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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: W Finnie

Bristol City 1–0 Derby

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.90 fair 1.92
Draw 3.30 fair 4.07
Away 4.20 fair 4.31
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.97
Over 2.5 2.30 fair 2.03

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bristol City Derby
11 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 7
7 Fouls 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (299 league matches this season so far).
Result Bristol City to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.95
Expected goals 1.64 – 1.01
Home / Draw / Away
Bristol CityDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–0 11.6% 2–1 9.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Bristol City before this match, all matches
1.36points / match
1.28scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 32:30
Derby before this match, all matches
1.08points / match
1.24scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 31:34
Bristol City all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.28 Goals scored 1.24
1.20 Goals conceded 1.36
2.48 Total goals 2.60
12.76 Shots 10.80
4.20 Shots on target 3.48
11.52 Shots faced 12.04
5.88 Corners 5.32
4.24 Corners against 5.76
10.96 Fouls 12.48
1.84 Yellow cards 2.04
0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.48
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

32% Wins 28%
40% Draws 24%
28% Losses 48%
92% Over 0.5 goals 96%
80% Over 1.5 goals 80%
44% Over 2.5 goals 48%
20% Over 3.5 goals 16%
4% Over 4.5 goals 12%
4% Over 5.5 goals 8%
48% Both teams scored 60%
28% Clean sheets 24%
32% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 28%
40% Draws 40%
32% Losses 32%
60% Over 0.5 goals 72%
20% Over 1.5 goals 24%
4% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bristol City all matches
Derby all matches
Bristol City before this match, at home
1.67points / match
1.50scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 18:10
Derby before this match, away
0.54points / match
0.92scored / match
1.77conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 12:23
Bristol City at home away Derby

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 0.92
0.83 Goals conceded 1.77
2.33 Total goals 2.69
13.58 Shots 8.54
4.50 Shots on target 2.69
9.67 Shots faced 13.46
6.25 Corners 4.92
3.75 Corners against 6.08
9.42 Fouls 12.23
1.42 Yellow cards 2.23
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.23
0.17 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

42% Wins 8%
42% Draws 31%
17% Losses 62%
83% Over 0.5 goals 92%
67% Over 1.5 goals 85%
42% Over 2.5 goals 46%
17% Over 3.5 goals 15%
8% Over 4.5 goals 15%
8% Over 5.5 goals 15%
50% Both teams scored 69%
42% Clean sheets 8%
25% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 8%
58% Draws 46%
17% Losses 46%
42% Over 0.5 goals 69%
17% Over 1.5 goals 23%
8% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bristol City at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bristol City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.25 Plymouth – Bristol City 2–2 (0–1) 4.003.751.83 1.80 2.00
29.12.24 Bristol City – Portsmouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.673.754.75 1.95 1.90
26.12.24 Bristol City – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.10 2.05 1.80
22.12.24 West Brom – Bristol City 2–0 (2–0) 2.103.303.50 2.10 1.73
14.12.24 Bristol City – QPR 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.604.00 2.10 1.73
10.12.24 Sunderland – Bristol City 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.404.33 2.10 1.73
07.12.24 Portsmouth – Bristol City 3–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.20 1.95 1.90
30.11.24 Bristol City – Plymouth 4–0 (0–0) 1.504.336.00 1.67 2.20
26.11.24 Watford – Bristol City 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.25 2.00 1.85
23.11.24 Bristol City – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.252.63 2.30 1.62

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.25 Sheffield Weds – Derby 4–2 (1–0) 2.003.403.80 2.10 1.73
29.12.24 Derby – Leeds 0–1 (0–0) 5.004.201.60 2.10 1.73
26.12.24 Derby – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.202.70 2.38 1.57
20.12.24 Luton – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.203.50 2.30 1.62
13.12.24 Derby – Portsmouth 4–0 (3–0) 2.053.203.75 2.30 1.62
10.12.24 Burnley – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.505.25 2.63 1.50
07.12.24 Leeds – Derby 2–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.50 1.88 1.98
01.12.24 Derby – Sheffield Weds 1–2 (1–0) 2.403.203.00 2.20 1.67
27.11.24 Derby – Swansea 1–2 (0–2) 2.403.402.80 2.20 1.67
23.11.24 Preston – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.40 2.20 1.67

