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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Nield

Derby 3–0 Bristol City

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.90 fair 2.28
Draw 3.25 fair 4.08
Away 2.40 fair 3.16
Under 2.5 1.80 fair 2.24
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 1.81

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Bristol City
19 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 5
6 Corners 9
15 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (40 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.72
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.31
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawBristol City
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 2–1 9.1% 1–0 8.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.33scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 4:6
Bristol City before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
2.00scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 6:5
Derby all matches all matches Bristol City

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 2.00
2.00 Goals conceded 1.67
3.33 Total goals 3.67
7.67 Shots 12.67
3.00 Shots on target 5.33
14.33 Shots faced 11.33
4.67 Corners 7.00
4.33 Corners against 2.67
11.33 Fouls 10.67
3.00 Yellow cards 1.67
0.67 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

33% Wins 33%
0% Draws 67%
67% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 33%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
33% Over 4.5 goals 33%
33% Over 5.5 goals 33%
67% Both teams scored 100%
33% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 67%
33% Draws 33%
33% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Bristol City all matches
Derby before this match, at home
3.00points / match
1.00scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 1:0
Bristol City before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 1:1
Derby at home away Bristol City

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded 1.00
1.00 Total goals 2.00
3.00 Shots 15.00
2.00 Shots on target 3.00
20.00 Shots faced 11.00
3.00 Corners 8.00
8.00 Corners against 2.00
13.00 Fouls 13.00
3.00 Yellow cards 2.00
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 100%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
0% Both teams scored 100%
100% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 100%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 0%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Bristol City away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.08.24 Watford – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 1.853.504.10 1.88 1.98
17.08.24 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.502.00 1.85 2.00
09.08.24 Blackburn – Derby 4–2 (1–0) 2.203.503.10 2.03 1.83
27.04.24E2 Derby – Carlisle 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.54 2.35
20.04.24E2 Cambridge – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 5.504.001.55 1.90 1.95
13.04.24E2 Derby – Leyton Orient 3–0 (2–0) 1.534.006.50 2.00 1.85
10.04.24E2 Wycombe – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.751.83 1.98 1.88
02.04.24E2 Portsmouth – Derby 2–2 (1–2) 2.253.303.30 2.08 1.73
29.03.24E2 Derby – Blackpool 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.604.00 2.05 1.75
23.03.24E2 Northampton – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 5.753.601.65 2.08 1.73

Bristol City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.08.24 Bristol City – Coventry 1–1 (1–0) 2.453.402.80 1.88 1.98
17.08.24 Bristol City – Millwall 4–3 (2–0) 2.003.204.10 2.35 1.57
10.08.24 Hull – Bristol City 1–1 (0–0) 2.633.252.63 2.08 1.73
04.05.24 Stoke – Bristol City 4–0 (3–0) 2.053.403.75 1.90 1.95
27.04.24 Bristol City – Rotherham 2–0 (1–0) 1.364.759.50 1.83 2.03
20.04.24 Norwich – Bristol City 1–1 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.90 1.95
13.04.24 Bristol City – Huddersfield 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.30 2.20 1.67
10.04.24 Bristol City – Blackburn 5–0 (2–0) 2.503.203.00 2.10 1.73
06.04.24 Sunderland – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.203.10 2.30 1.62
01.04.24 Plymouth – Bristol City 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.75 2.00 1.85

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.08.24 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.502.00 1.85 2.00
27.04.24E2 Derby – Carlisle 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.54 2.35
13.04.24E2 Derby – Leyton Orient 3–0 (2–0) 1.534.006.50 2.00 1.85
29.03.24E2 Derby – Blackpool 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.604.00 2.05 1.75
16.03.24E2 Derby – Bolton 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.50 2.00 1.85
12.03.24E2 Derby – Reading 2–1 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.98 1.88
02.03.24E2 Derby – Port Vale 3–0 (2–0) 1.454.337.50 1.83 2.03
27.02.24E2 Derby – Charlton 1–2 (1–0) 1.603.606.50 2.03 1.83
17.02.24E2 Derby – Stevenage 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.75 2.05 1.75
10.02.24E2 Derby – Shrewsbury 1–1 (0–0) 1.404.758.00 1.85 2.00

