Derby 1–0 Blackpool – England League One, 29 Mar 2024

Match facts

Derby Blackpool

9 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 1

9 Corners 2

15 Fouls 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (465 league matches this season so far).

Result Derby to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.97

Expected goals 1.59 – 1.02

Home / Draw / Away

51% 25% 24%

DerbyDrawBlackpool

Under / Over 2.5 goals

52% 48%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

49% 51%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

12% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.9% 1–0 11.8% 2–1 9.5%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches

1.95points / match

1.73scored / match

0.88conceded / match

24 6 10

WonDrawnLost 40 played · 69:35

Blackpool before this match, all matches

1.54points / match

1.46scored / match

1.08conceded / match

17 9 13

WonDrawnLost 39 played · 57:42

Derby all matches all matches Blackpool

Per match

1.73 Goals scored 1.46

0.88 Goals conceded 1.08

2.60 Total goals 2.54

12.88 Shots 12.36

4.48 Shots on target 4.23

9.30 Shots faced 10.23

6.53 Corners 5.18

4.90 Corners against 4.05

10.55 Fouls 10.28

1.80 Yellow cards 1.92

0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.67

0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.51

How often Full Time

60% Wins 44%

15% Draws 23%

25% Losses 33%

95% Over 0.5 goals 90%

73% Over 1.5 goals 72%

57% Over 2.5 goals 49%

23% Over 3.5 goals 26%

10% Over 4.5 goals 13%

3% Over 5.5 goals 5%

50% Both teams scored 41%

43% Clean sheets 36%

13% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 38%

50% Draws 31%

13% Losses 31%

63% Over 0.5 goals 74%

28% Over 1.5 goals 28%

10% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches

1

D

3

W

1

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

3

W

3

W

2

1

W

1

W

1

L

Blackpool all matches

1

L

1

D

2

L

2

1

W

4

1

W

1

L

2

W

D

1

W

1

L

Derby before this match, at home

2.00points / match

1.75scored / match

0.90conceded / match

12 4 4

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 35:18

Blackpool before this match, away

1.10points / match

0.95scored / match

1.25conceded / match

6 4 10

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 19:25

Derby at home away Blackpool

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 0.95

0.90 Goals conceded 1.25

2.65 Total goals 2.20

13.35 Shots 11.40

4.35 Shots on target 3.50

7.80 Shots faced 11.30

6.40 Corners 4.55

4.25 Corners against 4.20

10.75 Fouls 11.25

1.80 Yellow cards 2.40

0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.35

0.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

60% Wins 30%

20% Draws 20%

20% Losses 50%

95% Over 0.5 goals 95%

80% Over 1.5 goals 60%

60% Over 2.5 goals 40%

20% Over 3.5 goals 15%

10% Over 4.5 goals 5%

0% Over 5.5 goals 5%

60% Both teams scored 30%

40% Clean sheets 25%

5% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 25%

55% Draws 25%

10% Losses 50%

55% Over 0.5 goals 75%

20% Over 1.5 goals 20%

5% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home

3

1

W

2

3

L

3

2

W

2

1

W

1

D

1

W

1

2

L

3

W

2

1

W

1

W

Blackpool away

1

L

3

L

2

1

W

1

L

2

L

2

1

W

1

L

2

W

1

W

1

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.03.24	Northampton – Derby	1–0 (1–0)	5.75	3.60	1.65	2.08	1.73
16.03.24	Derby – Bolton	1–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.50	3.50	2.00	1.85
12.03.24	Derby – Reading	2–1 (0–0)	1.70	3.60	5.25	1.98	1.88
09.03.24	Bristol Rvs – Derby	0–3 (0–0)	3.60	3.50	2.00	1.95	1.90
02.03.24	Derby – Port Vale	3–0 (2–0)	1.45	4.33	7.50	1.83	2.03
27.02.24	Derby – Charlton	1–2 (1–0)	1.60	3.60	6.50	2.03	1.83
24.02.24	Barnsley – Derby	2–1 (1–1)	2.80	3.40	2.50	1.93	1.93
17.02.24	Derby – Stevenage	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.60	3.75	2.05	1.75
13.02.24	Exeter – Derby	0–3 (0–1)	3.50	3.60	2.05	1.98	1.88
10.02.24	Derby – Shrewsbury	1–1 (0–0)	1.40	4.75	8.00	1.85	2.00

