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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Gillett

Derby 2–1 West Brom

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.70 fair 2.47
Draw 3.20 fair 3.62
Away 2.70 fair 3.13
Under 2.5 1.57 fair 1.74
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.38 fair 2.34

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby West Brom
13 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 3
13 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (270 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.93
Expected goals 1.28 – 1.11
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawWest Brom
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13% 1–0 11.8% 0–1 10.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.09points / match
1.23scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 27:28
West Brom before this match, all matches
1.59points / match
1.18scored / match
0.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 26:16
Derby all matches all matches West Brom

Per match

1.23 Goals scored 1.18
1.27 Goals conceded 0.73
2.50 Total goals 1.91
10.73 Shots 12.09
3.36 Shots on target 3.45
11.68 Shots faced 11.41
5.23 Corners 5.32
5.82 Corners against 5.32
12.59 Fouls 8.55
2.14 Yellow cards 1.95
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

27% Wins 36%
27% Draws 50%
45% Losses 14%
95% Over 0.5 goals 73%
82% Over 1.5 goals 59%
45% Over 2.5 goals 36%
14% Over 3.5 goals 18%
9% Over 4.5 goals 5%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
59% Both teams scored 45%
27% Clean sheets 50%
18% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 41%
41% Draws 45%
32% Losses 14%
73% Over 0.5 goals 64%
27% Over 1.5 goals 32%
5% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
West Brom all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.70points / match
1.70scored / match
0.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 17:9
West Brom before this match, away
1.55points / match
1.45scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 16:11
Derby at home away West Brom

Per match

1.70 Goals scored 1.45
0.90 Goals conceded 1.00
2.60 Total goals 2.45
14.20 Shots 9.91
4.70 Shots on target 3.73
9.50 Shots faced 12.27
6.20 Corners 4.09
5.30 Corners against 6.55
12.60 Fouls 9.27
2.00 Yellow cards 1.55
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.82
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

50% Wins 36%
20% Draws 45%
30% Losses 18%
100% Over 0.5 goals 82%
80% Over 1.5 goals 82%
50% Over 2.5 goals 55%
20% Over 3.5 goals 18%
10% Over 4.5 goals 9%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 73%
50% Clean sheets 27%
0% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 55%
30% Draws 27%
20% Losses 18%
80% Over 0.5 goals 82%
30% Over 1.5 goals 36%
10% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
West Brom away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.24 Luton – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.203.50 2.30 1.62
13.12.24 Derby – Portsmouth 4–0 (3–0) 2.053.203.75 2.30 1.62
10.12.24 Burnley – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.505.25 2.63 1.50
07.12.24 Leeds – Derby 2–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.50 1.88 1.98
01.12.24 Derby – Sheffield Weds 1–2 (1–0) 2.403.203.00 2.20 1.67
27.11.24 Derby – Swansea 1–2 (0–2) 2.403.402.80 2.20 1.67
23.11.24 Preston – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.40 2.20 1.67
09.11.24 Derby – Plymouth 1–1 (1–1) 1.653.905.00 1.80 2.00
06.11.24 Coventry – Derby 1–2 (0–1) 1.753.704.50 1.90 1.95
02.11.24 Stoke – Derby 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.03 1.83

West Brom all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.12.24 West Brom – Bristol City 2–0 (2–0) 2.103.303.50 2.10 1.73
15.12.24 Watford – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 2.753.252.55 2.10 1.73
11.12.24 West Brom – Coventry 2–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.20 2.10 1.73
08.12.24 West Brom – Sheffield United 2–2 (1–2) 2.403.203.00 2.20 1.67
30.11.24 Preston – West Brom 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.502.40 2.30 1.62
26.11.24 Sunderland – West Brom 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.402.90 2.20 1.67
23.11.24 West Brom – Norwich 2–2 (2–2) 1.833.604.20 2.03 1.83
10.11.24 Hull – West Brom 1–2 (1–2) 2.703.302.60 2.10 1.73
07.11.24 West Brom – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.203.25 2.38 1.57
01.11.24 Luton – West Brom 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.50 2.00 1.85