Bristol City away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.08.24 Hull – Bristol City 1–1 (0–0) 2.633.252.63 2.08 1.73
04.05.24 Stoke – Bristol City 4–0 (3–0) 2.053.403.75 1.90 1.95
20.04.24 Norwich – Bristol City 1–1 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.90 1.95
06.04.24 Sunderland – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.203.10 2.30 1.62
01.04.24 Plymouth – Bristol City 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.75 2.00 1.85
16.03.24 West Brom – Bristol City 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.405.00 2.20 1.65
05.03.24 Ipswich – Bristol City 3–2 (0–0) 1.653.755.50 2.03 1.83
24.02.24 Sheffield Weds – Bristol City 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.302.80 2.15 1.67
10.02.24 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 1–2 (0–2) 1.704.004.50 1.95 1.90
30.01.24 Coventry – Bristol City 2–2 (1–1) 1.733.605.00 1.98 1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsBristol City wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.04.22E1 Derby – Bristol City 1–3 (0–2) 2.103.503.50 2.00 1.85
04.12.21E1 Bristol City – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.202.90 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sunderland 3 3 0 0 7 0 +7 9 WWW
2 Watford 3 3 0 0 8 3 +5 9 WWW
3 Blackburn 4 2 2 0 9 6 +3 8 WDWD
4 Burnley 4 2 1 1 10 3 +7 7 WWLD
5 West Brom 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7 WDW
6 Middlesbrough 4 2 1 1 5 3 +2 7 WLDW
7 Leeds 3 1 2 0 5 3 +2 5 DDW
8 Sheffield United 3 1 2 0 5 3 +2 5 WDD
9 Bristol City 3 1 2 0 6 5 +1 5 DWD
10 QPR 4 1 2 1 6 7 -1 5 LDDW
11 Norwich 4 1 2 1 4 5 -1 5 LDDW
12 Swansea 3 1 1 1 4 2 +2 4 LWD
13 Coventry 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4 LWDL
14 Oxford 3 1 0 2 5 5 0 3 WLL
15 Portsmouth 3 0 3 0 5 5 0 3 DDD
16 Hull 3 0 3 0 2 2 0 3 DDD
17 Derby 3 1 0 2 4 6 -2 3 LWL
18 Sheffield Weds 3 1 0 2 4 6 -2 3 WLL
19 Stoke 3 1 0 2 2 5 -3 3 WLL
20 Preston 3 1 0 2 1 5 -4 3 LLW
21 Plymouth 3 0 2 1 2 6 -4 2 LDD
22 Millwall 3 0 1 2 5 7 -2 1 LLD
23 Luton 4 0 1 3 2 7 -5 1 LDLL
24 Cardiff 4 0 1 3 1 10 -9 1 LLDL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sunderland 2 2 0 0 5 0 +5 6 WW
2 Watford 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6 WW
3 Blackburn 2 2 0 0 6 3 +3 6 WW
4 Burnley 2 1 1 0 6 1 +5 4 WD
5 Swansea 2 1 1 0 4 1 +3 4 WD
6 Bristol City 2 1 1 0 5 4 +1 4 WD
7 Middlesbrough 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4 WD
8 Sheffield Weds 2 1 0 1 4 2 +2 3 WL
9 Oxford 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3 W
10 Derby 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3 W
11 Coventry 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3 WL
12 Stoke 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3 WL
13 Preston 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 3 LW
14 Norwich 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2 DD
15 Hull 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2 DD
16 Leeds 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 1 D
17 Sheffield United 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1 D
18 Plymouth 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 D
19 Portsmouth 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 D
20 West Brom 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 D
21 QPR 2 0 1 1 2 4 -2 1 LD
22 Millwall 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0 L
23 Luton 2 0 0 2 2 6 -4 0 LL
24 Cardiff 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0 LL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 West Brom 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6 WW
2 Sheffield United 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4 WD
3 Leeds 2 1 1 0 2 0 +2 4 DW
4 QPR 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4 DW
5 Burnley 2 1 0 1 4 2 +2 3 WL
6 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3 W
7 Watford 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3 W
8 Middlesbrough 2 1 0 1 2 1 +1 3 LW
9 Norwich 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 3 LW
10 Portsmouth 2 0 2 0 5 5 0 2 DD
11 Blackburn 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2 DD
12 Bristol City 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 D
13 Hull 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 D
14 Millwall 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1 LD
15 Coventry 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1 LD
16 Luton 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1 DL
17 Plymouth 2 0 1 1 1 5 -4 1 LD
18 Cardiff 2 0 1 1 1 6 -5 1 LD
19 Swansea 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0 L
20 Oxford 2 0 0 2 3 5 -2 0 LL
21 Derby 2 0 0 2 3 6 -3 0 LL
22 Preston 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0 L
23 Stoke 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0 L
24 Sheffield Weds 1 0 0 1 0 4 -4 0 L