Bristol City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.24 Bristol City – Portsmouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.673.754.75 1.95 1.90
26.12.24 Bristol City – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.10 2.05 1.80
14.12.24 Bristol City – QPR 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.604.00 2.10 1.73
30.11.24 Bristol City – Plymouth 4–0 (0–0) 1.504.336.00 1.67 2.20
23.11.24 Bristol City – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 2.703.252.63 2.30 1.62
05.11.24 Bristol City – Sheffield United 1–2 (0–0) 3.103.252.30 2.10 1.73
26.10.24 Bristol City – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.601.82 1.93 1.93
06.10.24 Bristol City – Cardiff 1–1 (0–0) 1.753.904.20 2.00 1.85
02.10.24 Bristol City – Sheffield Weds 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.503.20 1.95 1.90
21.09.24 Bristol City – Oxford 2–1 (0–1) 1.753.604.75 1.98 1.88

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.25 Sheffield Weds – Derby 4–2 (1–0) 2.003.403.80 2.10 1.73
20.12.24 Luton – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.203.50 2.30 1.62
10.12.24 Burnley – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.505.25 2.63 1.50
07.12.24 Leeds – Derby 2–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.50 1.88 1.98
23.11.24 Preston – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.40 2.20 1.67
06.11.24 Coventry – Derby 1–2 (0–1) 1.753.704.50 1.90 1.95
02.11.24 Stoke – Derby 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.03 1.83
22.10.24 Oxford – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.252.75 2.10 1.73
19.10.24 Millwall – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.10 2.30 1.62
01.10.24 Sunderland – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.673.904.75 2.03 1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bristol City winsDrawsDerby wins
3matches
2.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.24E1 Derby – Bristol City 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.252.40 2.05 1.80
23.04.22E1 Derby – Bristol City 1–3 (0–2) 2.103.503.50 2.00 1.85
04.12.21E1 Bristol City – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.202.90 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Leeds 25 15 7 3 45 16 +29 52 WDWWWD
2 Burnley 26 14 10 2 31 9 +22 52 WWWDDW
3 Sheffield United 25 15 6 4 34 16 +18 51 WWWLDL
4 Sunderland 25 13 8 4 38 22 +16 47 DWWDLW
5 Middlesbrough 25 11 7 7 42 31 +11 40 LWDDDW
6 West Brom 26 9 13 4 32 21 +11 40 LWLDWD
7 Blackburn 25 11 6 8 28 23 +5 39 WLDLDL
8 Watford 24 11 4 9 34 34 0 37 DWLWLL
9 Sheffield Weds 25 10 6 9 36 38 -2 36 LWWDLW
