Bristol City 2–1 Middlesbrough – England Championship, 21 Feb 2025

Match facts

Bristol City Middlesbrough

21 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 4

4 Corners 1

10 Fouls 13

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (394 league matches this season so far).

Result Bristol City to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.81

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.19

Home / Draw / Away

46% 25% 29%

Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough

Under / Over 2.5 goals

48% 52%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

45% 55%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

15% 4

15% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.8% 1–0 9.9% 2–1 9.3%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Bristol City before this match, all matches

1.39points / match

1.24scored / match

1.12conceded / match

11 13 9

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 41:37

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches

1.38points / match

1.56scored / match

1.34conceded / match

12 8 12

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 50:43

Bristol City all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.24 Goals scored 1.56

1.12 Goals conceded 1.34

2.36 Total goals 2.91

12.61 Shots 14.03

4.00 Shots on target 4.94

11.70 Shots faced 10.03

5.58 Corners 5.34

4.33 Corners against 5.03

10.67 Fouls 9.41

1.76 Yellow cards 1.53

0.42 1st-half goals scored 0.81

0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

33% Wins 38%

39% Draws 25%

27% Losses 38%

94% Over 0.5 goals 97%

76% Over 1.5 goals 69%

39% Over 2.5 goals 47%

18% Over 3.5 goals 34%

3% Over 4.5 goals 22%

3% Over 5.5 goals 16%

48% Both teams scored 53%

27% Clean sheets 28%

30% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 34%

45% Draws 38%

27% Losses 28%

58% Over 0.5 goals 78%

18% Over 1.5 goals 41%

3% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bristol City all matches

3

W

2

D

1

W

1

L

2

D

2

1

W

1

D

1

L

2

W

1

D

Middlesbrough all matches

3

D

1

W

1

D

1

2

L

2

W

1

2

L

2

3

L

1

3

L

1

L

Bristol City before this match, at home

1.81points / match

1.44scored / match

0.75conceded / match

8 5 3

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 23:12

Middlesbrough before this match, away

1.20points / match

1.73scored / match

1.60conceded / match

5 3 7

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 26:24

Bristol City at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 1.73

0.75 Goals conceded 1.60

2.19 Total goals 3.33

13.69 Shots 13.13

4.38 Shots on target 5.40

9.31 Shots faced 10.87

5.94 Corners 5.13

3.94 Corners against 5.73

9.31 Fouls 9.33

1.44 Yellow cards 1.67

0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.73

0.19 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

50% Wins 33%

31% Draws 20%

19% Losses 47%

88% Over 0.5 goals 100%

63% Over 1.5 goals 73%

38% Over 2.5 goals 60%

13% Over 3.5 goals 40%

6% Over 4.5 goals 27%

6% Over 5.5 goals 20%

44% Both teams scored 67%

44% Clean sheets 20%

25% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 27%

56% Draws 40%

13% Losses 33%

50% Over 0.5 goals 73%

19% Over 1.5 goals 33%

6% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bristol City at home

1

2

L

1

L

4

W

1

D

1

W

3

W

1

W

2

1

W

1

L

2

W

Middlesbrough away

3

D

4

1

W

6

2

W

1

D

1

3

L

3

D

1

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Bristol City all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.02.25	Cardiff – Bristol City	1–1 (0–0)	2.80	3.25	2.55	2.10	1.73
12.02.25	Bristol City – Stoke	2–0 (1–0)	1.73	3.70	5.00	2.00	1.85
09.02.25	Bristol City – Swansea	0–1 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.10	2.10	1.73
01.02.25	Oxford – Bristol City	1–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.30	2.25	2.20	1.67
25.01.25	Bristol City – Blackburn	2–1 (1–1)	1.95	3.50	3.75	2.20	1.67
22.01.25	Sheffield Weds – Bristol City	2–2 (1–0)	2.50	3.20	2.88	2.10	1.73
18.01.25	Coventry – Bristol City	1–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.30	3.50	1.98	1.88
04.01.25	Bristol City – Derby	1–0 (1–0)	1.90	3.30	4.20	2.30	1.62
01.01.25	Plymouth – Bristol City	2–2 (0–1)	4.00	3.75	1.83	1.80	2.00
29.12.24	Bristol City – Portsmouth	3–0 (3–0)	1.67	3.75	4.75	1.95	1.90

