Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: O Langford

Derby 4–0 Portsmouth

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.05 fair 1.98
Draw 3.20 fair 4.14
Away 3.75 fair 3.96
Under 2.5 1.62 fair 2.13
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.30 fair 1.89

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Portsmouth
17 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 0
5 Corners 3
8 Fouls 6
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (236 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.83
Expected goals 1.68 – 1.12
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawPortsmouth
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 1–0 10.2% 2–1 9.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.05points / match
1.10scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 22:26
Portsmouth before this match, all matches
0.94points / match
1.17scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 21:30
Derby all matches all matches Portsmouth

Per match

1.10 Goals scored 1.17
1.30 Goals conceded 1.67
2.40 Total goals 2.83
10.45 Shots 10.78
3.20 Shots on target 3.56
11.80 Shots faced 14.72
5.30 Corners 5.94
5.90 Corners against 6.44
12.75 Fouls 12.89
2.20 Yellow cards 2.67
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.72
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

25% Wins 17%
30% Draws 44%
45% Losses 39%
95% Over 0.5 goals 83%
80% Over 1.5 goals 78%
40% Over 2.5 goals 61%
10% Over 3.5 goals 33%
10% Over 4.5 goals 11%
5% Over 5.5 goals 11%
60% Both teams scored 61%
25% Clean sheets 22%
20% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 39%
40% Draws 33%
35% Losses 28%
75% Over 0.5 goals 72%
25% Over 1.5 goals 39%
0% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Portsmouth all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.56points / match
1.44scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 13:9
Portsmouth before this match, away
0.78points / match
1.33scored / match
2.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 12:20
Derby at home away Portsmouth

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 1.33
1.00 Goals conceded 2.22
2.44 Total goals 3.56
13.89 Shots 8.22
4.44 Shots on target 3.22
10.22 Shots faced 18.89
6.33 Corners 3.22
5.56 Corners against 7.56
13.11 Fouls 12.89
2.22 Yellow cards 3.00
0.56 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 1.11

How often Full Time

44% Wins 11%
22% Draws 44%
33% Losses 44%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 89%
44% Over 2.5 goals 67%
11% Over 3.5 goals 44%
11% Over 4.5 goals 22%
0% Over 5.5 goals 22%
56% Both teams scored 78%
44% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 44%
33% Draws 22%
22% Losses 33%
78% Over 0.5 goals 89%
22% Over 1.5 goals 67%
0% Over 2.5 goals 44%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Portsmouth away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.24 Burnley – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.505.25 2.63 1.50
07.12.24 Leeds – Derby 2–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.50 1.88 1.98
01.12.24 Derby – Sheffield Weds 1–2 (1–0) 2.403.203.00 2.20 1.67
27.11.24 Derby – Swansea 1–2 (0–2) 2.403.402.80 2.20 1.67
23.11.24 Preston – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.40 2.20 1.67
09.11.24 Derby – Plymouth 1–1 (1–1) 1.653.905.00 1.80 2.00
06.11.24 Coventry – Derby 1–2 (0–1) 1.753.704.50 1.90 1.95
02.11.24 Stoke – Derby 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.03 1.83
26.10.24 Derby – Hull 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 1.90 1.95
22.10.24 Oxford – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.252.75 2.10 1.73

Portsmouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.24 Portsmouth – Norwich 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.402.15 1.93 1.93
07.12.24 Portsmouth – Bristol City 3–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.20 1.95 1.90
30.11.24 Swansea – Portsmouth 2–2 (1–2) 1.704.104.33 1.85 2.00
09.11.24 Portsmouth – Preston 3–1 (2–0) 2.803.402.40 2.10 1.73
05.11.24 Plymouth – Portsmouth 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.603.00 1.73 2.10
02.11.24 Hull – Portsmouth 1–1 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.67 2.20
25.10.24 Portsmouth – Sheffield Weds 1–2 (1–0) 3.403.402.10 2.00 1.85
22.10.24 Cardiff – Portsmouth 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.404.20 1.98 1.88
19.10.24 QPR – Portsmouth 1–2 (1–1) 1.853.604.20 1.90 1.95
05.10.24 Portsmouth – Oxford 1–1 (0–0) 2.453.402.75 1.95 1.90