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.24 Derby – Portsmouth 4–0 (3–0) 2.053.203.75 2.30 1.62
01.12.24 Derby – Sheffield Weds 1–2 (1–0) 2.403.203.00 2.20 1.67
27.11.24 Derby – Swansea 1–2 (0–2) 2.403.402.80 2.20 1.67
09.11.24 Derby – Plymouth 1–1 (1–1) 1.653.905.00 1.80 2.00
26.10.24 Derby – Hull 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 1.90 1.95
05.10.24 Derby – QPR 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 2.10 1.73
28.09.24 Derby – Norwich 2–3 (0–1) 2.633.602.50 1.98 1.88
14.09.24 Derby – Cardiff 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.403.00 2.10 1.73
31.08.24 Derby – Bristol City 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.252.40 2.05 1.80
17.08.24 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.502.00 1.85 2.00

West Brom away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.12.24 Watford – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 2.753.252.55 2.10 1.73
30.11.24 Preston – West Brom 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.502.40 2.30 1.62
26.11.24 Sunderland – West Brom 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.402.90 2.20 1.67
10.11.24 Hull – West Brom 1–2 (1–2) 2.703.302.60 2.10 1.73
01.11.24 Luton – West Brom 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.50 2.00 1.85
23.10.24 Blackburn – West Brom 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.50 2.10 1.73
19.10.24 Oxford – West Brom 1–1 (0–1) 3.903.501.95 2.00 1.80
28.09.24 Sheffield Weds – West Brom 3–2 (2–0) 3.003.402.30 2.10 1.73
15.09.24 Portsmouth – West Brom 0–3 (0–1) 4.003.501.90 1.98 1.88
24.08.24 Stoke – West Brom 1–2 (1–2) 2.553.202.80 2.30 1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsWest Brom wins
2matches
0.50goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.12.21E1 Derby – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 5.003.501.80 2.20 1.66
14.09.21E1 West Brom – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 1.533.906.50 1.90 1.90

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 23 15 5 3 32 13 +19 50
2 Burnley 23 13 8 2 30 9 +21 47
3 Leeds 22 13 6 3 41 15 +26 45
4 Sunderland 23 12 8 3 36 20 +16 44
5 Blackburn 22 11 5 6 27 20 +7 38
6 Watford 22 11 4 7 32 29 +3 37
7 Middlesbrough 23 10 6 7 41 31 +10 36
8 West Brom 22 8 11 3 26 16 +10 35
9 Sheffield Weds 23 9 6 8 31 33 -2 33
10 Swansea 23 8 6 9 27 24 +3 30
11 Bristol City 23 7 9 7 27 28 -1 30
12 Norwich 23 7 8 8 39 35 +4 29
13 Millwall 22 7 7 8 22 20 +2 28
14 Coventry 23 7 6 10 32 34 -2 27
15 Preston 23 5 11 7 23 29 -6 26
16 QPR 23 5 10 8 23 31 -8 25
17 Luton 23 7 4 12 25 39 -14 25
18 Derby 22 6 6 10 27 28 -1 24
19 Stoke 22 5 7 10 23 30 -7 22
20 Oxford 22 5 6 11 24 39 -15 21
21 Portsmouth 21 4 8 9 26 37 -11 20
22 Hull 23 4 7 12 21 32 -11 19
23 Cardiff 22 4 6 12 21 37 -16 18
24 Plymouth 22 4 6 12 22 49 -27 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 12 10 1 1 29 6 +23 31
2 Watford 11 9 2 0 17 6 +11 29
3 Sheffield United 11 9 1 1 16 4 +12 28
4 Sunderland 11 7 4 0 19 7 +12 25
5 Burnley 11 6 5 0 15 4 +11 23
6 Blackburn 11 7 2 2 17 9 +8 23
7 Middlesbrough 12 6 3 3 19 14 +5 21
8 Luton 12 6 3 3 18 15 +3 21
9 Millwall 12 6 2 4 14 9 +5 20
10 Norwich 11 5 4 2 28 16 +12 19
11 Oxford 12 5 4 3 17 17 0 19
12 West Brom 11 4 6 1 10 5 +5 18
13 Preston 12 4 6 2 12 10 +2 18
14 Derby 10 5 2 3 17 9 +8 17
15 Coventry 11 5 2 4 22 16 +6 17
16 Bristol City 11 4 5 2 15 10 +5 17
17 Swansea 11 4 4 3 17 12 +5 16
18 Plymouth 10 4 4 2 19 16 +3 16
19 Sheffield Weds 12 4 4 4 16 16 0 16
20 Stoke 11 3 5 3 17 15 +2 14
21 QPR 12 3 5 4 15 17 -2 14
22 Portsmouth 10 3 4 3 13 11 +2 13
23 Cardiff 11 4 0 7 11 16 -5 12
24 Hull 12 2 5 5 11 14 -3 11
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 12 7 3 2 15 5 +10 24
2 Sheffield United 12 6 4 2 16 9 +7 22
3 Sunderland 12 5 4 3 17 13 +4 19
4 West Brom 11 4 5 2 16 11 +5 17
5 Sheffield Weds 11 5 2 4 15 17 -2 17
6 Middlesbrough 11 4 3 4 22 17 +5 15
7 Blackburn 11 4 3 4 10 11 -1 15
8 Leeds 10 3 5 2 12 9 +3 14
9 Swansea 12 4 2 6 10 12 -2 14
10 Bristol City 12 3 4 5 12 18 -6 13
11 QPR 11 2 5 4 8 14 -6 11
12 Norwich 12 2 4 6 11 19 -8 10
13 Coventry 12 2 4 6 10 18 -8 10
14 Millwall 10 1 5 4 8 11 -3 8
15 Watford 11 2 2 7 15 23 -8 8
16 Preston 11 1 5 5 11 19 -8 8
17 Hull 11 2 2 7 10 18 -8 8
18 Stoke 11 2 2 7 6 15 -9 8
19 Derby 12 1 4 7 10 19 -9 7
20 Portsmouth 11 1 4 6 13 26 -13 7
21 Cardiff 11 0 6 5 10 21 -11 6
22 Luton 11 1 1 9 7 24 -17 4
23 Oxford 10 0 2 8 7 22 -15 2
24 Plymouth 12 0 2 10 3 33 -30 2

