Leeds 2–0 Millwall – England Championship, 17 Mar 2024

Match facts

Leeds Millwall

17 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 3

13 Corners 2

9 Fouls 21

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (452 league matches this season so far).

Result Leeds to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.88

Expected goals 1.78 – 0.83

Home / Draw / Away

60% 23% 17%

LeedsDrawMillwall

Under / Over 2.5 goals

52% 48%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

53% 47%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

12% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 13.1% 2–0 11.7% 1–1 10.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches

2.14points / match

1.84scored / match

0.76conceded / match

24 7 6

WonDrawnLost 37 played · 68:28

Millwall before this match, all matches

1.16points / match

0.97scored / match

1.30conceded / match

11 10 16

WonDrawnLost 37 played · 36:48

Leeds all matches all matches Millwall

Per match

1.84 Goals scored 0.97

0.76 Goals conceded 1.30

2.59 Total goals 2.27

15.41 Shots 10.70

5.35 Shots on target 3.65

9.30 Shots faced 12.57

5.49 Corners 4.19

4.59 Corners against 5.35

10.19 Fouls 13.05

1.46 Yellow cards 2.30

0.95 1st-half goals scored 0.51

0.49 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

65% Wins 30%

19% Draws 27%

16% Losses 43%

95% Over 0.5 goals 95%

70% Over 1.5 goals 68%

51% Over 2.5 goals 41%

27% Over 3.5 goals 22%

11% Over 4.5 goals 3%

3% Over 5.5 goals 0%

43% Both teams scored 41%

46% Clean sheets 32%

16% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

46% Wins 30%

38% Draws 43%

16% Losses 27%

70% Over 0.5 goals 70%

41% Over 1.5 goals 30%

19% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches

2

1

W

1

W

1

W

3

W

4

W

2

W

3

1

W

1

D

1

W

2

W

Millwall all matches

2

L

1

D

1

L

1

2

L

4

L

2

L

2

1

W

1

W

1

D

1

W

Leeds before this match, at home

2.56points / match

2.17scored / match

0.67conceded / match

14 4

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 39:12

Millwall before this match, away

1.17points / match

1.11scored / match

1.17conceded / match

5 6 7

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 20:21

Leeds at home away Millwall

Per match

2.17 Goals scored 1.11

0.67 Goals conceded 1.17

2.83 Total goals 2.28

17.44 Shots 7.94

6.17 Shots on target 2.83

7.78 Shots faced 14.17

6.22 Corners 3.06

2.61 Corners against 6.33

10.39 Fouls 12.78

1.50 Yellow cards 2.39

1.22 1st-half goals scored 0.50

0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

78% Wins 28%

22% Draws 33%

0% Losses 39%

94% Over 0.5 goals 89%

78% Over 1.5 goals 67%

67% Over 2.5 goals 39%

33% Over 3.5 goals 28%

11% Over 4.5 goals 6%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

56% Both teams scored 50%

44% Clean sheets 33%

6% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 28%

33% Draws 50%

11% Losses 22%

78% Over 0.5 goals 61%

50% Over 1.5 goals 28%

22% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home

3

1

W

3

2

W

1

D

4

W

3

W

2

1

W

1

W

3

W

3

1

W

1

W

Millwall away

1

3

L

1

L

2

3

L

D

1

W

2

L

1

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.24	Sheffield Weds – Leeds	0–2 (0–1)	5.00	4.20	1.62	1.75	2.05
05.03.24	Leeds – Stoke	1–0 (1–0)	1.33	5.50	8.00	1.53	2.40
02.03.24	Huddersfield – Leeds	1–1 (1–0)	5.50	4.20	1.57	1.80	2.00
23.02.24	Leeds – Leicester	3–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.50	1.80	2.00
17.02.24	Plymouth – Leeds	0–2 (0–1)	6.50	4.75	1.44	1.48	2.60
13.02.24	Swansea – Leeds	0–4 (0–3)	5.25	4.33	1.57	1.67	2.15
10.02.24	Leeds – Rotherham	3–0 (1–0)	1.17	7.50	15.00	1.50	2.50
02.02.24	Bristol City – Leeds	0–1 (0–0)	4.75	3.80	1.73	2.03	1.83
24.01.24	Leeds – Norwich	1–0 (1–0)	1.44	4.20	7.00	1.57	2.35
21.01.24	Leeds – Preston	2–1 (1–1)	1.30	5.50	10.00	1.67	2.15