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.12.24 Derby – Sheffield Weds 1–2 (1–0) 2.403.203.00 2.20 1.67
27.11.24 Derby – Swansea 1–2 (0–2) 2.403.402.80 2.20 1.67
09.11.24 Derby – Plymouth 1–1 (1–1) 1.653.905.00 1.80 2.00
26.10.24 Derby – Hull 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 1.90 1.95
05.10.24 Derby – QPR 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 2.10 1.73
28.09.24 Derby – Norwich 2–3 (0–1) 2.633.602.50 1.98 1.88
14.09.24 Derby – Cardiff 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.403.00 2.10 1.73
31.08.24 Derby – Bristol City 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.252.40 2.05 1.80
17.08.24 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.502.00 1.85 2.00
27.04.24E2 Derby – Carlisle 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.54 2.35

Portsmouth away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.24 Swansea – Portsmouth 2–2 (1–2) 1.704.104.33 1.85 2.00
05.11.24 Plymouth – Portsmouth 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.603.00 1.73 2.10
02.11.24 Hull – Portsmouth 1–1 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.67 2.20
22.10.24 Cardiff – Portsmouth 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.404.20 1.98 1.88
19.10.24 QPR – Portsmouth 1–2 (1–1) 1.853.604.20 1.90 1.95
02.10.24 Stoke – Portsmouth 6–1 (3–1) 1.803.604.33 1.85 2.00
21.09.24 Burnley – Portsmouth 2–1 (0–1) 1.484.207.00 1.73 2.10
24.08.24 Middlesbrough – Portsmouth 2–2 (1–2) 1.454.337.00 1.73 2.10
10.08.24 Leeds – Portsmouth 3–3 (1–2) 1.365.008.00 1.60 2.30
27.04.24E2 Lincoln – Portsmouth 0–2 (0–0) 2.053.603.50 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsPortsmouth wins
4matches
2.00goals / match
25%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.04.24E2 Portsmouth – Derby 2–2 (1–2) 2.253.303.30 2.08 1.73
16.09.23E2 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.95 1.90
29.04.23E2 Derby – Portsmouth 1–1 (0–1) 1.534.206.50 1.88 1.98
18.11.22E2 Portsmouth – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.373.402.90 1.95 1.90

