Watford 2–2 Leeds – England Championship, 29 Mar 2024

Match facts

Watford Leeds

9 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 8

8 Corners 5

15 Fouls 5

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (464 league matches this season so far).

Result Leeds to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.85

Expected goals 1.15 – 1.55

Home / Draw / Away

28% 25% 47%

WatfordDrawLeeds

Under / Over 2.5 goals

49% 51%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

46% 54%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

18% 1

24% 2

22% 3

15% 4

14% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12% 0–1 10.4% 1–2 9.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches

1.26points / match

1.39scored / match

1.34conceded / match

12 12 14

WonDrawnLost 38 played · 53:51

Leeds before this match, all matches

2.16points / match

1.84scored / match

0.74conceded / match

25 7 6

WonDrawnLost 38 played · 70:28

Watford all matches all matches Leeds

Per match

1.39 Goals scored 1.84

1.34 Goals conceded 0.74

2.74 Total goals 2.58

13.66 Shots 15.45

4.16 Shots on target 5.34

12.63 Shots faced 9.37

5.42 Corners 5.68

4.76 Corners against 4.53

12.66 Fouls 10.16

2.29 Yellow cards 1.50

0.61 1st-half goals scored 0.95

0.74 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

32% Wins 66%

32% Draws 18%

37% Losses 16%

92% Over 0.5 goals 95%

71% Over 1.5 goals 71%

50% Over 2.5 goals 50%

29% Over 3.5 goals 26%

21% Over 4.5 goals 11%

11% Over 5.5 goals 3%

55% Both teams scored 42%

26% Clean sheets 47%

26% Failed to score 16%

How often Half Time

8% Wins 47%

63% Draws 37%

29% Losses 16%

63% Over 0.5 goals 71%

42% Over 1.5 goals 39%

16% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches

D

1

L

1

2

L

2

4

L

1

W

1

2

L

1

L

1

D

1

2

L

1

W

Leeds all matches

1

W

1

W

3

W

4

W

2

W

3

1

W

1

D

1

W

2

W

2

W

Watford before this match, at home

1.11points / match

1.53scored / match

1.37conceded / match

5 6 8

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 29:26

Leeds before this match, away

1.74points / match

1.53scored / match

0.84conceded / match

10 3 6

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 29:16

Watford at home away Leeds

Per match

1.53 Goals scored 1.53

1.37 Goals conceded 0.84

2.89 Total goals 2.37

15.95 Shots 13.47

5.05 Shots on target 4.58

9.42 Shots faced 10.74

6.95 Corners 4.79

3.21 Corners against 6.47

12.21 Fouls 10.00

2.05 Yellow cards 1.42

0.79 1st-half goals scored 0.68

0.79 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

26% Wins 53%

32% Draws 16%

42% Losses 32%

95% Over 0.5 goals 95%

79% Over 1.5 goals 63%

58% Over 2.5 goals 37%

37% Over 3.5 goals 21%

21% Over 4.5 goals 11%

0% Over 5.5 goals 5%

63% Both teams scored 32%

26% Clean sheets 47%

16% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

11% Wins 37%

63% Draws 42%

26% Losses 21%

68% Over 0.5 goals 63%

53% Over 1.5 goals 32%

21% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home

3

2

W

1

D

1

2

L

1

4

L

1

D

1

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

D

1

2

L

Leeds away

2

W

1

L

1

2

L

1

L

3

W

1

W

4

W

2

W

1

D

2

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.03.24	Birmingham – Watford	0–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.25	3.00	1.93	1.93
09.03.24	Watford – Coventry	1–2 (1–1)	2.88	3.40	2.40	1.85	2.00
06.03.24	Watford – Swansea	1–1 (0–1)	2.20	3.50	3.25	1.93	1.93
02.03.24	Millwall – Watford	1–0 (1–0)	2.38	3.30	3.00	2.10	1.70
24.02.24	Watford – Huddersfield	1–2 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	1.98	1.88
17.02.24	Rotherham – Watford	0–1 (0–0)	4.33	3.50	1.85	2.05	1.75
13.02.24	Norwich – Watford	4–2 (2–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	1.93	1.93
10.02.24	Watford – Leicester	1–2 (0–1)	4.50	4.00	1.70	1.75	2.05
03.02.24	Watford – Cardiff	0–1 (0–1)	1.83	3.60	4.33	2.03	1.83
31.01.24	Sheffield Weds – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.30	2.63	2.00	1.85

