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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Davies

Millwall 1–0 Plymouth

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.20 fair 2.42
Draw 3.40 fair 3.73
Away 3.40 fair 3.15
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.83 fair 1.84
Over 2.5 2.03 fair 2.19

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Millwall Plymouth
11 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 1
9 Corners 9
9 Fouls 8
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (528 league matches this season so far).
Result Millwall to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.97
Expected goals 1.35 – 1.15
Home / Draw / Away
MillwallDrawPlymouth
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.7% 1–0 11.1% 0–1 9.4%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches
1.20points / match
0.98scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 44 played · 43:55
Plymouth before this match, all matches
1.09points / match
1.32scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 44 played · 58:69
Millwall all matches all matches Plymouth

Per match

0.98 Goals scored 1.32
1.25 Goals conceded 1.57
2.23 Total goals 2.89
10.66 Shots 13.14
3.64 Shots on target 4.82
12.30 Shots faced 15.30
4.32 Corners 5.27
5.70 Corners against 7.07
13.05 Fouls 10.25
2.32 Yellow cards 2.25
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

32% Wins 27%
25% Draws 27%
43% Losses 45%
95% Over 0.5 goals 93%
66% Over 1.5 goals 77%
39% Over 2.5 goals 57%
20% Over 3.5 goals 32%
2% Over 4.5 goals 16%
0% Over 5.5 goals 9%
41% Both teams scored 55%
32% Clean sheets 23%
32% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 30%
45% Draws 48%
25% Losses 23%
66% Over 0.5 goals 70%
27% Over 1.5 goals 43%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches
Plymouth all matches
Millwall before this match, at home
1.32points / match
0.95scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 21:29
Plymouth before this match, away
0.73points / match
0.82scored / match
1.55conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 18:34
Millwall at home away Plymouth

Per match

0.95 Goals scored 0.82
1.32 Goals conceded 1.55
2.27 Total goals 2.36
12.86 Shots 12.05
4.41 Shots on target 4.55
10.64 Shots faced 16.45
5.23 Corners 4.73
4.59 Corners against 7.50
12.86 Fouls 10.73
2.23 Yellow cards 2.64
0.59 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 0.73

How often Full Time

36% Wins 14%
23% Draws 32%
41% Losses 55%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
68% Over 1.5 goals 68%
41% Over 2.5 goals 50%
18% Over 3.5 goals 23%
0% Over 4.5 goals 9%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
36% Both teams scored 55%
32% Clean sheets 27%
32% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 23%
36% Draws 45%
27% Losses 32%
77% Over 0.5 goals 73%
32% Over 1.5 goals 41%
14% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home
Plymouth away

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.24 Sunderland – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.253.50 2.20 1.67
13.04.24 Millwall – Cardiff 3–1 (2–1) 1.833.304.75 2.50 1.53
09.04.24 Millwall – Leicester 1–0 (0–0) 5.003.751.67 2.00 1.85
06.04.24 Huddersfield – Millwall 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.003.20 2.38 1.57
01.04.24 Rotherham – Millwall 2–1 (0–0) 4.333.601.85 2.15 1.67
29.03.24 Millwall – West Brom 1–1 (1–0) 3.403.102.30 2.50 1.50
17.03.24 Leeds – Millwall 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.50 1.70 2.10
09.03.24 Millwall – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.40 2.15 1.67
05.03.24 Blackburn – Millwall 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.303.40 2.15 1.67
02.03.24 Millwall – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 2.383.303.00 2.10 1.70

Plymouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.24 Stoke – Plymouth 3–0 (2–0) 1.803.504.75 1.93 1.93
12.04.24 Plymouth – Leicester 1–0 (1–0) 6.504.751.44 1.53 2.50
09.04.24 Plymouth – QPR 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.252.38 2.05 1.80
05.04.24 Rotherham – Plymouth 0–1 (0–1) 4.203.601.85 1.95 1.90
01.04.24 Plymouth – Bristol City 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.75 2.00 1.85
29.03.24 Norwich – Plymouth 2–1 (0–1) 1.504.506.00 1.57 2.35
16.03.24 Plymouth – Preston 0–1 (0–1) 2.503.252.88 1.98 1.88
09.03.24 Blackburn – Plymouth 1–1 (1–0) 1.753.754.75 1.70 2.10
05.03.24 Sheffield Weds – Plymouth 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.75 1.98 1.88
02.03.24 Plymouth – Ipswich 0–2 (0–0) 4.504.001.70 1.53 2.40

Millwall at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.24 Millwall – Cardiff 3–1 (2–1) 1.833.304.75 2.50 1.53
09.04.24 Millwall – Leicester 1–0 (0–0) 5.003.751.67 2.00 1.85
29.03.24 Millwall – West Brom 1–1 (1–0) 3.403.102.30 2.50 1.50
09.03.24 Millwall – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.40 2.15 1.67
02.03.24 Millwall – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 2.383.303.00 2.10 1.70
17.02.24 Millwall – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.303.50 2.25 1.62
14.02.24 Millwall – Ipswich 0–4 (0–3) 3.503.502.05 2.05 1.75
27.01.24 Millwall – Preston 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.103.60 2.40 1.53
13.01.24 Millwall – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–1) 2.753.402.55 2.05 1.75
29.12.23 Millwall – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 2.453.502.80 2.05 1.75

Plymouth away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.24 Stoke – Plymouth 3–0 (2–0) 1.803.504.75 1.93 1.93
05.04.24 Rotherham – Plymouth 0–1 (0–1) 4.203.601.85 1.95 1.90
29.03.24 Norwich – Plymouth 2–1 (0–1) 1.504.506.00 1.57 2.35
09.03.24 Blackburn – Plymouth 1–1 (1–0) 1.753.754.75 1.70 2.10
05.03.24 Sheffield Weds – Plymouth 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.75 1.98 1.88
24.02.24 Middlesbrough – Plymouth 0–2 (0–2) 1.444.507.00 1.53 2.40
10.02.24 Sunderland – Plymouth 3–1 (0–1) 1.554.335.75 1.62 2.25
03.02.24 Swansea – Plymouth 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.603.60 1.60 2.30
13.01.24 Huddersfield – Plymouth 1–1 (1–1) 2.503.602.63 1.67 2.15
29.12.23 Southampton – Plymouth 2–1 (0–0) 1.335.757.50 1.40 2.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Millwall winsDrawsPlymouth wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.10.23E1 Plymouth – Millwall 0–2 (0–0) 2.403.502.80 1.73 2.08