Millwall all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.03.24	Millwall – Birmingham	1–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.20	3.40	2.15	1.67
05.03.24	Blackburn – Millwall	1–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.15	1.67
02.03.24	Millwall – Watford	1–0 (1–0)	2.38	3.30	3.00	2.10	1.70
24.02.24	Southampton – Millwall	1–2 (1–2)	1.36	5.00	8.00	1.62	2.25
17.02.24	Millwall – Sheffield Weds	0–2 (0–2)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.25	1.62
14.02.24	Millwall – Ipswich	0–4 (0–3)	3.50	3.50	2.05	2.05	1.75
11.02.24	Coventry – Millwall	2–1 (0–1)	1.75	3.80	4.75	2.03	1.83
03.02.24	Hull – Millwall	1–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.50	3.75	2.10	1.70
27.01.24	Millwall – Preston	1–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.10	3.60	2.40	1.53
20.01.24	QPR – Millwall	2–0 (1–0)	2.45	3.30	2.90	2.40	1.53

Leeds at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.03.24	Leeds – Stoke	1–0 (1–0)	1.33	5.50	8.00	1.53	2.40
23.02.24	Leeds – Leicester	3–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.50	1.80	2.00
10.02.24	Leeds – Rotherham	3–0 (1–0)	1.17	7.50	15.00	1.50	2.50
24.01.24	Leeds – Norwich	1–0 (1–0)	1.44	4.20	7.00	1.57	2.35
21.01.24	Leeds – Preston	2–1 (1–1)	1.30	5.50	10.00	1.67	2.15
01.01.24	Leeds – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	1.25	6.50	9.50	1.50	2.50
23.12.23	Leeds – Ipswich	4–0 (3–0)	1.80	4.00	4.00	1.60	2.30
16.12.23	Leeds – Coventry	1–1 (0–0)	1.55	4.20	6.00	1.67	2.15
02.12.23	Leeds – Middlesbrough	3–2 (3–2)	1.73	4.00	4.50	1.62	2.25
29.11.23	Leeds – Swansea	3–1 (2–1)	1.36	5.25	8.50	1.53	2.40

Millwall away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.03.24	Blackburn – Millwall	1–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.15	1.67
24.02.24	Southampton – Millwall	1–2 (1–2)	1.36	5.00	8.00	1.62	2.25
11.02.24	Coventry – Millwall	2–1 (0–1)	1.75	3.80	4.75	2.03	1.83
03.02.24	Hull – Millwall	1–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.50	3.75	2.10	1.70
20.01.24	QPR – Millwall	2–0 (1–0)	2.45	3.30	2.90	2.40	1.53
01.01.24	Bristol City – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.60	2.20	1.65
23.12.23	Stoke – Millwall	0–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.60	3.40	2.10	1.70
13.12.23	Leicester – Millwall	3–2 (0–1)	1.36	5.00	8.50	1.73	2.08
09.12.23	Cardiff – Millwall	1–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.20	3.80	2.25	1.62
29.11.23	Ipswich – Millwall	3–1 (3–0)	1.62	4.00	5.50	1.70	2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Leeds winsDrawsMillwall wins

1matches

3.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.09.23E1	Millwall – Leeds	0–3 (0–1)	3.00	3.40	2.38	2.00	1.80

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	37	26	4	7	74	33	+41	82
2	Ipswich	38	24	9	5	80	49	+31	81
3	Leeds	37	24	7	6	68	28	+40	79
4	Southampton	36	22	7	7	73	47	+26	73
5	West Brom	38	19	9	10	59	36	+23	66
6	Norwich	38	18	7	13	69	54	+15	61
7	Hull	37	16	10	11	53	46	+7	58
8	Coventry	37	15	12	10	59	43	+16	57
9	Preston	37	16	8	13	49	54	-5	56
10	Middlesbrough	38	16	6	16	53	52	+1	54
11	Cardiff	38	16	5	17	43	51	-8	53
12	Sunderland	38	14	6	18	48	45	+3	48
13	Watford	38	12	12	14	53	51	+2	48
14	Bristol City	38	13	8	17	42	45	-3	47
15	Swansea	38	12	10	16	48	58	-10	46
16	Millwall	37	11	10	16	36	48	-12	43
17	Blackburn	38	11	9	18	51	64	-13	42
18	Plymouth	38	10	11	17	54	62	-8	41
19	Stoke	38	11	8	19	35	53	-18	41
20	QPR	38	10	10	18	36	50	-14	40
21	Birmingham	38	10	9	19	42	59	-17	39
22	Huddersfield	38	8	15	15	42	61	-19	39
23	Sheffield Weds	38	11	5	22	30	61	-31	38
24	Rotherham	38	3	11	24	30	77	-47	20

