiff 8 3 5 1.2 2.1 2 2 4 10 17 8
10 7 Huddersfield 8 4 4 1.0 1.1 2 3 3 8 9 9
11 8 Luton 8 4 4 1.4 1.5 2 3 3 11 12 9
12 12 Blackburn 8 4 4 1.1 1.2 2 3 3 9 10 9
13 15 Preston 8 4 4 0.9 1.4 1 3 4 7 11 6
14 16 Sheffield United 8 4 4 1.0 1.5 2 3 3 8 12 9
15 17 Nott'm Forest 8 4 4 1.6 0.9 4 2 2 13 7 14
16 18 Reading 8 4 4 0.8 1.8 2 0 6 6 14 6
17 4 Coventry 8 5 3 0.8 1.6 2 2 4 6 13 8
18 23 Barnsley 8 5 3 0.6 1.6 0 3 5 5 13 3
19 9 Millwall 8 6 2 0.9 1.0 2 4 2 7 8 10
20 13 Birmingham 8 6 2 1.1 0.9 3 2 3 9 7 11
21 20 Derby 8 6 2 0.5 1.0 1 3 4 4 8 6
22 1 Bournemouth 8 7 1 1.2 0.1 6 2 0 10 1 20
23 14 Middlesbrough 8 7 1 0.8 1.1 2 2 4 6 9 8
24 24 Hull 8 7 1 0.5 1.4 1 1 6 4 11 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51