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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Nield

Derby 1–1 Hull

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.30 fair 1.95
Draw ✓ 3.30 fair 4.06
Away 3.10 fair 4.14
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.95 fair 2.01
Over 2.5 1.90 fair 1.99

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Hull
14 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 5
5 Corners 3
10 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (136 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.64 – 1.04
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawHull
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–0 11.2% 2–1 9.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.27points / match
1.27scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 14:14
Hull before this match, all matches
1.18points / match
1.18scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 13:15
Derby all matches all matches Hull

Per match

1.27 Goals scored 1.18
1.27 Goals conceded 1.36
2.55 Total goals 2.55
10.73 Shots 12.64
3.55 Shots on target 3.64
12.73 Shots faced 14.55
5.73 Corners 6.00
5.82 Corners against 5.45
12.73 Fouls 10.73
2.27 Yellow cards 1.64
0.36 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

36% Wins 27%
18% Draws 36%
45% Losses 36%
100% Over 0.5 goals 91%
73% Over 1.5 goals 82%
36% Over 2.5 goals 36%
18% Over 3.5 goals 36%
18% Over 4.5 goals 9%
9% Over 5.5 goals 0%
45% Both teams scored 55%
36% Clean sheets 9%
18% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 27%
36% Draws 45%
36% Losses 27%
73% Over 0.5 goals 55%
9% Over 1.5 goals 27%
0% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Hull all matches
Derby before this match, at home
2.40points / match
1.80scored / match
0.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:3
Hull before this match, away
1.40points / match
1.40scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 7:9
Derby at home away Hull

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 1.40
0.60 Goals conceded 1.80
2.40 Total goals 3.20
12.00 Shots 13.40
4.40 Shots on target 3.60
12.60 Shots faced 17.20
6.20 Corners 5.60
7.40 Corners against 5.00
13.00 Fouls 13.20
2.00 Yellow cards 2.20
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

80% Wins 40%
0% Draws 20%
20% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 100%
40% Over 2.5 goals 60%
20% Over 3.5 goals 60%
20% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
20% Both teams scored 60%
80% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 20%
20% Draws 40%
20% Losses 40%
80% Over 0.5 goals 60%
0% Over 1.5 goals 40%
0% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Hull away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.24 Oxford – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.252.75 2.10 1.73
19.10.24 Millwall – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.10 2.30 1.62
05.10.24 Derby – QPR 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 2.10 1.73
01.10.24 Sunderland – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.673.904.75 2.03 1.83
28.09.24 Derby – Norwich 2–3 (0–1) 2.633.602.50 1.98 1.88
21.09.24 Sheffield United – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.105.50 1.80 2.00
14.09.24 Derby – Cardiff 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.403.00 2.10 1.73
31.08.24 Derby – Bristol City 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.252.40 2.05 1.80
24.08.24 Watford – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 1.853.504.10 1.88 1.98
17.08.24 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.502.00 1.85 2.00

Hull all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.10.24 Hull – Burnley 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.502.55 2.10 1.73
20.10.24 Hull – Sunderland 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.402.38 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 Norwich – Hull 4–0 (2–0) 1.953.603.75 1.67 2.20
01.10.24 QPR – Hull 1–3 (1–2) 2.453.402.80 1.93 1.93
28.09.24 Hull – Cardiff 4–1 (2–1) 1.854.103.50 1.93 1.93
20.09.24 Stoke – Hull 1–3 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 1.93 1.93
13.09.24 Hull – Sheffield United 0–2 (0–1) 3.253.502.10 1.88 1.98
31.08.24 Leeds – Hull 2–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.00 1.60 2.30
24.08.24 Hull – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.30 2.05 1.75
17.08.24 Plymouth – Hull 1–1 (0–0) 2.803.702.30 1.67 2.15