Derby   West Brom

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Watford 22 8 14 1.5 1.3 11 4 7 32 29 37
2 12 Norwich 23 9 14 1.7 1.5 7 8 8 39 35 29
3 14 Coventry 23 9 14 1.4 1.5 7 6 10 32 34 27
4 21 Portsmouth 21 7 14 1.2 1.8 4 8 9 26 37 20
5 17 Luton 23 10 13 1.1 1.7 7 4 12 25 39 25
6 24 Plymouth 22 9 13 1.0 2.2 4 6 12 22 49 18
7 4 Sunderland 23 12 11 1.6 0.9 12 8 3 36 20 44
8 7 Middlesbrough 23 12 11 1.8 1.3 10 6 7 41 31 36
9 9 Sheffield Weds 23 12 11 1.3 1.4 9 6 8 31 33 33
10 20 Oxford 22 11 11 1.1 1.8 5 6 11 24 39 21
11 10 Swansea 23 13 10 1.2 1.0 8 6 9 27 24 30
12 18 Derby 22 12 10 1.2 1.3 6 6 10 27 28 24
13 3 Leeds 22 13 9 1.9 0.7 13 6 3 41 15 45
14 11 Bristol City 23 14 9 1.2 1.2 7 9 7 27 28 30
15 15 Preston 23 14 9 1.0 1.3 5 11 7 23 29 26
16 16 QPR 23 14 9 1.0 1.3 5 10 8 23 31 25
17 19 Stoke 22 13 9 1.0 1.4 5 7 10 23 30 22
18 5 Blackburn 22 14 8 1.2 0.9 11 5 6 27 20 38
19 8 West Brom 22 14 8 1.2 0.7 8 11 3 26 16 35
20 22 Hull 23 15 8 0.9 1.4 4 7 12 21 32 19
21 23 Cardiff 22 14 8 1.0 1.7 4 6 12 21 37 18
22 1 Sheffield United 23 18 5 1.4 0.6 15 5 3 32 13 50
23 2 Burnley 23 18 5 1.3 0.4 13 8 2 30 9 47
24 13 Millwall 22 17 5 1.0 0.9 7 7 8 22 20 28
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Coventry 11 1 10 2.0 1.5 5 2 4 22 16 17
2 12 Norwich 11 3 8 2.5 1.5 5 4 2 28 16 19
3 17 Luton 12 4 8 1.5 1.2 6 3 3 18 15 21
4 3 Leeds 12 5 7 2.4 0.5 10 1 1 29 6 31
5 24 Plymouth 10 3 7 1.9 1.6 4 4 2 19 16 16
6 6 Watford 11 5 6 1.5 0.5 9 2 0 17 6 29
7 16 QPR 12 6 6 1.2 1.4 3 5 4 15 17 14
8 19 Stoke 11 5 6 1.5 1.4 3 5 3 17 15 14
9 21 Portsmouth 10 4 6 1.3 1.1 3 4 3 13 11 13
10 4 Sunderland 11 6 5 1.7 0.6 7 4 0 19 7 25
11 7 Middlesbrough 12 7 5 1.6 1.2 6 3 3 19 14 21