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	18	14	4	0	39	12	+27	46
2	Ipswich	19	14	4	1	53	29	+24	46
3	West Brom	19	13	3	3	31	14	+17	42
4	Norwich	19	13	2	4	37	18	+19	41
5	Leicester	18	13	1	4	35	13	+22	40
6	Southampton	18	12	2	4	45	24	+21	38
7	Coventry	18	8	8	2	29	17	+12	32
8	Sunderland	19	10	1	8	29	22	+7	31
9	Preston	19	9	4	6	28	31	-3	31
10	Cardiff	19	9	3	7	23	22	+1	30
11	Hull	19	7	7	5	27	20	+7	28
12	Plymouth	19	8	4	7	38	33	+5	28
13	Birmingham	19	7	6	6	26	24	+2	27
14	Bristol City	19	8	3	8	22	20	+2	27
15	Middlesbrough	19	7	4	8	20	21	-1	25
16	Sheffield Weds	19	7	4	8	20	23	-3	25
17	Blackburn	19	6	5	8	26	30	-4	23
18	Swansea	19	6	5	8	22	26	-4	23
19	Huddersfield	19	5	7	7	23	28	-5	22
20	Stoke	19	6	4	9	14	24	-10	22
21	Millwall	19	6	4	9	16	27	-11	22
22	Watford	19	5	6	8	29	26	+3	21
23	QPR	19	4	6	9	21	29	-8	18
24	Rotherham	19	3	7	9	17	24	-7	16

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	19	13	3	3	39	20	+19	42
2	Ipswich	19	10	5	4	27	20	+7	35
3	Southampton	18	10	5	3	28	23	+5	35
4	Leeds	19	10	3	6	29	16	+13	33
5	Hull	18	9	3	6	26	26	0	30
6	Middlesbrough	19	9	2	8	33	31	+2	29
7	Watford	19	7	6	6	24	25	-1	27
8	Coventry	19	7	4	8	30	26	+4	25
9	Preston	18	7	4	7	21	23	-2	25
10	West Brom	19	6	6	7	28	22	+6	24
11	Swansea	19	6	5	8	26	32	-6	23
12	Cardiff	19	7	2	10	20	29	-9	23
13	QPR	19	6	4	9	15	21	-6	22
14	Millwall	18	5	6	7	20	21	-1	21
15	Norwich	19	5	5	9	32	36	-4	20
16	Bristol City	19	5	5	9	20	25	-5	20
17	Stoke	19	5	4	10	21	29	-8	19
18	Blackburn	19	5	4	10	25	34	-9	19
19	Sunderland	19	4	5	10	19	23	-4	17
20	Huddersfield	19	3	8	8	19	33	-14	17
21	Plymouth	19	2	7	10	16	29	-13	13
22	Sheffield Weds	19	4	1	14	10	38	-28	13
23	Birmingham	19	3	3	13	16	35	-19	12
24	Rotherham	19	0	4	15	13	53	-40	4

Leeds Millwall

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Blackburn	38	12	26	1.3	1.7	11	9	18	51	64	42
2	2	Ipswich	38	13	25	2.1	1.3	24	9	5	80	49	81
3	6	Norwich	38	14	24	1.8	1.4	18	7	13	69	54	61
4	4	Southampton	36	13	23	2.0	1.3	22	7	7	73	47	73
5	15	Swansea	38	15	23	1.3	1.5	12	10	16	48	58	46
6	18	Plymouth	38	15	23	1.4	1.6	10	11	17	54	62	41
7	1	Leicester	37	15	22	2.0	0.9	26	4	7	74	33	82
8	9	Preston	37	15	22	1.3	1.5	16	8	13	49	54	56
9	7	Hull	37	16	21	1.4	1.2	16	10	11	53	46	58
10	8	Coventry	37	16	21	1.6	1.2	15	12	10	59	43	57
11	10	Middlesbrough	38	18	20	1.4	1.4	16	6	16	53	52	54
12	12	Sunderland	38	18	20	1.3	1.2	14	6	18	48	45	48
13	24	Rotherham	38	18	20	0.8	2.0	3	11	24	30	77	20
14	3	Leeds	37	18	19	1.8	0.8	24	7	6	68	28	79
15	13	Watford	38	19	19	1.4	1.3	12	12	14	53	51	48
16	11	Cardiff	38	20	18	1.1	1.3	16	5	17	43	51	53
17	21	Birmingham	38	20	18	1.1	1.6	10	9	19	42	59	39
18	22	Huddersfield	38	20	18	1.1	1.6	8	15	15	42	61	39
19	23	Sheffield Weds	38	20	18	0.8	1.6	11	5	22	30	61	38
20	5	West Brom	38	21	17	1.6	0.9	19	9	10	59	36	66
21	20	QPR	38	21	17	0.9	1.3	10	10	18	36	50	40
22	19	Stoke	38	22	16	0.9	1.4	11	8	19	35	53	41
23	14	Bristol City	38	23	15	1.1	1.2	13	8	17	42	45	47
24	16	Millwall	37	22	15	1.0	1.3	11	10	16	36	48	43