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Leicester 44 30 4 10 86 39 +47 94 WWLLWW
2 Leeds 45 27 9 9 80 41 +39 90 WLDLWL
3 Ipswich 43 26 11 6 85 53 +32 89 WWWLDD
4 Southampton 44 25 9 10 85 61 +24 84 DWWWLL
5 West Brom 44 20 12 12 67 44 +23 72 DDDWLL
6 Norwich 44 21 9 14 77 61 +16 72 WLWDWD
7 Hull 44 19 12 13 65 56 +9 69 LWDWDW
8 Coventry 43 17 12 14 68 55 +13 63 WLWLLL
9 Middlesbrough 44 18 9 17 64 60 +4 63 DWWDDL
10 Preston 44 18 9 17 56 61 -5 63 LDWLLL
11 Cardiff 44 19 5 20 50 61 -11 62 LWLWLW
12 Bristol City 44 16 11 17 51 47 +4 59 WWDWDD
13 Sunderland 44 16 8 20 52 51 +1 56 WLDDWL
14 Swansea 44 15 11 18 57 62 -5 56 DLLWWW
15 Watford 44 12 17 15 59 58 +1 53 DDDDLD
16 QPR 45 14 11 20 45 57 -12 53 WLDLWW
17 Millwall 44 14 11 19 43 55 -12 53 DLLWWW
18 Stoke 44 13 11 20 44 60 -16 50 WDDLDW
19 Blackburn 44 13 10 21 58 74 -16 49 LWDLWL
20 Plymouth 44 12 12 20 58 69 -11 48 LLWDWL
21 Sheffield Weds 44 13 8 23 39 68 -29 47 DLWDDW
22 Birmingham 44 12 10 22 48 64 -16 46 LWLLWD
23 Huddersfield 44 9 17 18 47 74 -27 44 LDWLDL
24 Rotherham 44 4 12 28 32 85 -53 24 LWLLLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Leeds 22 16 5 1 44 14 +30 53 WWWWDL
2 Leicester 22 17 1 4 47 16 +31 52 LLWWWW
3 Ipswich 22 15 6 1 57 32 +25 51 WWWWDD
4 Southampton 22 15 3 4 54 28 +26 48 LWDWWW
5 Norwich 22 15 3 4 41 20 +21 48 WWWWWD
6 West Brom 22 14 4 4 35 17 +18 46 LWWDWL
7 Preston 22 11 4 7 35 33 +2 37 DDLWWL
8 Coventry 21 9 8 4 34 23 +11 35 WLWLWL
9 Bristol City 22 10 4 8 29 21 +8 34 LLWWWD
10 Birmingham 22 9 6 7 30 25 +5 33 LLLWLW
11 Cardiff 22 10 3 9 26 28 -2 33 WWWLLW
12 Hull 22 8 8 6 32 24 +8 32 DDDLDW
13 Plymouth 22 9 5 8 40 35 +5 32 LLLLDW
14 Sunderland 22 10 2 10 30 28 +2 32 LLDLDL
15 Middlesbrough 22 9 4 9 27 25 +2 31 LWDWWL
16 Swansea 22 8 5 9 26 27 -1 29 LWWLWW
17 Millwall 22 8 5 9 21 29 -8 29 LWWDWW
18 Sheffield Weds 22 7 7 8 24 27 -3 28 WWLDDD
19 QPR 23 7 6 10 28 32 -4 27 DLWLWW
20 Stoke 22 7 6 9 20 27 -7 27 LWLDDW
21 Huddersfield 22 6 7 9 25 35 -10 25 LDLLWL
22 Watford 22 5 9 8 31 28 +3 24 LDLDDD
23 Blackburn 22 6 6 10 27 34 -7 24 DDDLDL
24 Rotherham 22 4 8 10 19 26 -7 20 LLDWLD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Leicester 22 13 3 6 39 23 +16 42 LWDLLL
2 Ipswich 21 11 5 5 28 21 +7 38 WWWLWL
3 Leeds 23 11 4 8 36 27 +9 37 DWDLWL
4 Hull 22 11 4 7 33 32 +1 37 WDLWDW
5 Southampton 22 10 6 6 31 33 -2 36 WWLDLL
6 Middlesbrough 22 9 5 8 37 35 +2 32 LWWDDD
7 Watford 22 7 8 7 28 30 -2 29 WLWDDL
8 Cardiff 22 9 2 11 24 33 -9 29 LWLWWL
9 Coventry 22 8 4 10 34 32 +2 28 WLWWLL
10 Swansea 22 7 6 9 31 35 -4 27 WDLDLW
11 West Brom 22 6 8 8 32 27 +5 26 DDWDDL
12 Preston 22 7 5 10 21 28 -7 26 WWLDLL
13 QPR 22 7 5 10 17 25 -8 26 WWDWDL
14 Bristol City 22 6 7 9 22 26 -4 25 LLLWDD
15 Blackburn 22 7 4 11 31 40 -9 25 DLDWLW
16 Sunderland 22 6 6 10 22 23 -1 24 LLLWDW
17 Millwall 22 6 6 10 22 26 -4 24 WDLLLW
18 Norwich 22 6 6 10 36 41 -5 24 DLWLDW
19 Stoke 22 6 5 11 24 33 -9 23 LLWWLD
20 Huddersfield 22 3 10 9 22 39 -17 19 WLDDLD
21 Sheffield Weds 22 6 1 15 15 41 -26 19 WWLLWW
22 Plymouth 22 3 7 12 18 34 -16 16 WLDLWL
23 Birmingham 22 3 4 15 18 39 -21 13 LDLLLD
24 Rotherham 22 0 4 18 13 59 -46 4 LLLLLL