12 10 Swansea 11 6 5 1.5 1.1 4 4 3 17 12 16
13 18 Derby 10 5 5 1.7 0.9 5 2 3 17 9 17
14 20 Oxford 12 7 5 1.4 1.4 5 4 3 17 17 19
15 5 Blackburn 11 7 4 1.5 0.8 7 2 2 17 9 23
16 11 Bristol City 11 7 4 1.4 0.9 4 5 2 15 10 17
17 2 Burnley 11 8 3 1.4 0.4 6 5 0 15 4 23
18 9 Sheffield Weds 12 9 3 1.3 1.3 4 4 4 16 16 16
19 13 Millwall 12 9 3 1.2 0.8 6 2 4 14 9 20
20 15 Preston 12 9 3 1.0 0.8 4 6 2 12 10 18
21 22 Hull 12 9 3 0.9 1.2 2 5 5 11 14 11
22 23 Cardiff 11 8 3 1.0 1.5 4 0 7 11 16 12
23 1 Sheffield United 11 9 2 1.5 0.4 9 1 1 16 4 28
24 8 West Brom 11 9 2 0.9 0.5 4 6 1 10 5 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Watford 11 3 8 1.4 2.1 2 2 7 15 23 8
2 9 Sheffield Weds 11 3 8 1.4 1.5 5 2 4 15 17 17
3 21 Portsmouth 11 3 8 1.2 2.4 1 4 6 13 26 7
4 4 Sunderland 12 6 6 1.4 1.1 5 4 3 17 13 19
5 7 Middlesbrough 11 5 6 2.0 1.5 4 3 4 22 17 15
6 8 West Brom 11 5 6 1.5 1.0 4 5 2 16 11 17
7 12 Norwich 12 6 6 0.9 1.6 2 4 6 11 19 10
8 15 Preston 11 5 6 1.0 1.7 1 5 5 11 19 8
9 20 Oxford 10 4 6 0.7 2.2 0 2 8 7 22 2
10 24 Plymouth 12 6 6 0.2 2.8 0 2 10 3 33 2
11 10 Swansea 12 7 5 0.8 1.0 4 2 6 10 12 14
12 11 Bristol City 12 7 5 1.0 1.5 3 4 5 12 18 13
13 17 Luton 11 6 5 0.6 2.2 1 1 9 7 24 4
14 18 Derby 12 7 5 0.8 1.6 1 4 7 10 19 7
15 22 Hull 11 6 5 0.9 1.6 2 2 7 10 18 8
16 23 Cardiff 11 6 5 0.9 1.9 0 6 5 10 21 6
17 5 Blackburn 11 7 4 0.9 1.0 4 3 4 10 11 15
18 14 Coventry 12 8 4 0.8 1.5 2 4 6 10 18 10
19 1 Sheffield United 12 9 3 1.3 0.8 6 4 2 16 9 22
20 16 QPR 11 8 3 0.7 1.3 2 5 4 8 14 11
21 19 Stoke 11 8 3 0.5 1.4 2 2 7 6 15 8
22 2 Burnley 12 10 2 1.2 0.4 7 3 2 15 5 24
23 3 Leeds 10 8 2 1.2 0.9 3 5 2 12 9 14
24 13 Millwall 10 8 2 0.8 1.1 1 5 4 8 11 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40