Blackpool all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.03.24	Wigan – Blackpool	1–0 (1–0)	3.20	3.50	2.20	2.10	1.70
12.03.24	Northampton – Blackpool	0–1 (0–0)	4.00	3.60	1.91	2.03	1.83
09.03.24	Blackpool – Portsmouth	0–0 (0–0)	2.50	3.40	2.75	2.00	1.85
02.03.24	Shrewsbury – Blackpool	0–2 (0–1)	4.20	3.50	1.91	2.10	1.70
27.02.24	Leyton Orient – Blackpool	1–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.50	2.90	2.05	1.75
24.02.24	Blackpool – Bolton	4–1 (2–1)	2.40	3.50	2.88	1.98	1.88
17.02.24	Peterboro – Blackpool	1–2 (1–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	1.65	2.20
13.02.24	Cheltenham – Blackpool	2–0 (1–0)	3.30	3.50	2.15	2.08	1.73
10.02.24	Blackpool – Oxford	1–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.60	4.00	1.90	1.95
03.02.24	Stevenage – Blackpool	1–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	3.10	2.08	1.73

Derby at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.03.24	Derby – Bolton	1–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.50	3.50	2.00	1.85
12.03.24	Derby – Reading	2–1 (0–0)	1.70	3.60	5.25	1.98	1.88
02.03.24	Derby – Port Vale	3–0 (2–0)	1.45	4.33	7.50	1.83	2.03
27.02.24	Derby – Charlton	1–2 (1–0)	1.60	3.60	6.50	2.03	1.83
17.02.24	Derby – Stevenage	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.60	3.75	2.05	1.75
10.02.24	Derby – Shrewsbury	1–1 (0–0)	1.40	4.75	8.00	1.85	2.00
27.01.24	Derby – Cheltenham	2–1 (0–0)	1.40	5.00	7.00	1.70	2.10
15.01.24	Derby – Burton	3–2 (1–0)	1.30	5.00	10.00	1.75	2.05
01.01.24	Derby – Peterboro	2–3 (1–1)	2.05	3.50	3.60	1.80	2.00
21.12.23	Derby – Lincoln	3–1 (1–1)	1.50	4.33	6.00	2.03	1.83

Blackpool away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.03.24	Wigan – Blackpool	1–0 (1–0)	3.20	3.50	2.20	2.10	1.70
12.03.24	Northampton – Blackpool	0–1 (0–0)	4.00	3.60	1.91	2.03	1.83
02.03.24	Shrewsbury – Blackpool	0–2 (0–1)	4.20	3.50	1.91	2.10	1.70
27.02.24	Leyton Orient – Blackpool	1–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.50	2.90	2.05	1.75
17.02.24	Peterboro – Blackpool	1–2 (1–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	1.65	2.20
13.02.24	Cheltenham – Blackpool	2–0 (1–0)	3.30	3.50	2.15	2.08	1.73
03.02.24	Stevenage – Blackpool	1–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	3.10	2.08	1.73
20.01.24	Bristol Rvs – Blackpool	1–2 (1–2)	2.60	3.50	2.60	1.95	1.90
29.12.23	Port Vale – Blackpool	3–0 (1–0)	3.40	3.40	2.15	2.05	1.75
26.12.23	Burton – Blackpool	1–0 (1–0)	4.00	4.00	1.80	1.93	1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3

Derby winsDrawsBlackpool wins

3matches

2.33goals / match

33%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.10.23E2	Blackpool – Derby	1–3 (0–0)	2.30	3.25	3.20	2.05	1.80
30.04.22E1	Blackpool – Derby	0–2 (0–0)	1.90	3.60	4.00	1.98	1.88
11.12.21E1	Derby – Blackpool	1–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.00	3.30	2.30	1.61

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Portsmouth	39	24	11	4	63	32	+31	83
2	Derby	40	24	6	10	69	35	+34	78
3	Bolton	39	22	8	9	71	43	+28	74
4	Peterboro	38	21	8	9	74	46	+28	71
5	Barnsley	38	20	11	7	70	48	+22	71
6	Oxford	39	18	9	12	62	52	+10	63
7	Stevenage	39	17	11	11	51	40	+11	62
8	Lincoln	39	16	13	10	56	33	+23	61
9	Blackpool	39	17	9	13	57	42	+15	60
10	Wigan	39	17	7	15	53	48	+5	58
11	Leyton Orient	39	16	10	13	44	44	0	58
12	Northampton	40	15	8	17	51	60	-9	53
13	Wycombe	38	13	11	14	50	49	+1	50
14	Bristol Rvs	38	14	8	16	48	57	-9	50
15	Reading	39	13	9	17	55	57	-2	48
16	Exeter	39	13	8	18	33	52	-19	47
17	Charlton	39	10	15	14	57	58	-1	45
18	Shrewsbury	39	13	5	21	29	55	-26	44
19	Burton	39	10	9	20	31	51	-20	39
20	Cambridge	38	10	9	19	32	55	-23	39
21	Port Vale	38	9	9	20	36	61	-25	36
22	Cheltenham	37	9	8	20	30	50	-20	35
23	Fleetwood Town	39	7	13	19	41	61	-20	34
24	Carlisle	39	5	9	25	35	69	-34	24

