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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: L Smith

Derby 3–0 Leyton Orient

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.53 fair 1.95
Draw 4.00 fair 3.89
Away 6.50 fair 4.33
Under 2.5 1.85 fair 1.81
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.23

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Leyton Orient
13 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 0
11 Corners 4
8 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (507 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.91
Expected goals 1.53 – 0.94
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawLeyton Orient
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 12.9% 1–1 12.1% 2–0 9.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.93points / match
1.67scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 43 played · 72:37
Leyton Orient before this match, all matches
1.44points / match
1.16scored / match
1.16conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 43 played · 50:50
Derby all matches all matches Leyton Orient

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.16
0.86 Goals conceded 1.16
2.53 Total goals 2.33
12.63 Shots 12.12
4.33 Shots on target 4.14
9.40 Shots faced 10.21
6.44 Corners 5.65
4.88 Corners against 4.58
10.65 Fouls 12.05
1.74 Yellow cards 2.51
0.74 1st-half goals scored 0.51
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

58% Wins 40%
19% Draws 26%
23% Losses 35%
93% Over 0.5 goals 91%
70% Over 1.5 goals 60%
56% Over 2.5 goals 44%
23% Over 3.5 goals 21%
9% Over 4.5 goals 12%
2% Over 5.5 goals 2%
49% Both teams scored 47%
44% Clean sheets 33%
14% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 28%
49% Draws 49%
12% Losses 23%
63% Over 0.5 goals 65%
28% Over 1.5 goals 33%
12% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Leyton Orient all matches
Derby before this match, at home
2.05points / match
1.71scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 36:18
Leyton Orient before this match, away
1.43points / match
1.14scored / match
0.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 24:20
Derby at home away Leyton Orient

Per match

1.71 Goals scored 1.14
0.86 Goals conceded 0.95
2.57 Total goals 2.10
13.14 Shots 12.10
4.29 Shots on target 4.43
8.00 Shots faced 11.10
6.52 Corners 4.86
4.14 Corners against 4.76
10.95 Fouls 13.00
1.76 Yellow cards 3.00
0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.48
0.19 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

62% Wins 38%
19% Draws 29%
19% Losses 33%
95% Over 0.5 goals 90%
76% Over 1.5 goals 57%
57% Over 2.5 goals 38%
19% Over 3.5 goals 14%
10% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 48%
43% Clean sheets 33%
5% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 24%
52% Draws 57%
10% Losses 19%
57% Over 0.5 goals 57%
19% Over 1.5 goals 24%
5% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Leyton Orient away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.04.24 Wycombe – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.751.83 1.98 1.88
02.04.24 Portsmouth – Derby 2–2 (1–2) 2.253.303.30 2.08 1.73
29.03.24 Derby – Blackpool 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.604.00 2.05 1.75
23.03.24 Northampton – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 5.753.601.65 2.08 1.73
16.03.24 Derby – Bolton 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.50 2.00 1.85
12.03.24 Derby – Reading 2–1 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.98 1.88
09.03.24 Bristol Rvs – Derby 0–3 (0–0) 3.603.502.00 1.95 1.90
02.03.24 Derby – Port Vale 3–0 (2–0) 1.454.337.50 1.83 2.03
27.02.24 Derby – Charlton 1–2 (1–0) 1.603.606.50 2.03 1.83
24.02.24 Barnsley – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.803.402.50 1.93 1.93

Leyton Orient all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.04.24 Leyton Orient – Exeter 2–2 (1–0) 1.853.604.00 2.05 1.75
06.04.24 Leyton Orient – Cheltenham 3–1 (2–0) 1.953.603.80 2.20 1.65
01.04.24 Leyton Orient – Peterboro 1–2 (0–2) 3.003.402.38 1.85 2.00
29.03.24 Lincoln – Leyton Orient 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.20 2.30 1.60
16.03.24 Stevenage – Leyton Orient 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.303.80 2.35 1.57
12.03.24 Leyton Orient – Port Vale 0–0 (0–0) 1.574.006.00 2.05 1.75
09.03.24 Wigan – Leyton Orient 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.402.40 2.05 1.75
02.03.24 Leyton Orient – Bristol Rvs 0–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.33 1.98 1.88
27.02.24 Leyton Orient – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.502.90 2.05 1.75
24.02.24 Oxford – Leyton Orient 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.303.20 2.00 1.85