Middlesbrough all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.02.25	Middlesbrough – Watford	0–1 (0–1)	1.60	3.90	5.50	1.62	2.30
12.02.25	Sheffield United – Middlesbrough	3–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.40	3.10	1.93	1.93
03.02.25	Middlesbrough – Sunderland	2–3 (1–1)	2.35	3.40	3.00	1.93	1.93
25.01.25	Preston – Middlesbrough	2–1 (1–0)	3.25	3.25	2.25	2.10	1.73
21.01.25	Middlesbrough – West Brom	2–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.40	3.75	2.00	1.85
18.01.25	Portsmouth – Middlesbrough	2–1 (0–1)	4.50	3.60	1.75	1.67	2.20
04.01.25	Middlesbrough – Cardiff	1–1 (1–1)	1.57	4.20	5.25	1.73	2.10
01.01.25	Hull – Middlesbrough	0–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.50	2.10	1.88	1.98
29.12.24	Middlesbrough – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.25	3.10	2.10	1.73
26.12.24	Middlesbrough – Sheffield Weds	3–3 (3–0)	1.65	3.90	5.00	1.73	2.10

Bristol City at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.02.25	Bristol City – Stoke	2–0 (1–0)	1.73	3.70	5.00	2.00	1.85
09.02.25	Bristol City – Swansea	0–1 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.10	2.10	1.73
25.01.25	Bristol City – Blackburn	2–1 (1–1)	1.95	3.50	3.75	2.20	1.67
04.01.25	Bristol City – Derby	1–0 (1–0)	1.90	3.30	4.20	2.30	1.62
29.12.24	Bristol City – Portsmouth	3–0 (3–0)	1.67	3.75	4.75	1.95	1.90
26.12.24	Bristol City – Luton	1–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.40	3.10	2.05	1.80
14.12.24	Bristol City – QPR	1–1 (0–0)	1.85	3.60	4.00	2.10	1.73
30.11.24	Bristol City – Plymouth	4–0 (0–0)	1.50	4.33	6.00	1.67	2.20
23.11.24	Bristol City – Burnley	0–1 (0–1)	2.70	3.25	2.63	2.30	1.62
05.11.24	Bristol City – Sheffield United	1–2 (0–0)	3.10	3.25	2.30	2.10	1.73

Middlesbrough away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.02.25	Sheffield United – Middlesbrough	3–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.40	3.10	1.93	1.93
25.01.25	Preston – Middlesbrough	2–1 (1–0)	3.25	3.25	2.25	2.10	1.73
18.01.25	Portsmouth – Middlesbrough	2–1 (0–1)	4.50	3.60	1.75	1.67	2.20
01.01.25	Hull – Middlesbrough	0–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.50	2.10	1.88	1.98
21.12.24	Plymouth – Middlesbrough	3–3 (1–0)	6.00	4.50	1.48	1.57	2.38
10.12.24	Leeds – Middlesbrough	3–1 (1–0)	1.70	3.70	4.75	1.93	1.93
06.12.24	Burnley – Middlesbrough	1–1 (1–1)	2.45	3.30	2.90	2.10	1.73
23.11.24	Oxford – Middlesbrough	2–6 (1–3)	5.00	4.20	1.60	1.83	2.03
05.11.24	QPR – Middlesbrough	1–4 (0–2)	3.50	3.60	1.95	1.88	1.98
27.10.24	Norwich – Middlesbrough	3–3 (1–3)	2.75	3.30	2.50	1.73	2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

