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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Webb

Derby 2–0 QPR

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.20 fair 1.94
Draw 3.50 fair 4.16
Away 3.10 fair 4.07
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 2.13
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 1.89

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby QPR
10 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 9
12 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (100 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.84
Expected goals 1.70 – 1.10
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawQPR
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 1–0 10.4% 2–1 9.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.13points / match
1.25scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 10:12
QPR before this match, all matches
0.88points / match
1.13scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:14
Derby all matches all matches QPR

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.13
1.50 Goals conceded 1.75
2.75 Total goals 2.88
10.75 Shots 14.13
3.63 Shots on target 4.63
12.75 Shots faced 12.63
5.75 Corners 6.63
5.63 Corners against 5.88
13.25 Fouls 9.38
2.38 Yellow cards 1.88
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

38% Wins 13%
0% Draws 50%
63% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
63% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 38%
25% Over 4.5 goals 0%
13% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 88%
38% Clean sheets 0%
25% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 0%
25% Draws 63%
38% Losses 38%
88% Over 0.5 goals 75%
13% Over 1.5 goals 63%
0% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
QPR all matches
Derby before this match, at home
2.25points / match
1.75scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 7:3
QPR before this match, away
1.25points / match
1.25scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:6
Derby at home away QPR

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 1.25
0.75 Goals conceded 1.50
2.50 Total goals 2.75
12.50 Shots 11.00
4.25 Shots on target 3.00
13.00 Shots faced 14.25
6.25 Corners 5.00
7.00 Corners against 6.75
13.25 Fouls 9.25
2.25 Yellow cards 2.25
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

75% Wins 25%
0% Draws 50%
25% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 25%
25% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 75%
75% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

75% Wins 0%
0% Draws 50%
25% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 50%
0% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
QPR away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.24 Sunderland – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.673.904.75 2.03 1.83
28.09.24 Derby – Norwich 2–3 (0–1) 2.633.602.50 1.98 1.88
21.09.24 Sheffield United – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.105.50 1.80 2.00
14.09.24 Derby – Cardiff 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.403.00 2.10 1.73
31.08.24 Derby – Bristol City 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.252.40 2.05 1.80
24.08.24 Watford – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 1.853.504.10 1.88 1.98
17.08.24 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.502.00 1.85 2.00
09.08.24 Blackburn – Derby 4–2 (1–0) 2.203.503.10 2.03 1.83
27.04.24E2 Derby – Carlisle 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.54 2.35
20.04.24E2 Cambridge – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 5.504.001.55 1.90 1.95

QPR all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.24 QPR – Hull 1–3 (1–2) 2.453.402.80 1.93 1.93
28.09.24 Blackburn – QPR 2–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.40 1.95 1.90
21.09.24 QPR – Millwall 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.403.10 2.20 1.67
14.09.24 Sheffield Weds – QPR 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.20 2.00 1.80
30.08.24 Luton – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.503.70 1.75 2.05
24.08.24 QPR – Plymouth 1–1 (1–1) 1.703.804.75 1.83 2.03
17.08.24 Sheffield United – QPR 2–2 (2–0) 1.803.754.20 1.93 1.93
10.08.24 QPR – West Brom 1–3 (1–1) 2.453.302.80 2.25 1.62
04.05.24 Coventry – QPR 1–2 (0–2) 2.203.403.30 1.73 2.10
26.04.24 QPR – Leeds 4–0 (2–0) 5.004.501.57 1.67 2.20

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.24 Derby – Norwich 2–3 (0–1) 2.633.602.50 1.98 1.88
14.09.24 Derby – Cardiff 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.403.00 2.10 1.73
31.08.24 Derby – Bristol City 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.252.40 2.05 1.80
17.08.24 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.502.00 1.85 2.00
27.04.24E2 Derby – Carlisle 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.54 2.35
13.04.24E2 Derby – Leyton Orient 3–0 (2–0) 1.534.006.50 2.00 1.85
29.03.24E2 Derby – Blackpool 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.604.00 2.05 1.75
16.03.24E2 Derby – Bolton 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.50 2.00 1.85
12.03.24E2 Derby – Reading 2–1 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.98 1.88
02.03.24E2 Derby – Port Vale 3–0 (2–0) 1.454.337.50 1.83 2.03