Derby   Bristol City

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Watford 3 0 3 2.7 1.0 3 0 0 8 3 9 OOO
2 3 Blackburn 4 1 3 2.2 1.5 2 2 0 9 6 8 OOOU
3 10 QPR 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 1 2 1 6 7 5 OOUO
4 4 Burnley 4 2 2 2.5 0.8 2 1 1 10 3 7 OOUU
5 5 West Brom 3 1 2 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7 OUO
6 14 Oxford 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 1 0 2 5 5 3 UOO
7 15 Portsmouth 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 0 3 0 5 5 3 OUO
8 17 Derby 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 1 0 2 4 6 3 OUO
9 18 Sheffield Weds 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 1 0 2 4 6 3 OOU
10 19 Stoke 3 1 2 0.7 1.7 1 0 2 2 5 3 UOO
11 22 Millwall 3 1 2 1.7 2.3 0 1 2 5 7 1 OOU
12 23 Luton 4 2 2 0.5 1.8 0 1 3 2 7 1 OUUO
13 1 Sunderland 3 2 1 2.3 0.0 3 0 0 7 0 9 UOU
14 6 Middlesbrough 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 2 1 1 5 3 7 UUOU
15 7 Leeds 3 2 1 1.7 1.0 1 2 0 5 3 5 OUU
16 8 Sheffield United 3 2 1 1.7 1.0 1 2 0 5 3 5 UOU
17 9 Bristol City 3 2 1 2.0 1.7 1 2 0 6 5 5 UOU
18 11 Norwich 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 2 1 4 5 5 UOUU
19 12 Swansea 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 1 1 1 4 2 4 UOU
20 13 Coventry 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4 UOUU
21 20 Preston 3 2 1 0.3 1.7 1 0 2 1 5 3 UOU
22 21 Plymouth 3 2 1 0.7 2.0 0 2 1 2 6 2 OUU
23 24 Cardiff 4 3 1 0.2 2.5 0 1 3 1 10 1 UOUU
24 16 Hull 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 0 3 0 2 2 3 UUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Watford 2 0 2 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6 OO
2 3 Blackburn 2 0 2 3.0 1.5 2 0 0 6 3 6 OO
3 23 Luton 2 0 2 1.0 3.0 0 0 2 2 6 0 OO
4 1 Sunderland 2 1 1 2.5 0.0 2 0 0 5 0 6 OU
5 4 Burnley 2 1 1 3.0 0.5 1 1 0 6 1 4 OU
6 6 Middlesbrough 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4 UO
7 7 Leeds 1 0 1 3.0 3.0 0 1 0 3 3 1 O
8 8 Sheffield United 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1 O
9 9 Bristol City 2 1 1 2.5 2.0 1 1 0 5 4 4 OU
10 10 QPR 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 1 1 2 4 1 OU
11 11 Norwich 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2 OU
12 12 Swansea 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 1 1 0 4 1 4 OU
13 13 Coventry 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3 OU
14 18 Sheffield Weds 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 1 4 2 3 OU
15 19 Stoke 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3 UO
16 22 Millwall 1 0 1 2.0 3.0 0 0 1 2 3 0 O
17 5 West Brom 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1 U
18 14 Oxford 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3 U
19 15 Portsmouth 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1 U
20 16 Hull 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2 UU
21 17 Derby 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3 U
22 20 Preston 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 1 0 1 1 2 3 UU
23 21 Plymouth 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1 U
24 24 Cardiff 2 2 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0 UU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 West Brom 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6 OO
2 10 QPR 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4 OO
3 14 Oxford 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 0 2 3 5 0 OO
4 15 Portsmouth 2 0 2 2.5 2.5 0 2 0 5 5 2 OO
5 17 Derby 2 0 2 1.5 3.0 0 0 2 3 6 0 OO
6 2 Watford 1 0 1 3.0 2.0 1 0 0 3 2 3 O
7 3 Blackburn 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2 OU
8 4 Burnley 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 1 4 2 3 OU
9 18 Sheffield Weds 1 0 1 0.0 4.0 0 0 1 0 4 0 O
10 19 Stoke 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0 O
11 20 Preston 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0 O
12 21 Plymouth 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 1 1 1 5 1 OU
13 22 Millwall 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1 OU
14 24 Cardiff 2 1 1 0.5 3.0 0 1 1 1 6 1 OU
15 1 Sunderland 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3 U
16 6 Middlesbrough 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 0 1 2 1 3 UU
17 7 Leeds 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 2 0 4 UU
18 8 Sheffield United 2 2 0 1.5 0.5 1 1 0 3 1 4 UU
19 9 Bristol City 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1 U
20 11 Norwich 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 1 0 1 1 2 3 UU
21 12 Swansea 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0 U
22 13 Coventry 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1 UU
23 16 Hull 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1 U
24 23 Luton 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1 UU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10