Leeds all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.03.24	Leeds – Millwall	2–0 (1–0)	1.36	5.00	8.50	1.70	2.10
08.03.24	Sheffield Weds – Leeds	0–2 (0–1)	5.00	4.20	1.62	1.75	2.05
05.03.24	Leeds – Stoke	1–0 (1–0)	1.33	5.50	8.00	1.53	2.40
02.03.24	Huddersfield – Leeds	1–1 (1–0)	5.50	4.20	1.57	1.80	2.00
23.02.24	Leeds – Leicester	3–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.50	1.80	2.00
17.02.24	Plymouth – Leeds	0–2 (0–1)	6.50	4.75	1.44	1.48	2.60
13.02.24	Swansea – Leeds	0–4 (0–3)	5.25	4.33	1.57	1.67	2.15
10.02.24	Leeds – Rotherham	3–0 (1–0)	1.17	7.50	15.00	1.50	2.50
02.02.24	Bristol City – Leeds	0–1 (0–0)	4.75	3.80	1.73	2.03	1.83
24.01.24	Leeds – Norwich	1–0 (1–0)	1.44	4.20	7.00	1.57	2.35

Watford at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.03.24	Watford – Coventry	1–2 (1–1)	2.88	3.40	2.40	1.85	2.00
06.03.24	Watford – Swansea	1–1 (0–1)	2.20	3.50	3.25	1.93	1.93
24.02.24	Watford – Huddersfield	1–2 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	1.98	1.88
10.02.24	Watford – Leicester	1–2 (0–1)	4.50	4.00	1.70	1.75	2.05
03.02.24	Watford – Cardiff	0–1 (0–1)	1.83	3.60	4.33	2.03	1.83
29.12.23	Watford – Stoke	1–1 (1–1)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.05	1.75
26.12.23	Watford – Bristol City	1–4 (0–2)	1.95	3.40	4.20	2.10	1.70
12.12.23	Watford – Ipswich	1–2 (1–1)	2.90	3.40	2.45	2.00	1.85
09.12.23	Watford – Southampton	1–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.40	2.20	1.98	1.88
28.11.23	Watford – Norwich	3–2 (2–2)	2.15	3.50	3.30	1.88	1.98

Leeds away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.03.24	Sheffield Weds – Leeds	0–2 (0–1)	5.00	4.20	1.62	1.75	2.05
02.03.24	Huddersfield – Leeds	1–1 (1–0)	5.50	4.20	1.57	1.80	2.00
17.02.24	Plymouth – Leeds	0–2 (0–1)	6.50	4.75	1.44	1.48	2.60
13.02.24	Swansea – Leeds	0–4 (0–3)	5.25	4.33	1.57	1.67	2.15
02.02.24	Bristol City – Leeds	0–1 (0–0)	4.75	3.80	1.73	2.03	1.83
13.01.24	Cardiff – Leeds	0–3 (0–2)	5.25	4.20	1.62	1.93	1.93
29.12.23	West Brom – Leeds	1–0 (1–0)	3.20	3.40	2.25	2.10	1.70
26.12.23	Preston – Leeds	2–1 (0–0)	5.75	4.20	1.57	1.83	2.03
12.12.23	Sunderland – Leeds	1–0 (0–0)	2.80	3.60	2.40	1.70	2.10
09.12.23	Blackburn – Leeds	0–2 (0–1)	4.00	4.33	1.75	1.48	2.60

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3

Watford winsDrawsLeeds wins

3matches

2.33goals / match

67%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.09.23E1	Leeds – Watford	3–0 (0–0)	1.73	3.80	4.75	1.73	2.10
09.04.22E0	Watford – Leeds	0–3 (0–1)	2.70	3.40	2.55	1.72	2.10
02.10.21E0	Leeds – Watford	1–0 (1–0)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.66	2.20

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Ipswich	39	25	9	5	81	49	+32	84
2	Leeds	38	25	7	6	70	28	+42	82
3	Leicester	38	26	4	8	74	34	+40	82
4	Southampton	37	22	8	7	74	48	+26	74
5	West Brom	39	19	10	10	60	37	+23	67
6	Norwich	39	19	7	13	71	55	+16	64
7	Coventry	38	16	12	10	62	44	+18	60
8	Preston	38	17	8	13	52	54	-2	59
9	Hull	38	16	10	12	53	48	+5	58
10	Middlesbrough	39	16	7	16	54	53	+1	55
11	Cardiff	39	16	5	18	43	53	-10	53
12	Sunderland	39	15	6	18	50	45	+5	51
13	Bristol City	39	14	8	17	43	45	-2	50
14	Watford	38	12	12	14	53	51	+2	48
15	Swansea	39	12	11	16	49	59	-10	47
16	Millwall	39	11	11	17	37	51	-14	44
17	Stoke	39	12	8	19	37	53	-16	44
18	QPR	39	11	10	18	38	51	-13	43
19	Blackburn	39	11	9	19	51	65	-14	42
20	Plymouth	39	10	11	18	55	64	-9	41
21	Birmingham	39	10	9	20	43	61	-18	39
22	Huddersfield	39	8	15	16	43	64	-21	39
23	Sheffield Weds	39	11	6	22	31	62	-31	39
24	Rotherham	39	3	11	25	30	80	-50	20