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 20 13 5 2 28 11 +17 44
2 Leeds 20 12 5 3 36 14 +22 41
3 Burnley 20 10 8 2 24 7 +17 38
4 Sunderland 20 10 7 3 29 15 +14 37
5 Blackburn 19 10 4 5 23 17 +6 34
6 West Brom 20 7 11 2 23 14 +9 32
7 Middlesbrough 20 9 4 7 34 25 +9 31
8 Watford 19 9 4 6 27 25 +2 31
9 Swansea 20 7 6 7 21 19 +2 27
10 Norwich 20 6 8 6 35 30 +5 26
11 Bristol City 20 6 8 6 25 25 0 26
12 Sheffield Weds 20 7 5 8 23 29 -6 26
13 Millwall 19 6 7 6 20 17 +3 25
14 Preston 20 4 10 6 20 26 -6 22
15 Luton 20 6 4 10 23 35 -12 22
16 Coventry 20 5 6 9 25 29 -4 21
17 Derby 20 5 6 9 22 26 -4 21
18 Stoke 20 5 6 9 21 26 -5 21
19 QPR 20 4 9 7 20 26 -6 21
20 Oxford 19 4 6 9 20 30 -10 18
21 Portsmouth 18 3 8 7 21 30 -9 17
22 Cardiff 19 4 5 10 17 30 -13 17
23 Plymouth 19 4 5 10 19 40 -21 17
24 Hull 20 3 7 10 18 28 -10 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 11 9 1 1 25 6 +19 28
2 Sheffield United 9 8 1 0 14 2 +12 25
3 Watford 9 7 2 0 13 4 +9 23
4 Sunderland 10 6 4 0 17 6 +11 22
5 Burnley 10 5 5 0 13 3 +10 20
6 Blackburn 9 6 1 2 13 7 +6 19
7 Luton 11 5 3 3 16 14 +2 18
8 Middlesbrough 10 5 2 3 15 11 +4 17
9 Millwall 11 5 2 4 13 9 +4 17
10 Norwich 9 4 4 1 25 13 +12 16
11 Oxford 10 4 4 2 13 12 +1 16
12 Plymouth 9 4 3 2 16 13 +3 15
13 West Brom 10 3 6 1 8 5 +3 15
14 Derby 9 4 2 3 13 9 +4 14
15 Preston 10 3 5 2 10 9 +1 14
16 Bristol City 9 3 4 2 13 9 +4 13
17 Swansea 9 3 4 2 12 9 +3 13
18 Stoke 10 3 4 3 15 13 +2 13
19 Sheffield Weds 11 3 4 4 14 16 -2 13
20 Cardiff 10 4 0 6 11 14 -3 12
21 Coventry 9 3 2 4 16 15 +1 11
22 QPR 11 2 5 4 13 16 -3 11
23 Portsmouth 9 2 4 3 9 10 -1 10
24 Hull 11 1 5 5 9 13 -4 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 11 5 4 2 14 9 +5 19
2 Burnley 10 5 3 2 11 4 +7 18
3 West Brom 10 4 5 1 15 9 +6 17
4 Sunderland 10 4 3 3 12 9 +3 15
5 Blackburn 10 4 3 3 10 10 0 15
6 Middlesbrough 10 4 2 4 19 14 +5 14
7 Swansea 11 4 2 5 9 10 -1 14
8 Leeds 9 3 4 2 11 8 +3 13
9 Bristol City 11 3 4 4 12 16 -4 13
10 Sheffield Weds 9 4 1 4 9 13 -4 13
11 QPR 9 2 4 3 7 10 -3 10
12 Coventry 11 2 4 5 9 14 -5 10
13 Norwich 11 2 4 5 10 17 -7 10
14 Millwall 8 1 5 2 7 8 -1 8
15 Hull 9 2 2 5 9 15 -6 8
16 Watford 10 2 2 6 14 21 -7 8
17 Preston 10 1 5 4 10 17 -7 8
18 Stoke 10 2 2 6 6 13 -7 8
19 Portsmouth 9 1 4 4 12 20 -8 7
20 Derby 11 1 4 6 9 17 -8 7
21 Cardiff 9 0 5 4 6 16 -10 5
22 Luton 9 1 1 7 7 21 -14 4
23 Oxford 9 0 2 7 7 18 -11 2
24 Plymouth 10 0 2 8 3 27 -24 2