10 Bristol City 25 8 10 7 32 30 +2 34 DDLWWD
11 Swansea 26 9 7 10 30 30 0 34 LLWWLD
12 Norwich 25 8 9 8 41 36 +5 33 DLLWDW
13 Millwall 24 7 8 9 22 21 +1 29 LLWLDL
14 Coventry 25 7 8 10 33 35 -2 29 LWLWDD
15 Preston 25 6 11 8 27 33 -6 29 WDLWWL
16 QPR 25 6 11 8 27 33 -6 29 WDWLDW
17 Derby 25 7 6 12 31 34 -3 27 DWLWLL
18 Stoke 26 6 9 11 24 32 -8 27 DLLWDD
19 Oxford 24 7 6 11 27 39 -12 27 LLLWWW
20 Luton 25 7 4 14 26 42 -16 25 WLWLLL
21 Portsmouth 23 5 8 10 30 40 -10 23 DLWLLW
22 Hull 25 5 7 13 22 33 -11 22 DLWLWL
23 Cardiff 24 5 7 12 24 39 -15 22 LDLLWD
24 Plymouth 25 4 8 13 24 53 -29 20 LDLLDD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Leeds 13 10 2 1 30 7 +23 32 WWWWWD
2 Sheffield United 12 9 2 1 17 5 +12 29 WWWWLD
3 Watford 12 9 2 1 18 8 +10 29 WWDWWL
4 Sunderland 12 8 4 0 21 8 +13 28 DDWDWW
5 Burnley 12 6 6 0 15 4 +11 24 WWDDWD
6 Blackburn 13 7 2 4 17 11 +6 23 LWWDLL
7 Middlesbrough 13 6 4 3 19 14 +5 22 WLWWDD
8 Oxford 13 6 4 3 19 17 +2 22 WLDLWW
9 West Brom 12 5 6 1 13 6 +7 21 DDDWWW
10 Preston 13 5 6 2 15 11 +4 21 DDDDWW
11 Luton 13 6 3 4 18 16 +2 21 WWDWWL
12 Norwich 12 5 5 2 29 17 +12 20 LWWLWD
13 Derby 12 6 2 4 19 11 +8 20 DLLWWL
14 Bristol City 12 5 5 2 18 10 +8 20 LLWDWW
15 Swansea 13 5 5 3 20 14 +6 20 LDLWWD
16 Millwall 13 6 2 5 14 10 +4 20 WDLLWL
17 Sheffield Weds 13 5 4 4 20 18 +2 19 WDDLWW
18 Coventry 12 5 3 4 22 16 +6 18 LDDWWD
19 Stoke 14 4 6 4 18 17 +1 18 DLDLWD
20 Plymouth 11 4 5 2 21 18 +3 17 DWDLDD
21 QPR 13 4 5 4 18 18 0 17 LDWWWW
22 Portsmouth 11 4 4 3 17 11 +6 16 LWWDWW
23 Cardiff 12 4 1 7 12 17 -5 13 WLLLLD
24 Hull 13 2 5 6 11 15 -4 11 LLLDWL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Burnley 14 8 4 2 16 5 +11 28 WWWWDW
2 Sheffield United 13 6 4 3 17 11 +6 22 WDDWWL
3 Leeds 12 5 5 2 15 9 +6 20 LWLDWW
4 West Brom 14 4 7 3 19 15 +4 19 DDLLDD
5 Sunderland 13 5 4 4 17 14 +3 19 DDLWDL
6 Middlesbrough 12 5 3 4 23 17 +6 18 WWDLDW
7 Sheffield Weds 12 5 2 5 16 20 -4 17 LWWWDL
8 Blackburn 12 4 4 4 11 12 -1 16 WWWWLD
9 Bristol City 13 3 5 5 14 20 -6 14 WLLDLD
10 Swansea 13 4 2 7 10 16 -6 14 LWDWLL
11 Norwich 13 3 4 6 12 19 -7 13 LDLDLW
12 QPR 12 2 6 4 9 15 -6 12 LWDDLD
13 Hull 12 3 2 7 11 18 -7 11 LLLLLW
14 Coventry 13 2 5 6 11 19 -8 11 DLWLLD
15 Millwall 11 1 6 4 8 11 -3 9 WDDLLD
16 Stoke 12 2 3 7 6 15 -9 9 WDLLLD
17 Cardiff 12 1 6 5 12 22 -10 9 LDDDLW
18 Watford 12 2 2 8 16 26 -10 8 WLDDLL
19 Preston 12 1 5 6 12 22 -10 8 LDDWLL
20 Derby 13 1 4 8 12 23 -11 7 WDLDLL
21 Portsmouth 12 1 4 7 13 29 -16 7 DLDLLL
22 Oxford 11 1 2 8 8 22 -14 5 LLLLLW
23 Luton 12 1 1 10 8 26 -18 4 LLLLLL
24 Plymouth 14 0 3 11 3 35 -32 3 LLLLLD