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	19	15	4	0	41	12	+29	49
2	Ipswich	19	14	4	1	53	29	+24	46
3	Norwich	20	14	2	4	39	19	+20	44
4	West Brom	19	13	3	3	31	14	+17	42
5	Leicester	18	13	1	4	35	13	+22	40
6	Southampton	19	12	3	4	46	25	+21	39
7	Preston	20	10	4	6	31	31	0	34
8	Coventry	18	8	8	2	29	17	+12	32
9	Sunderland	19	10	1	8	29	22	+7	31
10	Bristol City	20	9	3	8	23	20	+3	30
11	Cardiff	20	9	3	8	23	24	-1	30
12	Plymouth	19	8	4	7	38	33	+5	28
13	Hull	20	7	7	6	27	22	+5	28
14	Birmingham	19	7	6	6	26	24	+2	27
15	Sheffield Weds	20	7	5	8	21	24	-3	26
16	Middlesbrough	19	7	4	8	20	21	-1	25
17	Swansea	19	6	5	8	22	26	-4	23
18	Blackburn	20	6	5	9	26	31	-5	23
19	Millwall	20	6	5	9	17	28	-11	23
20	Huddersfield	20	5	7	8	24	31	-7	22
21	Stoke	19	6	4	9	14	24	-10	22
22	Watford	19	5	6	8	29	26	+3	21
23	QPR	20	5	6	9	23	30	-7	21
24	Rotherham	19	3	7	9	17	24	-7	16

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	20	13	3	4	39	21	+18	42
2	Ipswich	20	11	5	4	28	20	+8	38
3	Southampton	18	10	5	3	28	23	+5	35
4	Leeds	19	10	3	6	29	16	+13	33
5	Middlesbrough	20	9	3	8	34	32	+2	30
6	Hull	18	9	3	6	26	26	0	30
7	Coventry	20	8	4	8	33	27	+6	28
8	Watford	19	7	6	6	24	25	-1	27
9	West Brom	20	6	7	7	29	23	+6	25
10	Preston	18	7	4	7	21	23	-2	25
11	Swansea	20	6	6	8	27	33	-6	24
12	Cardiff	19	7	2	10	20	29	-9	23
13	Stoke	20	6	4	10	23	29	-6	22
14	QPR	19	6	4	9	15	21	-6	22
15	Millwall	19	5	6	8	20	23	-3	21
16	Sunderland	20	5	5	10	21	23	-2	20
17	Norwich	19	5	5	9	32	36	-4	20
18	Bristol City	19	5	5	9	20	25	-5	20
19	Blackburn	19	5	4	10	25	34	-9	19
20	Huddersfield	19	3	8	8	19	33	-14	17
21	Plymouth	20	2	7	11	17	31	-14	13
22	Sheffield Weds	19	4	1	14	10	38	-28	13
23	Birmingham	20	3	3	14	17	37	-20	12
24	Rotherham	20	0	4	16	13	56	-43	4

Watford Leeds

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	19	Blackburn	39	13	26	1.3	1.7	11	9	19	51	65	42
2	1	Ipswich	39	14	25	2.1	1.3	25	9	5	81	49	84
3	6	Norwich	39	14	25	1.8	1.4	19	7	13	71	55	64
4	20	Plymouth	39	15	24	1.4	1.6	10	11	18	55	64	41
5	4	Southampton	37	14	23	2.0	1.3	22	8	7	74	48	74
6	8	Preston	38	15	23	1.4	1.4	17	8	13	52	54	59
7	15	Swansea	39	16	23	1.3	1.5	12	11	16	49	59	47
8	3	Leicester	38	16	22	1.9	0.9	26	4	8	74	34	82
9	7	Coventry	38	16	22	1.6	1.2	16	12	10	62	44	60
10	9	Hull	38	17	21	1.4	1.3	16	10	12	53	48	58
11	24	Rotherham	39	18	21	0.8	2.1	3	11	25	30	80	20
12	10	Middlesbrough	39	19	20	1.4	1.4	16	7	16	54	53	55
13	12	Sunderland	39	19	20	1.3	1.2	15	6	18	50	45	51
14	2	Leeds	38	19	19	1.8	0.7	25	7	6	70	28	82
15	14	Watford	38	19	19	1.4	1.3	12	12	14	53	51	48
16	21	Birmingham	39	20	19	1.1	1.6	10	9	20	43	61	39
17	22	Huddersfield	39	20	19	1.1	1.6	8	15	16	43	64	39
18	11	Cardiff	39	21	18	1.1	1.4	16	5	18	43	53	53
19	18	QPR	39	21	18	1.0	1.3	11	10	18	38	51	43
20	23	Sheffield Weds	39	21	18	0.8	1.6	11	6	22	31	62	39
21	5	West Brom	39	22	17	1.5	0.9	19	10	10	60	37	67
22	17	Stoke	39	23	16	0.9	1.4	12	8	19	37	53	44
23	13	Bristol City	39	24	15	1.1	1.2	14	8	17	43	45	50
24	16	Millwall	39	24	15	0.9	1.3	11	11	17	37	51	44