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Ipswich	19	3	16	2.8	1.5	14	4	1	53	29	46
2	4	Southampton	18	4	14	2.5	1.3	12	2	4	45	24	38
3	9	Preston	19	5	14	1.5	1.6	9	4	6	28	31	31
4	18	Plymouth	19	5	14	2.0	1.7	8	4	7	38	33	28
5	3	Leeds	18	6	12	2.2	0.7	14	4	0	39	12	46
6	12	Sunderland	19	7	12	1.5	1.2	10	1	8	29	22	31
7	17	Blackburn	19	7	12	1.4	1.6	6	5	8	26	30	23
8	13	Watford	19	8	11	1.5	1.4	5	6	8	29	26	21
9	15	Swansea	19	8	11	1.2	1.4	6	5	8	22	26	23
10	1	Leicester	18	8	10	1.9	0.7	13	1	4	35	13	40
11	6	Norwich	19	9	10	1.9	0.9	13	2	4	37	18	41
12	20	QPR	19	9	10	1.1	1.5	4	6	9	21	29	18
13	21	Birmingham	19	9	10	1.4	1.3	7	6	6	26	24	27
14	22	Huddersfield	19	9	10	1.2	1.5	5	7	7	23	28	22
15	23	Sheffield Weds	19	10	9	1.1	1.2	7	4	8	20	23	25
16	7	Hull	19	11	8	1.4	1.1	7	7	5	27	20	28
17	8	Coventry	18	10	8	1.6	0.9	8	8	2	29	17	32
18	11	Cardiff	19	11	8	1.2	1.2	9	3	7	23	22	30
19	16	Millwall	19	11	8	0.8	1.4	6	4	9	16	27	22
20	5	West Brom	19	12	7	1.6	0.7	13	3	3	31	14	42
21	19	Stoke	19	12	7	0.7	1.3	6	4	9	14	24	22
22	24	Rotherham	19	12	7	0.9	1.3	3	7	9	17	24	16
23	10	Middlesbrough	19	13	6	1.1	1.1	7	4	8	20	21	25
24	14	Bristol City	19	13	6	1.2	1.1	8	3	8	22	20	27

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Norwich	19	5	14	1.7	1.9	5	5	9	32	36	20
2	10	Middlesbrough	19	5	14	1.7	1.6	9	2	8	33	31	29
3	17	Blackburn	19	5	14	1.3	1.8	5	4	10	25	34	19
4	7	Hull	18	5	13	1.4	1.4	9	3	6	26	26	30
5	8	Coventry	19	6	13	1.6	1.4	7	4	8	30	26	25
6	24	Rotherham	19	6	13	0.7	2.8	0	4	15	13	53	4
7	1	Leicester	19	7	12	2.1	1.1	13	3	3	39	20	42
8	15	Swansea	19	7	12	1.4	1.7	6	5	8	26	32	23
9	5	West Brom	19	9	10	1.5	1.2	6	6	7	28	22	24
10	11	Cardiff	19	9	10	1.1	1.5	7	2	10	20	29	23
11	2	Ipswich	19	10	9	1.4	1.1	10	5	4	27	20	35
12	4	Southampton	18	9	9	1.6	1.3	10	5	3	28	23	35
13	14	Bristol City	19	10	9	1.1	1.3	5	5	9	20	25	20
14	18	Plymouth	19	10	9	0.8	1.5	2	7	10	16	29	13
15	19	Stoke	19	10	9	1.1	1.5	5	4	10	21	29	19
16	23	Sheffield Weds	19	10	9	0.5	2.0	4	1	14	10	38	13
17	9	Preston	18	10	8	1.2	1.3	7	4	7	21	23	25
18	12	Sunderland	19	11	8	1.0	1.2	4	5	10	19	23	17
19	13	Watford	19	11	8	1.3	1.3	7	6	6	24	25	27
20	21	Birmingham	19	11	8	0.8	1.8	3	3	13	16	35	12
21	22	Huddersfield	19	11	8	1.0	1.7	3	8	8	19	33	17
22	3	Leeds	19	12	7	1.5	0.8	10	3	6	29	16	33
23	16	Millwall	18	11	7	1.1	1.2	5	6	7	20	21	21
24	20	QPR	19	12	7	0.8	1.1	6	4	9	15	21	22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.