QPR away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.24 Blackburn – QPR 2–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.40 1.95 1.90
14.09.24 Sheffield Weds – QPR 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.20 2.00 1.80
30.08.24 Luton – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.503.70 1.75 2.05
17.08.24 Sheffield United – QPR 2–2 (2–0) 1.803.754.20 1.93 1.93
04.05.24 Coventry – QPR 1–2 (0–2) 2.203.403.30 1.73 2.10
13.04.24 Hull – QPR 3–0 (2–0) 2.053.403.75 2.10 1.73
09.04.24 Plymouth – QPR 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.252.38 2.05 1.80
01.04.24 Swansea – QPR 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.80 2.08 1.73
16.03.24 Sunderland – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.253.00 2.15 1.67
02.03.24 Leicester – QPR 1–2 (0–1) 1.364.759.50 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsQPR wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.22E1 QPR – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.40 2.10 1.72
29.11.21E1 Derby – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.402.40 2.00 1.80

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sunderland 9 6 1 2 18 8 +10 19
2 Burnley 9 5 3 1 14 4 +10 18
3 Sheffield United 8 5 3 0 10 3 +7 18
4 Leeds 9 4 4 1 15 7 +8 16
5 West Brom 8 5 1 2 12 6 +6 16
6 Norwich 9 4 3 2 16 10 +6 15
7 Blackburn 8 4 3 1 14 9 +5 15
8 Middlesbrough 8 4 2 2 9 5 +4 14
9 Watford 8 4 1 3 12 13 -1 13
10 Oxford 9 3 3 3 13 11 +2 12
11 Hull 9 3 3 3 12 13 -1 12
12 Swansea 8 3 2 3 8 6 +2 11
13 Bristol City 8 2 4 2 9 13 -4 10
14 Derby 8 3 0 5 10 12 -2 9
15 Stoke 8 3 0 5 10 12 -2 9
16 Preston 9 2 3 4 7 12 -5 9
17 Millwall 8 2 2 4 12 11 +1 8
18 Coventry 8 2 2 4 9 11 -2 8
19 Plymouth 8 2 2 4 8 12 -4 8
20 Sheffield Weds 8 2 2 4 9 14 -5 8
21 Luton 8 2 2 4 8 13 -5 8
22 QPR 8 1 4 3 9 14 -5 7
23 Portsmouth 9 0 5 4 9 20 -11 5
24 Cardiff 8 1 1 6 3 17 -14 4
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sunderland 5 4 1 0 10 2 +8 13
2 Blackburn 4 4 0 0 11 3 +8 12
3 Burnley 5 3 2 0 9 2 +7 11
4 Watford 4 3 1 0 8 3 +5 10
5 Oxford 4 3 1 0 6 1 +5 10
6 Sheffield United 4 3 1 0 5 2 +3 10
7 Norwich 5 2 3 0 12 5 +7 9
8 Derby 4 3 0 1 7 3 +4 9
9 Swansea 4 2 2 0 6 2 +4 8
10 Middlesbrough 4 2 2 0 6 3 +3 8
11 Bristol City 4 2 2 0 7 5 +2 8
12 Leeds 4 2 1 1 8 4 +4 7
13 Sheffield Weds 4 2 1 1 8 5 +3 7
14 Plymouth 4 2 1 1 7 5 +2 7
15 Preston 4 2 1 1 4 2 +2 7
16 West Brom 4 2 1 1 2 1 +1 7
17 Stoke 4 2 0 2 9 6 +3 6
18 Millwall 4 2 0 2 8 5 +3 6
19 Coventry 4 2 0 2 7 5 +2 6
20 Hull 4 1 2 1 5 4 +1 5
21 Luton 4 1 1 2 6 9 -3 4
22 Portsmouth 5 0 3 2 2 7 -5 3
23 Cardiff 4 1 0 3 1 6 -5 3
24 QPR 4 0 2 2 4 8 -4 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 4 3 0 1 10 5 +5 9
2 Leeds 5 2 3 0 7 3 +4 9
3 Sheffield United 4 2 2 0 5 1 +4 8
4 Burnley 4 2 1 1 5 2 +3 7
5 Hull 5 2 1 2 7 9 -2 7
6 Sunderland 4 2 0 2 8 6 +2 6
7 Middlesbrough 4 2 0 2 3 2 +1 6
8 Norwich 4 2 0 2 4 5 -1 6
9 QPR 4 1 2 1 5 6 -1 5
10 Luton 4 1 1 2 2 4 -2 4
11 Swansea 4 1 0 3 2 4 -2 3
12 Blackburn 4 0 3 1 3 6 -3 3
13 Stoke 4 1 0 3 1 6 -5 3
14 Watford 4 1 0 3 4 10 -6 3
15 Millwall 4 0 2 2 4 6 -2 2
16 Oxford 5 0 2 3 7 10 -3 2
17 Coventry 4 0 2 2 2 6 -4 2
18 Portsmouth 4 0 2 2 7 13 -6 2
19 Bristol City 4 0 2 2 2 8 -6 2
20 Preston 5 0 2 3 3 10 -7 2
21 Plymouth 4 0 1 3 1 7 -6 1
22 Sheffield Weds 4 0 1 3 1 9 -8 1
23 Cardiff 4 0 1 3 2 11 -9 1
24 Derby 4 0 0 4 3 9 -6 0