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.24 Derby – Blackpool 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.604.00 2.05 1.75
16.03.24 Derby – Bolton 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.50 2.00 1.85
12.03.24 Derby – Reading 2–1 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.98 1.88
02.03.24 Derby – Port Vale 3–0 (2–0) 1.454.337.50 1.83 2.03
27.02.24 Derby – Charlton 1–2 (1–0) 1.603.606.50 2.03 1.83
17.02.24 Derby – Stevenage 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.75 2.05 1.75
10.02.24 Derby – Shrewsbury 1–1 (0–0) 1.404.758.00 1.85 2.00
27.01.24 Derby – Cheltenham 2–1 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.70 2.10
15.01.24 Derby – Burton 3–2 (1–0) 1.305.0010.00 1.75 2.05
01.01.24 Derby – Peterboro 2–3 (1–1) 2.053.503.60 1.80 2.00

Leyton Orient away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.24 Lincoln – Leyton Orient 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.20 2.30 1.60
16.03.24 Stevenage – Leyton Orient 0–1 (0–1) 2.003.303.80 2.35 1.57
09.03.24 Wigan – Leyton Orient 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.402.40 2.05 1.75
24.02.24 Oxford – Leyton Orient 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.303.20 2.00 1.85
10.02.24 Barnsley – Leyton Orient 2–1 (0–1) 2.103.403.60 1.90 1.95
06.02.24 Port Vale – Leyton Orient 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.502.20 2.10 1.70
27.01.24 Reading – Leyton Orient 1–1 (1–1) 2.553.402.75 2.05 1.75
13.01.24 Portsmouth – Leyton Orient 0–3 (0–3) 1.574.006.00 1.93 1.93
01.01.24 Cambridge – Leyton Orient 0–2 (0–0) 2.503.103.00 2.20 1.65
23.12.23 Bolton – Leyton Orient 3–2 (3–0) 1.624.005.50 1.90 1.95

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsLeyton Orient wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23E2 Leyton Orient – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 2.10 1.70

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 42 26 12 4 71 36 +35 90
2 Derby 43 25 8 10 72 37 +35 83
3 Bolton 42 24 9 9 78 45 +33 81
4 Peterboro 41 23 8 10 80 50 +30 77
5 Barnsley 42 21 11 10 75 55 +20 74
6 Oxford 42 20 10 12 71 53 +18 70
7 Lincoln 42 18 14 10 61 35 +26 68
8 Blackpool 43 19 10 14 59 43 +16 67
9 Stevenage 43 18 13 12 53 42 +11 67
10 Leyton Orient 43 17 11 15 50 50 0 62
11 Wigan 43 17 10 16 57 54 +3 61
12 Northampton 43 17 8 18 55 61 -6 59
13 Reading 43 15 10 18 61 63 -2 55
14 Exeter 43 15 10 18 39 56 -17 55
15 Wycombe 41 13 13 15 51 52 -1 52
16 Charlton 43 11 18 14 62 62 0 51
17 Bristol Rvs 42 14 9 19 48 63 -15 51
18 Shrewsbury 42 13 7 22 31 59 -28 46
19 Cambridge 41 12 9 20 37 57 -20 45
20 Burton 42 10 10 22 33 59 -26 40
21 Port Vale 42 10 10 22 38 66 -28 40
22 Cheltenham 41 10 8 23 34 57 -23 38
23 Fleetwood Town 42 7 13 22 42 68 -26 34
24 Carlisle 43 7 9 27 40 75 -35 30
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 21 14 5 2 39 23 +16 47
2 Bolton 20 14 3 3 47 24 +23 45
3 Blackpool 22 13 6 3 40 17 +23 45
4 Derby 21 13 4 4 36 18 +18 43
5 Peterboro 21 12 4 5 48 24 +24 40
6 Wigan 22 12 4 6 28 18 +10 40
7 Reading 22 11 5 6 36 22 +14 38
8 Northampton 22 11 5 6 30 21 +9 38
9 Lincoln 21 10 7 4 35 13 +22 37
10 Oxford 20 10 6 4 38 22 +16 36
11 Stevenage 21 9 8 4 24 16 +8 35
12 Barnsley 21 9 5 7 35 30 +5 32
13 Leyton Orient 22 9 5 8 26 30 -4 32
14 Charlton 22 8 7 7 36 30 +6 31
15 Wycombe 22 8 7 7 30 28 +2 31
16 Cambridge 20 8 5 7 20 21 -1 29
17 Exeter 22 7 8 7 16 20 -4 29
18 Bristol Rvs 21 7 6 8 26 27 -1 27
19 Shrewsbury 21 8 3 10 18 26 -8 27
20 Cheltenham 20 6 4 10 20 29 -9 22
21 Burton 21 6 4 11 18 29 -11 22
22 Port Vale 20 6 3 11 24 28 -4 21
23 Fleetwood Town 21 4 5 12 21 33 -12 17
24 Carlisle 21 3 6 12 20 38 -18 15
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 21 12 7 2 32 13 +19 43
2 Barnsley 21 12 6 3 40 25 +15 42
3 Derby 22 12 4 6 36 19 +17 40
4 Peterboro 20 11 4 5 32 26 +6 37
5 Bolton 22 10 6 6 31 21 +10 36
6 Oxford 22 10 4 8 33 31 +2 34
7 Stevenage 22 9 5 8 29 26 +3 32
8 Lincoln 21 8 7 6 26 22 +4 31
9 Leyton Orient 21 8 6 7 24 20 +4 30
10 Exeter 21 8 2 11 23 36 -13 26
11 Bristol Rvs 21 7 3 11 22 36 -14 24
12 Blackpool 21 6 4 11 19 26 -7 22
13 Wycombe 19 5 6 8 21 24 -3 21
14 Wigan 21 5 6 10 29 36 -7 21
15 Northampton 21 6 3 12 25 40 -15 21
16 Charlton 21 3 11 7 26 32 -6 20
17 Shrewsbury 21 5 4 12 13 33 -20 19
18 Port Vale 22 4 7 11 14 38 -24 19
19 Burton 21 4 6 11 15 30 -15 18
20 Fleetwood Town 21 3 8 10 21 35 -14 17
21 Reading 21 4 5 12 25 41 -16 17
22 Cheltenham 21 4 4 13 14 28 -14 16
23 Cambridge 21 4 4 13 17 36 -19 16
24 Carlisle 22 4 3 15 20 37 -17 15

