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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: S Gill

Millwall 1–0 Leicester

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 5.00 fair 4.63
Draw 3.75 fair 4.17
Away 1.67 fair 1.84
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.85 fair 2.01
Over 2.5 2.00 fair 1.99

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Millwall Leicester
6 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 9
11 Fouls 6
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (489 league matches this season so far).
Result Leicester to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.96
Expected goals 0.98 – 1.70
Home / Draw / Away
MillwallDrawLeicester
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
0–1 11.7% 1–1 11.4% 0–2 9.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches
1.07points / match
0.93scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 41 played · 38:54
Leicester before this match, all matches
2.20points / match
1.98scored / match
0.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 40 played · 79:36
Millwall all matches all matches Leicester

Per match

0.93 Goals scored 1.98
1.32 Goals conceded 0.90
2.24 Total goals 2.88
10.83 Shots 14.28
3.61 Shots on target 5.23
12.44 Shots faced 10.93
4.32 Corners 5.40
5.54 Corners against 4.40
13.27 Fouls 10.18
2.29 Yellow cards 1.85
0.49 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.35

How often Full Time

27% Wins 70%
27% Draws 10%
46% Losses 20%
95% Over 0.5 goals 100%
68% Over 1.5 goals 80%
39% Over 2.5 goals 60%
20% Over 3.5 goals 33%
2% Over 4.5 goals 15%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
41% Both teams scored 57%
29% Clean sheets 33%
34% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 50%
44% Draws 40%
27% Losses 10%
68% Over 0.5 goals 75%
27% Over 1.5 goals 30%
10% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches
Leicester all matches
Millwall before this match, at home
1.15points / match
0.85scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 17:28
Leicester before this match, away
2.10points / match
1.95scored / match
1.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 39:21
Millwall at home away Leicester

Per match

0.85 Goals scored 1.95
1.40 Goals conceded 1.05
2.25 Total goals 3.00
13.10 Shots 12.25
4.30 Shots on target 4.65
10.80 Shots faced 12.60
5.30 Corners 3.80
4.40 Corners against 5.05
13.10 Fouls 11.70
2.15 Yellow cards 2.30
0.55 1st-half goals scored 1.05
0.65 1st-half goals conceded 0.30

How often Full Time

30% Wins 65%
25% Draws 15%
45% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
70% Over 1.5 goals 80%
40% Over 2.5 goals 60%
15% Over 3.5 goals 40%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
35% Both teams scored 65%
30% Clean sheets 25%
35% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 65%
35% Draws 35%
30% Losses 0%
80% Over 0.5 goals 80%
30% Over 1.5 goals 35%
10% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home
Leicester away

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Huddersfield – Millwall 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.003.20 2.38 1.57
01.04.24 Rotherham – Millwall 2–1 (0–0) 4.333.601.85 2.15 1.67
29.03.24 Millwall – West Brom 1–1 (1–0) 3.403.102.30 2.50 1.50
17.03.24 Leeds – Millwall 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.50 1.70 2.10
09.03.24 Millwall – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.40 2.15 1.67
05.03.24 Blackburn – Millwall 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.303.40 2.15 1.67
02.03.24 Millwall – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 2.383.303.00 2.10 1.70
24.02.24 Southampton – Millwall 1–2 (1–2) 1.365.008.00 1.62 2.25
17.02.24 Millwall – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.303.50 2.25 1.62
14.02.24 Millwall – Ipswich 0–4 (0–3) 3.503.502.05 2.05 1.75

Leicester all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Leicester – Birmingham 2–1 (1–1) 1.335.508.50 1.53 2.50
01.04.24 Leicester – Norwich 3–1 (1–1) 1.654.334.75 1.62 2.25
29.03.24 Bristol City – Leicester 1–0 (0–0) 5.003.801.70 1.93 1.93
09.03.24 Hull – Leicester 2–2 (1–1) 3.503.402.10 1.88 1.98
05.03.24 Sunderland – Leicester 0–1 (0–1) 3.803.751.91 1.85 2.00
02.03.24 Leicester – QPR 1–2 (0–1) 1.364.759.50 1.70 2.10
23.02.24 Leeds – Leicester 3–1 (0–1) 2.103.403.50 1.80 2.00
17.02.24 Leicester – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.505.00 1.65 2.20
13.02.24 Leicester – Sheffield Weds 2–0 (2–0) 1.305.509.50 1.60 2.30
10.02.24 Watford – Leicester 1–2 (0–1) 4.504.001.70 1.75 2.05