Millwall   Plymouth

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Southampton 44 15 29 1.9 1.4 25 9 10 85 61 84 UOOOOO
2 19 Blackburn 44 15 29 1.3 1.7 13 10 21 58 74 49 UOUOUO
3 6 Norwich 44 17 27 1.8 1.4 21 9 14 77 61 72 OOUOUU
4 8 Coventry 43 16 27 1.6 1.3 17 12 14 68 55 63 OOOOOO
5 1 Leicester 44 18 26 2.0 0.9 30 4 10 86 39 94 OOUUOO
6 3 Ipswich 43 17 26 2.0 1.2 26 11 6 85 53 89 OUOUUU
7 7 Hull 44 18 26 1.5 1.3 19 12 13 65 56 69 OOOOUO
8 10 Preston 44 19 25 1.3 1.4 18 9 17 56 61 63 UUOUOU
9 14 Swansea 44 19 25 1.3 1.4 15 11 18 57 62 56 UUUOUO
10 20 Plymouth 44 19 25 1.3 1.6 12 12 20 58 69 48 OUUUUO
11 2 Leeds 45 21 24 1.8 0.9 27 9 9 80 41 90 OOUUOO
12 9 Middlesbrough 44 22 22 1.5 1.4 18 9 17 64 60 63 UUUOUO
13 11 Cardiff 44 22 22 1.1 1.4 19 5 20 50 61 62 UOOUOO
14 15 Watford 44 22 22 1.3 1.3 12 17 15 59 58 53 OOUUOU
15 24 Rotherham 44 22 22 0.7 1.9 4 12 28 32 85 24 OOUUUU
16 13 Sunderland 44 23 21 1.2 1.2 16 8 20 52 51 56 UOUUUU
17 22 Birmingham 44 23 21 1.1 1.5 12 10 22 48 64 46 OUOUOU
18 23 Huddersfield 44 23 21 1.1 1.7 9 17 18 47 74 44 OUUOUO
19 5 West Brom 44 24 20 1.5 1.0 20 12 12 67 44 72 UOOUUO
20 16 QPR 45 25 20 1.0 1.3 14 11 20 45 57 53 UUUOUO
21 21 Sheffield Weds 44 24 20 0.9 1.5 13 8 23 39 68 47 UUUOUO
22 18 Stoke 44 25 19 1.0 1.4 13 11 20 44 60 50 UUOOUO
23 17 Millwall 44 27 17 1.0 1.2 14 11 19 43 55 53 UOUUOU
24 12 Bristol City 44 28 16 1.2 1.1 16 11 17 51 47 59 UUUOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Ipswich 22 5 17 2.6 1.5 15 6 1 57 32 51 OOOOUU
2 4 Southampton 22 5 17 2.5 1.3 15 3 4 54 28 48 OOUOOO
3 10 Preston 22 6 16 1.6 1.5 11 4 7 35 33 37 OUOOOU
4 1 Leicester 22 8 14 2.1 0.7 17 1 4 47 16 52 OOOOOO
5 20 Plymouth 22 8 14 1.8 1.6 9 5 8 40 35 32 OUUUUU
6 2 Leeds 22 9 13 2.0 0.6 16 5 1 44 14 53 OUUOUU
7 13 Sunderland 22 9 13 1.4 1.3 10 2 10 30 28 32 OUUOUU
8 19 Blackburn 22 9 13 1.2 1.5 6 6 10 27 34 24 UUUUUO
9 14 Swansea 22 10 12 1.2 1.2 8 5 9 26 27 29 OOUUOU
10 15 Watford 22 10 12 1.4 1.3 5 9 8 31 28 24 OUOOUU
11 16 QPR 23 11 12 1.2 1.4 7 6 10 28 32 27 OUOUUO
12 23 Huddersfield 22 10 12 1.1 1.6 6 7 9 25 35 25 OUOOUO