Derby   Leyton Orient

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Peterboro 41 13 28 2.0 1.2 23 8 10 80 50 77
2 6 Oxford 42 14 28 1.7 1.3 20 10 12 71 53 70
3 5 Barnsley 42 15 27 1.8 1.3 21 11 10 75 55 74
4 1 Portsmouth 42 18 24 1.7 0.9 26 12 4 71 36 90
5 2 Derby 43 19 24 1.7 0.9 25 8 10 72 37 83
6 16 Charlton 43 19 24 1.4 1.4 11 18 14 62 62 51
7 3 Bolton 42 20 22 1.9 1.1 24 9 9 78 45 81
8 12 Northampton 43 21 22 1.3 1.4 17 8 18 55 61 59
9 13 Reading 43 21 22 1.4 1.5 15 10 18 61 63 55
10 17 Bristol Rvs 42 20 22 1.1 1.5 14 9 19 48 63 51
11 23 Fleetwood Town 42 20 22 1.0 1.6 7 13 22 42 68 34
12 9 Stevenage 43 23 20 1.2 1.0 18 13 12 53 42 67
13 24 Carlisle 43 23 20 0.9 1.7 7 9 27 40 75 30
14 8 Blackpool 43 24 19 1.4 1.0 19 10 14 59 43 67
15 10 Leyton Orient 43 24 19 1.2 1.2 17 11 15 50 50 62
16 11 Wigan 43 24 19 1.3 1.3 17 10 16 57 54 61
17 15 Wycombe 41 22 19 1.2 1.3 13 13 15 51 52 52
18 21 Port Vale 42 23 19 0.9 1.6 10 10 22 38 66 40
19 14 Exeter 43 25 18 0.9 1.3 15 10 18 39 56 55
20 19 Cambridge 41 23 18 0.9 1.4 12 9 20 37 57 45
21 20 Burton 42 25 17 0.8 1.4 10 10 22 33 59 40
22 22 Cheltenham 41 24 17 0.8 1.4 10 8 23 34 57 38
23 7 Lincoln 42 26 16 1.5 0.8 18 14 10 61 35 68
24 18 Shrewsbury 42 26 16 0.7 1.4 13 7 22 31 59 46
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Peterboro 21 5 16 2.3 1.1 12 4 5 48 24 40
2 6 Oxford 20 5 15 1.9 1.1 10 6 4 38 22 36
3 16 Charlton 22 7 15 1.6 1.4 8 7 7 36 30 31
4 1 Portsmouth 21 7 14 1.9 1.1 14 5 2 39 23 47
5 3 Bolton 20 6 14 2.4 1.2 14 3 3 47 24 45
6 5 Barnsley 21 7 14 1.7 1.4 9 5 7 35 30 32
7 2 Derby 21 9 12 1.7 0.9 13 4 4 36 18 43
8 8 Blackpool 22 11 11 1.8 0.8 13 6 3 40 17 45
9 10 Leyton Orient 22 11 11 1.2 1.4 9 5 8 26 30 32
10 17 Bristol Rvs 21 10 11 1.2 1.3 7 6 8 26 27 27
11 23 Fleetwood Town 21 11 10 1.0 1.6 4 5 12 21 33 17