Millwall at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.24 Millwall – West Brom 1–1 (1–0) 3.403.102.30 2.50 1.50
09.03.24 Millwall – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.40 2.15 1.67
02.03.24 Millwall – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 2.383.303.00 2.10 1.70
17.02.24 Millwall – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.303.50 2.25 1.62
14.02.24 Millwall – Ipswich 0–4 (0–3) 3.503.502.05 2.05 1.75
27.01.24 Millwall – Preston 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.103.60 2.40 1.53
13.01.24 Millwall – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–1) 2.753.402.55 2.05 1.75
29.12.23 Millwall – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 2.453.502.80 2.05 1.75
26.12.23 Millwall – QPR 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.253.75 2.35 1.57
16.12.23 Millwall – Huddersfield 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 2.20 1.65

Leicester away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.24 Bristol City – Leicester 1–0 (0–0) 5.003.801.70 1.93 1.93
09.03.24 Hull – Leicester 2–2 (1–1) 3.503.402.10 1.88 1.98
05.03.24 Sunderland – Leicester 0–1 (0–1) 3.803.751.91 1.85 2.00
23.02.24 Leeds – Leicester 3–1 (0–1) 2.103.403.50 1.80 2.00
10.02.24 Watford – Leicester 1–2 (0–1) 4.504.001.70 1.75 2.05
03.02.24 Stoke – Leicester 0–5 (0–2) 4.203.751.83 1.90 1.95
13.01.24 Coventry – Leicester 3–1 (0–1) 3.803.601.95 1.88 1.98
29.12.23 Cardiff – Leicester 0–2 (0–1) 5.754.001.62 1.98 1.88
26.12.23 Ipswich – Leicester 1–1 (0–1) 3.103.502.25 1.73 2.08
18.12.23 Birmingham – Leicester 2–3 (1–2) 6.003.801.60 1.75 2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Millwall winsDrawsLeicester wins
1matches
5.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.12.23E1 Leicester – Millwall 3–2 (0–1) 1.365.008.50 1.73 2.08