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Ipswich	19	3	16	2.8	1.5	14	4	1	53	29	46
2	8	Preston	20	5	15	1.6	1.6	10	4	6	31	31	34
3	4	Southampton	19	5	14	2.4	1.3	12	3	4	46	25	39
4	20	Plymouth	19	5	14	2.0	1.7	8	4	7	38	33	28
5	2	Leeds	19	7	12	2.2	0.6	15	4	0	41	12	49
6	12	Sunderland	19	7	12	1.5	1.2	10	1	8	29	22	31
7	19	Blackburn	20	8	12	1.3	1.6	6	5	9	26	31	23
8	6	Norwich	20	9	11	1.9	0.9	14	2	4	39	19	44
9	14	Watford	19	8	11	1.5	1.4	5	6	8	29	26	21
10	15	Swansea	19	8	11	1.2	1.4	6	5	8	22	26	23
11	18	QPR	20	9	11	1.1	1.5	5	6	9	23	30	21
12	22	Huddersfield	20	9	11	1.2	1.6	5	7	8	24	31	22
13	3	Leicester	18	8	10	1.9	0.7	13	1	4	35	13	40
14	21	Birmingham	19	9	10	1.4	1.3	7	6	6	26	24	27
15	23	Sheffield Weds	20	11	9	1.1	1.2	7	5	8	21	24	26
16	7	Coventry	18	10	8	1.6	0.9	8	8	2	29	17	32
17	9	Hull	20	12	8	1.4	1.1	7	7	6	27	22	28
18	11	Cardiff	20	12	8	1.1	1.2	9	3	8	23	24	30
19	16	Millwall	20	12	8	0.8	1.4	6	5	9	17	28	23
20	5	West Brom	19	12	7	1.6	0.7	13	3	3	31	14	42
21	17	Stoke	19	12	7	0.7	1.3	6	4	9	14	24	22
22	24	Rotherham	19	12	7	0.9	1.3	3	7	9	17	24	16
23	10	Middlesbrough	19	13	6	1.1	1.1	7	4	8	20	21	25
24	13	Bristol City	20	14	6	1.1	1.0	9	3	8	23	20	30

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Norwich	19	5	14	1.7	1.9	5	5	9	32	36	20
2	7	Coventry	20	6	14	1.6	1.4	8	4	8	33	27	28
3	10	Middlesbrough	20	6	14	1.7	1.6	9	3	8	34	32	30
4	19	Blackburn	19	5	14	1.3	1.8	5	4	10	25	34	19
5	24	Rotherham	20	6	14	0.7	2.8	0	4	16	13	56	4
6	9	Hull	18	5	13	1.4	1.4	9	3	6	26	26	30
7	3	Leicester	20	8	12	1.9	1.1	13	3	4	39	21	42
8	15	Swansea	20	8	12	1.4	1.6	6	6	8	27	33	24
9	5	West Brom	20	10	10	1.4	1.1	6	7	7	29	23	25
10	11	Cardiff	19	9	10	1.1	1.5	7	2	10	20	29	23
11	20	Plymouth	20	10	10	0.8	1.6	2	7	11	17	31	13
12	1	Ipswich	20	11	9	1.4	1.0	11	5	4	28	20	38
13	4	Southampton	18	9	9	1.6	1.3	10	5	3	28	23	35
14	13	Bristol City	19	10	9	1.1	1.3	5	5	9	20	25	20
15	17	Stoke	20	11	9	1.1	1.4	6	4	10	23	29	22
16	21	Birmingham	20	11	9	0.8	1.9	3	3	14	17	37	12
17	23	Sheffield Weds	19	10	9	0.5	2.0	4	1	14	10	38	13
18	8	Preston	18	10	8	1.2	1.3	7	4	7	21	23	25
19	12	Sunderland	20	12	8	1.1	1.1	5	5	10	21	23	20
20	14	Watford	19	11	8	1.3	1.3	7	6	6	24	25	27
21	22	Huddersfield	19	11	8	1.0	1.7	3	8	8	19	33	17
22	2	Leeds	19	12	7	1.5	0.8	10	3	6	29	16	33
23	16	Millwall	19	12	7	1.1	1.2	5	6	8	20	23	21
24	18	QPR	19	12	7	0.8	1.1	6	4	9	15	21	22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.