12 24 Carlisle 21 11 10 1.0 1.8 3 6 12 20 38 15
13 7 Lincoln 21 12 9 1.7 0.6 10 7 4 35 13 37
14 12 Northampton 22 13 9 1.4 1.0 11 5 6 30 21 38
15 13 Reading 22 13 9 1.6 1.0 11 5 6 36 22 38
16 15 Wycombe 22 13 9 1.4 1.3 8 7 7 30 28 31
17 21 Port Vale 20 11 9 1.2 1.4 6 3 11 24 28 21
18 22 Cheltenham 20 11 9 1.0 1.4 6 4 10 20 29 22
19 11 Wigan 22 14 8 1.3 0.8 12 4 6 28 18 40
20 18 Shrewsbury 21 13 8 0.9 1.2 8 3 10 18 26 27
21 20 Burton 21 13 8 0.9 1.4 6 4 11 18 29 22
22 9 Stevenage 21 14 7 1.1 0.8 9 8 4 24 16 35
23 19 Cambridge 20 13 7 1.0 1.1 8 5 7 20 21 29
24 14 Exeter 22 16 6 0.7 0.9 7 8 7 16 20 29
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Barnsley 21 8 13 1.9 1.2 12 6 3 40 25 42
2 6 Oxford 22 9 13 1.5 1.4 10 4 8 33 31 34
3 9 Stevenage 22 9 13 1.3 1.2 9 5 8 29 26 32
4 12 Northampton 21 8 13 1.2 1.9 6 3 12 25 40 21
5 13 Reading 21 8 13 1.2 2.0 4 5 12 25 41 17
6 2 Derby 22 10 12 1.6 0.9 12 4 6 36 19 40
7 4 Peterboro 20 8 12 1.6 1.3 11 4 5 32 26 37
8 14 Exeter 21 9 12 1.1 1.7 8 2 11 23 36 26
9 23 Fleetwood Town 21 9 12 1.0 1.7 3 8 10 21 35 17
10 11 Wigan 21 10 11 1.4 1.7 5 6 10 29 36 21
11 17 Bristol Rvs 21 10 11 1.0 1.7 7 3 11 22 36 24
12 19 Cambridge 21 10 11 0.8 1.7 4 4 13 17 36 16
13 1 Portsmouth 21 11 10 1.5 0.6 12 7 2 32 13 43
14 15 Wycombe 19 9 10 1.1 1.3 5 6 8 21 24 21
15 21 Port Vale 22 12 10 0.6 1.7 4 7 11 14 38 19
16 24 Carlisle 22 12 10 0.9 1.7 4 3 15 20 37 15
17 16 Charlton 21 12 9 1.2 1.5 3 11 7 26 32 20
18 20 Burton 21 12 9 0.7 1.4 4 6 11 15 30 18
19 3 Bolton 22 14 8 1.4 1.0 10 6 6 31 21 36
20 8 Blackpool 21 13 8 0.9 1.2 6 4 11 19 26 22
21 10 Leyton Orient 21 13 8 1.1 1.0 8 6 7 24 20 30
22 18 Shrewsbury 21 13 8 0.6 1.6 5 4 12 13 33 19
23 22 Cheltenham 21 13 8 0.7 1.3 4 4 13 14 28 16
24 7 Lincoln 21 14 7 1.2 1.0 8 7 6 26 22 31

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51