4 2 1

Bristol City winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins

7matches

3.14goals / match

71%over 2.5

86%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.10.24E1	Middlesbrough – Bristol City	0–2 (0–2)	1.70	3.80	4.75	1.80	2.00
10.02.24E1	Middlesbrough – Bristol City	1–2 (0–2)	1.70	4.00	4.50	1.95	1.90
25.11.23E1	Bristol City – Middlesbrough	3–2 (2–0)	3.60	3.30	2.10	2.00	1.85
10.04.23E1	Bristol City – Middlesbrough	2–2 (1–0)	3.60	3.50	2.05	1.90	1.95
05.11.22E1	Middlesbrough – Bristol City	1–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.60	4.75	1.90	1.95
19.02.22E1	Bristol City – Middlesbrough	2–1 (1–0)	3.80	3.25	2.10	2.20	1.66
14.08.21E1	Middlesbrough – Bristol City	2–1 (1–0)	1.80	3.40	5.00	2.20	1.66

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	33	21	9	3	68	20	+48	72
2	Sheffield United	33	22	6	5	47	23	+24	72
3	Burnley	33	17	14	2	39	9	+30	65
4	Sunderland	33	17	11	5	50	30	+20	62
5	Blackburn	33	15	6	12	39	31	+8	51
6	West Brom	33	11	15	7	42	31	+11	48
7	Coventry	33	13	8	12	44	41	+3	47
8	Bristol City	33	11	13	9	41	37	+4	46
9	Sheffield Weds	33	12	9	12	46	50	-4	45
10	Watford	33	13	6	14	43	48	-5	45
11	Middlesbrough	32	12	8	12	50	43	+7	44
12	Norwich	33	11	11	11	51	45	+6	44
13	QPR	33	11	11	11	39	41	-2	44
14	Millwall	33	10	12	11	33	34	-1	42
15	Preston	33	9	15	9	35	39	-4	42
16	Oxford	33	9	11	13	34	47	-13	38
17	Swansea	33	10	7	16	34	46	-12	37
18	Portsmouth	33	9	9	15	41	55	-14	36
19	Stoke	32	8	11	13	31	40	-9	35
20	Cardiff	32	7	11	14	35	54	-19	32
21	Hull	32	7	9	16	32	43	-11	30
22	Derby	33	7	8	18	33	46	-13	29
23	Plymouth	33	6	11	16	35	67	-32	29
24	Luton	33	7	7	19	31	53	-22	28

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	17	14	2	1	44	8	+36	44
2	Sheffield United	16	12	2	2	24	10	+14	38
3	Sunderland	16	10	6	0	28	12	+16	36
4	Burnley	16	8	8	0	18	4	+14	32
5	Blackburn	17	10	2	5	24	14	+10	32
6	Bristol City	16	8	5	3	23	12	+11	29
7	Watford	16	9	2	5	20	17	+3	29
8	Oxford	17	8	5	4	24	22	+2	29
9	West Brom	16	7	7	2	21	11	+10	28
10	Norwich	16	7	6	3	37	21	+16	27
11	Coventry	16	8	3	5	26	19	+7	27
12	Preston	17	6	9	2	19	14	+5	27
13	Portsmouth	16	7	5	4	24	15	+9	26
14	Middlesbrough	17	7	5	5	24	19	+5	26
15	QPR	17	7	5	5	26	22	+4	26
16	Millwall	17	7	4	6	19	15	+4	25
17	Plymouth	16	6	6	4	29	27	+2	24
18	Luton	17	6	5	6	19	19	0	23
19	Stoke	16	5	7	4	21	18	+3	22
20	Sheffield Weds	17	5	7	5	26	25	+1	22
21	Derby	16	6	3	7	19	15	+4	21
22	Cardiff	16	6	3	7	19	20	-1	21
23	Swansea	16	5	5	6	21	19	+2	20
24	Hull	17	2	7	8	17	23	-6	13