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24 Derby – QPR 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 2.10 1.73
28.09.24 Derby – Norwich 2–3 (0–1) 2.633.602.50 1.98 1.88
14.09.24 Derby – Cardiff 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.403.00 2.10 1.73
31.08.24 Derby – Bristol City 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.252.40 2.05 1.80
17.08.24 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.502.00 1.85 2.00
27.04.24E2 Derby – Carlisle 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.54 2.35
13.04.24E2 Derby – Leyton Orient 3–0 (2–0) 1.534.006.50 2.00 1.85
29.03.24E2 Derby – Blackpool 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.604.00 2.05 1.75
16.03.24E2 Derby – Bolton 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.50 2.00 1.85
12.03.24E2 Derby – Reading 2–1 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.98 1.88

Hull away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24 Norwich – Hull 4–0 (2–0) 1.953.603.75 1.67 2.20
01.10.24 QPR – Hull 1–3 (1–2) 2.453.402.80 1.93 1.93
20.09.24 Stoke – Hull 1–3 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 1.93 1.93
31.08.24 Leeds – Hull 2–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.00 1.60 2.30
17.08.24 Plymouth – Hull 1–1 (0–0) 2.803.702.30 1.67 2.15
04.05.24 Plymouth – Hull 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.752.00 1.62 2.30
24.04.24 Coventry – Hull 2–3 (1–2) 2.253.603.00 1.67 2.20
20.04.24 Watford – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.502.38 1.83 2.03
06.04.24 Cardiff – Hull 1–3 (0–2) 3.103.302.38 2.10 1.73
01.04.24 Leeds – Hull 3–1 (1–1) 1.405.007.50 1.65 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsHull wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.02.22E1 Derby – Hull 3–1 (2–0) 2.203.103.60 2.37 1.57
18.08.21E1 Hull – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 1.803.754.50 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sunderland 11 8 1 2 21 9 +12 25
2 Leeds 12 6 5 1 19 8 +11 23
3 Burnley 11 6 4 1 17 5 +12 22
4 Sheffield United 11 6 3 2 12 6 +6 21
5 West Brom 11 5 4 2 13 7 +6 19
6 Blackburn 12 5 4 3 16 12 +4 19
7 Watford 12 6 1 5 16 19 -3 19
8 Norwich 11 4 5 2 19 13 +6 17
9 Middlesbrough 11 5 2 4 11 9 +2 17
10 Bristol City 12 3 7 2 14 16 -2 16
11 Sheffield Weds 12 4 3 5 13 18 -5 15
12 Oxford 11 3 5 3 15 13 +2 14
13 Derby 11 4 2 5 14 14 0 14
14 Millwall 11 3 4 4 14 12 +2 13
15 Swansea 11 3 4 4 8 7 +1 13
16 Hull 11 3 4 4 13 15 -2 13
17 Preston 11 3 4 4 10 14 -4 13
18 Stoke 11 3 3 5 13 15 -2 12
19 Coventry 12 3 3 6 14 17 -3 12
20 Luton 12 3 2 7 14 20 -6 11
21 Cardiff 11 3 2 6 11 18 -7 11
22 Plymouth 11 3 2 6 10 19 -9 11
23 QPR 11 1 5 5 11 19 -8 8
24 Portsmouth 12 1 5 6 12 25 -13 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 6 5 1 0 12 3 +9 16
2 Watford 6 5 1 0 11 4 +7 16
3 Sunderland 5 4 1 0 10 2 +8 13
4 Leeds 6 4 1 1 12 5 +7 13
5 Sheffield United 5 4 1 0 7 2 +5 13
6 Derby 5 4 0 1 9 3 +6 12
7 Oxford 6 3 3 0 8 3 +5 12
8 Burnley 5 3 2 0 9 2 +7 11
9 Preston 6 3 2 1 7 4 +3 11
10 Middlesbrough 6 3 2 1 7 5 +2 11
11 Millwall 6 3 1 2 10 6 +4 10
12 Plymouth 5 3 1 1 9 6 +3 10
13 Bristol City 6 2 4 0 8 6 +2 10
14 Norwich 5 2 3 0 12 5 +7 9
15 Swansea 5 2 3 0 6 2 +4 9
16 Coventry 6 3 0 3 11 9 +2 9
17 Cardiff 6 3 0 3 8 6 +2 9
18 Stoke 6 2 2 2 12 9 +3 8
19 Sheffield Weds 6 2 2 2 8 7 +1 8
20 West Brom 5 2 2 1 2 1 +1 8
21 Luton 6 2 1 3 10 11 -1 7
22 Hull 6 1 3 2 6 6 0 6
23 QPR 6 0 3 3 6 11 -5 3
24 Portsmouth 6 0 3 3 3 9 -6 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sunderland 6 4 0 2 11 7 +4 12
2 West Brom 6 3 2 1 11 6 +5 11
3 Burnley 6 3 2 1 8 3 +5 11
4 Leeds 6 2 4 0 7 3 +4 10
5 Sheffield United 6 2 2 2 5 4 +1 8
6 Norwich 6 2 2 2 7 8 -1 8
7 Hull 5 2 1 2 7 9 -2 7
8 Sheffield Weds 6 2 1 3 5 11 -6 7
9 Middlesbrough 5 2 0 3 4 4 0 6
10 Bristol City 6 1 3 2 6 10 -4 6
11 QPR 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
12 Portsmouth 6 1 2 3 9 16 -7 5
13 Swansea 6 1 1 4 2 5 -3 4
14 Luton 6 1 1 4 4 9 -5 4
15 Stoke 5 1 1 3 1 6 -5 4
16 Millwall 5 0 3 2 4 6 -2 3
17 Blackburn 6 0 3 3 4 9 -5 3
18 Coventry 6 0 3 3 3 8 -5 3
19 Watford 6 1 0 5 5 15 -10 3
20 Oxford 5 0 2 3 7 10 -3 2
21 Derby 6 0 2 4 5 11 -6 2
22 Preston 5 0 2 3 3 10 -7 2
23 Cardiff 5 0 2 3 3 12 -9 2
24 Plymouth 6 0 1 5 1 13 -12 1