Derby   Portsmouth

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Luton 20 8 12 1.1 1.8 6 4 10 23 35 22
2 8 Watford 19 8 11 1.4 1.3 9 4 6 27 25 31
3 10 Norwich 20 9 11 1.8 1.5 6 8 6 35 30 26
4 16 Coventry 20 9 11 1.2 1.4 5 6 9 25 29 21
5 21 Portsmouth 18 7 11 1.2 1.7 3 8 7 21 30 17
6 23 Plymouth 19 8 11 1.0 2.1 4 5 10 19 40 17
7 7 Middlesbrough 20 11 9 1.7 1.2 9 4 7 34 25 31
8 11 Bristol City 20 11 9 1.2 1.2 6 8 6 25 25 26
9 12 Sheffield Weds 20 11 9 1.1 1.4 7 5 8 23 29 26
10 2 Leeds 20 12 8 1.8 0.7 12 5 3 36 14 41
11 4 Sunderland 20 12 8 1.4 0.8 10 7 3 29 15 37
12 14 Preston 20 12 8 1.0 1.3 4 10 6 20 26 22
13 17 Derby 20 12 8 1.1 1.3 5 6 9 22 26 21
14 18 Stoke 20 12 8 1.1 1.3 5 6 9 21 26 21
15 20 Oxford 19 11 8 1.1 1.6 4 6 9 20 30 18
16 5 Blackburn 19 12 7 1.2 0.9 10 4 5 23 17 34
17 6 West Brom 20 13 7 1.1 0.7 7 11 2 23 14 32
18 9 Swansea 20 13 7 1.1 0.9 7 6 7 21 19 27
19 19 QPR 20 13 7 1.0 1.3 4 9 7 20 26 21
20 22 Cardiff 19 13 6 0.9 1.6 4 5 10 17 30 17
21 24 Hull 20 14 6 0.9 1.4 3 7 10 18 28 16
22 1 Sheffield United 20 15 5 1.4 0.6 13 5 2 28 11 44
23 13 Millwall 19 15 4 1.1 0.9 6 7 6 20 17 25
24 3 Burnley 20 17 3 1.2 0.3 10 8 2 24 7 38
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Coventry 9 1 8 1.8 1.7 3 2 4 16 15 11
2 15 Luton 11 4 7 1.5 1.3 5 3 3 16 14 18
3 2 Leeds 11 5 6 2.3 0.5 9 1 1 25 6 28
4 10 Norwich 9 3 6 2.8 1.4 4 4 1 25 13 16
5 23 Plymouth 9 3 6 1.8 1.4 4 3 2 16 13 15
6 18 Stoke 10 5 5 1.5 1.3 3 4 3 15 13 13
7 19 QPR 11 6 5 1.2 1.5 2 5 4 13 16 11
8 21 Portsmouth 9 4 5 1.0 1.1 2 4 3 9 10 10
9 4 Sunderland 10 6 4 1.7 0.6 6 4 0 17 6 22
10 7 Middlesbrough 10 6 4 1.5 1.1 5 2 3 15 11 17
11 8 Watford 9 5 4 1.4 0.4 7 2 0 13 4 23
12 11 Bristol City 9 5 4 1.4 1.0 3 4 2 13 9 13
13 17 Derby 9 5 4 1.4 1.0 4 2 3 13 9 14
14 5 Blackburn 9 6 3 1.4 0.8 6 1 2 13 7 19
15 9 Swansea 9 6 3 1.3 1.0 3 4 2 12 9 13
16 12 Sheffield Weds 11 8 3 1.3 1.5 3 4 4 14 16 13
17 13 Millwall 11 8 3 1.2 0.8 5 2 4 13 9 17
18 14 Preston 10 7 3 1.0 0.9 3 5 2 10 9 14
19 20 Oxford 10 7 3 1.3 1.2 4 4 2 13 12 16
20 22 Cardiff 10 7 3 1.1 1.4 4 0 6 11 14 12
21 1 Sheffield United 9 7 2 1.6 0.2 8 1 0 14 2 25
22 3 Burnley 10 8 2 1.3 0.3 5 5 0 13 3 20
23 6 West Brom 10 8 2 0.8 0.5 3 6 1 8 5 15
24 24 Hull 11 9 2 0.8 1.2 1 5 5 9 13 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Watford 10 3 7 1.4 2.1 2 2 6 14 21 8
2 12 Sheffield Weds 9 3 6 1.0 1.4 4 1 4 9 13 13
3 21 Portsmouth 9 3 6 1.3 2.2 1 4 4 12 20 7
4 6 West Brom 10 5 5 1.5 0.9 4 5 1 15 9 17
5 7 Middlesbrough 10 5 5 1.9 1.4 4 2 4 19 14 14
6 10 Norwich 11 6 5 0.9 1.5 2 4 5 10 17 10
7 11 Bristol City 11 6 5 1.1 1.5 3 4 4 12 16 13
8 14 Preston 10 5 5 1.0 1.7 1 5 4 10 17 8
9 15 Luton 9 4 5 0.8 2.3 1 1 7 7 21 4
10 20 Oxford 9 4 5 0.8 2.0 0 2 7 7 18 2
11 23 Plymouth 10 5 5 0.3 2.7 0 2 8 3 27 2
12 4 Sunderland 10 6 4 1.2 0.9 4 3 3 12 9 15
13 5 Blackburn 10 6 4 1.0 1.0 4 3 3 10 10 15
14 9 Swansea 11 7 4 0.8 0.9 4 2 5 9 10 14
15 17 Derby 11 7 4 0.8 1.5 1 4 6 9 17 7
16 24 Hull 9 5 4 1.0 1.7 2 2 5 9 15 8
17 1 Sheffield United 11 8 3 1.3 0.8 5 4 2 14 9 19
18 16 Coventry 11 8 3 0.8 1.3 2 4 5 9 14 10
19 18 Stoke 10 7 3 0.6 1.3 2 2 6 6 13 8
20 22 Cardiff 9 6 3 0.7 1.8 0 5 4 6 16 5
21 2 Leeds 9 7 2 1.2 0.9 3 4 2 11 8 13
22 19 QPR 9 7 2 0.8 1.1 2 4 3 7 10 10
23 3 Burnley 10 9 1 1.1 0.4 5 3 2 11 4 18
24 13 Millwall 8 7 1 0.9 1.0 1 5 2 7 8 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44