Bristol City   Derby

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 8 Watford 24 8 16 1.4 1.4 11 4 9 34 34 37 UOOOOO
2 21 Portsmouth 23 7 16 1.3 1.7 5 8 10 30 40 23 UOOOOO
3 12 Norwich 25 11 14 1.6 1.4 8 9 8 41 36 33 UOOOUU
4 14 Coventry 25 11 14 1.3 1.4 7 8 10 33 35 29 UOOOUU
5 20 Luton 25 11 14 1.0 1.7 7 4 14 26 42 25 OUOUOU
6 24 Plymouth 25 11 14 1.0 2.1 4 8 13 24 53 20 UOOUOU
7 9 Sheffield Weds 25 12 13 1.4 1.5 10 6 9 36 38 36 UOUOOO
8 4 Sunderland 25 13 12 1.5 0.9 13 8 4 38 22 47 UOOOUO
9 11 Swansea 26 14 12 1.2 1.2 9 7 10 30 30 34 OOOOOU
10 17 Derby 25 13 12 1.2 1.4 7 6 12 31 34 27 UOOOUO
11 5 Middlesbrough 25 14 11 1.7 1.2 11 7 7 42 31 40 OUOOUU
12 10 Bristol City 25 14 11 1.3 1.2 8 10 7 32 30 34 UUUUOO
13 15 Preston 25 14 11 1.1 1.3 6 11 8 27 33 29 UUOUOO
14 19 Oxford 24 13 11 1.1 1.6 7 6 11 27 39 27 UOOOUU
15 6 West Brom 26 16 10 1.2 0.8 9 13 4 32 21 40 OUOUOU
16 16 QPR 25 15 10 1.1 1.3 6 11 8 27 33 29 UUOOUO
17 1 Leeds 25 16 9 1.8 0.6 15 7 3 45 16 52 OUOUUU
18 18 Stoke 26 17 9 0.9 1.2 6 9 11 24 32 27 OUUUUU
19 23 Cardiff 24 15 9 1.0 1.6 5 7 12 24 39 22 UOUOOU
20 7 Blackburn 25 17 8 1.1 0.9 11 6 8 28 23 39 UUOUUU
21 22 Hull 25 17 8 0.9 1.3 5 7 13 22 33 22 UOOUUU
22 3 Sheffield United 25 19 6 1.4 0.6 15 6 4 34 16 51 UUUUUO
23 2 Burnley 26 21 5 1.2 0.3 14 10 2 31 9 52 OOUUUU
24 13 Millwall 24 19 5 0.9 0.9 7 8 9 22 21 29 UUUOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 14 Coventry 12 2 10 1.8 1.3 5 3 4 22 16 18 OOOOOU
2 12 Norwich 12 4 8 2.4 1.4 5 5 2 29 17 20 UOOOOU
3 20 Luton 13 5 8 1.4 1.2 6 3 4 18 16 21 UUUOOU
4 24 Plymouth 11 3 8 1.9 1.6 4 5 2 21 18 17 OUOOOO
5 1 Leeds 13 6 7 2.3 0.5 10 2 1 30 7 32 UOUOOU
6 8 Watford 12 5 7 1.5 0.7 9 2 1 18 8 29 UUUOOO
7 16 QPR 13 6 7 1.4 1.4 4 5 4 18 18 17 OUOUOO
8 21 Portsmouth 11 4 7 1.5 1.0 4 4 3 17 11 16 OOOUOO
9 4 Sunderland 12 6 6 1.8 0.7 8 4 0 21 8 28 OUOUOO
10 11 Swansea 13 7 6 1.5 1.1 5 5 3 20 14 20 OOOOOU
11 17 Derby 12 6 6 1.6 0.9 6 2 4 19 11 20 UOOOOU
12 18 Stoke 14 8 6 1.3 1.2 4 6 4 18 17 18 UUOUUU