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	17	10	4	3	23	13	+10	34
2	Burnley	17	9	6	2	21	5	+16	33
3	Leeds	16	7	7	2	24	12	+12	28
4	Sunderland	17	7	5	5	22	18	+4	26
5	Sheffield Weds	16	7	2	7	20	25	-5	23
6	West Brom	17	4	8	5	21	20	+1	20
7	Coventry	17	5	5	7	18	22	-4	20
8	Blackburn	16	5	4	7	15	17	-2	19
9	Middlesbrough	15	5	3	7	26	24	+2	18
10	QPR	16	4	6	6	13	19	-6	18
11	Hull	15	5	2	8	15	20	-5	17
12	Millwall	16	3	8	5	14	19	-5	17
13	Bristol City	17	3	8	6	18	25	-7	17
14	Norwich	17	4	5	8	14	24	-10	17
15	Swansea	17	5	2	10	13	27	-14	17
16	Watford	17	4	4	9	23	31	-8	16
17	Preston	16	3	6	7	16	25	-9	15
18	Stoke	16	3	4	9	10	22	-12	13
19	Cardiff	16	1	8	7	16	34	-18	11
20	Portsmouth	17	2	4	11	17	40	-23	10
21	Oxford	16	1	6	9	10	25	-15	9
22	Derby	17	1	5	11	14	31	-17	8
23	Luton	16	1	2	13	12	34	-22	5
24	Plymouth	17	0	5	12	6	40	-34	5

Bristol City Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Portsmouth	33	11	22	1.2	1.7	9	9	15	41	55	36
2	10	Watford	33	12	21	1.3	1.5	13	6	14	43	48	45
3	9	Sheffield Weds	33	15	18	1.4	1.5	12	9	12	46	50	45
4	23	Plymouth	33	15	18	1.1	2.0	6	11	16	35	67	29
5	7	Coventry	33	16	17	1.3	1.2	13	8	12	44	41	47
6	4	Sunderland	33	17	16	1.5	0.9	17	11	5	50	30	62
7	12	Norwich	33	17	16	1.5	1.4	11	11	11	51	45	44
8	17	Swansea	33	17	16	1.0	1.4	10	7	16	34	46	37
9	24	Luton	33	17	16	0.9	1.6	7	7	19	31	53	28
10	11	Middlesbrough	32	17	15	1.6	1.3	12	8	12	50	43	44
11	13	QPR	33	18	15	1.2	1.2	11	11	11	39	41	44
12	1	Leeds	33	19	14	2.1	0.6	21	9	3	68	20	72
13	15	Preston	33	19	14	1.1	1.2	9	15	9	35	39	42
14	20	Cardiff	32	18	14	1.1	1.7	7	11	14	35	54	32
15	22	Derby	33	19	14	1.0	1.4	7	8	18	33	46	29
16	6	West Brom	33	20	13	1.3	0.9	11	15	7	42	31	48
17	8	Bristol City	33	20	13	1.2	1.1	11	13	9	41	37	46
18	5	Blackburn	33	21	12	1.2	0.9	15	6	12	39	31	51
19	16	Oxford	33	21	12	1.0	1.4	9	11	13	34	47	38
20	19	Stoke	32	20	12	1.0	1.2	8	11	13	31	40	35
21	21	Hull	32	20	12	1.0	1.3	7	9	16	32	43	30
22	2	Sheffield United	33	22	11	1.4	0.7	22	6	5	47	23	72
23	14	Millwall	33	24	9	1.0	1.0	10	12	11	33	34	42
24	3	Burnley	33	27	6	1.2	0.3	17	14	2	39	9	65

