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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Smith

Leeds 3–1 Hull

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.40 fair 1.74
Draw 5.00 fair 4.42
Away 7.50 fair 5.03
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.16
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.65 fair 1.87

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Hull
14 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 3
19 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (476 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.90
Expected goals 1.84 – 0.98
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawHull
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 10.9% 1–1 10.7% 2–0 10.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
2.13points / match
1.85scored / match
0.77conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 39 played · 72:30
Hull before this match, all matches
1.53points / match
1.39scored / match
1.26conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 38 played · 53:48
Leeds all matches all matches Hull

Per match

1.85 Goals scored 1.39
0.77 Goals conceded 1.26
2.62 Total goals 2.66
15.36 Shots 13.84
5.41 Shots on target 4.92
9.36 Shots faced 13.37
5.67 Corners 5.58
4.62 Corners against 4.97
10.03 Fouls 9.61
1.46 Yellow cards 2.08
0.95 1st-half goals scored 0.74
0.51 1st-half goals conceded 0.58

How often Full Time

64% Wins 42%
21% Draws 26%
15% Losses 32%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
72% Over 1.5 goals 76%
51% Over 2.5 goals 55%
28% Over 3.5 goals 26%
10% Over 4.5 goals 11%
3% Over 5.5 goals 3%
44% Both teams scored 63%
46% Clean sheets 24%
15% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

46% Wins 32%
36% Draws 47%
18% Losses 21%
72% Over 0.5 goals 76%
41% Over 1.5 goals 42%
21% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Hull all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
2.58points / match
2.16scored / match
0.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 41:12
Hull before this match, away
1.67points / match
1.44scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 26:26
Leeds at home away Hull

Per match

2.16 Goals scored 1.44
0.63 Goals conceded 1.44
2.79 Total goals 2.89
17.42 Shots 12.17
6.11 Shots on target 4.67
8.00 Shots faced 15.78
6.58 Corners 4.22
2.58 Corners against 6.44
10.32 Fouls 9.72
1.58 Yellow cards 2.50
1.21 1st-half goals scored 0.72
0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

79% Wins 50%
21% Draws 17%
0% Losses 33%
95% Over 0.5 goals 94%
79% Over 1.5 goals 83%
63% Over 2.5 goals 72%
32% Over 3.5 goals 33%
11% Over 4.5 goals 6%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
53% Both teams scored 67%
47% Clean sheets 22%
5% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

58% Wins 39%
32% Draws 33%
11% Losses 28%
79% Over 0.5 goals 78%
47% Over 1.5 goals 44%
21% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Hull away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.24 Watford – Leeds 2–2 (2–1) 6.004.331.55 1.70 2.10
17.03.24 Leeds – Millwall 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.50 1.70 2.10
08.03.24 Sheffield Weds – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 5.004.201.62 1.75 2.05
05.03.24 Leeds – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 1.335.508.00 1.53 2.40
02.03.24 Huddersfield – Leeds 1–1 (1–0) 5.504.201.57 1.80 2.00
23.02.24 Leeds – Leicester 3–1 (0–1) 2.103.403.50 1.80 2.00
17.02.24 Plymouth – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 6.504.751.44 1.48 2.60
13.02.24 Swansea – Leeds 0–4 (0–3) 5.254.331.57 1.67 2.15
10.02.24 Leeds – Rotherham 3–0 (1–0) 1.177.5015.00 1.50 2.50
02.02.24 Bristol City – Leeds 0–1 (0–0) 4.753.801.73 2.03 1.83

Hull all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.24 Hull – Stoke 0–2 (0–0) 1.953.753.75 1.98 1.88
09.03.24 Hull – Leicester 2–2 (1–1) 3.503.402.10 1.88 1.98
05.03.24 Hull – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 1.734.004.75 1.67 2.15
02.03.24 Preston – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.252.55 2.05 1.75
24.02.24 Hull – West Brom 1–1 (1–1) 2.503.302.88 2.10 1.70
20.02.24 Southampton – Hull 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.335.50 1.53 2.40
17.02.24 Huddersfield – Hull 1–2 (0–1) 3.203.302.30 2.05 1.75
13.02.24 Rotherham – Hull 1–2 (1–0) 5.003.401.80 2.30 1.60
10.02.24 Hull – Swansea 0–1 (0–1) 1.733.804.75 1.80 2.00
03.02.24 Hull – Millwall 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.503.75 2.10 1.70