13 6 Norwich 22 11 11 1.9 0.9 15 3 4 41 20 48 OUOOUU
14 8 Coventry 21 10 11 1.6 1.1 9 8 4 34 23 35 OOOOOO
15 22 Birmingham 22 11 11 1.4 1.1 9 6 7 30 25 33 OUUUUO
16 7 Hull 22 12 10 1.5 1.1 8 8 6 32 24 32 UUOUOO
17 11 Cardiff 22 12 10 1.2 1.3 10 3 9 26 28 33 OUOUOO
18 21 Sheffield Weds 22 12 10 1.1 1.2 7 7 8 24 27 28 OUUUOU
19 17 Millwall 22 13 9 1.0 1.3 8 5 9 21 29 29 UUUUUO
20 18 Stoke 22 13 9 0.9 1.2 7 6 9 20 27 27 UUOUOO
21 5 West Brom 22 14 8 1.6 0.8 14 4 4 35 17 46 UOUOUU
22 24 Rotherham 22 14 8 0.9 1.2 4 8 10 19 26 20 UUUOUU
23 9 Middlesbrough 22 15 7 1.2 1.1 9 4 9 27 25 31 UOUUUO
24 12 Bristol City 22 15 7 1.3 1.0 10 4 8 29 21 34 UUUUOU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 6 Norwich 22 6 16 1.6 1.9 6 6 10 36 41 24 UOOOOU
2 7 Hull 22 6 16 1.5 1.5 11 4 7 33 32 37 OUOOUO
3 8 Coventry 22 6 16 1.5 1.5 8 4 10 34 32 28 UOOOOO
4 19 Blackburn 22 6 16 1.4 1.8 7 4 11 31 40 25 UOUOOU
5 9 Middlesbrough 22 7 15 1.7 1.6 9 5 8 37 35 32 UUUUOU
6 24 Rotherham 22 8 14 0.6 2.7 0 4 18 13 59 4 OOOOUU
7 14 Swansea 22 9 13 1.4 1.6 7 6 9 31 35 27 OUUUUO
8 1 Leicester 22 10 12 1.8 1.0 13 3 6 39 23 42 OUOUUU
9 4 Southampton 22 10 12 1.4 1.5 10 6 6 31 33 36 UOOUOO
10 5 West Brom 22 10 12 1.5 1.2 6 8 8 32 27 26 UOOUOO
11 11 Cardiff 22 10 12 1.1 1.5 9 2 11 24 33 29 OUUOUO
12 2 Leeds 23 12 11 1.6 1.2 11 4 8 36 27 37 UUOOOO
13 20 Plymouth 22 11 11 0.8 1.5 3 7 12 18 34 16 UUUOUO
14 15 Watford 22 12 10 1.3 1.4 7 8 7 28 30 29 UUUOUO
15 18 Stoke 22 12 10 1.1 1.5 6 5 11 24 33 23 OUOUOU
16 21 Sheffield Weds 22 12 10 0.7 1.9 6 1 15 15 41 19 UUOUUO
17 22 Birmingham 22 12 10 0.8 1.8 3 4 15 18 39 13 OUUOOU
18 3 Ipswich 21 12 9 1.3 1.0 11 5 5 28 21 38 OOUOUU
19 10 Preston 22 13 9 1.0 1.3 7 5 10 21 28 26 OUUUOU
20 12 Bristol City 22 13 9 1.0 1.2 6 7 9 22 26 25 OOUUUU
21 23 Huddersfield 22 13 9 1.0 1.8 3 10 9 22 39 19 OUUUOU
22 13 Sunderland 22 14 8 1.0 1.0 6 6 10 22 23 24 OUOUUU
23 16 QPR 22 14 8 0.8 1.1 7 5 10 17 25 26 UOUUUO
24 17 Millwall 22 14 8 1.0 1.2 6 6 10 22 26 24 OUUOUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11