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 40 28 4 8 79 36 +43 88
2 Ipswich 41 26 9 6 84 52 +32 87
3 Leeds 41 26 8 7 76 33 +43 86
4 Southampton 39 22 9 8 76 51 +25 75
5 West Brom 41 19 12 10 64 41 +23 69
6 Norwich 41 20 7 14 73 58 +15 67
7 Coventry 40 17 12 11 65 47 +18 63
8 Middlesbrough 41 18 7 16 58 53 +5 61
9 Hull 40 17 10 13 57 52 +5 61
10 Preston 40 17 9 14 52 55 -3 60
11 Cardiff 41 17 5 19 46 57 -11 56
12 Bristol City 41 15 9 17 44 45 -1 54
13 Sunderland 41 15 7 19 51 50 +1 52
14 Watford 41 12 15 14 57 55 +2 51
15 Swansea 41 12 11 18 49 62 -13 47
16 Blackburn 41 12 10 19 56 66 -10 46
17 QPR 41 12 10 19 39 53 -14 46
18 Stoke 41 12 10 19 40 56 -16 46
19 Plymouth 41 11 11 19 56 65 -9 44
20 Millwall 41 11 11 19 38 54 -16 44
21 Huddersfield 41 9 16 16 45 65 -20 43
22 Birmingham 41 11 9 21 45 63 -18 42
23 Sheffield Weds 41 12 6 23 33 64 -31 42
24 Rotherham 41 4 11 26 32 82 -50 23
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 20 16 4 0 44 13 +31 52
2 Ipswich 20 15 4 1 56 31 +25 49
3 Norwich 21 15 2 4 40 19 +21 47
4 Leicester 20 15 1 4 40 15 +25 46
5 West Brom 20 13 4 3 33 16 +17 43
6 Southampton 19 12 3 4 46 25 +21 39
7 Coventry 20 9 8 3 32 20 +12 35
8 Preston 20 10 4 6 31 31 0 34
9 Sunderland 21 10 2 9 30 27 +3 32
10 Middlesbrough 21 9 4 8 24 21 +3 31
11 Birmingham 20 8 6 6 27 24 +3 30
12 Bristol City 20 9 3 8 23 20 +3 30
13 Cardiff 21 9 3 9 24 27 -3 30
14 Hull 20 7 7 6 27 22 +5 28
15 Plymouth 20 8 4 8 38 34 +4 28
16 Sheffield Weds 20 7 5 8 21 24 -3 26
17 Huddersfield 21 6 7 8 25 31 -6 25
18 Blackburn 21 6 6 9 26 31 -5 24
19 Stoke 21 6 6 9 17 27 -10 24
20 Watford 21 5 8 8 31 28 +3 23
21 Swansea 20 6 5 9 22 27 -5 23
22 Millwall 20 6 5 9 17 28 -11 23
23 QPR 21 5 6 10 23 32 -9 21
24 Rotherham 21 4 7 10 19 26 -7 19
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 20 13 3 4 39 21 +18 42
2 Ipswich 21 11 5 5 28 21 +7 38
3 Southampton 20 10 6 4 30 26 +4 36
4 Leeds 21 10 4 7 32 20 +12 34
5 Hull 20 10 3 7 30 30 0 33
6 Middlesbrough 20 9 3 8 34 32 +2 30
7 Coventry 20 8 4 8 33 27 +6 28
8 Watford 20 7 7 6 26 27 -1 28
9 West Brom 21 6 8 7 31 25 +6 26
10 Preston 20 7 5 8 21 24 -3 26
11 Cardiff 20 8 2 10 22 30 -8 26
12 QPR 20 7 4 9 16 21 -5 25
13 Bristol City 21 6 6 9 21 25 -4 24
14 Swansea 21 6 6 9 27 35 -8 24
15 Blackburn 20 6 4 10 30 35 -5 22
16 Stoke 20 6 4 10 23 29 -6 22
17 Millwall 21 5 6 10 21 26 -5 21
18 Sunderland 20 5 5 10 21 23 -2 20
19 Norwich 20 5 5 10 33 39 -6 20
20 Huddersfield 20 3 9 8 20 34 -14 18
21 Plymouth 21 3 7 11 18 31 -13 16
22 Sheffield Weds 21 5 1 15 12 40 -28 16
23 Birmingham 21 3 3 15 18 39 -21 12
24 Rotherham 20 0 4 16 13 56 -43 4