13 5 Middlesbrough 13 8 5 1.5 1.1 6 4 3 19 14 22 OUOUOU
14 10 Bristol City 12 7 5 1.5 0.8 5 5 2 18 10 20 OUOUUO
15 19 Oxford 13 8 5 1.5 1.3 6 4 3 19 17 22 UOUOOU
16 7 Blackburn 13 9 4 1.3 0.8 7 2 4 17 11 23 UUUOUU
17 9 Sheffield Weds 13 9 4 1.5 1.4 5 4 4 20 18 19 UUUUUO
18 15 Preston 13 9 4 1.2 0.8 5 6 2 15 11 21 UUUUUO
19 2 Burnley 12 9 3 1.2 0.3 6 6 0 15 4 24 UUUUOU
20 6 West Brom 12 9 3 1.1 0.5 5 6 1 13 6 21 UOOUUO
21 13 Millwall 13 10 3 1.1 0.8 6 2 5 14 10 20 UUUUUU
22 22 Hull 13 10 3 0.8 1.2 2 5 6 11 15 11 OUUUOU
23 23 Cardiff 12 9 3 1.0 1.4 4 1 7 12 17 13 OOUUUU
24 3 Sheffield United 12 10 2 1.4 0.4 9 2 1 17 5 29 UOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 8 Watford 12 3 9 1.3 2.2 2 2 8 16 26 8 OUOUOO
2 9 Sheffield Weds 12 3 9 1.3 1.7 5 2 5 16 20 17 UUOOOO
3 21 Portsmouth 12 3 9 1.1 2.4 1 4 7 13 29 7 UUOOOO
4 6 West Brom 14 7 7 1.4 1.1 4 7 3 19 15 19 UUOOUU
5 15 Preston 12 5 7 1.0 1.8 1 5 6 12 22 8 OUUUOO
6 4 Sunderland 13 7 6 1.3 1.1 5 4 4 17 14 19 UUUOOU
7 5 Middlesbrough 12 6 6 1.9 1.4 5 3 4 23 17 18 OOUOOU
8 10 Bristol City 13 7 6 1.1 1.5 3 5 5 14 20 14 UUOUUO
9 11 Swansea 13 7 6 0.8 1.2 4 2 7 10 16 14 UOUOOO
10 12 Norwich 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 3 4 6 12 19 13 UOOUOU
11 17 Derby 13 7 6 0.9 1.8 1 4 8 12 23 7 OUUUOO
12 19 Oxford 11 5 6 0.7 2.0 1 2 8 8 22 5 UUOUOU
13 20 Luton 12 6 6 0.7 2.2 1 1 10 8 26 4 OOOUUO
14 23 Cardiff 12 6 6 1.0 1.8 1 6 5 12 22 9 UUOOOO
15 24 Plymouth 14 8 6 0.2 2.5 0 3 11 3 35 3 OOUOUU
16 22 Hull 12 7 5 0.9 1.5 3 2 7 11 18 11 UUOOUU
17 3 Sheffield United 13 9 4 1.3 0.8 6 4 3 17 11 22 OOOUUO
18 7 Blackburn 12 8 4 0.9 1.0 4 4 4 11 12 16 OUUUUU
19 14 Coventry 13 9 4 0.8 1.5 2 5 6 11 19 11 OUUUOU
20 16 QPR 12 9 3 0.8 1.2 2 6 4 9 15 12 UUUUOU
21 18 Stoke 12 9 3 0.5 1.2 2 3 7 6 15 9 UUOOUU
22 1 Leeds 12 10 2 1.2 0.8 5 5 2 15 9 20 UOUUUU
23 2 Burnley 14 12 2 1.1 0.4 8 4 2 16 5 28 UUOUUU
24 13 Millwall 11 9 2 0.7 1.0 1 6 4 8 11 9 UUUUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11