Derby   Hull

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Watford 12 3 9 1.3 1.6 6 1 5 16 19 19
2 20 Luton 12 4 8 1.2 1.7 3 2 7 14 20 11
3 24 Portsmouth 12 4 8 1.0 2.1 1 5 6 12 25 8
4 11 Sheffield Weds 12 5 7 1.1 1.5 4 3 5 13 18 15
5 1 Sunderland 11 5 6 1.9 0.8 8 1 2 21 9 25
6 6 Blackburn 12 6 6 1.3 1.0 5 4 3 16 12 19
7 19 Coventry 12 6 6 1.2 1.4 3 3 6 14 17 12
8 8 Norwich 11 6 5 1.7 1.2 4 5 2 19 13 17
9 10 Bristol City 12 7 5 1.2 1.3 3 7 2 14 16 16
10 12 Oxford 11 6 5 1.4 1.2 3 5 3 15 13 14
11 17 Preston 11 6 5 0.9 1.3 3 4 4 10 14 13
12 18 Stoke 11 6 5 1.2 1.4 3 3 5 13 15 12
13 22 Plymouth 11 6 5 0.9 1.7 3 2 6 10 19 11
14 23 QPR 11 6 5 1.0 1.7 1 5 5 11 19 8
15 2 Leeds 12 8 4 1.6 0.7 6 5 1 19 8 23
16 5 West Brom 11 7 4 1.2 0.6 5 4 2 13 7 19
17 13 Derby 11 7 4 1.3 1.3 4 2 5 14 14 14
18 14 Millwall 11 7 4 1.3 1.1 3 4 4 14 12 13
19 16 Hull 11 7 4 1.2 1.4 3 4 4 13 15 13
20 3 Burnley 11 8 3 1.5 0.5 6 4 1 17 5 22
21 21 Cardiff 11 8 3 1.0 1.6 3 2 6 11 18 11
22 9 Middlesbrough 11 9 2 1.0 0.8 5 2 4 11 9 17
23 15 Swansea 11 9 2 0.7 0.6 3 4 4 8 7 13
24 4 Sheffield United 11 10 1 1.1 0.5 6 3 2 12 6 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Luton 6 0 6 1.7 1.8 2 1 3 10 11 7
2 19 Coventry 6 1 5 1.8 1.5 3 0 3 11 9 9
3 7 Watford 6 2 4 1.8 0.7 5 1 0 11 4 16
4 18 Stoke 6 2 4 2.0 1.5 2 2 2 12 9 8
5 2 Leeds 6 3 3 2.0 0.8 4 1 1 12 5 13
6 6 Blackburn 6 3 3 2.0 0.5 5 1 0 12 3 16
7 8 Norwich 5 2 3 2.4 1.0 2 3 0 12 5 9
8 14 Millwall 6 3 3 1.7 1.0 3 1 2 10 6 10
9 22 Plymouth 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 3 1 1 9 6 10
10 23 QPR 6 3 3 1.0 1.8 0 3 3 6 11 3
11 24 Portsmouth 6 3 3 0.5 1.5 0 3 3 3 9 3