Millwall   Leicester

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Blackburn 41 14 27 1.4 1.6 12 10 19 56 66 46
2 2 Ipswich 41 15 26 2.0 1.3 26 9 6 84 52 87
3 6 Norwich 41 15 26 1.8 1.4 20 7 14 73 58 67
4 1 Leicester 40 16 24 2.0 0.9 28 4 8 79 36 88
5 4 Southampton 39 15 24 1.9 1.3 22 9 8 76 51 75
6 7 Coventry 40 16 24 1.6 1.2 17 12 11 65 47 63
7 19 Plymouth 41 17 24 1.4 1.6 11 11 19 56 65 44
8 9 Hull 40 17 23 1.4 1.3 17 10 13 57 52 61
9 10 Preston 40 17 23 1.3 1.4 17 9 14 52 55 60
10 15 Swansea 41 18 23 1.2 1.5 12 11 18 49 62 47
11 3 Leeds 41 19 22 1.9 0.8 26 8 7 76 33 86
12 24 Rotherham 41 19 22 0.8 2.0 4 11 26 32 82 23
13 13 Sunderland 41 20 21 1.2 1.2 15 7 19 51 50 52
14 14 Watford 41 20 21 1.4 1.3 12 15 14 57 55 51
15 8 Middlesbrough 41 21 20 1.4 1.3 18 7 16 58 53 61
16 11 Cardiff 41 21 20 1.1 1.4 17 5 19 46 57 56
17 22 Birmingham 41 21 20 1.1 1.5 11 9 21 45 63 42
18 5 West Brom 41 22 19 1.6 1.0 19 12 10 64 41 69
19 21 Huddersfield 41 22 19 1.1 1.6 9 16 16 45 65 43
20 17 QPR 41 23 18 1.0 1.3 12 10 19 39 53 46
21 23 Sheffield Weds 41 23 18 0.8 1.6 12 6 23 33 64 42
22 18 Stoke 41 24 17 1.0 1.4 12 10 19 40 56 46
23 20 Millwall 41 25 16 0.9 1.3 11 11 19 38 54 44
24 12 Bristol City 41 26 15 1.1 1.1 15 9 17 44 45 54
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Ipswich 20 3 17 2.8 1.6 15 4 1 56 31 49
2 10 Preston 20 5 15 1.6 1.6 10 4 6 31 31 34
3 4 Southampton 19 5 14 2.4 1.3 12 3 4 46 25 39
4 19 Plymouth 20 6 14 1.9 1.7 8 4 8 38 34 28
5 3 Leeds 20 7 13 2.2 0.7 16 4 0 44 13 52
6 13 Sunderland 21 8 13 1.4 1.3 10 2 9 30 27 32
7 1 Leicester 20 8 12 2.0 0.8 15 1 4 40 15 46
8 14 Watford 21 9 12 1.5 1.3 5 8 8 31 28 23
9 16 Blackburn 21 9 12 1.2 1.5 6 6 9 26 31 24
10 6 Norwich 21 10 11 1.9 0.9 15 2 4 40 19 47
11 15 Swansea 20 9 11 1.1 1.4 6 5 9 22 27 23
12 17 QPR 21 10 11 1.1 1.5 5 6 10 23 32 21
13 21 Huddersfield 21 10 11 1.2 1.5 6 7 8 25 31 25
14 7 Coventry 20 10 10 1.6 1.0 9 8 3 32 20 35
15 22 Birmingham 20 10 10 1.4 1.2 8 6 6 27 24 30
16 11 Cardiff 21 12 9 1.1 1.3 9 3 9 24 27 30
17 23 Sheffield Weds 20 11 9 1.1 1.2 7 5 8 21 24 26
18 5 West Brom 20 12 8 1.6 0.8 13 4 3 33 16 43
19 9 Hull 20 12 8 1.4 1.1 7 7 6 27 22 28
20 18 Stoke 21 13 8 0.8 1.3 6 6 9 17 27 24
21 20 Millwall 20 12 8 0.8 1.4 6 5 9 17 28 23
22 24 Rotherham 21 13 8 0.9 1.2 4 7 10 19 26 19
23 8 Middlesbrough 21 15 6 1.1 1.0 9 4 8 24 21 31
24 12 Bristol City 20 14 6 1.1 1.0 9 3 8 23 20 30
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Norwich 20 5 15 1.6 1.9 5 5 10 33 39 20
2 9 Hull 20 5 15 1.5 1.5 10 3 7 30 30 33
3 16 Blackburn 20 5 15 1.5 1.8 6 4 10 30 35 22
4 7 Coventry 20 6 14 1.6 1.4 8 4 8 33 27 28
5 8 Middlesbrough 20 6 14 1.7 1.6 9 3 8 34 32 30
6 24 Rotherham 20 6 14 0.7 2.8 0 4 16 13 56 4
7 1 Leicester 20 8 12 1.9 1.1 13 3 4 39 21 42
8 15 Swansea 21 9 12 1.3 1.7 6 6 9 27 35 24
9 5 West Brom 21 10 11 1.5 1.2 6 8 7 31 25 26
10 11 Cardiff 20 9 11 1.1 1.5 8 2 10 22 30 26
11 4 Southampton 20 10 10 1.5 1.3 10 6 4 30 26 36
12 19 Plymouth 21 11 10 0.9 1.5 3 7 11 18 31 16
13 22 Birmingham 21 11 10 0.9 1.9 3 3 15 18 39 12
14 2 Ipswich 21 12 9 1.3 1.0 11 5 5 28 21 38
15 3 Leeds 21 12 9 1.5 1.0 10 4 7 32 20 34
16 12 Bristol City 21 12 9 1.0 1.2 6 6 9 21 25 24
17 14 Watford 20 11 9 1.3 1.4 7 7 6 26 27 28
18 18 Stoke 20 11 9 1.1 1.4 6 4 10 23 29 22
19 23 Sheffield Weds 21 12 9 0.6 1.9 5 1 15 12 40 16
20 10 Preston 20 12 8 1.1 1.2 7 5 8 21 24 26
21 13 Sunderland 20 12 8 1.1 1.1 5 5 10 21 23 20
22 20 Millwall 21 13 8 1.0 1.2 5 6 10 21 26 21
23 21 Huddersfield 20 12 8 1.0 1.7 3 9 8 20 34 18
24 17 QPR 20 13 7 0.8 1.1 7 4 9 16 21 25

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51