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Coventry	16	5	11	1.6	1.2	8	3	5	26	19	27
2	23	Plymouth	16	5	11	1.8	1.7	6	6	4	29	27	24
3	1	Leeds	17	7	10	2.6	0.5	14	2	1	44	8	44
4	10	Watford	16	6	10	1.2	1.1	9	2	5	20	17	29
5	12	Norwich	16	6	10	2.3	1.3	7	6	3	37	21	27
6	13	QPR	17	7	10	1.5	1.3	7	5	5	26	22	26
7	18	Portsmouth	16	6	10	1.5	0.9	7	5	4	24	15	26
8	4	Sunderland	16	8	8	1.8	0.8	10	6	0	28	12	36
9	24	Luton	17	9	8	1.1	1.1	6	5	6	19	19	23
10	9	Sheffield Weds	17	10	7	1.5	1.5	5	7	5	26	25	22
11	17	Swansea	16	9	7	1.3	1.2	5	5	6	21	19	20
12	19	Stoke	16	9	7	1.3	1.1	5	7	4	21	18	22
13	5	Blackburn	17	11	6	1.4	0.8	10	2	5	24	14	32
14	8	Bristol City	16	10	6	1.4	0.8	8	5	3	23	12	29
15	11	Middlesbrough	17	11	6	1.4	1.1	7	5	5	24	19	26
16	16	Oxford	17	11	6	1.4	1.3	8	5	4	24	22	29
17	21	Hull	17	11	6	1.0	1.4	2	7	8	17	23	13
18	22	Derby	16	10	6	1.2	0.9	6	3	7	19	15	21
19	2	Sheffield United	16	11	5	1.5	0.6	12	2	2	24	10	38
20	6	West Brom	16	11	5	1.3	0.7	7	7	2	21	11	28
21	14	Millwall	17	12	5	1.1	0.9	7	4	6	19	15	25
22	15	Preston	17	12	5	1.1	0.8	6	9	2	19	14	27
23	20	Cardiff	16	11	5	1.2	1.2	6	3	7	19	20	21
24	3	Burnley	16	13	3	1.1	0.2	8	8	0	18	4	32

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Portsmouth	17	5	12	1.0	2.4	2	4	11	17	40	10
2	9	Sheffield Weds	16	5	11	1.2	1.6	7	2	7	20	25	23
3	10	Watford	17	6	11	1.4	1.8	4	4	9	23	31	16
4	11	Middlesbrough	15	6	9	1.7	1.6	5	3	7	26	24	18
5	15	Preston	16	7	9	1.0	1.6	3	6	7	16	25	15
6	17	Swansea	17	8	9	0.8	1.6	5	2	10	13	27	17
7	20	Cardiff	16	7	9	1.0	2.1	1	8	7	16	34	11
8	4	Sunderland	17	9	8	1.3	1.1	7	5	5	22	18	26
9	6	West Brom	17	9	8	1.2	1.2	4	8	5	21	20	20
10	22	Derby	17	9	8	0.8	1.8	1	5	11	14	31	8
11	24	Luton	16	8	8	0.8	2.1	1	2	13	12	34	5
12	8	Bristol City	17	10	7	1.1	1.5	3	8	6	18	25	17
13	23	Plymouth	17	10	7	0.4	2.4	0	5	12	6	40	5
14	2	Sheffield United	17	11	6	1.4	0.8	10	4	3	23	13	34
15	5	Blackburn	16	10	6	0.9	1.1	5	4	7	15	17	19
16	7	Coventry	17	11	6	1.1	1.3	5	5	7	18	22	20
17	12	Norwich	17	11	6	0.8	1.4	4	5	8	14	24	17
18	16	Oxford	16	10	6	0.6	1.6	1	6	9	10	25	9
19	21	Hull	15	9	6	1.0	1.3	5	2	8	15	20	17
20	13	QPR	16	11	5	0.8	1.2	4	6	6	13	19	18
21	19	Stoke	16	11	5	0.6	1.4	3	4	9	10	22	13
22	1	Leeds	16	12	4	1.5	0.8	7	7	2	24	12	28
23	14	Millwall	16	12	4	0.9	1.2	3	8	5	14	19	17
24	3	Burnley	17	14	3	1.2	0.3	9	6	2	21	5	33

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.