12 1 Sunderland 5 3 2 2.0 0.4 4 1 0 10 2 13
13 3 Burnley 5 3 2 1.8 0.4 3 2 0 9 2 11
14 10 Bristol City 6 4 2 1.3 1.0 2 4 0 8 6 10
15 11 Sheffield Weds 6 4 2 1.3 1.2 2 2 2 8 7 8
16 13 Derby 5 3 2 1.8 0.6 4 0 1 9 3 12
17 17 Preston 6 4 2 1.2 0.7 3 2 1 7 4 11
18 4 Sheffield United 5 4 1 1.4 0.4 4 1 0 7 2 13
19 9 Middlesbrough 6 5 1 1.2 0.8 3 2 1 7 5 11
20 12 Oxford 6 5 1 1.3 0.5 3 3 0 8 3 12
21 15 Swansea 5 4 1 1.2 0.4 2 3 0 6 2 9
22 16 Hull 6 5 1 1.0 1.0 1 3 2 6 6 6
23 21 Cardiff 6 5 1 1.3 1.0 3 0 3 8 6 9
24 5 West Brom 5 5 0 0.4 0.2 2 2 1 2 1 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Watford 6 1 5 0.8 2.5 1 0 5 5 15 3
2 11 Sheffield Weds 6 1 5 0.8 1.8 2 1 3 5 11 7
3 24 Portsmouth 6 1 5 1.5 2.7 1 2 3 9 16 5
4 1 Sunderland 6 2 4 1.8 1.2 4 0 2 11 7 12
5 5 West Brom 6 2 4 1.8 1.0 3 2 1 11 6 11
6 12 Oxford 5 1 4 1.4 2.0 0 2 3 7 10 2
7 6 Blackburn 6 3 3 0.7 1.5 0 3 3 4 9 3
8 10 Bristol City 6 3 3 1.0 1.7 1 3 2 6 10 6
9 16 Hull 5 2 3 1.4 1.8 2 1 2 7 9 7
10 17 Preston 5 2 3 0.6 2.0 0 2 3 3 10 2
11 8 Norwich 6 4 2 1.2 1.3 2 2 2 7 8 8
12 13 Derby 6 4 2 0.8 1.8 0 2 4 5 11 2
13 20 Luton 6 4 2 0.7 1.5 1 1 4 4 9 4
14 21 Cardiff 5 3 2 0.6 2.4 0 2 3 3 12 2
15 22 Plymouth 6 4 2 0.2 2.2 0 1 5 1 13 1
16 23 QPR 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
17 2 Leeds 6 5 1 1.2 0.5 2 4 0 7 3 10
18 3 Burnley 6 5 1 1.3 0.5 3 2 1 8 3 11
19 9 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 2 0 3 4 4 6
20 14 Millwall 5 4 1 0.8 1.2 0 3 2 4 6 3
21 15 Swansea 6 5 1 0.3 0.8 1 1 4 2 5 4
22 18 Stoke 5 4 1 0.2 1.2 1 1 3 1 6 4
23 19 Coventry 6 5 1 0.5 1.3 0 3 3 3 8 3
24 4 Sheffield United 6 6 0 0.8 0.7 2 2 2 5 4 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51