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.03.24 Leeds – Millwall 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.50 1.70 2.10
05.03.24 Leeds – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 1.335.508.00 1.53 2.40
23.02.24 Leeds – Leicester 3–1 (0–1) 2.103.403.50 1.80 2.00
10.02.24 Leeds – Rotherham 3–0 (1–0) 1.177.5015.00 1.50 2.50
24.01.24 Leeds – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 1.444.207.00 1.57 2.35
21.01.24 Leeds – Preston 2–1 (1–1) 1.305.5010.00 1.67 2.15
01.01.24 Leeds – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 1.256.509.50 1.50 2.50
23.12.23 Leeds – Ipswich 4–0 (3–0) 1.804.004.00 1.60 2.30
16.12.23 Leeds – Coventry 1–1 (0–0) 1.554.206.00 1.67 2.15
02.12.23 Leeds – Middlesbrough 3–2 (3–2) 1.734.004.50 1.62 2.25

Hull away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24 Preston – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.252.55 2.05 1.75
20.02.24 Southampton – Hull 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.335.50 1.53 2.40
17.02.24 Huddersfield – Hull 1–2 (0–1) 3.203.302.30 2.05 1.75
13.02.24 Rotherham – Hull 1–2 (1–0) 5.003.401.80 2.30 1.60
19.01.24 Sunderland – Hull 0–1 (0–0) 1.853.604.33 1.98 1.88
01.01.24 Sheffield Weds – Hull 3–1 (0–0) 3.103.202.38 2.10 1.70
22.12.23 Bristol City – Hull 3–2 (1–2) 2.703.302.63 2.15 1.67
13.12.23 Middlesbrough – Hull 1–2 (1–0) 1.833.804.00 1.85 2.00
09.12.23 QPR – Hull 2–0 (1–0) 3.203.252.30 2.10 1.70
25.11.23 Swansea – Hull 2–2 (2–0) 2.603.202.80 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Leeds winsDrawsHull wins
1matches
0.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.23E1 Hull – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.401.91 1.73 2.10

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 40 26 9 5 84 51 +33 87
2 Leicester 39 27 4 8 77 35 +42 85
3 Leeds 39 25 8 6 72 30 +42 83
4 Southampton 38 22 8 8 76 51 +25 74
5 West Brom 40 19 11 10 62 39 +23 68
6 Norwich 40 19 7 14 72 58 +14 64
7 Coventry 39 16 12 11 63 46 +17 60
8 Preston 39 17 8 14 52 55 -3 59
9 Hull 38 16 10 12 53 48 +5 58
10 Middlesbrough 40 17 7 16 56 53 +3 58
11 Cardiff 40 17 5 18 45 54 -9 56
12 Bristol City 40 15 8 17 44 45 -1 53
13 Sunderland 40 15 6 19 51 50 +1 51
14 Watford 40 12 14 14 57 55 +2 50
15 Swansea 40 12 11 17 49 60 -11 47
16 QPR 40 12 10 18 39 51 -12 46
17 Blackburn 40 12 9 19 56 66 -10 45
18 Stoke 40 12 9 19 38 54 -16 45
19 Millwall 40 11 11 18 38 53 -15 44
20 Birmingham 40 11 9 20 44 61 -17 42
21 Plymouth 40 10 11 19 55 65 -10 41
22 Huddersfield 40 8 16 16 44 65 -21 40
23 Sheffield Weds 40 11 6 23 31 64 -33 39
24 Rotherham 40 4 11 25 32 81 -49 23
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 19 15 4 0 41 12 +29 49
2 Ipswich 20 15 4 1 56 31 +25 49
3 Norwich 20 14 2 4 39 19 +20 44
4 Leicester 19 14 1 4 38 14 +24 43
5 West Brom 20 13 4 3 33 16 +17 43
6 Southampton 19 12 3 4 46 25 +21 39
7 Preston 20 10 4 6 31 31 0 34
8 Coventry 19 8 8 3 30 19 +11 32
9 Sunderland 20 10 1 9 30 27 +3 31
10 Birmingham 20 8 6 6 27 24 +3 30
11 Bristol City 20 9 3 8 23 20 +3 30
12 Cardiff 20 9 3 8 23 24 -1 30
13 Hull 20 7 7 6 27 22 +5 28
14 Plymouth 20 8 4 8 38 34 +4 28
15 Middlesbrough 20 8 4 8 22 21 +1 28
16 Sheffield Weds 20 7 5 8 21 24 -3 26
17 Blackburn 20 6 5 9 26 31 -5 23
18 Swansea 20 6 5 9 22 27 -5 23
19 Stoke 20 6 5 9 15 25 -10 23
20 Millwall 20 6 5 9 17 28 -11 23
21 Watford 20 5 7 8 31 28 +3 22
22 Huddersfield 20 5 7 8 24 31 -7 22
23 QPR 20 5 6 9 23 30 -7 21
24 Rotherham 20 4 7 9 19 25 -6 19
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 20 13 3 4 39 21 +18 42
2 Ipswich 20 11 5 4 28 20 +8 38
3 Southampton 19 10 5 4 30 26 +4 35
4 Leeds 20 10 4 6 31 18 +13 34
5 Middlesbrough 20 9 3 8 34 32 +2 30
6 Hull 18 9 3 6 26 26 0 30
7 Coventry 20 8 4 8 33 27 +6 28
8 Watford 20 7 7 6 26 27 -1 28
9 Cardiff 20 8 2 10 22 30 -8 26
10 West Brom 20 6 7 7 29 23 +6 25
11 Preston 19 7 4 8 21 24 -3 25
12 QPR 20 7 4 9 16 21 -5 25
13 Swansea 20 6 6 8 27 33 -6 24
14 Bristol City 20 6 5 9 21 25 -4 23
15 Blackburn 20 6 4 10 30 35 -5 22
16 Stoke 20 6 4 10 23 29 -6 22
17 Millwall 20 5 6 9 21 25 -4 21
18 Sunderland 20 5 5 10 21 23 -2 20
19 Norwich 20 5 5 10 33 39 -6 20
20 Huddersfield 20 3 9 8 20 34 -14 18
21 Plymouth 20 2 7 11 17 31 -14 13
22 Sheffield Weds 20 4 1 15 10 40 -30 13
23 Birmingham 20 3 3 14 17 37 -20 12
24 Rotherham 20 0 4 16 13 56 -43 4