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Portsmouth	19	13	4	2	34	20	+14	43
2	Bolton	19	13	3	3	42	22	+20	42
3	Derby	20	12	4	4	35	18	+17	40
4	Blackpool	19	11	5	3	38	17	+21	38
5	Wigan	20	12	2	6	27	17	+10	38
6	Peterboro	19	11	4	4	44	21	+23	37
7	Lincoln	20	9	7	4	34	13	+21	34
8	Reading	20	10	4	6	34	21	+13	34
9	Oxford	19	9	6	4	34	22	+12	33
10	Barnsley	20	9	5	6	35	28	+7	32
11	Northampton	20	9	5	6	26	21	+5	32
12	Stevenage	19	8	7	4	22	15	+7	31
13	Wycombe	20	8	6	6	29	25	+4	30
14	Leyton Orient	19	8	4	7	20	25	-5	28
15	Charlton	19	7	5	7	32	27	+5	26
16	Bristol Rvs	18	7	5	6	26	23	+3	26
17	Cambridge	19	7	5	7	17	20	-3	26
18	Shrewsbury	20	8	2	10	17	25	-8	26
19	Exeter	20	6	7	7	14	19	-5	25
20	Burton	19	6	4	9	17	22	-5	22
21	Cheltenham	18	6	4	8	19	26	-7	22
22	Port Vale	19	5	3	11	22	28	-6	18
23	Fleetwood Town	20	4	5	11	20	31	-11	17
24	Carlisle	20	3	6	11	19	35	-16	15

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Portsmouth	20	11	7	2	29	12	+17	40
2	Barnsley	18	11	6	1	35	20	+15	39
3	Derby	20	12	2	6	34	17	+17	38
4	Peterboro	19	10	4	5	30	25	+5	34
5	Bolton	20	9	5	6	29	21	+8	32
6	Stevenage	20	9	4	7	29	25	+4	31
7	Leyton Orient	20	8	6	6	24	19	+5	30
8	Oxford	20	9	3	8	28	30	-2	30
9	Lincoln	19	7	6	6	22	20	+2	27
10	Bristol Rvs	20	7	3	10	22	34	-12	24
11	Blackpool	20	6	4	10	19	25	-6	22
12	Exeter	19	7	1	11	19	33	-14	22
13	Northampton	20	6	3	11	25	39	-14	21
14	Wycombe	18	5	5	8	21	24	-3	20
15	Wigan	19	5	5	9	26	31	-5	20
16	Charlton	20	3	10	7	25	31	-6	19
17	Shrewsbury	19	5	3	11	12	30	-18	18
18	Port Vale	19	4	6	9	14	33	-19	18
19	Fleetwood Town	19	3	8	8	21	30	-9	17
20	Burton	20	4	5	11	14	29	-15	17
21	Reading	19	3	5	11	21	36	-15	14
22	Cheltenham	19	3	4	12	11	24	-13	13
23	Cambridge	19	3	4	12	15	35	-20	13
24	Carlisle	19	2	3	14	16	34	-18	9

Derby Blackpool

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Oxford	39	13	26	1.6	1.3	18	9	12	62	52	63
2	4	Peterboro	38	13	25	1.9	1.2	21	8	9	74	46	71
3	5	Barnsley	38	14	24	1.8	1.3	20	11	7	70	48	71
4	2	Derby	40	17	23	1.7	0.9	24	6	10	69	35	78
5	12	Northampton	40	18	22	1.3	1.5	15	8	17	51	60	53
6	14	Bristol Rvs	38	16	22	1.3	1.5	14	8	16	48	57	50
7	17	Charlton	39	17	22	1.5	1.5	10	15	14	57	58	45
8	1	Portsmouth	39	18	21	1.6	0.8	24	11	4	63	32	83
9	3	Bolton	39	18	21	1.8	1.1	22	8	9	71	43	74
10	15	Reading	39	18	21	1.4	1.5	13	9	17	55	57	48
11	23	Fleetwood Town	39	19	20	1.1	1.6	7	13	19	41	61	34
12	7	Stevenage	39	20	19	1.3	1.0	17	11	11	51	40	62
13	9	Blackpool	39	20	19	1.5	1.1	17	9	13	57	42	60
14	13	Wycombe	38	20	18	1.3	1.3	13	11	14	50	49	50
15	21	Port Vale	38	20	18	0.9	1.6	9	9	20	36	61	36
16	24	Carlisle	39	21	18	0.9	1.8	5	9	25	35	69	24
17	10	Wigan	39	22	17	1.4	1.2	17	7	15	53	48	58
18	20	Cambridge	38	21	17	0.8	1.4	10	9	19	32	55	39
19	11	Leyton Orient	39	23	16	1.1	1.1	16	10	13	44	44	58
20	16	Exeter	39	23	16	0.8	1.3	13	8	18	33	52	47
21	8	Lincoln	39	24	15	1.4	0.8	16	13	10	56	33	61
22	18	Shrewsbury	39	24	15	0.7	1.4	13	5	21	29	55	44
23	19	Burton	39	24	15	0.8	1.3	10	9	20	31	51	39
24	22	Cheltenham	37	23	14	0.8	1.4	9	8	20	30	50	35