Derby   QPR

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Watford 8 2 6 1.5 1.6 4 1 3 12 13 13
2 23 Portsmouth 9 3 6 1.0 2.2 0 5 4 9 20 5
3 1 Sunderland 9 4 5 2.0 0.9 6 1 2 18 8 19
4 7 Blackburn 8 3 5 1.8 1.1 4 3 1 14 9 15
5 10 Oxford 9 4 5 1.4 1.2 3 3 3 13 11 12
6 20 Sheffield Weds 8 3 5 1.1 1.8 2 2 4 9 14 8
7 21 Luton 8 3 5 1.0 1.6 2 2 4 8 13 8
8 5 West Brom 8 4 4 1.5 0.8 5 1 2 12 6 16
9 6 Norwich 9 5 4 1.8 1.1 4 3 2 16 10 15
10 11 Hull 9 5 4 1.3 1.4 3 3 3 12 13 12
11 13 Bristol City 8 4 4 1.1 1.6 2 4 2 9 13 10
12 14 Derby 8 4 4 1.2 1.5 3 0 5 10 12 9
13 15 Stoke 8 4 4 1.2 1.5 3 0 5 10 12 9
14 16 Preston 9 5 4 0.8 1.3 2 3 4 7 12 9
15 17 Millwall 8 4 4 1.5 1.4 2 2 4 12 11 8
16 18 Coventry 8 4 4 1.1 1.4 2 2 4 9 11 8
17 22 QPR 8 4 4 1.1 1.8 1 4 3 9 14 7
18 2 Burnley 9 6 3 1.6 0.4 5 3 1 14 4 18
19 4 Leeds 9 6 3 1.7 0.8 4 4 1 15 7 16
20 19 Plymouth 8 5 3 1.0 1.5 2 2 4 8 12 8
21 12 Swansea 8 6 2 1.0 0.8 3 2 3 8 6 11
22 24 Cardiff 8 6 2 0.4 2.1 1 1 6 3 17 4
23 3 Sheffield United 8 7 1 1.2 0.4 5 3 0 10 3 18
24 8 Middlesbrough 8 7 1 1.1 0.6 4 2 2 9 5 14
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 21 Luton 4 0 4 1.5 2.2 1 1 2 6 9 4
2 6 Norwich 5 2 3 2.4 1.0 2 3 0 12 5 9
3 7 Blackburn 4 1 3 2.8 0.8 4 0 0 11 3 12
4 9 Watford 4 1 3 2.0 0.8 3 1 0 8 3 10
5 15 Stoke 4 1 3 2.2 1.5 2 0 2 9 6 6
6 17 Millwall 4 1 3 2.0 1.2 2 0 2 8 5 6
7 18 Coventry 4 1 3 1.8 1.2 2 0 2 7 5 6
8 1 Sunderland 5 3 2 2.0 0.4 4 1 0 10 2 13
9 2 Burnley 5 3 2 1.8 0.4 3 2 0 9 2 11
10 4 Leeds 4 2 2 2.0 1.0 2 1 1 8 4 7
11 13 Bristol City 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 2 2 0 7 5 8
12 14 Derby 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 3 0 1 7 3 9
13 19 Plymouth 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 2 1 1 7 5 7
14 20 Sheffield Weds 4 2 2 2.0 1.2 2 1 1 8 5 7