Leeds   Hull

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Blackburn 40 13 27 1.4 1.6 12 9 19 56 66 45
2 1 Ipswich 40 14 26 2.1 1.3 26 9 5 84 51 87
3 6 Norwich 40 14 26 1.8 1.4 19 7 14 72 58 64
4 4 Southampton 38 14 24 2.0 1.3 22 8 8 76 51 74
5 21 Plymouth 40 16 24 1.4 1.6 10 11 19 55 65 41
6 2 Leicester 39 16 23 2.0 0.9 27 4 8 77 35 85
7 7 Coventry 39 16 23 1.6 1.2 16 12 11 63 46 60
8 8 Preston 39 16 23 1.3 1.4 17 8 14 52 55 59
9 15 Swansea 40 17 23 1.2 1.5 12 11 17 49 60 47
10 24 Rotherham 40 18 22 0.8 2.0 4 11 25 32 81 23
11 9 Hull 38 17 21 1.4 1.3 16 10 12 53 48 58
12 13 Sunderland 40 19 21 1.3 1.2 15 6 19 51 50 51
13 14 Watford 40 19 21 1.4 1.4 12 14 14 57 55 50
14 3 Leeds 39 19 20 1.8 0.8 25 8 6 72 30 83
15 10 Middlesbrough 40 20 20 1.4 1.3 17 7 16 56 53 58
16 11 Cardiff 40 21 19 1.1 1.4 17 5 18 45 54 56
17 20 Birmingham 40 21 19 1.1 1.5 11 9 20 44 61 42
18 22 Huddersfield 40 21 19 1.1 1.6 8 16 16 44 65 40
19 5 West Brom 40 22 18 1.6 1.0 19 11 10 62 39 68
20 16 QPR 40 22 18 1.0 1.3 12 10 18 39 51 46
21 23 Sheffield Weds 40 22 18 0.8 1.6 11 6 23 31 64 39
22 18 Stoke 40 24 16 0.9 1.4 12 9 19 38 54 45
23 19 Millwall 40 24 16 0.9 1.3 11 11 18 38 53 44
24 12 Bristol City 40 25 15 1.1 1.1 15 8 17 44 45 53
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Ipswich 20 3 17 2.8 1.6 15 4 1 56 31 49
2 8 Preston 20 5 15 1.6 1.6 10 4 6 31 31 34
3 4 Southampton 19 5 14 2.4 1.3 12 3 4 46 25 39
4 21 Plymouth 20 6 14 1.9 1.7 8 4 8 38 34 28
5 13 Sunderland 20 7 13 1.5 1.4 10 1 9 30 27 31
6 3 Leeds 19 7 12 2.2 0.6 15 4 0 41 12 49
7 14 Watford 20 8 12 1.6 1.4 5 7 8 31 28 22
8 17 Blackburn 20 8 12 1.3 1.6 6 5 9 26 31 23
9 2 Leicester 19 8 11 2.0 0.7 14 1 4 38 14 43
10 6 Norwich 20 9 11 1.9 0.9 14 2 4 39 19 44
11 15 Swansea 20 9 11 1.1 1.4 6 5 9 22 27 23
12 16 QPR 20 9 11 1.1 1.5 5 6 9 23 30 21