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Peterboro	19	5	14	2.3	1.1	11	4	4	44	21	37
2	5	Barnsley	20	6	14	1.8	1.4	9	5	6	35	28	32
3	6	Oxford	19	5	14	1.8	1.2	9	6	4	34	22	33
4	3	Bolton	19	6	13	2.2	1.2	13	3	3	42	22	42
5	17	Charlton	19	6	13	1.7	1.4	7	5	7	32	27	26
6	1	Portsmouth	19	7	12	1.8	1.1	13	4	2	34	20	43
7	2	Derby	20	8	12	1.8	0.9	12	4	4	35	18	40
8	9	Blackpool	19	8	11	2.0	0.9	11	5	3	38	17	38
9	14	Bristol Rvs	18	7	11	1.4	1.3	7	5	6	26	23	26
10	8	Lincoln	20	11	9	1.7	0.7	9	7	4	34	13	34
11	12	Northampton	20	11	9	1.3	1.1	9	5	6	26	21	32
12	15	Reading	20	11	9	1.7	1.1	10	4	6	34	21	34
13	21	Port Vale	19	10	9	1.2	1.5	5	3	11	22	28	18
14	23	Fleetwood Town	20	11	9	1.0	1.6	4	5	11	20	31	17
15	24	Carlisle	20	11	9	0.9	1.8	3	6	11	19	35	15
16	10	Wigan	20	12	8	1.4	0.8	12	2	6	27	17	38
17	11	Leyton Orient	19	11	8	1.1	1.3	8	4	7	20	25	28
18	13	Wycombe	20	12	8	1.4	1.2	8	6	6	29	25	30
19	18	Shrewsbury	20	12	8	0.8	1.2	8	2	10	17	25	26
20	22	Cheltenham	18	10	8	1.1	1.4	6	4	8	19	26	22
21	7	Stevenage	19	13	6	1.2	0.8	8	7	4	22	15	31
22	16	Exeter	20	14	6	0.7	0.9	6	7	7	14	19	25
23	19	Burton	19	13	6	0.9	1.2	6	4	9	17	22	22
24	20	Cambridge	19	13	6	0.9	1.1	7	5	7	17	20	26

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Stevenage	20	7	13	1.4	1.2	9	4	7	29	25	31
2	12	Northampton	20	7	13	1.2	1.9	6	3	11	25	39	21
3	6	Oxford	20	8	12	1.4	1.5	9	3	8	28	30	30
4	15	Reading	19	7	12	1.1	1.9	3	5	11	21	36	14
5	2	Derby	20	9	11	1.7	0.8	12	2	6	34	17	38
6	4	Peterboro	19	8	11	1.6	1.3	10	4	5	30	25	34
7	14	Bristol Rvs	20	9	11	1.1	1.7	7	3	10	22	34	24
8	20	Cambridge	19	8	11	0.8	1.8	3	4	12	15	35	13
9	23	Fleetwood Town	19	8	11	1.1	1.6	3	8	8	21	30	17
10	5	Barnsley	18	8	10	1.9	1.1	11	6	1	35	20	39
11	13	Wycombe	18	8	10	1.2	1.3	5	5	8	21	24	20
12	16	Exeter	19	9	10	1.0	1.7	7	1	11	19	33	22
13	1	Portsmouth	20	11	9	1.4	0.6	11	7	2	29	12	40
14	10	Wigan	19	10	9	1.4	1.6	5	5	9	26	31	20
15	17	Charlton	20	11	9	1.2	1.6	3	10	7	25	31	19
16	19	Burton	20	11	9	0.7	1.4	4	5	11	14	29	17
17	21	Port Vale	19	10	9	0.7	1.7	4	6	9	14	33	18
18	24	Carlisle	19	10	9	0.8	1.8	2	3	14	16	34	9
19	3	Bolton	20	12	8	1.4	1.1	9	5	6	29	21	32
20	9	Blackpool	20	12	8	0.9	1.2	6	4	10	19	25	22
21	11	Leyton Orient	20	12	8	1.2	0.9	8	6	6	24	19	30
22	18	Shrewsbury	19	12	7	0.6	1.6	5	3	11	12	30	18
23	8	Lincoln	19	13	6	1.2	1.1	7	6	6	22	20	27
24	22	Cheltenham	19	13	6	0.6	1.3	3	4	12	11	24	13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.