15 22 QPR 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 0 2 2 4 8 2
16 23 Portsmouth 5 3 2 0.4 1.4 0 3 2 2 7 3
17 3 Sheffield United 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 3 1 0 5 2 10
18 8 Middlesbrough 4 3 1 1.5 0.8 2 2 0 6 3 8
19 10 Oxford 4 3 1 1.5 0.2 3 1 0 6 1 10
20 11 Hull 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 2 1 5 4 5
21 12 Swansea 4 3 1 1.5 0.5 2 2 0 6 2 8
22 16 Preston 4 3 1 1.0 0.5 2 1 1 4 2 7
23 5 West Brom 4 4 0 0.5 0.2 2 1 1 2 1 7
24 24 Cardiff 4 4 0 0.2 1.5 1 0 3 1 6 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 West Brom 4 0 4 2.5 1.2 3 0 1 10 5 9
2 10 Oxford 5 1 4 1.4 2.0 0 2 3 7 10 2
3 23 Portsmouth 4 0 4 1.8 3.2 0 2 2 7 13 2
4 1 Sunderland 4 1 3 2.0 1.5 2 0 2 8 6 6
5 9 Watford 4 1 3 1.0 2.5 1 0 3 4 10 3
6 11 Hull 5 2 3 1.4 1.8 2 1 2 7 9 7
7 16 Preston 5 2 3 0.6 2.0 0 2 3 3 10 2
8 20 Sheffield Weds 4 1 3 0.2 2.2 0 1 3 1 9 1
9 7 Blackburn 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 0 3 1 3 6 3
10 13 Bristol City 4 2 2 0.5 2.0 0 2 2 2 8 2
11 14 Derby 4 2 2 0.8 2.2 0 0 4 3 9 0
12 22 QPR 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 1 2 1 5 6 5
13 24 Cardiff 4 2 2 0.5 2.8 0 1 3 2 11 1
14 2 Burnley 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 2 1 1 5 2 7
15 4 Leeds 5 4 1 1.4 0.6 2 3 0 7 3 9
16 6 Norwich 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 2 0 2 4 5 6
17 12 Swansea 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 1 0 3 2 4 3
18 15 Stoke 4 3 1 0.2 1.5 1 0 3 1 6 3
19 17 Millwall 4 3 1 1.0 1.5 0 2 2 4 6 2
20 18 Coventry 4 3 1 0.5 1.5 0 2 2 2 6 2
21 19 Plymouth 4 3 1 0.2 1.8 0 1 3 1 7 1
22 21 Luton 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 1 1 2 2 4 4
23 3 Sheffield United 4 4 0 1.2 0.2 2 2 0 5 1 8
24 8 Middlesbrough 4 4 0 0.8 0.5 2 0 2 3 2 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51