13 22 Huddersfield 20 9 11 1.2 1.6 5 7 8 24 31 22
14 20 Birmingham 20 10 10 1.4 1.2 8 6 6 27 24 30
15 7 Coventry 19 10 9 1.6 1.0 8 8 3 30 19 32
16 23 Sheffield Weds 20 11 9 1.1 1.2 7 5 8 21 24 26
17 5 West Brom 20 12 8 1.6 0.8 13 4 3 33 16 43
18 9 Hull 20 12 8 1.4 1.1 7 7 6 27 22 28
19 11 Cardiff 20 12 8 1.1 1.2 9 3 8 23 24 30
20 19 Millwall 20 12 8 0.8 1.4 6 5 9 17 28 23
21 24 Rotherham 20 12 8 0.9 1.2 4 7 9 19 25 19
22 18 Stoke 20 13 7 0.8 1.2 6 5 9 15 25 23
23 10 Middlesbrough 20 14 6 1.1 1.1 8 4 8 22 21 28
24 12 Bristol City 20 14 6 1.1 1.0 9 3 8 23 20 30
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Norwich 20 5 15 1.6 1.9 5 5 10 33 39 20
2 17 Blackburn 20 5 15 1.5 1.8 6 4 10 30 35 22
3 7 Coventry 20 6 14 1.6 1.4 8 4 8 33 27 28
4 10 Middlesbrough 20 6 14 1.7 1.6 9 3 8 34 32 30
5 24 Rotherham 20 6 14 0.7 2.8 0 4 16 13 56 4
6 9 Hull 18 5 13 1.4 1.4 9 3 6 26 26 30
7 2 Leicester 20 8 12 1.9 1.1 13 3 4 39 21 42
8 15 Swansea 20 8 12 1.4 1.6 6 6 8 27 33 24
9 11 Cardiff 20 9 11 1.1 1.5 8 2 10 22 30 26
10 4 Southampton 19 9 10 1.6 1.4 10 5 4 30 26 35
11 5 West Brom 20 10 10 1.4 1.1 6 7 7 29 23 25
12 21 Plymouth 20 10 10 0.8 1.6 2 7 11 17 31 13
13 1 Ipswich 20 11 9 1.4 1.0 11 5 4 28 20 38
14 12 Bristol City 20 11 9 1.1 1.2 6 5 9 21 25 23
15 14 Watford 20 11 9 1.3 1.4 7 7 6 26 27 28
16 18 Stoke 20 11 9 1.1 1.4 6 4 10 23 29 22
17 20 Birmingham 20 11 9 0.8 1.9 3 3 14 17 37 12
18 23 Sheffield Weds 20 11 9 0.5 2.0 4 1 15 10 40 13
19 3 Leeds 20 12 8 1.6 0.9 10 4 6 31 18 34
20 8 Preston 19 11 8 1.1 1.3 7 4 8 21 24 25
21 13 Sunderland 20 12 8 1.1 1.1 5 5 10 21 23 20
22 19 Millwall 20 12 8 1.1 1.2 5 6 9 21 25 21
23 22 Huddersfield 20 12 8 1.0 1.7 3 9 8 20 34 18
24 16 QPR 20 13 7 0.8 1.1 7 4 9 16 21 25

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38